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☆ Top 10 things to watch in the stock market Wednesday, including a Nvidia decline
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-28 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Handful of price target bumps on Snowflake (SNOW) following the company's investor day. Canaccord also catching up on its price target, cutting it to $720 per share from $953. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: MoffettNathanson, Oppenheimer, Mills, downgrades, Canaccord, Wolfe, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Dow, Street Journal, Nvidia, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Deutsch Bank, Barclays, JPMorgan, Club, Nike, Electric, GE, Paris Airshow, CNBC Locations: China, downgrades, Wells Fargo, Wells

☆ Asia shares track Wall Street rally with inflation data, Fed in focus
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-13 | by ( Julie Zhu | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

"Overall equity markets reacted positively to expectations the monetary policy cycle may be nearing its peak," ANZ analysts said in a note. "U.S. markets are now pricing a 72% probability that the Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Committee (FOMC) will hold rates at this week's meeting." On Monday, the S&P 500 (.SPX) and the Nasdaq (.IXIC) rallied to their highest closing levels since April 2022. The S&P 500 climbed 0.93% to end the session at 4,338.93 points. The two-year yield , which rises with traders' expectations of higher Fed fund rates, touched 4.5749% compared with a U.S. close of 4.592%.

Persons: Price, Brent, Julie Zhu, Christopher Cushing Organizations: Consumer, Index, CPI, PPI, ANZ, Federal Reserve Monetary, Nikkei, Nasdaq, Amazon, Apple, Dow Jones, Reserve Bank of Australia, Bank of Canada, European Central Bank, Bank of Japan, Treasuries, U.S, Thomson Locations: HONG KONG, U.S, China, Asia, Pacific, Japan

☆ Yes, you can have a red-hot jobs market and a recession
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

The U.S. jobs market is still sizzling and the economy is heading for a recession: Both things can be true. May's nonfarm payrolls growth again stunned Wall Street, with the count climbing by 339,000, well ahead of Wall Street estimates that have consistently undershot the report since January 2022. However, there's an old adage on the Street that when it comes to recessions, the jobs market is always the last to know. Central bank policymakers specifically have targeted a slowdown in the labor market in their quest to bring down inflation. The weak services reading comes with an ISM manufacturing reading — most recently at 46.9 — in contraction for seven straight months.

Persons: Ian Shepherdson, Shepherdson, Kumar, Andrew Hunter, Hunter, DataTrek, Nicholas Colas Organizations: Federal, Pantheon, Fed, Sri, Kumar, Services, Capital Economics, Research, Atlanta Locations: payrolls

☆ Lavish Indian Weddings Are Back and Bigger Than Ever
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-13 | by ( Praachi Raniwala | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Indian weddings can be elaborate occasions, often lasting several days. But a break from tradition because of the Covid-19 pandemic meant that intimate or at-home nuptials became the norm for many. Now, the grand Indian wedding is not just back, it’s bigger than ever for the couples with the means to host extravagant affairs. CAIT reported that a majority of the weddings during the end of last year cost $3,657 to $121,902 . Devika Narain, a wedding designer who is a go-to for Indian celebrities, said such weddings could cost anywhere from $1 million to $5 million, or even more, for about 250 to 500 guests.

☆ Stanley Druckenmiller says A.I. could win big coming out of a recession, and he's bullish on Nvidia
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-09 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

"It could be a beautiful opportunity in a hard landing just like '01, '02 ... a beautiful opportunity when the tech bubble bursts. NVDA YTD mountain Nvidia "My firm has only been able to participate in AI by owning Nvidia and Microsoft," Druckenmiller said. "It's not even clear to me if we had a really bad recession, that Nvidia would even come down." And now we have a big hike in interest rates." The Federal Reserve has hiked interest rates for 10 times since last year, taking the fed funds rate to a target range of 5%-5.25%, the highest since August 2007.

☆ US dollar gains as inflation data backs Fed rate hike; yen sinks
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-28 | by ( Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The dollar index, a measure of the greenback's value against six major currencies, rose 0.1% to 101.54 . Friday's data showed the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index edged 0.1% higher in March after rising 0.3% in February. In the 12 months through March, the PCE price index increased 4.2% after climbing 5.1% in February. The so-called core PCE price index gained 4.6% on a year-on-year basis in March after rising 4.7% in February. Following the inflation data, the rate futures market has priced in a 90% chance of a 25 basis-point hike next week.

April 27 (Reuters) - The rouble steadied on Thursday, with the market looking ahead to Friday's interest rate decision, as favourable month-end tax payments propped the Russian currency up amid a significant drop in oil prices. By 1322 GMT, the rouble was 0.2% stronger against the dollar at 81.44 and had gained 0.6% to trade at 89.76 versus the euro . Month-end tax payments that usually lead exporters to convert foreign currency revenue to meet local liabilities are putting a floor under the rouble. Oil prices dropped almost 4% on Wednesday, extending sharp losses from the previous session, driven by fears of a U.S. recession and an increase in Russian oil exports which dulled the impact of OPEC production cuts. "We still see no reason for the central bank to change the rate and its rhetoric, but inflation risks will continue to concern the central bank more than economic growth," said Dmitry Polevoy, head of investment at Locko-Invest.

☆ JPMorgan sees "non-trivial risk" of a technical default on U.S. Treasuries as debt ceiling looms
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-20 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

LONDON, April 20 (Reuters) - JPMorgan expects the U.S. debt ceiling to become an issue as early as next month with the Wall Street bank ascribing a "non-trivial risk" of a technical default on U.S. Treasuries. The bank said its U.S. rates strategy team expects the Treasury could run out of available resources by the middle of August. The debt ceiling is the maximum amount the U.S. government can borrow to meet its financial obligations. It can only pay Treasury bills (T-bills) through tax revenues. U.S. credit default swaps, market-based gauges of the risk of a default, this month hit their highest level since 2012 .

☆ Oil prices surge, markets narrow odds on Fed hike
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-03 | by ( Wayne Cole | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Brent oil futures jumped $5.16 to $85.05 a barrel on news output would be cut by around 1.16 million barrels per day, while U.S. crude climbed $4.88 to $80.55. The latest reductions could lift oil prices by $10 per barrel, the head of investment firm Pickering Energy Partners said on Sunday. Goldman Sachs lifted its forecast for Brent to $95 a barrel by the end of the year and to $100 for 2024. The rise in oil prices is bad news for Japan's trade balance given it imports most of its energy. The lift in the dollar and yields nudged gold prices down nearly 0.5% to $1,958 an ounce .

☆ Trump charges follow criticism of Manhattan prosecutor for not acting sooner
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-31 | by ( Luc Cohen | Thomson Reuters | Reports On The New York Federal Courts. Previously Worked As A Correspondent In Venezuela | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Trump's former lawyer Michael Cohen has said he made the payment to silence Daniels about an affair she says she had with Trump in 2006. Bragg's charges come at a critical time, as Trump is running for the Republican presidential nomination in 2024. A prosecutor leading that probe, Mark Pomerantz, resigned in February 2022 after Bragg declined to charge Trump himself with financial crimes. Pomerantz has publicly criticized Bragg's decision not to bring charges and published a book about the investigation. In the biggest trial victory so far in his tenure, his office last December won the conviction of the Trump Organization on tax fraud charges.

☆ Analysis: After extraordinary rally, bonds' fate now with bank stability and inflation
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-30 | by ( Yoruk Bahceli | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Alongside that dash for safe havens was a rapid repricing of rate-hike bets as banking turmoil raised financial stability risks, fuelling the rally in government debt. But coming so soon after markets had positioned for bigger U.S. rate hikes to tame inflation, bonds swung wildly. March's sharp drop in two-year yields followed a 59 bps jump in February. Two-year Treasury yields are down 24 bps this quarter, their biggest quarterly drop since the 2020 COVID-19 crisis. The likes of JPMorgan, BofA and Morgan Stanley, expect Treasury yields to end 2023 lower; others such as Goldman Sachs and BNP Paribas expect a rise.

[1/6] Milo Djukanovic, President of Montenegro and a candidate from the Democratic Party of Socialists, visits a polling station during the presidential elections in Podgorica, Montenegro, March 19, 2023. Milatovic described his result as a victory of "a beautiful, better, just ... and European Montenegro." Djukanovic has served as president or prime minister for 33 years. "We are content with this level of support, it is a good foundation ... that will carry us to the victory in the run-off," Djukanovic said. A victory in the run-off would bolster the chances of his DPS party in the parliamentary vote.

[1/2] Workers remove scaffolding at the New York Courthouse at 80 Centre Street where Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg continues his investigation into former U.S. President Donald Trump, in Manhattan, New York City, U.S., March 18, 2023. Trump said on his Truth Social platform that he expected to be arrested on Tuesday and called on his supporters to protest. A prosecutor leading that probe, Mark Pomerantz, resigned in February 2022 after Bragg declined to charge Trump himself for financial crimes. Cohen previously testified that Trump directed him to arrange the payment, and Cohen pleaded guilty in December 2018 to campaign finance violations and other charges. In the biggest trial victory so far in his tenure, his office last December won the conviction of the Trump Organization on tax fraud charges.

☆ Insiders were stepping up and buying this week at these regional banks and niche financials
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-17 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The banking crisis drove regional bank stocks sharply lower this week, but many insiders took advantage of the turmoil to scoop up shares of their own institutions in what may prove a vote of confidence. Shares of regional banks slumped as the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank left investors worried that other regional banks might face similar balance sheet issues, a possible mismatch between long-dated assets and short-dated liabilities. Regional banks had regained some ground Thursday in anticipation of a group of 11 banks stepping in to First Republic by depositing $30 billion for at least 120 days . Charles Schwab Notably, Charles Schwab CEO Walt Bettinger bought 50,000 shares Tuesday, worth nearly $3 million, for his personal account. Valley National Bancorp Ira Robbins (CEO) bought 5,000 shares Wednesday Jennifer Steans (Director) bought 150,000 shares Tuesday Eric Edelstein (Director) bought 20,000 shares Tuesday Melissa Schultz (Director) bought 15,000 shares Tuesday Jeffrey Wilks (Director) bought 8,000 shares Tuesday Marc Lenner (Director) bought 5,000 shares Tuesday Suresh Sani (Director) bought 5,000 shares Tuesday Valley National Bancorp saw a rush of insider buying this week, including purchases by its CEO and several directors.

[1/2] European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde speaks during a news conference following the ECB's monetary policy meeting in Frankfurt, Germany March 16, 2023. Reuters Graphics Reuters GraphicsPresident Christine Lagarde noted it was impossible to determine the future rate path amid "completely elevated" uncertainty stemming from market ructions. "Given financial instability risks, there's growing uncertainty on future ECB actions beyond this pre-signalled rate hike," said Daniele Antonucci, chief economist and macro strategist at Quintet Private Bank. Piet Christiansen, chief analyst at Danske Bank, said he was sticking to a call for a 4% peak ECB rate. "Unless this turns into a macroeconomic crisis then we are ripe for a sell-off and a repricing of rate hike expectations," he said.

☆ Ken Griffin's hedge fund Citadel takes a 5% stake in Western Alliance Bancorp amid banking turmoil
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-14 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Billionaire investor Ken Griffin's hedge fund Citadel has taken a 5.3% stake in Western Alliance Bancorp amid turbulence in the banking sector after Silicon Valley Bank's collapse, according to a regulatory filing released Monday . The hedge fund owns thousands of individual stocks and often trades in and out of positions quickly. WAL 5D mountain Western Alliance Bancorp The bank stock rallied more than 40% Tuesday following a 47% sell-off on Monday. On Monday, Western Alliance said it saw only "moderate" outflows , and its cash reserves exceed $25 billion. The hedge fund soared a whopping 38% in 2022, marking the firm's best year ever.

☆ Jim Cramer's top 10 things to watch in the stock market Wednesday: China, stocks, retail
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-01 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

(See here for a full list of the stocks in Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

U.S. interest rates though are expected to remain higher for longer. Data showing U.S. pending home sales posting their largest gain in 2-1/2 years failed to lift the dollar, however. Traders now expect the Fed to raise interest rates to around 5.4% by the September meeting, according to pricing in rate futures markets . At the beginning of February, they envisaged rates rising to a peak of just 4.9%. "Whereas headline rates are falling, the trend of rising core inflation rates has been unbroken," he said.

☆ Ukrainian forces are training on fast and well-armed Leopard tanks in Spain, prime minister says
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-23 | by ( Chris Panella | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Ukrainian forces are training on Leopard tanks in Spain, according to the Spanish Prime Minister. Leopard tanks are notable for their firepower, armor, and speed on various terrains. Sanchez revealed that the arrival of Leopard tanks in Ukraine would correspond with the return of trained soldiers. Spain is one of several countries to pledge to send tanks to Ukraine. The British are presently training Ukrainian forces on Challenger tanks in southwestern England, and last month, US Army Gen. Mark Milley, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, announced that the US military was training Ukrainian troops in Germany, the Associated Press reported.

☆ Jim Cramer's top 10 things to watch in the market Tuesday: Bond yields up so stocks drop to start week
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-21 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Club earnings this week include Palo Alto Networks (PANW), TJX Companies (TJX), Nvidia (NVDA), Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) and Coterra Energy (CTRA) as well as Bausch Health (BHC). Deere (DE) price target raised to $398 per share from $364 at Bernstein, which keeps market perform (hold) rating. Mizuho likes the Twilio (TWLO) pivot and takes price target up to $90 per share from $75. (See here for a full list of the stocks in Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.

☆ Asia shares hesitant ahead of updates on Fed, BOJ policies
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-20 | by ( Wayne Cole | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

All of which made for a cautious start and MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) nudged up 0.3%, after sliding 2.2% last week. Chinese blue chips (.CSI300) firmed 0.9% as Beijing kept interest rates steady as expected, having already poured liquidity into the banking system in recent days. CORE PCE A RISKMinutes of the Fed's last meeting due on Wednesday should add colour on the deliberations, though they have been superseded somewhat by barnstorming numbers on January payrolls and retail sales. The Fed's favoured inflation indicator, the core PCE index, is seen rising 0.4%, the biggest gain in five months, while the annual pace may have slowed just a fraction to 4.3%. There are also at least five Fed presidents speaking this week, to provide running commentary.

☆ Fact Check-Video of London Ambulance blocked by ‘low traffic neighbourhood’ filters is from 2021
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-15 | by ( Reuters Fact Check | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Footage of an ambulance navigating around wooden roadblocks during a “low traffic neighbourhood” (LTN) trial in Ealing, West London, is from 2021 but is being shared online as if new. “This footage is of a low traffic neighbourhood scheme that was removed in May 2021, so it’s not contemporaneous footage,” an Ealing Council spokesperson told Reuters. The area of Ealing is identifiable by visible road signs indicating the area is a controlled parking area in the area called “Zone GG” (here). Reuters previously addressed misleading narratives about a traffic filter scheme in Oxford, including that it is a “climate lockdown” here and here . The video of a London Ambulance rerouting around traffic filters is not new but was filmed during a low traffic neighbourhood trial in Ealing, which finished in 2021.

☆ Starboard nominates directors to the board at Rogers. Here’s how the firm could boost margins
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-11 | by ( Kenneth Squire | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Activist Commentary: Starboard Value is a very successful activist investor and has extensive experience helping companies focus on operational efficiency and margin improvement. On Dec. 15, 2022 , Starboard delivered a letter to the company nominating four directors for election to the board at the 2023 Annual Meeting. Both sides seem to share the same views regarding margin improvement, and there is a new CEO who Starboard likely supports. Having Starboard representation on the board would help management stay focused and get the support it needs. While Starboard is not advocating for any strategic transaction, the firm is an economic animal with fiduciary duties.

[1/2] U.S. Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose 13,000 to a seasonally adjusted 196,000 for the week ended Feb. 4, data showed. In late morning trading, the dollar index fell 0.7% to 102.74 . The euro , the biggest component in the dollar index, climbed 0.6% to $1.078, while sterling rose 0.9% to $1.2179 , with both boosted by improving risk sentiment across markets. The dollar fell 0.4% against the Japanese yen to 130.92 .

☆ Jim Cramer's top 10 things to watch in the stock market Thursday: Disney delivers, market rally back, another activist in Salesforce
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-09 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The outlook for Club holding Wynn Resorts (WYNN) hasn't been this good since the Covid pandemic started. I've been saying more needs to be done to right the ship at this Club holding. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

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