Last winter, the spot price peaked at $48.30 per mmBtu, in late December, before dropping to $23 by late January.
What the term structure is signalling is that LNG demand may be fairly constant over the year, rather than rising and dropping with the change in seasons.
LNG imports by Asia, Europe vs JKM priceFLOWS EVEN OUTCertainly, the flows data appears to be supporting the view of steady demand in both Asia and Europe.
Total Asian imports were 20.61 million tonnes in October, little changed from September's 20.25 million, according to data compiled by Refinitiv.
It's also worth noting that October's imports were down 6.3% from the 22 million tonnes from the same month last year.