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Regardless, the major averages are set to close a losing month as higher yields and Fitch downgrades weighed on equities this month. "Further cooling in the labor market and the services sector," said Brian Ellis, portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley Investment Management. The labor report will be preceded by the July personal consumption expenditures, or PCE, report on Thursday. In fact, many investors expect that the Federal Reserve is probably done hiking rates here as policymakers await the effects of higher rates on the real economy. Increasingly, investors are looking for opportunities in income as they deal with the possibility of higher rates for longer.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Jackson, Jay Hatfield, Fitch downgrades, nonfarm, Brian Ellis, Powell, Morgan, Ellis, Ben Kirby, that's, Thornburg's Kirby, Campbell Organizations: Federal, Nvidia, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Capital Management, Dow Jones Industrial, FactSet, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Federal Reserve, Thornburg Investment Management, Labor, Investors, Dallas Fed, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, HP, ADP, Costco, PCE, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI, Dollar, Broadcom, Jobs, PMI, Manufacturing Locations: , Wyoming, U.S, cautiousness, Smucker, Chicago
Stocks vs. bonds: The best place to invest
  + stars: | 2023-08-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStocks vs. bonds: The best place to investBrian Weinstein, Morgan Stanley Investment Management global head of global fixed income, Bill Stones, Glenview Trusts co-CIO, join 'The Exchange' to discuss stocks vs. bonds, what is driving the surge in treasury bill rates, defensive plays in equities, and Berkshire's shares hitting all-time highs following earnings.
Persons: Brian Weinstein, Morgan, Bill Stones Organizations: Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Glenview Trusts
Employees knew they were getting promoted if Pick told them to wear a tie the following day, an ex-managing director recalled. While Morgan Stanley currently trades at a premium among its Wall Street peers, its enviable success isn't thanks to Pick. Succession has traditionally been a bloody sport on Wall Street, and Morgan Stanley is no exception. Gonzalo Marroquin/Patrick McMullan via Getty Images Show less Morgan Stanley investment management head and dark horse in the race for CEO, Dan Simkowitz. Despite enjoying the stock price gains under Gorman's reign, plenty of longtime employees want another dyed-in-the-wool Morgan Stanley loyalist, according to a former senior executive.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Ted Pick, Pick, Gucci loafers, Blackstone, Tony James, Morgan, James Gorman, Gorman, Andy Saperstein, Dan Simkowitz, John Mack, Ted, James, Phil Purcell, Mack, Purcell, Merrill Lynch, Paul Taubman, Colm Kelleher, coheads, Gonzalo Marroquin, Patrick McMullan, Saperstein, Euromoney, Parker Gilbert, He's, John, cohead, Bolu, Goldman Sachs, Pablo, tony, Betsey Kittenplan, Smith Barney, James cochairs, Jim Breyer, Anna Wintour, John Mack pranking Pick, John Waldron, Goldman, I'm, Howard Marks, Bill Parcells, atta, Brian Moynihan, aren't, David Solomon, Jamie Dimon's, Eaton Vance, he's, you've, Richard Drew, Organizations: Employees, Archegos Capital Management, Blackstone, McKinsey, Getty, Middlebury College, China Construction Bank, Harvard Business School, Mitsubishi, Wall, Autonomous Research, Anguilla, Agricultural Bank of China, Capital Management, Metropolitan Museum of Art, Vogue, New York Rangers, Oaktree Capital Management, Bloomberg, Staten, Disney, JPMorgan, Trade, AP Locations: China, Beijing, Manhattan, New York City, Caracas, Venezuela, Brookville, tony Long
However, according to Andrew Slimmon, senior portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, these are all reasons to be a "little cautious" following the busiest week for earnings. All reasons to get a little cautious on the market," Slimmon told CNBC's Squawk Box Asia Thursday. Microsoft and Alphabet kicked off earnings season last week for the mega-caps, while Apple and Amazon are set to report this week. "I am not negative on the mega-cap tech stocks," Slimmon said, acknowledging Microsoft's strong results . Slimmon pointed out that the broadening of investors' interests is also likely at play, adding further selling pressure to Big Tech stocks.
Persons: Andrew Slimmon, Slimmon, CNBC's, MSFT, there's, Slimmon's isn't, Janet Yellen, Morgan Stanley, steelmaker Organizations: Nasdaq, U.S . Federal, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Microsoft, Apple, Big Tech, Dow Jones, United, Treasury, Corp, JPMorgan, Ameriprise Locations: China, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEarnings growth will go positive and may boost stocks, says Morgan Stanley's Andrew SlimmonAndrew Slimmon, senior portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss earnings growth bringing upside to the market, investors averaging in cash on a monthly basis, and case for a bull market beginning.
Persons: Morgan Stanley's Andrew Slimmon Andrew Slimmon Organizations: Morgan Stanley Investment Management
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailYield curve sending a strong recessionary signal, says Wolfe's Chris SenyekBrian Weinstein, Morgan Stanley Investment Management global head of global fixed income, and Chris Senyek, Wolfe Research chief investment strategist, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss the consumer trade trends in the back half of 2024, consumer discretionary spending towards travel, and ten year yields moving higher off of inflation.
Persons: Chris Senyek Brian Weinstein, Morgan, Chris Senyek, Wolfe Organizations: Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Wolfe Research
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe yield curve is sending a strong recessionary signal, says Wolfe's Chris SenyekBrian Weinstein, Morgan Stanley Investment Management global head of global fixed income, and Chris Senyek, Wolfe Research chief investment strategist, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss the consumer trade trends in the back half of 2024, consumer discretionary spending towards travel, and ten year yields moving higher off of inflation.
Persons: Chris Senyek Brian Weinstein, Morgan, Chris Senyek, Wolfe Organizations: Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Wolfe Research
Andrew Slimmon of Morgan Stanley Investment Management says a "meaningful" correction may not happen right now. "But it's premature and the stock market is right now feeding off … those lower inflation month to month price," Slimmon added. Stock picks Nevertheless, there are pockets of opportunity in the market right now, according to Slimmon. He named three stocks to buy: American equipment rental company United Rentals , financial services company Ameriprise and building materials company CRH . "In my opinion, investors looking to get into the market will view the recent laggards as an opportunity to get more invested," he said of those three stocks.
Persons: it's, Andrew Slimmon, CNBC's, There's, you've, Slimmon, there's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nasdaq, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, U.S . Federal, Federal Reserve, Stock, United Rentals Locations: bullish
But for investors worried that more Fed rate hikes in the coming months could tip the economy into recession, fixed income might be a more attractive bet. "Municipal bond issuers appear well poised to weather a possible recession in 2023/24. Bank of America has the equivalent of a buy rating on several municipal bond ETFs, including JPMorgan Ultra-Short Municipal Income ETF (JMST) and the iShares National Muni Bond ETF (MUB) . Some large funds that could fit that description include the iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEI) , the Schwab Intermediate-Term US Treasury ETF (SCHR) and the Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF (VCIT). The actively managed Flexible Income ETF (BINC) launched in May and has about $76 million in assets so far, according to FactSet.
Persons: Michelle Cluver, Andrew Slimmon, Slimmon, Russell, Jared Woodard, Woodard, Cluver, Rick Rieder Organizations: Federal, Global, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, RSP, Nasdaq, Bank of America, JPMorgan Ultra, Muni Bond ETF, Treasury Bond ETF, Treasury, BlackRock
Hong Kong CNN —China’s state security authorities raided multiple offices of international advisory firm Capvision, state media reported Monday, part of a broader crackdown on the consulting industry as Beijing tightens control over what it considers sensitive information related to national security. The consultancy firm, which is headquartered in Shanghai and New York, adds to a growing list of global consulting companies that have been ensnared in Beijing’s widening crackdown on what it perceives as national security risks. In the report, Capvision was singled out as a “leading company” in the industry. According to state security police, he downloaded 5,000 documents from his state-owned company’s internal network. The authorities said he had provided clients with six pieces of information that were classified as state secrets, CCTV said.
"I do not see much upside in the market near-term," Slimmon, senior portfolio manager at the firm, said in notes sent to CNBC on Tuesday. Stocks to buy Slimmon said it's time to buy some "offensive" stocks. Offensive stocks are those that tend to do well when the market goes up, while defensive sectors are the sectors that outperform when the market goes down. "So I think it's very dangerous to own just very defensive stocks … I think you want some offensive in your portfolio," Slimmon told CNBC's " Squawk Box Asia " on Tuesday. Near-term opportunity Slimmon said there's one area he sees as a near-term opportunity: China.
Shopify announced Thursday that it is cutting 20% of staff and selling off its logistics business. Shopify's CEO Tobi Lütke announced early Thursday that the company is cutting 20% of its workforce and selling the majority of its logistics business to supply chain technology company Flexport. It's the right thing for Shopify but it negatively affects many team members who we admire and love working with. Analysts and insiders had also been expecting a major change to Shopify's logistics division, Insider reported Wednesday. But 6 River Systems, a warehouse automation and robotics company Shopify purchased in 2019 for $450 million, is being sold to UK grocery firm Ocado for an undisclosed sum.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed wants to 'keep the door open' to more rate hikes, says Morgan Stanley's Jim CaronJim Caron, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, joins 'Power Lunch' to react to the Fed's 25 basis point rate hike.
Morgan Stanley's Andrew Slimmon expects an economic slowdown in the U.S. will happen later than many have predicted. And I think that's when we will hit a slowdown and I suspect it's coming later than what many people have been predicting," said the senior portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley Investment Management. Here's what investors can buy and avoid in the face of that uncertainty, according to Slimmon. Be wary of 'very large' stocks He said he would be particularly cautious on "very large" stocks right now, referring to FAANG — Facebook (now Meta ), Amazon , Apple , Netflix and Google (now Alphabet ). "It's not a cheap stock, but to me, that's a defensive stock that you want to own in this environment as well."
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWeakened euro has fueled opportunity in foreign markets, says Centerstone's Abhay DeshpandeAndrew Slimmon, senior portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, and Abhay Deshpande, CIO at Centerstone Investors, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the dollar index under stress, offsetting cyclical stock with defensive ones, and investing in foreign markets.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Morgan Stanley's Andrew Slimmon and Centerstone's Abhay DeshpandeAndrew Slimmon, senior portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, and Abhay Deshpande, CIO at Centerstone Investors, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the dollar index under stress, offsetting cyclical stock with defensive ones, and investing in foreign markets.
Are we going to celebrate the end of Fed rate hikes because things have started to hit the fan?" Strategists pointed to Powell's comment that financial conditions may have tightened more than it appears in traditional market measures, which would be stocks and bond spreads. "Number one, he remains unwavering on inflation, and he does acknowledge he sees a tightening of credit conditions. Briggs also called out Powell's comments about the impact from credit tightening , and the effect those actions can have. "That tightening via credit conditions can take the place of hikes (and vice versa if we don't get tighter credit conditions)," he said. "
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. The banking turmoil in the U.S. — which appeared to be contained just yesterday — spread to Europe on Wednesday in the form of Credit Suisse. Tightening financial conditions and a slowdown in the economy are exactly what the Federal Reserve is hoping to engineer through its interest rate hikes. Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. The banking turmoil in the U.S. — which appeared to be contained just yesterday — spread to Europe on Wednesday in the form of Credit Suisse. Tightening financial conditions and a slowdown in the economy are exactly what the Federal Reserve is hoping to engineer through its interest rate hikes. Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.
2022 was the worst year the "60/40 portfolio" had since 1926 . But Morgan Stanley 's Jim Caron is unconvinced by the rally, calling the 60/40 strategy "a thing of the past." "But that was when interest rates were falling from 1980 to 2021. The logic of holding a 60/40 portfolio for the long term appears "broken," he wrote in a Feb. 13 note. The shift from a 2% [average fed funds rate] world to a 5% world means structurally higher inflation and interest rates," he said.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEarnings need to stop rising or valuations need to come down, says Zoe Financial's Andres Garcia-AmayaBrian Weinstein of Morgan Stanley Investment Management and Andres Garcia Amaya, CEO of Zoe Financial, join 'The Exchange' to discuss staples and utilities lagging in the market, theh market aligning with the Fed and anticipation of drops in valuation.
Morgan Stanley Investment Management's Andrew Slimmon says that stocks are set to rally further. The economy is proving to be "far more resilient" than what the doomsayers had projected, says managing director and senior portfolio manager Slimmon. Stocks went through a difficult year in 2022, with the S & P 500 plummeting nearly 20%. Slimmon predicted that the U.S. Federal Reserve will raise rates a few more times, before pausing. Stock picks Although growth stocks such as tech have bounced back this year, Slimmon says the "real opportunity" is in cyclical stocks.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMorgan Stanley's Slimmon says the 'real opportunity' is in this segment of stocksMorgan Stanley Investment Management's Managing Director Andrew Slimmon says that although growth stocks have bounced back, the "real opportunity" is in cyclical stocks. He names three to buy.
The six new offerings of U.S. and international stock funds and a short-term bond fund from Calvert, part of Morgan Stanley Investment Management (MSIM), is built with ESG considerations in mind. The last three quarters of 2022 were very difficult," said Anthony Rochte, global head of ETFs at Morgan Stanley Investment Management. While the number of ESG funds is growing rapidly, Calvert distinguishes itself by conducting its own ESG scoring rather than relying on an index provider's system, Rochte said. And it goes back to the differentiation and the active process they employ in designing the Calvert principles," Rochte said. Over time, Morgan Stanley will look at launching ETFs beyond the Calvert brand, Rochte said.
[1/3] A woman buys vegetables from a vendor at a market in the rampant food inflation, amid Sri Lanka's economic crisis, in Colombo, Sri Lanka, July 30 , 2022. REUTERS/Kim Kyung-HoonFeb 7 (Reuters) - The Paris Club of creditors has given financing assurances to support the International Monetary Fund's approval of an extended fund facility for Sri Lanka, the Sri Lankan president's office said on Tuesday. The financing assurances from the Paris Club, which includes Japan - Sri Lanka's second biggest bilateral lender - was previously reported by Reuters. "Members further expressed appreciation for the specific and credible financing assurances issued by India on Jan. 16, 2023 and its coordination with the Paris Club," the group's statement added. Sri Lanka has to restructure debt payments of about $13 billion on 11 international bonds.
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