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☆ Asia's refiners face profit crunch as Kuwait cuts crude exports
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-18 | by ( Muyu Xu | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Lower Kuwaiti exports follow cuts from OPEC kingpin Saudi Arabia that have pushed Brent prices close to $90 a barrel and left little wriggle room for Asia's refiners, reliant on the Middle East for more than two-thirds of crude imports. Chinese refiners, which have invested heavily in new plants designed to process sour oil, are especially exposed. Discounted oil from Russia has eased some of the pain, replacing some Kuwaiti supply, largely to China and India. Additionally, Kuwait's joint venture 230,000 bpd Duqm refinery in Oman is scheduled to start operation by end-2023, which could reduce Kuwaiti crude exports by a further 100,000 bpd to 200,000 bpd in 2024, the consultancies said. Formosa could replace Kuwaiti supply with grades such as Iraq's Basra Medium, Qatar's al-Shaheen and Oman crude, Lin said, adding it can also process U.S. light sweet crude.

Persons: Brent, Asia's, Janiv Shah, Sun Jianan, Al Zour, consultancies, KPC, Lin, al, James Forbes, Muyu Xu, Florence Tan, Sonali Paul Organizations: Kuwait Oil Tanker, Oil, Companies, Lower, Saudi, United Arab, Rystad Energy, P, Kuwait Petroleum Corp, Shenghong, Taiwan Formosa Petrochemical Corp, FGE, Dubai, Brent, Thomson Locations: Kuwait, Pier, Companies Kuwait, SINGAPORE, OPEC, Lower Kuwaiti, Saudi Arabia, Russia, China, India, Iraq, United Arab Emirates, UAE, Taiwan, Pakistan, Philippines, Thailand, Oman, PetroChina's, Guangdong, Japan, South Korea, Vietnam, Formosa, Basra, Shaheen, Brent, Dubai

☆ This one stock holds the key to the market and whether this August sell-off is something bigger
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-18 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

It's no secret that market leadership has become more concentrated over the years, but this is ridiculous. That one company is Microsoft , the behemoth with the $2.35 trillion market cap and, it seems, a position in the driver's seat on where the market goes next. In his weekly breakdown of money flows through the financial markets, BofA investment strategist Michael Hartnett said Microsoft needs to reassert itself or face dragging down the rest of the stock market. MSFT YTD line Microsoft as market leader That's why it holds such a pivotal position in determining how things go from here. Harnett noted that the equity put/call ratio has hit its highest point since the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in March, "a bad sign if stocks can't hold hold here."

Persons: Michael Hartnett, Hartnett, That's, Yul Brynner, Brynner, Chris Adams, gunfighters, Harnett, swoon Organizations: Bank of America, Microsoft, Dow Jones, Silicon Valley Bank Locations: Thursday's, Silicon

☆ Macro improvement in China could be tailwind for oil prices in H2, says RBC's Helima Croft
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMacro improvement in China could be tailwind for oil prices in H2, says RBC's Helima CroftHelima Croft, RBC Capital Markets global head of commodity strategy, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the more powerful dynamic for oil markets, the Saudis discipline with production cuts, and more.

Persons: RBC's Helima Croft Helima Croft Organizations: RBC Capital Markets Locations: China

☆ China's economy is teetering — and these European companies are among the most at risk
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-17 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Several signals from China this week suggest that European companies with close ties to the world's second-largest economy may face difficulties in the coming months. "BMW has the highest China exposure among European OEMs [original equipment manufacturers] — we prefer a higher US exposure (which Mercedes has). Methodology: Revenue data by geography was available only for 422 out of the 600 companies on the Stoxx Europe 600 index. FactSet data relies primarily on geographical sales data disclosures from companies directly. When this is not available, FactSet applies a proprietary algorithm to estimate the percentage revenue exposure.

Persons: Mercedes, Daniel Schwarz Organizations: JPMorgan, Eurostat, CNBC, Mining, Rio Tinto, UBS, RBC, Porsche, BMW, Volvo Locations: China, China's, Wall Street, Europe, Mining London, American, Swiss

☆ Cava CEO on cautious H2 outlook: Mindful of headwinds facing the consumer
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCava CEO on cautious H2 outlook: Mindful of headwinds facing the consumerCava CEO Brett Schulman joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss what drove the company's strong quarterly earnings results, why he is more cautious about the second half, and more.

Persons: Brett Schulman

☆ Here are Tuesday's biggest analyst calls: Disney, Nvidia, Ford, Walmart, JPMorgan, Palo Alto and more
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-15 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Daiwa reiterates Disney as buy Daiwa is standing by its buy rating on Disney after the company's earnings report last week. Deutsche Bank reiterates Palo Alto Networks as buy Deutsche Bank is bullish heading into earnings later this week. Barclays reiterates Walmart as overweight Barclays is bullish heading into earnings later this week. " Bank of America downgrades Phillips 66 and Marathon Petroleum to neutral from buy Bank of America downgraded several refiners and said the risk/reward is "no longer compelling." Bank of America initiates Turnstone Biologics as buy Bank of America said the biopharmaceutical company is well-positioned.

Persons: it's, Daiwa, KBW, Berkshire Hathaway, Morgan Stanley, Pharvaris, Wells Fargo, Wells, it's bullish, Hannon Armstrong, KeyBanc, PSTG, " Bank of America downgrades Phillips, DINO, Ford Organizations: UBS, Nvidia, Disney, Deutsche Bank, Networks, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Bank of America, ISI, Barclays, Walmart, " Bank of America, of America, Marathon Petroleum, U.S, MPC, Ford

☆ Bank of America survey signals investors are overconfident and stocks' ‘strong tailwind’ is over
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-15 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

"Bear positioning strong tailwind for risk assets in H1…not the case in H2," Hartnett wrote in a summary of the closely watched survey. Cash allocations have dropped to 4.8% of portfolios, below the 5% dividing line that has traditionally been a buy signal. Even if there is a recession, managers expect it to be mild, with 65% expecting a "soft landing." Allocation to stocks is the least underweight as a share of portfolios since April 2022 and up 13 percentage points from July. The survey was taken Aug. 4-10 and entailed 247 panelists with $635 billion in assets under management.

Persons: Michael Hartnett, Hartnett, REITs, Lehman Organizations: Bank of America, Survey, FMS

☆ Video-gaming revenue to grow 2.6% in 2023 on console sales strength - report
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-08 | by ( Akshita Toshniwal | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

A worker holds a Playstation 5 at a Best Buy store during Black Friday sales in Chicago, Illinois, U.S., November 25, 2022. REUTERS/Jim VondruskaAug 8 (Reuters) - Global video-games market would return to growth in 2023 on the back of strong sales of consoles such as Sony's Playstation 5, according to gaming market research firm Newzoo. Newzoo said it expects industry revenue to rise 2.6% to $187.7 billion in 2023, driven by a 7.4% rise in console sales in the year. Market research firm Circana said U.S. consumer spending on video-game hardware was up by 23% in the first half of 2023. Reporting by Akshita Toshniwal and Chavi Mehta in Bengaluru; Editing by Shilpi MajumdarOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Jim Vondruska, Newzoo, Tom Wijman, Circana, Akshita Toshniwal, Chavi Mehta, Shilpi Majumdar Organizations: Black, REUTERS, Gaming, PlayStation, Sony, Activision, Electronic Arts, EA Sports FC, Newzoo, Apple, Google, Thomson Locations: Chicago , Illinois, U.S, Bengaluru

☆ Oil to drift lower as slower growth offsets OPEC+ cuts: Reuters poll
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-31 | by ( Rahul Paswan | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

A survey of 37 economists and analysts forecast Brent crude would average $81.95 a barrel in 2023, down from June's $83.03 consensus and current levels of around $85. Sluggish growth in top crude importer China has also weighed on oil prices so far in 2023. Global oil demand was expected to increase by about 1-2.1 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2023, led by China. "China's economic outlook may continue to disappoint but upside in oil demand is still possible with jet demand recovery from international flights later this year," said Ajay Parmar, associate director of global oil markets research at HSBC. Some of the analysts expected supplies to tighten and support oil prices in the latter part of this year after Saudi Arabia and Russia deepened output cuts in July.

Persons: Brent, Kpler, Ajay Parmar, John Paisie, Rahul Paswan, Brijesh Patel, Barbara Lewis Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, ECB, HSBC, Stratas Advisors, Thomson Locations: June's, Central, China, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Bengaluru

☆ Oil on track for biggest monthly gains in over a year
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Oil prices hovered near three-month highs on Monday, set to post their biggest monthly gains in over a year on expectations that Saudi Arabia would extend voluntary output cuts into September and tighten global supply. Both are on track to close July with their biggest monthly gains since January 2022. "We still expect the extra 1 million bpd Saudi cut to last through September, and to be halved from October." "Firmer demand is driving a moderately larger deficit in H2 2023 than expected, averaging 1.8 million bpd, and a modest 0.6 million bpd deficit in 2024," it said. Exxon Mobil's CEO Darren Woods said the company expects record oil demand this year and next year, and that this may help boost energy prices in the second half of the year.

Persons: Brent, WTI, Goldman Sachs, Darren Woods, Baker Hughes Organizations: Brent, West Texas, Saudi, Exxon Locations: Shenzhen, China, Saudi Arabia, Saudi, India, United States, U.S

☆ Markets need to see some sort of gut check in short term, says Bespoke's Paul Hickey
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarkets need to see some sort of gut check in short term, says Bespoke's Paul HickeyPaul Hickey, Bespoke Investment Group co-founder, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss what gives Hickey confidence there will be upside bias in H2, challenges ahead for market growth, and more.

Persons: Bespoke's Paul Hickey Paul Hickey, Hickey Organizations: Investment Group

☆ Euro zone inflation falls further in comforting sign for ECB
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-31 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

FRANKFURT, July 31 (Reuters) - Euro zone inflation fell further in July and most measures of underlying price growth also eased, in a largely comforting sign for the European Central Bank (ECB) as it considers ending its severe run of interest rate hikes. Consumer prices grew by 5.3% this month versus 5.5% in June, extending a downtrend that started in the autumn. "Services inflation is the area where monetary policy should have the greatest influence because it reflects domestic demand," Dirk Schumacher, an economist at Natixis said. Hawks could also point at hard data about growth, which showed the euro zone returned to growth in the second quarter of 2023 despite negative sentiment and activity polls. The weak survey data has continued to come in in recent days, fuelling talk of a recession in the euro area that the ECB is still hoping to avoid.

Persons: Frederik Ducrozet, Christine Lagarde, Dirk Schumacher, Natixis, Francesco Canepa, Peter Graff Organizations: European Central Bank, Pictet Wealth Management, ECB, Oxford, Thomson Locations: FRANKFURT

☆ BOJ is likely to move 'incrementally' on yield curve control in H2
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBank of Japan likely to move 'incrementally' on yield curve control later this year, but not in JulyEric Robertsen of Standard Chartered Bank says there's a chance that the Bank of Japan will shift the maturity control of its yield curve control to 5 years from 10 years.

Persons: Eric Robertsen, there's Organizations: Email Bank of, Standard Chartered Bank, Bank of Japan Locations: Email Bank of Japan

SEOUL, July 28 (Reuters) - SK Innovation Co Ltd (096770.KS), owner of South Korea's top refiner SK Energy, said on Friday it expects refining margins to gradually improve in the second half thanks to favourable market conditions backed by solid travel season demand. Analysts said SK Innovation's refining business had been hit by declines in refining margins and oil prices, while its battery business had continued generating losses due to costs related to its newly set up U.S. battery plants. SK Innovation's battery unit SK On, which was split off last year, accounted for about 20% of the company's revenue in the second quarter. SK Innovation said it expects its battery unit's profitability to improve in the second half thanks to the U.S. tax subsidies from the Inflation Reduction Act. Shares of SK Innovation were trading down 0.9%, versus benchmark KOSPI's (.KS11) 0.5% fall at 0210 GMT.

Persons: Refinitiv SmartEstimate, Kim Kyunghoon, 1,282.8300, Heekyong Yang, Joyce Lee, Jamie Freed, Kim Coghill Organizations: SK Innovation Co, refiner SK Energy, Analysts, SK Innovation's, SK, SK Innovation, Ford Motor, Hyundai Motor, Chief, SK On's, LG Energy, Thomson Locations: SEOUL, North America, Europe

☆ Remy Cointreau confident on H2 rebound after weak start to year
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-25 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

PARIS, July 25 (Reuters) - French spirits group Remy Cointreau (RCOP.PA) on Tuesday reported a fall in first-quarter organic sales, reflecting weaker U.S. demand, high year-ago comparables and destocking, and said it was banking on a sharp rebound in sales in the U.S. from the third quarter. The recovery in China, which makes 35% of group sales at par with the United States, was led by all cognac brands including CLUB, VSOP, XO and Louis XIII. During the COVID-19 pandemic, Remy Cointreau and rivals such as Pernod Ricard (PERP.PA) benefited from people drinking more expensive types of alcohol at home. There have, however, been signs that spirits industry growth was slowing, notably in the United States, as positive effects from the pandemic fizzle out. ($1 = 0.9033 euros)Reporting by Dominique Vidalon; Editing by Varun H K and Stephen CoatesOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Remy Cointreau, Remy Martin, Cointreau, Louis XIII, Jefferies, Pernod Ricard, Dominique Vidalon, Varun, Stephen Coates Organizations: CLUB, Louis, Thomson Locations: U.S, China, United States, EMEA, Asia

While global supply networks recover from the pandemic shock, fresh impetus is coming from tougher environmental standards, which drive companies to invest in new technologies to reduce their and their suppliers' emissions. "So in battery, steel, aluminum and cast iron we will only source green materials and technologies by 2030," Foller told Reuters. The foundation told Reuters it would also consider further investments in producers of steel, construction and green aluminium produced with hydropower or from recycled materials. Scania said that following its 10 million euro ($11.15 million) seed investment in H2GS in 2021, it has entered a steel supply agreement from 2027. While companies will keep investing in their suppliers in the short to medium term, the market will eventually reach saturation, said Jon Chadwick, global energy transition lead at PricewaterhouseCoopers.

Persons: Andreas Follér, Foller, Rebecca Campbell, China's, Scania's Foller, Britain's, They're, Maybel Saleh, Case's Campbell, Jon Chadwick, Clara Denina, Sarah McFarlane, Helen Reid, Veronica Brown, Tomasz Janowski Organizations: IKEA, Climate Tech VC, Scania, Reuters, White &, Export, GM, IMAS Foundation, Airlines, EMEA, Citi . Supply, Equity, PricewaterhouseCoopers, Thomson Locations: Ukraine, China, Russia, Beijing, Sweden, Swedish, H2GS, Norway, Germany, Indonesia, Britain, Bristol

☆ Here are Tuesday's biggest analyst calls: Apple, Alphabet, Pinterest, Netflix, Amazon, Nvidia & more
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-18 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Here are Tuesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Jefferies reiterates Apple as buy Jefferies said it's expecting a "quiet quarter" when the company reports earnings Aug. 3. Wells Fargo reiterates Netflix as overweight Wells said it's bullish heading into the company's earnings report Wednesday. Jefferies reiterates Alphabet as buy Jefferies said it's bullish heading into Alphabet earnings next week. Bank of America downgrades Lumentum to neutral from buy Bank of America called the stock an "overstated" AI beneficiary. JPMorgan reiterates Amazon as overweight JPMorgan said the e-commerce giant is its top pick heading into earnings. "

Persons: Jefferies, it's, Wells, Truist, Piper Sandler, Dave, Buster's, Piper, Bernstein, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Max, Roth, Uber, Roth MKM, it's bullish, Morgan Stanley, Evercore, Marvell, Williams Deutsche, Sherwin Williams, JPMorgan Organizations: Apple, Netflix, Argus, Warner Brothers Discovery, Citi, Polaris Citi, 2Q, Bank of America, Nvidia, American Express, Digital, Marvell Technology Inc, Global, Inc, Deutsche Bank, Sherwin, JPMorgan Locations: capex

☆ Instant View: China's Q2 GDP growth slows to 0.8% q/q, raises stimulus expectations
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-17 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +11 min

"Consumers are not spending, mainly driven by the bleak outlook for the property market. Disappointing retail numbers and property market sales show it doesn't seem that the boost from rate cuts is sufficient. ..the property market is beginning another slowdown - the government will have to come up with more stimulus for property." "Nonetheless, we think more stimulus is required to stabilise and restore confidence in the property market." ZHIWEI ZHANG, CHIEF ECONOMIST, PINPOINT ASSET MANAGEMENT, HONG KONG"Nominal GDP growth turns out to be lower than real GDP growth in Q2, the first time since comparable data are available in Q4 2016.

Persons: CHRISTOPHER WONG, LOUIS KUIJS, CAROL KONG, XING ZHAOPENG, KEN CHEUNG, ALVIN TAN, VISHNU VARATHAN, MARCO SUN, CHEN, TONY SYCAMORE, ZHIWEI ZHANG, JING LIU Organizations: Gross, National Bureau, Statistics, Shanghai, NBS, BANK OF, ANZ, MIZUHO BANK, OF, OF ASIA FX, RBC, MUFG BANK, IG, SYDNEY, Friday's, BANK OF SINGAPORE, HSBC, stoke, Authorities, Reuters, U.S, Thomson Locations: U.S, SINGAPORE, ASIA, HONG KONG, SYDNEY, CHINA, SHANGHAI, OF ASIA, China

☆ Here are Monday's biggest analyst calls: Apple, Pepsi, Yelp, Chewy, Netflix, Nvidia, Tesla, Meta and more
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-17 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

"We are initiating coverage with an ONON with an Outperform rating and $38 price target. Citi opens a positive catalyst watch on Valvoline Citi opened a positive catalyst watch on Valvoline and says it has robust fundamentals. "We open a 30-day upside catalyst watch based on strong fundamentals and the stock's relative under-performance post completion of the Dutch tender offer on 6/8." Citi opens a positive catalyst watch on Bank of New York Mellon Citi opened a positive catalyst watch on the investment bank ahead of earnings Tuesday. Morgan Stanley reiterates Apple as overweight Morgan Stanley raised its price target on Apple to $220 from $190 and says India is the company's "next frontier."

Persons: TD Cowen, Cowen, Goldman Sachs, it's, Wells, Tesla, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, Apple, Morgan Stanley downgrades Conagra, Morgan Stanley downgrades Pepsi, Raymond James downgrades, Raymond James, Bernstein, Aramark, Oppenheimer Organizations: Citi downgrades AT, Citi, Valvoline Citi, Bank of New York Mellon Citi, BK, Nvidia, Deutsche Bank, Netflix, Baidu, Apple, Pepsi, Barclays, LT, JPMorgan, Bank of America, Zynga, NXP Semiconductors, Intel Citi, Intel, AMD, Meta, Suisse, Arista Networks, ISI Locations: eCommerce, China, India, Apple India

☆ Due to climate woes, Georgia has to pivot away from peaches
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-15 | by ( Ellie Stevens | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

The Peach State lost more than 90% of this year’s crop after a February heat wave followed by two late-spring frosts. It’s even on the flip side of the Georgia state quarter. Their summertime staples Peaches & Cream and Georgia Peach Sorbet flavors debuted July 1, he said, but eat fast. Liella Foods, LLCYes, Georgia peach prices have zoomed, he said, to about $40 for a box wholesale, from the usual $17-$20. And in the meantime, Georgia peaches are selling like the Seinfeld-ian Macinkaw, a delicacy that Kramer described as “a miracle of nature, like the Aurora Borealis.”

Persons: —, ”, Henryk Kumar, Sean Lennon, Fitzgerald, Lennon, he’s, Kamayan, Mira Orino, they’re, Kramer, Maddie Mitchell, Aunt, Aunt Evelyn’s, David Bruce Organizations: CNN, Peach State, Georgians, Cream, Foods Locations: Georgia, Atlanta, California, York, Los Angeles, Woodbury , Ga, Mexico, Michigan, Wisconsin, Canada, David Bruce . California, South Carolina

☆ A top Wall Street strategist says the stock-market rally is due for a reversal as a bubble forms — and warns investors not to equate surging prices with a healthy underlying economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-15 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Plus, falling inflation means weaker pricing power, and therefore weaker revenue growth, Kantrowitz said. If you look at long-term earnings growth, we're sitting near record-low levels. Long-term growth expectations, shown in gray, are near all-time lows. The PEG ratio takes into account longer-term future earnings, as opposed to the more present-based price-to-earnings ratio. He added: "For all intents and purposes, the PEG ratio has never been higher in a normalized backdrop."

Persons: Piper Sandler's Michael Kantrowitz, Michael Kantrowitz, Piper Sandler, Kantrowitz, David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, downturns, Albert Edwards, Edwards, I'm Organizations: PMI, Treasury, Generale

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