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Read previewA historic surge of corporate bankruptcies is hitting Wall Street, with this year's volume of filings already above levels seen in the past 13 years, S&P Global Intelligence reported. When, earlier this year, hope was much stronger for a quick and significant reduction to interest rates, bankruptcies remained more subdued, S&P previously noted. AdvertisementYet, deteriorating consumer spending is also grinding down on corporate prospects. AdvertisementAmong notable June bankruptcies tracked by S&P Global, were the electric vehicle maker Fisker, as well as Redbox DVD rental operator Chicken Soup for the Soul Entertainment. That's followed by healthcare and industrials, S&P Global reported.
Persons: , Tacking, Mark Zandi, Zandi, That's Organizations: Service, P Global Intelligence, Business, Global, Federal Reserve, CNBC, Fed, Nike, Walgreens, P Global, Soul Entertainment
Semiconductor stocks and technology behemoths get all the acclaim when it comes to artificial intelligence, but RBC Capital Markets is offering up some alternate ways to play the theme. Other technology giants have followed suit, with Amazon closing above a $2 trillion market value for the first time ever last month. Against this backdrop, RBC Capital Markets highlighted some of its favorite ways to play the theme beyond the classic winners, viewing AI as the "next disruptive mega-trend." While the social media giant has already gotten a boost from the trend, RBC Capital Markets expects shares to benefit from a world where digital advertisers market toward AI and virtual assistants. RBC Capital Markets also highlighted a handful of software stocks that could win big as AI proliferates, viewing the tool as a "revenue enhancer and profitability expander" that may take three to five years to materialize.
Persons: behemoths, GenAI, CrowdStrike, Eaton, Thomson Organizations: RBC Capital Markets, Nvidia, RBC Capital, Adobe, Accenture, Thomson Reuters Locations: Shopify
"He caused the inflation," Trump said of Biden during the June 27 debate. "He decimated the economy, absolutely decimated the economy," Biden said. 'Neither Trump nor Biden is to blame'Global events beyond Trump's or Biden's control wreaked havoc on supply-and-demand dynamics in the U.S. economy, fueling higher prices, economists said. "In my view, neither Trump nor Biden is to blame for the high inflation," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics. For example, Trump imposed tariffs on imported steel, aluminum and several goods from China, which Biden largely kept intact.
Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Andrew Harnik, Trump, Biden, David Wessel, Mark Zandi, Mario Tama, Wessel, Zandi, Stephen Brown, , Michael Strain, Strain Organizations: Getty, Federal Reserve, Biden, Trump, Hutchins, Brookings Institution, Finance, Social Security, Medicare, Moody's, Port, International Monetary Fund, North, Capital Economics, American, American Enterprise Institute, Federal, U.S Locations: Atlanta, U.S, Ukraine, China, Port of Los Angeles, San Pedro , California, North America, It's
People seen filling water from Delhi Jal Board Tankers amid a water crisis in Delhi at Baljeet Nagar, on June 22, 2024. Severe water shortages in India could hurt its sovereign credit strength, according to Moody's Ratings, warning that the water crisis could lead to social unrest if the agriculture and industrial sectors are disrupted. Rapid industrialization and urbanization, coupled with a meteoric economic expansion, has led to severe water shortage. India relies substantially on monsoon rain for its water supply, but is also prone to severe and extreme weather conditionsDelhi, one of the world's most densely populated cities with over 200 million people, is knee-deep in a water crisis. "There are 2.8 million people in the city who are aching for just a drop of water," Delhi Water Minister Atishi was quoted as saying on Monday, a day before she ended her hunger strike over the water crisis, as her health deteriorated.
Persons: Moody's, Atishi Organizations: Delhi Jal Locations: Delhi, Baljeet, India
The three-bedroom property, built in 1924, listed earlier this month is worth $1.8 million but is currently priced at $488,000, according to The San Francisco Standard. The property will be sold as is, meaning the new owners will become the current tenants' new landlords. The San Francisco metro area is one of the most expensive place to live. To afford life in a big city like San Francisco, you'd have to make double what most Americans earn, according to a May Moody's Analytics analysis. The unusual sale is partly due to a family feud, according to The San Francisco Standard.
Persons: you'd, Sandra Lee, Cheryl Lee, Todd Lee, Sandra, didn't, Lee Organizations: San Francisco, San Francisco Standard, North, CNBC Locations: San Francisco's, San Francisco, Russia Hill
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWaFd Bank CEO: Fears in the commercial real estate are 'overblown'Brent Beardall, WaFd Bank CEO, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss the state of regional banks being downgraded by Moody's, and the headwinds in the sector.
Persons: Brent Beardall Organizations: WaFd, WaFd Bank
The unemployment rate, which has remained low for two years, has been inching higher in the first half of the year, according to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. For the first time since January 2022, the unemployment rate ticked to 4.0% last month, up from 3.9% in April. Even though the employment rate has reached the highest it has been in a couple of years, 4% is still historically low, experts point out. Economists say people shouldn't be too concerned because both the number of jobs and the size of the labor force are growing. May's unemployment rate was impacted heavily by people, particularly those who are between 20 and 24 years old, entering and reentering the workforce, according to Moody's Analytics head labor economist Marisa DiNatale.
Persons: Marisa DiNatale, DiNatale Organizations: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Google
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailProlonged high rates will be 'corrosive' to economy, says Moody's Mark ZandiMark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss expectations for Fed interest rates, economic signals for cuts, and more.
Persons: Mark Zandi Mark Zandi Organizations: Moody’s
Kevin Lamarque | ReutersImmigration — both authorized and unauthorized — has helped the U.S. job market sustain a fiery run in recent months without reigniting inflation, economists and analysts say. This dynamic — a heating job market and cooling inflation — is in part the result of increased inflows of immigrants. Typically, a hot labor market walks a tightrope that could easily collapse into reheated inflation. But the Brookings researchers recalculated the government's estimates — this time, factoring the impact of immigrants on the labor pool. They found that with immigration, the 2024 U.S. job market could safely absorb between 160,000 and 200,000 monthly job gains.
Persons: Joe Biden, Kevin Lamarque, Reuters Immigration —, , Dow Jones, Goldman Sachs, Michael M, Mark Zandi, Jerome Powell, Zandi, Mandel Ngan, Biden, Donald Trump, Brendan McDermid Organizations: U.S . Border Patrol, Reuters Immigration, of Labor Statistics, FedEx, Broadway, Santiago, Getty, CNBC, Brookings Institution, Brookings, U.S, International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers, Afp, White, Republican Locations: U.S, Mexico, Brownsville , Texas, New York City, United, Lanham , Maryland, United States, Las Vegas , Nevada
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRegional banks can 'earn their way out of risk' from commercial real estate: Janney's Chris MarinacChris Marinac, director of equity research at Janney Montgomery Scott, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss why he disagrees with Moody's downgrade of some regional banks, how investors can position, and more.
Persons: Chris Marinac Chris Marinac, Janney Montgomery Scott
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHigh exposure to commercial real estate poses a risk to regional banks, says Moody's Ana ArsovAna Arsov, co-head of financial institutions at Moody's Ratings, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss the health of regional banks, why Moody's recently downgraded eight regional banks, and more.
Persons: Moody's Ana Arsov Ana Arsov, Moody's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed has hit its objective, so they should lower rates: Moody's Mark ZandiMark Zandi, Moody's Analytics chief economist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss why the Federal Reserve should cut rates, the metrics it bases its decisions on, and more.
Persons: Mark Zandi Mark Zandi Organizations: Fed, Federal Reserve
Just two exchange-traded funds invest in the space — iShares Fallen Angels USD Bond ETF (FALN) and VanEck Fallen Angel High Yield Bond ETF (ANGL). FALN 1Y mountain iShares Fallen Angels USD Bond ETF one-year performance The iShares Fallen Angels USD Bond ETF and VanEck Fallen Angel High Yield Bond ETF track two different indexes. ANGL seeks to replicate the ICE US Fallen Angel High Yield 10% Constrained Index, while FALN tracks the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. High Yield Fallen Angel 3% Capped Index. In comparison, the Bloomberg U.S. High Yield Index has a 4.64% annualized return over the past 10 years, the firm said. Be aware of risks Fallen angel portfolios are generally much higher quality than their high-yield peers, said Morningstar's Evens.
Persons: , Zachary Evens, Evens, Jared Woodard, Stephen Laipply, Morningstar's, Laipply, FALN Organizations: Angels, Bond, SEC, Morningstar, Chartered Alternative Investment, Association, Bloomberg Barclays, Bank of, Bank of America, U.S, ICE, Bloomberg Barclays U.S ., Bloomberg U.S, Corporate, Broad Locations: Bank, BlackRock
Generating income with dividend stocks Dividend stocks have long been a staple of income investors' portfolios. Municipal bonds offer income that's free of federal tax, however. These names trade on exchanges like stocks, and they can offer dividend yields upward of 6%. Options strategies to create income Derivative income funds , such as the JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF (JEPI), gathered some $22 billion in 2023, according to Morningstar. Further, consider comparison shopping, as all "derivative income" funds have their own quirks and differences in strategies could affect their risk/return profile.
Persons: Janus Henderson, Walt Disney's, Amber Milam, Jefferies, It's, Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, Russell, Louis, Morningstar, Mike Mulach, Rick Rieder, he'd, Kathleen McNamara, there's, , Bill Gross, JEPI, Cash, Ashton Lawrence Organizations: Federal Reserve, Meta, Mobile, Bank of America, IBM, . Investment, Fitch, Credit, nab, ICE, Federal Reserve Bank of St, Louis Fed, UBS, UBS Wealth Management, York Life Investments, , JPMorgan, Mariner Wealth Advisors Locations: U.S, Greenville , South Carolina
The result is that class A units account for more than half the apartment market, compared with one-third in the early 2000s, according to Moody's Analytics. High-end apartments that offer amenities up the wazoo — and rent breaks, to boot — represent a tantalizing alternative to the for-sale market right now. But as with all good things, the golden age for America's wealthy renters must also come to an end. Nations told me she still hoped to buy a home one day. "I know how challenging it is to rent in Nashville, especially on your own," Nations told me.
Persons: Emily Nations, she's, Nicole Bachaud, Rich, Joel Sanders, Sanders, Doug Ressler, David Brasington, Ressler, they're, Organizations: Trinity, cabana, Nations, Analytics, University of Cincinnati, Census Locations: Nashville, downtown, Nations, New York, Salt Lake City, Atlanta, America, Houston, Austin, Phoenix, Charlotte, North Carolina, Raleigh , North Carolina, Tampa , Florida
watch nowWhat an investor home purchase meansIn this context, investors are defined as any institution or business that purchases residential real estate, according to Redfin. Investor share refers to the portion of homes purchased by investors over a certain period, said Chen Zhao, senior economist at Redfin. Part of the recent increase in real estate investor activity is due to seasonality, as more homes are typically sold during the spring, Walsh said. Sales began to decline as mortgage rates climbed, as higher interest rates affect both typical homebuyers and investors, he said. What investor interest means for buyers and rentersIf you're a consumer buying on the market, you are competing against investors on top of other typical homebuyers, Zhao explained.
Persons: Chen Zhao, Zhao, Matthew Walsh, there's, aren't, Moody's, Redfin's Zhao, Walsh, Sales Organizations: Investor, Parcl Labs, Moody's, Investors, CNBC Locations: U.S
Inflation in the euro zone rose to 2.6% in May, statistics agency Eurostat said Friday, but a higher-than-expected print did not sway market bets of an interest rate cut from the European Central Bank next week. Core inflation, excluding the volatile effects of energy, food, alcohol and tobacco, increased to 2.9% from 2.7% in April. The data comes with the ECB widely expected to cut interest rates at its June 6 meeting, the first reduction since 2019. While headline inflation increased in May, fluctuations in the rate have been forecast over the coming months due to base effects from the energy market and the unwinding of government fiscal support schemes across the bloc, . Staff are also due to release their latest round of inflation and growth projections at next week's meeting, providing more clues on the pace and level of potential cuts this year.
Persons: Klaas Knot, Kamil Kovar Organizations: Eurostat, European Central Bank, Reuters, ECB, Staff, Moody's, U.S . Locations: Corfu, Old Town, Greece, London
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInflation looks on track to get back to the Fed's target by end of year, says Moody's Mark ZandiMark Zandi, Moody’s Analytics Chief Economist, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk what's ahead for the Federal Reserve, the recent inflation read, if we will see a rate cut this year and more.
Persons: Mark Zandi Mark Zandi Organizations: Federal Reserve
Caledonia Investments could see its stock price soar by more than 35% if restrictions on share buybacks are lifted, according to fund manager Brian McCormick. McCormick, who runs the Jupiter Global Value fund at Jupiter Asset Management, said Caledonia's share buybacks are limited due to restrictions in share ownership as set out in the U.K.'s Takeover Code. In addition, when the fund performs a share buyback while its stock trades below its NAV, it is buying its own assets at a 37% discount. Caledonia's buyback limits When a company buys back shares, those shares are canceled, which can increase the percentage ownership of remaining shareholders. Analysts also agree that Caledonia's limits on share buybacks right now are holding back the share price.
Persons: Brian McCormick, Philip Morris, McCormick, Robert Memmott, Iain Scouller Organizations: Microsoft, Oracle, British American Tobacco, London Stock Exchange, Jupiter Asset, CNBC Pro, London Value Investor Conference Locations: Caledonia, United States
Warren Buffett's best return — on a percentage basis — was scored when he was starting out with little money seven decades ago. The Oracle of Omaha once vowed that he could easily produce a 50% annual return if he was only managing $1 million. "If I was running $1 million today, or $10 million for that matter, I'd be fully invested. At an early age, Buffett developed an extraordinary knack for picking cheap stocks, oftentimes troubled companies at deep discounts. You can't just be in love with the money, you've really got to just find it," he said.
Persons: Warren Buffett's, , I've, Dow, Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett, poring, Benjamin Graham, outsized, Charlie, Charlie Munger, you've Organizations: Berkshire, Moody's, Columbia University, BNSF Railway Locations: Omaha, Coast, Munger
How private equity rolled Red Lobster
  + stars: | 2024-05-24 | by ( Gretchen Morgenson | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +9 min
In this photo illustration, a cooked lobster is displayed on a plate at a Red Lobster restaurant on May 20, 2024 in Austin, Texas. Under the terms of the sale, Red Lobster would also see regular rent increases of 2% a year, the release noted. "All of the people who were supplying Red Lobster, all of the people who are essentially providing services to Red Lobster, the small businesses in the communities affected by mass layoffs, they are next in line, they are experiencing the ripple effect." Sen. Edward Markey, a Democrat from Massachusetts, where eight hospitals operated by bankrupt Steward Health Care are, recently held hearings on private equity and health care. Private equity is emerging in all parts of our economy, Markey added, but its most profound impact is in health care.
Persons: didn't, Josh Olshansky, leaseback, Red, Moody's, Andrew Park, Oscar, Robert Reich, Bill Clinton, America's, Reich, Austin Hurst, Hurst, Sen, Edward Markey, Markey Organizations: Sears, Mervyn's, Steward, Manor Care, Companies, Golden, American Realty Capital Partners, Realty, Lobster, Financial Reform, Thai Union Group, Thai Union, Steward Health, Department of Health, Human Services Locations: Austin , Texas, Canada, San Francisco, Golden, Bangkok, Thai, Arizona, Massachusetts
While new builds are still sold for slightly more than existing homes, the price gap has significantly narrowed. Over the last six months, the median price for a new home is only about 4% higher than the median price of an existing house. Reducing the square footage of your home can help reduce construction costs as well as utility and maintenance costs down the line. Keep construction costs down: Major factors like lumber and labor costs significantly impact the cost of a new house. And depending on the kinds of materials you add to the house, builders are "adding up the tab," Veronica Fuentes, a wealth management advisor based in Washington, D.C., previously told CNBC.
Persons: Alistair Berg, Digitalvision, Nicole Bachaud, Dietz, Matthew Walsh, Walsh, homebuilders, Veronica Fuentes Organizations: Getty, Zillow Group, CNBC, U.S . Census, U.S . Department of Housing, Urban, Moody's, Washington , D.C Locations: U.S, Washington ,
Right now, securitized products in general look relatively cheap, said John Kerschner, head of U.S. securitized products and portfolio manager at Janus Henderson Investors. To meet this need, Janus launched its Securitized Income ETF (JSI) in November, which invests across the securitized space. JSI YTD mountain Janus Henderson Securitized Income ETF Collateralized loan obligations Another fund Kerschner manages is the Janus Henderson AAA CLO ETF . One way investors can get broad exposure to CMBS via BlackRock's iShares CMBS ETF . CMBS YTD mountain iShares CMBS ETF year to date However, Janus' Kerschner pointed out that all office work isn't going away.
Persons: Nick Travaglino, Nuveen, Travaglino, John Kerschner, Janus Henderson, Janus, Kerschner, Rick Rieder, I've, Rieder, CLOs, it's, isn't, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Kershner, We're Organizations: Investors, Fund, Janus Henderson Investors, SEC, Janus Henderson AAA CLO, Bank of America, AAA CLOs, BlackRock AAA CLO Locations: CLOs, BlackRock, Moody's, CMBS, multifamily
Fears of a potential banking crisis are on the rise as interest rates stay elevated. Interest rates are now at their highest levels since 2001 as the Fed keeps an eye on inflation. Markets have already seen 1 regional bank fail this year, according to FDIC data. According to Moody's Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi, the longer interest rates stay high, the more the Fed risks damaging the economy. "That's the kind of thing I'm worried about in the context of persistently high interest rates."
Persons: , Mark Zandi, That's, Barry Sternlicht, Sternlicht, Daniel Pinto Organizations: Fed, Service, Analytics, Yahoo Finance, Bank, Regulators, First Bank, Fulton Bank, Stanhope Capital, Bloomberg Locations: Philadelphia, America
Consumers have largely seen prices deflate for physical goods, such as cars, furniture and appliances, economists said. They've also declined for some groceries and other things, such as travel, according to the consumer price index. Physical goods prices have deflated in all but one month since May 2023, for example. watch nowThe U.S. dollar's strength relative to other global currencies has also helped rein in prices for goods, economists said. Downward pressure on goods prices has waned a bit in recent months as supply-and-demand dynamics have normalized, economists said.
Persons: Oscar Wong, They've, they've, Michael Pugliese, Stephen Brown, Mark Zandi, Zandi, Hayley Berg, Hopper, There's, Brown Organizations: Consumers, Wells, Wells Fargo Economics, North, Capital Economics, Finance, GameStop, AMC, U.S, Federal Reserve, Canadian, Moody's, Airlines Locations: Wells Fargo, North America, U.S
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