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It reports earnings this week and traders are expecting a monster move. Customers can browse a large inventory of used vehicles on Carvana's website, complete with detailed photos, 360-degree views, and vehicle history reports. Their model eliminates most of the negative associations of used car dealers by offering convenience, transparency, and a hassle-free car buying experience without the used car salesman. The company's stock fell more than 80% from February 2020 in the pandemic plunge before rallying 1600% on record used car margins caused by supply constraints due to pandemic shutdowns. CVNA YTD mountain Carvana (YTD) Carvana will report earnings this coming Wednesday after the bell and the 18% earnings-related implied move ranks near the top of the Russell 1000 companies regarding earnings volatility.
Persons: Carvana, Russell, I'm Organizations: Carvana, Machines, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
The Nasdaq-100 has seen significant profit taking as many investors have trimmed their exposure to the Mag 7. Volatility and carnage in the Nasdaq should persist causing more sellers to sell tech stocks. Here is an options strategy to profit on this additional plunge in Tech. However, the move ran out of gas into the closing bell, and the QQQ finished back in the red. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: Russell, Tesla Organizations: Nasdaq, Nvidia, Meta, Dow, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: Tech
A subsequent pullback saw the price bounce off that breakout level, which also lined up with the 50-day moving average. This is a sector full of low-volatility, high yielding stocks that have often provided downside protection in down market phases. ES just broke to a new three-month high this week, and the stock features a dividend yield around 4.5%. When the broad market averages take a bearish turn, equity investors are often best served by getting defensive. These three stocks feature improving technical profiles, along with dividend yields well above the average for the S & P 500.
Persons: Philip Morris, BTI, Eversource, we've, David Keller Organizations: American Tobacco PLC, Eversource Energy, Eversource, Nasdaq, CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: U.S, British American
Lamb Weston was the worst-performing stock in the S & P 500 on Wednesday on the back of disappointing quarterly results. The Idaho-based supplier of frozen potato, sweet potato, appetizer and vegetable products to restaurants said fully diluted earnings per share fell more than 70% from the year-earlier period. Consequently, the stock price fell over 28% on Wednesday. At ~ 1.2x price to sales, Lamb Weston is the cheapest it has been in the past ten years. Some of that increase is justifiable; the company demonstrated considerably higher operating volatility than they or investors expected, and the debt-to-equity increase as a function of the stock price decline is also a contributor.
Persons: Lamb Weston, they're, Berkshire Hathaway, Charlie Munger Organizations: Berkshire, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: Idaho
Follow our Olympics coverage in the lead-up to the Paris Games. The Paris Games will have more programming hours on the NBC broadcast network than any previous Olympics. NBC is upping its celebrity presence for its Olympic coverage in Paris, headlined by Snoop Dogg. “Research shows that it is a challenge to keep viewers after 10 p.m. ET,” NBC Olympics producer Rob Hyland said. NBCUniversal owns the U.S. media rights to the Olympic Games through 2032, so Paris (2024), Milan-Cortina (2026), Los Angeles (2028) and Brisbane (2032).
Persons: Peacock, Molly Solomon, NBC’s, , ” Solomon, Solomon, Snoop, Snoop Dogg, Christian Petersen, Kelly Clarkson, Peyton Manning, Mike Tirico, Alex Cooper, Leslie Jones, Kevin Hart, Kenan Thompson, Colin Jost, Cooper, Simone Biles, Manning, Ryan Crouser, Jones, Katie Ledecky, Sha’Carri Richardson, Lily Collins, Anna Hall, Ledecky, LeBron James, Sydney McLaughlin, Kelly Campbell, Peacock’s, Scott Hanson, Andrew Siciliano, Jac Collinsworth, Matt Iseman, Akbar Gbajabiamila, , Al Michaels, Mark Lazarus, Sanya Richards, Ross, Rowdy Gaines, Tim Daggett, Laurie Hernandez, Samantha Peszek, Misty, Julie Foudy, Dwyane Wade, LaChina Robinson, Michael Phelps, Dan Hicks, Gaines, Maddie Meyer, they’ll, Rob Hyland, Andres Cantor, Rebecca Lowe, Craig Melvin, Ahmed Fareed, Damon Hack, Maria Taylor, Cara Banks, Laura Britt, Trenni Casey, Lindsay Czarniak, Carolyn Manno, Kathryn Tappen, John Roethlisberger, “ John, He’s, , breaststroker Lilly King wagged, Ryan Murphy, Sunny Choi, Victor Montalvo, Joe Gesue, Ron Vaccaro, NBCU, it’s, NBCUniversal, Rick Cordella, Dan Goldfarb, Stuart Franklin Organizations: Paris, NBC, Paris Games, U.S, Tokyo Olympics, Olympics, NBC Olympics, NBC’s, Getty, NBC Sports, Tokyo Games, Beijing, Games, USA, CNBC, Golf Channel, Telemundo, Universo, NBCOlympics.com, , , NFL, NBCUniversal Media, Paris La Défense, Research, Olympic, Grand Palais, Concorde, NBC Sports ’, Olympic Games, Cortina Locations: Paris, Beijing, Pyeongchang, South Korea, Central, Pacific, U.S, Paris ”, Teahupo’o, Tahiti, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, China, Rio, Tokyo, Peacock, United States, Versailles, Grand, London, Russian, Norway, South Carolina, Milan, Los Angeles, Brisbane, French
XOM is within 7% of its 52-week high of $123.75 from April 12, which also is its all-time high. However, that same volatile trading range since April has become part of a much larger potential bullish pattern — which is best seen on this weekly chart. The area shaded in yellow is the same bullish pattern highlighted above. In other words, a breakout to new highs now finally would help extend the 14-year bullish pattern breakout (2008-2022). The best-case scenario, then, would be seeing XOM breakout on both an absolute and relative basis.
Persons: XOM, It's Organizations: Exxon Mobil, Chevron, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
Heading into earnings next week, Microsoft is positioned to continue capitalizing on the growing demand for artificial intelligence and cloud computing services, underscored by the cloud revenue growth reported by Alphabet this week. The company's leading position in the AI and cloud computing makes it a compelling earnings trade for next week. MSFT has recently pulled back to a significant support level at $430, which has previously acted as a resistance. This pullback provides a favorable entry point with reduced downside risk after bouncing off that level this week. Microsoft's relative strength to the S & P 500 and momentum are also positive heading into earnings.
Persons: MSFT, Zhang Organizations: Microsoft, Industry, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: MSFT
Earnings season is heating up, as Tesla and Google-parent Alphabet are set to report their latest results after the bell Tuesday. I'm considering a bullish trade in QQQ for Wednesday — contingent on a positive market reaction to GOOG and TSLA earnings. This allows you to construct a $1 wide bull call spread and risk as little as $50 to make $50 per winning trade. I've suggested a 482-483 call spread because QQQ is trading at 482 as of writing this. If earnings are strong, QQQ will likely gap up and open at a higher price tomorrow.
Persons: QQQ, I've, Nishant Pant Organizations: Google, Nasdaq, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: QQQ
This reaction is especially encouraging, as it's happening during a tumultuous market environment with lots of geopolitical and domestic political uncertainty. Looking at Spotify, we own it in our growth portfolio at Inside Edge Capital, first adding the position in February 2023. Judging by this post-earnings reaction, I see the stock moving above $400 in coming months. -Todd Gordon, Founder of Inside Edge Capital, LLC DISCLOSURES: Gordon owns SPOT personally and in his wealth management company Inside Edge Capital. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: Todd Gordon, Gordon Organizations: Spotify, Netflix, Communication, Edge, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
A 'Trump trade' hedge using options
  + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The reason this matters to investors is the so-called Trump trade. The stock market did very well following former President Donald Trump's victory over Hillary Clinton in November 2016, but smaller businesses, in particular, were beneficiaries. When we listen to some of the policy ideas that Trump has discussed, such as measures intended to protect smaller U.S.-based businesses, companies in the small-cap Russell 2000 index stand to benefit. Since the June 27 debate, the Russell 2000 has outperformed the S & P 500 by more than 6 percentage points. So, investors must acknowledge that if Trump's path to victory against Harris or a potential unknown pinch-hitter is less certain, then uncertainty must, by extension, apply to the Trump trade.
Persons: Joe Biden, Biden, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump's, Hillary Clinton, Trump, Russell, Harris, Organizations: Trump, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: IWM
During earnings season, we can gain value from the charts by judging how stocks react to their reports. We are especially mindful of support and resistance levels, watching for breakouts and breakdowns as technical catalysts. This supports upside follow-through for IQV in the weeks ahead towards resistance from a Fibonacci retracement level near $258. We ultimately expect the stock to retest final resistance, near $285, with a long-term time horizon. Long-term support on the chart is defined by the weekly cloud model, which rises to roughly $215 next month.
Persons: Katie Stockton, Will Tamplin Organizations: IQVIA Holdings, IQV, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: IQV
From investors to airline travelers, many Americans are being forced to deal with the fallout of this giant IT outage . One-time cybersecurity darling Crowdstrike (CRWD) is getting the blame. CRWD 1D mountain CrowdStrike, 1 day Risk happens fast and for capturing volatility (either to the downside or upside), I prefer to use options to express a view. I want to sell the elevated option premium in CrowdStrike to seek to capitalize on this historic move. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
An update by cybersecurity firm CrowdStrike led to a major outage on Friday, the company told NBC, which impacted businesses globally. CrowdStrike said it is now in the process of rolling back the update that caused the issue. The confirmation came after widespread reports of technical issues across the world. Australian telecom firm Telstra said global issues affecting CrowdStrike and Microsoft were disrupting some of its systems. NBC Universal is also being affected by the CrowdStrike outage.
Persons: CrowdStrike Organizations: NBC, Microsoft, Windows, Airlines, London Stock Exchange, Sky News, CNBC, Comcast, Ryanair, Telstra, NBC Universal Locations: U.S
It's time to consider downside targets for A.I.-darling Nvidia. The first half of 2024 was all about stocks like Nvidia Corp. (NVDA) riding the A.I. On the short-term chart of NVDA, we can see a series of bearish engulfing patterns in mid-June and again in mid-July. And when the price returned to that price range earlier this month, we saw the same pattern of short-term distribution. This support level also lines up with a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the April to June rally phase, and also lines up with the 50-day moving average.
Persons: I'd, David Keller Organizations: A.I, Nvidia Corp, Nvidia, Nasdaq, CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
How to trade Netflix using options ahead of earnings
  + stars: | 2024-07-18 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
Netflix earnings are out after the bell Thursday. Breaking down Netflix fundamentals Netflix faces much more competition in the streaming industry than it did a few years ago. These concerns were valid, given that Netflix had accumulated over $10 billion in negative cash flow in the decade leading up to the pandemic through December 2019. Over the four fiscal years from 2020 to 2023, Netflix reported over $10 billion in free cash flow, reversing the negative cash flow of the previous decade. These calls, 8% out of the money, traded for $9 each, representing just under 1.4% of the current stock price.
Organizations: Netflix, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
The recent pullback in GOOGL's stock price offers an attractive entry point for investors looking to gain exposure to these high-growth areas. We'll review an options strategy to get long exposure while limiting overall risk. GOOGL has recently pulled back slightly within a strong bullish trend, creating an attractive risk reward to seek long exposure. The trade Options on Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) are not too cheap or expensive based on their implied volatility. To capitalize on the recent pullback and anticipated continued growth, I bought the August 30 $180/$200 Call Vertical for a $7.70 Debit.
Persons: GOOGL Organizations: Inc, YouTube, GOOGL, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
As is clear, that objective is considerably higher than the 2021 peak, which was the last time IWM made a new all-time high. The obvious question then would be this: If IWM does, in fact, make a new all-time high, what happens next? First, notice how well the IWM/SPX relative line performed as it rallied from a key low to a peak since 2011. Conversely, during the three times that IWM has broken out to new highs in absolute terms, the IWM/SPX relative line has declined soon thereafter. In fact, the relative line has been diverging from IWM for 13 years and hasn't made a higher high since 2011.
Persons: Russell, IWM, shouldn't, What's, hasn't, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: IWM
I feel like the stock has gone too far, too fast, however, and provide an options trade that wins if the shares pull back. Ross (ROST) has benefited significantly from this trend, with its stock rising by 20% over the past two-and-a-half months. Support and Resistance: Using basic support and resistance concepts, we can identify short-term resistance around the 150 level. With ROST trading around $148.08, my plan is to buy an at-the-money (ATM) put spread. Regardless of ROST's current trading price, my long strike will be set above the current price, and the short strike will be positioned below it.
Persons: ROST, Nishant Pant Organizations: Ross Stores, RSI, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
Shares of Hims & Hers (HIMS) , a digital consumer-facing health-care company, look poised to break out to a new all time high, according to the charts. HIMS announced in May a controversial weight loss injection product to compete with Lilly's Ozempic and Novo Nordisk's Wegovy. HIMS is not only marketing weight loss drugs, it has over one million subscribers using a wide variety of treatments. It's no secret that the total addressable market for weight loss drugs is gigantic. he volume was massive that day at over 70 million shares traded with average daily volume at round 18 million.
Persons: Howard Marks, HIMS, Lilly's, We've, Goldman Sachs, Eli Lilly's, Todd Gordon, Gordon Organizations: Capital Management, Novo Nordisk's Wegovy, Edge, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
—Katie Stockton with Will Tamplin Access research from Fairlead Strategies for free here . Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein. This material is not to be reproduced or redistributed absent the written consent of Fairlead Strategies.
Persons: DAL, Katie Stockton Organizations: Delta Air Lines, DAL, DeMARK, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities
Black swans and grey Swans refer to events that profoundly impact markets and economies due to their unpredictability and importantly potential for substantial disruption. Generally, black swans are rare and lie outside regular expectations, but they have a significant impact when they occur. Their rarity is what makes them unique and their impact, when they do occur, is significant. The 2008 "Great Financial Crisis", sometimes abbreviated as "The GFC", the 9/11 terrorist attacks, and the COVID-19 pandemic have been described by some as "black swans". Still, there are ways to maintain some upside exposure without taking all the downside risk other than hedging.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Biden Organizations: Sunday, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
Investors endured a historic move in U.S. equities Thursday as the Russell 2000 gained roughly 3.5% while the S & P 500 dropped almost 1%. Although the small-cap index has dragged the megacap driven S & P 500 for years, I believe now is the time to own the iShares Russell 2000 ETF . IWM .SPX YTD mountain iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) vs S & P 500 year-to-date Small caps seemingly benefited from Thursday's cooler-than-expected June consumer inflation report via CPI, signaling the Fed could kick off their interest rate cutting campaign in September now. Thursday was just the second day since 1979 when the Russell 2000 rose more than 3% while the S & P 500 declined. In the event the IWM does not move higher, an investor has to be prepared (with the cash) to own IWM for a longer term play.
Persons: Russell, IWM Organizations: CPI, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
Here I'll break down a nuanced options trade for on a transportation stock reporting next week. JB Hunt Transport Services, Inc . Unfortunately, this has been the case for JB Hunt lately. While I'm not prepared to call for a stellar quarter - economic pressures generally don't resolve quickly - much of the near-term damage may be done. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: you've, JB Hunt, Hunt, I'm Organizations: JB, Transport Services, Inc, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: you've, North America's, Lowell , Arkansas
The charts indicate the ETF could be nearing a substantial breakout attempt. The ETF is comprised of five industries: financial services (33%), banks (26%) capital markets (21%), insurance (16%) and consumer finance (4%). Daily Bullish Pattern First, here's the daily chart. The SPX finally eclipsed its 2007 high in 2013; the XLF reclaimed its 2007 high in 2021, but that didn't hold. Putting it all together, a successful daily pattern breakout also would help the much bigger weekly pattern break out, which would finally create distance from the 2007 high and prompt a multi-decade breakout.
Persons: Banks, XLF, it's, that's, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
Let's start with a longer-term chart of Morgan Stanley (MS) , which reports on July 16. A breakout above this level would be a clear bullish signal, with earnings as the catalyst. Morgan Stanley has been investing in building out its wealth management business for years and it now accounts for more than 51% of its revenue. The trade With low implied volatility, options on Morgan Stanley are relatively inexpensive. This strategy leverages the relatively low option premiums due to the low IV Rank, aligning with our bullish technical and fundamental thesis for Morgan Stanley.
Persons: Morgan Stanley Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
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