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☆ CNBC Daily Open: Input prices are going up
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-07 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Stocks sold offU.S. stocks experienced a sell-off and all major indexes closed in the red. China's trade isn't picking upChina's trade activity fell again in August, though not as badly as feared. In U.S. dollar terms, exports fell by 8.8% from a year ago, compared with the 9.2% forecast.

Persons: Stocks, Australia's, Bob Iger, Bob Chapek, Alex Sherman Organizations: CNBC, Treasury, Nikkei, Apple, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Disney, Apple China, European Commission Locations: U.S, Asia, Pacific

HONG KONG (AP) — China's exports and imports both fell in August from a year earlier, reflecting tepid global demand that is adding to pressures on its slowing economy. Customs data released Thursday showed exports for August slumped 8.8% to $284.87 billion in the fourth straight month of decline. The total trade surplus fell to $68.36 billion from $80.6 billion in July. China’s imports from Russia, mostly oil and gas, increased 13.3% from a year earlier to $11.52 billion. Exports to the European Union tumbled 10.5% from the same time last year to $41.3 billion, while imports of European goods declined 2.5% to $24.56 billion.

Persons: ” Julian Evans, Pritchard, ”, August's Organizations: —, Federal Reserve, Capital Economics, Kremlin, European Union Locations: HONG KONG, Europe, Asia, U.S, Russia, Ukraine

Singapore's Abaxx Commodities Exchange thinks a new nickel sulphate contract could be the answer. The sulphate market has been forecast by research house Roskill to grow at an annual rate of 22% over the current decade as the green mobility revolution accelerates. China's imports of nickel sulphateTRADE BOOMChina's surging imports of nickel sulphate are a reflection of the product's stunning growth as battery cathode input. China's nickel imports by product 2020-2023PRICING PROBLEMSNone of this new Indonesia-China nickel trade has a natural exchange pricing home. LME nickel trading volumes have stabilised but are still running significantly below levels seen prior to the March 2022 trading halt.

Persons: Antara, It's, Roskill, Mike Harrison Organizations: PT Vale Indonesia, REUTERS Acquire, London Metal Exchange, Abaxx Commodities, Canadian, Technologies, Shanghai Futures Exchange, EV, Imports, China's, Class, Global Commodity Holdings, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Sorowako, South Sulawesi, Indonesia, China, Finland, South Africa, South Korea

☆ Shady export leaks suggest Russian sanctions work
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-29 | by ( Pierre Briancon | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

That may be true, but the cracks mostly demonstrate the sanctions’ impact, and why they can be tightened. EU exporters did ship nearly 17 billion euros’ worth of goods to Kazakhstan in the 18 months starting in January 2022. And if exports had grown at the 17% pace of previous years, some 6 billion euros would remain unexplained. Meanwhile, Russia’s efforts to circumvent a G7 price cap on its oil shipments are another sign of Western sanctions’ overall effectiveness. EU exports to Russia declined by 30% to 75.7 billion euros over the same period.

Persons: Vladimir Putin, Francesco Guerrera, Streisand Neto, Oliver Taslic Organizations: Reuters, European Union, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Western, Union, Eurostat, Thomson Locations: Kazakhstan, Soviet, Moscow, Uzbekistan, Georgia, Azerbaijan, Armenia, Kyrgyzstan, Russia, China, India, Europe, United States, Central Asia, EU

It is not even certain that the decline in China's U.S. import share represents a true delinking, they said. Yet in the background, the researchers noted that China had "stepped up" its trade and investment activity with Vietnam and Mexico, as well as other countries. "The U.S. could well remain indirectly connected to China through its trade and global value chain links with these third-party countries," they argued. Prices for goods from some countries, moreover, were beginning to rise. Reporting by Howard Schneider; Editing by Paul SimaoOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: JACKSON, deglobalization, Laura Alfaro, Davin Chor, Alfaro, Chor, What's, Howard Schneider, Paul Simao Organizations: Biden, Trump, Federal, Harvard Business School, Tuck School of Business, Dartmouth, Fed, Thomson Locations: , Wyoming, China, Ukraine, freefall, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, U.S, Vietnam, Mexico

☆ Opinion | Trump, Lord of the Ring (Around the Collar)
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-24 | by ( Paul Krugman | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Given the existential threat he poses to America as we know it, Donald Trump’s economic ideas aren’t the first thing on most people’s minds. Nonetheless, it was a bit startling to see Trump propose, as he did last week on Fox Business, a 10 percent tariff on all U.S. imports, which he called a “ring around the collar” of the U.S. economy. Before I get to why that would be a really bad idea, I can’t help noting how remarkable it was to hear Trump using that phrase. It’s an article of faith among many Republicans that President Biden is doddering and senile (even though he isn’t, at all). (Wisk detergent was supposed to prevent ring around the collar.)

Persons: James J, Jordan, “ I’d, Schaefer, Donald Trump’s, Trump, Biden Organizations: Fox Business Locations: America, U.S

China is dominant in magnets and the rare earth metals they are made from. Magnet makers are also drawn to Vietnam by low labour costs and market access afforded by multiple free-trade deals. It said it sources most of its rare earths from China but is seeking alternative sources in Vietnam and Australia and plans to develop a processing facility in Vietnam. A similar request from clients prompted another Chinese magnet maker, Magsound, to decide to open a factory in Vietnam in the first half of next year, the two people said. In April, Australia's Strategic Materials (ASM.AX) signed a deal with a Vietnamese refiner that committed to supplying rare earths for export to South Korea.

Persons: David Merriman, China's Luxshare, Taiwan's Foxconn, Magsound, Japan's Shin, Obayashi, Francesco Guarascio, Khanh Vu, Mai Nguyen, Christopher Cushing Organizations: Apple, Sino, Korea's Star, Industrial, SGI, U.S . Department of Energy, South, Reuters, VinFast, Hyundai, China's, Luxshare, Thomson Locations: China, HANOI, SEOUL, Vietnam, U.S, South Korea, Washington, Beijing, Australia, Hanoi

Second-quarter annual growth came in at 2.9%, central bank data showed. The economy is facing downside risks stemming from weaker-than-expected global growth, and a deeper or longer-than-expected technology downcycle," Governor Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour told a news conference. While he does not expect a worldwide recession, the governor said global growth will be below the long-term average. Malaysian consumers are also likely to be cautious in their spending going forward, leading to slower economic growth in the second half, he said. On Friday, the central bank said while cost pressures have eased, headline and core inflation will moderate further in the second half partly due to a higher comparative base last year.

Persons: Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour, El Nino, Abdul Rasheed, Mohd Afzanizam Abdul Rashid, Mohd Afzanizam, Alex Holmes, Holmes, BNM, Mei Mei Chu, Martin Petty, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: China, Reuters, Bank Negara, Bank Muamalat, Oxford Economics, U.S, Thomson Locations: KUALA LUMPUR, Bank, Bank Negara Malaysia, Malaysia, Bank Muamalat Malaysia

☆ Chinese duties on U.S. imports 'inconsistent' with WTO obligations
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-16 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

A logo is seen at the World Trade Organization (WTO) headquarters before a news conference in Geneva, Switzerland, October 5, 2022. REUTERS/Denis Balibouse/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsGENEVA, Aug 16 (Reuters) - A World Trade Organization (WTO) dispute settlement panel on Wednesday found that China had acted inconsistently with its WTO obligations by imposing additional duties on certain U.S. imports in response to U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminium. China's Commerce Ministry said it had noted the WTO panel decision and demanded that the United States immediately lift tariffs imposed on steel and aluminium imports. The U.S. imposed a 25% duty on steel imports and a 10% duty on aluminium imports in March 2018 based on the Donald Trump administration's "Section 232" national security investigation into steel and aluminium imports. In response to the U.S. duties, China announced that additional duties of between 15% and 25% would apply to certain imports originating in the United States, a measure challenged by Washington.

Persons: Denis Balibouse, Donald Trump, Joe Biden's, Gabrielle Tétrault, Farber, Susan Heavey, Ella Cao, Rachel More, Devika Syamnath, Sharon Singleton Organizations: World Trade Organization, REUTERS, Rights, Trade Organization, U.S . Trade, WTO, Ministry, U.S, Washington, United, Thomson Locations: Geneva, Switzerland, China, United States, Beijing, U.S, Washington

☆ China reports big data miss in July, stops releasing youth unemployment numbers
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-15 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Retail sales rose by 2.5% in July from a year ago, below expectations for a 4.5% increase, according to analysts polled by Reuters. Within retail sales, catering saw the biggest increase of 15.8%, while sports and entertainment products saw a 2.6% year-on-year increase. Retail sales posted the slowest growth since a decline in December, according to official data. Top leaders in late July signaled a shift away from its crackdown on real estate speculation. But the overall approach to additional stimulus has been cautious, especially in real estate.

Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, National Bureau, Statistics, Reuters, National Bureau of Statistics, CNBC, Authorities Locations: BEIJING, China

☆ Russia’s Moves to Shore Up Ruble Reflect War’s Toll on Economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-10 | by ( Anatoly Kurmanaev | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +4 min

The Russian currency fell nearly 25 percent since the beginning of the year. “The ruble exchange rate is only an indicator,” said Alexandra Prokopenko, a nonresident scholar at the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center and a former Russian central bank official. The ruble plummeted to as low as 135 per dollar and the central bank took a series of dramatic measures, including capital controls, to stave off a full-blown meltdown. The most immediate concern for Russian financial policymakers is the possibility of significant inflation. The country’s central bank reacted to that risk late last month with a higher-than-expected rise in interest rates, to 8.5 percent.

Persons: ”, Alexandra Prokopenko, Vladimir V, Putin, Yevgeny V Organizations: Bank of Russia, Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center Locations: Moscow, Russia, Russian, Ukraine, Soviet Union

☆ China’s Exports Fall Again, Imperiling Its Economic Recovery
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-08 | by ( J. Edward Moreno | More About J. Edward Moreno | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

In the first seven months of the year, exports to the United States declined 18.6 percent compared with the same period last year, while shipments to the European Union fell 5 percent. Exports to Russia, which has been hit with Western sanctions over its invasion of Ukraine, increased more than 70 percent. “There has been general weakness in demand for China’s exports,” he said. A real estate crisis and weak spending by consumers have put pressure on Beijing to increase exports to help stabilize the economy. But the trade numbers released on Tuesday suggest weak demand may exacerbate a global slowdown.

Persons: Paul Donovan, ” Organizations: European Union, UBS, Officials, China Locations: United States, Russia, Ukraine, Mexico, Canada, China, Beijing

"It's probably going to be a rough July and a rough summer," she said in a phone interview. Canada's trade deficit with countries other than the United States, its biggest trading partner, widened to an all-time high as month-over-month exports declined 5.5%, while imports were down marginally. The overall trade deficit matched the C$3.73 billion shortfall in October 2020. The Canadian dollar traded slightly higher at C$1.3477 to the U.S. dollar, or 74.20 U.S. cents, up from C$1.3498 to the U.S. dollar, or 74.09 U.S. cents. By volume, imports were up 0.9%.

Persons: Chris Helgren, Statscan, Meena Aier, It's, Olivia Cross, Cross, Ismail Shakil, David Ljunggren, Bernadette Baum, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: Port, REUTERS, OTTAWA, Statistics, Export Development, Capital Economics, Canadian, U.S ., Thomson Locations: Port of Vancouver , British Columbia, Canada, Statistics Canada, United States, of Nova Scotia, Ottawa

☆ China reports double-digit plunge in July exports and imports, missing expectations
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-08 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

A container ship from China-owned Cosco Shipping sits in the Port of Oakland in California on Aug. 7, 2023. BEIJING — China said Tuesday that exports fell by 14.5% in July from a year ago, while imports dropped by 12.4% in U.S. dollar terms. A Reuters poll predicted a 12.5% decline in exports in July from a year ago, in U.S. dollar terms. Imports were expected to have dropped by 5% during that time, according to the poll. A slowdown in U.S. and other major economies' growth has dragged down Chinese exports this year.

Organizations: Cosco Shipping, Reuters, European, CNBC Locations: China, Port of Oakland, California, BEIJING — China, U.S, Caixin

Asia's imports of the super-chilled fuel were estimated at 21.85 million metric tons in July by commodity analysts Kpler, up from June's 21.28 million and the most since January. Europe's imports were estimated at 8.72 million metric tons in July, down from June's 9.06 million and lowest monthly total since August last year. The Kpler data point to an increase of just 570,000 metric tons in Asia's imports in July, while Europe saw a drop of 340,000. Among Asia's major importers, China's demand remains muted with Kpler estimating July arrivals at 5.88 million metric tons, down from 6.20 million in June. South Korea, the world's third-biggest LNG buyer, saw July imports of 2.81 million metric tons, a small decline from June's 2.92 million.

Persons: Robert Birsel Organizations: LNG, Europe's, Reuters, Thomson Locations: LAUNCESTON, Australia, Europe, June's, Asia, Ukraine, Japan, China, South Korea, India, U.S, United States, Europe's U.S

☆ Businesses aren't acting like a recession is coming this year
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-30 | by ( Noah Sheidlower | Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Still, businesses aren't feeling too optimistic, with most still expecting a recession this year. However, big companies are hiring, businesses are expanding, and lots of entrepreneurs are filing to open new startups. This was partly due to consumers spending more and business investment being way up. The main measure of business investment in the GDP report is well above pre-pandemic levels, and shows no signs of slowing down ahead of a hypothetical recession. Businesses also aren't feeling too optimistic according to the National Federation of Independent Business' Small Business Optimism Index.

Persons: —, Gregory Daco, Daco, Jeffrey Roach, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Service, Bureau, Infrastructure Investment, Jobs, US . Entrepreneurs, Economic Innovation Group, Economic, Nationwide, Edelman Data, Intelligence, National Federation of Independent Business, LPL, Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: Wall, Silicon

☆ The US economy is surging
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-27 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Real gross domestic product, or real GDP, grew at an annualized rate of 2.4%. That advance estimate for the second quarter beat the 1.8% increase expected. A recent GDP preview from Gregory Daco, chief economist of EY, also highlighted strength in the US economy and what it may mean. "Still, the economy continues to face significant headwinds from persistently elevated prices and costs, tightening credit conditions and rising interest rates. That's also much higher than the 3.2% seen in the second quarter of 2022.

Persons: Bill Adams, Jerome Powell, Powell, Gregory Daco, Daco, That's Organizations: Service, BEA, Consumer, Federal Reserve, Comerica Bank's, Fed Locations: Wall, Silicon

LONDON, July 14 (Reuters) - An accelerating dollar slide could be a U.S. gift to its allies by helping them catch up with its impressive disinflation. A dollar slide of this size and speed has typically elicited yelps of pain from U.S. trading partners. Euro zone headline inflation - which peaked about one percentage point above and three months later than the U.S. equivalent last year - was still 2.5 points above it last month. The ECB will likely stay shy of peak Fed rates, but an expected move to 4.0% policy rates by year-end will involve two quarter point hikes after the Fed has stopped. A time-limited dollar drop now may be more benign than a simple reversion to a new 'currency war'.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Mike Dolan, Josie Kao Organizations: Reserve, Monetary, Sterling, Bank of England, European Central Bank, ECB, Fed, Transatlantic, Reuters, Twitter, Thomson Locations: U.S, Europe, Britain, Swiss

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Cool inflation and hot markets
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-13 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Disinflation in processU.S. headline inflation in June rose just 0.2% compared with May, and 3% from a year ago — the lowest level since March 2021. Excluding food and energy prices, core CPI was 0.2% higher month on month and 4.8% higher on an annual basis. China's trade trickling dryChina's trade activity in June indicated the country's economic slump isn't over.

Persons: Dow Jones, xAI Elon Musk, xAI, Michael Schumacher Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Imports, SpaceX, Twitter, Google, Federal Reserve, Wells, Wells Fargo Securities Locations: Asia, Pacific, South, Wells Fargo

[1/3] US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen speaks during her meeting with China's Vice Premier He Lifeng (out of frame) at the Diaoyutai State Guesthouse in Beijing on July 8, 2023. Yellen said nothing publicly to indicate that the U.S. was poised to ease tariffs, but commentators in China were hopeful, amid a U.S. Trade Representative review. "While U.S might continue its technological curbs on China, a reduction or exemption of non-core tariffs against China is possible." Yellen last year advocated eliminating some duties on "non-strategic" goods as a way to ease some specific costs amid high inflation. Haley has said she would push Congress to revoke China’s trade status until China curbs its alleged role in the fentanyl trade.

Persons: Janet Yellen, Lifeng, Pedro PARDO, Janet Yellen's, Biden, Harry Broadman, Donald Trump's, Premier Li Qiang, Yellen, Hong Hao, Chad Bown, " Bown, Josh Hawley, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Haley, Donald Trump, David Lawder, Andrea Shalal, Gram Slattery, Jeff Mason, Heather Timmons, Nick Zieminski Organizations: China's, WASHINGTON, . Treasury, Trump, White House, World Bank, Berkeley Research, Premier, U.S . Treasury, . Trade, China's Finance, U.S, Grow Investment, Times, Peterson Institute of International Economics, Reuters, Republican, Firebrand, Thomson Locations: Diaoyutai, Beijing, China, U.S, Washington, U.s, Donald Trump's China, CHINA, Xinjiang, Hong Kong, Florida, Mexico, Cuba

☆ The chip wars are heating up. This Chinese stock rose 30% in five days
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-09 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

China is starting to show what sway it has in the semiconductor supply chain, and stocks are only starting to react. About a week ago on July 3 , China's Commerce Ministry announced export restrictions on germanium and gallium would take effect on Aug. 1. WestSummit claims about 20 billion yuan ($2.77 billion) in assets under management. China's latest export curbs follow sweeping U.S. export restrictions in October to limit Chinese businesses' access to advanced semiconductor technology. One of Delta's investments, Shanghai New Vision Microelectronics, raised just over 1 billion yuan in an initial public offering on Shanghai's Star board on June 1.

Persons: Bo Du, Du, WestSummit, Greg Ye, Ye, Wei Jianguo, Wei didn't, Brian Tycangco, Tycangco Organizations: China's Commerce Ministry, . Geological Survey, WestSummit Capital Management, CNBC, Delta Capital, Shanghai New Vision Microelectronics, Shanghai's Star, Stansberry Research, Materials, Earth Holdings Locations: China, Yunnan, U.S, Shenzhen, Shanghai, Washington, Beijing

☆ The Contentious U.S.-China Relationship, by the Numbers
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-07 | by ( Ana Swanson | More About Ana Swanson | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +6 min

The U.S.-China Business Council estimated that U.S. exports to China supported nearly 1.1 million jobs in the United States in 2021. Also in the survey, 46 percent of American companies thought that U.S.-China relations would deteriorate in 2023, while only 13 percent thought they would improve. Personal and cultural connectionsThe United States is home to nearly 2.4 million Chinese immigrants, making it the top destination for Chinese immigrants worldwide. China had more than 80,000 movie screens by late 2021, compared with roughly 39,000 in the United States. Air carriers are running only 24 flights a week between the United States and China, compared with about 350 before the pandemic.

Persons: Janet L, Yellen, Germany —, China’s, Long, ByteDance, Maheshwari, Nicole Sperling Organizations: Economic, International Monetary Fund, Initiative, China . Trade, China Business Council, United, Commerce Department, Financial, American Chamber of Commerce, Columbia University Locations: China, United States, Beijing, U.S, Canada, Mexico . U.S, The U.S, Japan, Britain, Germany, China’s, American, Comscore

☆ What are Gallium and Germanium and which countries are producers?
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-04 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Germanium ores are rare and most germanium is a by-product of zinc production and from coal fly ash. Gallium is found in trace amounts in zinc ores and in bauxite, and gallium metal is produced when processing bauxite to make aluminium. U.S. imports of gallium metal and gallium arsenide (GaAs) wafers in 2022 were worth about $3 million and $200 million, respectively, according to USGS. U.S.-based Indium Corporation also produces germanium, while Belgium's Umicore (UMI.BR) makes both germanium and gallium. "Zinc selenide and germanium glass substitute for germanium metal in infrared applications systems, but often at the expense of performance."

Persons: Belgium's, Eikon, Dominique Patton, Mai Nguyen, Melanie Burton, Pratima Desai, Tom Hogue, Himani Sarkar, Catherine Evans, David Evans Organizations: Alliance, . Geological Survey, WHO, Teck Resources, Shanghai Metal Exchange, Thomson Locations: China, Canada, Finland, Russia, United States, Europe, Japan, U.S, South Korea, Germany, Kazakhstan, Teck, North America, British Columbia, Beijing

☆ Which countries produce strategic materials Gallium and Germanium?
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-04 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Germanium ores are rare and most germanium is produced as a by-product of zinc production and from coal fly ash. China produces around 60% of the world's germanium, according to the European association Critical Raw Materials Alliance (CRMA), with the rest coming from Canada, Finland, Russia and the United States. Gallium is found in trace amounts in zinc ores and in bauxite, and gallium metal is produced when processing bauxite to make aluminium. U.S. imports of gallium metal and gallium arsenide (GaAs) wafers in 2022 were worth about $3 million and $200 million, respectively, according to USGS. U.S.-based Indium Corporation also produces germanium, while Belgium's Umicore (UMI.BR) makes both germanium and gallium.

Persons: Belgium's, Eikon, Dominique Patton, Mai Nguyen, Melanie Burton, Tom Hogue, Himani Organizations: Alliance, WHO, United States Geological Survey, Teck Resources, Shanghai Metal Exchange, Thomson Locations: China, Canada, Finland, Russia, United States, Europe, Japan, U.S, South Korea, Germany, Kazakhstan, Teck, North America, British Columbia, Beijing

☆ Opposition Grows to U.S. Imports of Refined Russian Oil
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-29 | by ( Ana Swanson | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Ukrainian officials and human rights groups are asking the United States to close what they describe as a loophole that allows Russian crude oil that has been refined in other countries to be shipped to the United States. The Biden administration issued a ban last March on purchasing crude oil and other petroleum products directly from Russia, immediately following the Kremlin’s invasion of Ukraine. The European Union, which was heavily dependent on Russia for supplies of energy, banned Russian crude in December and petroleum products the following February. But both the United States and the European Union continue to purchase Russian oil that has been refined in other countries into gasoline, fuel oil and other products. This activity is legal: Once Russian crude oil has been “substantially transformed” by being refined in another country, it legally ceases to be Russian.

Persons: Biden Organizations: European Union, United Arab Locations: United States, Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Singapore, China, India, Europe, Iran, Venezuela

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