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☆ Indian rupee to nudge higher at open, avoiding losses in Asian peers
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-21 | by ( Nimesh Vora | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

MUMBAI, June 21 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is likely to open slightly higher to the U.S. dollar on Wednesday, shrugging off a decline in other Asian currencies. Non-deliverable forwards (NDF) indicate the rupee will open at 82.06-82.08, up slightly from 82.1175 in the previous session. The USD/INR NDF has not reacted to another round of losses for the Chinese yuan and the move higher on USD/Asia overall, a forex trader at a private bank said. The offshore Chinese yuan dropped below 7.20 to the dollar, the lowest since November 2022. The offshore Chinese yuan has lost 1% this month to add to the 3% decline in May.

Persons: shrugging, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Nimesh Vora, Sonia Cheema Organizations: U.S, NDF, Korean, U.S . Federal, ANZ, Brent, Thomson Locations: MUMBAI, Asia, U.S

☆ Rupee to rise after dollar's biggest fall in over three months
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-16 | by ( Sethuraman N R | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Non-deliverable forwards indicate the rupee will open at around 81.93-81.96 to the U.S. dollar, compared with its spot close of 82.1750 in the previous session. Meanwhile, the dollar index hit a five-week low on Thursday and saw its worst one-day session since March 13 after a hawkish European Central Bank (ECB) signalled more rate hikes. The rupee should see some appreciation on Friday, which should also benefit from the yuan's move, a trader with foreign bank said. The rupee has gained about 0.35% so far this week, benefiting from likely corporate dollar inflows. 14** NSDL data shows foreign investors sold a net $2.5mln worth of Indian bonds on Jun.

Persons: Srinivas Puni Organizations: U.S . Federal, U.S ., European Central Bank, QuantArt, Brent, Sethuraman NR, Thomson Locations: BENGALURU, Bengaluru

☆ Indian rupee likely higher, awaits Fed rate decision
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

BENGALURU, June 14 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is expected to open higher on Wednesday after U.S. inflation data reaffirmed views that the Federal Reserve will likely keep interest rates unchanged in June. Non-deliverable forwards indicate the rupee will open at around 82.22-82.24 to the U.S. dollar, compared with 82.3675 in the previous session. Data earlier this month offered a mixed picture of the U.S. labor market, while some Fed officials have called for a pause. Post the CPI data, the odds of a Fed rate hike in June have fallen to 8% from 25% on Tuesday. "We think it will be a hawkish pause as the Fed emphasizes that the hiking cycle might not be done.

Persons: Sonia Cheema Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S ., CPI, DBS, Nasdaq, Brent, Sethuraman NR, Thomson Locations: BENGALURU, Asia, Bengaluru

☆ Rupee likely higher; awaits pivotal US inflation data, eyes yuan
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-13 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

MUMBAI, June 13 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is expected to open slightly higher on Tuesday ahead of key U.S. inflation data, which analysts reckon may prove instrumental in the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates. Non-deliverable forwards indicate rupee will open at around 82.40 to the U.S. dollar compared with 82.43 in the previous session. India's inflation was positive for the rupee "on the margins" and "now let's see how U.S. data plays out", the trader added. The U.S. inflation data is due later in the day, with economists polled by Reuters projecting a 0.4% on-month increase in the core inflation rate. The dollar index was barely changed at near 103.50 while the 2-year U.S. yield dropped to 4.55%.

Persons: Nimesh Vora, Dhanya Ann Thoppil Organizations: U.S, People's Bank of, Reserve Bank of India, Reuters, ANZ, Brent, Thomson Locations: MUMBAI, People's Bank of China, U.S

☆ Rupee seen higher on dollar slump as data backs Fed rate pause
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-09 | by ( Nimesh Vora | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

MUMBAI, June 9 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is poised to open higher on Friday, tracking losses on the dollar after a jump in U.S. jobless claims made it more likely that the Federal Reserve will refrain from raising rates next week. Non-deliverable forwards indicate the rupee will open at around 82.44-82.46 to the U.S. dollar compared with 82.5625 in the previous session. "The data further support market expectation for a pause by the U.S. Fed at its next meeting," OCBC Treasury Research said in a note. The odds of a Fed rate hike at the June 13-14 meeting is now at 1-in-4. 7** NSDL data shows foreign investors bought a net $18.1mln worth of Indian bonds on Jun.

Persons: Nimesh Vora, Nivedita Organizations: Federal, U.S, Reserve Bank of, Fed, Research, Brent, Thomson Locations: MUMBAI, U.S, Asia

☆ Rupee to rise more after dollar's biggest fall in a month
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-02 | by ( Nimesh Vora | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

MUMBAI, June 2 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is expected to open higher on Friday after the dollar index saw its worst session in almost a month on upbeat risk and wagers that the U.S. Federal Reserve will not raise rates at the June meeting. Non-deliverable forwards indicate rupee will open at around 82.30-82.32 to the U.S. dollar compared with 82.4050 in the previous session. The rupee on Thursday had its best day in almost two months, led by a surprisingly strong domestic GDP reading. The dollar index on Thursday dropped 0.6% to near 103.50, the worst session since May 3. "A strong jobs reading.. could easily swing things back in favour of a hike," ING Bank said in a note.

Persons: Nimesh Vora, Dhanya Ann Thoppil Organizations: U.S . Federal, U.S, Street Journal, ING Bank, Brent, Thomson Locations: MUMBAI, U.S

☆ Risks on Indian rupee seen on the downside in wake of yuan's plunge
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-31 | by ( Nimesh Vora | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

MUMBAI, May 31 (Reuters) - The bias on the Indian rupee is seen on the downside in Wednesday's trading session after the Chinese yuan dropped to a fresh six-month low to the U.S. dollar. Non-deliverable forwards indicate the rupee will open slightly weaker than 82.71 in the previous session. "Looking at the yuan, you would have to say a move higher (on USD/INR) is more likely," a spot trader said. Data showed that China's factory activity contracted faster than expected in May on weakening demand, pushing Asian shares and U.S. equity futures lower. 29** NSDL data shows foreign investors sold a net $43.7mln worth of Indian bonds on May.

Persons: Joe Biden, Kevin McCarthy, Nimesh Vora, Sohini Goswami Organizations: U.S ., U.S . Federal Reserve, ANZ, Brent, Thomson Locations: MUMBAI, Hong Kong, China, .

☆ Indian rupee poised to weaken after central bank pulls 2,000-rupee notes
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-22 | by ( Nimesh Vora | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

MUMBAI, May 22 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is expected to open weaker against the U.S. dollar after the central bank said it will withdraw the highest value currency note from circulation. Non-deliverable forwards indicate rupee will open at around 82.80-82.84 to the dollar, compared to 82.66 in the previous session. On Friday, the Reserve Bank of India said it will withdraw its highest denomination 2,000-rupee note from circulation. "Rupee would come under pressure" alongside the fall in the cost of carry (the forward premiums), Goenka said. "Conducting sell/buy swaps (on USD/INR) would address cash dollar shortage and suck out rupee liquidity and could offer respite."

☆ Indian rupee to resume decline as yuan slides to 7/dollar
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-17 | by ( Nimesh Vora | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

MUMBAI, May 17 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is expected to decline on Wednesday after the Chinese yuan dropped to its lowest level this year to the U.S. dollar. Non-deliverable forwards indicate that the rupee will open at around 82.28-82.30 to the U.S. dollar, compared with 82.2050 in the previous session. The offshore yuan, bogged down by the resurgent dollar, dropped below 7 to the dollar for the first time this year. U.S. retail sales rose 0.4% month-on-month in April, with control retail sales up by a robust 0.7%. 15** NSDL data shows foreign investors sold a net $43.2mln worth of Indian bonds on May.

☆ Indian rupee to see more losses on dollar spike and higher U.S. yields
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-15 | by ( Nimesh Vora | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

MUMBAI, May 15 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is expected to weaken on Monday, adding to last week's losses, tracking a rally on the dollar index and higher U.S. yields on worries surrounding U.S. inflation. The dollar index climbed 0.6% on Friday to reach its highest level in a month and the two-year U.S. yield was back to nearly 4%. Renewed worries over the inflation outlook in the U.S. pushed yields higher and supported demand for the dollar. "Their assessments of whether recent labour market and inflation data support pausing in June or not will be scrutinised," ANZ said in a note. India's inflation data was "supportive" of the rupee in the medium term, the trader said.

☆ Indian rupee headed higher on weak dollar, fall in US yields; Fed awaited
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-03 | by ( Nimesh Vora | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

MUMBAI, May 3 (Reuters) - Indian rupee is expected to open higher on Wednesday, boosted by a broad decline on the U.S. dollar and plunge in yields amid worries over the U.S. banking sector. Non-deliverable forwards indicate the rupee will open at around 81.76-81.80 to the dollar compared to 81.88 in the previous session. The rupee reached 81.7225 on Tuesday, before dollar bids by public sector banks, probably for the Reserve Bank of India, prompted it to reverse course. The U.S. Federal Reserve will most likely raise rates by 25 basis points later in the day, interest rate futures indicate. Investors will be eyeing the U.S. central bank's forward guidance to assess the path ahead for interest rates.

☆ Indian shares set to open higher as strong earnings lift mood
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-24 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

BENGALURU, April 24 (Reuters) - Indian shares were set to open higher on Monday as improved quarterly results from heavyweights Reliance Industries Ltd (RELI.NS) and ICICI Bank Ltd(ICBK.NS) eased some concerns over a lacklustre start to the earnings season. India's most valuable company, Reliance Industries reported 19% growth in fourth-quarter profit, aided by the strong performance in oil-to-chemicals (O2C) segment, post market hours on Friday. Private lender ICICI Bank posted a 30% jump in net profit in the March quarter, helped by improved net interest income and loan growth. The strong earnings of the two companies, which account for nearly 20% of the total weightage in Nifty 50, could improve the sentiment soured by the weak earnings and outlook of top information technology companies, analysts added. Stocks to Watch:** Yes Bank Ltd (YESB.NS): Lender's net profit slumps 45% in the March quarter on higher provisions.

☆ INDIA RUPEE Rupee to weigh robust US activity data, support at 82.25/USD
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-24 | by ( Nimesh Vora | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

MUMBAI, April 24 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is likely to open little changed to the U.S. currency on Monday, amid upbeat U.S. data and expectations that the local currency will manage to hold a near-term support level. Non-deliverable forwards indicate the rupee will open nearly unchanged to the previous session's level of 82.09. The local currency declined last week, halting a four week winning streak and was in a 81.88 to 82.25 range. "The U.S data may have dampened thoughts about Fed rate cuts later this year," ING Bank said in a note. There is a slew of data this week to help investors assess the likely direction for U.S. rates.

☆ INDIA RUPEE Rupee to inch up ahead of key US inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-12 | by ( Nimesh Vora | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The non-deliverable forwards indicate the rupee will open at around 82.06-82.10 to the U.S. dollar compared with 82.12 in the previous session. Heading into the data, investors are pricing in a 70% chance that the Fed will raise rates by 25 bps points at the May meeting. The India inflation data is due a few hours before the U.S. number. India's consumer inflation rate likely softened in March to 5.80%, dipping below the Reserve Bank of India's upper tolerance limit of 6% for the first time this year, according to a Reuters poll. "India inflation is way less important (than U.S.) for how the rupee will open tomorrow," the spot trader said.

☆ India NSE's IPO plan stumbles at market watchdog's door - sources
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-11 | by ( Jayshree P Upadhyay | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) has formed an internal view that due to the pending cases it won't approve NSE's application made last year for an IPO, the sources said. “Till the legal and regulatory issues are cleared there is no chance that SEBI will approve NSE's IPO plans,” said one of the sources, who is a senior regulatory official. A delayed NSE IPO will test the patience of its core shareholders - banks, insurance companies and foreign funds - who have been waiting for an exit opportunity in rising markets. The regulator's reluctance to approve NSE's IPO has not been previously reported. These include whether certain brokers made unfair gains due to preferential access to NSE’s trading systems and another lapse in NSE’s trading architecture, the source said.

☆ INDIA RUPEE Rupee contends with Fed rate hike possibility, favourable momentum at open
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Non-deliverable forwards indicate rupee will open at around 81.84-81.88 to the dollar, compared with 81.8850 in previous session. Rupee is on a three-week winning run, helped by foreign equity inflows and speculative positions, according to traders. It was the first time in two months that it has managed a weekly close of above 82. Risk appetite has held up well to the increased chances of another Fed rate hike. 5** NSDL data shows foreign investors sold a net $138.4mln worth of Indian bonds on Apr.

☆ Indian shares set to open lower ahead of RBI policy decision
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-06 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

BENGALURU, April 6 (Reuters) - Indian shares are poised to open lower on Thursday, ahead of what many expect to be the Reserve Bank of India's final interest rate hike in the current cycle. India's NSE stock futures listed on the Singapore exchange were down 0.12% at 17,603 as of 7:59 a.m. IST. The MSCI's gauge of the broader index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) was down 0.42%. ** Equitas Small Finance Bank Ltd (EQUI.NS): Co posts 36% YoY growth in gross advances at 280.61 billion rupees in the quarter-ended March. ** Avenue Supermarts Ltd (AVEU.NS): Co posts standalone revenue from operations at 103.37 billion rupees for the quarter-ended March, up 20% YoY; total stores at 324.

☆ INDIA RUPEE Indian rupee to strengthen as weak US data pushes dollar to 2-month low
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-05 | by ( Nimesh Vora | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

MUMBAI, April 5 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is expected to rise against the U.S. currency on Wednesday as weak manufacturing and job openings data dented demand for the dollar. The non-deliverable forwards indicate the rupee will open at around 82.08-82.12 to the U.S. dollar, compared with 82.3325 on Monday. The dollar index overnight dropped to its lowest level since Feb. 2. Data overnight showed U.S. job openings dropped to their lowest level in nearly two years in February, indicating that the Fed rate hikes were cooling off the U.S. labour market. The job openings release comes on the back of data that showed that U.S. manufacturing activity slumped in March to the lowest level in nearly three years.

☆ INDIA RUPEE Rupee to weaken as oil prices jump on unexpected OPEC+ output cut
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-03 | by ( Nimesh Vora | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

MUMBAI, April 3 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is expected to open lower versus the U.S. dollar on Monday after a surprise production cut by OPEC+ fuelled a jump in oil prices. The non-deliverable forwards indicate the rupee will open at around 82.35-82.40 to the U.S. dollar compared with 82.1650 in the previous session. A rise in oil prices directly affects the Indian economy and the rupee as the country imports about 83% of its oil requirements, said Anil Bhansali, head treasury at Finrex Treasury Advisors. According to estimates by some economists, a 10% hike in oil prices leads to an increase in India’s current account deficit by 0.3% to 0.5% of the GDP. Apart from oil prices, the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) policy decision on Thursday and the U.S. jobs report on Friday will be key for the rupee this week.

☆ INDIA RUPEE Rupee to strengthen after Fed hints rate hikes nearing end
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-23 | by ( Anushka Trivedi | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The non-deliverable forwards indicate the rupee will open at around 82.45-82.50 to the dollar compared to 82.6550 on Tuesday. Even though the Fed statement was perceived as slightly dovish compared to its stance earlier this month, it's unlikely the rupee will sustain its gains as we're expecting large dollar bids, said a state-run bank trader. Traders may be anticipating a dollar liquidity crunch in the domestic markets, and hence the rupee is expected to fall towards 82.65-levels, he added. Fed funds futures traders imply a nearly even chance of just one more 25 bps rate hike at the May meeting. "Much of the damage seems to have come from Treasury Secretary Yellen's parallel remarks... right when Jerome Powell was insisting that the banking sector was sound," ING analysts said in a note.

☆ Indian shares set for muted start as Powell reiterates hawkish message
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-09 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

BENGALURU, March 9 (Reuters) - Indian shares are set for a muted open on Thursday, on concerns of a prolonged high-interest rate regime after U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell reiterated his hawkish stance on the second day of congressional testimony. Indian shares extended gains for a third session in a row on Wednesday, in contrast to global peers. Indian equities are likely to remain rangebound ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy decision on March 22, two analysts said. ** Adani Enterprises (ADEL.NS), Adani Power (ADAN.NS), Adani Wilmar (ADAW.NS): NSE places three group firms under short-term additional surveillance measures from March 1. ($1 = 81.9910 Indian rupees)Reporting by Bharath Rajeswaran in Bengaluru; editing by Eileen SorengOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

The non-deliverable forwards indicate the rupee will open at around 82.05-82.10 to the U.S. dollar compared with 81.91 in the previous session. These were Powell's first comments following the higher-than-expected U.S. January inflation data. He seemed to acknowledge that "disinflationary process" he spoke of repeatedly in a Feb. 1 news conference was not unfolding smoothly. Powell's comments pushed up the probability of a half a percentage point hike at the upcoming March meeting to 72%. 3** NSDL data shows foreign investors sold a net $122.4 mln worth of Indian bonds on Mar.

☆ Indian shares set to open higher on improved risk sentiment
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-06 | by ( Bharath Rajeswaran | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

BENGALURU, March 6 (Reuters) - Indian shares are set to open higher on Monday after strong economic data from the United States and investment in the Adani group of companies boosted risk appetite. Indian shares logged weekly gains on Friday after U.S. boutique investment firm GQG Partners' $1.87 billion investments in Adani group stocks spurred a broad-based rally and improved risk sentiment. ** Info Edge (INED.NS): Co's unit to invest 52 mln rupees in Sploot, a platform for pet parenting. ** Kansai Nerolac (KANE.NS): Co approves acquisition of 40% of total shareholding of Nerofix from Polygel for 370 mln rupees. ($1 = 81.6800 Indian rupees)Reporting by Bharath Rajeswaran in Bengaluru; Editing by Eileen SorengOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Indian shares set for subdued start on U.S. rate hike fears
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-27 | by ( Bharath Rajeswaran | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The data heightened fears among investors that the Fed might have to keep rates higher for longer to tackle inflation. Indian equities logged their worst week in over eight months on Friday amid fears of aggressive interest rate hikes by global central banks and a fall in liquidity. STOCKS TO WATCH** Power Grid (PGRD.NS): Co accords multiple investment approvals worth 8.04 bln rupees. ** IRB Infrastructure (IRBI.NS): Co gets Letter of Award from National Highways Authority of India for projects worth 21.32 bln rupees. ** Phoenix Mills (PHOE.NS): Co's unit completes acquisition of a prime land parcel in Kolkata for 4.13 bln rupees.

☆ Indian shares set for muted start on U.S. rate hike worries, geopolitical concerns
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-20 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

BENGALURU, Feb 20 (Reuters) - Indian shares were set for a muted start on Monday, on worries that the U.S. Fed would go higher for longer with interest rates, while rising concerns after North Korea fired more ballistic missiles further dampened investor mood. India's NSE stock futures listed on the Singapore exchange were up 0.14% at 17,961.50 as of 7:58 a.m. IST. Investors await the minutes of the Fed's meeting, due on Wednesday, to gauge the U.S. central bank's future rate hiking path. Talks of Russia ramping-up attacks in Ukraine ahead of the one-year anniversary of its invasion also added to geopolitical concerns. read more($1 = 82.7310 Indian rupees)Reporting by Bharath Rajeswaran in Bengaluru; Editing by Nivedita BhattacharjeeOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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