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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBOJ decision on rates will be a 'very close call,' strategist saysYujiro Goto, head of FX strategy for Japan at Nomura, says wage data has been improving, but the Bank of Japan will be concerned about weak consumption.
Persons: Yujiro Goto Organizations: Nomura, Bank of Japan Locations: Japan
Asia-Pacific markets climbed on Monday, with Japan's Nikkei 225 leading gains in the region after a key U.S. inflation report late last Friday raised hopes for an interest rate cut. The Nikkei rose 2.02%, while the broad-based Topix was up 1.52%. In Asia, the highlight for this week will be the Bank of Japan's monetary policy meeting starting July 30. A Reuters poll of economists expects the central bank to raise rates by 10 basis points to 0.1%. Other key inflation data from the region include China's July PMI data, while Australia will release its latest set of inflation data before the central bank's Aug. 6 monetary policy meeting.
Persons: Topix, Dow Jones Organizations: Mount Fuji, Japan's Nikkei, Nikkei, Bank, ING Locations: Asia, Pacific, U.S, Australia
Yen eases as Nikkei jumps, central bank meetings loom
  + stars: | 2024-07-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Sterling was steady near a 2-1/2-week low to the euro ahead of the Bank of England's policy announcement on Thursday. The dollar gained 0.29% to 154.24 yen early in the Asian day, after dipping as low as 151.945 on Thursday for the first time since May 3. Last week, the dollar sank 2.36% against the yen for its worst weekly performance since late April. Speculation has grown that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates on Wednesday at the same time as significantly reducing its monthly bond purchases. Elsewhere, the Australian dollar gained 0.31% to $0.6568, recovering from Friday's low of $0.65105, a level not seen since the start of May.
Persons: Sterling, Tony Sycamore, bitcoin, Donald Trump Organizations: Bank of, Nikkei, Bank of Japan, IG, Federal Reserve, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Australian, Republican Locations: Japan, U.S, China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJapan's economy is weak because the BOJ failed to hike rates in time: CLSANicholas Smith, Japan strategist at CLSA, says the "economy has been weak because of consumption. Consumption has been weak because of the cost of living crisis. Who drove the cost of living crisis? The Bank of Japan did."
Persons: CLSA Nicholas Smith Organizations: of Japan Locations: Japan
Yen rises as carry trades unwind, risk sentiment takes a hit
  + stars: | 2024-07-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The yen drew support from unwinding carry trades on Thursday ahead of next week's Bank of Japan (BOJ) policy meeting and as a rotation out of megacap growth stocks dampened risk appetite broadly and provided some safe haven bids. "It's also the fact that risk sentiment is deteriorating, and that's helped (the yen) as well... You've got unwind in the tech trade, you've got unwind in the carry yen trade...you've got the Nikkei, as well, unwinding." Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki and top currency diplomat Masato Kanda both refrained from commenting on the yen's recent sharp rise. The New Zealand dollar similarly fell 0.24% to $0.5915.
Persons: Tony Sycamore, It's, that's, You've, you've, Shunichi Suzuki, Masato Kanda, Sterling Organizations: week's Bank of Japan, New, Reuters, IG, Nikkei, Japanese Finance, PMI, Traders, Federal, Australian, New Zealand Locations: New Zealand, U.S, Down
The flag of Japan flutters at the Bank of Japan headquarters in Tokyo on Dec. 19, 2023. The Bank of Japan is likely to debate whether to raise interest rates when it meets next week and unveil a plan to roughly halve bond purchases in coming years, sources said, signaling its resolve to steadily unwind its massive monetary stimulus. "The decision will be a close call and a hard one to make," given uncertainty over the consumption outlook, one of the sources said. "It's really a judgment call, in terms of whether to act now or later this year," another person said. While the nine-member board broadly agrees on the need for a near-term rate hike, there is no consensus on whether it should happen next week or later in the year, they said.
Organizations: Bank of Japan, The Bank of, Reuters Locations: Japan, Tokyo, The Bank of Japan
The dollar was steady and poised to snap a two-week losing run on Friday as U.S. labour and manufacturing data kept traders pondering on when and by how much the Federal Reserve would cut rates this year. The dollar was steady and poised to snap a two-week losing run on Friday as U.S. labor and manufacturing data kept traders pondering on when and by how much the Federal Reserve would cut rates this year. The Federal Reserve is scheduled to meet at the end of July where markets anticipate a very low chance of the central bank cutting rates. Ryan Brandham, head of global capital markets for North America at Validus Risk Management, said the U.S. economy is getting closer to where a rate cut may be appropriate. In other currencies, the Australian dollar eased 0.11% to $0.66985, while the New Zealand dollar was 0.22% lower at $0.6032.
Persons: Ryan Brandham, Mary Daly, Daly, recouping, Sterling Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, Traders, U.S, Federal, North America, Validus Risk, Fed, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Dallas Fed, European Central Bank, ECB, Bank of England, New Zealand Locations: Tokyo, Japan, U.S, Britain
Volatile yen keeps markets on edge as intervention risks swirl
  + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
A sheet of newly-designed Japanese 10,000 yen banknotes at the National Printing Bureau Tokyo plant in Tokyo, Japan, on Wednesday, June 28, 2023. The Japanese currency swung between gains and losses in early trading before trading slightly weaker. It spiked nearly 3% to as high as 157.40 immediately after the consumer inflation report on Thursday. "Currency interventions should certainty be rare in a floating rate market, but we'll need to respond appropriately to excessive volatility or disorderly moves," Kanda said. Tokyo intervened at the end of April and in early May, spending roughly 9.8 trillion yen ($61.55 billion) to support the currency.
Persons: Masato Kanda, Kanda, It's, Siong Sim, Charu Chanana, Matt Simpson, Menon, Donald Trump, Sterling Organizations: National Printing Bureau, Asahi, Nikkei, Bank of Singapore, U.S, CPI, Saxo, Federal Reserve, City, Traders, Presidential, Trump Locations: National Printing Bureau Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, U.S
Dollar adrift ahead of U.S. inflation test; sterling firms
  + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar fell a touch on Thursday although moves were largely subdued ahead of a U.S. inflation report due later in the day, while sterling firmed on receding expectations for an August rate cut from the Bank of England (BoE). The dollar fell a touch on Thursday although moves were largely subdued ahead of a U.S. inflation report due later in the day, while sterling firmed on receding expectations for an August rate cut from the Bank of England. BoE Chief Economist Huw Pill on Wednesday said price pressures in Britain's economy were persistent and that the timing of a first rate cut was an "open question". His colleague Catherine Mann signalled she is unlikely to vote for an interest rate cut in August. Against the greenback, the euro gained 0.04% to $1.0834, and the Aussie dollar rose 0.01% to $0.6754.
Persons: BoE, Huw Pill, Catherine Mann, Carol Kong, Jerome Powell Organizations: Bank of England, Monetary, ANZ, MPC, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Federal Reserve, U.S, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New, Bank of Japan Locations: U.S, Asia, Japan
SeongJoon Cho/Bloomberg via Getty ImagesThe U.S. Federal Reserve may start cutting interest rates before year's end. How interest rates impact the U.S. dollarIn reality, the dynamics driving dollar fluctuations are more complex than whether the Fed raises or lowers interest rates. The European Central Bank cut interest rates in June, for example. This is happening against the backdrop of a relatively strong U.S. economy, which also generally supports a strong dollar, Petersen said. For example, investors generally get a better return on cash when interest rates are high.
Persons: SeongJoon Cho, Jonathan Petersen, Petersen, " Petersen, that's, Richard Madigan, Benjamin Atwater, Atwater, Morgan's Madigan, Jerome Powell, Bonnie Cash Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, . Federal, U.S ., Capital Economics, U.S, Morgan Private Bank, European Central Bank, Fed, Bank of Japan, U.S . Federal, Banking, Housing, Urban Affairs, ECB Locations: Japan, Asia, Denver, Europe, U.S
Yen drops to 38-year low, U.S. dollar slumps after weak data
  + stars: | 2024-07-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
A report indicating that the U.S. services sector contracted last month and factory orders fell also weighed on the dollar. The dollar was last up 0.1% at 161.64, after earlier falling to a session low below 161 following weak U.S. data. The yen also hit an all-time low of 174.48 against the euro . The euro rose to a three-week high against the dollar, and was last up 0.3% at $1.0781. Further pressuring the dollar was a weak U.S. services report from the Institute for Supply Management.
Persons: Sterling, Helen, , Shunichi Suzuki, Jonas Goltermann, nonfarm Organizations: U.S ., Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of Japan, Monex USA, U.S, Finance, ADP, Reuters, Capital Economics, Institute for Supply Management, PMI, Fed Locations: United States, Washington ., U.S
The flag of Japan flutters at the Bank of Japan headquarters in Tokyo on Dec. 19, 2023. Japan bond market participants expect the central bank to trim bond purchases by roughly $100 billion in the first year under a quantitative tightening (QT) plan set for release this month, according to a survey conducted by Reuters. A Reuters survey of 19 banks, brokerages, insurers and asset managers showed they expect the Bank of Japan to trim bond buying by an average 16.1 trillion yen ($99.7 billion) in the first year. That would translate into monthly purchases of 4.65 trillion yen, down from the current pace of around 6 trillion yen. Combined, it would amount to a reduction of roughly 45 trillion yen during the two-year period.
Organizations: Bank of Japan, Reuters Locations: Japan, Tokyo, brokerages
Risk sentiment was also capped as hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials kept near-term U.S. rate cut expectations in check in a boost to the dollar. The comments along with data showing a stable housing market kept expectations in check over when and by how much the Fed will cut rates. Markets are pricing in 47 basis points of easing this year, with a rate cut in September pegged at 66% probability, CME FedWatch tool showed. In the currency market, the dollar index , which measures the U.S. unit against six peers, was steady at 105.64, while the euro was at $1.0715. The yen touched a 34-year low of 160.245 per dollar on April 29, prompting Tokyo to spend roughly 9.8 trillion in late April and early May to support the currency.
Persons: Androniki, Lisa Cook, Cook, Michelle Bowman, Selena Ling, OCBC, OCBC's Ling, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Nikkei, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, . Federal, Reuters, Bank of Japan's, Brent, U.S, West Texas, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, SINGAPORE, U.S, Asia, Pacific
Dollar steady ahead of inflation reading; yen teeters toward 160
  + stars: | 2024-06-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar was steady on Monday as traders looked ahead to fresh clues on the U.S. inflation path that will likely influence interest rates, while talk from Japanese authorities did little to temper the yen's decline back the round number of 160. The dollar was steady on Monday as traders looked ahead to fresh clues on the U.S. inflation path that will likely influence interest rates, while talk from Japanese authorities did little to temper the yen's decline back the round number of 160. The yen weakened to 159.94 per dollar in early trade on Monday, its lowest since April 29, when the yen touched a 34-year low of 160.245 leading to Japanese authorities spending some 9.8 trillion yen to support the currency. "The combination of slowing activity, a loosening labor market and slower inflation readings make us increasingly confident that the Fed will begin reducing policy rates in September," Citi said. The Australian dollar was last at $0.6640 and the New Zealand dollar was little changed at $0.6113.
Persons: Masato Kanda, Carol Kong, Emmanuel Macron, Christopher Wong Organizations: Bank of, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Reuters, Citi, Fed, National, New Zealand Locations: Japan, U.S
Even so, Japan's top currency diplomat Masato Kanda stressed on Friday that Tokyo stands ready to take further "resolute" action against "speculative, excessive volatility". The dollar index was little changed at 105.66, on course for a slight weekly gain that would extend its winning streak to three weeks. Sterling was flat at $1.2657, sticking close to the $1.2655 low from Thursday, a level last seen on May 17. The BoE kept rates on hold, but some policy makers said the decision not to cut was "finely balanced". The European Central Bank kicked off its rate cutting cycle earlier this month.
Persons: Tony Sycamore, Sycamore, Masato Kanda, Sterling, BoE Organizations: U.S, Federal, Swiss, Swiss National Bank, Bank of England, Bank of, IG, U.S . Treasury, European Central Bank, Fed Locations: Japan, China, Tokyo
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) headquarters is seen beyond the cherry blossoms in Tokyo on March 20, 2023. Kazuhiro Nogi | Afp | Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific markets were largely range bound on Friday ahead of the Bank of Japan's rate decision. Economists polled by Reuters expect the BOJ will maintain its benchmark interest rate at 0%-0.1%, but Nikkei reported the central bank is considering reducing its holdings of Japanese government bonds. The BOJ currently aims to purchase about 6 trillion yen ($38.5 billion) in bonds per month, and has informed the market of plans to purchase between 4.8 trillion yen and 7 trillion yen of bonds per month. Hong Kong Hang Seng index futures were at 17,964, lower than the HSI's last close of 18,112.63.
Persons: Kazuhiro Nogi, Kospi Organizations: Bank of Japan, Afp, Getty, Bank of, Reuters, Nikkei Locations: Tokyo, Asia, Pacific, Hong Kong
Yen on guard ahead of BOJ; euro stutters with weekly loss in sight
  + stars: | 2024-06-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The yen was on the defensive on Friday ahead of a policy decision from the Bank of Japan that could see it further reduce its massive monetary stimulus, while elsewhere the euro, mired in political turmoil, was headed for a weekly loss. The yen was on the defensive on Friday ahead of a policy decision from the Bank of Japan that could see it further reduce its massive monetary stimulus, while elsewhere the euro, mired in political turmoil, was headed for a weekly loss. The yen was a touch weaker at 157.08 per dollar and on track for a marginal weekly loss of about 0.2%, though moves were largely subdued ahead of the conclusion of the BOJ's two-day monetary policy meeting later on Friday. The euro was little changed at $1.0737, and was poised for a weekly loss of roughly 0.6%. Against the British pound, the euro was last languishing near a 22-month low and staring at a weekly decline of 0.9%.
Persons: Ray Attrill, Wall, Powell, Jean Boivin, Emmanuel Macron's, Macron, France's, Erik, Jan van Harn Organizations: Bank of, National Australia Bank, New Zealand, Federal Reserve, BlackRock Investment Institute, Fed, Aussie, Rabobank Locations: Bank of Japan, BlackRock
The Bank of Japan is largely expected to hold interest rates steady at the end of its 2-day meeting ending June 14, 2024. The Bank of Japan kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged on Friday, but indicated it's considering the reduction of its purchase of Japanese government bonds. The central bank left short-term rates unchanged at between 0% to 0.1% at the end of its two-day policy meeting, as widely expected. But notably, the bank said in its statement it could reduce its purchases of Japanese government bonds after the next monetary policy meeting, scheduled for July 30 and 31. Purchases of JGBs, commercial paper and corporate bonds will also continue as decided in the March monetary policy meeting.
Persons: Nakamura Toyoaki, Toyoaki, JGB Organizations: Bank of Japan, The Bank of Japan, U.S ., Nikkei Locations: Tokyo
CNBC Daily Open: Mega money Musk, Kitty's stake grows
  + stars: | 2024-06-14 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Chipmaker Broadcom soared after it delivered better-than-expected second-quarter earnings and announced a 10-for-1 stock split. Mainland China's CSI 300 index fell 0.4%, while South Korea's Kospi rose 0.3%. Broadcom's shares soared 13% after reporting earnings that beat analyst expectations and announcing a 10-for-1 stock split.% after reporting earnings that beat analyst expectations and announcing a 10-for-1 stock split.
Persons: Elon, Musk, Janet Yellen, that's, Yellen, CNBC's Andrew Ross Sorkin, That's, Kitty, Keith Gill, Gill, Australia's, BofA Organizations: CNBC, Dow, Nasdaq, Broadcom, Dow Jones, Musk, Treasury, GameStop, Trade, Nikkei, Bank of Japan's, U.S, China's CSI, Chipmaker Broadcom, Bank of America Locations: U.S, Delaware, Japan, South
BOJ likely to raise rates next month, strategist says
  + stars: | 2024-06-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBOJ likely to raise rates next month, strategist saysNicholas Smith of CLSA discusses the likely outcome of the Bank of Japan's policy meeting.
Persons: Nicholas Smith, CLSA Organizations: Bank of
Economists polled by Reuters expect headline consumer price inflation to ease to 0.1% from 0.3% last month, and core price inflation to remain steady on the month at 0.3%. Powell is likely to strike a relatively dovish tone at the press conference, however, given disappointing growth indicators since the last Fed meeting, Williams said. Japanese wholesale prices rose 2.4% in the year to May, Bank of Japan data showed on Wednesday, beating market forecasts for a 2% increase. The yen held steady at 157.16 per greenback after slipping to its lowest since June 3 at 157.40 the previous day. While Japan's central bank will likely discuss bond buying cuts to pre-empt yen selling pressure, dollar/volatility this week largely depend on Wednesday's U.S. CPI and Fed meeting, he added.
Persons: Jerome Powell's, Kieran Williams, Powell, Williams, Emmanuel Macron's, Sterling, Wei Liang Chang, bitcoin Organizations: U.S, Consumer, Fed, Reuters, Asia FX, InTouch, Bank of Japan, Bank of, DBS, CPI Locations: Czech, U.S, Asia, Bank of Japan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS: We're expecting the BOJ will decide to reduce government bond purchasesMasamichi Adachi, chief Japan economist at UBS, says, however, the Bank of Japan will be "rather conservative on the rate hike at this timing."
Persons: We're, Masamichi Adachi Organizations: UBS, Bank of Japan Locations: Japan
Asia-Pacific markets were mixed on Monday after a stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs report on Friday revealed hiring and wage growth picked up in May. This adds to the narrative the Fed doesn't have to rush to lower interest rates. Traders don't expect the Federal Open Market Committee to cut rates at its meeting this week or the next meeting in July. This week in Asia, investors will be looking at Japan's first-quarter gross domestic product numbers on Monday, followed by the Bank of Japan's rate decision on Friday. Separately, China and India's inflation numbers for May will be released on Wednesday.
Organizations: Bank of Japan, Bank of Locations: Tokyo . Asia, Pacific, Asia, China
Dollar finds footing as traders turn to U.S. services data
  + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
US Dollar notes and euro coins are arranged for a photograph on Sept. 11, 2017. The dollar steadied on Wednesday as traders pared back on riskier bets in emerging markets while waiting on an interest rate decision in Canada and on U.S. services data. Japanese real wages fell for a 25th straight month in April, data on Wednesday showed, as inflation outpaces nominal pay rises. The Swiss franc rose for a fourth straight session on the dollar overnight and at 0.8902 per dollar is close to breaking through its 200-day moving average. The New Zealand dollar was steady at $0.6173, while the Canadian dollar held the middle of a months-long range at C$1.3678 per dollar.
Persons: Jane Foley, Ryozo Himino, Narendra Modi, Chris Weston Organizations: Swiss, Bloomberg News, Bank of, Rabobank, BOJ, Westpac, New Zealand, African National Congress, Morena Locations: Canada, U.S, Bank of Japan, Asia, Japan, Morena
U.S. one hundred dollar bills are being shown in this picture illustration taken in Buenos Aires, Argentina, on Dec. 15, 2023. The dollar soared to a two-week high against its major peers on Thursday, as a rout in Treasuries improved the currency's allure due to both higher U.S. yields and demand for safe haven assets. The bond market rout has spooked investors, with equities globally sliding sharply this week, spurring a rush to the safest assets. The yen , however, climbed off a four-week low of 157.715 per dollar from overnight to last trade at 157.505. "The bond market bogey is well-positioned to wrest deeper control of the broader market, particularly if upcoming growth and inflation data are on the firmer side of the ledger."
Persons: Tony Sycamore Organizations: Ministry of Finance, Bank of Japan, Reserve, IG Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, Treasuries, U.S
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