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Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by a quarter point
  + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
watch nowThe Federal Reserve approved its second consecutive interest rate cut Thursday, moving at a less aggressive pace than before but continuing its efforts to rightsize monetary policy. Among them was an altered view in how it assesses the effort to bring down inflation while supporting the labor market. The statement slightly downgraded the labor market, saying "conditions have generally eased, and the unemployment rate has moved up but remains low." Generally, the labor market has held up well. An acceleration in economic activity under Trump could persuade the Fed to cut rates less, depending on how inflation reacts.
Persons: Michelle Bowman, Jerome Powell, nonfarm, Donald Trump, Trump, Powell, Pace Organizations: Federal Reserve, Federal, Committee, Gross, Atlanta Fed, Trump Locations: Tuesday's
Global trade changed considerably over the past four years — benefiting India — as President Joe Biden retained much of Trump's tariffs on China. EnergyOn the one hand, analysts expect Indian interests to be aligned with those of the United States regarding oil prices . Trump's previous term in office, whether intentionally or coincidently, saw moderate to low oil prices. As India imports over 90% of its oil needs, New Delhi will likely welcome any move by the U.S. to keep oil prices low. A quick resolution of the war in Ukraine — Trump's campaign promise — would also prove to be negative for oil prices.
Persons: Narendra Modi, Donald Trump, Narendra Modi's, Joe Biden, Macquarie, Aditya Suresh, Trump, Uncle Sam, Samiran Chakraborty, Baqar Zaidi, Ukraine —, , Sanjeev Prasad Organizations: India's, U.S, Manufacturing, Global, Observer Research Foundation, Treasury, Indian, Citi, Companies, Tata Consultancy Services, HCL Tech, Infosys, Energy, Suzlon Locations: Hyderabad, New Delhi, India, China, U.S, Mumbai, United States, Ukraine
London feels those long-standing bonds and geopolitical interests make its relationship with the U.S., well, special. Not so special anymoreDescribing the "special relationship" as one of convenience for the U.S., Pickering said the U.K. could still maneuver itself to be useful to an incoming Trump government. Whisper it, but the "special relationship" ceased to be special long ago, according to Holger Schmieding, chief economist at Berenberg. "That Trump and Starmer are apparently not fans of each other, to put it mildly, will not help in future U.S.-U.K. talks. Britain's Queen Elizabeth II greets U.S. President Donald Trump as he arrives for the Ceremonial Welcome at Buckingham Palace, in London, Britain June 3, 2019.
Persons: Donald Trump, Jeff J Mitchell, Keir Starmer, Trump, David Lammy, Starmer, Harris, Joe Biden, Kevin Lamarque, Badenoch, Lammy, Kallum Pickering, Peel Hunt, We're, we'll, Pickering, Holger Schmieding, Schmieding, Britain's Queen Elizabeth II, Victoria Jones Organizations: Getty, U.S, London, Britain's, Republican, Trump Tower, Trump, Atlantic, Labour Party, White, Reuters, Conservative Party, Republicans, Labour, European Union, China, Peel, CNBC, NATO Locations: London, New York, Washington, Europe, China, EU, U.S, America, Buckingham, Britain
Japan is one stock market outside the U.S. that could win now that Donald Trump is headed back to the White House. Trump has previously proposed tariffs of up to 20% on imports, with a stringent tax of 60% on goods coming from China. Japanese stocks rallied, however, as the yen weakened with some investors expecting the U.S. defense partner stands to gain most from Trump's policies. However, Akutsu warned, with few positive earnings surprises in the market, a year-end rally could be "limited in scope." Takada said investors may have to weigh the near-term benefits of a Trump market against the risks of a possible trade war, even with a rise in the Japanese equity risk premium.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Goldman Sachs, Tony Pasquariello, What's, Pasquariello, America's Masashi Akutsu, Akutsu, Morgan's Masanari Takada, Takada, It's Organizations: Nikkei, Bank, Bank of America, Hitachi, Retailing, Trump Locations: Japan, China, U.S, Europe
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHere's how much impact the U.S. president has on the economy50% of Americans believe that the result of the 2024 presidential election will directly impact their personal finances, according to a survey by financial services company Empower. And about 99% of voters said that the economy was at least somewhat important in influencing their vote for the next president, according to Gallup. So how much influence do U.S. presidents actually have on the economy?
Organizations: Gallup
President Trump has said he plans to install a blanket tariff of 10% to 20% on all imports, with additional tariffs of 60% to 100% on goods brought in from China. In the September Presidential debate, Trump characterized the plan as a way to extract money from rival nations. Economists, however, tend to agree that such a plan would would have the effect of raising prices on everyday goods. How tariffs workSimply put, a tariff is a tax on imports, though not one paid by the exporting country. Trump has floated the idea that a tariff policy could eventually replace U.S. federal income tax altogether, a convention that the nonpartisan Peterson Institute for International Economics called "literally impossible."
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Howard Gleckman Organizations: Republican, Palm Beach Convention, U.S ., Urban, Brookings Tax Policy Center, CNBC, Tax Foundation, Peterson Institute for International Locations: Palm Beach, West Palm Beach , Florida, China, U.S
CNN —Rory McIlroy thinks that Donald Trump’s return to presidency could help unify the fractured landscape of men’s professional golf by brokering a deal between the PGA Tour and the breakaway Saudi-backed LIV Golf. When asked on Wednesday if Trump could deliver on his own assertion that he could fix the LIV-PGA Tour deal in 15 minutes, McIlroy said: “He might be able to. The US-based circuit and the Saudi Public Investment Fund (PIF), which is behind LIV Golf, remain locked in negotiations, with the initial deadline for the partnership of December 31 last year extended into 2024. When asked about the PGA Tour and LIV on the podcast, recorded Sunday ahead of the election, he added: “I’m really going to work on other things, to be honest with you. “Great news from LIV golf.
Persons: Rory McIlroy, Donald Trump’s, LIV Golf, Trump, McIlroy, He’s, Elon Musk, it’s, he’s, LIV, , ” Trump, Bill Belichick, Jim Gray Organizations: CNN, PGA Tour, HSBC Abu Dhabi Championship, Saudi Public Investment Fund, Trump, PGA, LIV Locations: Saudi, Saudi Arabia, United States
Donald Trump owns 16 golf courses across three continents, mostly with vibrant social-media presences. AdvertisementAt President-elect Donald Trump's golf courses, his election posed a dilemma: Embrace the connection, or stay quiet? International courses in Dubai and Indonesia also kept quiet, as did the US courses in Los Angeles County and Hudson Valley, New York. But his victory does put a spotlight back on Trump's business empire, where companies could use the connections as a selling point or try to function like a business without a famous owner. Reuters estimated earlier this year that Trump's golf and resort business is the biggest driver of the Trump Organization's cash flow.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Donald Trump's, Trump, Doonbeg Organizations: Trump, Service, Ireland, Trump International, Reuters Locations: Bedminster , New Jersey, Doral , Florida, Scotland, Turnberry, Dubai, Indonesia, Los Angeles County, Hudson Valley , New York
This Trump trade euphoria is likely to fade fast
  + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
New York CNN —Wednesday morning, my inbox was flooded with notes from analysts eager to talk about the election’s upside for various sectors. The crypto folks came on especially strong, cheering the success of the candidate who promised them the moon. When the stock market opened in New York, the enthusiasm for these so-called Trump trades went into hyperdrive. Virtually all mainstream economists oppose tariffs on that scale and expect they would cause inflation to rise yet again. “My worst-case scenario is that he’s actually successful with his blanket tariff policies,” Alpert told me.
Persons: CNN Business ’, Dow, Bitcoin, ” Daniel Alpert, “ There’s, Alpert, Art Hogan, Matt Egan, Trump, ” Hogan, , he’s, ” Alpert, Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Trump, Westwood Capital, Riley Wealth Management, Republican Locations: New York, hyperdrive, Washington
The Polymarket trader who bet big on a Donald Trump win made much more than previously thought. New research from Chainalysis estimates a total profit of over $85 million, up from $48 million. AdvertisementA Polymarket trader who bet tens of millions on Donald Trump's presidential win appears to have raked in a much larger profit than previously known. A new estimate now places that figure at more than $85 million, well above the earlier tally of $48 million, according to research from the blockchain-analysis firm Chainalysis. Collectively, Polymarket traders bet around $3.7 billion in volume over who would win the US presidency.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Donald Trump's, Théo Organizations: Service, Trump, Wall
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRepublican sweep is good for markets, says Fenway Summer Ventures' Javier SaadeJavier Saade, a venture partner at Fenway Summer Ventures, discusses the impact of the U.S. presidential election on markets.
Persons: Javier Saade Javier Saade Organizations: Fenway, Ventures, Fenway Summer Ventures, U.S
Jim Watson | Afp | Getty ImagesAs Donald Trump celebrated his presidential victory early Wednesday morning, Elon Musk was right there with him. Elon," Trump said onstage at his Mar-a-Lago resort, thanking the world's richest person for spending two weeks campaigning in Pennsylvania. Musk's investment in Trump is already paying off, even though Trump doesn't take office until Jan. 20. Musk was introduced by Cantor Fitzgerald CEO Howard Lutnick, who called the Tesla CEO the "greatest capitalist" in U.S. history. Having a role in a bespoke commission could give Musk power over federal agencies' budgets, staffing and the ability to push for the elimination of inconvenient regulations.
Persons: Elon Musk, Donald Trump, Jim Watson, Elon, Trump, Musk's SpaceX, Musk, surrogates, Tony, Cantor Fitzgerald, Howard Lutnick, Lutnick, Biden, Tesla, Sergio Flores, Geoff Orazem, Orazem, Vladimir Putin, Xi Jinping, Bill Nelson, Putin, Tenet, JD Vance Organizations: Republican, Afp, Getty, Trump, U.S, Tesla, SpaceX, Twitter, Department of Government, SEC, Environmental Protection Agency, Federal Aviation Administration, IRS, Microsoft, Meta, U.S . Army, National Security Agency, FedScout, NASA, U.S . Air Force, Space Force, Federal Emergency Management Agency, National Labor Relations Board, Street Journal, NBC News, Tenet Media, Department of Justice, Putin, Kremlin, PAC Locations: Butler , Pennsylvania, Lago, Pennsylvania, China, Hurricane, New, Puerto Rico, Meta, U.S, Taiwan, Russian, Ukraine
Mortgage ratesHousing affordability has been a major issue due in part to a sharp rise in mortgage rates since the pandemic. Trump has said he'll bring down mortgage rates — even though 15- and 30-year mortgage rates are fixed, and tied to Treasury yields and the economy. Mortgage rates are unlikely to fall significantly, given the current climate, explained Jacob Channel, senior economist at LendingTree. Federal student loan rates are fixed, so most borrowers won't be immediately affected. But refinancing a federal loan into a private student loan will forgo the safety nets that come with federal loans, such as deferments, forbearances, income-driven repayment and loan forgiveness and discharge options.
Persons: Joshua Roberts, Matt Schulz, Trump, Jessica Caldwell, Edmunds, Trump's, Caldwell, Michele Raneri, Jacob Channel, Mark Kantrowitz Organizations: Federal, Reuters, Auto, Fed, Treasury, TransUnion, Mortgage, Association . Locations: Washington ,, Edmunds, U.S
Following Donald Trump's Presidential election win, 30-year fixed mortgage rates briefly surged, settling at 6.98% as of Thursday, according to Mortgage News Daily . Recent interest rate cuts have brought relief to credit card, personal loan and auto borrowers, but homebuyers are unlikely to catch a break as mortgage rates continue to climb. While mortgage rates often move in step with the Fed's benchmark rate, they're more directly tied to 10-year Treasury bond yields. These yields tend to rise when investors expect stronger economic growth and higher inflation — even when the Federal Reserve is cutting the federal funds rate. Either way, "continued deficit spending, coupled with discussions of additional tariffs on imports, is likely to keep [mortgage] rates elevated through the remainder of 2024," says Nourmand.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Melissa Cohn, William Raveis, Harris, Michael Nourmand, Organizations: Reserve, Mortgage News, Federal Reserve, William Raveis Mortgage, Trump, Associates, CNBC Locations: New York, Los Angeles
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during the morning trading on November 07, 2024 in New York City. U.S. stock futures hovered near the flatline Thursday night after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite hit records in a postelection rally and investors weighed the Federal Reserve's latest interest rate cut. S&P 500 futures and futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added just 0.03% and 0.05% each. The moves higher continue the market rally from Wednesday in the wake of President-elect Donald Trump's victory, during which the Dow and S&P 500 rose to their best days since November 2022. The postelection surge put all three of the major averages are on pace for strong weekly gains, with the S&P 500 up about 4.3% and the Dow higher by nearly 4%.
Persons: Dow, Donald Trump's, Jerome Powell, Scott Helfstein, Trump Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Dow, Global, Republican, Fed Locations: New York City . U.S, Thursday's
Long-term capital gains rates apply to assets owned for more than one year. Higher capital gains tax rates, however, are "entirely off the table," under a Trump presidency and Republican-controlled Congress, said Erica York, senior economist and research manager with the Tax Foundation's Center for Federal Tax Policy. Even with partial Republican control, "it's most likely that capital gains tax policy just stays put where it is," York explained. For 2024, investors pay long-term capital gains rates of 0%, 15% or 20%, depending on taxable income. Combined with long-term capital gains taxes, higher earners currently pay up to 23.8% on investments.
Persons: Donald Trump, Jim Watson, Donald Trump's, Kamala Harris, Harris, Joe Biden's, Erica York, York, Howard Gleckman Organizations: U.S, Republican, Afp, Getty, Trump, Tax, Center, Federal Tax Policy, Republicans, Representatives, White, Urban, Brookings Tax Locations: Palm Beach
CNN —Germany’s governing coalition has collapsed after disagreements over the country’s weak economy led Chancellor Olaf Scholz to sack his finance minister. The coalition has been at loggerheads over how to revive Germany’s economy. What problems is Germany’s economy facing? Germany’s economy, Europe’s largest, shrank last year for the first time since the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic. Party leader Alice Weidel has already hailed the coalition’s collapse as a “liberation” for Germany.
Persons: Chancellor Olaf Scholz, Christian Lindner’s, Scholz, Donald Trump, Europe’s, Angela Merkel, Gerhard Schröder, Merkel, Christian Lindner, Christoph Soeder, Friedrich Merz, Lindner, Liesa Johannssen, “ Lindner, ” Lindner, , Carsten Brzeski, , Robert Habeck, Annegret Hilse, Merz, Alice Weidel, ” Weidel Organizations: CNN, Free Democrats Party, Scholz’s Social Democratic Party, SPD, Green Party, CDU, Trump, Social Democratic Party, Greens, ING, Volkswagen, CDU –, Christian Democratic Union, Party Locations: Germany, Germany’s, Nazi, Thuringia, France, Italy, Ukraine, China,
He has also generally backed nuclear power, though he expressed some skepticism in his October interview with Joe Rogan. The clearest winner: Gas Stocks exposed to natural gas emerge as some of the clearest winners, according to post-election notes by JPMorgan and Jefferies. But the company has significant gas generation assets and would be poised to benefit under the fossil-fuel friendly Trump administration, according to JPMorgan. GE Vernova is one of the clearest winners, according to Jefferies analysts. Cheniere also stands to benefit through potentially easier liquid natural gas production under Trump, Jefferies found.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Joe Rogan, Kevin Kwan, Cheniere, Jefferies, Sunrun, Enphase, SolarEdge, Julien Dumoulin, Smith, Goldman, Biden, it's Organizations: Green New, Gas, JPMorgan, Jefferies, Vistra Corp, Trump, GE Vernova, GE, Senate, GOP, NOVA, NextEra Energy, U.S, Nuclear Locations: U.S, Ukraine
Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump arrives to speak with former first lady Melania Trump during an election night event at the Palm Beach Convention Center on November 06, 2024 in West Palm Beach, Florida. Yet after achieving what is arguably the greatest political feat of his career, the new president-elect has so far been silent on the social media platforms where he is normally a ubiquitous presence. As of Thursday afternoon, Trump had not posted on Truth Social, the platform operated by his social media company Trump Media , since before all polls closed on Election Day. Nor has he trumpeted his victory on X, the social media site owned by his top campaign backer Elon Musk. Asked for clarity, Trump campaign spokesman Steven Cheung said only, "President Trump won a historic election and will now become the 47th President of the United States."
Persons: Donald Trump, Melania Trump, Trump, Elon Musk, Steven Cheung Organizations: Trump Media, Facebook, Republican Locations: Palm Beach, West Palm Beach , Florida, United States
Investors boosted stocks after Donald Trump won a second term. But investors shouldn't depart from their long-term investing plan, Morningstar's Dave Sekera says. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. But even as prices soar, it's important not to get caught up in the mania beyond your normal risk tolerance, warns Morningstar Senior US Market Strategist Dave Sekera. "The small-cap space, even with today's bump, it's still the most undervalued part of the market in our view," he said.
Persons: Donald Trump, shouldn't, Dave Sekera, , Morningstar, Sekera, Trump, aren't, Goldman Sachs, shouldn't overreact, John Rekenthaler, Joe Biden, That's, it's Organizations: Service, Dow Jones, White Locations: bullishness
Shares of U.S. Cellular and Telephone and Data Systems may be due for more gains following President-elect Donald Trump's victory, according to Raymond James. Its $86 price target for U.S. Cellular reflects 32% upside, while Telephone and Data Systems' target of $51 implies more than 56% upside, as of Wednesday's close. Analyst Ric Prentiss thinks Trump's win signals a weaker regulatory environment that could ultimately pave the way for T-Mobile's $4.4 billion acquisition of most of U.S. Cellular to go through . TDS USM 6M mountain TDS vs. USM, six-months Both stocks have had a positive run this year, with shares of U.S. Cellular seeing gains of nearly 57% and Telephone and Data Systems advancing more than 77% year to date. The stocks have had an even bigger run in the past six months, surging around 83% and more than 111%, respectively.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Raymond James, Ric Prentiss, Prentiss Organizations: U.S . Cellular, Telephone, Data Systems, U.S, Cellular, USM
A Donald Trump presidency and Republican-controlled Senate could boost big banks, according to Morgan Stanley analyst Betsy Graseck. The analyst highlighted four big banks investors should look toward: Citigroup, Goldman Sachs , Wells Fargo and Bank of America . The acceleration in capital markets should benefit all the big banks, and Goldman Sachs is set to benefit the most, she noted. Meanwhile, Citigroup is most exposed to tailwinds from higher excess capital levels as a Republican-led government is unlikely to raise current capital requirements. She estimates this will result in an $86 billion jump in current excess capital for the big banks in the firm's coverage.
Persons: Donald Trump, Morgan Stanley, Betsy Graseck, financials, Financials, Graseck, Goldman Sachs, Wells, Goldman Organizations: Republican, Trump, House Republicans, Citigroup, Bank of America Locations: Wells Fargo, Basel
But over four successive election cycles — the 2018 midterms, the 2020 election, the 2022 midterms, and this year's election — Trump has steadily remade the party in his image. Related Video Chaos reigns at GOP debate as Trump skips out"This Republican Party is not the Republican Party of 2010," said Daniel Schuman, a Congress expert and the Executive Director of the American Governance Institute. While Senate GOP Leader Mitch McConnell's disdain for Trump is well known, his two most likely successors — Sens. That includes all but two of the 10 House Republicans who voted to impeach him after January 6. One proxy for this divide is the issue of Ukraine: Just over half of House Republicans voted against a more than $60 billion Ukraine aid package last year, while most Senate Republicans voted for it.
Persons: , Donald Trump's, Trump, — Trump, Daniel Schuman, It's, Paul Ryan, Mike Johnson, Ryan, Johnson, he's, Mitch McConnell's, — Sens, John Thune of, John Cornyn, Ryan Williams, Mitt Romney's, Schuman, Brent Griffiths Organizations: Republicans, Trump, Service, GOP, Republican, Republican Party of, American Governance Institute, Senate, Republican Party Locations: Manhattan, John Thune of South Dakota, Texas, Congress, Ukraine
(CNN) – Margaret Atwood’s “The Handmaid’s Tale,” a novel set in a totalitarian society, has shot to the top of Amazon’s bestselling books list following Donald Trump’s reelection. Former president Trump clinched a victory against Vice President Kamala Harris in Tuesday’s election, securing a second term, non-consecutive after he lost in 2020. “The Handmaid’s Tale” takes place in a theocratic, male-dominated future America where the US Constitution is suspended, media is censored and women (the titular “handmaids”) are forced to bear children for the ruling class. Many have harnessed comparisons to Atwood’s classic in the lead-up to the election, particularly around the topic of reproductive rights. Calm drew attention on social media after airing ads that gave viewers “30 seconds of silence” amid continuous election coverage.
Persons: – Margaret Atwood’s “, , Donald Trump’s, Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, Roe, Wade, handmaids, Barack Obama, Valerie Jarrett, Joe Biden’s, Hillary Clinton, Atwood, X, It’s, Brett Kavanaugh’s, George Orwell’s “, Ray Bradbury’s, Melania Organizations: CNN, Barnes, Trump, US Supreme, MSNBC, Apple Locations: skyrocketing, Tuesday’s, America
Kamala Harris' advisors said she struggled to dig herself out of a hole. Related Video Can Kamala Harris win over Democrats after Joe Biden drops out of 2024 presidential election? Throughout the 2024 race, Trump posted some of his highest approval numbers since he launched his first presidential run in 2015. AdvertisementEvan Roth Smith, the lead pollster at BluePrint, said there's no doubt that Biden's unpopularity impacted Harris. The Trump campaign didn't forget."
Persons: Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Harris, , Doug Sosnik, Bill Clinton, Biden, Trump, Obama, David Plouffe, Harris's, Kamala, AWwpZQHhVo — Alex Thompson, Evan Roth Smith, Kamala Harris's, Roth Smith, would've, Rishi Sunak, George H.W, Bush, Ryan Ryan Williams, Mitt Romney's Organizations: Service, Democratic, CNN, Biden, British, Conservative Party, Democratic Party, New, Trump, GOP, Voters Locations: United States, South Korea, Germany, Iowa, New Hampshire
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