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Much of that work could go up in smoke if his likely rival Donald Trump beats him at the polls in November, according to Republican policy advisers. Reuters spoke with a dozen Republican policy consultants and former Trump administration officials who are helping lay the groundwork for a second Trump presidency to sketch out the administration's likely approach to energy and environmental issues. Trump formally withdrew the U.S. during his first term in office but Biden swiftly reversed the move in 2021. "A big lesson that everybody in the first Trump administration learned was that personnel is really important. The idea of taking a hatchet to the entire IRA could, however, give some oil industry officials and Republican politicians pause, a former Trump administration official said.
Persons: Valerie Volcovici, Gram Slattery WASHINGTON, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Trump, Stephen Moore, Trump's, Larry Kudlow, David Bernhardt, Rick Perry, Kevin Hassett, Harold Hamm, Biden, George David Banks, Ivanka, Mike McKenna, Diana Furchtgott, Roth, Timothy Gardner, Richard Valdmanis, Deepa Babington Organizations: Republican, United Nations, Trump, Reuters, White, Heritage Foundation, Republicans, Economic, Energy, Biden, America, Policy Institute, Heritage Locations: United States, Paris, Biden's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNEC Director Lael Brainard: Overall economic picture still looks good despite the hot CPI printLael Brainard, National Economic Council Director and former Federal Reserve vice chair, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss the latest CPI data, what could be problematic for the economy, and getting through the 'last mile' of inflation.
Persons: Lael Brainard Organizations: NEC, National Economic, Federal Reserve
Director of the National Economic Council Lael Brainard speaks during the daily press briefing at the White House January 11, 2024 in Washington, DC. National Economic Council Director Lael Brainard on Tuesday blamed higher consumer prices on "shrinkflation," doubling down on the latest battlefront of President Joe Biden's corporate pressure campaign. Shrinkflation, the practice of reducing product sizes while keeping prices the same, is Biden's latest line of attack against corporations, which he debuted on Super Bowl Sunday. Both the White House and Biden's 2024 reelection campaign have touted inflation recovery as a key accomplishment of his economic agenda, dubbed Bidenomics. "The president is going to continue emphasizing that input costs have come down, supply chains have healed," Brainard said.
Persons: Lael Brainard, Brainard, Joe, Biden Organizations: National Economic, Economic, Cola, PepsiCo, Procter, Gamble, Super, Sunday, White Locations: Washington , DC
Biden was sitting beside common snacks like Oreos, Doritos and Goldfish during the 48-second clip, posted to X. Shrinkflation happens when consumer products get smaller in weight, size or quantity while their prices stay the same or even increase. "That's a message that the average consumer will nod their heads and say 'sure, I hate it when that happens,'" former presidential candidate Andrew Yang said. "They're gonna have to keep making this case around the country because the Biden administration is underwater with independents who are going to decide this November's election," Yang, now the co-chair of the Forward Party said. "They're going to be trying anything they can to say, at least, 'we're on your side.'"
Persons: Joe Biden, Biden, I've, Andrew Yang, that's, Lael Brainard, Yang Organizations: Super, Sunday, National Economic, Forward Party
And while the economy usually comes out on top as the issue for most voters, there are doubts over whether even a good economy is enough for Joe Biden to win a second term. Certainly, the improving economy – and most importantly an inflation rate that is trending back to the Federal Reserve’s desired 2% annual target – should be an asset for Biden. “Obviously perceptions of Biden and Trump are largely baked in and have been for a long time” says Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion. “We’re playing at the margins at best.”For Democrats, running on a good economy will present its own challenges. The wing nuts have disproportionate power.”Ramamurti still believes that Biden should emphasize the economy, saying, “I’m of the view that good news is good news.
Persons: Joe Biden, , Jose Torres, ” Powell, , Biden, Al Capone, Alejandro Mayorkas, Bharat Ramamurti, Trump, Lee Miringoff, David Walker, Walker, “ There’s, ” Ramamurti, Ramamurti, Gregory Daco, Pollsters, Mark Zandi Organizations: Federal, Biden, Fed, Interactive, Republicans, Democrats, CBS, Trump, GOP, Homeland, National Economic Council, Marist, , Marist Institute, Public, Biden Administration, Republican, Democratic Party, Democrat, Dow Jones, Moody's Locations: Pennsylvania
WASHINGTON (AP) — The Biden administration on Wednesday plans to name a top White House aide as the director of the newly established safety institute for artificial intelligence, according to an administration official who insisted on anonymity to discuss the position. Elizabeth Kelly will lead the AI Safety Institute at the National Institute for Standards and Technology, which is part of the Commerce Department. Currently an economic policy adviser for President Joe Biden, Kelly played an integral role in drafting the executive order signed at the end of October that established the institute, the administration official said. The administration considers the safety tests as necessary to unlock the benefits of the rapidly moving technology, creating a level of trust that will allow for wider adoption of AI. But so far, those tests lack the universal set of standards that the institute plans to finalize this summer.
Persons: , Biden, Elizabeth Kelly, Joe Biden, Kelly, Lael Brainard, Kelly “, it's, Obama Organizations: WASHINGTON, White, AI, National Institute for Standards, Technology, Commerce Department, The Associated Press, National Economic Council, Yale Law School, Obama White
China's economy has struggled to regain post-pandemic traction. But Beijing hasn't conceded its economy is in trouble, which could be holding it back from fixing structural issues, says the Rhodium Group. Rhodium Group's researchers aren't quite sure about the rosy narrative of China's economy, calling it a "politicized picture of economic activity." After all, China's economy struggled to regain traction after a brief spurt post-pandemic, disappointing investors. By the second half of the year, confidence had broken down entirely," wrote the Rhodium Group researchers.
Persons: underscoring, Beijing hasn't, , Daniel H, Rosen, Rachel Lietzow, Lietzow, Xi Jinping, haven't Organizations: Stock, Beijing, Service, White, National Economic Council, National Security Council Locations: China, New York, Beijing
The Congressional Budget Office in 2022 estimated that the tens of billions of new IRS funding provided by the IRA would increase revenues by $180.4 billion from 2022 to 2031. The IRS now says that if IRA funding is restored, renewed and diversified, estimated revenues could reach as much as $851 billion from 2024 to 2034. However, House Republicans built a $1.4 billion reduction to the IRS into the debt ceiling and budget cuts package passed by Congress last summer. IRA funding "is enabling the IRS to reverse this trend,” Leiserson said. The tax gap — which is the difference between taxes owed and taxes paid — has grown to more than $600 billion annually, according to the IRS.
Persons: Joe Biden's, Lael Brainard, Brainard, Greg Leiserson, Leiserson, Organizations: WASHINGTON, IRS, Treasury Department, Democrats, Congressional, Office, Republicans, Congress
Samsung chief Lee cleared of charges in 2015 merger case
  + stars: | 2024-02-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Samsung Electronics Co. Executive Chairman Lee Jae-yong leaves after attending a final decision at the Seoul Central District Court on Feb. 05, 2024 in Seoul, South Korea. Seoul Central District Court acquits Samsung Electronics Co. Executive Chairman Lee Jae-yong in controversial 2015 merger case. Samsung Electronics Chairman Jay Y. Lee was found not guilty by a Seoul court on Monday in a case related to irregularities in a 2015 merger of Samsung affiliates that prosecutors said was designed to cement his control of the tech group. Lee denied wrongdoing, arguing that he and other executives acted on the belief the merger would benefit shareholders. The sentence prevents a return to jail for Lee who was convicted in 2017 of bribing a friend of former President Park Geun-hye.
Persons: Lee Jae, Jay Y, Lee, Prosecutors, Park, Yoon Suk Organizations: Samsung Electronics Co, Seoul Central, Court, Samsung Electronics, Samsung Locations: Seoul, South Korea
India's economy is expected to expand by 6.5% this year, according to IMF forecasts. The world's most populous nation was keen to talk up its prospects at the World Economic Forum in Davos. Advertisement"India has seized the moment," proclaimed housing minister Hardeep Singh Puri with confidence during a panel at the World Economic Forum in Davos last month. The 10-strong group of emerging market nations now accounts for 45% of the world's population and 28% of global GDP. AdvertisementSome economists have criticized the government's narrative as a "false growth story," highlighting discrepancies in the data and criticizing the methods used to calculate economic growth.
Persons: , Hardeep Singh, Smriti Irani, BI's Spriha Srivastava, that's, Narendra Modi's, Cash, Modi, SAJJAD HUSSAIN, I've, Andy Baldwin, EY, Narendra Modi, Brazil's Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, Dan Kitwood, Getty, ISRO Goldman Sachs, Ashoka Mody, Rajesh Kumar Singh, Vladimir Putin, Singh Organizations: Economic, Service, BI, IMF, Business, Apple, ISRO, Princeton University, World Bank, US, of, Hindustan Times, Harvard Business Locations: Davos, India, China, Japan, Brazil, China India, India's, Ukraine
Israel and Hezbollah each have lessons from their last war, in 2006, a monthlong conflict that ended in a draw. A United Nations resolution ending the war called for withdrawal of Israeli forces from Lebanon and a demilitarized zone on Lebanon's side of the border. Israeli political and military leaders have warned Hezbollah that war is increasingly probable unless the militants withdraw from the border. Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah hasn't threatened to initiate war but warned of a fight “without limits” if Israel does. Costs would rise sharply if there's war with Lebanon.
Persons: They've, U.N, Antonio Guterres, Hassan Nasrallah hasn't, Andrea Tenenti, Lisa Abou Khaled, , Tal Beeri, there's, Israel's, Orna Mizrahi, Netanyahu, Dina Arakji, ___ Lidman Organizations: United States, United, U.S, Bank of Israel, Alma Research, Education Center, Israel Democracy Institute, Institute for National Security Studies, Gaza's Health Ministry, Lebanese Locations: BEIRUT, Israel, Gaza, United, Lebanon, United Nations, Europe, Iran, Israel's, , Syria, Iraq, Yemen, Beirut, , Tel Aviv
A new poll from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research finds that 35% of U.S. adults call the national economy good. That's an uptick from 30% who said so late last year and up from 24% who said so a year ago. While 65% still call the economy poor, that’s also an improvement from a year ago, when 76% called it poor. The evidence of a stronger economy has yet to spill over into greater support for Biden. “He has a lot on his plate right now and he’s doing quite well,” she said.
Persons: , that’s, Joe Biden, Biden, Donald Trump, Trump, Molly Kapsner, “ He’s, ” David Veksler, Jo Jorgenson, he's, ” Veksler, “ I’m, ” Harry Broadnax, , Broadnax, I’m, doesn't, Lael Brainard, Deborah Shields, she's, Shields, , ” Richard Tunnell, “ He's, ” Tunnell, they’ll Organizations: WASHINGTON, Associated Press, NORC, for Public Affairs Research, Voters, Republican, Biden, Denver, Trump, White, National Economic Council, Republicans, Democratic, Air Force Locations: U.S, Wisconsin, , North Carolina, Orlando , Florida, Huntsville , Texas
And — while it only represents a very small proportion of containers moved between the Far East and Europe — rail routes via Russia have seen an uptick in interest too. Rail through RussiaFirms have raised concerns about sending goods via rail through Russia, Sciglaite said. A train engine pulls carriages that started their journey in Yiwu, China into Barking rail freight terminal on January 18, 2017 in the U.K. Igor Tambaca, managing director of Rail Bridge Cargo, a Dutch logistics company, said China-Europe rail route bookings were up 37% over the past four weeks. Tambaca said the cost of sending one forty-foot container (FEU) from China to Europe via rail is currently around $7,900.
Persons: Liu Wenhua, Julija, RailGate, Hapag Lloyd, Sciglaite, Dan Kitwood, Igor Tambaca, Tambaca, Maria Magdalena Pavitsich, Pavitsich, Vladimir Putin, Davies Turner Organizations: China News Service, Getty, Air, CNBC, Rail, Cargo, OBB Rail Cargo Group, FEU, Initiative, British Locations: China, Europe, Russia, Manzhouli, Vietnam, Xeneta, East, European, Rotterdam, South Africa's, Ukraine, Yiwu, Barking, Kazakhstan, Belarus, Poland, Germany, Belgium, France, Red, Dutch, Turkey, Austrian, Asia, Xian, Chengdu, Suez, Africa, Moscow, Central Siberia, Beijing, Wuhan, Duisburg
The Federal Reserve is fed up with data revisions
  + stars: | 2024-01-31 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +11 min
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said large revisions in data are tainting his assessments of how the economy is doing. Al Drago/Bloomberg/Getty ImagesThat’s well above the average month-over-month revised change in job totals from 1973 to the latest available revision data, according to the BLS. The official summary of what Fed officials said and discussed during their September meeting — also known as the Fed minutes — stated: “A few participants observed that there were challenges in assessing the state of the economy because some data continued to be volatile and subject to large revisions.”Spokespeople from the Federal Reserve declined to answer which data Fed officials were referring to. Frequent and large revisions to economic data are weighing on Federal Reserve decision-making, Governor Michelle Bowman said. “We want to be data dependent, but not data point dependent,” Williams said.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, it’s, Al Drago, ” Waller, , Michelle Bowman, , Spokespeople, he’s, don’t, Erica Groshen, David Wilcox, Laura Kelter, Kelter, Groshen, Wilcox, John Williams, ” Williams, Organizations: New, New York CNN — Federal Reserve, , of Labor Statistics, BLS, Federal, Bloomberg, Getty, Fed, Ohio Bankers League, Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, Department, Census, Labor, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Employment, CNN, Wilcox . New York Fed Locations: New York, Wilcox . New
Federal Reserve officials do not set interest rates with presidential elections in mind. Investors do not widely expect rate cuts to be announced when Fed officials conclude a two-day meeting on Wednesday. Interest rate cuts could also help to improve housing affordability, an issue for young voters that has bedeviled the president. Falling interest rates could drive down mortgage rates. White House officials are careful not to comment on Fed rate decisions; Lael Brainard, a former Fed governor who heads Mr. Biden’s National Economic Council, laughed off a reporter’s question on the topic last week.
Persons: Jerome H, Powell, Biden, Lael Brainard Organizations: Federal, White, Fed, Investors, Economic Council Locations: Biden’s
Ken Griffin told CNBC that a war over Taiwan could spark a new Great Depression. AdvertisementKen Griffin has warned that a war over Taiwan could spark a new Great Depression. The Citadel founder told CNBC that a Chinese invasion of Taiwan would have "catastrophic" consequences for both the American and Chinese economies. And by catastrophic I think you're looking at Great Depression circumstances," Griffin told CNBC's "Squawk on the Street" during the MFA Network conference in Miami on Tuesday. Those chips are used in every part of our economy," Griffin told CNBC.
Persons: Ken Griffin, , Griffin, CNBC's, Lai Ching, Xi Jinping, Joe Biden Organizations: CNBC, Service, Citadel, Network, Boeing Locations: Taiwan, Miami, Beijing, China
U.S. President Joe Biden delivers remarks at the St. John Baptist Church in Columbia, South Carolina, on Jan. 28, 2024. The White House cheered the Conference Board report on Tuesday showing consumer confidence rising to its highest level in more than two years. Consumer confidence reached its highest level since December 2021, and was up more than 30% since its April 2020 low of 85.7. The Conference Board's consumer confidence index rose for a third straight month to 114.8 in January, up from a revised 108 in December 2023. Despite the increasing consumer sentiment, just 33% of voters approve of Biden's handling of the economy, according to CNBC's All-America Economic Survey in December.
Persons: Joe Biden, Lael Brainard, Donald Trump, Biden's, Trump Organizations: St, John Baptist Church, Economic, Biden Administration, America Economic Survey, CNBC, Biden, Trump, CNBC PRO Locations: Columbia , South Carolina
The market has managed to put behind the "economic anxiety" it faced as recently as the fourth quarter of 2023, according to Citadel CEO Ken Griffin. "The [Federal Reserve] can start to cut rates come this summer, and we will see unemployment touch up a little bit. But the overall economy looks pretty damn good right now," Griffin told CNBC's Leslie Picker on Tuesday at the MFA Network event in Miami. However, Griffin noted that the current level of federal spending has created an economy that "feels really good right now," but could come at a cost. It's creating [a] bit of euphoria right now, but it will come with a hangover," said Griffin.
Persons: Ken Griffin, Griffin, CNBC's Leslie Picker, Griffin's, Dow Organizations: Citadel, Federal, Fed, U.S, Dow Jones, CNBC PRO Locations: Miami, Taiwan, China, U.S
Economists were convinced the last quarter of 2023 had to be the one where economic growth slowed significantly after the prior quarter’s gangbuster 4.9% annualized growth rate. Gross domestic product, the broadest measure of economic output, did slow last quarter to a 3.3% annualized rate. It’s remarkable given economists were expecting 1.5% annualized GDP growth last quarter. But what’s perhaps most remarkable about the US economic growth rate is how much it towers over similarly sized advanced economies. Covid stimulus money is helping Americans avoid cutting back on spending.
Persons: Larry David, that’s, rateaccording, Joseph Gagnon, David Paul Morris, Gagnon, That’s, Alicia Wallace, Hanna Ziady, he’s, I’ve, it’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Gross, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg Locations: New York, Singapore, Europe, Ukraine
America’s weak.”Neither Casey nor McCormick are likely to face serious opposition in Pennsylvania's April 23 primary before facing off against each other in November's general election. The Biden administration's support for Israel has been complicated politically in other states the president is counting on in his reelection bid. “Israel needs America's firm and unequivocal support,” McCormick wrote. Jewish voters typically vote overwhelmingly Democratic, and Democrats right now are trying to balance their interest in protecting Israel with that of younger voters, who have been sympathetic to Palestinians, he said. “Jewish voters have been one of their most loyal supporter groups.
Persons: , Biden, hasn't, David McCormick, Joe Biden, Democratic Sen, Bob Casey, McCormick, Casey, Donald Trump, West Virginia Sen, Joe Manchin, persuadable, Hillel, , ” McCormick, Barack Obama, Israel's, ’ ” Casey, Israel, Israel ”, George W, Bush, Christopher Borick, ” Borick, it’s, Marc Levy Organizations: U.S . Senate, Democratic, Israel, Biden, Trump, Senate, West, Republicans, Hamas, CBS, American Israel Public Affairs Committee, Foreign, Jewish Community Center, Army, Pennsylvania, Jewish, Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Locations: HARRISBURG, Pa, Pennsylvania, Israel, Gaza, Iran, U.S, Afghanistan, Pennsylvania's, Michigan, Wisconsin, Rust, West Virginia, Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, Allentown
Those “place-based” policies are often directed at former industrial strongholds that were battered by automation and foreign competition. They are a cornerstone of Mr. Biden’s economic agenda across several major pieces of legislation he has signed and a big part of his re-election pitch. Whether voters perceive them as successful could affect Mr. Biden’s chances in November, particularly in industrial swing states like Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Mr. Biden “came to office determined to invest in all of America, to leave no community behind. It is working,” Ms. Brainard plans to say, according to a copy of her prepared remarks.
Persons: Biden’s, Lael Brainard, Biden “, ” Ms, Brainard, Organizations: Economic Council, Brookings Institution Locations: Pennsylvania, Milwaukee, Wis, Biden’s, Washington, Wisconsin, America,
Everything was getting bigger — its cultural influence, geopolitical ambition, population — and seemed poised to continue until the world was remade in China's image. But now China's economy is withering, and the future Beijing imagined is being cut down to size along with it. What Beijing does — or fails to do — to fight this malaise will determine the course of humanity for decades to come. China's deflation worries started in earnest in the summer. Years of overbuilding — by about double the population, according to some estimates — and slowing population growth caused prices to collapse .
Persons: Minxin Pei, there's, Charlene Chu, Autonomous Research Charlene Chu, Chu, Wei Yao, Générale, I'm, Ben Bernanke, Bernanke, Xi Jinping, Xie Huanchi, Société Générale's Yao, Yao, It's, , aren't, Logan Wright, Wright, Xi doesn't, Jinping, it's, Xi, Claremont's Pei, magnanimity Organizations: Claremont McKenna College, Autonomous Research, Federal Reserve, Getty Images Japan, Chinese Communist Party, Xi, CCP Locations: China, Beijing, dauphin, Xinhua, Japan, Xi's China, East Asia, Taiwan, Europe
SAINT PETERSBURG, RUSSIA - 2022/06/15: Novatek Logo seen on the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum 2022 (SPIEF 2022). (Photo by Maksim Konstantinov/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)A fire broke out at a Baltic Sea terminal belonging to Novatek, Russia's largest liquefied natural gas producer, regional officials said on Sunday, amid reports of explosions and Ukrainian drone sightings in the area. "There were no casualties as a result of the fire at the Novatek terminal in the port of Ust-Luga. St. Petersburg-based news outlet Fontanka said at least two drones were spotted in the sky flying towards St. Petersburg before the terminal caught fire. That came a day after an attack on a Russian Baltic Sea oil terminal that Russian officials said was unsuccessful.
Persons: Maksim Konstantinov, Alexander Drozdenko, Drozdenko, Fontanka, Novatek Organizations: St ., Economic, Getty, Leningrad region's, Moscow, Kyiv Locations: SAINT PETERSBURG, RUSSIA, St, St . Petersburg, Novatek, Finland, Ust, Leningrad, Petersburg, Russia, Ukraine, Russia's, Bryansk, Baltic, Russian
Samuel Corum/Bloomberg via Getty ImagesWASHINGTON — The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau on Wednesday unveiled long-awaited changes to how the nation's biggest banks structure overdraft protection plans. Since 2000, American consumers have paid an estimated $280 billion in bank overdraft fees, according to CFPB data. During that time, the annual revenue big banks derived from overdraft fees soared, helped along by the boom in consumer debit cards tied directly to checking accounts. Taken together, these banks typically account for more than 80% of the overdraft fees charged in any given year. Banking trade groups deeply opposed to any changes in the overdraft rules have already begun to mobilize opposition, which is only expected to grow.
Persons: Washington . Samuel Corum, Joe Biden, Parks, Lael Brainard, Andrew Caballero, Reynolds, CFPB, Biden Organizations: Consumer Financial, Bloomberg, Getty Images WASHINGTON, National Economic, White, AFP, Getty, Banking, Consumer Bankers Association Locations: Washington ., Washington ,
Former U.K. Prime Minister Gordon Brown said Wednesday that the U.S. and other powerful nations must "persuade countries, not dictate to them" in an increasingly multipolar world. Much of the conversation at this week's World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, has focused on a breakdown of trust between populations and world leaders, and how to restore it. Allianz CEO Oliver Bäte told CNBC Tuesday that an "increasing detachment of the political elite from the working class" was the "number one risk for our societies." It's no longer neoliberal economics, it's more mercantilist economics, states doing their own thing, and protectionist trade policies have become 'in' and we've seen a retreat from globalization," Brown told CNBC on the sidelines of WEF. Brown told CNBC Wednesday that he still believes this should be the template for establishing lasting peace in the region, but that it is "incredibly difficult because nobody is trusting each other at the moment."
Persons: Gordon Brown, Oliver Bäte, Brown, Tony Blair, you've, we've, Netanyahu, Mahmoud Abbas, Ehud Olmert, Saudi King Abdullah bin Abdulaziz Al Saud Organizations: Economic, Allianz, CNBC Locations: Davos, Switzerland, WEF, America, Africa, Ukraine, Gaza, Israeli, Saudi, Israel, Palestinian
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