For inflation to durably return to the Fed's 2% target, it "is likely to require a period of below-trend growth and some further softening in labor market conditions," Powell said.
There is evidence the labor market is cooling, Powell said, with some important measures approaching levels seen even before the pandemic.
Those include new geopolitical risks to the economy from the "horrifying" attack on Israel by the Palestinian militant Hamas group, Powell said.
"Persistent changes in financial conditions can have implications for the path of monetary policy," Powell said, with higher market-based interest rates, if sustained, doing the same job as Fed rate increases.
"We cannot yet know how long these lower readings will persist, or where inflation will settle over coming quarters," Powell said.
Persons:
Jerome Powell, Evelyn Hockstein, Powell, Dan Burns, Ann Saphir, Chizu Nomiyama, Andrea Ricci
Organizations:
. Federal, Federal Reserve, REUTERS, Economic, of New, Fed, Hamas, Federal, U.S, Thomson
Locations:
Washington , U.S, U.S, of New York, Israel