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TOKYO (AP) — Asian shares advanced Thursday after a plunge in oil prices aided a recovery on Wall Street. Market sentiment was helped by a $5 decline in oil prices on Wednesday, although prices recovered slightly in Asian trading. Oil prices fell after the Energy Information Administration reported a 4.6 million barrel increase in commercial petroleum products. Stocks have struggled since the summer under the weight of soaring Treasury yields in the bond market. Treasury yields have correspondingly snapped higher as traders accept a new normal for markets of high rates for longer.
Persons: Sydney's, Kospi, Brent, that's, Kevin McCarthy Organizations: TOKYO, Trading, Nikkei, Energy Information Administration, Dow, Nasdaq, Stocks, Treasury, Federal Reserve, U.S, Representatives, Big Tech, Microsoft, U.S . Locations: Tokyo, Sydney, Hong Kong, Shanghai, South, U.S
German defense contractor postpones IPO on eve of debut
  + stars: | 2023-10-05 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
German defense contractor Renk on late Wednesday announced it would indefinitely postpone its initial public offering on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange scheduled for the following morning. "In the past days, the market environment has clouded noticeably," the company said in a statement, providing no further details. Shares were set to be offered in a price range between 15 euros ($15.77) and 18 euros, with a total placement volume between 405 million and 486 million euros. It reported an increase in audited gross profit from 124.5 million euros to 164.8 million euros in the fiscal year ending on Dec. 31 2022. European bourses had a mixed first half of the year, with funds raised through listings on the Paris Stock Exchange plunging 92%, while the London Stock Exchange held steady.
Persons: Renk, Susanne Wiegand, bourses, Susannah Streeter, Hargreaves Lansdown Organizations: Frankfurt Stock Exchange, CNBC, Triton, Reuters, Paris Stock Exchange, London Stock Exchange, Schott Pharma, Hargreaves Locations: Augsburg, Germany, Ukraine, Frankfurt
A steepening yield curve is when the spread between long- and short-term bond yields widens. Either the long-term yield rises faster than the short-term yield - a bear steepener - or the short-term yield is falling more - a bull steepener. Bear steepenings of the benchmark two-year/10-year U.S. Treasury yield curve, when the curve is inverted, are rare. In some ways, a positive-sloping yield curve is the natural order of things. Graff reckons the bear steepening is almost over and the curve will struggle to get past -20 bps.
Persons: Warren Pies, Dario Perkins, Lombard's Perkins, Bond, Bill Gross, Goldman Sachs, Tom Graff, Graff, Jamie McGeever, Andrew Heavens Organizations: Treasury, 3Fourteen Research, TS Lombard, Federal Reserve, Reuters, Thomson Locations: ORLANDO, Florida, London reckons
WASHINGTON (AP) — The global economy has shown “remarkable resilience’’ but still bears deep scars from the coronavirus pandemic, the war in Ukraine and rising interest rates, the head of the International Monetary Fund said Thursday. The United States, she said, “is the only major economy where output has returned to its pre-pandemic path. Weighing on global growth is China’s disappointing recovery despite the lifting late last year of draconian zero-COVID policies, which had crippled commerce in the world's second-biggest economy last year. She said the odds are rising that global economy can manage a “soft landing’’ — avoiding recession even while bringing down inflationary pressure. “Fighting inflation is the number one priority,’’ she said, urging central banks to keep interest rates “higher for longer.
Persons: , Kristalina Georgieva, Georgieva, , Sam Metz Organizations: WASHINGTON, International Monetary Fund, IMF, World Bank, Global, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank, Associated Press Locations: Ukraine, Abidjan, Ivory Coast, United States, Marrakesh, Morocco, Rabat
Because the $25-trillion Treasury market is considered the bedrock of the global financial system, soaring yields on U.S. government bonds have had wide-ranging effects. Higher Treasury yields can curb investors' appetite for stocks and other risky assets by tightening financial conditions as they raise the cost of credit for companies and individuals. With some Treasury maturities offering far above 5% to investors holding the bonds to term, rising yields have also dulled the allure of equities. Reuters GraphicsWith Treasury yields surging, credit market spreads have widened as investors demand a higher yield on riskier assets, such as corporate bonds. The MOVE index (.MOVE), a measure of expected volatility in U.S. Treasuries, has surged to a 4-month high, signaling expectations for continued Treasury market ructions.
Persons: Andrew Kelly, That's, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Davide Barbuscia, Ira Iosebashvili, Nick Zieminski Organizations: United States Department of, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Bank of America Global Research, Reuters, Traders, Reuters Graphics, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, Thomson Locations: Washington ,, U.S, Silicon
A calmer tone set in later on Wednesday, with bond yields retreating. In the U.S. Treasury market -- considered the bedrock of the global financial system -- 10-year yields have jumped as much as 20 basis points (bps) to 4.8% this week alone. Bond yields move inversely to prices, and many asset managers who had held bonds expecting prices to rally are now throwing in the towel. Australian and Canadian 10-year bond yields have surged over 20 bps each this week , , and British 30-year government bond yields hit a fresh 25-year high above 5% on Wednesday . , ,World stocks (.MIWD00000PUS) hit their lowest since April on Wednesday, and the cost of insuring exposure to a basket of European corporate junk bonds hit a five-month high, according to data from S&P Global Market Intelligence.
Persons: Bond, Juan Valenzuela, Artemis, Kevin McCarthy, Jason Lee, Michael Metcalfe, Vikram Aggarwal, that's, Everybody's, you've, Richard McGuire, McGuire, Dhara Ranasinghe, Naomi Rovnick, Alun John, Yoruk Bahceli, Chiara Elisei, Marc Jones, Andy Bruce, Kim Coghill, Toby Chopra Organizations: bund, U.S . Treasury, Federal Reserve, Reuters, ADP, U.S . House, Congress, Hong, REUTERS, Street Global Markets, P Global Market Intelligence, Jupiter, New York Fed, Rabobank, Thomson Locations: Treasuries, British, U.S, Hong Kong, London
In the U.S. Treasury market -- considered the bedrock of the global financial system -- 10-year yields have jumped 20 basis points (bps) to 4.8% this week alone. Bond yields move inversely to prices, and asset managers who had held bonds expecting prices to rally are now throwing in the towel. Australian and Canadian 10-year bond yields have surged over 20 bps each this week , , and British 30-year government bond yields hit a fresh 25-year high above 5% on Wednesday . In a further sign of investor nervousness, the closely-watched MOVE bond volatility index is at a four-month high. (.MOVE)Rise in global yields beyond 10yr average levels Rise in global yields beyond 10yr average levelsRIPPLESGovernment borrowing costs influence everything from mortgage rates for homeowners to loan rates for companies.
Persons: Jason Lee, Bond, Juan Valenzuela, Artemis, Vikram Aggarwal, that's, Everybody's, you've, Richard McGuire, Dhara Ranasinghe, Naomi Rovnick, Alun John, Yoruk Bahceli Chiara Elisei, Andy Bruce, Kim Coghill, Toby Chopra Organizations: Hong, REUTERS, U.S . Treasury, Federal Reserve, Reuters, P Global Market Intelligence, Jupiter, New York Fed, Rabobank, Thomson Locations: Hong Kong, Treasuries, British
LONDON, Oct 4 (Reuters) - A global central bank test lab has designed a prototype bitcoin monitoring system aimed at giving authorities a clearer picture on how, when and where the cryptocurrency is used. The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) project, codenamed Atlas, began at the Dutch central bank more than five years ago, but its potential value has been underscored over the last 18 months by a series of chaotic collapses across the crypto industry. Cross-border crypto flows are particularly relevant for central banks in the context of cross-border payments, economic analysis and balance of payments statistics, the BIS said. "Central banks need to gain first-hand knowledge of crypto and DeFi and the risks and opportunities they present to the financial system," the BIS said. It added the dashboards would now be made available to a group of "test" central banks to gather feedback and for further development.
Persons: Atlas, Elizabeth Howcroft, Gareth Jones Organizations: Bank for International Settlements, Atlas, BIS, Regulators, Thomson Locations: London
Asia stocks slump as bond selloff spooks markets
  + stars: | 2023-10-04 | by ( Tom Westbrook | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
The spike in Treasury yields lifted the dollar to new heights with only the yen showing some fight amid speculation the Japanese authorities might be intervening behind the scenes. The yen breached the 150-per-dollar level in the London afternoon on Tuesday before suddenly shooting to 147.3. There was no confirmation from Tokyo, where Japan's finance minister and top currency diplomat have made no direct comment on the move. In commodity markets, the stronger dollar has helped put the brakes on oil prices and higher yields have weighed on gold. Brent crude futures were last steady at $90.87 a barrel, having hit an 11-month high of $97.69 last week.
Persons: Issei Kato, it's, Mel Siew, Ryota Abe, Kit Juckes, Tom Westbrook, Jamie Freed, Kim Coghill Organizations: U.S ., REUTERS, Japan's Nikkei, Muzinich, Co, Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation, New Zealand, Federal, Treasury, Brent, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Asia, SINGAPORE, London, Pacific, Singapore, Taiwan, Malaysian
View of an entrance to the Reserve Bank of New Zealand in Wellington, New Zealand November 10, 2022. “Interest rates are constraining economic activity and reducing inflationary pressure as required,” the central bank said in a statement. The past RBNZ rate hikes have sharply slowed New Zealand’s economy but recent data showed it was tracking above central bank expectations at 0.9% quarterly growth. The central bank releases a comprehensive update of economic indicators and the forecast official cash rate track when it publishes its quarterly Monetary Policy Statement (MPS), which is due on Nov. 29. “The Bank appears content to wait for restrictive policy settings to fully feed through to the real economy,” analysts at Capital Economics in a note.
Persons: Lucy Craymer, , Kelly Eckhold, Organizations: WELLINGTON, Reuters, Reserve Bank of New, REUTERS, Bank of New Zealand, New Zealand, Westpac NZ, U.S . Federal Reserve, Capital Economics Locations: Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Wellington , New Zealand, Global, New Zealand
When official interest rates rise, so do investors’ expectations for returns on bonds, known as yields. In the United Kingdom, the yield on 30-year bonds also reached 5% this week, the highest level in more than two decades. Yields on Italy’s 10-year bonds hit 5% on Wednesday, the highest level since 2012, when that crisis was in full swing. Mortgage rates riseThe yields on local government bonds are usually used by banks to price mortgages. High official interest rates in America and Europe have also raised the cost of borrowing for businesses.
Persons: Saul Loeb, Liz Truss, , Matt Cardy, Freddie Mac, Andrew Sheets, Morgan Stanley, Stocks, ” Russ Mould, AJ Bell, we’ve, , , That’s, ” Susannah Streeter, Hargreaves Lansdown Organizations: London CNN, US Treasury Department, Getty, UK, CNN, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, BlackRock, Hargreaves Locations: Washington ,, United Kingdom, Bath, England, United States, Europe, America
REUTERS/Issei Kato/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsOct 5 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. Global currency volatility on Wednesday spiked to its highest since May, a day after U.S. Treasury market volatility also jumped to a five-month high. And although U.S. yields fell across the board, yield curve steepening continued as the 30-year yield pierced 5.00%. Japanese assets, meanwhile, will also be sensitive to possible Bank of Japan activity in the domestic government bond or currency markets on Thursday. An esoteric corner of Japanese markets - yen cross-currency basis - is at levels consistent with previous bouts of volatility.
Persons: Issei Kato, Jamie McGeever, Josie Kao Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, Treasury, of, Bank of Japan, FX, Japan's Nikkei, PMI, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Tokyo, Japan, South Korea, Philippines, Thailand, Taiwan, Singapore, U.S, of Japan, Bank, India, Australia
WARSAW, Poland (AP) — Poland’s central bank lowered its key interest rate Wednesday, pointing to a drop in inflation despite a still-high rate of 8.2% last month, raising concerns about the cut being a political move. The National Bank of Poland cut its benchmark rate a quarter of a percentage point to 5.75%. It was the second rate cut since Sept. 9, when the central bank surprisingly slashed rates by three-quarters of a point. That's far below Poland's 8.2% inflation rate. Poland’s currency, the zloty, was slightly stronger after the rate cut.
Persons: Adam Glapinski Organizations: National Bank of Poland, Inflation, European Central Bank, Law, Justice Locations: WARSAW, Poland, Ukraine
Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesForeign investments into Japan's real estate sector have been flourishing in the past year, buoyed by a weak Japanese yen as the country's central bank maintains its ultra-loose monetary policy. "It is a golden period of Japanese real estate," Henry Chin, head of Asia-Pacific research at CBRE, told CNBC. Foreign investors almost doubled their investment from a year ago to $2 billion in the first quarter of the year, the global real estate services company noted. According to latest data provided by CBRE, total foreign investments into Japan's real estate market has risen 45% in the first half of 2023, compared to the same period last year. The solid rebound in Japan's tourism sector following the ease in border restrictions has sparked a rise in hotel occupancies and hospitality investments, Knight Frank said in a recent September note.
Persons: Henry Chin, Chin, Koji Nato, JLL, Knight Frank, CBRE's Chin, Knight Frank's, Christine Li, David Madison Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, CNBC, Nato LL's, Capital Markets, U.S, APAC Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Asia, Pacific, Osaka, Singapore, U.S, Canada, Magome
Japanese yen and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen with a currency exchange rate graph in this illustration picture taken June 16, 2022. Traders have been on watch for weeks for a possible intervention by Japanese officials to combat a sustained depreciation in the yen. "It could just be people expecting intervention and then reacting to what they believed to be intervention," said Asher. To support the Japanese currency, authorities need to tap Japan's foreign reserves of dollars to sell for yen. A senior Japanese ministry of finance official declined to comment on whether Japan had intervened in foreign exchange markets.
Persons: Florence Lo, Michael Brown, Brown, Colin Asher, Asher, Niels Christensen, Jeremy Stretch, Edward Moya, Stretch, Tuesday's, Chuck Mikolajczak, Samuel Indyk, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Gertrude Chavez, Dreyfuss, Dhara Ranasinghe, Lucy Raitano, Ira Iosebashvili, Megan Davies, Jonathan Oatis, Andrea Ricci, Hugh Lawson, Gareth Jones Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, Trader, Mizuho, Nordea, Bank of Japan, New York Federal Reserve, CIBC Capital Markets, Ministry, Finance, Seven, Japan, Thomson Locations: TOKYO, London, Copenhagen, Japan, U.S, Tokyo, Asia, New York, United States
REUTERS/David 'Dee' Delgado/ Acquire Licensing RightsOct 3 (Reuters) - The global cryptocurrency market remains badly scarred following the tumultuous collapse of crypto exchange FTX and other big players last year, with crypto prices, volumes and venture capital investment well below their 2021 peaks. BITCOIN BLUESBitcoin, by far the biggest cryptocurrency and the chief barometer for crypto market sentiment, has bounced back about 37% since Nov. 1. Reuters Image Acquire Licensing RightsCRUMBLING MARKET CAPAfter peaking at $3 trillion in November 2021, the value of the overall crypto market plummeted through 2022, hitting a two-year low of $796 billion as FTX imploded. Yet the relative calm in crypto markets is not necessarily a good thing, said some market participants, noting that many investors are attracted to crypto precisely because of its volatility, which offers opportunities to make quick profits. Reuters GraphicsVC CRYPTO BETS TUMBLEVenture capital (VC) investments flooded into crypto during its boom year of 2021, and even through 2022.
Persons: Damian Williams, Samuel Bankman, David, Dee, Delgado, Sam Bankman, FTX, cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin, bitcoin, Ben Laidler, Usman Ahmad, Anders Kvamme Jensen, Robert Le, CCData, Noelle Acheson, Hannah Lang, Elizabeth Howcroft, Tom Wilson, Michelle Price, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, Capital, Silvergate Bank, BlackRock, Reuters, Zodia, Chartered, Reuters Graphics, U.S, Venture, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, New York, Singapore, London, Washington
Why are global bond yields rising? With inflation excluding food and energy prices elevated and the U.S. economy resilient, central banks are pushing back against rate cut bets. Many investors were also betting bond yields would drop, so are extra sensitive to moves in the opposite direction, analysts say. That is no surprise, and analysts do not rule out a rise in 10-year Treasury yields to 5%, from 4.7% now . Bond yields determine governments' funding costs, so the longer they stay high, the more they feed into the interest costs countries pay.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, August's, Goldman Sachs, Mahmood Pradhan, Treasuries, Andrea Kiguel, Yoruk, Dhara Ranasinghe, Karin Strohecker, Marc Jones, Amanda Cooper, Ed Osmond Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, U.S . Treasury, August's Fitch, Reuters, Treasury, Deutsche Bank, Amundi Investment, U.S, JPMorgan, Barclays, Yoruk Bahceli, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Germany, Japan, Italy, Europe, Americas, Amsterdam, London
Bank of America charted the historical path of interest rates last week. Central banks have lifted borrowing costs away from "5,000-year lows" over the past year, strategists said. AdvertisementAdvertisementJust like the men of TikTok, Bank of America strategists have been thinking a lot about the Roman Empire. For reasons unknown, the bank decided to chart five millennia's worth of interest rates in a recent research note. AdvertisementAdvertisementNeedless to say, investors can probably take the chart with a grain of salt – but the strategists probably aren't being facetious when they say there are gloomy times ahead.
Persons: , Sidney Homer, Richard Sylla's, Michael Hartnett, Hartnett, he's Organizations: of America, Service, Bank of America, Federal, of, Street Locations: TikTok, Roman, Greece
U.S. dollar bills, British GDP and Euro currency bank notes are pictured on September 27, 2022 in Bath, England. Matt Cardy | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesLONDON — The British pound suffered its worst month against the U.S. dollar for a year in September, and strategists show little optimism for the rest of the year, as growth expectations weaken once again. Sterling fell 3.75% against the dollar through the month, logging a decline not seen since the end of last summer. The pound also slid 1.26% against the euro last month, notching its weakest performance since December 2022. Exchange rates have been impacted over the past two years by interest rate expectations, with higher rates generally making a currency more attractive for foreign investment.
Persons: Matt Cardy, Sterling, Liz Truss, Jane Foley, Foley, Jim McCormick, CNBC's Organizations: Getty, U.S, Bank of England, U.S ., Rabobank, CNBC, European Central Bank, of England, Citi, Federal Reserve, ECB, Organization for Economic Co, Development Locations: Bath, England, U.S, Germany
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's interview with Summit Global Investments' David Harden and Janney Montgomery Scott's Guy LebasDavid Harden, Summit Global Investments CEO, Guy Lebas, chief fixed income strategist with Janney Montgomery Scott, and CNBC's Steve Liesman join 'The Exchange' to discuss climbing ten-year yields, U.S. interest rate risk brought on by central banks around the world, and defensive equity investments in consumer staples and pharma technology.
Persons: David Harden, Janney Montgomery, Guy Lebas David Harden, Guy Lebas, Janney Montgomery Scott, Steve Liesman Organizations: Summit Global Investments, pharma
A sculpture of Euro symbol is pictured in front of the European Parliament in Brussels, Belgium, May 2, 2018. REUTERS/Francois Lenoir/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Oct 3 (Reuters) - Tougher privacy safeguards are needed for using a digital euro online, consumer lobby Finance Watch said on Tuesday, in the latest sign of mounting "Big Brother" concerns policymakers are having to confront. Finance Watch said it accepted that some concessions would have to be made to ensure a digital euro is not used for money-laundering, making full, cash-like anonymity of digital payments difficult to achieve. Nevertheless, as drafted, the proposed EU law gives higher levels of privacy to offline use of a digital euro stored in a customers "wallet", Finance Watch said. "While the proposed approach to offline transactions goes a long way towards offering cash-like privacy, a higher level of privacy and data protection should also be applied to small, low-value online transactions," Finance Watch said.
Persons: Francois Lenoir, Mairead McGuinness, Huw Jones, Mark Potter Organizations: REUTERS, Finance, European Central Bank, Federal Reserve, Bank of England, European Commission, Finance Watch, Big Tech, EU, The Bank of England, Thomson Locations: Brussels, Belgium, EU
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSummit Global Investments CEO: Position equities defensively and pick up yield in bondsDavid Harden, Summit Global Investments CEO, Guy Lebas, chief fixed income strategist with Janney Montgomery Scott, and CNBC's Steve Liesman join 'The Exchange' to discuss climbing ten-year yields, U.S. interest rate risk brought on by central banks around the world, and defensive equity investments in consumer staples and pharma technology.
Persons: David Harden, Guy Lebas, Janney Montgomery Scott, Steve Liesman Organizations: Summit Global Investments, pharma
REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst Acquire Licensing RightsOct 4 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. The Japanese yen? Japanese stocks had already slumped to a four-month low before the yen's sudden burst of strength. Purchasing managers index reports from Japan, Australia and South Korea will be released, and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand announces its latest interest rate decision on Wednesday. The RBNZ is widely seen holding its key interest rate at 5.50% - the highest in nearly 15 years - and keep it there at least until March before lowering it shortly after.
Persons: Kevin McCarthy, McCarthy's, Jonathan Ernst, Jamie McGeever, Bond, Bill Gross, Fed's Schmid, Bowman, Goolsbee, Josie Kao Organizations: U.S, Capitol, REUTERS, New York Fed, Nikkei, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Washington , U.S, Japan, Washington, Swiss, U.S, Asia, Australia, South Korea, Zealand, Korea
Japanese yen and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen with a currency exchange rate graph in this illustration picture taken June 16, 2022. "It's the feeling that the U.S. economy can stomach higher interest rates for a little bit longer," said Bipan Rai, North America head of FX strategy at CIBC Capital Markets in Toronto. "Implicitly it also means that the Fed might not be so quick to cut rates next year either," he said. The Japanese yen weakened 0.31% versus the greenback at 149.77, after falling to 149.90. Investors have been closely watching for signs of intervention in the Japanese currency by the Bank of Japan (BOJ).
Persons: Florence Lo, Kevin McCarthy, Bipan Rai, Edward Moya, Michelle Bowman, Shunichi Suzuki, Chuck Mikolajczak, Marguerita Choy, Alison Williams Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Institute for Supply Management, Congress, Democratic, Republican, Treasury, CIBC Capital Markets, Investors, Bank of Japan, Fed, Bank of Japan's, Japan's Finance, Thomson Locations: U.S, North America, Toronto, New York
A view shows the logo of the European Central Bank (ECB) outside its headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany March 16, 2023. Markets have seen some seismic shifts in recent weeks after being forced to adjust to the 'higher for longer' mantra propagated by major central banks. "I don't think we're back to the point where these central banks will start tightening again..but if you are a central banker, especially of an oil importing country, you do become more cautious." On the other hand, a select number of central banks in emerging markets were still in hiking mode. Turkey, which is struggling with inflation pressures and a currency that is sliding from one record low to the next, delivered another bumper 500 bps rate hike.
Persons: Heiko Becker, Bjoern, Kaan Nazli, Neuberger Berman, Karin Strohecker, Sumanta Sen, Christina Fincher Organizations: European Central Bank, REUTERS, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of England, ECB, DWS, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, Central, America, Europe, Sweden, Norway, Australia, Canada, Japan, Brazil, Chile, Poland, Hungary, Turkey, Russia, Thailand, London, Mumbai
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