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☆ A super-rare bullish signal with a perfect track record just flashed in the stock market, suggesting another year of record highs
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

A rare bullish signal with a perfect track record flashed in the stock market this week. This signal has flashed 28 times since 1962, with the S&P 500 averaging 15% returns one-year later. AdvertisementAn ultra-rare bullish signal with a perfect track record flashed in the stock market this week, suggesting another year of record highs ahead. Advertisement"Similar improvements in market breadth resulted in a 96% win rate over the following year," Christians said in a note to clients on Tuesday. But the signal has a perfect win rate when it flashes while the stock market is at or near record highs, as it did this week.

Persons: —, McClellan, SentimenTrader, Dean Christians, that's Organizations: Service

☆ The market may be getting too comfortable heading into a historically scary month
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

This signal comes as the S & P 500 trades at all-time highs, boosted by a shift in Federal Reserve policy. The Fed earlier this month cut interest rates by a half percentage point, the first easing of policy in more than four years. Wall Street sees further reductions ahead, too. The Cboe Volatilty Index spiked north of 23 earlier this month, as worries over the U.S. economy weighed on sentiment. Elsewhere on Wall Street this morning , Morgan Stanley upgraded Wynn Resorts to overweight from equal weight.

Persons: Wolfe, Janney Montgomery Scott, Dan Wantrobski, Wantrobski, Morgan Stanley, WYNN's Organizations: Federal, Wynn Resorts Locations: U.S

☆ Gold, silver head for weekly gains on U.S. rate-cut momentum
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold and silver prices retreated on Friday from record highs, but were positioned for weekly gains on growing anticipation of another bumper U.S. interest rate cut this year, as markets awaited a key inflation report for additional guidance. Gold and silver prices retreated on Friday from record highs, but were positioned for weekly gains on growing anticipation of another bumper U.S. interest rate cut this year, as markets awaited a key inflation report for additional guidance. Silver prices surged due to bullion's strong performance and China's stimulus measures, though some analysts warn that the rally may fade due to concerns over industrial demand. The Federal Reserve's larger-than-usual half-percentage-point reduction last week ignited a rally in gold, which hit consecutive record highs and has gained about 1.8% so far this week. Gold prices are currently supported by anticipated U.S. Fed interest rate cuts and China's stimulus measures, both of them are weakening the dollar, said Kyle Rodda, financial market analyst at Capital.com.

Persons: Kyle Rodda Organizations: FedWatch, U.S, BMI Locations: U.S

☆ Asia-Pacific markets mostly gain as China stimulus measures come into effect; Hong Kong set to rise 3%
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Crimson clouds light up the skyline of Victoria Harbour on July 14, 2022 in Hong Kong, China. Asia-Pacific markets mostly rose Friday, with Chinese stocks likely set to cap off a week of gains on the back of Beijing's stimulus measures aimed at boosting the economy. The bank added that the weighted average deposit reserve ratio of financial institutions will be about 6.6% after this reduction. Tokyo's headline inflation rate eased to 2.2%, down from August's 2.6%. The core inflation rate — which strips out prices of fresh food — in the capital city came in at 2%, in line with expectations from economists polled by Reuters and down from 2.4% in August.

Organizations: People's Bank of China, Reuters Locations: Victoria Harbour, Hong Kong, China, Asia, Pacific, Tokyo, August's

☆ Using options to trade an index that's become a swing trader's dream
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Nishant Pant | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Although it is very volatile and exhibits wild swings, in the 1-year daily chart shown below, it becomes evident how confined its movement is within a well-defined trading range. Whenever it breaches one of these levels, it quickly stabilizes in a new trading range. Based on this analysis, I am considering a bearish set-up while keeping the top of its current trading range in mind. The trade Given the bearish outlook, I'm using a call credit spread as my trade structure. If the index stays below $2,260 by the expiration date, the trade will yield an ROI of 42% on the capital risked.

Persons: Russell, Nishant Pant Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ European markets head for higher open as investors weigh global economic outlook
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

LONDON — European markets headed for a higher open on Friday as investors weighed the outlook for the economy and looked to fresh data. European stocks had climbed Thursday, with the pan-European Stoxx 600 closing 1.25% higher after being boosted by gains in Asia-Pacific markets. Those widely continued their climb on Friday, still buoyed by China's announcement of stimulus measures earlier in the week. Economists are expecting headline PCE to have risen 2.3% on an annual basis and 0.1% from the previous month. Back in Europe, preliminary inflation data for September is expected out of France, and the latest German unemployment data is also due.

Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: CAC, MIB, LONDON, People's Bank of, PCE Locations: Asia, Pacific, People's Bank of China, U.S, Europe, France

☆ The 10 happiest states in the US, ranked
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Mykenna Maniece | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

WalletHub released its ranking of the happiest states in the US. Hawaii was ranked the happiest state to live in. The personal finance company compared the 50 states using three categories: emotional and physical well-being, work environment, and community and environment. AdvertisementFrom WalletHub's final list, Business Insider pulled the 10 highest-ranked states to identify the 10 happiest. From Idaho to Hawaii, here are the happiest states in the country.

Persons: WalletHub, — Organizations: Service, Census Bureau, of Labor Statistics, Centers for Disease Control, AmeriCorps, Business Locations: Hawaii, Idaho

☆ 10 things to watch in the stock market Friday including a bullish call on Best Buy
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

We raised our price target on the stock. Best Buy was added to JPMorgan's analyst focus list after a meeting with the electronics and appliance retailer's management team. Deutsche Bank restarted coverage of Dell Technologies with a buy rating and price target of $144 a share. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.

Persons: Bristol Myers, Morgan Stanley, Wynn, Jim Cramer, Dan Ives, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: Club, Costco, Drug Administration, Bristol, Bristol Myers Squibb, Wynn Resorts, United Arab, Citigroup, Analysts, Walmart, Deutsche Bank, Dell Technologies, PepsiCo, HP Inc, Bank of America, HP, Wedbush Securities, Jim's, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: what's, New Jersey, Las Vegas, United Arab Emirates, China, Macau

☆ CNBC Daily Open: More all-time highs? Yes please
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Why are Treasury yields rising? Treasury yields tend to move in tandem with interest rates. When the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates last week, it's not unreasonable to expect Treasury yields to dip.

Persons: Hong, it's, they've, Jeff Cox, Sam Altman, Bret Taylor, Sarah Friar, OpenAI's, Ishiba, Shigeru Ishiba, Sanae Takaichi Organizations: CNBC, Major, CSI, Treasury, U.S . Federal Reserve, Altman, PM, Liberal Democratic, Bank of, People's Bank of China, Barclays Locations: Major U.S, Asia, Pacific

☆ The Fed slashed interest rates last week, but Treasury yields are rising. What’s going on?
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Jeff Cox | Jeff Cox Is A Finance Editor With Cnbc.Com Where He Covers All Aspects Of The Markets | Monitors Coverage Of The Financial Markets | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +6 min

The Treasury market, though, hasn’t been paying attention. Officials penciled in another 50 basis points in reductions by the end of the year and another 100 by the end of 2025. That sentiment is evident in the “breakeven” inflation rate, or the difference between standard Treasury and Treasury Inflation Protected Securities yields. The 5-year breakeven rate, for instance, has risen 8 basis points since the Fed meeting and is up 20 basis points since Sept. 11. Taken together, the various dynamics in the Treasury market are making it a difficult time for investors.

Persons: hasn’t, ”, Jonathan Duensing, — haven’t, “, Robert Tipp, We’re, Jerome, Powell, ” Duensing, Tom Garretson, “ They’d, There’s Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury, Amundi, Fed, CME, Treasury Inflation, RBC Wealth Management

☆ Home buying in the U.S. by county: Cost, availability, competition and more
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Jasmine Cui | Jasmine Cui Is A Reporter For Nbc News. | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +3 min

The conditions on the ground can vary widely across state and even county lines. The higher the index value, the higher the difficulty. A low index value, of 10 for example, suggests better purchasing conditions for a buyer — low interest rates, ample homes for sale. Chambers County, Texas, near Houston, is one of the 50 least difficult places to buy in in the country as of May, with low scores on scarcity, cost and competition. For July, the national Home Buyer Index was 85.3, nearly even with June and two points lower than it was this time one year ago.

Organizations: NBC, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Chambers, U.S Locations: Chambers County , Texas, Houston, Coconino County , Arizona

Though government officials criticized the paper’s reporting, that year it was rated among the city’s most credible news outlets by Hong Kong residents, according to a survey by researchers at the Chinese University of Hong Kong. We are targeting national security offenses,” Steve Li, chief superintendent of the national security police, said at the time. Earlier this month, the Hong Kong Journalists Association, a local press group, said dozens of Hong Kong journalists had been targeted by a “systemic” online and offline harassment and intimidation campaign that was the largest in scale the group had ever seen. There have also been rising reports of non-local journalists being denied work visas or entry to Hong Kong, an international media hub. Hong Kong ranked 135th out of 180 countries and territories in Reporters Without Borders’ 2024 World Press Freedom Index, compared with 70th in 2018.

Persons: Chung Pui, Patrick Lam, Hong, ”, Chung, Lam, Edmond So, Hong Kong’s, Steve Li, “, ” Chung, shirk, Selina Cheng, John Lee, Aleksandra Bielakowska Organizations: European Union, Hong, Stand, China Morning Post, Reuters, Chinese University of Hong, police, Hong Kong Journalists Association, Hong Kong, China’s Foreign Ministry Locations: Hong Kong, U.S, British, Asia, Beijing, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Taiwan

☆ Here's why Wells Fargo is our top performer Thursday — plus, 3 things we want from Costco's earnings
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Chipping away: Shares of Wells Fargo popped around 5% on signs of progress in its multiyear journey to clean up its operations and have its Federal Reserve-mandated asset cap removed. In addition, this news pushes back on the idea that Wells Fargo recently suffered a regulatory setback. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Wells, Wells Fargo, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Micron, Street, Department of Justice, AMD, Starbucks, Chipping, Reserve, Bloomberg News, Fed, Bloomberg, Currency, Club, Costco, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: China, Wells

☆ Grubhub-owner Just Eat Takeaway to deliver sex toys in partnership with adult retailer Lovehoney
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Ryan Browne | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Grubhub-owner Just Eat Takeaway.com said Thursday it had partnered with sex toy retailer Lovehoney Group, in an unexpected expansion into the so-called sexual wellness sector. Shares of Just Eat Takeaway.com climbed 2% Thursday, above the pan-European Stoxx 600 index's 1% gains. The firm's shares are down around 1% over the last 6 months amid a broader decline in food delivery stocks. This is the first big-name partnership of a takeaway delivery company with a sex-toy retailer, however. Just Eat bought Grubhub in June 2020, expanding the company's company's from Europe across the United States and Canada.

Persons: Takeaway.com, Guido Fambach, Honey Organizations: Lovehoney Locations: Fleet, England, Denmark, Austria, Europe, United States, Canada

☆ It's refinancing time: Americans are already capitalizing on lower rates
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

The Mortgage Bankers Association's refinancing index jumped 20.3% last week to its highest in two years. That comes as the 30-year fixed mortgage rate dipped 2 basis points to 6.13% last week. Mortgage rates have fallen recently amid Federal Reserve easing and expectations for further rate cuts. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! The surge in refinancing activity comes as mortgage rates fall as the market prices in expected easing from the Federal Reserve.

Persons: — Organizations: Mortgage, Reserve, Service, Fed, Federal Reserve, Business

☆ European stocks set for positive open, spurred on by gains in Asia-Pacific markets
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

City of London skyline on 10th June 2024 in London, United Kingdom. The City of London is a city, ceremonial county and local government district that contains the primary central business district CBD of London. LONDON — European stocks are expected to open in positive territory Thursday, spurred on by gains in Asia-Pacific markets overnight. The positive start to the trading day anticipated in Europe comes after Asia-Pacific markets rose overnight, with markets in the region led by Japan's Nikkei 225 and Chinese markets extending gains. Japan's Nikkei climbed 2.12%, while the broad based Topix was up 1.65%, as the Bank of Japan released minutes of its July meeting.

Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: LONDON, CAC, IG, Japan's Nikkei, Bank of Japan, China's CSI Locations: London, United Kingdom, The City, Asia, Pacific, Europe

☆ Veteran investor Dietze names the sectors — and stocks — he likes right now
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Amala Balakrishner | In Amala-Balakrishner | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Favorable valuations Small-cap stocks are one area Dietze is watching closely, given that they are trading at a "discount." Interest in small-cap stocks picked up in July and while the outlook has been mixed, he likes that "valuations are favorable" right now. Emerging markets Another popular segment Dietze is focusing on is emerging markets, thanks to the potential from their rapidly growing population numbers. Countries classified as emerging markets include China, India, South Korea, Taiwan and Brazil. Year-to-date, the MSCI Emerging Markets Index is up 0.56%.

Persons: Dow Jones, David Dietze, CNBC's, Dietze's, Russell, Jerome, Dietze, Hershey, —, Jesse Pound Organizations: U.S, U.S . Federal, mull, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, CNBC, Myers Squibb, BHP Group Locations: U.S ., U.S, China, India, South Korea, Taiwan, Brazil, Bristol

☆ Oppenheimer's top stock ideas heading into October
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

This comes after all three major averages recovered from the Aug. 5 global sell-off to close out last month higher. DKNG YTD mountain DKNG, year-to-date Biotechnology stock Viking Therapeutics also made the list. The stock has already surged more than 239% this year as its experimental obesity treatment advances through clinical trials. Telecommunications stock AT & T was another best idea, with its target of $23 implying more than 6% upside. Other names that made the list include Cigna , whose target implies more than 14% upside, and chip giant Broadcom .

Persons: Oppenheimer, Goldman Sachs, Jed Kelly, DKNG, Jay Olson, NASH, Timothy Horan, Horan isn't Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Biotechnology, Viking Therapeutics, Telecommunications, AT, JPMorgan, Broadcom

☆ One of the top-performing sectors could be heading for trouble
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The communications services sector has been on an unbelievable tear for nearly two years. Since hitting a low on October 2022, the Communication Services Select Sector (XLC) has nearly doubled, outperforming the S & P 500 in that time. "The smallest sector in the market (by constituents not value) has been one of the most dominant over the past two years," wrote Wolfe Research's Rob Ginsberg. Our sense is that is better for sale here," Ginsberg wrote. Elsewhere on Wall Street this morning, Bernstein upgraded Starbucks to outperform from market perform.

Persons: Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Bernstein, Brian Niccol, Danilo Gargiulo Organizations: Communications, Netflix, Taco Bell Locations: GOOGL

☆ Stock futures are little changed as traders brace for Fed’s preferred inflation reading: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures traded near the flatline Thursday night as Wall Street awaits a key inflation reading. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average were little changed, as were S&P 500 futures . In the fiscal fourth quarter, the warehouse retailer reported earnings of $5.29 per share on $79.70 billion in fourth-quarter revenue. The so-called PCE is the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation metric, and policymakers and Wall Street alike are hoping for figures that show a cooling trend. The three major indexes are higher for the week, with the S&P 500 up nearly 0.8% and the 30-stock Dow Jones Industrial Average on pace to rise 0.3%.

Persons: LSEG, Jeffrey Roach Organizations: NYSE, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Costco Wholesale, Financial, Traders Locations: U.S

Unless the economic outlook changes, mortgage rates may hold steady for the rest of 2024. If they were to weaken unexpectedly, that could spur the Fed to cut rates more aggressively, which in turn could push mortgage rates down further. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data. But now that inflation has decelerated and the Fed is expected to cut rates soon, mortgage rates have trended down. This means your entire monthly mortgage payment, including taxes and insurance, shouldn't exceed 28% of your pre-tax monthly income.

Persons: you'll, They've, they've, Freddie Mac, it's, Fannie Mae Organizations: Fed, Zillow, ARM, Federal Housing Administration, Department of Veterans Affairs, Mortgage, Association Locations: Chevron

☆ Gold lingers near record highs, Powell's speech eyed for rate cues
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold prices were steady on Thursday, hovering close to record highs, on expectations of another big U.S. rate cut this year, although gains were limited ahead of remarks by key Federal Reserve policymakers later in the day. Gold prices were steady on Thursday, hovering close to record highs, on expectations of another big U.S. rate cut this year, although gains were limited ahead of remarks by key Federal Reserve policymakers later in the day. Bullion has risen nearly 29% so far in 2024 and hit record highs several times this year, largely fueled by monetary policy easing by major global banks and geopolitical concerns. Last Wednesday, the Fed delivered a 50-basis-point rate cut, with traders seeing a 62% chance of an additional half-percentage-point reduction in November, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Additionally, U.S. jobless claims data on Thursday and the core personal consumption expenditure index — the Fed's preferred inflation — on Friday, will be eyed for further rate cues.

Persons: Tim Waterer, Bullion, Jerome Powell, John Williams, Michael Barr, Nicholas Frappell Organizations: U.S ., KCM, Fed, New York Fed, ABC Refinery Locations: .

☆ The Fed slashed interest rates last week, but Treasury yields are rising. What's going on?
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The Treasury market, though, hasn't been paying attention. Watching the curveThe difference between the 10- and 2-year notes has widened significantly, increasing by about 12 basis points since the Fed meeting. That sentiment is evident in the "breakeven" inflation rate, or the difference between standard Treasury and Treasury Inflation Protected Securities yields. The 5-year breakeven rate, for instance, has risen 8 basis points since the Fed meeting and is up 20 basis points since Sept. 11. watch nowFed officials aim for a 2% inflation rate, and none of the principal gauges are there yet.

Persons: Anna Moneymaker, hasn't, Jonathan Duensing, — haven't, Robert Tipp Organizations: Federal Reserve, Getty, Treasury, Amundi, Fed, CME, Treasury Inflation Locations: Washington , DC

☆ Social Security’s death benefit has been $255 since 1954. Some senators want to change that
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Lorie Konish | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

When a Social Security beneficiary dies, their loved ones may qualify for a one-time $255 lump-sum death payment. Yet that amount has not changed in 70 years — since 1954 — while inflation has pushed the costs for funerals higher. On Wednesday, Sen. Peter Welch, D-Vt., introduced a new bill, the Social Security Survivor Benefits Equity Act, to raise the lump-sum death benefit to $2,900 to reflect today's cost of living. Under the terms of the bill, the higher $2,900 death benefit would go into effect in 2025. The proposal has been endorsed by advocacy organizations Social Security Works and the Strengthen Social Security Coalition.

Persons: Sen, Peter Welch, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, Welch, haven't Organizations: Social, Social Security Survivor, Equity, Finance, Social Security, National, Consumer, Urban, Clerical Workers, Social Security Coalition Locations: Sens

☆ A surfer without a degree is worth $16 billion after his biotech company's stock soared 1,100% in a year
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The company's stock price has surged by over 1,100% in the past 12 months, lifting its market value to over $16 billion. Summit stock jumped from about $12 on September 6 to a record high of $32 on September 13, but has retreated to around $23 since then. Spurred on by his son's death from brain cancer, Duggan started building a stake in Pharmacyclics, a maker of cancer drugs, in 2004. Pharmaceutical titan AbbVie bought the business for $21 billion in cash and stock in 2015, netting Duggan more than $3 billion, per Bloomberg. He joined Summit's board in 2019 and became CEO and chairman in 2020, making cancer drugs his principal focus.

Persons: —, Bob Duggan, Duggan, AbbVie Organizations: Service, Summit Therapeutics, Bloomberg, Business, Summit, UC Santa Barbara, Wall Street Journal, Computer, of Scientology, Duggan Investments Locations: Pharmacyclics

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