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“I will remain cognizant of the tightening in financial conditions through higher bond yields and will keep that in mind as I assess the future path of policy,” Jefferson said in remarks to the National Association for Business Economics. The remarks by Jefferson and earlier by Dallas Fed president Lorie Logan, one of the Fed system's more influential voices on financial markets, caused investors to undercut the likelihood of further Fed rate increases. "If long-term interest rates remain elevated because of higher term premiums, there may be less need to raise the fed funds rate," said Logan, who has been among the more hawkish officials in supporting the need for continued rate increases. Since the Fed last raised its policy interest rate a quarter of a percentage point in July, long-term bond yields have risen a full percentage point, a fast rate of change for a massive market. A rise in the so-called “term premium," if it proves persistent, could put an enduring drag on the economy and perhaps give the Fed less reason to raise its own policy rate.
Persons: Philip Jefferson, ” Jefferson, Jefferson, Lorie Logan, FedWatch, Gregory Daco, Logan, policymaker, Chris Varvares, Howard Schneider, Andrea Ricci, Nick Zieminski Organizations: DALLAS, Federal, Treasury, National Association for Business Economics, Dallas, New York Fed, Fed, P, Thomson Locations: U.S, Jefferson, Israel
"If long-term interest rates remain elevated because of higher term premiums, there may be less need to raise the fed funds rate," Logan said. The Dallas Fed president said the economy has been stronger than she had expected, as has been the labor market, and that inflation was still too high despite progress in lowering it. But because Logan ran the New York Fed's bond portfolio for years before she took the top job at the Dallas Fed, her views on what's driving long-term rates higher could carry considerable weight as policymakers weigh their next moves. "The expectation of lower Federal Reserve asset holdings over time implies that other investors will need to hold more long-duration securities, which appears to be one factor among the many contributing to higher term premiums," Logan said. Figuring out how much of the higher long-term rates is due to higher term premiums is complex, she added.
Persons: Lorie Logan, Ann Saphir, Logan, Mary Daly, Julia Coronado, Lorie, she's, Krishna Guha, Guha, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank, Dallas, Kansas City, REUTERS, Rights, Treasury, Federal Reserve, National Association for Business Economics, Market, San Francisco Fed, Evercore ISI, Dallas Fed, Fed, Thomson Locations: Kansas, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, U.S, York
So, Fed officials are divided, but it doesn’t really matter. Fed officials are still people, and as the saying goes, opinions are like bellybuttons in that everyone’s got one. Fed officials in that committee with voting power have the option to dissent, but it’s only happened twice this cycle. This year’s voters, which are Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker, and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, will be rotated out next year. Up NextMonday: Fed officials Lorie Logan, Michael Barr and Phillip Jefferson deliver remarks.
Persons: Mary Daly, Michelle Bowman, , Biden, That’s, Michael Feroli, everyone’s, “ It’s, ” Feroli, Esther George, Ed Al, Hussainy, JPMorgan’s Feroli, It’s, Jerome Powell, John Williams, Lorie Logan, Austan Goolsbee, Patrick Harker, Neel Kashkari, Logan, Kashkari, Raphael Bostic, San Francisco Fed’s Daly, – CNN’s Elisabeth Buchwald, Michael Barr, Phillip Jefferson, Christopher Waller Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, CNN, Federal, San Francisco Fed, JPMorgan, Fed, Market Committee, Kansas City, Columbia Threadneedle Investments, Governors, New York Fed, Dallas Fed, Chicago Fed, Philadelphia Fed, Minneapolis Fed, San Francisco, Treasury, PepsiCo, The National Federation of Independent Business, US Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Delta, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, The University of Michigan Locations: San, Kansas, Columbia, Cleveland, Richmond, Atlanta, San Francisco, Walgreens
But at the regional level, the IG has yet to weigh in on the trading activities of Rosengren, Kaplan and current Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic. Both Rosengren and Kaplan have said they followed the Fed rules that governed trading at the time, and their disclosures were approved by Fed lawyers. Conti-Brown praised the central bank's new ethics regime as likely the best in government, which he said casts the IG's work in an even worse light. They have proposed legislation that would make the Fed IG position a presidential appointment requiring confirmation by the Senate, something Bialek has publicly opposed. During a hearing in the Senate in May, Bialek said the Fed had never interfered in his work.
Persons: That's, Jerome Powell, Eric Rosengren, Robert Kaplan, Mark Bialek, Elizabeth Warren, Rick Scott, Peter Conti, Brown, Powell, Richard Clarida, Kaplan, Raphael Bostic, Rosengren, Bostic, Conti, Warren, Scott, Bialek, Clarida, she's, There's, Michael S, Dan Burns, Paul Simao Organizations: Dallas, Boston Federal Reserve, U.S . Congress, Boston Fed, Dallas Fed, Fed, Democratic, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Reserve Bank, Rosengren, Atlanta Fed, Senate, Committee, Thomson Locations: U.S
Sept. 9, 2021: Kaplan and Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren pledge to divest their stock holdings. Sept. 27, 2021: Kaplan and Rosengren announce their departures from the Fed within hours of one another. Oct. 4, 2021: Powell refers the matter to Fed Inspector General Mark Bialek for a fuller investigation. July 14, 2022: The IG clears Powell and Clarida of wrongdoing over trades that violated the Fed's investment policy. Oct. 14, 2022: Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic announces what he said were inadvertent violations of policies restricting when Fed officials could trade and invest.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Evelyn Hockstein, Powell, Robert Kaplan, Kaplan, Eric Rosengren, Elizabeth Warren, supportto Kaplan, Rosengren, Mark Bialek, Richard Clarida, Clarida, Raphael Bostic, Bostic, Michael S, Dan Burns, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, REUTERS, Street Journal, Dallas, Boston Fed, Dallas Fed, Democratic U.S, Fed, Rosengren, Boston, New York Times, Atlanta Fed, Senate, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, U.S, Dallas
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPowell made it very clear the Fed won't abandon the 2% inflation target: Former Dallas Fed presidentRichard Fisher, who served as president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas from 2005 to 2015, says "the question is the speed with which they get there."
Persons: Powell, Richard Fisher Organizations: Dallas Fed, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUnlike other central banks, Bank of Japan is 'marching to a different drummer'Richard Fisher, former Dallas Fed president, says the Bank of Japan had a "unique ecosystem" where it is "very beholden to the diet".
Persons: Richard Fisher Organizations: Bank of Japan, Dallas Fed
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFmr. Dallas Fed President: We're still playing catch-up to the fact people earn less than inflationFormer Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's rate hike campaign, the state of the economy, recession outlook, and more.
Persons: We're, Richard Fisher Organizations: Dallas Fed, Former Dallas Fed
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan: Organic growth capability of the U.S. economy is limitedRobert Kaplan, former Dallas Fed president, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss Janet Yellen's thoughts on the stability of the U.S. economy, if economic risks are to the upside or downside, and Kaplan's thoughts on the deficit.
Persons: Robert Kaplan, Janet Yellen's Organizations: Former Dallas Fed, Dallas Fed Locations: U.S
Are higher rates going to lead to some slow down in conjunction with the dwindling of excess consumer savings," said Lefkowitz, who also cited concerns about high valuations in equities. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) rose 75.86 points, or 0.22%, to 34,576.59, the S&P 500 (.SPX) gained 6.35 points, or 0.14%, to 4,457.49 and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) added 12.69 points, or 0.09%, to 13,761.53. For the week, which was shortened by Monday's Labor Day holiday, the S&P 500 fell 1.3%, while the Nasdaq lost 1.9% with both snapping two weeks of gains. After losing 2.9% in two sessions, the S&P 500 technology sector (.SPLRCT) closed higher. The S&P 500 posted 13 new 52-week highs and 17 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 36 new highs and 229 new lows.
Persons: David Lefkowitz, Lefkowitz, Brendan McDermid, Phil Blancato, Ladenburg, John Williams, Lorie Logan, Ryan Cohen, Sinéad Carew, Chuck Mikolajczak, Gertrude Chavez, Dreyfuss, Shristi, Arun Koyyur, Vinay Dwivedi, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Gilead Sciences, Kroger, Dow, Nasdaq, Index, UBS Global Wealth Management, Dow Jones, Monday's Labor, Apple, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Asset Management, York Fed, Dallas, BofA Securities, GameStop, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, NYSE, Thomson Locations: Beijing, New York City, U.S, New York, Bengaluru
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., August 15, 2023. Are higher rates going to lead to some slow down in conjunction with the dwindling of excess consumer savings," said Lefkowitz, who also cited concerns about high equity valuations. According to preliminary data, the S&P 500 (.SPX) gained 6.85 points, or 0.15%, to end at 4,457.62 points, while the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) gained 12.69 points, or 0.09%, to 13,761.53. Oil prices are up so far in September and on track for a fourth straight monthly gain, and this week's data also fueled inflation fears. This included stronger-than-expected services activity data and a fall in weekly jobless claims.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, David Lefkowitz, Lefkowitz, Phil Blancato, Ladenburg, John Williams, Lorie Logan, Sinéad Carew, Shristi, Arun Koyyur, Vinay Dwivedi, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Index, Federal, FedWatch, Treasury, UBS Global Wealth Management, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Asset Management, York Fed, Dallas, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, New York, Bengaluru
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., August 15, 2023. The Consumer Price Index reading for August is due on Sept. 13, while the Federal Reserve's policy decision is scheduled for Sept. 20. New York Fed President John Williams kept his options open over future interest rate policy and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said while it "could be appropriate" to skip a rate hike in the upcoming meeting, more policy tightening might be needed. DocuSign (DOCU.O) added 3.1% as the e-Signature product provider beat second-quarter results estimates and raised its annual revenue forecast. GameStop (GME.N) fell 2.3% on a report that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission was investigating the videogame retailer's chairman, Ryan Cohen.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mark Haefele, Morgan Stanley, John Williams, Lorie Logan, Mary Daly, Ryan Cohen, Shristi Achar, Arun Koyyur, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Mizuho, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, UBS Global Wealth Management, Traders, FedWatch, Apple, Wall, Dow e, . New York Fed, Dallas Fed, San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank, GameStop, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Beijing, China, Bengaluru
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., August 15, 2023. U.S. Treasury yields edged lower on Friday, helping boost major growth stocks, with Microsoft (MSFT.O) leading gains, up 1.9%, and Meta Platforms (META.O) advancing nearly 1%. The S&P 500 information technology (.SPLRCT) sector rose 0.6% while energy stocks (.SPNY) rose 1.3% to their highest level in over seven months, tracking an uptick in crude prices. Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 1.64-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by a 1.01-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P 500 recorded 13 new 52-week highs and 14 new lows, while the Nasdaq posted 31 new highs and 160 new lows.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Morgan Stanley, Phil Blancato, Ladenburg, John Williams, Lorie Logan, Ryan Cohen, Shristi Achar, Arun Koyyur, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Gilead Sciences, Kroger, Dow, Nasdaq, Apple, Microsoft, Treasury, Wall, Federal Reserve, Index, Federal, Asset Management, FedWatch, New York Fed, Dallas, Dow Jones, BofA Securities, GameStop, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Beijing, Bengaluru
Raindrops hang on a sign for Wall Street outside the New York Stock Exchange in Manhattan in New York City, New York, U.S., October 26, 2020. ET, for a snapshot of the U.S. economy, ahead of the keenly awaited inflation data scheduled for next week and the Fed's policy decision on Sept. 20. Investors will also parse comments from Boston Fed President Susan Collins and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan later in the day. ET, Dow e-minis were down 76 points, or 0.22%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 11.5 points, or 0.26%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 50 points, or 0.32%. Reporting by Shristi Achar A and Amruta Khandekar in Bengaluru Editing by Vinay DwivediOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Mike Segar, Russ Mould, AJ Bell, Susan Collins, Lorie Logan, General Mills, Shristi Achar, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: Wall, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Companies, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Federal Reserve, Investors, Global, ISM, Traders, Boston Fed, Dallas Fed, Dow e, Apple, Alaska Air Group, Southwest Airlines, United Airlines, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, Russia, Saudi Arabia, China, Bengaluru
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFmr. Dallas Fed Pres. Kaplan: Productivity improvement helps with GDP growth and inflation fightFormer Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan joins 'Squawk on the Street' to preview Fed Chair Powell's Jackson Hole speech, the state of the U.S. economy, inflation outlook, and more.
Persons: Dallas Fed Pres, Robert Kaplan, Jackson Organizations: Dallas Fed, Productivity Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe market has reacted to Powell's comments neutrally, says former Dallas Fed President FisherRichard Fisher, Barclay's senior advisor and former U.S. Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas president, joins 'Halftime Report' to discuss the market reaction to Powell's Jackson Hole remarks, Fed Chair Powell's professional expertise, and the economy's strength.
Persons: Fisher Richard Fisher, Barclay's, Powell's Jackson Organizations: Dallas Fed, U.S . Federal Reserve Bank, Dallas
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan: I don't think the Fed will take any action in SeptemberFormer Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's rate hike campaign, whether the economy can achieve a soft landing, inflation outlook, and more.
Persons: Robert Kaplan Organizations: Former Dallas Fed
"So why not be in a situation where you're just much more ready in case you...need to access this discount window?" An analysis of Fed data by Reuters, though, shows a lot still needs to be done to meet that goal. All told, about 3,800 banks borrowed from the discount window during the 11-year period detailed in the central bank data. The biggest banks also stepped up to borrow so as to reduce discount window stigma. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said small banks should think of the discount window as a backup.
Persons: Brittany Hosea, Jerome Powell, I’ve, Lorie Logan, Banks, Goldman Sachs, Huberto Ennis, Michelle Bowman, Brad Tidwell, SVB, Austan Goolsbee, Richmond Fed's Ennis, Neel Kashkari, Ann Saphir, Michael S, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Bank, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Reuters, Dallas, U.S, Fed, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Richmond Fed, National Credit Union Association, Chicago Fed, Federal Home Loan Bank, Minneapolis, Home Loan Bank, Thomson Locations: Santa Clara , California, U.S, Silicon, Washington, While California, Texas, Logan's, New Mexico, Louisiana, Henderson , Texas
July 28 (Reuters) - U.S. banks should incorporate the Federal Reserve's emergency lending facility known as the "discount window" as part of their contingency funding plans, federal banking regulators said in updated guidance on Friday. The discount window, a key Fed facility long associated with providing emergency loans to banks, is "an important tool" banks can use to manage liquidity risk, bank regulators including the Federal Reserve and Federal Deposit Insurance Corp said in an updated interagency policy statement. The bank runs earlier this year that forced regulators to shut down Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank in mid-March "underscored the importance of liquidity risk management and contingency funding planning," the agencies said. The updated guidance comes after Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said in May that banks should be prepared to borrow regularly from the Fed's discount window, particularly after the March bank failures demonstrated the importance of effective liquidity risk management. The bank regulators also said that financial institutions should establish and maintain operational readiness to use the discount window, including conducting periodic small value transactions.
Persons: Lorie Logan, Hannah Lang, Dan Burns, Marguerita Choy Organizations: Federal Reserve, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, Bank, Signature Bank, Dallas, Thomson Locations: Washington
July 28 (Reuters) - U.S. banks should incorporate the Federal Reserve's emergency lending facility known as the "discount window" as part of their contingency funding plans, federal banking regulators said in updated guidance on Friday. The discount window is "an important tool" banks can use to manage liquidity risk, bank regulators including the Federal Reserve and Federal Deposit Insurance Corp said in an updated interagency policy statement. Bank runs in mid-March that forced regulators to shut down Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank "underscored the importance of liquidity risk management and contingency funding planning," the agencies said. "Banks are now working to see that they are ready to use the discount window, and we are strongly encouraging them to do that," he said. Reuters GraphicsThe guidance also said financial institutions should establish and maintain operational readiness to use the discount window, including conducting periodic small value transactions.
Persons: Lorie Logan, Jerome Powell, Banks, Hannah Lang, Dan Burns, Marguerita Choy, Richard Chang Organizations: Federal Reserve, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, Bank, Signature, Dallas, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Washington
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFmr. Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan: I'd love to see a more broad approach to fighting inflationRobert Kaplan, former Dallas Fed President, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's inflation fight, whether the tightening campaign is nearing an end, and more.
Persons: Robert Kaplan Organizations: Dallas Fed
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed should be leaning toward one more rate increase, says former Dallas Fed presidentRobert Kaplan, former Dallas Fed president, joins 'The Exchange' to talk the impact of government spending, the state of U.S. infrastructure and the Federal Reserve's next move.
Persons: Robert Kaplan Organizations: Dallas Fed, Federal Locations: U.S
The primary dealer survey was released on Thursday by the New York Fed and was joined by the survey of market participants, most of whom are large money managers. Respondents to that poll were also caught off guard by the Fed outlook and had projected the same Fed stopping point as the primary dealers. The dealer and market surveys also offered projections about the size of the Fed’s reverse repo facility. Mainly used by money funds, this tool finally saw inflows fall below $2 trillion per day last month, and they are widely expected to fall further as private market rates become more attractive and the Treasury ramps up issuance. Primary dealers reckon the daily reverse repo inflow will hit $1.119 trillion by the fourth quarter of 2024.
Persons: Lorie Logan, Logan, Michael S, Andrea Ricci Organizations: YORK, Reserve, Fed, Federal, New York Fed, Reuters Graphics Dealers, Dallas Fed, Columbia University, Treasury, Thomson
Private payrolls surged far more than expected in June, data showed, suggesting the labor market remained solid despite growing risks of a recession. “We don’t see any softening in the labor market,” said Brad McMillan, chief investment officer for Commonwealth Financial Network. All 11 S&P 500 sectors ended down. U.S. interest rate futures saw an increased probability of another rate hike by the Federal Reserve in November, according to CME's FedWatch. Second-quarter corporate reports will arrive in coming weeks with S&P 500 earnings expected to fall 5.7% from a year-ago, according to Refinitiv data.
Persons: payrolls, , Brad McMillan, CME's, Lorie Logan, Lip, judge's, Lewis Krauskopf, Bansari Mayur Kamdar, Johann M, Vinay Dwivedi, Shinjini Ganguli, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Energy, Exxon, Dow, Nasdaq, Reserve, Commonwealth Financial Network, Dow Jones, Microsoft, Apple, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Fed, Dallas, Exxon Mobil Corp, Wealth Management, JetBlue Airways, American Airlines, Spirit Airlines, NYSE, Thomson Locations: U.S, New York, Bengaluru
Dollar eases after strong labor market reports
  + stars: | 2023-07-06 | by ( Herbert Lash | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
NEW YORK, July 6 (Reuters) - The dollar eased after a brief rebound on Thursday as data showing the U.S. labor market remains strong increased chances the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates later this month. "Take it together with how equity markets have responded, that gives a clear picture of the dollar today. The dollar index , measuring the U.S. currency against six others including the euro and Japan's yen, fell 0.18% to 103.13. "The FX market is taking more of a 'one-dimensional approach' to trading the British disease," said Stephen Gallo, global FX strategist at BMO Capital Markets. The Chinese yuan last traded down slightly at 7.2575 per dollar in the offshore market , a day after falling about 0.4%.
Persons: payrolls, Brian Daingerfield, Lorie Logan, Brad Bechtel, Stephen Gallo, Gallo, Bitcoin, Herbert Lash, Samuel Indyk, Rae Wee, David Holmes, Mark Potter, Richard Chang Organizations: YORK, Reserve, Labor Department, Institute for Supply Management, NatWest Markets, Fed, Dallas, FX, Jefferies, of England, BMO Capital Markets, Thomson Locations: U.S, Stamford , Connecticut, London, Singapore
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