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One basis point is equivalent to 0.01%The 10-year Treasury yield was flat 4.257% on Monday. The 2-year Treasury yield was fractionally higher at 4.736%. Treasurys were muted entering the final week of June, with investors set to zero in on Friday's key inflation report. With a summer interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve seemingly off the table, markets are hunting for more signs that September may be the month. That may come in the form of Friday's personal consumption expenditures price index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge.
Persons: Michelle Bowman, Lisa Cook Organizations: Federal Reserve, Reuters, Traders Locations: U.S
Asia-Pacific markets fell on Monday, ahead of inflation data from Australia and Japan later this week. Special attention will be paid to Australia's May consumer price index figures on Wednesday, after Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Michelle Bullock revealed the central bank discussed hiking rates at its last meeting. Should inflation come in higher than expected and spur the RBA to raise rates, it would be the first major Asia-Pacific central bank to do so in an environment where investors are waiting for rate cuts, barring Japan. The RBA has two inflation readings to consider — June 26 and July 31— before its next meeting on Aug. 6.
Persons: Michelle Bullock Organizations: Reserve Bank of Australia Locations: Asia, Pacific, Australia, Japan
Lower Social Security COLA forecast for 2025Unlike most other sources of retirement income, Social Security benefits are automatically adjusted for inflation each year. As current retirees continue to feel the pinch of higher costs, slowing inflation points to a lower Social Security cost-of-living adjustment next year. The Social Security cost-of-living adjustment may be 3% in 2025, estimates Mary Johnson, an independent Social Security and Medicare analyst. In contrast, beneficiaries saw a 3.2% Social Security cost-of-living adjustment this year — resulting in an average retirement benefit increase of just over $50 per month. That followed record high Social Security cost-of-living adjustments of 8.7% in 2023 and 5.9% in 2022.
Persons: Caroline Feeney, Feeney, they're, Mary Johnson, Johnson Organizations: Istock, Getty, Prudential's, Prudential, Social Security, Security, Urban, Clerical Workers, CPI
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., June 24, 2024. Stock futures were flat in overnight trading after a selloff in favored technology names brought the Nasdaq Composite to its worst day since April. During the regular session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average bucked Monday's selloff, adding nearly 261 points, or 0.67%. The S&P 500 dropped 0.31%, while the Nasdaq Composite shed 1.09% for its worst day since April as investors rotated out of semiconductors. Wall Street is looking ahead to earnings from FedEx and Carnival on Tuesday as the season nears its end.
Persons: Jeff deGraaf, CNBC's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, SolarEdge Technologies, Pool Corp, Nvidia, Qualcomm, Broadcom, FedEx, Richmond Fed Locations: New York City, U.S
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen on Monday unveiled a new slate of financing initiatives to support housing development, including a $100 million fund specifically for affordable housing. The past several inflation reports have shown prices slightly cooling off, but shelter costs have remained persistently hot. As part of its new actions, Treasury will provide $100 million over the next three years to finance affordable housing projects. Housing costs in particular, which make up some of the largest portions of consumer spending, have remained stubbornly high even as other sectors have cooled down. Biden has tried to punt the responsibility of high housing costs on corporate landlords, accusing them of "rent gouging," keeping consumer rents artificially high even as their own costs have come down.
Persons: Janet Yellen, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, hunkers, Camp David, Yellen, Biden, Adrianne, Pete Buttigieg Organizations: Camp, Housing, Urban, Adrianne Todman, Biden, White, Apartment Association, NAA Locations: Fairfax , Virginia, Minneapolis, Minnesota
America’s housing crisis continues to worsen
  + stars: | 2024-06-23 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
Washington CNN —Homeowners in America aren’t the only ones struggling with an unaffordable housing market. A report from Harvard University’s Joint Center for Housing Studies released last week showed that both homeowners and renters in recent years have become increasingly burdened by climbing housing costs. That’s all part of a broader struggle in the US housing market, and recent data shows that it hasn’t gotten any better. But there’s a problem: ChatGPT — soon to be integrated into Siri — is banned in China, reports my colleague Samantha Murphy Kelly. The Chicago Fed releases its National Activity Index for May.
Persons: ” Lael Brainard, , , Brainard, Biden, ” Brainard, ChatGPT —, Siri —, Samantha Murphy Kelly, OpenAI, Siri, ChatGPT, Read, Christopher Waller, Lisa Cook, Michelle Bowman, General Mills, Levi Strauss, Tom Barkin Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, Washington CNN — Homeowners, America aren’t, Harvard University’s, for Housing Studies, Harvard, , White, Economic Council, Urban Institute, Administration, Apple, Apple Intelligence, Microsoft, Google, Meta, Samsung, Cyberspace Administration, FedEx, Chicago Fed, Global, Index, Board, Micron, General, US Commerce Department, Federal Reserve, Nike, McCormick, Walgreens, US Labor Department, National Association of Realtors, Richmond Fed, University of Michigan Locations: Washington, America, Congress, China
Read previewAs a child, I dreamed of visiting the Amazon rainforest, but I always envisioned it being wildly inaccessible. So when I found a three-day, all-inclusive tour of the Amazon rainforest at Green Forest Ecolodge for just $270, I knew I had to go. The package included all my meals, bus and canoe transfers, a private lodge, and up to four activities a day. I couldn't believe the value I got for my moneyI highly recommend this all-inclusive trip. Eibhlis Gale-ColemanVisiting the Amazon rainforest was the opposite of what I expected.
Persons: , Eibhlis Gale, Coleman, I'd, Gale, Elvis Organizations: Service, Business, Lago Agrio Locations: Ecuador, Quito, Lago
For example, a call that the S & P 500 would rise 100 points on a positive consumer price index print came true last year. That's true so far, with the S & P 500 jumping 4.8% in May after finishing April down 4.2%. As equities struggled, (the S & P 500 fell almost 20% in 2022), Lee felt like the risk of inflation was being mispriced. Because of that, he foresaw a rebound in 2023, a year that sent the S & P 500 more than 24% higher. "There was a pretty widely-held view that the Fed had to crash the economy in order to contain inflation," Lee said.
Persons: Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Lee, it's, that's, Lee doesn't, Russell, hiccups, Salomon Smith Barney Organizations: Fundstrat, CNBC Pro, Wharton School, selloff, Apple, Netflix, Nasdaq, JPMorgan
According to data from Zillow, 30-year mortgage rates are currently 6.55%, and 15-year mortgage rates are currently 5.96%. Mortgage rates could decrease more dramatically if the Fed decides to cut rates. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowToday's refinance ratesMortgage type Average rate today This information has been provided by Zillow. Sky high mortgage rates have pushed many hopeful buyers out of the market, slowing homebuying demand and putting downward pressure on home prices. This means your entire monthly mortgage payment, including taxes and insurance, shouldn't exceed 28% of your pre-tax monthly income.
Persons: they've, you'll, Fannie Mae Organizations: Zillow, Mortgage, Association, Sky Locations: Zillow, Chevron
Nvidia had some strong moves in the days after its 10-for-1 stock split traded in the market on June 10. Tuesday brought weaker-than-expected May retail sales , which the stock market took in stride, perhaps on the view that softness helps the view that the Federal Reserve will indeed cut interest rates later this year. Ultimately, the economic readings this past week signal that while U.S. growth remains resilient, things are slowing, which is an ideal setup for stock market bulls. The Fed's favorite inflation gauge and the tail end of earning season will be drivers of the market in the week ahead. ET: New Home Sales Before the bell: General Mills (GIS), Paychex (PAYX), UniFirst (UNF) After the bell: Micron (MU), BlackBerry (BB), Levi Strauss (LEVI) Thursday, June 27 8:30 a.m.
Persons: we're, Levi Strauss, Mills, LEVI, McCormick, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Emily Elconin Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Broadcom, Energy, West Texas, Utilities, Federal, Juneteenth, FedEx, Nike, Micron, UniFirst, UNF, BlackBerry, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Outdoor Brands, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Shoppers, Getty Locations: U.S, Oaks, Novi , Michigan
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Jim Cramer has said he's tentative about the next steps and has the stock in the penalty box. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Dow, WTI, Coterra, Uber, Jeff Marks, Marks, — CNBC's Matthew J, Belvedere, Kevin Stankiewicz, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Nasdaq, West Texas, Coterra Energy, Reuters, Amazon, Alexa, Starbucks, Wall Street Journal, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: U.S
With stocks set to close out a strong first half of 2024, investors have just one more key inflation hurdle to clear in the week ahead: May's personal expenditure report. Next week's personal consumption expenditure data, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, could show whether that overall picture is intact. May's consumer price index, for example, showed no increase from the prior month. Last month's producer price index , a measure of wholesale prices, unexpectedly dropped from the previous reading. Pending Home Sales Index (May) 11 a.m. Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index (June) Earnings: Nike, Walgreens Boots Alliance , McCormick & Co. Friday June 28 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Stocks, Terry Sandven, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Scott Chronert, Brian Leonard, Leonard, Bank's Sandven, Sandven, Mills Organizations: Nvidia, Microsoft, U.S, Bank Asset Management, Federal, PCE, Bank of America Securities, Wall, Keeley, Advisors, FedEx, Dow, Nasdaq, Dallas Fed, Chicago, Richmond Fed, Carnival, New, Micron Technology, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Nike, Walgreens Boots Alliance, McCormick, Chicago PMI Locations: . Kansas, Chicago, Michigan
On average, the S & P 500 is usually up 2% 65 days before the first cut from the central bank following a hiking cycle, according to data from Strategas. But it's usually down by 1.5% 65 days after that initial rate reduction, implying that stocks may not be off to the races after the big announcement. In 1974, for example, the S & P 500 was down more than 8% in the 65 days prior and off by more than 25% in the same period following the cut. But in 1989, the broad index was up more than 12% in the 65 days preceding the rate reduction and still higher by more than 9% in the period after. Fed funds futures indicate a chance of at least one rate cut as early as September, with the potential for a second at the last meeting of the year in December, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool .
Persons: Ryan Grabinski, Chris Zaccarelli, Grabinski Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Independent
Casual-dining chains are gaining customers who have grown frustrated with higher fast-food prices, Darden Restaurants CEO Rick Cardenas said on Thursday. Chili's rolled out an ad campaign that calls out the Big Mac and other fast-food burgers for their prices. Dine Brands CEO John Peyton told CNBC in May that Applebee's has been leaning into deals to win over fast-food diners. The overall consumer price index rose 3.3% in that period. In particular, McDonald's has faced backlash from customers, social media users and even House Republicans for its higher prices.
Persons: Rick Cardenas, Darden, hasn't, Brinker, Chili's, John Peyton, Applebee's, Cardenas, McDonald's, Joe Erlinger Organizations: Darden, Brinker International, Dine Brands, CNBC, of Labor, Republicans Locations: U.S
Washington CNN —Mortgage rates fell this week to their lowest level since early April, taking some pressure off America’s unaffordable housing market. “These lower mortgage rates coupled with the gradually improving housing supply bodes well for the housing market.”Still, mortgage rates remain higher than anything seen in the decade before 2022, the year the Federal Reserve began to raise interest rates to combat inflation. Economists don’t expect the average mortgage rate to fall below 6% this year. Homebuilding constrained by high interest ratesWhile mortgage rates have eased recently, the US housing market overall remains hamstrung by elevated interest rates, which seem to be taking a toll on homebuilding. “Persistently high mortgage rates are keeping many prospective buyers on the sidelines,” NAHB Chairman Carl Harris said in a release.
Persons: Freddie Mac, , Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s, don’t, America’s homebuilders, , Carl Harris, ” Skylar Olsen Organizations: Washington CNN —, , Federal Reserve, Treasury, National Association of Home Builders Locations: ., Wells Fargo, America, San Diego , Los Angeles and New York, California, Honolulu
With shelter inflation "sticky" at a 5.4% year over level, Gapen said it could be months before "greater confidence" is achieved. "We think the Fed is unlikely to achieve the confidence it needs to begin rate cuts until shelter inflation takes a step lower," he said. Monthly housing inflation readings in the PCE measure have been running at either 0.5% or 0.4% since March 2023. We don't target housing prices, for example," Powell said. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker, a nonvoter on the FOMC this year, on Tuesday singled out the "long-term stubbornness of shelter inflation."
Persons: Michael Gapen, Gapen, Jerome Powell, Powell, Patrick Harker Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Commerce, Philadelphia Fed
CNBC Daily Open: Boeing's 'moment of reckoning'
  + stars: | 2024-06-18 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Immigrants, jobs and inflationImmigration has helped the U.S. job market sustain a strong run in recent months without reigniting inflation, economists and analysts say. This dynamic — a hot job market and cooling inflation — is in part the result of increased inflows of immigrants. The conglomerate sold 1.3 million shares for $39.8 million, reducing its holding to 6.9%. [PRO] S&P 500 to hit 6,000Evercore ISI predicts the stock market will soar to unprecedented heights, setting a new year-end target for the S&P 500 at a record 6,000.
Persons: Neel Kashkari, CNBC's Rebecca Picciotto, Ryan Cohen, Keith Gill, Matthew Bartolini, Berkshire Hathaway, Charlie Munger, Tesla Organizations: CNBC, Microsoft, Apple, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Minneapolis Federal, GameStop, Fund, Nvidia, SPDR Locations: U.S, SPDR Americas, Berkshire, BYD
Prices in 70 major cities were down 0.7% in May from April, National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) figures showed on Monday. According to separate calculations by the Macquarie Group, prices of existing homes in those cities fell by 7.5% year-on-year last month, marking the biggest decline on record. A month ago, Beijing unveiled wide-ranging measures to rescue the crisis-hit property market, including asking local governments across the country to buy unsold homes from beleaguered developers and easing rules on purchases. Measures, including efforts to provide cheap loans to state-owned enterprises for buying unsold homes from distressed developers, will “take time” to have an impact on the property market, the analysts said. Property investment for the first five months of the year dropped 10.1% from a year ago, according the NBS on Monday.
Persons: , Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, National Bureau of Statistics, Macquarie Group, Societe Generale, NBS, Labor, Macquarie, HSBC, Communist Party Locations: China, Hong Kong, Beijing
Nationwide Pet, the country’s largest provider of pet insurance, says it is dropping about 100,000 policies between now and next summer to keep up with spiraling costs in vet care. The move comes as other types of insurance, from homeowners to vehicles, are increasingly becoming harder to obtain for many Americans. There was roughly a 10% to 12% increase in homeowners’ insurance costs last year in the United States, Mark Friedlander, spokesperson for the Insurance Information Institute, a nonprofit industry association, previously told CNN. The higher costs insurers face from higher replacement costs and re-insurance, the type of insurance used by insurers to limit their own risks, is getting passed down to consumers. Insurers in states like California and Florida have paused issuing policies altogether.
Persons: Fido, , Price, It’s, Mark Friedlander Organizations: New, New York CNN, Nationwide, Insurance Information Institute, CNN Locations: New York, United States, California, Florida
This is good news for mortgage rates, but we'll need to see more data showing that inflation is sustainably coming down before rates can fall further. As inflation slows and the Fed is able to start lowering the federal funds rate, mortgage rates are expected to go down. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage Refinance Rates TodayMortgage type Average rate today This information has been provided by Zillow. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. Lower mortgage rates will bring more buyers onto the market, putting upward pressure on prices.
Persons: Fannie Mae Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Zillow, Federal Reserve, Mortgage, Association, ARM Locations: Chevron
The market has been on a tear in 2024, driven higher by robust corporate earnings and the artificial intelligence boom. Traders expect the Fed to begin easing rates in September at the earliest, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. If inflation is cooling down but the Fed is still expected to keep its key lending rate higher for longer, what does that mean for the stock market? The data will tell us that, but I think the big takeaway for us is [inflation] going in the right direction. Do you expect some of the cash that’s on the sidelines to enter the stock market?
Persons: Price, Wall, Bell, Jack Janasiewicz, Jerome, Powell, we’re, it’s, wouldn’t, you’re, Hilary Whiteman, Read, Sam Altman, Steve Wozniak, OpenAI, Altman, Samantha Murphy Kelly, Tim Cook, , Ben Wood, “ Apple, Siri Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal, Nasdaq, Fed, Traders, Solutions, You’re, Apple, Insight, CNN, Apple Intelligence Locations: New York, United States, West Coast, Hawaii, California, San Jose , Los Angeles, San Francisco, San Diego, Honolulu, Australia, Sydney, Melbourne, Victoria, Adelaide, South Australia
The 10-year Treasury yield was trading 2 basis points higher at 4.236% at 6:17 a.m. The 2-year Treasury note yield was also up around 2 basis points at 4.708%. "We're in a very good position right now to take our time, [to] get more inflation data, get more data on the economy, on the labor market, before we have to make any decisions ... Last week, the producer price index — a measure of inflation at the wholesale level — came in lower than expected for May, boosting hopes of a Fed rate cut and sending Treasury yields lower. The central bank opted to hold rates steady at 5.25% to 5.50% last week, and indicated that just one rate cut would take place this year.
Persons: Kashkari, It's Organizations: CBS News Locations: U.S
The 10-year Treasury yield was trading nearly 3 basis points higher at 4.238% at 4:17 a.m. The 2-year Treasury note yield was up around 3 basis points at 4.717%. "We're in a very good position right now to take our time, [to] get more inflation data, get more data on the economy, on the labor market, before we have to make any decisions ... Last week, the producer price index — a measure of inflation at the wholesale level — came in lower than expected for May, boosting hopes of a Fed rate cut and sending Treasury yields lower. The central bank opted to hold rates steady at 5.25% to 5.50% last week, and indicated that just one rate cut would take place this year.
Persons: Kashkari, It's Organizations: CBS News Locations: U.S
Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari on Sunday said it's a "reasonable prediction" that the U.S. central bank will cut interest rates once this year, waiting until December to do it. It also published projections that showed the median forecast from all 19 U.S. central bankers was for a single interest rate cut this year. Kashkari, who has been more cautious about the possibility of easing monetary policy than many of his colleagues, did not say how many rate cuts he personally expects. Inflation by the Fed's targeted measure, the year-over-year change in the personal consumption expenditures price index, registered 2.7% in April. "If we simply cut interest rates to try to support home ownership right now, that would probably push up the price of houses, and it actually wouldn't lead to any better affordability," he said.
Persons: Neel Kashkari, it's, Kashkari Organizations: Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Kansas City Fed, Minneapolis Federal, CBS, Fed Locations: Jackson, Wyoming, Minneapolis, U.S
Also helping was the 8.5% rally in portfolio heavyweight Nvidia following its 10-for-1 stock split on Monday. Within the Club this week, we heard from Broadcom , which reported strong quarterly results and announced its own 10-for-1 stock split. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade.
Persons: Economists, Jerome Powell, financials, That's, Here's, FactSet, Lennar, LEN, Jabil, Smith, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Brendan McDermid Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Wednesday, PPI, Apple, Broadcom, Oracle, Adobe, Nvidia, Investors, Housing, Monday, Darden, Olive Garden, Longhorn, U.S, Accenture, Kroger, KR, Wesson, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Federal Reserve, New York Stock Exchange Locations: U.S, Olive, New York City
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