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February’s inflation report showed consumer prices rising by 0.4%, with a year-on-year increase of 6% - in line with analysts expectations, but far above the 2% rate the Fed hopes to achieve. The CPI report "was pretty much as expected. We're at a point of market anxiety where expected is good," said Rick Meckler, partner at Cherry Lane Investments. The CPI report was not all good news. The CPI report “wasn’t worse than expected,” he said.
If history is any guide, financial events like the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank could present an attractive buying opportunity for investors in the months ahead. Data compiled by Deutsche Bank macro strategist Alan Ruskin tracking several major financial events in recent history shows that the S & P 500 has gained a median of 19% a year after those incidents. While the fallout from SVB's failure could present more problems than many recent financial events, the aftershocks should fall short of the havoc wreaked in the wake of 2008's financial crisis, he wrote in a Tuesday note. Despite the wreckage the failures brought to financial markets — and regional banking stocks — history shows that these incidents could present a good buying opportunity for investors, with interest rates typically declining in their wake. Aside from the 1987 stock market crash and 1994 Orange County bankruptcy, history also shows that these incidents can also result in good news for rates.
[1/2] A person walks past the Park Avenue location of the First Republic Bank, in New York City, U.S., March 10, 2023. REUTERS/David 'Dee' DelgadoMarch 13 (Reuters) - Shares of U.S. regional banks slumped on Monday, led by losses in First Republic Bank (FRC.N) as news of fresh financing failed to assuage bank contagion fears following the collapse of SVB Financial Group (SIVB.O) and Signature Bank (SBNY.O). The KBW regional banking index (.KRX) slipped 5.4%, and the S&P 500 banking index (.SPXBK) fell 6%. U.S. President Joe Biden vowed to do whatever was needed to address a potential banking crisis after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank. Among Wall Street lenders, Bank of America Corp (BAC.N) dropped 3.3%, Citigroup Inc (C.N) and Wells Fargo (WFC.N) slid about 6% each, while lenders in Asia and Europe plunged too.
But your second thought is, how big was that crisis, how big were the risks that this step had to be taken?" Trading in shares of SVB's peer Signature Bank (SBNY.O), which was shut down by regulators on Sunday, was halted. Shares of big U.S. banks including JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM.N), Morgan Stanley (MS.N) and Bank of America (BAC.N) fell between 2.8% and 6.3%. The KBW regional banking index fell 11.2%, while the S&P 500 banks index (.SPXBK) dropped 7.7%. The S&P index recorded no new 52-week highs and 44 new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 19 new highs and 321 new lows.
Shares of First Republic sold off sharply on Monday as a selloff in regional bank stocks continued. Regional bank stocks staged their deepest retreat in three years on Monday, reflecting deepening investor concern about the health of the industry following three bank failures in the past week. The KBW Nasdaq index of commercial banks dropped more than 10%, with large lenders such as Comerica Inc. and Zions Bancorp declining more than 20%. The SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF dropped more than 15%, putting it on pace for its largest decline since 2008.
WASHINGTON/SINGAPORE, March 13 (Reuters) - U.S. authorities launched emergency measures on Sunday to shore up confidence in the banking system after the failure of Silicon Valley Bank (SIVB.O) threatened to trigger a broader financial crisis. Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), a mainstay for the startup economy, was a product of the decades-long era of cheap money, with unique risks that made it especially vulnerable. With the Fed poised to continue raising interest rates, investors said the financial system may not be fully out of the woods just yet. Goldman Sachs' analysts said they no longer expect it to raise rates at that meeting, amid the stress in the banking sector. A senior U.S. Treasury official said the actions taken would protect depositors, while providing additional support to the broader banking system, but officials and regulators were continuing to monitor financial system stability.
Factbox: Key elements of Fed's new US bank funding program
  + stars: | 2023-03-13 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
The Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) will offer loans with maturities of up to a year to banks, savings associations, credit unions and other eligible depository institutions. Here are some key elements of the Fed's program:STRESS RELIEFThe Fed has raised rates from near zero a year ago to between 4.50-4.75% now to combat inflation that hit a 40-year high last year. The same collateral terms will also be available for loans drawn from the Fed's "discount window," its traditional lender-of-last-resort facility. Ordinarily, loan amounts were governed by the market value of the pledged collateral. In fact, the Fed loans are made with "recourse beyond the pledged collateral," which takes into account the fact that the collateral may be impaired.
March 13 (Reuters) - The U.S. government announced actions to shore up deposits and stem any broader financial fallout from the sudden collapse of tech startup-focused lender Silicon Valley Bank (SIVB.O) (SVB), sending U.S. stock futures higher. "The market turbulence sparked by SVB has upended rising market expectations on the Fed rate path. The fact that SVB and Signature Bank depositors will be made whole is critical in maintaining trust in the financial system and should help stem contagion fears this week. But it also means that 50 basis points (a possible Fed interest rate hike) is off the table." Given what's happened in the U.S. financial system, a 25 basis point hike is more likely than a 50 basis point hike."
Bank stocks rebounded somewhat after getting pummeled during Monday's trading session. U.S. stock futures rose on Monday night after the Dow Jones Industrial Average notched a fifth day of losses. On Monday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell after a plan to backstop depositors in Silicon Valley Bank failed to buoy bank stocks, as well as the S&P 500 . On the other hand, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite bucked the trend, rising 0.45%, as some investors bet the collapse at Silicon Valley Bank could mean a pause in future interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve. Due out Tuesday before the bell, the February consumer price index is expected to show a rise of 0.4% last month, according to consensus estimates from Dow Jones.
March 13 (Reuters) - The U.S. government announced actions to shore up deposits and stem any broader financial fallout from the sudden collapse of tech startup-focused lender Silicon Valley Bank (SIVB.O) (SVB), sending U.S. stock futures higher. ALVIN TAN, HEAD OF ASIA FX STRATEGY, RBC CAPITAL MARKETS, SINGAPORE:"Markets remain unsettled from the SVB failure. "The market turbulence sparked by SVB has upended rising market expectations on the Fed rate path. ANTHONY SAGLIMBENE, CHIEF MARKET STRATEGIST, AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL, TROY, MICHIGAN:"It was imperative that regulators stepped in and decisively acted before markets around the world opened for the week. GREG MCBRIDE, CHIEF FINANCIAL ANALYST, BANKRATE:"While the Fed has talked about a lot in the past year, until today it has been in the context of monetary policy.
REUTERS/Lucas JacksonNEW YORK, March 13 (Reuters) - Mutual funds managed by Morgan Stanley (MS.N), Fidelity, and BlackRock (BLK.N) appear to be among the most exposed to the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank, Morningstar data showed, as a market selloff has erased more than $100 billion of U.S. banks' value. Few funds held positions that alone appeared large enough to badly damage them, though further selloffs in regional bank shares could increase the pressure, said Todd Rosenbluth, head of research at data analysts firm VettaFi. Regulators closed Signature Bank on Sunday, marking the third-largest bank failure in U.S. history, after Silicon Valley Bank on Friday became the country's second-largest bank to collapse. The $3.9 million BlackRock Future Financial and Tech ETF , meanwhile, held 3% of its assets in Signature and 1.7% in Silicon Valley Bank as of the end of December. Prior to the fall of Silicon Valley Bank, financial shares had drawn some U.S. investors, who expected rising interest rates to lift bank margins.
[1/2] A person walks past the Park Avenue location of the First Republic Bank, in New York City, U.S., March 10, 2023. There were multiple trading halts on bank shares as the KBW regional banking index (.KRX) fell 5.4%, and the S&P 500 banking index (.SPXBK) dropped 6%. Hogan said each regional bank has its own exposure to different parts of the market. He added the fate of regional bank stocks will be "case by case" as investors look to see which ones could have the most negative exposure. "First Republic Bank, which has significant exposure to the coastal real estate markets appears to be next on the list".
As the fallout from Silicon Valley Bank 's failure continues to unfold, the Federal Reserve needs to slow down before "a lot more stuff" breaks, Altimeter Capital's Brad Gerstner told CNBC's Halftime Report Monday. "By Thursday, it was very clear that our entire regional banking system was in trouble." Their profile was far different from most regional banks, which focus on small businesses or individual consumers. "We are at the verge of one of the most interesting periods of technological innovation," Gerstner told CNBC's Scott Wapner, before comparing the current moment to the 2008 financial crisis. "That's the market telling the Fed that 'you better slow down, otherwise a lot more stuff is going to break.'"
The implosion of SVB makes for scary headlines, but it could actually be great for the stock market. That's because the Federal Reserve may be forced to slow the pace of rate hikes it's been enacting since March 2022. A number of Wall Street firms have already forecasted a pause in rate hikes, Goldman Sachs chief among them. A reversal in a key market dynamicFast-rising interest rates throughout 2022 dinged company valuations and sent the broader stock market into a bear market. Some have pointed to the 1994 bankruptcy of Orange County as an event with parallels to today's interest rate environment.
A First Republic Bank branch in New York, US, on Friday, March 10, 2023. San Francisco's First Republic shares lost 70% in premarket trading Monday after declining 33% last week. First Republic Bank led a decline in bank shares Monday that came even after regulators' extraordinary actions Sunday evening to backstop all depositors in failed Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank and offer additional funding to other troubled institutions. The SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF lost 4% in premarket trading Monday following a 16% decline last week. The slide for regional bank stocks on Monday comes after a rush of withdrawals from SVB Financial forced that bank to close.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe value of a financial institution is in its deposit base, says Phil Green, CEO of Cullen/Frost BankersMad Money host Jim Cramer talks to Cullen/Frost Bankers CEO Phil Green about whether his bank could get caught up in the current regional banking panic.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRecessionary multiple isn't necessary given the stability of consumer cash, says iCapital's Anastasia AmorosoAnastasia Amoroso, iCapital chief investment strategist, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss policy makers' swift response to Silicon Valley Bank's collapse, ring-fencing the regional banking sector and the Fed's persistent approach to fighting inflation.
SVB fallout: Is my money safe?
  + stars: | 2023-03-13 | by ( Ramishah Maruf | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
New York CNN —The question on so many bank customers’ minds in the aftermath of Silicon Valley Bank’s stunning collapse: Is my money safe? US customers held at least $151.5 billion in uninsured deposits by the end of 2022, SVB’s latest annual report said. But before markets opened this week, the Biden administration took an extraordinary step, guaranteeing that SVB customers will have access to all their money starting Monday, even uninsured deposits. Many SVB customers had much more than $250,000 deposited and now that they can’t get their money, some companies are struggling to make payroll. “I don’t think people should panic, but it’s just prudent to have insured deposits versus uninsured deposits,” Hatfield said.
The dramatic drop in regional bank stocks is a key entry point for investors, according to analyst Christopher Marinac. The SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF dropped by more than 12% on Monday after regulators shuttered Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank. When asked which regional banks look most attractive, Marinac recommends Fifth Third Bank . Marinac also named Truist as a top sector pick, saying the company has a competitive advantage among regional banks after selling a portion of its insurance unit. Truist stock has dropped 30% over the past five sessions.
NEW YORK (Reuters) -U.S. authorities were preparing “material action” on Sunday to shore up deposits in Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and stem any broader financial fallout from its sudden collapse, sources familiar with the matter told Reuters. Biden administration officials worked through the weekend to assess the impact of startup-focused lender SVB Financial Group’s failure on Friday, with a particular eye on the venture capital sector and regional banks, the sources said. REUTERS/Nathan FrandinoAnd amid increased withdrawals from other regional banks, U.S. officials are also keeping close watch on the wider sector. The S&P 500 regional banks index dropped 4.3% on Friday to end the week down 18%, its worst week since 2009. Signature Bank, First Republic Bank, PacWest Bank and Charles Schwab did not immediately respond to requests for comment.
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The U.S. administration stepped in on Sunday with a series of emergency measures to shore up confidence in the banking system after the failure of Silicon Valley Bank threatened to trigger a broader systemic crisis. “The American people and American businesses can have confidence that their bank deposits will be there when they need them,” Biden said in a statement. Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), a mainstay for the startup economy, was a product of the decades-long era of cheap money, with unique risks that made it especially vulnerable. With the Fed poised to continue raising interest rates, investors said the financial system may not be fully out of the woods just yet. “Going forward, we will work with Congress and the financial regulators to consider additional actions we could take in the future to strengthen the financial system,” the official said.
VIEW SVB meltdown triggers global drop in bank shares
  + stars: | 2023-03-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
March 10 (Reuters) - The failure of troubled tech-lender SVB Financial Group's (SIVB.O) efforts to raise capital through a stock sale rippled through global markets on Friday and sent shares of many banks tumbling. read moreShares of SVB, which does business as Silicon Valley Bank, were halted on Friday after tumbling as much as 66% earlier in premarket trading. The S&P 500 banks index (.SPXBK) dropped 0.63% on Friday after a 6.6% decline on Thursday, while the KBW Regional Banking index (.KRX) was down 2.3%. Europe's STOXX banking index (.SX7P) fell almost 5%, tracking toward its biggest one-day percentage slide since June 2022. If investors are concerned about deposit flow, why punish the stocks who have sticky, operational retail checking deposits?
In this photo illustration of the TradingView stock market chart of SVB Financial Group seen displayed on a smartphone with the SVB Financial Group logo in the background. Shares of SVB Financial Group , known as Silicon Valley Bank, tumbled for a second day Friday and weighed on the whole banking sector again on fears more banks would incur heavy losses on their bond portfolios. The SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF was off another 1.5% Friday following an 8% tumble on Thursday. Signature Bank , which does a lot of business with the crypto sector, was off 4% in premarket trading following a 12% tumble Thursday. On Thursday, the bank was worth $6.3 billion with that value set to drop even more when trading begins Friday.
A California regulator shut Silicon Valley Bank on Friday and appointed the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation as receiver, according to the agency's statement. With many stocks in the sector falling sharply on Friday, traders rushed in to defensive bets. SVB is battling cash burn due to declining deposits from startups struggling with a venture capital funding drought. While investors had largely shrugged off Silvergate’s troubles as strictly crypto-related, "(SVB Financial Group) was a giant wake-up call about the effects of rising rates and an inverted yield curve," Sosnick said. Reporting by Saqib Iqbal Ahmed in New York Editing by Ira Iosebashvili and Matthew LewisOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Morning Bid: Bond blows batter banks as SVB cracks
  + stars: | 2023-03-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
SVB may be an unusual case in point - given its exposure to both last year's attrition in the tech sector, related startups and bond markets. Major U.S. banks were also hit, with Wells Fargo (WFC.N) down 6%, JPMorgan (JPM.N) down 5.4%, Bank of America (BAC.N) 6% lower and Citigroup (C.N) 4% lower. In currency markets, the dollar held the line on Friday in its lonely easy monetary policy stance. The BOJ held off making changes to its controversial bond yield cap policy, leaving all options open ahead of a leadership transition in April. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
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