Right now, he has his sights set on the US election, with its high stakes and wide range of economic possibilities.
AdvertisementThe third scenario is a Trump win with a Republican sweep, which Barraud believes is the most likely outcome.
In the short term, it would have a positive impact on US economic growth, creating a GDP boost in 2025 between 2.1% and 2.3%, he said.
If Harris wins with a dividend Congress, yields could drop further from where they are, he said.
This time, election forecasting includes monitoring multiple poll-betting markets with the highest volume of users to gauge election outcomes.
Persons:
Christophe Barraud, —, Barraud, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, there's, Harris
Organizations:
Service, Bloomberg, Market Securities Monaco, Trump, Republican
Locations:
Washington