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While the Dow Jones Industrial Average 's year-to-date move into the red on Thursday may signal more choppy, range-bound trading ahead, technical analysts say they don't think it's an omen for new multi-year lows. Chart experts say the closely followed blue-chip Dow Jones average could test long-term moving averages. .DJI YTD mountain The Dow Failing to hold above its 200-day moving average of 32,707 could mean more downside ahead for the 30-stock average, said JC O'Hara, chief technical strategist at Roth MKM. "On average the stocks have an aggregated [earnings] surprise of nearly +10%, but the stocks are not being rewarded," O'Hara said of earnings season for Dow stocks thus far. Now, the Dow is the only one of the three in the red on the year as investors favor growth stocks over value.

☆ European markets head for positive open ahead of Fed rate decision
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-03 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Maybe Monday's stock market slide shows investors are finally tempering their optimism that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates later this year to counterbalance an economic slowdown. Simply put, investors have bid up stocks since mid-March on a belief that the Fed will pivot policy, and cut rates by half a percentage point in reaction a shallow recession, BofA said. Unfortunately, the bank says such hopes will be dashed. "We see four risks this summer: an ugly debt ceiling battle, a significant tightening of bank credit, a geo-political event and disappointingly hawkish central banks. Hence a mild recession in the US—and flat growth in other major economies—will not trigger an immediate policy response," Harris wrote.

☆ Investors should sell the S&P 500 above this key level as earnings defy expectations but 'economic ambiguity' persists, Bank of America says
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-28 | by ( Carla Mozée | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Sell the S&P 500 when it rises above 4,200, Bank of America's chief stock strategist said Friday. "We stay bearish" as the US economy looks set to end 2023 with stress in the labor market and weak earnings. The S&P 500 was edging toward logging a 20% gain from its bear-market low. He reiterated his call to sell the S&P 500 above 4,200 — less than 0.1% from the current level — in part as stocks are pricing in a decline of "just" 4% in per-share corporate earnings. It said 76% of S&P 500 companies that posted results had outstripped Wall Street's targets.

☆ The market going into summer could be volatile, says BofA's Jill Carey Hall
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe market going into summer could be volatile, says BofA's Jill Carey HallJill Carey Hall, Head of Small and Mid-Cap Strategy at Bank of America Global Research, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the earnings season so far, and her market outlook for the rest of the year.

☆ Stock Pickers Failed to Take Part in First-Quarter Rally
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-10 | by ( Vicky Ge Huang | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Apple is one of three companies that helped drive the S&P 500’s returns in the first quarter. Stock pickers missed out on the first-quarter rally, failing to extend their recent winning streak. Only one in three actively managed large-cap mutual funds beat their benchmarks in the first three months of the year, the worst performance since the three-month period ended December 2020, according to data from Bank of America Global Research.

☆ Inflation looks hard to pull down amid fast wage growth, says BNP's Yelena Shulyatyeva
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInflation looks hard to pull down amid fast wage growth, says BNP's Yelena ShulyatyevaEthan Harris, head of global economics at Bank of America Global Research and Yelena Shulyatyeva, U.S. economist at BNP Paribas, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss the market response to the SVB hearing, the regulatory response to the bank crisis, and credit turmoil replacing interest rate hikes.

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with BofA's Ethan Harris and BNP Paribas' Yelena Shulyatyeva
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with BofA's Ethan Harris and BNP Paribas' Yelena ShulyatyevaEthan Harris, head of global economics at Bank of America Global Research and Yelena Shulyatyeva, U.S. economist at BNP Paribas, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss the market response to the SVB hearing, the regulatory response to the bank crisis, and credit turmoil replacing interest rate hikes.

☆ Sentiment indicators have been at extremes, but investors don't seem in any hurry to take advantage of it
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-28 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Sentiment indicators have been at extremes, but investors don't seem in any hurry to take advantage of it. That is a good thing: sentiment indicators are mostly useful at extremes, and when sentiment gets this pessimistic it is usually associated with at least short-term market bottoms. This morning, for example, Lori Calvasina at RBC Capital Markets also pointed out that many sentiment indicators were at extremes. In theory, this is good news: she notes that when sentiment gets this bad, the S & P 500 is up 15% on average over the next 12 months. Other sentiment indicators are also at extremes.

☆ These tech giants are still making money, but layoffs are coming hard and fast
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-24 | by ( Sheila Chiang | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Here are some of the more prominent global tech firms that have axed staff despite earning big money. 30 despite a "dynamic environment," CEO Satya Nadella said in the tech giant's annual report. Despite that, Microsoft announced in January that it's laying off 10,000 workers as the firm braces for slower revenue growth. The enterprise software company also returned to positive operating profit growth of 2%. However, SAP announced in January that it's cutting up to 3,000 jobs, as the leadership seeks to steer the company toward double-digit profit growth in 2023.

☆ Investor pessimism is reaching extremes, and that may be good for markets
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-21 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The monthly Bank of America Global Fund Manager Survey shows "investor sentiment close to levels of pessimism seen at lows of past 20 years," according to the survey. This pessimism is consistent with other investor sentiment surveys. The weekly AAII Investor Sentiment Survey, out last Thursday, was at a 6-month low for bullish sentiment and close to the levels of last September, which were near historic lows. Two rules about sentiment indicators: 1) they are contrarian indicators, and 2) they are most useful when the readings are at extremes (as they are now). The firm also noted that other sentiment indicators (money flows, private clients' asset allocation) are not yet in "capitulation" territory.

Last quarter, Nvidia said tech giant Microsoft was deploying “tens of thousands” of its GPUs in its cloud unit Azure to train and use AI. Microsoft-backed OpenAI's ChatGPT runs entirely on Nvidia chips, Piper Sandler analyst Harsh Kumar said. Revenue from the data center business was $3.62 billion for the fourth quarter, slightly below analyst estimates of $3.84 billion. Gaming chip sales were $1.83 billion, beating analyst estimates of $1.52 billion, according to Refinitiv data. Adjusted profit was 88 cents per share for the fourth quarter, beating analyst estimates of 81 cents.

☆ Stock market still not fulling pricing in recession risks , says BofA's Jill Carey Hall
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStock market still not fulling pricing in recession risks , says BofA's Jill Carey HallJill Carey Hall, head of small and midcap strategy at Bank of America Global Research, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss year end targets, nearterm downside risks, and markets not fully pricing in recession.

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with BofA's Jill Carey Hall on lessons from earnings season
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with BofA's Jill Carey Hall on lessons from earnings seasonJill Carey Hall, head of small and midcap strategy at Bank of America Global Research, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss year end targets, nearterm downside risks, and markets not fully pricing in recession.

Burry was featured in the 2010 nonfiction book "The Big Short" by Michael Lewis which was made into a popular movie five years later. Farallon, meanwhile, added 2,197,000 shares of Alibaba, while Coatue added 4,796,186 shares of Alibaba and 1,221,551 shares of JD.com. China began taking steps to end its zero-COVID policy, which was among the world's strictest anti-coronavirus regimes, in December. Hedge fund managers' positions were revealed in 13F filings that show what fund managers owned at the end of the quarter. While they are backward-looking, these filings are one of the few public disclosures of hedge fund portfolios.

☆ Kazuo Ueda is set to become Japan's next central bank governor. Here's what it means
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-14 | by ( Jihye Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesKazuo Ueda is set to become the next governor of the Bank of Japan, succeeding current central bank chief Governor Haruhiko Kuroda. Kishida recently emphasized the need for the next central bank governor to have "global communication skills" and be able to coordinate closely with global peers, Reuters reported, citing his comments in parliament. He has led the central bank's ultra-dovish monetary policy, including maintaining a negative interest rate since 2016 – even as global peers have been hiking to tackle inflation. Bank of America Global Research expects gradual policy normalization under the central bank's new leadership instead of an abrupt change, according to the firm's economists led by Izumi Devalier. 'Well-suited' deputiesJapan's government also reportedly announced its nominees for other central bank roles including Shinichi Uchida, currently the central bank's executive director, and Ryozo Himino, the former chief of Japan's Financial Services Agency.

☆ Google has long dominated search, and it's about to massively change it to meet the rising threat of ChatGPT. New AI features could intensify battles with content creators.
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-09 | by ( Thomas Maxwell | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Like Microsoft's revamped Bing search engine, Bard is meant to give answers directly within search. The unveiling of its new search chatbot this week is likely to once again raise the question of whether Google is using others' work without fair compensation. The company is incorporating the conversational chatbot technology, known as Bard, into search, first as a small test while the company gathers feedback. Microsoft, which recently announced a multibillion-dollar investment into ChatGPT's creator, OpenAI, similarly intends to incorporate that chatbot into its Bing search engine. Microsoft could face similar headaches as it rolls out its new Bing search engine.

☆ The market's technical picture is getting active traders very excited
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-27 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The S & P closed at a new high for the year Thursday, up 5.75% for the year. Consider: The S & P is breaking a long-term downtrend (lower lows and lower highs) that goes back to the historic high on January 4, 2022. The percentage of stocks in the S & P 500 trading above their 200-day moving average is expanding. The rally is broad-based, with both value and growth stocks in the S & P 500 up almost equally (6.2% and 5.4%, respectively). "You have to get through the 4,100 level, you have to stop the routine of lower highs and lower lows," one trader told me.

☆ Morning bid: Dodging a downturn
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-17 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan. Global investors have fretted endlessly about a 2023 recession for the major global economies for more than six months. And Tuesday's latest economic healthcheck showed that the severe hit to Chinese economic activity from the draconian lockdown policies was actually much less than feared. The survey showed that investors' recession expectations peaked at a net 77% of respondents in November but have fallen to 68% in January. The BofA survey showed fund managers may have already repositioned, however, as their allocation to U.S. equities dived in January and a net 39% said they were underweight while preferring euro zone stocks.

☆ Bank of Japan could announce major policy shift this week as bond yields top limit again
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-16 | by ( Jihye Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

This picture taken on October 27, 2022 shows pedestrians walking in front of the Bank of Japan (BoJ) headquarters in Tokyo. The move would come less than a month after the Bank of Japan caught markets off guard by widening its tolerance range for 10-year Japanese government bond yields. Indeed, Nikkei reported Monday that the Bank of Japan purchased JGBs worth more than 2 trillion yen ($15.6 billion) after the nation's 10-year bond yield curve topped 0.5% for two consecutive sessions. While the central bank leaving interest rates unchanged would be positive for Japanese stocks, BofA said a removal of its yield curve control policy could lead to sharp declines. HSBC, meanwhile, expects the central bank to announce further widening of the yield curve control tolerance band instead of abolishing the policy altogether.

☆ BofA's Curtis Nagle breaks down under-the-radar housing plays
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBofA's Curtis Nagle breaks down under-the-radar housing playsCurtis Nagle, analyst at Bank of America Global Research, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss 2023 housing trends, top names for housing market plays, and indicators of home sale growth.

☆ Did the market already show its hand in the first week of 2023? What we've learned so far
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-07 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

Recall that at the start of last year, the popular bet was for a smooth and painless rotation from expensive growth stocks to financials and cyclicals. It didn't last: The S & P financial sector trounced utilities by seven percentage points in just the first week of 2022. Yet the Nasdaq 100 's premium to the overall S & P 500 remains at 25% — higher than at any point in the decade before the Covid pandemic hit. And the broader tape, as measured by the equal-weighted S & P 500, continues to act better than the top-heavy headline index. This egalitarian basket, buyable via the Invesco S & P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) , is up 16% from the autumn low, is down less than 12% from its record high and has broken to a new cycle high against the traditional S & P 500.

Below are the events, trends and topics investors expect to shape the outlook for emerging markets next year. "The economic downturns along with the aggressive monetary tightening and geopolitical and commodity shocks that induce them will be temporarily painful in financial and emerging markets," said David Folkerts-Landau, group chief economist at Deutsche Bank. Globally, the war has transformed energy markets and inflation pressures, food security and geopolitical risk perception - factors that are often more keenly felt in emerging economies. "There's not actually a lot of debt maturing next year," said Carmen Altenkirch, emerging markets sovereign analyst at Aviva Investors. 6/ TURKEY ELECTIONSPresident Tayyip Erdogan could face the biggest political challenge of his two decades in power as Turks head to the ballot box in the most high-profile vote in emerging markets.

Reuters GraphicsOn a monthly basis, data showed that seven out of the 10 major central banks lifted rates in December. This compares to the monthly peak of 550 bps in September, though not all central banks meet on a monthly basis. "Most emerging market central banks are close to having completed their rate hike cycle," said Charles-Henry Moncheau, chief investment office at Syz Group. Central banks in Korea, South Africa, Thailand, Malaysia and Israel did not hold rate setting meetings in December. Emerging markets interest ratesReporting by Karin Strohecker and Vincent Flasseur in London, editing by Tomasz JanowskiOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Retail investors turn to ETFs as recession fears knock down meme stocks
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-16 | by ( Medha Singh | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Dec 16 (Reuters) - Retail investors are doubling down on Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) as rising interest rates and volatile markets curb their appetite for risky assets such as meme stocks, SPACs and cryptocurrencies. On average, retail investors' portfolios are down about 39% in 2022 after recording gains of 18% in 2021, JPMorgan analysts Peng Cheng and Emma Wu said. The investment trend, however, is leaning more toward ETFs tracking broader markets and away from the meme stock frenzy of 2021 that saw retail investors banding together on social media forums to fuel eye-popping gains in GameStop (GME.N), AMC (AMC.N) and others. Retail investors' average daily trading volume in U.S. stocks has amounted to $13.8 billion so far in 2022, compared with $14.2 billion a year earlier, which was the peak of meme stock trading frenzy, according to the report. Meanwhile, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on Wednesday voted to propose some of the biggest changes to American equity market structure in nearly two decades, aimed at boosting transparency and fairness while increasing competition for individual investors' stock orders.

☆ Premarket stocks: Betting on a market bounce? You may be waiting a while
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-12 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

New York CNN —‘Tis the season for Wall Street strategists to pack their clients’ inboxes with market predictions for 2023. Market analysts aren’t alone. “US equity returns will be driven by earnings against a backdrop characterized by elevated market volatility,” write JPMorgan analysts. The effort was initially touted as a “Big Bang 2.0” — a nod to the rapid deregulation of UK financial markets under former Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher in 1986. The changes are a bid to maintain London’s role as a global financial hub after Brexit, which, alongside political turmoil, has boosted uncertainty for companies thinking about where to invest.

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