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☆ Americans just got the biggest confirmation yet of an interest rate cut next month — but the job market hangs in the balance
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( Ayelet Sheffey | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

He offered details on the Fed's thinking as the next Federal Open Market Committee meeting approaches in September, with all eyes on the first interest rate cut since the pandemic began. AdvertisementIt's all but certain that the Fed will cut rates in September. That leaves the big question of how much — not if — the Fed will cut rates, and the upcoming jobs report will likely shed some light on that question. "Today, the labor market has cooled considerably from its formerly overheated state. "But the inflation and labor market data show an evolving situation.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Jackson, precarity, Austan Goolsbee, we've Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, CME, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Democratic, Chicago Fed

☆ Nonfarm payroll growth revised down by 818,000, Labor Department says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-21 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The U.S. economy created 818,000 fewer jobs than originally reported in the 12-month period through March 2024, the Labor Department reported Wednesday. Wall Street had been waiting for the revisions numbers, with many economists expecting a sizeable reduction in the originally reported figures. "The labor market appears weaker than originally reported," said Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial. "A deteriorating labor market will allow the Fed to highlight both sides of the dual mandate and investors should expect the Fed to prepare markets for a cut at the September meeting." Nonfarm payroll jobs totaled 158.7 million through July, an increase of 1.6% from the same month in 2023.

Persons: Jeffrey Roach, Jared Bernstein, Goldman Sachs, Jerome Powell Organizations: Labor Department, of Labor Statistics, BLS, Federal Reserve, LPL, Goldman Locations: U.S, Jackson Hole , Wyoming

☆ U.S. job growth revised down by the most since 2009. Why this time is different
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-21 | by ( Steve Liesman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

A few facts worth considering:By the time the 2009 revisions came out (824,000 jobs were overstated), the National Bureau of Economic Research had already declared a recession six months earlier. (It would subsequently be revised higher in the two of those quarters, one of which was revised higher to show growth, rather than contraction. As a signal that job growth has been overstated by an average of 68,000 per month during the revision period, it is more or less accurate. In the cutting process, the Fed will follow growth and jobs data more closely, just as it monitored inflation data more closely in the hiking process. The jobs data could be subject to noise from immigrant hiring and can be volatile.

Persons: payrolls, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Amerant, National Bureau of Economic Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Goldman Locations: Florida, Sunrise , Florida

☆ More and more Americans are worried they will lose their job
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-19 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

CNN —The shape of the US labor market is changing, job growth is slowing and new survey data released Monday shows that Americans are starting to feel increasingly unsettled about it all. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s latest survey on consumers’ labor market experiences and expectations showed that job, wage and benefits satisfaction all sank in July. Job offer activity held steady from July 2023, and the average expected likelihood of receiving at least one job offer increased from last year. Additionally, the average reservation wage (the lowest wage one would accept for a new job) remained well above July 2023 — and significantly higher than pre-pandemic levels. Job growth has slowed, especially in recent months, as the US labor market has settled back into a more balanced state amid a slower-growing economic backdrop.

Persons: — Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve Bank of New, New York Fed, Bureau of Labor Statistics

July marked a third straight month that egg prices rose on an annual basis, a reversal from a year of relative decreases. The culprit was a continued battle against the highly pathogenic avian influenza, known in short as HPAI or the bird flu. Inflation in egg prices became a focus for consumers during the pandemic given their ubiquity in everyday cooking. The bird flu had a historic outbreak in 2022 and surged once again at the end of 2023. That can underscore the impact of any bird flu outbreaks on the prices customers see on grocery store shelves.

Persons: Luke Sharrett, Caitlinn Hubbell, Hubbell, resurgences Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, Purdue University's Center, Food, Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: West Lafayette , Indiana, Colorado, California

Tim Walz defends his military record. Walz defends his military recordDemocratic vice presidential nominee Tim Walz defended his military record during his first solo event on the campaign trail. Vance asserted Walz misrepresented his military record; Walz said he misspoke. Ernesto expected to strengthen into a hurricaneTropical Storm Ernesto on Aug. 13, 2024. Staff Pick: Laci Peterson case back in the spotlightLaci Peterson and Scott Peterson in an undated photo.

Persons: Tim Walz, Walz, ”, Sen, JD Vance, Vance, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, nudging Trump, Chuck Todd, Kamala Harris, Ernesto, Ilhan Omar, Minnesota, Eric Hovde, Democratic Sen, Tammy Baldwin, Laci Peterson, Scott Peterson, Peterson, — Chelsea Stahl, Benjamin Netanyahu, Elvis Presley’s, Elizabeth Robinson Organizations: Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Democratic, Minnesota, NBC, Trump, GOP, NOAA, Getty Images Schools, NHC, U.S ., Wisconsin Republican, Senate, Modesto Police Department, Pictures, Israeli, Police Locations: Los Angeles, Ohio, Denver, Boston, Michigan, Asheville , North Carolina, Puerto Rico, Caribbean, British Virgin Islands, U.S . Virgin Islands , Puerto Rico, Vieques, Culebra, California, U.S, Ferguson , Missouri, Tennessee

Economists like to say the cure for high prices is high prices. In other words, consumers eventually start to hold back on spending when they are faced with increasing costs. On Monday, the New York Federal Reserve reported that consumers' three-year inflation outlook hit a record low. Many economists credit the Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates starting in the spring of 2022 with helping to curb the upswing. It is that last factor that the Federal Reserve is keenly focused on.

Persons: “, Andrew Jassy, Wells Fargo, Mark Hamrick, ” Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve's, New York Federal Reserve, Federal, Fed, BLS, Gallup, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S, York

☆ Why you shouldn't worry about the job market and a recession just yet
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-14 | by ( Jacob Zinkula | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Read previewThe labor market is trending in the wrong direction, but it might not be time to sound the alarm just yet. The unemployment rate has risen for four consecutive months and at 4.3%, it's the highest it's been in nearly three years. However, there are some reasons it might be too soon to freak out about the labor market. AdvertisementSatyam Panday, chief US economist for S&P Global Ratings, said in a note published on August 6 that the slowing labor market appears to suggest a "normalization" of a previously red-hot labor market, rather than an "economy that's about to slip into a recession." The labor market might get worseTo be sure, there are plenty of reasons to remain concerned about the state of the labor market.

Persons: —, there's, it's, Goldman Sachs, David Mericle, Manuel Abecasis, they've, It's, Goldman Sachs that's, Satyam Panday, Michael Gapen, JP Morgan, Claudia Sahm Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor Department, Federal, Satyam, Bank of America, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, New Century Advisors Locations: US

☆ Annual inflation rate slows to 2.9% in July, lowest since 2021
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-14 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The consumer price index, a broad-based measure of prices for goods and services, increased 0.2% for the month, putting the 12-month inflation rate at 2.9%. Excluding food and energy, core CPI came in at a 0.2% monthly increase and a 3.2% annual rate, meeting expectations. The annual rate is the lowest since March 2021, while the core is the lowest since April 2021, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics report. A 0.4% increase in shelter costs was responsible for 90% of the all-items inflation increase. Food prices increased 0.2% while energy was flat.

Persons: Joe Raedle, Dow Jones Organizations: Getty, Labor Department, Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: Miami , Florida

☆ Inflation cooled in July, adding to the case for interest rate cuts at the next Fed meeting
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-14 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

It's the first time the inflation rate has been below 3% since March 2021, and it adds to the case that the Federal Reserve could cut rates at its next meeting. Over the month, the consumer price index rose 0.2% in July. The Fed is watching for inflation to cool before committing to rate cuts. Many economists think it's well past time for the Fed to cut interest rates and have expressed worries about the rapidly cooling labor market. AdvertisementThe labor market is cooling off, and it might be harder to get a job than a few years ago.

Persons: —, Jerome Powell, Nick Bunker, Claudia Sahm, Powell Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, Core CPI, of Labor Statistics, Fed, North America, Bureau of Labor Statistics, New Century Advisors, Federal Reserve

☆ Inflation milestone: Consumer Price Index slows below 3% for first time since March 2021
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-14 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

CNN —Price hikes slowed more than expected in July, and, for the first time in more than three years, the Consumer Price Index has landed below 3%. Consumer prices rose 2.9% for the 12 months ended in July, slowing from June’s 3% annual gain, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ latest CPI report released Wednesday. On a monthly basis, prices rose 0.2% after posting a 0.1% decline the month before. Economists were expecting a 0.2% monthly increase and an annual rise of 3%, according to Fact Set consensus estimates. Core CPI inflation is now running at its slowest pace since April 2021.

Persons: CNN — Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics ’

☆ Stock market today: Stocks soar as investors cheer soft PPI and brace for consumer inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks rallied on cooling inflation data from the producer price index report. Investors are hoping for evidence of further cooling in Wednesday's consumer price index. Starbucks gained 23% on Tuesday on news Chipotle boss Brian Niccol will be the new CEO. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the producer price index rose 0.1% in July, underwhelming estimates of a 0.2% increase. Investors will now watch for further disinflationary signals in Wednesday's consumer price index report.

Persons: Brian Niccol, —, Dow, Jamie Cox Organizations: Investors, Starbucks, Service, Labor Statistics, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Fed, Harris Financial Group, Bank of America

☆ A key inflation gauge showed price hikes slowed last month. But economic jitters remain
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

CNN —US wholesale inflation slowed as expected in July, easing after an unexpected flare-up the month before. On a monthly basis, prices rose 0.1%, a slower pace than the 0.2% increase seen in June. Economists had expected that prices would increase 0.2% on a monthly basis and slow to 2.3% annually, according to FactSet estimates. The modest monthly increase in the overall PPI was attributed to a 0.6% jump in goods prices, according to the BLS report. When stripping out energy and food prices — categories that also tend to be volatile — core PPI prices were flat for the month, bringing down the annual gain to 2.4%, its lowest since March.

Persons: Price Organizations: CNN, of Labor Statistics, PPI, BLS, CPI

☆ Stock market today: Indexes climb as producer inflation comes in cool
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Max Adams | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Stocks were higher on Tuesday after PPI showed wholesale inflation was less than expected in July. Investors are now bracing for the consumer inflation reading due out on Wednesday. AdvertisementUS stocks were up on Tuesday after the producer price index for July showed wholesale inflation rose less than expected. Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that producer prices increased 0.1% last month compared to estimates of 0.2%. The cooler-than-expected reading should boost optimism for consumer prices to show a decline in inflation when the consumer price index is released on Wednesday.

Persons: —, Chris Zaccarelli, Laxman Narasimhan, Brian Niccol, Elon Musk Organizations: PPI, Investors, Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Fed, Depot, Bank of America, Starbucks, Trump Media, Elon

☆ Wholesale inflation measure rose 0.1% in July, less than expected
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

A key measure of wholesale inflation rose less than expected in July, opening the door further for the Federal Reserve to start lowering interest rates. Excluding volatile food and energy components, core PPI was flat. A further core measure that also excludes trade services showed an increase of 0.3%. Trade services prices fell 1.3% while margins for machinery and vehicles wholesaling tumbled 4.1%. An increase of 2.3% in portfolio management offset some of the decline in services prices.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, PPI, BLS, Trade Locations: Brooklyn, New York City

☆ 6 things you could be doing wrong if you're struggling to get a job
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-11 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

AdvertisementBut for job seekers who are struggling, there are ways you can try to improve your odds. Related storiesHaller said job seekers should reply to a job posting within 24 hours "to at least have a shot to be in the mix." That's how long Haller said job seekers have "to capture somebody's attention by your résumé or by your profile." Haller said job seekers may want to see who they can contact at the company beforehand. Getz said "to be cautious about how often you're following up" because you're not the only job candidate a hiring manager is talking to.

Persons: —, Leanne Getz, Stacie Haller, ResumeBuilder.com, Haller, Gabrielle Davis, I'm, Davis, company's, Getz, it's, I've, you've, doesn't Organizations: Service, of Labor Statistics, Business, LinkedIn Locations: mhoff@businessinsider.com

☆ The most—and least—expensive U.S. states based on average monthly costs
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-11 | by ( Celia Fernandez | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

doxo's report found that Hawaii's average monthly cost for household bills is 45% above the national average. 1 most expensive U.S. state based on monthly costs: HawaiiHawaii is still the most expensive state based on the cost of monthly household bills. The doxo report found that the average monthly bill for a mortgage in Hawaii is $2,576, while the average rent is $1,983. 1 least expensive state based on monthly costs: West VirginiaFor the second year in a row, West Virginia ranked as the least expensive state based on monthly costs. Top 10 least expensive states based on monthly costs

Persons: doxo, Hawaii Matteo Colombo Organizations: Utilities Cable, Mobile, Auto, Household, Massachusetts, CNBC, University of Hawaii, Digitalvision, Hawaii, Hawaii California Massachusetts New Jersey Maryland Washington, Hawaii California Massachusetts New Jersey Maryland Washington New York Connecticut Colorado New, West Virginia, State, Business Study, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: Hawaii Hawaii, Hawaii, States, Honolulu, Maui, Aloha, Hawaii California Massachusetts New Jersey Maryland, Hawaii California Massachusetts New Jersey Maryland Washington New York Connecticut Colorado, Hawaii California Massachusetts New Jersey Maryland Washington New York Connecticut Colorado New Hampshire, Virginia, West Virginia, America's, Morgantown , West Virginia, West

☆ Restaurant CEOs’ new favorite word is value as they aim to bring back customers
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-11 | by ( Amelia Lucas | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

"The word 'value' has received a lot of airtime in the past few months," Josh Kobza, the CEO of Burger King parent company Restaurant Brands International , said on Thursday. Value for shareholdersA drive-through area of a Burger King restaurant in Peoria, Ill. Daniel Acker | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesCompanies aren't just thinking about offering value for customers — they're also thinking about shareholder value. For example, Burger King was one of the first chains to unveil a $5 value meal this summer. When its rivals followed suit with their own $5 discount deals, the Restaurant Brands chain didn't see any clear impact to its business. "There are actually some positives to the focus on value across the industry," Restaurant Brands' Kobza told CNBC.

Persons: Mario Tama, McDonald's, Josh Kobza, Burger, There's, Taco Bell, Papa, Ravi Thanawala, Chris Kempczinski, Richa Naidu, Kempczinski, it's, Brian Niccol, Adam Jeffery, Niccol, John Peyton, IHOP, It's, Peyton, Daniel Acker, — they're, They're, Burger King, Kobza Organizations: Getty, Taco Bell, Yum Brands, Restaurant Brands, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Burger King, Reuters, Grill, CNBC, Brands, Peoria , Ill, Bloomberg, Starbucks, U.S Locations: Burbank , California, Burger King, Oak Brook , Illinois, Peoria ,

☆ American workers are stuck in place because everyone is too afraid of a recession to quit
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-10 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The stagnation has resulted in a rise in "stuck" workers — frustrated employees who say they want to quit a job, but are staying put as the fear of a potential recession looms in the backs of their minds. Google search interest for the search phrase "quitting job" is down 11% over the last year, according to data accessed from the search analytics tool Glimpse. AdvertisementGoogle search interest in the term "recession" has exploded 230% over the past month, Glimpse data shows. Google search interest in "recession" has more than doubled in the past month. Job market forecasters say the slowdown in hiring looks poised to continue, even if the Fed begins to loosen monetary policy.

Persons: —, That's, Amanda, It's, I've, Raymond Lee, Careerminds, Korn, Radhika Papandreou, Papandreou Organizations: Service, Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Conference Board, Google, Fed, National Federation of Independent

☆ Trump says he ‘made a lot of money’ so he should have a say in when you get a rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-09 | by ( David Goldman | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

If reelected, Trump said Thursday he’d go further: He’d try to exert direct power over monetary policy. He gets a little bit too early and a little bit too late,” Trump said. Still, Trump has recently advocated against a rate cut before the election, saying such a decision from the Fed would be a gift to the Democratic party. Rate cuts tend to reduce borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, freeing up cash to to spend and boosting the economy. Presidents frequently gripe about Fed policy, but Trump’s public pressure campaign is in a league of its own.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, he’d, ” Trump, “, ”, Jerome Powell, Powell, reappoint Powell Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve, Federal, US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Fed, Democratic, Bloomberg Locations: Powell’s, Turkey

☆ Golden Opportunity to Boost Job, Labor Market: Raise the Minimum Wage
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-08 | by ( Emily Stewart | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +11 min

The federal minimum wage, which has been stuck at $7.25 an hour for 15 years. Given the situation, here's an idea: Why not raise the federal minimum wage right now? Getting anything done legislatively is always a challenge, especially in an election year, but polls indicate a higher minimum wage is broadly popular. AdvertisementOnce the minimum wage gets so high that it starts to cause a bunch of job loss, that's a problem. If a higher minimum wage lifts millions of people out of poverty, that's incredible.

Persons: it's, Yannet Lathrop, California's, It's, Jacob Vigdor, Vigdor, Justin Wiltshire, Michael Reich, David Neumark, shouldn't, we've, they've, Emily Stewart Organizations: Bureau of Labor Statistics, National Employment, New York Times, Congressional, University of Washington, University of Victoria, UC Berkeley's Center, Dynamics, University of California, Business Locations: Nebraska, Florida, Washington ,, Washington, West, Wisconsin, Iowa, Mississippi, South Carolina, Seattle, California, British Columbia, New York, Irvine, America, Wiltshire

☆ Dow closes nearly 700 points higher after latest jobless data brings better news for America’s labor market
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-08 | by ( Lucy Bayly | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

New York CNN —US stocks surged Thursday after new data on the labor market suggested that the economy may not be headed into the downward spiral that traders feared. First-time claims for unemployment benefits fell last week to 233,000 from the prior week’s upwardly revised total of 250,000, according to Department of Labor data released Thursday. “Anything in that range tends to suggest a fairly healthy labor market,” wrote economist Joseph Brusuelas on X Thursday morning. Weekly jobless claims data can be highly volatile and is frequently revised. Fears of a downturnThe latest jobs numbers come as Wall Street attempts to bounce back from a market plunge that was mostly triggered by the weaker-than-expected July jobs report.

Persons: ”, Joseph Brusuelas, Chris Larkin, ” Larkin Organizations: New, New York CNN, Dow, Nasdaq, of Labor, of Labor Statistics Locations: New York

Expensive Big Mac meals and fears of surge pricing at grocery stores have put food chains and consumer product companies in politicians' crosshairs. Walmart , McDonald's and Kroger are just a few of the companies that have found themselves in the debate over high inflation in the 2024 election. Democrats — particularly those like Casey who are trying to win races in competitive swing states — are trying to capitalize on frustration against companies over inflation. (The source of the data is unclear, and McDonald's has denied that its average prices have risen that much.) The criticism could also add to the pressure companies face to show they can lower prices or offer value.

Persons: Elizabeth Warren, Bob Casey, Kroger, Rodney McMullen, —, Casey, Joe Biden, McDonald's, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, Biden, Cait Lamberton, That's Organizations: Walmart, McDonald's, Kroger, Albertsons, House Republican, Taco Bell, Democratic, Republican, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, University of Pennsylvania's Wharton Locations: Sens, McDonald's

☆ How to maintain friendships when you can't afford to go out: 'Know which relationships are valuable to you'
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-07 | by ( Aditi Shrikant | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Look at how much money you're putting into each person with whom you spend time. "When you're reviewing your social spending, really luxuriate in the things that felt good," she says. Let's say you're going to expensive dinners once a month with a friend who makes you anxious. Perhaps it's worth cutting down how much time, and as result how much money, you're spending to maintain that relationship. Bernadette Joy, a self-made millionaire who paid off $300,000 of debt, cut down on social spending by hosting game nights.

Persons: Nashira Lynton, Amanda Clayman, Amanda, Lynton, Clayman, Bernadette Joy, Joy Organizations: Self, Bureau of Labor Statistics

☆ This labor data trend is a 'warning sign,' economist says. Here's why
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Ana Teresa Solá | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The unemployment rate jumped in July, and there is a detail in the data that has alarmed some economists. So-called marginally attached workers, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, are those who are available to work and want a job, but have not searched for a job in the four weeks preceding the survey. Bustamante assessed marginally attached workers plus unemployed workers as a group, which the BLS refers to as U-6. "That's a warning sign" for the labor market, he said. It is a sign that people want a job, but are having a hard time finding a job, he said.

Persons: Alí Bustamante, Bustamante, Kamala Harris, Nick Bunker Organizations: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Worker Power, Economic Security, Roosevelt Institute, Finance, North Locations: New York City, North America

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