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How Emmanuel Macron blew his legacy
  + stars: | 2024-07-09 | by ( Joseph Ataman | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +10 min
He’s now staring at what will certainly be his real legacy: Macron opened the door to the far right in France. After a shattering defeat in May’s European Parliament election, his decision to call a snap election has, at least partially, backfired. Emmanuel Macron delivers a speech at the Louvre Museum in Paris after winning the French presidential election in May 2017. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, left, and France's Emmanuel Macron shake hands after a press conference on June 16, 2022 in Kyiv, Ukraine. For countless communities in France - French or immigrant - the legacy of one man’s gamble, and the uncertainty that is his legacy, will exact a far higher price.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron, He’s, Macron, Jacques Witt, France –, , , , Charly Triballeau, Volodymyr Zelensky, France's Emmanuel Macron, Alexey Furman, he’s, Trump, Putin –, outmanoeuvre Putin, Jordan Bardella, ” Macron, Pen Organizations: Paris CNN, May’s, Front, National Assembly, Macron, Louvre Museum, Getty, , Putin, NATO, Ukraine, CNN, Ensemble, National Locations: France, Paris, Caen, Normandy, AFP, Europe, Ukraine, Kyiv, lockstep,
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMacron's aim is to discredit extreme right, says Centre for European Political Studies CEOKarel Lannoo, CEO of the Centre for European Political Studies, says French President Emmanuel Macron's aim is to discredit the extreme right over the next three years.
Persons: Karel Lannoo, Emmanuel Macron's Organizations: European Political, Centre
Incumbents pay the price in year of global elections
  + stars: | 2024-07-09 | by ( Stephen Collinson | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +13 min
And elections in Taiwan and South Korea proved the dynamism of the idea that free elections can promote stable governance. The two round French election system once again kept the far-right out of power on Sunday but Macron’s gamble didn’t exactly pay off. An era of political turmoil now looms with a hung parliament, a likely shaky coalition and instability ahead of the next presidential election in 2027. Kevin Coombs/ReutersIndonesiaPrabowo Subianto, a former army general, won the presidential election in the world’s fourth most populous nation, which is home to its largest Muslim population. IranIran wasn’t supposed to have a presidential election this year.
Persons: El, they’ve, Donald Trump’s, Joe Biden, Trump —, Ursula von der Leyen, Emmanuel Macron, Le, Macron, Keir Starmer, Kevin Coombs, Suharto, Narendra Modi, Adnan Abidi, Imran Khan, Nawaz, Asif Ali Zardari, Benazir Bhutto, Sheikh Hasina, Vladimir Putin, Alexey Navalny, Putin, El Salvador, Nayib Bukele, , Bukele, Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo, ObturadorMX, Claudia Sheinbaum, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, Sheinbaum, Lai Ching, Yoon Suk Yeol, André Ventura, Peter Pellegrini, Robert Fico, Fico, Nelson Mandela —, , Macky Sall, Sall, Bassirou Diomaye Faye, Ebrahim Raisi, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Masoud Pezeshkian, ultraconservative Saeed Jalili, Pezeshkian Organizations: CNN, European Union, United States –, France, European People’s Party, Popular Front, Britain Voters, Conservative, Labour Party, Reuters, Reuters Indonesia Prabowo, Bharatiya Janata Party, BJP, Pakistan Muslim League, Pakistan People’s Party, Bangladeshi, Kremlin, El, El Salvador Strongman, El Salvador —, Getty, Democratic Progressive Party, Portugal Incumbents, Democratic Alliance coalition, Putin, Russian, South Africa Voters, National Congress, ANC, Democratic Alliance Locations: France, Britain, Iran, El Salvador, Slovakia, Russia, Indonesia, Mexico, South Africa, United States, India, Senegal, Taiwan, South Korea, Germany, London, Reuters Indonesia, Subianto, New Delhi, Reuters Pakistan, Pakistan, , Bangladesh, South Asia, America, China, Beijing, Portugal, Ukraine, Europe, Senegal Senegal, Africa, Sall, Iran Iran, Islamic Republic
President Emmanuel Macron’s centrist Ensemble alliance came in second, preventing the far right from taking power. The stakes couldn’t have been higher, and it is hard to overstate the sense of urgency with which French voters flocked to the polls. It ought to be noted, however, that under half of centrist voters went for the left in a run-off against the far right. Many had assumed that it was a foregone conclusion that the far right would win a majority, absolute or otherwise. On all those occasions, and again last week, many held their noses and voted for the center to keep the far right in check.
Persons: Marie Le Conte, Read, , Emmanuel Macron’s, who’d, Le Pen Organizations: CNN, Front, Greens, Ensemble, National Assembly, Rassemblement, Twitter, Facebook Locations: French, Moroccan, London, British, Vichy, France
One thing was clear after France’s surprise election results on Sunday: Any new government formed by President Emmanuel Macron would face months of political paralysis. What’s less certain is whether that gridlock will tip France’s heavily indebted economy further into distress. “Uncertainty hangs over France’s future government architecture,” said the agency, which had already downgraded France’s debt rating on May 31, rattling the government, whose economic credibility has been one of its main political assets. Should the polarization of France’s new Parliament weaken the government’s ability to mend its finances, France’s debt could be downgraded again, it added. The result left no party — including Mr. Macron’s centrist coalition — with a majority and has splintered the lower house of Parliament into three bitterly antagonistic blocs.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Organizations: Rally Locations: France
CNN —The NATO summit was long planned to celebrate the alliance’s 75th anniversary, to lock in longterm military support for Ukraine and even to future-proof the West against a possible second term for Donald Trump. But his achievements, including Sweden and Finland’s entry into the group, will be eclipsed at the summit by his battle to save his political future. She added: “At this critical time for our country, President Biden must seriously consider the best way to preserve his incredible legacy and secure it for the future.”Biden will also have an important audience overseas. “Is it going to be President Biden? On the eve of the summit, Biden’s campaign distributed a memo lauding his leadership in keeping Kyiv standing more than two years after the Russian invasion.
Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden’s, George H.W, Biden, Sen, Patty Murray, ” Biden, Trump, Vladimir Putin, Kurt Volker, ” Volker, CNN’s Wolf Blitzer, Volker, , Joe Biden, John Kirby, , They’ve, Adam Smith, “ We’ve, CNN’s Jake Tapper, Joe ”, Putin, “ Donald Trump, Republican nominee’s, Emmanuel Macron, Olaf Scholz, Justin Trudeau, Giorgia Meloni, Trudeau, Keir Starmer, CNN’s Alex Marquardt Organizations: CNN, NATO, Trump, Biden, United, Kyiv, Democratic, Senate, House Armed Services Committee, MSNBC, ABC News, Nordic, Republican, NATO Alliance, Canadian, Liberal Party, British Locations: Ukraine, Washington, George H.W . Bush, Sweden, Atlanta, Moscow, United States, Europe, Asia, European, Kyiv, Russian, Soviet Union, NATO, Toronto
He's credited with creating the European Political Community, bringing leaders from across 50 states in the region to discuss shared challenges and to coordinate joint responses. For now, Macron has rejected his current Prime Minister Gabriel Attal's resignation and on Monday asked him to stay in the post "to ensure the country's stability." Subran stressed that it was vital that Macron was aligned with the future prime minister. It hasn't paid off, and France's uncertain political outlook will likely perturb France's European partners, one French political scientist told CNBC. French President Emmanuel Macron reviews troops that will take part in the Bastille Day parade, July 2, 2024 in Paris, France.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Sebastien Salom, Emmanuel Macron's, Macron, , Tina Fordham, it'll, Fordham, Francois Hollande, Angela Merkel, He's, Germany —, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Hollande, Gabriel Attal's, Ludovic Subran, Subran, Donald, Trump, — we're, CNBC's Charlotte Reed, it's, Macron's, hasn't, Philippe Marlière, France isn't, Aurelien Organizations: Afp, Getty Images, Fordham Global Foresight, CNBC, NATO, European Union, Socialist, Political, Russia, Ukrainian, Reuters, NFP, Monday, Allianz, U.S, Republican, NurPhoto, EU, University College London Locations: gomis, Europe, France, Washington, Ukraine, Germany, Kyiv, Paris, China, Brussels, Strasbourg, Russia
Anadolu | Anadolu | Getty ImagesGovernment bond markets in France saw some selling early on Monday, but were fairly muted overall despite political gridlock after a second round of legislative elections. Jitters have spread through France's bond market in recent weeks. The 10-year yield topped 3.3% — a roughly 8-month high — after French President Emmanuel Macron called the snap parliamentary election in the middle of June. Meanwhile, the gap (or spread) between French bond yields and German bond yields had topped 85 basis points in recent weeks, hitting its highest level since 2012. He added that the chances of a confrontation with Brussels remained with the left-wing alliance, but not to the same extent as if the National Rally had won.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Emmanuel Macron's, , David Roche, Digard, Kepler Cheuvreux Organizations: New, Republique, Anadolu, Getty, Government, European Commission, Sunday, Popular Front, Independent, National Rally, CNBC Locations: Paris, France, France's, London, Brussels
Macron had called for a new legislative nationwide vote in France after the country's far-right party made significant gains in the European Union election last month. The gamble that French President Emmanuel Macron took when he called a snap election has not paid off, according to Armin Steinbach, Jean Monnet professor of EU Law and economics at HEC Paris. Macron's centrist Ensemble bloc is set to make up the second-largest group in parliament, followed by the RN and its allies. Just because the far-right did not perform as they had hoped in this election does not mean they should be discounted for the presidential election in 2027, Steinbach added. "For today it's a loss for them, … but it doesn't tell us anything about the 2027 presidential election.
Persons: Macron, Steinbach, CNBC's Charlotte Reed, Emmanuel Macron, Armin Steinbach, Jean Monnet, Tina Fordham, CNBC's, Fordham, HEC's Steinbach Organizations: Popular Front, Interior Ministry, Union, EU Law, HEC Paris, Fordham Global Insight, European Union Locations: Paris, France, Steinbach
When President Emmanuel Macron defended his decision last month to call snap legislative elections, he argued repeatedly that France needed a “clarification” of its political situation. But on Monday, after the French cast their final ballots, the situation was anything but clear. A nationwide vote for the 577 seats in the National Assembly, the country’s more powerful house of Parliament, has not produced a working majority. Three large blocs have emerged from the elections — none big enough to govern alone, all of them possibly too antagonistic to work together. None has reached the threshold for an absolute majority, 289 seats, which would enable them to form a government that could survive no-confidence votes by their rivals.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron Organizations: National Assembly Locations: France
Global elections in 2024: A guide in maps and charts
  + stars: | 2024-07-08 | by ( Lou Robinson | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
CNN —As the presidential race in the United States heats up, many other countries around the world are also conducting pivotal elections in 2024. Here’s a closer look at the countries holding elections, in maps and charts. The election took 44 days, with more than one million polling stations, and its voters represented about 12% of the world’s population. In recent European Parliament elections, far-right parties performed well — with the National Rally gaining seven seats — and were particularly popular with young people. In 2023, 76% of Americans aged 18 to 29 said that Biden, 81, is too old to run for president, according to an Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research poll.
Persons: , Vladamir Putin, Putin, Masoud Pezeshkian, Saeed Jalili, Le, Emmanuel Macron’s, Ipsos Mori, Biden Organizations: CNN, International Foundation, Electoral Systems, Here’s, European Union, North America, Voters, Emmanuel Macron’s Ensemble, National Rally, Pew Research, Associated Press, NORC, for Public Affairs Research Locations: United States, India, North, Mexico, Latin America, Russian, Iran, Islamic Republic, Pakistan, Bangladesh, France
Founder of left-wing party La France Insoumise (LFI) Jean-Luc Melenchon reacts during the election night of left-wing party La France Insoumise (LFI) following the first results of the second round of France's legislative election at La Rotonde Stalingrad in Paris on July 7, 2024. After the left-wing's election success in France on Sunday, all eyes are now on radical firebrand Jean-Luc Mélenchon who has demanded the left be given the premiership and a chance to govern following its unexpected election win. The New Popular Front (NFP) coalition — of which Mélenchon is the self-appointed figurehead — won the largest number of seats in the second round of France's snap parliamentary election. Europe had braced itself for France's far-right to win the largest number of votes in the second round of France's snap election. French President Emmanuel Macron's centrist "Together" bloc came in second with 163 seats and the far-right National Rally and its allies won 143 seats.
Persons: Jean, Luc Melenchon, Luc Mélenchon, , Mélenchon, Emmanuel Macron's, Gabriel Attal, Mélenchon —, Hugo Chavez, he'd Organizations: France, La Rotonde, Front, NFP, France Unbowed, Socialist Party, French Communist Party, National Assembly, NATO Locations: La, La Rotonde Stalingrad, Paris, France, Europe
London CNN —French stocks and government bonds struggled to find direction Monday following surprise results in France’s parliamentary elections, which saw left-wing parties outperform the far right Sunday, leaving the country’s parliament facing gridlock. The yield, or return sought by investors, on benchmark 10-year bonds rose by a fraction of a percentage point to 3.22% by 8.09 a.m. But the premium traders demand to hold French bonds instead of the ultra-safe German equivalents was lower on the day. However, it was still a lot higher than before French President Emmanuel Macron called the snap elections on June 9. The value of the currency, which is shared by 19 other countries in the EU, has swung wildly since June 9.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Macron, France’s, , , Holger Schmieding, “ unaffordable, Schmieding, Hanna Ziady Organizations: London CNN, European Union, Rabobank, EU Locations: gridlock, Europe’s, , France, Paris,
CNBC Daily Open: French far-right advance blocked
  + stars: | 2024-07-08 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Far-right advance thwartedFrance's left-wing New Popular Front coalition unexpectedly blocked a far-right advance in the parliamentary run-off vote, securing the largest number of seats but falling short of an absolute majority. Gox bankruptcy estate confirmed that repayments in bitcoin and bitcoin cash had commenced, likely fueling investor concerns of a massive sell-off. However, recent profit-taking and valuation concerns led to a pullback and a rare downgrade from a Wall Street analyst.
Persons: France's, Jan Hatzius, Goldman Sachs, Bitcoin, Emmanuel Papadakis Organizations: CNBC, Popular Front, Rassemblement, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, Novo Nordisk, Novo Nordisk's Ozempic, Deutsche Bank, Harvard Medical, Nvidia, Wall Locations: Europe's, U.S, Gox, bitcoin, Novo
“And now, what do we do?” blared the front page headline of Le Parisien, a daily newspaper, as the shock of Sunday’s election results began to sink in. The day after a historic election, France awoke to final results that none of the polls had predicted. The left-wing coalition’s New Popular Front took the most seats in the National Assembly, but nowhere near enough to form a government, followed by President Emmanuel Macron’s centrist coalition, which lost scores of seats. Finally, in third place, was the party that pollsters and pundits alike had expected to lead — the far-right National Rally. Now the question gripping the country was who would govern France, and how.
Persons: Le Parisien, Emmanuel Macron’s Organizations: National Assembly Locations: France
While a surge in support for the left-wing New Popular Front (NFP) coalition foiled Marine Le Pen’s far-right National Rally (RN) party, French politics is now more disordered than it was before the vote. The NFP won 182 seats in the National Assembly, making it the largest group in the 577-seat parliament. And the RN and its allies, despite leading the first round, won 143 seats. Does that mean the NFP “won” the election? Now, it is the largest bloc in the French parliament and could provide France with its next prime minister.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Le, , NFP “, Jordan Bardella, Le Pen, , ” Bardella, Kevin Coombs, Macron, Publique, – Jean, Luc Mélenchon, Raphael Glucksmann, Emmanuel Dunand, Éduoard Philippe, France’s, Brigitte Macron, Mohammed Badra, Gabriel Attal’s, France Unbowed, Mario Draghi, Benito Mussolini Organizations: CNN, Front, NFP, National Assembly, Ensemble, , Reuters, Socialists, Getty Locations: Vichy, France, Paris, AFP, Le Touquet, , Italy
Why markets are 'sanguine' about French election results
  + stars: | 2024-07-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWhy markets are 'sanguine' about French election resultsElsa Lignos, RBC global head of FX strategy, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss the market implications of the election results in France, Macron's gamble on the snap poll, and much more.
Persons: Elsa Lignos, Macron's Organizations: RBC Locations: France
London CNN —French stocks and government bonds struggled to find direction Monday following surprise results in France’s parliamentary elections, which saw left-wing parties outperform the far right, leaving the country’s parliament facing gridlock. The yield on benchmark 10-year bonds rose by a fraction of a percentage point to 3.21% by 6.37 a.m. But the premium traders demand to hold French bonds instead of the ultra-safe German equivalents was lower on the day. However, it was still a lot higher than before French President Emmanuel Macron called the snap elections on June 9. France’s left-wing alliance came in first after the vote Sunday, while the far right trailed in third place in a shocking reversal of first-round results.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Macron, France’s, , Organizations: London CNN, Rabobank, European Union Locations: gridlock, France, Paris
The euro slipped on Monday after projections from France's election pointed to a hung parliament amid an unexpectedly strong showing for a left-wing alliance, spawning fresh uncertainty over the country's fiscal outlook. The euro slipped on Monday after projections from France's election pointed to a hung parliament amid an unexpectedly strong showing for a left-wing alliance, spawning fresh uncertainty over the country's fiscal outlook. The yen headed for a third day of gains after rebounding from last week's nearly 38-year trough to the dollar. The euro was 0.06% lower at $1.0827, and earlier slid as much as 0.4% as investors weighed the consequences of a hung French parliament. The dollar slipped 0.07% to 160.70 yen, down from as high as 161.96 on Wednesday.
Persons: Sterling, Emmanuel Macron's, Chris Weston, Macron, Weston, bitcoin Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labour, Conservative, New Popular Front, Le, Traders Locations: Gox
One theory about why Macron called an election now is that France might soon have been forced to the polls anyway. When Macron was reelected as president in 2022, his party failed to win an outright majority in parliament. Another theory is that Macron is gambling he can defeat extremist parties by exposing them to government. Some argue Macron hoped that, by giving the RN time in government before, they would have time to prove disappointing to voters. Jordan Bardella has said he will refuse to govern a minority government, meaning France could be left in deadlock in a mess of Macron’s making.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Let’s, Macron, Jordan Bardella Organizations: Elysee Locations: France
Aurelien Morissard/Pool/AFP/Getty ImagesThe result of Sunday’s parliamentary election runoff comes as a huge surprise, with France appearing to be on the verge of a major political shift – but not the one everyone was expecting. No pollster predicted before Sunday that a left-wing alliance would win and that the far right would come in third place. The political maneuvering by French President Emmanuel Macron’s centrist party and the left-wing alliance this week was clearly successful. But the left-wing alliance, which has seemed shaky, is going to have a hard time speaking with one voice. While it appears to have partially worked by keeping the far right from power, it has also plunged France into unprecedented political chaos.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Aurelien, Emmanuel Macron’s, Macron’s Organizations: Getty Locations: Paris, France
Now, it looks set to win the most seats in the French parliament and could provide France with its next prime minister. The NFP is made up of several parties: the far-left France Unbowed party; the more moderate Socialist Party; the green Ecologist party; the French Communist Party; the center-left Place Publique, and other small parties. Going into the second round, it was not clear who the coalition would nominate to be its prime minister. Its most prominent – and divisive – figure is Jean-Luc Mélenchon, a 72-year-old populist firebrand and longtime leader of the France Unbowed party. Announcing his intention to resign Monday as prime minister, Gabriel Attal said, in an apparent swipe to France Unbowed: “No absolute majority can be led by the extremes.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron, , Olivier Faure, , Emmanuel Dunand, Jean, Luc Mélenchon, France Unbowed, Gabriel Attal, Faure, Louise Delmotte, , Macron Organizations: CNN, Front, NFP, Socialist Party, Ecologist, French Communist Party, Vichy, Getty, Macron’s, Ifop, Parliament, Hamas Locations: France, Paris, AFP, , Republic, Republique, Palestinian, Israel, Gaza
Francois Lo Presti | Afp | Getty ImagesFrench voters are heading to the polls on Sunday for the second and final round of voting in a snap parliamentary election. By offering voters a starker choice and fewer candidates, RN's opponents hope that the electorate will opt for the non-RN candidate. "For instance, former Prime Minister Edouard Philippe has said voters should vote neither for the RN nor candidates from the far-left France Unbowed (LFI) party. At the same time, current Prime Minister Gabriel Attal has called for everyone to vote against the RN." If the choice was between a far-left and far-right candidate, however, the picture was more nuanced, showing a split vote.
Persons: Francois Lo Presti, Emmanuel Macron's, Jordan Bardella, Antonio Barroso, Edouard Philippe, Gabriel Attal, Ifop, Teneo's Barroso, Harris, Emmanuel Macron, Xi Jinping, Mohammed Badra, Macron, Teneo, Julien De Rosa Organizations: French, Afp, Getty, National Assembly, Front, NFP, Le, Palais des Sports, Nurphoto, Research, Harris Interactive, Reuters, Republicans, Macron's, Chinese Business Council, National Locations: Henin, Beaumont, France, Paris, Franco, Marigny, Garches
A woman steps out of a polling booth prior to cast her vote in the first round of parliamentary elections in Le Touquet, northwestern France, on June 30, 2024. LONDON — France's left-wing New Popular Front coalition is set to unexpectedly win the most seats in the second round of the country's parliamentary election but fail to clinch an absolute majority, early data showed. By offering voters a starker choice and fewer candidates, RN's opponents hoped that the electorate would choose the non-RN candidate. The prime minister must leave," Jean-Luc Melenchon, leader of the France Unbowed party, said in a CNBC-translated social media update after the release of the early poll data. The final round of the election shows that voters, ultimately, have rejected Macron.
Persons: France's, France Unbowed, Ipsos, Emmanuel Macron's, , pollster Ipsos, Jean, Luc Melenchon, Macron, Melenchon, Macron's Organizations: LONDON, Popular Front, Socialists, CNBC, NFP, National Rally Locations: Le Touquet, France, Europe's
“Without an absolute majority, the government will be at the mercy of opposition parties banding together” to topple it, said Dominique Rousseau, an emeritus professor of public law at the Panthéon-Sorbonne University in Paris. It was not clear whether the centrists or the right-wing National Rally would be the second-largest bloc. When it wasn’t, Mr. Macron’s government came dangerously close to falling. This time, Mr. Macron’s options appear far more limited. Some analysts believe that Mr. Macron’s position will become so untenable he will have to resign, but he has said he won’t.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Dominique Rousseau, , Samy Benzina, Macron, Macron’s, Jean, Luc Mélenchon Organizations: Sorbonne University, National Assembly, University of Poitiers, French, Greens Locations: France, Paris
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