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Dollar, yen hold tight ranges ahead of BOJ, Fed
  + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar and yen kept within close ranges on Tuesday as traders awaited a barrage of key central bank decisions, kicking off with midweek monetary policy meetings from the Bank of Japan and Federal Reserve. The dollar and yen kept within close ranges on Tuesday as traders awaited a barrage of key central bank decisions, kicking off with midweek monetary policy meetings from the Bank of Japan and Federal Reserve. The Japanese currency was taking a breather from its recent rally as the BOJ began its two-day meeting on Tuesday, having surged over 2% against the dollar last week. The Fed is widely expected to stand pat this week, but markets are betting the U.S. central bank will begin cutting rates at the following meeting in September. Investors will be listening for any hints that Fed Chair Jerome Powell may drop on how soon policymakers are prepared to cut rates at his press conference.
Persons: Matt Simpson, Jerome Powell, Powell, Jackson, Index's Simpson, Sterling, bitcoin Organizations: Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, Index, Fed, Treasury, Bank of England's Locations: U.S
U.S. Treasury yields were little changed on Tuesday as investors looked to economic data from the labor market and the Federal Reserve's July meeting is set to kick off. ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by less than one basis point to 4.1860%. The 2-year Treasury was last at 4.3998% after rising by more than one basis point. Yields and prices move in opposite directions. One basis point equals 0.01%.
Organizations: Treasury
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Treasury yields slipped and U.S. oil prices fell amid increasing tensions between Israel and the Iran-backed militia Hezbollah in Lebanon. McDonald's missMcDonald's quarterly earnings and revenue fell short of analysts' expectations as same-store sales declined globally for the first time since 2020. The fast-food giant's second-quarter net income fell to $2.02 billion from $2.31 billion a year ago, while revenue was nearly flat at $6.49 billion. Bond investors benefit from price appreciation in a falling interest rate environment as bond prices and yields move inversely to each other.
Persons: McDonald's, iPhones, Max, Bitcoin, Donald Trump, Trump, Gary Gensler, Janus Henderson Organizations: CNBC, Big Tech, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Treasury, Hezbollah, Apple, Apple Intelligence, Republican, Bitcoin Conference, Metrics, Securities, Exchange Locations: U.S, Israel, Iran, Lebanon
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by over three basis points to 4.1666%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 4.3729% after falling by more than one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields fell on Monday as investors awaited the release of key economic data and looked to the Federal Reserve's meeting scheduled for the week. Investors awaited the Federal Reserve's July meeting and key data from the labor market slated for the week. Investors will be looking at the data for hints about the state of the labor market, as this could also inform monetary policy expectations and decision-making.
Persons: Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, Investors, PCE
"For too long our government has violated the cardinal rule that every bitcoiner knows by heart: Never sell your bitcoin," Trump said at this year's Bitcoin Conference in Nashville. Kennedy went further than Trump, promising to establish a 4 million bitcoin strategic reserve to match the country's current stake in gold, some of which is held near the military base at Fort Knox. But Trump's reservation speaks to the complications of promising a bitcoin strategic reserve on par with the gold standard. An executive order would not be enough to bring a U.S. bitcoin reserve into existence. That existing bitcoin stockpile could act as the foundation for the bitcoin strategic reserve, which the U.S. government would build on by regularly buying a certain number of bitcoin.
Persons: Donald Trump, Marco Bello, Trump, Trump's, didn't, Tyler, Cameron Winklevoss, Kid Rock, Cynthia Lummis, Bill Hagerty, Marsha Blackburn, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Kennedy, bitcoin, Sen, Lummis, Per Sen, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Fred Thiel Organizations: Reuters NASHVILLE —, Republican, U.S . Marshals Service, Trump, U.S . Treasury, Bitcoin Conference, Saturday, Wyoming, U.S, Treasury Department, House, Independents, Democratic, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, U.S . Locations: Charlotte , North Carolina, U.S, Nashville, United States of America, Germany, Fort Knox, Washington, United States, bitcoin
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by less than one basis point at 4.2563%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 4.4307% after falling by over one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields were little changed on Friday as investors awaited the release of key inflation data ahead of the Federal Reserve's upcoming monetary policy meeting next week. Those are some of the last key economic data releases before the Fed meets next week to discuss monetary policy. The inflation figures come after economic data throughout the week have given mixed signals about the state of the economy.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Treasury, Federal, PCE, Fed, U.S, PMI
Buy now, pay later firms like Klarna and Block's Afterpay could be about to face tougher rules in the U.K.Britain's new Labour government will soon set out updated plans to regulate the "buy now, pay later" industry, a government spokesperson told CNBC. "Regulating Buy Now Pay Later products is crucial to protect people and deliver certainty for the sector," the Treasury spokesperson told CNBC via email Thursday. The government first set out plans to regulate the sector in 2021. BNPL plans are flexible credit arrangements that enable a consumer to purchase an item and then pay off their debt at a later date. Most plans charge customers a third of the purchase value up front, then take the remaining payments the following two months.
Persons: Block's, Tulip Siddiq, Siddiq, Keir Starmer's, Christopher Woolard, BNPL, Organizations: Labour, CNBC, Treasury, . Treasury, Keir Starmer's Labour Party, Financial Locations: Britain
Treasury yields fall ahead of key economic data
  + stars: | 2024-07-25 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by over five basis points to 4.2349%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last more than five basis points lower to 4.3585%. U.S. Treasury yields declined on Thursday as investors awaited key economic data points that could inform Federal Reserve monetary policy. Investors awaited key data as they considered the state of the U.S. economy and the outlook for interest rates. The data will provide more hints about the state of the economy and comes ahead of key inflation figures due Friday in form of the personal consumption expenditures price index.
Organizations: Treasury, U.S, PMI Locations: U.S
Treasury yields slip as investors weigh state of economy
  + stars: | 2024-07-23 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by over one basis point to 4.2427%. The yield on the 2-year Treasury was last over one basis point lower to 4.5105%. U.S. Treasury yields were slightly lower on Tuesday as investors considered the outlook for the U.S. economy ahead of key data slated for the week. Investors awaited the latest economic data as they assessed the state of the U.S. economy and what this could mean for monetary policy decisions by the Federal Reserve. Markets are not expecting interest rates to be cut then but are anticipating clues about a timeline for monetary policy being loosened.
Persons: Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Investors, Federal Reserve, Richmond Fed, Fed, Traders Locations: U.S
Australian dollars are seen in an illustration photo February 8, 2018. The two Antipodean currencies, often used as liquid proxies for the Chinese yuan, were flat after slumping in the previous session in the wake of the news. The Australian dollar was trading at $0.6643 early on Tuesday and the New Zealand dollar dipped 0.01% to $0.5979. In the broader market, currency moves were subdued as traders looked to central bank meetings in the U.S. and Japan next week. In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin fell 0.7% to $67,665, retreating from an over one-month top hit in the previous session.
Persons: Daniel Munoz, China's, Rodrigo Catril, Joe Biden's, NAB's, bitcoin, Rae Wee, Stephen Coates Organizations: REUTERS, New, New Zealand, National Australia Bank, NAB, Trump, U.S, Treasury, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, New Zealand, China, U.S, Japan
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by over three basis points to 4.2077%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last less than one basis point lower to 4.5043%. U.S. Treasury yields were lower on Monday as investors awaited key economic data slated for the week and markets considered the latest U.S. political developments. Investors looked ahead to key data due this week that is set to provide fresh hints about the state of the economy and could inform the Federal Reserve's decision-making when it comes to monetary policy. According to CME Group's FedWatch tool, traders were last pricing in an around 96% chance of a September rate cut.
Persons: Joe Biden, Kamala Harris Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal, White, Democratic
Bank of America strategist says it's time to get bearish
  + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
As stocks pull back from all-time highs, a top Bank of America strategist warned investors to be cautious, citing a series of economic indicators that have historically signaled the end of a rally. "Historically, whenever the unemployment rate has started to rise, it has never gone down again. The unemployment rate unexpectedly climbed to 4.1% in June , tied for the highest level since October 2021. The strategist added that such conditions typically lead to higher risk premiums and lower asset prices, especially given the current elevated market levels. The Bank of America strategist also expressed concern about consumer confidence, which he described as "collapsing."
Persons: Sebastian Raedler, Raedler, Hani Redha, Redha, Peter Lynch Organizations: Bank of America, . Treasury, University of Michigan, Pine, Investments Locations: U.S
The four best-performing stocks in the S & P 500 year to date were down an average of 13.5% last week. .SPX 5D mountain The S & P 500's performance in the past five trading days. The anchoring effect of a persistently strong half-dozen $1-trillion to $3-trillion companies atop the S & P 500 while most stocks wallowed had the effect of suppressing index volatility. The S & P 500 is now about 3% off its record, and the Nasdaq 100 is in a roughly 5% retreat from its high. History says when the S & P 500 has been up more than 10% in the first half of a year , as in 2024, it has gone to further highs by year's end nearly every time.
Persons: Russell, Donald Trump, Cash, Parag Thatte, Thatte, Goldman Sachs, wallowed, Cantor Fitzgerald Organizations: Axonic Capital, Deutsche Bank, Nasdaq
Treasury yields rise as investors weigh rate outlook
  + stars: | 2024-07-19 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by over one basis point to 4.2000%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last less than one basis point higher to 4.4706%. U.S. Treasury yields were higher on Friday as investors considered the path ahead for interest rates after the latest comments from Federal Reserve officials. Investors digested remarks from Fed policymakers made throughout the week as they weighed the potential path ahead for interest rates. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell also this week said that rate cuts would begin before inflation reaches the 2% target.
Persons: Mary Daly, we're, Daly, Christopher Waller, Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal Reserve, San Francisco Fed, Fed
Maskot | Maskot | Getty ImagesBuying a new electric vehicle isn't the only way consumers can access a $7,500 federal EV tax credit. Perhaps the best known of them — the "new clean vehicle" tax credit — is a $7,500 tax break for consumers who buy a new EV. But many auto dealers are also passing along a $7,500 tax break to lessees, via a different (and, experts say, lesser-known) mechanism called the "qualified commercial clean vehicles" tax credit. This EV tax credit "leasing loophole" has likely been a key driver of increased leasing uptake in 2024, Barclays auto analysts said in an equity research note published in June. The $7,500 tax credit enables dealers to charge low monthly payments for leases, thereby helping "stoke demand" for EVs, Barclays wrote.
Persons: Joe Biden, , Dealers aren't, Ingrid Malmgren, Hyundai Kia, Brian Moody, Autotrader, Moody, Malmgren Organizations: Maskot, Barclays, U.S . Treasury Department, Plug, stoke, EVs, Foreign, Toyota, Hyundai, EV, Consumers Locations: U.S, Asian, North America
The yield on the 10-year Treasury was trading around 4.1672% at 2:20 a.m. The yield on the 2-year Treasury was also 2 basis points higher at 4.4524%. U.S. Treasury yields moved higher on Thursday as investors digested a range of comments by Federal Reserve officials and what they could mean for interest rates. It comes as traders increasingly bet on a September interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, with a reduction in July now seen as highly unlikely. Earlier this week, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said interest rates would likely be cut before inflation reaches 2%.
Persons: Christopher Waller, John Williams, Thomas Barkin, Jerome Powell, you've, Powell, Dow Jones, , Jeff Cox Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal Reserve, Federal, York Fed, Wall Street Journal, Richmond Fed, Deutsche Bank, Economic, of Washington D.C
Treasury yields fall as investors digest Powell comments
  + stars: | 2024-07-16 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by over three basis points to 4.1983%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last more than one basis point lower to 4.4404%. U.S. Treasury yields were lower on Tuesday as investors weighed comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on the outlook for the economy and interest rates. On Monday, Powell said the central bank will not wait until inflation has reached its 2% target rate before cutting interest rates. Powell, however, said the Fed is still looking for "greater confidence" that inflation will return to 2%.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal, Traders
Villagers watch the sunset over a small lagoon near the village of Tangintebu on South Tarawa in the central Pacific island nation of Kiribati May 25, 2013. CHINESE INTEREST AS WESTERN BANKS EXIT"The proposed World Bank project is a creative way of addressing the challenge of de-risking and small scale in Pacific Island countries," said Lalita Moorty, the World Bank's East Asia and Pacific director for prosperity. Without access to overseas banks, Pacific countries would struggle to receive remittances - a key component of their economies - welcome holidaymakers or trade with the wider world. "It can create instability for the financial system," said Denton Rarawa, senior economics adviser at the Pacific Islands Forum. "What we're saying is that if you're not going to address concerns and issues we have, Pacific countries will start looking elsewhere for support."
Persons: David Gray, Solomon, Lalita Moorty, Denton Rarawa, Mark Brown, Janet Yellen, Ariff Ali, Lewis Jackson, Lucy Craymer, Ziyi Tang, William Mallard Organizations: REUTERS, Villagers, WELLINGTON, Bank, U.S, Pacific Islands, World Bank, Pacific, ANZ Bank, Westpac, Bendigo Bank, Bank of China, Reuters, Cook, U.S . Treasury, Federal Reserve, Reserve Bank of Fiji, Thomson Locations: Tangintebu, South, Pacific, Kiribati, SYDNEY, Australia, China, Washington, Nauru, Solomon Islands, Taiwan, Beijing, U.S, East Asia, Papua New Guinea, Vanuatu, Tonga, Samoa, Brisbane, Pacific Islands, Sydney, Wellington
Trump victory trades to swell after shooting, investors say
  + stars: | 2024-07-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
Saturday's shooting at U.S. former President Donald Trump's election rally raises his odds of winning back the White House, and trades betting on his victory will increase this coming week, investors said on Sunday. Trump was shot in the ear during the rally in Pennsylvania on Saturday in what the authorities were treating as an assassination attempt. The first shooting of a U.S. president or major party candidate since a 1981 assassination attempt on Republican President Ronald Reagan could upend the Nov. 5 rematch between Republican Trump and President Joe Biden, a Democrat, which has been tight in opinion polls. World leaders and U.S. politicians condemned the shooting, while some industry executives, including Tesla chief Elon Musk, declared their support for Trump. Investors also expect an extension of corporate and personal tax cuts expiring next year, fuelling concerns about rising budget deficits under Trump.
Persons: BUTLER, Donald Trump, Donald Trump's, Trump, Rong Ren Goh, Ronald Reagan, Joe Biden, Reagan, Nick Ferres, Elon Musk, Biden, Jerome Powell, Goldman Sachs, Bill Ackman, Musk Organizations: Republican, Secret, U.S, Treasury, Eastspring Investments, Republican Trump, Democrat, Asset Management, Tesla, Trump, Reuters, Investors, Federal, Biden, Dow Jones, Democratic, Goldman Locations: PENNSYLVANIA, Butler , Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania, Singapore
The uncertainty has led Morgan Stanley to reiterate its recommendation to buy dividend stocks. The investment bank noted that the MSCI Asia Pacific ex-Japan High Dividend Index has slightly underperformed the MSCI Asia Pacific ex-Japan index in the second quarter of the year, albeit by only 0.34 percentage points. "We still prefer Dividend stocks given cautious risk sentiment in Asia/EM and see support in valuations for quality dividend stocks due to their defensiveness. Investor appetite on corporate reform and shareholder return theme in Asia/EM also remain high, which are likely to benefit dividend stocks." The company provides distillery services and Morgan Stanley sees it benefitting from "improving demand for high-end products and mid-market brands."
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Morgan, Wuliangye, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Asia, UST, U.S . Treasury, Wuliangye Yibin Company, China's Shenzhen Stock Exchange, FTSE, G, Won, Korea Exchange, American Locations: Japan, Asia, Pacific, China, FTSE China, Korean, U.S
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by nearly one basis point to 4.2880%. The 2-year Treasury yield was nearly flat at 4.6304%. U.S. Treasury yields were little changed on Thursday as investors looked ahead to fresh inflation data and considered remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. Investors awaited fresh inflation insights that could provide hints about the path ahead for interest rates. The central bank has said it would not cut interest rates until data shows that inflation is sustainably easing toward this target.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Dow Jones, Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal, Investors, CPI, Financial
The 10-year Treasury yield was one basis point lower at 4.2880%. The 2-year Treasury note yield was little changed at 4.6284%. U.S. Treasury bond yields were slightly down on Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned that keeping interest rates elevated for too long could stunt economic growth. Powell said Tuesday that the economy and labor market remain strong, despite some recent cooling. The CPI pint is seen as a key test for the market and the outlook for rate cuts.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Capitol, Committee, House Financial
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by over 2 basis points at 4.289%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 4.628% after rising by more than 1 basis point. U.S. Treasury yields were higher on Tuesday as investors looked ahead to economic data and comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Investors awaited key data points slated for the week ahead, including fresh consumer and wholesale inflation figures. Several other Fed officials are also set to give remarks throughout the week and could provide more insights.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Treasury, Federal, Investors, Federal Reserve, Banking, Financial Services Committee
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by over 3 basis points at 4.31%. The 2-year Treasury yield also climbed more than 3 basis points to 4.633%. U.S. Treasury yields were higher on Monday as investors looked ahead to key economic data due throughout the week, including fresh inflation insights. Data released Friday showed that nonfarm payrolls increased by 206,000 in June, more than the 200,000 Dow Jones forecast. Minutes from the Fed's latest meeting published last week showed that policymakers are looking for more evidence that inflation is easing before deciding to move rates.
Persons: Dow Jones, Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal Reserve, Dow
After 14 years in the shadows, Britain’s Labour Party has returned to governing. And the country’s first female chancellor of the Exchequer, Rachel Reeves, is faced with the tough job of restoring Britain’s economic growth prospects and ending a decade and a half of stagnation. For inspiration, she has turned to another glass-ceiling-shattering woman, on the other side of the Atlantic: the U.S. Treasury secretary, Janet L. Yellen. Ms. Reeves was named chancellor on Friday after the Labour Party won a majority in Thursday’s general election. Ms. Yellen’s “modern supply-side economics” aims to bolster economic growth by increasing the number of workers and raising productivity while reducing inequality.
Persons: Rachel Reeves, Janet L, Reeves, Yellen, Yellen’s Organizations: Britain’s Labour Party, U.S, Treasury, Labour Party Locations: United States
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