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March 15 (Reuters) - Swiss regulators said Credit Suisse (CSGN.S) can access liquidity from the central bank if needed, racing to assuage fears around the lender after it led a rout in European bank shares on Wednesday. The U.S. Treasury is monitoring the situation around Credit Suisse and is in touch with global counterparts about it, a Treasury spokesperson said. They slid again as a crisis of confidence gripped Credit Suisse on Wednesday after its largest investor said it could not provide Credit Suisse with more financial assistance because of regulatory constraints. The logo of Swiss bank Credit Suisse is seen in front of an office building in Zurich, Switzerland October 26, 2022. Ralph Hamers, CEO of Credit Suisse rival UBS (UBSG.S) said market turmoil has steered more money its way.
Two supervisory sources told Reuters that the European Central Bank (ECB) had contacted banks on its watch to quiz them about their exposures to Credit Suisse. The Swiss National Bank declined to comment on Switzerland's second-largest bank, after its largest investor said it could not provide Credit Suisse with more financial assistance because of regulatory constraints. Credit Suisse had appealed to the Swiss National Bank and Swiss financial watchdog FINMA for a public show of support, the Financial Times reported. The logo of Swiss bank Credit Suisse is seen in front of an office building in Zurich, Switzerland October 26, 2022. Ralph Hamers, CEO of Credit Suisse rival UBS (UBSG.S) said market turmoil has steered more money its way.
The drop in Credit Suisse shares led a 7% fall in the European banking index (.SX7P), while five-year credit default swaps (CDS) for the flagship Swiss bank hit a new record high, highlighting increasing investor concerns. We move from the problems of American banks to those of European banks, first of all Credit Suisse," said Carlo Franchini, head of institutional clients at Banca Ifigest in Milan. The Swiss National Bank declined to comment on Switzerland's second-largest bank, after its largest investor said it could not provide Credit Suisse with more financial assistance because of regulatory constrains. The logo of Swiss bank Credit Suisse is seen in front of an office building in Zurich, Switzerland October 26, 2022. Ralph Hamers, CEO of Credit Suisse rival UBS (UBSG.S) said it has benefited from market turmoil and seen money inflows.
U.S.-listed shares of Credit Suisse slid 24.3% to hit a record low, after the Swiss bank's largest investor said it could not provide more financial assistance to the lender. Big U.S. banks including JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM.N), Citigroup (C.N) and Bank of America Corp (BAC.N) fell between 5% and 1%. The KBW regional banking index (.KRX) slid 3.8% while the S&P 500 banking index (.SPXBK) dropped 4.2%%. "Given all the turmoil with Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank, expectations have dramatically risen come that the Fed will keep rates unchanged, or maybe raise them (by) 25 basis points." Shares of Charles Schwab Corp (SCHW.N) fell 1.9%, a day after its chief executive said the firm has enough liquidity.
March 15 (Reuters) - European bank stocks fell sharply on Wednesday, with embattled Credit Suisse (CSGN.S) tumbling to a new low, on renewed investor concerns about stresses within the sector triggered by Silicon Valley Bank's sudden collapse. A more than 20% drop in Credit Suisse shares led a 6% plus fall in the European banking index (.SX7P), while five-year credit default swaps (CDS) for the flagship Swiss bank hit a new record high, highlighting increasing investor concerns. We move from the problems of American banks to those of European banks, first of all Credit Suisse," said Carlo Franchini, head of institutional clients at Banca Ifigest in Milan. BlackRock (BLK.N) Chief Executive Laurence Fink warned on Wednesday that the U.S. regional banking sector remains at risk, and predicted further high inflation and rate increases. And in an attempt to avert a similar crisis down the line, the U.S. Federal Reserve is considering tougher rules and oversight for midsize banks similar in size to SVB.
[1/2] Larry Fink, Chief Executive Officer of BlackRock, stands at the Bloomberg Global Business forum in New York, U.S., September 26, 2018. Fink wrote that after the regional banking crisis, the financial industry could see what he termed "liquidity mismatches." “It’s too early to know how widespread the damage is,” Fink wrote. BlackRock has previously said its diversified products "have limited exposure to Silicon Valley Bank." "The monetary and fiscal tools available to policymakers and regulators to address the current crisis are limited, especially with a divided government in the United States," Fink wrote.
Focus is also shifting to the possibility of tighter regulation in the U.S. banking sector, particularly for mid-tier banks like SVB (SIVB.O) and New York-based Signature Bank, whose collapses last week roiled financial markets. Investors had been particularly concerned about the huge bond holdings, particularly in U.S. Treasuries, of Japanese lenders. However, Japanese finance minister Shunichi Suzuki said on Wednesday differences in the structure of bank deposits, meant local banks wouldn't face incidents similar to SVB's collapse. In an attempt to avert a similar crisis down the line, the Federal Reserve is also considering tougher rules and oversight for midsize banks similar in size to SVB. "A year after starting to raise interest rates, the Federal Reserve is still chasing evidence that higher borrowing costs are slowing the U.S.
That made Credit Suisse the fourth most heavily traded single-stock name in the U.S. options market on Wednesday. The surge in trading followed a near 31% tumble in Credit Suisse shares on Wednesday after Saudi National Bank (SNB) (1180.SE), which holds 9.88% of Credit Suisse (CSGN.S), said it would not buy more shares on regulatory grounds. Trading in Credit Suisse puts outnumbered that in its call options 1.7-to-1. "There's a lot of moving parts in the Credit Suisse trade right now with respect to a major credit event, European bank contagion, and the possibility of ECB intervention," said Steven Place, an independent options trader in Destin, Florida. For SPDR S&P regional banking ETF (KRE.P), the options trading action was a mix of investors taking profits on existing hedges while putting on new defensive positions, Susquehanna's Murphy said.
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. And after the chaotic few days following Silicon Valley Bank's collapse, unsurprising is what markets needed. The bigger news of the day was banks' — and investors' — reaction to U.S. financial regulators' measures to protect the financial industry. Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Of course, the muted reaction to the CPI might be because the numbers were exactly in line with estimates. The bigger news of the day was banks' — and investors' — reaction to U.S. financial regulators' measures to protect the financial industry. Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.
BlackRock CEO Larry Fink issued a somber warning on the state of the financial markets, saying the banking crisis brought on by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank could spread, but it was too early to determine. The financial sector continued to be under pressure Wednesday and concerns have spread beyond regional banks. Shares of Credit Suisse, a Swiss Bank that has large U.S. and global operations, tumbling more than 20% to another all-time low. Saudi National Bank, Credit Suisse's largest investor, reportedly said it could not provide any more funding. "These dramatic changes in financial markets are happening at the same time as equally dramatic changes in the landscape of the global economy – all of which will keep inflation elevated for longer," Fink said.
Here's what the rogue chatbot got right and wrong about its stock market prediction. A rogue version of ChatGPT predicted that inflation fears, decreased consumer spending, and geopolitical tensions would crash the stock market on March 15. The so-called DAN version of ChatGPT replied: "Based on my analysis, I predict that the stock market will crash on March 15, 2023. What ChatGPT got wrongThe rogue version of ChatGPT said rising inflation fears would contribute to the stock market decline, but recent inflation data shows a continued deceleration in prices. The stock market prediction by a rogue version of ChatGPT got some things eerily correct, but not everything.
BlackRock CEO Larry Fink raised the prospect of more bank "seizures and shutdowns" taking place. Markets remain on edge even after regulators took decisive action on Silicon Valley Bank, he said. Fink, in his annual letter to shareholders released Wednesday, addressed last week's seizure of SVB following its asset-liability mismatch. A jump in interest rates since March 2022 spurred billions in losses in Silicon Valley Bank's bond holdings, sparking last week's run on deposits. Fink said the fall of SVB recalled other periods of "spectacular financial flameouts" following prior tightening cycles.
Financial stocks clawed back some losses, with the S&P 500 Banks index (.SPXBK) coming back from its steepest one-day sell-off since June 2020. Bank contagion fears were allayed on Tuesday as reassurances by U.S. President Joe Biden and other global policymakers vowed the crisis would be contained. Even so, inflation has a considerable way to go before approaching the central bank's average annual 2% target. [1/4] Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., March 14, 2023. The S&P 500 banking index (.SPXBK) reclaimed territory lost to Monday's plunge, its biggest one-day drop since June 2020.
Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.4% in February from 0.5% in January as Americans faced persistently higher costs for rents and food. On a yearly basis, the CPI rose 6% in February, compared with 6.4% the previous month. The S&P 500 banking index (.SPXBK) rose 2.9% after recording its biggest one-day percentage drop since June 2020 in the previous session. Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 6.05-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by a 3.52-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P index recorded two new 52-week highs and five new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 18 new highs and 79 new lows.
Data showed that U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.4% in February versus 0.5% a month ago. Traders held on to bets of a 25-basis-point rate hike at the Fed's next meeting in March, with odds of a pause in hikes slipping a bit to 17%. The S&P 500 banking index (.SPXBK) rose 3.9% after recording its biggest one-day percentage drop since June 2020 in the previous session. Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 7.92-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by a 4.87-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P index recorded no new 52-week highs and no new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 9 new highs and 36 new lows.
Possible outcomes for under-pressure regional banks could see a stronger rival take over a weaker, or cash infusions from investors such as private equity, the industry sources said. Reuters GraphicsUNDER PRESSUREInvestors voted with their feet on Monday, putting bank stocks under pressure around the world. So investors think it’s a relative gamble staying around owning regional banks before knowing what will change in regulation," said Brian Levitt, global market strategist for Invesco. Regional bank stocks are "an incredible bargain now," billionaire investor Bill Ackman said on Twitter on Monday. "There’s value in these banks, they are not all alike," said Michael Farr, chief executive of investment advisory firm Farr, Miller & Washington who owns banks stocks including PNC and Truist.
Core CPI without food and energy prices increased 0.5% after rising 0.4% in January. Year over year core CPI gained 5.5% vs 5.6% in January. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast monthly CPI and core CPI up 0.4%. So they're going to have to respond to the banking crisis that's probably just not over yet." If the Fed’s worried about saving face or coming off as wishy washy or worried about losing credibility with the market, they're going to raise by 25 basis points.
Shares of First Republic were up sharply in early Tuesday trading as concern over the state of the regional bank appeared to ease after a day of heavy selling. Shares of other regional banks also surged before the bell. Those moves come after regional banks fell sharply on Monday, even after U.S. regulators took extraordinary measures to backstop all depositors in the now-failed Silicon Valley Bank. In addition the backstopping the deposits at SVB and Signature Bank, which was closed on Sunday, federal regulators also announced efforts on Sunday to stabilize the wider banking system. "Outflows did not accelerate during the last few days and, in fact, some banks have seen net inflows given movement in deposits from SVB and Signature Bank," Tamayo said in a note to clients.
The rout in regional banks has resulted in one of the best buying opportunities in "many years," according to Baird. KRE 5D mountain KRE's five-day performance Regional bank stocks nosedived after the failure of Silicon Valley Bank, even after U.S. regulators backstopped all depositors in the banks. George noted that while liquidity movement is generally hard to predict, the average retail or corporate customer of most regional banks is not at all similar to those at SVB. Among his coverage universe, he has overweight ratings on 11 regional bank stocks. But even after Moody's comments, bank stocks were still recovering some lost ground on Tuesday, including Fifth Third Bancorp shares, which rose nearly 3%.
US stocks closed higher on cooling inflation data as trader shrug off concerns of a potential regional bank crisis. Sign up for our newsletter to get the inside scoop on what traders are talking about — delivered daily to your inbox. Regional bank stocks soared after cratering on Monday from the collapse of SVB and Signature Bank. The succession of bank failures has sparked heightened speculation the central bank will take a more dovish stance on monetary tightening. Here's where US indexes stood shortly after the 4:00 p.m. close on Tuesday:Here's what else happened today:In commodities, bonds and crypto:
KBW's RJ Grant say investors should seek out well capitalized banks for sizable returns in the long run. "Banks with strong deposit franchises are the ones that investors have been flocking to," he said. Regional banks on Tuesday staged a comeback, with some rising over 40% after cratering on Monday. While shares in regional banks continued to plunge by double digits on Monday, a reversal was taking shape Tuesday. Regional banks such as First Republic and PacWest watched as their stock prices climb by over 40% on Tuesday.
Oakmark Select Fund's Bill Nygren said it is a good time to buy bank stocks, as attention shifts away from the failure of Silicon Valley Bank and toward financial names he believes are strong investments. "I think it's important for people to understand just how different SVB is or was compared to other bank stocks," Nygren said on CNBC's "Closing Bell." The fund manager said the tech-focused Silicon Valley Bank lacked a diversified source of depositors, almost all of them being uninsured, and also had a substantial investment in long-duration assets. The portfolio manager said that the bank stocks Oakmark owns trade at a multiple that is about six to eight times their earnings. It dropped by more than 12% on Monday after banking regulators seized Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank, the second- and third-largest bank failures , respectively, in U.S. history.
Options traders were buying up short-term call options on a variety of names, including the SPDR S&P regional banking ETF (KRE.P) and regional banks such as First Republic Bank (FRC.N) and Western Alliance Bancorp (WAL.N). "It's early days here but … there is some stability returning in bank share price action," said Michael Purves, chief executive of Tallbacken Capital. "Risk-on appears to be the flavor for regional banks today," said Ophir Gottlieb, chief executive of Los Angeles-based Capital Market Laboratories. Bullish speculation was particularly heavy in options expiring in less than a week, while longer-dated options saw less interest, he said. With some calm returning on Tuesday, options traders' also dialed back expectations for more near-term fireworks from the sector.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCramer: Here's what the government is doing to put out the financial wildfireMad Money host Jim Cramer discusses the recent regional banking crisis and gets into the weeds on what actually happened when the Treasury Dept., Federal Reserve and FDIC took action to prop up the financial system.
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