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☆ Bitcoin price has further to fall near-term before ripping higher, says Wolfe Research
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-17 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

It's going to get worst before it gets better for the price of bitcoin , according to Wolfe Research. Bitcoin has been largely unmoved since July due to market apathy. "The coin has traded within a ~$2,000 range since late June, with $30,000 being the midpoint of said range," Rob Ginsberg, a technical analyst at Wolfe Research said in a note Wednesday. In the past two years, bitcoin has "abruptly expanded" after a tight consolidation more than eight times, he added. "These near-term headwinds are likely to force price lower in BTC and keep volume muted across the space.

Persons: Bitcoin, Rob Ginsberg, bitcoin, Ginsberg, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Wolfe Research, BTC

☆ Zero-day-options, weak technicals and China: Breaking down the market’s August headwinds
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-17 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

"The S & P is not quite there, but we would be very surprised if it doesn't follow the NDX's lead." On top of that, some are worried that another real estate crisis in China may be brewing. "It's been almost two years since China Evergrande Group, once China's largest real estate developer, shocked the financial markets by defaulting on $340 billion in debt. Since then, the Chinese real estate market has been in a serious slump," wrote Ed Yardeni of Yardeni Research. Investment in real estate fell 8.5% y/y during the first seven months of this year."

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Scott Rubner, Rubner, 0DTE, Technicals, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, It's, Ed Yardeni, we're, Sarat Sethi, Johnson, Sethi, CNBC's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Wolfe Research, Nasdaq, China Evergrande Group, Yardeni, Investment, U.S, JPMorgan Locations: China, U.S, Freeport, McMoRan, Haleon

☆ Stock market setting up for a textbook seasonal correction, chart analysts say
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-07 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Last week's hiccup in the stock market rally could expand into a seasonal slump, according to Wall Street technical analysts. The S & P 500 fell 2.27% last week for its worst week since March, closing at 4,478.03. Oppenheimer technical analyst Ari Wald said in a note to clients dated Saturday that the market is "developing as a textbook seasonal correction." The S & P 500 is still up more than 16% year to date even after last week's decline. In fact, a 5% pullback from Tuesday's close in the S & P would take you just shy of the August '22 highs," Ginsberg said.

Persons: Oppenheimer, Ari Wald, Wald, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Jonathan Krinsky, SPX, BTIG's Krinsky, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Street, Nasdaq, Investment, Twitter, Wolfe Research

☆ Bitcoin has a ‘massive uphill battle to fight’ to retake earlier levels, Wolfe says
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-20 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

"Crypto still has struggled to see a meaningful run," Wolfe Research strategist Rob Ginsberg said in a note Wednesday. A crypto asset's "dominance" measures how much of it makes up the total cryptocurrency market cap. Investors use it to determine which parts of the crypto market are outperforming or underperforming relative to their peers and to identify changes in trend. "The coin still has a massive uphill battle to fight if it plans on retaking former levels. Crypto equities — miners Marathon and Riot , crypto exchange Coinbase , and bitcoin proxy MicroStrategy in particular — have been outperforming bitcoin as well, Ginsburg noted.

Persons: Bitcoin, bitcoin, Crypto, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsburg, it's, Michael Bloom Organizations: Wolfe Research, BlackRock, U.S ., SEC, Coinbase

☆ Small caps are finally starting to join the rally in June. Here's how to play their comeback
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-08 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Small stocks are making big moves this month, which could signal good news is ahead for Wall Street. The Russell 2000 , which is made up of small-cap names, is higher by 7% in June. .RUT 1M mountain Russell 2000 in past month "Moreover, small-caps have traditionally served as a bellwether in terms of the broader economic landscape," Krosby added. On top of that, Wolfe Research strategist Rob Ginsberg warned that the Russell 2000 could run into some technical resistance after the recent rally. That said, there are ways investors can try to capitalize on the small-cap rally.

Persons: Russell, Quincy Krosby, Krosby, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg Organizations: Financial, of Labor Statistics, Wolfe Research, CNBC Pro, Energy, NOVA, Beam Therapeutics, Rocket Pharmaceuticals, Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Locations: U.S

☆ Short these stocks with deteriorating earnings, Wolfe Research says
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-18 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Wolfe Research is recommending a basket of companies to short ahead of their quarterly earnings. AI YTD mountain C3.ai has one of the worst earnings quality ratings on the Wolf Research list. Elsewhere, Hasbro also has one of the lower earnings quality ratings on the Wolfe scale, earnings just three out of 100. The Wolfe report showed a sequential earnings quality decline of more than 82%. SPWR YTD mountain Although SunPower has a higher earnings quality rating on the Wolfe Research list, the company still has high short interest according to the report.

☆ Ether is poised to climb higher with the uncertainty of 'Shanghai' behind investors
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-13 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Market participants say that with all the uncertainty out of the way, ether may finally catch up with bitcoin. After Shanghai Investors can now withdraw staked ether from the network for the first time ever: This is one of the biggest attractions of the Shanghai upgrade. This Merge ultimately made more liquidity available to ether investors and stakers. "Dominance" measures how a crypto asset like bitcoin is performing relative to its peers in the crypto market. That correlation has declined, however, in part because market participants have favored bitcoin over ether ahead of the Shanghai upgrade.

☆ Inflation's direction will drive crypto's action in March now that the 2023 rally has faded
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-01 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Bitcoin and ether are starting the new trading month on a positive note – following a relatively flat month – each rising less than 1% Wednesday. In the near term, our bet is on the dollar pulling back," he said Wednesday. If we're right and more upside lies ahead in the near term, it's tough to think crypto isn't a major beneficiary." Long-term investors see regulation as a positive development ultimately, but it can put pressure on prices in the near term, Kruger said. Breaking past $25,000 Although bitcoin held up in February, investors are unsure when to expect a rocket ship rally .

☆ Bitcoin is overdue for a pause before bullish trend continues, says Wolfe Research
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-02 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

"Bitcoin is still trading at the deepest overbought condition in over two years," the firm's Rob Ginsberg said in a note this week. "Sometimes these extended overbought signals can be a sign of momentum, but our sense is that it's overdue for a brake check." Investor sentiment got a boost in January from lower inflation readings and optimism around the possibility the Federal Reserve will soon slow down its inflation-fighting rate hikes. After the Federal Reserve said the "disinflationary process has started" at the conclusion of its policy meeting, bitcoin rose again. "An overbought condition this extreme simply is unsustainable regardless of the security," he said.

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