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☆ Why oil prices have plunged 3% today
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Saudi Arabia is committed to boosting oil output in December, the FT reported. The kingdom is resigning itself to a period a lower prices, sources told the FT.Oil markets spiraled on the news, falling as much as 4% on Thursday. AdvertisementA report that Saudi Arabia would ditch its unofficial crude price target sent crude oil prices sharply lower on Thursday. In essence, the kingdom is giving in to lower prices, FT sources said. The eastern-based faction has committed to reopening the country's oil fields in response, a move that could bring more crude output back online.

Persons: —, Brent Organizations: FT ., Service, Financial Times, West Texas Intermediate, Saudi, Bloomberg Locations: Saudi Arabia, Riyadh, Iraq, Kazakhstan, China, Libya

☆ Russia's economy is signaling a fate worse than recession
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Russia's central bank says inflation is rising while the nation's economy cools. These are the key ingredients for stagflation, a scenario that's harder to combat than a recession. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementAs Russia's GDP and inflation figures move in the wrong direction, the worst-case scenario for any economy looms large over Moscow.

Persons: — Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Business Locations: Moscow

☆ US home prices hit yet another record high
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

US home prices hit another record in July, according to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller index. Prices rose 5% nationwide, a slowdown from prior months. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . New data from Case-Shiller showed home prices rose 5% in July from a year before, marking another record high.

Persons: —, Brian D, Luke Organizations: Service, Business

☆ Why China's new stimulus bazooka isn't enough to fix the nation's housing crisis
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Beijing's latest housing-support measures won't fix China's property crisis, JPMorgan wrote. The nation announced this week that it will reduce mortgage rates and downpayment rules. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! AdvertisementChina's all-out stimulus package will fail to meaningfully reverse ongoing chaos in the nation's property market, JPMorgan said in new research. Though Beijing committed on Tuesday to reduce mortgage rates and downpayment rules, the bank said these efforts will not bolster housing consumption as hoped.

Persons: —, Haibin Zhu Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, Business Locations: Beijing, China

☆ Stock market today: Indexes add to records as traders parse more economic data and Fed comments
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Investors are parsing through data and Fed commentary to determine future rate cuts. On Tuesday, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman explained why she dissented against a deep cut in September. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! Both indexes closed at all-time highs on Monday amid rising outlooks that the Federal Reserve will deliver another half-point interest rate cut in November. To better understand where monetary policy may be headed after the Fed's first rate cut in four years, investors are tuning into Fed commentary and parsing through incoming data.

Persons: Michelle Bowman, —, dovish, Michelle Bowman's, Bowman Organizations: Service, Dow Jones Industrial, Federal Reserve, Fed, Richmond, Here's Locations: Kentucky

☆ How stocks can roar by 10% into year-end, Citi US equity-trading head says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The stock market could jump as much as 10% by the year-end, Citi's stock-trading strategy head said. He said the economy only needs to avoid a recession, which will ultimately depend on the labor market. And that is now a plausible scenario," the firm's head of US equity-trading strategy told Bloomberg TV on Tuesday. If this is achieved, stocks can surge another 5% to 10% by the end of this year, Kaiser said. But though the Fed emphasized that it was not forecasting a looming downturn during its latest policy meeting, it all hinges on incoming labor market data, he noted.

Persons: Stuart Kaiser, —, Citi's Stuart Kaiser, Kaiser, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Federal Reserve

☆ Nvidia stock jumps on report CEO Jensen Huang is done selling shares after $713 million windfall
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Nvidia stock closed 4% higher on a report that CEO Jensen Huang is done selling shares. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementNvidia shares climbed as much as 5% on Tuesday as Barron's reported CEO Jensen Huang is done with planned sales of stock. According to an SEC filing from September 18th, the executive holds over 75 million worth of Nvidia common stock; that's aside from another 785 million held through various trusts and partnerships.

Persons: Jensen Huang, Huang, — Organizations: Nvidia, Service, SEC, Microsoft

☆ Stock market today: New record highs as Nvidia surge offsets weak consumer sentiment
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

A weak consumer confidence reading caused indexes to briefly drop early morning. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Investors reacted with dismay after the latest consumer sentiment reading, with confidence among US consumers logging its largest one-month drop in more than three years. The Conference Board's consumer confidence index came in at 98.7 for September, well below consensus estimates of a 104 reading. Advertisement"It's never good to see consumer confidence fall this much.

Persons: —, Jamie Cox, Jensen Huang Organizations: Nvidia, Service, Harris Financial, Federal Locations: China

☆ Morgan Stanley outlines the best-case scenario for stocks in the 4th quarter
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Morgan Stanley is now looking ahead at the perfect mixture of conditions for a strong fourth quarter. The firm is squarely focused on an improvement in the labor market driving the best possible returns. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve nailed the rate-cut scenario that Morgan Stanley called its best-case result leading into the decision. Heading into last week's announcement, Morgan Stanley was looking for a 50-basis-point cut that didn't also stoke worries about unnecessary growth. To be sure, job conditions are not the only thing Morgan Stanley is watching.

Persons: Morgan Stanley's, Morgan Stanley, —, didn't, Mike Wilson, Wilson Organizations: Federal, Service, Reserve, stoke, Bank of America, Conference Board

☆ One stock being targeted by a value-investing legend in a market he says has gotten too top-heavy
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Value-investing legend Bill Nygren says the S&P 500 lacks the diversification it once had. Nygren mentioned Corebridge Financial as a top pick that checks all his boxes. AdvertisementThe S&P 500 isn't as risk-free as investors might think, says Oakmark Funds' Bill Nygren, who lamented the S&P 500's growing lack of diversification. "It's become so important to us that we invest with companies that are taking matters into their own hands and using excess capital to repurchase their own stock," Nygren told the outlet on Monday. One stock he pinpointed that fits the bill is Corebridge Financial.

Persons: Bill Nygren, Nygren, —, CNBC he's, It's Organizations: Service, CNBC

☆ Economic conditions are 'nearly perfect' and the Fed has engineered a 'miraculous' achievement, Evercore founder says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

In a Monday-morning appearance on CNBC, Evercore founder Roger Altman praised the Fed for delivering "nearly perfect" economic conditions, citing strength in equities, profits, and employment. Only inflation — which still hovers above the Fed's 2% target rate — is holding off an official soft landing declaration, he said. AdvertisementAlthough there are some concerns rate cuts will reignite inflation, Altman is expecting to see a slowdown this week when new consumption-expenditures data is released. Related stories"I think what essentially happened was that the Fed saw the path on inflation steadily downward as more certain than the path on labor markets, a little more uncertainty about labor markets," Altman said. "So it took a stronger step to fortify labor markets, and went for 50."

Persons: —, Roger Altman, Powell, Altman, Larry Summers Organizations: Service, CNBC, Business, Fed

☆ Rate cuts might make it cheaper to buy a house, but they won't fix the US housing market's biggest problem
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-21 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The Fed's interest rate cut will ease financing conditions for homebuilders, analysts told BI. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve's rate cut will surely impact the housing market, but its effect likely won't affect arguably the most important part of the equation: keeping affordability tight. But how this translates into a much-needed supply boost is a different story, and there are factors the Fed cut won't fix. Lingering uncertaintiesAdvertisementFor instance, Nanayakkara-Skillington noted that material pricing, from drywall to steel mill products, has weighed heavily on homebuilders since the pandemic.

Persons: —, it'll, NAHB's, Skillington, NAHB, Michael Neal, Fitch, Neal Organizations: Service, National Association of Home Builders, Urban Institute senior, Fitch

☆ Trump and Harris are pushing proposals that 'ignore economic reality,' billionaire investor Howard Marks says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Read previewThe presidential election is running on promises that just don't hold up, according to billionaire investor Howard Marks. "Like me, you've undoubtedly noticed that politicians ranging from former President Trump and Vice President Harris to down-ballot candidates are back to making promises that ignore economic reality," Marks wrote in his latest memo. AdvertisementDonald Trump: Tariffs and taxesIn Trump's case, plans for higher tariffs on virtually all US imports are equivalent to a price hike on average American consumers, Marks said. As these disappear, consumers should prepare for higher prices. Kamala Harris: Price gouging and housingMarks' primary criticism aimed at Harris' anti-price gouging policy.

Persons: —, Howard Marks, you've, Trump, Harris, Marks, Donald Trump, they'll, Kamala Harris, Price, Marks isn't Organizations: Service, Business, Oaktree

☆ The Fed 'moved too fast' with rate cuts and now risks reigniting inflation, analyst says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

On the positive side, Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel called the decision the "best news" the Fed has offered in years. He said the Fed "moved too fast" with its 50-point cut. This is unusual, since investors will typically snap up these assets after a rate cut. Related storiesSome on Wall Street noted that the Fed's decision to cut beyond 25 basis points was essentially a signal that the central bank is moving past inflation. To Contopoulos point, this may be premature, as August's consumer price index report still stood above the 2% inflation target.

Persons: —, Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Michael Contopoulos, Bernstein, Contopoulos, Powell, Narayana Kocherlakota Organizations: Service, Business, Bernstein Advisors, CNBC, Wall, University of Rochester

☆ Don't bet on a 'silver tsunami' of boomers selling their houses
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

That contrasts with what some people saw as a "silver tsunami" of boomers giving up their houses. The lack of available homes could exacerbate an affordability crisis even as mortgage rates fall. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementFrom falling mortgage rates to slipping home prices, things are starting to look a bit more upbeat for younger homebuyers.

Persons: — Organizations: Service, Business

☆ The Fed's rate decision shows its focus has shifted from inflation to the labor market
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

The Federal Reserve cut rates by 50 basis points on Wednesday. Inflation is no longer the central focus on the Federal Reserve, they said. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve has finally delivered its first interest-rate cut in four years — and a jumbo-sized one at that. While inflation has long been seen as the Fed's sole mandate, it's also starting to show signs of concern for the job market.

Persons: —, it's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Reserve, Business

☆ The SEC wants to make trading stocks cheaper for the average investor
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The SEC on Wednesday approved a change that will allow some stocks to be quoted in half-penny increments. The measure will narrow bid-ask spreads and reduce costs for investors, the SEC said. AdvertisementThe US Securities and Exchange Commission has revamped how stocks get priced in an effort to reduce costs on investors. On Wednesday, the SEC voted to adjust market rules, so that some stocks will be quoted in increments of $0.005. AdvertisementPrior to Wednesday's vote, stocks had been priced at a one-penny minimum since 2005.

Persons: —, Gary Gensler, Gensler Organizations: SEC, Service, US Securities and Exchange Commission, Reuters, Ford, Wall, Commission

☆ Trump-supporting hedge fund billionaire says he'll pull his money out of the market if Harris wins the election
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The Trump-supporting hedge fund billionaire criticized Harris' tax plans on a Fox Business segment. Paulson said a proposed tax on unrealized gains would "could mass selling of almost everything." AdvertisementBillionaire hedge fund manager and Trump donor John Paulson told Fox Business that he will sell his stocks if Kamala Harris wins the presidency in November. Paulson was particularly focused on Harris' proposal to levy a 25% tax on unrealized gains for individuals worth more than $100 million. AdvertisementBillionaire Mark Cuban took to X, formerly Twitter, to compare how businesses would do between Harris' tax policy and Trump's plans for broad-sweeping tariffs, concluding that Harris would offer more in after-tax profit.

Persons: John Paulson, Kamala Harris, Harris, Paulson, —, I'd, Kent Smetters, Donald Trump, Mark Cuban Organizations: Trump, Fox, Service, Billionaire, Fox Business, Penn Wharton Budget, Business, Biden, Jobs, Republican

☆ Stock market today: Indexes rise on upbeat retail sale data ahead of Fed meeting
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Stocks pushed higher as positive retail sales surprised investors. All eyes are on the Federal Reserve's likely interest rate cut on Wednesday. AdvertisementStocks moved higher after stronger-than-expected US retail sales boosted confidence in consumer health, as the Federal Reserve's two-day policy meeting is set to kick off. Retail sales increased 0.1% last month, compared to consensus estimates of a 0.2% decline. Strong retail sales suggest that the Fed does not necessarily have to hurry with larger cuts, as the consumer economy appears intact for now.

Persons: Stocks, —, That's, Scott Helfstein Organizations: Service, Federal, Investment, Global

☆ Bitcoin is surging on hopes rate cuts will drive a speculative rush
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The rise comes amid anticipation that the Fed will deliver a half-point rate cut. Investors are anticipating the Federal Reserve's long-awaited rate cut tomorrow, which will be announced at the end of the central bank's two-day policy meeting. Regardless of the size of the cut, investors buying up bitcoin are anticipating the looser lending conditions will lead to more speculative behavior. We could be seeing a recovery of investors' appetite for risk-on assets like crypto, instigating more flows into Bitcoin spot ETFs," said Leena ElDeeb, a research analyst at 21Shares. Seasonal factors weakened the spot bitcoin ETF inflows this summer while deteriorating macro conditions drove investors toward safe, risk-off assets.

Persons: —, Morgan Stanley, Tuesday's, Leena ElDeeb, Alex Kuptsikevich, Bill Dudley Organizations: Service, New York

☆ The Archegos disaster isn't over yet for banks as the feds reportedly revive criminal antitrust probe
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Read previewFederal prosecutors are reexamining Wall Street banks that lost billions in the 2021 Archegos collapse, anonymous sources told Bloomberg. The revived probe follows just months after Archegos' founder Bill Hwang was convicted of fraud, racketeering, and market manipulation in July. AdvertisementHowever, this plot fell apart when the stocks fell in March 2021, sending Archegos's $150 billion in bets fell into freefall. After an agreement failed to materialize, banks such as Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley unleashed their shares onto the market. Sources told Bloomberg that the department has begun making inquiries, with special attention paid to the 2021 banks' emergency discussions.

Persons: —, Archegos, Bill Hwang, Hwang, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, US Department of Justice, Business, Credit Suisse, Nomura, UBS, DOJ Locations: freefall

☆ Stock market today: Stocks close mixed as investors gear up for major Fed rate decision
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Tuesday's retail sales data boosted soft landing outlooks. AdvertisementIndexes were mixed on Tuesday with investors still split on the potential size of an interest rate cut, with less than 24-hours to go before the Federal Reserve announces its policy decision. Unanticipated strength in Tuesday's retail sales data convinced investors that the economy remains robust, and the S&P 500 briefly hit a record high before paring gains. Bond yields edged up ahead of the Fed decision, nodding to the possibility that the odds of a jumbo rate cut fell after retail sales surprised to the upside. AdvertisementStrong retail sales suggest that the Fed does not necessarily have to hurry with larger cuts, as the consumer economy appears intact for now.

Persons: —, LPL, Jeffrey Roach Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, bitcoin, Treasury

☆ The biggest threat to the US dollar is America's exorbitant debt load, JPMorgan says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

One of the main takeaways was that the biggest threats to dollar dominance are swelling US debt levels and fiscal deficits, which officials in Washington could step up to tackle. "The biggest challenge to US dollar dominance is the US itself given the mounting public debt levels and elevated fiscal deficits," JPMorgan said, in a note summarizing the webinar. For instance, many alarmists have focused on the dollar's share in foreign reserve holdings, often pointing out that the foreign central banks have piled into gold as an alternative. But this fixation omits the fact that bank deposits, sovereign wealth fund assets, and other dollar instruments have been on the rise among reserve holdings, JPMorgan said. "In China's case, it has had an explicit target to bring down dollar holdings in FX reserve but has shifted USD holdings to state-owned entities.

Persons: —, Peter G, Mark Sobel —, Trump, Sobel Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, US, Peterson Foundation, Treasury, Monetary, Financial, greenback Locations: Washington, China

☆ Gen Z and millennials are propping up the economy — with help from their parents, 'Oracle of Wall Street' says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Go to newsletter preferencesSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementAccording to a Harris poll from September 2023, about 45% of adults aged 18 to 29 were still living with their parents. However, the "Oracle of Wall Street" economist — so known for correctly predicting the 2008 crisis — did not foresee a recession, given that stronger cohorts would continue to power the economy. Aside from Gen Z and millennial consumers, top-earners are also helping keep the US economy afloat, Whitney noted. Those raking in over $150,000 are still active in the economy, though buying has shifted toward essentials over discretionary products.

Persons: —, Meredith Whitney —, Harris, Whitney, McDonald's, Gen Z Organizations: Service, Financial Times, Business, Whitney, US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Dollar

☆ Morgan Stanley lays out the stock market's best-case scenario for this week's Fed decision — and 2 areas to buy after the cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Ideally the Fed will cut rates by a half-point without triggering growth worries, Morgan Stanley says. According to new research from Morgan Stanley, that would be the best possible outcome for stocks. Ahead of the rate cut, Morgan Stanley suggested that investors increase exposure to two stock cohorts that have historically outperformed in similar environments: defensive and high-quality. Defensive stocks include sectors such as utilities and consumer staples — groups that are less reliant on macroeconomic conditions to perform well. Large caps also tend to outperform small caps both before and after the Fed's first rate cut.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, —, Morgan, cyclicals, Wilson Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve

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