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The S&P 500 rose for nine straight weeks, its longest winning streak since 2004, as optimism built about future interest rate cuts. Stoltzfus predicted that S&P 500 earnings will end 2024 between $240 and $250. "Just about everything that you buy costs more today than it cost in 2019, 2020, before 2021 when this started taking hold, except for stocks," Stoltzfus said. Another argument that's more widely discussed is that last year's gains were driven by a handful of large growth stocks. "Some, on a multiple basis, are considerably cheaper outside of Big Tech," Stoltzfus said.
Persons: John Stoltzfus, Stoltzfus, he's, It's, Ameriprise's Anthony Saglimbene, DWS Group's David Bianco, Goldman Sachs, Tesla, , Oppenheimer, Stocks, that's, it's Organizations: Business, Oppenheimer Asset Management, University of Michigan, Stoltzfus, Apple, Microsoft, Netflix, Nvidia, Big Tech, Software, isn't, Facebook, Google Locations: industrials
The second week of January rang in the fourth-quarter earnings season, and Wall Street's expectations are positive but not super-bullish. For sector-specific details, analysts at Bank of America note that online advertising is expected to see an uptick, and software is expected to outperform. All told, earnings season remains an opportune time to buy single stocks that beat expectations and get rewarded. The average performance dispersion between S&P 500 stocks rises in tandem with the number of companies reporting earnings on any given day, Bank of America found. Below is the list of eight buy-rated stocks Bank of America says are most likely to beat expectations.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, they'll, Tesla Organizations: Business, Bank, America, America's, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Bank of America
Markets are closely monitoring Q4 earnings results, which began rolling out in mid-January, since they give much-needed clarity on the prior year while setting the tone for the year ahead. AdvertisementWhat to expect during the Q4 earnings seasonEarnings seasons often bring surprises, but there are also bankable bets. But we're going to be driven more by the macro, if we're excluding these mega-cap tech stocks." 3 sectors with boom-or-bust potentialWhile the strategists Business Insider spoke with didn't provide investing recommendations, several shared which sectors they're watching in Q4. Bianco believes the tech sector's earnings will rise over 20% this year.
Persons: , Matt Stucky, Stucky, David Kelly, UBS Josh Jamner, That's, Jamner, Carol Schleif, Schleif, there's, Anthony Saglimbene, David Bianco, Saglimbene, Bianco, Brad Klapmeyer, Klapmeyer, " Bianco, Ameriprise's Saglimbene, BMO's Schleif, Indrani De, De, she's, he'd, that's Organizations: Service, Business, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management, Asset Management, UBS, ClearBridge Investments, BMO Family Office, DWS, Macquarie Asset Management, FTSE Russell Locations: Americas
The S & P 500 rallied more than 1% on Friday, above both its closing and intraday records that it last reached in January 2022. "Meaning that when a major index like the S & P 500, like the Nasdaq 100, reaches a new all time high, what it does is, it clears the charts of resistance." For 2024, Wald anticipates the S & P 500 will end the year at the 5,400 level, representing a roughly 12% rise from Friday's close of 4,839.81. Inflation data, earnings ahead Next week will also bring the Fed's preferred inflation gauge for December, which is expected to confirm the recent trend of easing inflation. Leading Indicators Tuesday Jan. 23 10 a.m. Richmond Fed Index (January) Earnings: General Electric , Synchrony Financial , D.R.
Persons: it's, Katie Stockton, we've, Oppenheimer's Ari Wald, Wald, Dow Jones, That's, Dave Sekera, Sekera, Jan, Johnson, Lockheed Martin, Lockheed Martin Wednesday Jan, Kimberly, Clark, Northrop Organizations: Fed, Nasdaq, Morningstar Research Services, Richmond Fed, Synchrony, Raytheon Technologies, Verizon Communications, Halliburton, Johnson, Procter, Gamble, Lockheed, Lockheed Martin Wednesday, PMI, SA, PMI Manufacturing SA, PMI Services SA, Abbott Laboratories, Chicago, New, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Northrop Grumman, Southwest Airlines, American Airlines, Comcast, PCE, Norfolk, American, CNBC Locations: Stockton, U.S, Horton, Freeport, McMoRan, . Kansas
The S & P 500 could close at an historic high today. On January 4th, three days into the new year, the S & P 500 closed at 4,688, down 1.7% for the very young new year. Now another indicator, the First Five Days indicator, was about to fail too. What turned things around was an old-fashioned tech rally, the exact thing that everyone was ready to write off because, well, after being the Big Story of 2023, a big-cap tech rally couldn't happen again, right? S & P Sectors YTD Health Care + 1.9% Consumer Staples - 0.2% Energy - 4.5% Real Estate - 4.3% Banks - 3.5% Consumer Discretionary - 2.3% What's the lesson?
Persons: Dan Ives, AI Jensen, Ives Organizations: Santa, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Staples, Energy, Nadella Locations: Wedbush
Fundstrat's Tom Lee believes that the technology sector will one day make up 50% of the S&P 500. During periods of extended labor shortages, like during the 1950s, 1960s, and 1990s, technology stocks significantly outperformed the S&P 500. "Technology demand, in our view, will accelerate as companies seek to offset labor shortage," Fundstrat said. "The outperformance of technology during periods of labor shortage is substantial — and we believe the forecasted 2015 to 2047 [labor shortage] to benefit technology stocks," Fundstrat said in a recent note. "We like technology/FAANG $XLK $QQQ," Lee said, referring to the mega-cap tech stocks, the technology sector, and the Nasdaq 100.
Persons: Fundstrat's Tom Lee, , Tom Lee, Fundstrat, Lee Organizations: Service, Technology, Nasdaq Locations: Fundstrat
The S & P 500 rallied 24%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite ended 2023 up 43.4% in its best year since 2020. Still, there are some stocks trading at cheaper valuations than the broader S & P 500, and which analysts expect will have strong earnings growth in 2024. Delta also had among the highest expected earnings growth at over 90%, and a high buy rating of 82%. One communication services stock showed up — Match Group , with a forward P/E ratio of 18.9 and expected earnings growth of 55.6%. Targa Resources tied with Delta for having the highest buy rating on the list (about 82%).
Persons: Stocks, Delta Organizations: Tech, Nasdaq, CNBC Pro, . Delta Airlines, Arch Capital Group, Match, Targa Resources, Delta
– Thank you, Cathryn, San Francisco We certainly understand and agree it's becoming increasingly difficult to maintain a diversified portfolio that's not dominated by technology stocks. There are also what many investors would think of as tech companies in S & P 500 Communication Services , at an 8.6% weighting. After all, we would say Meta, Alphabet and Amazon are as much tech companies as Apple or Microsoft, with all three considered leaders in artificial intelligence. These are industrial technology companies, not the industrial companies of old. So, using some of the examples provided in the question: Yes, Microsoft and Apple are both considered Information Technology companies.
Persons: Jim Cramer, it's, didn't, We've, they're, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: Technology, Nvidia, Apple, Broadcom, Microsoft, Palo Alto Networks, Communication, Honeywell, Eaton, Web Services, Google, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: San Francisco
The equity market is due for a cooldown, according to several strategists, who are telling clients to begin positioning themselves defensively in preparation for a slow-growth earnings environment next year. The S & P 500 has rallied almost 24% this year, but is up 11% in the fourth quarter alone. The SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF , for example, is up 24% this quarter, but still down 12% for the year. According to Calvasina, industrials are the most overvalued sector in the S & P 500, while energy and communication services offer the most attractive valuations. .GSPHC YTD mountain S & P Health Care sector performance this year.
Persons: Venu Krishna, Krishna, haven't, Lori Calvasina, Calvasina, Marko Kolanovic, Kolanovic Organizations: Barclays, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, CNBC, Big Tech, Regional Banking, RBC Capital, P Health Care, JPMorgan Locations: Krishna, SPX, Europe
UBS is out with its 2024 outlook, and it expects some wild swings for markets next year. The Wall Street firm on Monday said it sees the S & P 500 ending next year at 4,850, roughly 5% above Monday's close of 4,622.44. Stocks have been on a tear recently, with the S & P 500 riding a six-week winning streak. "The large spread between current strength and expected weakness presents a dilemma for investors," Golub wrote Monday. Goldman Sachs' David Kostin said he anticipates the S & P 500 will end next year at 4,700 , just a stone's throw from where the broader index is currently trading.
Persons: Jonathan Golub, Stocks, Golub, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, America's Savita Subramanian, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: UBS, UBS Investment Bank, Bank, America's
Stocks will continue to rise as the U.S. skirts a recession in 2024, according to CFRA chief investment strategist Sam Stovall. "By the end of 2024, CFRA sees the S & P 500 challenging the 5,000 level," Stovall wrote in a Friday note. "But since large, round numbers traditionally act like rusty doors, requiring several attempts before finally swinging open, our year-end target for the S & P 500 is 4,940." .SPX YTD mountain The S & P 500 has gained about 21% from the start of 2023. Stovall's forecast implies about 7% upside for the S & P 500 to the end of 2024.
Persons: Sam Stovall, CFRA, Stovall, Stocks, Michael Bloom Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Reserve, Treasury Locations: U.S
The market is going to worsen early in 2024 before recovering, according to Evercore ISI. The firm sees the S & P 500 falling in the first half of next year to 3,970 as a "recession materializes and politics [amplify] volatility." An inverted yield curve also portends the start of a recessionary period in the first quarter of 2024, he added. "'Defense Wins Championships' is a consistent theme between [the] last hike and first cut in the recession playbook," said Emanuel. By comparison, the S & P 500 is up 20.1% year to date.
Persons: That's, Julian Emanuel, Emanuel Organizations: ISI
JPMorgan predicts European stock markets will struggle to produce positive returns next year as investors digest slowing economic growth across the continent. The forecast for 2024 comes from the same team of strategists that have, so far, accurately called the MSCI Eurozone's performance this year. They expected the index to rise 9.1% to close at 256 points by the end of December 2023 on a local currency basis. "We look for flat European [earnings per share] growth in 2024, based on no recession materializing," said JPMorgan strategists led by Mislav Matejka in a note to clients on Nov. 29. The JPMorgan strategists believe stocks will sink in the first half of 2024 as markets factor in potential downward adjustments to earnings estimates.
Persons: Mislav Matejka, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: JPMorgan, FTSE
Today's market-leading stocks may not have the luxury to sit on their laurels, according to Goldman Sachs. Since Goldman Sachs began tracking the "Laggards" trade in 2022, the trend has held up 13 years out of 21, according to Mehta. The laggards have on average outperformed the S & P 500 by 130 basis points. The first, "differentiated buys," includes opportunities where Goldman Sachs analysts have out-of-consensus buy ratings. Finally, Goldman Sachs analysts also identified stocks with a "track record of CROCI [cash return on capital invested] generation," a metric that evaluates a company's cash return against its total equity.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, there's, Deep Mehta, Mehta, Laggards, laggards, Locker, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Financial, Barclays, Mosaic, CF Industries, Clear, Chesapeake Energy, Shoals Technologies, Biomarin Pharmaceutical, Body Works, Mohawk Industries, Bristol, Myers Squibb, Honeywell International, United Parcel Service Locations: . Norfolk Southern, Bath
TOKYO (AP) — Asian shares declined Tuesday on heavy selling of property and technology shares. A key report on Japanese inflation showed core consumer prices in Tokyo, which excludes volatile food prices, rose 2.3% from a year ago, slowing from previous months' increases. Hopes that inflation is easing enough to allow the Federal Reserve to stop raising interest rates have pushed shares higher in recent weeks. The sector is a key component in the U.S. economy and accounts for the majority of the nation’s jobs. The government’s monthly jobs report for November is due on Friday.
Persons: Hang Seng, Australia's, Biden, Uber, Brent Organizations: TOKYO, Shanghai, Nikkei, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasury, Technology, Microsoft, Nvidia, Netflix, Alaska Air Group, Hawaiian Airlines, Spotify, Federal Reserve, Institute for Supply Management, FactSet, U.S . Locations: Tokyo, U.S
They have to endure bombardment and attacks in absolute silence,” El Helbawi said. Fearful that a blackout could provide cover for “war crimes,” El Helbawi became consumed with finding a solution. But when talks on those plans stalled, El Helbawi decided to try something else. Donors have sent QR codes from as far as the United States, Switzerland, Pakistan and the Netherlands, El Helbawi says. She shared her concerns with El Helbawi, who told her, “You never know what happens,” Elkomi recalled.
Persons: , ” El, El Helbawi, they’ve, , ” El Helbawi, El, Israel, John MacDougall, ” Paltel, Elon Musk, Musk, Ahmed Elmadhoun, Elmadhoun, ” Elmadhoun, Donors, Graeme Bradley, ” Bradley, they’ll, Rizek Abdeljawad, ” Elkomi, “ …, Elkomi, there’s, ’ El Helbawi Organizations: CNN, Hamas, Palestinian Ministry of Health, Getty, El, , Simly Locations: Cairo, Gaza, El, Israel, Palestinian, ” El Helbawi, United States, Switzerland, Pakistan, Netherlands, Scotland, Xinhua, Egypt, , eSIMs, Palestine, Rafah
Historically, November is the best month of the year for the stock market, and December is third, according to the Stock Trader's Almanac. Under the surface this week, we also saw signs of a possible market rotation in the works. Rotation watch : We must look to next week's trading for confirmation that we're in the grips of a rotation or simply a head fake. Signs of the former were on display this week as the two of the biggest sector winners of the year, communication services and technology , trailed the market. Jobs, jobs, jobs : The most important release of the week comes Friday in the form of the November nonfarm payrolls report.
Persons: Jerome Powell, That's, Locker, it's, Hock Tan, We'll, Joann, JOAN, JM Smucker, OLLI, Campbell Soup, Brown, Forman, LULU, Smith, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Wall, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Broadcom, Marvell Technology, Cisco Systems, VMWare, Club, PMI, Labor, Signet Jewelers, SIG, Brands, Toll, Thor Industries, Natural Foods, GameStop, Vail Resorts, MTN, Smith & Wesson, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: Asana, ASAN, New York City
Ulta Beauty — The beauty stock rallied nearly 11% after posting third-quarter results that surpassed analysts' estimates. Samsara — Samsara shares popped 16% after the cloud company posted better-than-expected quarterly results and shared stronger-than-expected guidance. The chip company posted third-quarter earnings that topped Wall Street's estimates but shared weaker-than-expected guidance for the current quarter. Ambarella — Shares slipped 1% after Ambarella reported third-quarter gross margins of 62.6%, down from 63.5% in the year-ago period. Otherwise, the semiconductor design company posted quarterly results that topped estimates.
Persons: Tesla, Nelson Peltz, Alibaba, Morgan Stanley, Wells, Dell, Altimmune, Ambarella, Jefferies, Yun Li, Michelle Fox, Sarah Min, Alex Harring, Brian Evans, Jesse Pound Organizations: Disney — Disney, Trian Fund Management, Pfizer, Paramount Global, Street Journal, Paramount, Apple, Marvell Technology, Invest, Nasdaq, Dell —, LSEG, JPMorgan, Norfolk Southern, Bank of America, CSG Locations: Texas, China, Wells Fargo, Norfolk, Ohio
TOKYO (AP) — Asian shares retreated Monday as investors awaited updates on consumer spending and inflation in the U.S. and other nations. While analysts expect them to stand pat on policy, attention remains relatively high, given concerns about inflation. Wall Street ended last week mixed with a half-day trading session that capped a fourth straight winning week. The holiday shopping season kicked off with Black Friday amid concerns that spending may slow under pressure from dwindling savings, rising credit card debt and inflation. The major stock indexes’ latest weekly gains reflect a turnaround in the market’s sentiment in November following a three-month slide.
Persons: ” Yeap Jun Rong, Hong, Hang Seng, Brent, Yuri Kageyama Organizations: TOKYO, Nikkei, IG, Shanghai, Reserve Bank of New, Bank of Korea, Bank of, Black, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Google, CF Industries, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Benchmark, New York Mercantile Exchange, U.S Locations: U.S, China, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Bank of Thailand
Wall St ends mixed in truncated Black Friday trading
  + stars: | 2023-11-24 | by ( Stephen Culp | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
The S&P 500 (.SPX) closed nominally higher, while the Dow (.DJI) eked out a modest gain. Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., November 17, 2023. Of the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, nine ended with gains, led by healthcare (.SPXHC). The S&P 500 posted 23 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 77 new highs and 51 new lows. Volume on U.S. exchanges was 4.97 billion shares, compared with the 10.49 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.
Persons: Peter Cardillo, Cardillo, Brendan McDermid, decliners, Stephen Culp, Sruthi Shankar, Shristi, Richard Chang Organizations: Nvidia, Vista Outdoor, Colt, Dow, Nasdaq, Spartan Capital Securities, Retailers, U.S, Insider Intelligence, Commerce, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, PMI, Dow Jones, Communication, Reuters, Czech, Xpeng, Volkswagen, NYSE, Thomson Locations: China, New York, U.S, New York City, Bengaluru
Still, stocks have risen sharply in recent weeks on the view the Fed is done hiking rates. Big tech-related shares were among those giving the S&P 500 its biggest boost. Communication services (.SPLRCL) rose 0.9%, leading S&P 500 gains in all sectors except for energy (.SPNY), which fell 0.1%. Among the day's negatives, Nvidia's (NVDA.O) shares fell 2.5%, a day after the chip designer forecast overall fourth-quarter revenue above Wall Street targets, but warned U.S. export curbs could lead to a steep drop in sales in China. The S&P 500 posted 45 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 89 new highs and 104 new lows.
Persons: Quincy Krosby, Brendan McDermid, decliners, Caroline Valetkevitch, Amruta Khandekar, Maju Samuel, Pooja Desai, Richard Chang Organizations: Deere, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Financial, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow Jones, Communication, Wall, U.S, Deere & Co, NYSE, Thomson Locations: China, Charlotte , North Carolina, New York City, U.S
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., November 15, 2023. Among the day's economic data, the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell more than expected last week. Still, stocks have risen sharply in recent weeks on the view that Fed is done hiking rates. She said stocks tend to rise just before the Thanksgiving holiday and also to rally heading into year-end. The S&P 500 posted 45 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 80 new highs and 89 new lows.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Quincy Krosby, Caterpillar, decliners, Amruta Khandekar, Maju Samuel, Pooja Desai, Richard Chang Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Deere, Dow, Nasdaq, Financial, U.S, Dow Jones, Wall, Deere & Co, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, China, Charlotte , North Carolina
The S&P 500 (.SPX), the Nasdaq (.IXIC) and the Dow (.DJI) registered their third straight week of gains. For the week, the S&P 500 added 2.2% while the Nasdaq composite rose 2.4% and the Dow climbed 1.9%. Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., November 15, 2023. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid Acquire Licensing RightsEnergy, finishing up 2.1%, was the biggest percentage gainer among the 11 major S&P 500 sectors as oil prices settled up more than 4%. The S&P 500 posted 18 new 52-week highs and 1 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 55 new highs and 97 new lows.
Persons: Michael Barr, Mary Daly, Susan Collins, Robert Phipps, Per Stirling's Phipps, Dow, Jack McIntyre, Brendan McDermid, Russell, Rick Wilmer, Sinéad Carew, Shristi, Maju Samuel, Pooja Desai, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, San Francisco Fed, Boston Fed, Applied Materials, U.S . Justice, Stirling, Dow Jones, Brandywine Global, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Rights Energy, Technology, Microsoft, Ross Stores, Old Navy, ChargePoint Holdings, NYSE, Thomson Locations: U.S, China, Austin Texas, Philadelphia, New York City, New York, Bengaluru
Starting next year, it should be less frustrating for iPhone and Android users to text one another. Green message bubbles signal that they are coming from an Android or other non-iPhone user. But they have come to be associated with an unpleasant texting experience for iPhone users, whose messages are blue to indicate that they have been sent via iMessage. The green bubble is here to stay, however: It will signal when RCS is in use. The technology “will work alongside iMessage, which will continue to be the best and most secure messaging experience for Apple users,” Apple said in a statement.
Persons: iMessage, ” Apple Organizations: Apple Locations: iMessage
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., November 15, 2023. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq rose for the third straight session on Thursday as Treasury yields fell after higher-than-expected weekly jobless claims underscored market expectations that interest rates have peaked. The communication services index (.SPLRCL) led declines among the 11 major S&P 500 sectors, while energy shares (.SPNY) rose 1.1% as oil prices gained. Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 2.72-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by a 1.88-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. Reporting by Shristi Achar A and Amruta Khandekar in Bengaluru; Editing by Maju SamuelOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Michael Barr, Mary Daly, Daly, Thomas Hayes, Russell, Rick Wilmer, Shristi Achar, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Microsoft, Materials, San Francisco Fed, Great, Capital, Dow, Dow Jones, Old Navy, ChargePoint Holdings, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Bengaluru
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