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☆ US stocks rise and bond yields move lower as investors watch Israel-Hamas conflict
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-10 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks climbed Tuesday as investors continued to monitor the Israel-Hamas conflict. The 10-year Treasury yield dipped by about nine basis points. BlackRock, meanwhile, cautioned that the bond market rout is far from over. AdvertisementAdvertisementUS stocks climbed slightly at the start of trading Tuesday and bond yields moved lower while investors continued to watch the Israel-Hamas conflict unfold. While yields slipped further from 16-year highs notched just last week, BlackRock cautioned that the bond market sell-off still isn't over, and further pain could still be on the way.

Persons: —, Goldman Sachs, Janet Yellen, Jim Rogers Organizations: Treasury, BlackRock, Service, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, RBC Locations: Israel, Global

☆ The IMF sees greater chance of a ‘soft landing’ for the global economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-10 | by ( Hanna Ziady | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

The IMF’s projections for growth and inflation are “increasingly consistent with a ‘soft landing’ scenario… especially in the United States,” Gourinchas continued. The 20 countries using the euro are expected to grow collectively by 0.7% this year and 1.2% next year, a downgrade of 0.2 percentage points and 0.3 percentage points respectively from July. The IMF upgraded its growth forecasts for the US economy to 2.1% in 2023 and 1.5% in 2024 — an improvement of 0.3 percentage points and 0.5 percentage points respectively. “The strongest recovery among major economies has been in the United States,” the IMF said. The IMF revised its forecasts for global inflation to 6.9% this year and 5.8% next year — an increase of 0.1 percentage point and 0.6 percentage points respectively.

Persons: Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas, ” Gourinchas, Qilai Shen, Gourinchas Organizations: London CNN —, Monetary Fund, IMF, Bloomberg, Getty, Brent Locations: United States, China, Europe, Ukraine, Guangzhou, Israel, Saudi Arabia, Russia

Oct 11 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. But Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic's remarks, that he believes the Fed has finished raising rates, will help Asian markets pick up on Wednesday from where global markets left off on Tuesday. "I actually don't think we need to increase rates anymore," said Bostic, following the dovish path set by two Fed colleagues on Monday. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari on Tuesday also struck a similar tone, leading investors to think that the Fed 'pivot' is underway. All else equal this should lower the dollar and U.S. yields, boost risk appetite, and lift Asian and emerging markets.

Persons: Jamie McGeever, Raphael Bostic's, Neel Kashkari, Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas, Fed's Bowman, Waller, Collins, Josie Kao Organizations: Federal Reserve, Investors, IMF, World Bank, Atlanta Fed, Fed, . Minneapolis, Monetary Fund, Hang, Bank, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Morocco, Israel, Gaza, Marrakech, Bostic, Japan

More cuts are expected in the coming months, though Costa didn't provide any details on future decisions. Costa said the bank has already incorporated high interest rates from the U.S. Fed and other central banks from developed economies in its September report. "But we have to keep looking closely at U.S. rates," Costa said. Costa added the bank has also factored in weaker demand from China, one of Chile's largest copper consumers, but the impact was larger than expected. "The Chinese economy is going to develop with less force than expected, but there are other factors that hold up copper prices," Costa said.

Persons: Central Bank of Chile Rosanna Costa, Susana Vera, Rosanna Costa, Costa, Costa didn't, Jorgelina, Alexander Villegas, Chizu Organizations: Central Bank of, Reuters, International Monetary Fund, World Bank, REUTERS, U.S . Fed, Thomson Locations: Central Bank of Chile, Marrakech, Morocco, MARRAKECH, SANTIAGO, Chile, U.S, China, Rosario

A strong dollar typically weighs on oil prices as it makes the commodity more expensive for holders of other currencies, dampening demand for crude. Oil prices in September hit 10-month highs as Saudi Arabia and Russia cut a combined 1.3 million barrels per day (bpd) of supply until the end of the year. Oil prices are currently high in part in response to the OPEC+ cuts. This supply shock is expected to dampen consumer purchasing power, weigh on economic growth and eventually depress oil demand, JP Morgan analysts said. And given high interest rates in key Western economies, the combination of relatively high oil prices and the strong dollar cannot last for a long time, said Saxobank analyst Ole Hansen.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Brent, Colin Asher, Francesco Pesole, Morgan, Ole Hansen, Tamas Varga, PVM, Simon Webb, Sharon Singleton Organizations: REUTERS, U.S ., Reuters Graphics Reuters, U.S, Mizuho, U.S . Federal Reserve, ING, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Saudi Arabia, OPEC, Russia, Israel, Palestinian

☆ Global central banks are hoarding gold like never before as they seek to reduce 'overconcentration' of dollar reserves
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-10 | by ( Anil Varma | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Global central banks have been buying record amounts of gold as they seek to diversify reserves away from the dollar. "We expect central banks to continue their role as net purchasers of gold," according to the head of gold strategy at State Street. AdvertisementAdvertisementGlobal central banks have been snapping up record amounts of gold since the start of 2022 - a trend that should continue as countries look to move away from an "overconcentration" of reserves in the dollar, according to State Street Global Advisors. In addition to reserve diversification, the trend is also driven by central banks' desire to strengthen balance sheets and increase liquidity without adding credit risk, according to the firm. AdvertisementAdvertisement"Therefore, as we look ahead, we expect central banks to continue their role as net purchasers of gold," he added.

Persons: —, Maxwell Gold, Vladimir Putin Organizations: State, Service, Street Global Advisors, Society, Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunications, Force Locations: China, Russia, Iran, India, Indonesia

Oct 10 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. The rebound in risk sentiment was largely due to comments from two Fed officials that the recent rise in long-term bond yields and tightening of financial conditions mean the Fed may be done raising rates. The U.S. bond market was closed on Monday for the Columbus Day holiday but futures traded, and the 10-year Treasury future posted its biggest rise since March. The IMF and World Bank annual meetings in Morocco kick into gear on Tuesday, with U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, European Central Bank president Christine Lagarde and many other leading global policymakers in attendance. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Jamie McGeever, Lori Logan, Philip Jefferson nodded, Janet Yellen, Christine Lagarde, Raphael Bostic, Christopher Waller, Neel Kashkari, Mary Daly, Lorie Logan, Philip Jefferson, Waller, Daly Organizations: Dallas, Columbus, Treasury, IMF, World Bank, U.S, European Central Bank, Fed, Bank, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Israel, Gaza, U.S, Lower U.S, Asia, Japan, Pacific, Philippines, Morocco, Marrakech, Kashkari

"There's been very little marking down of (private) assets," said Con Keating, head of research at Brighton Rock Group, an insurance company for pension schemes. "No-one knows where the next big blow-up for pensions will come from," said Henry Tapper, founder of pension market analysis group AgeWage. He said heavy selling of commercial property and private equity stakes by pension schemes is raising questions over private capital valuations. "It's the right approach to obviously put some scrutiny on private market valuations." But in deals where private equity firms and investors buy and sell portfolios of investments, assets are being valued at less.

Persons: Yann Tessier, Con Keating, Henry Tapper, EY's, Paul Kitson, Burgiss, Ben Leach, Willis Towers Watson, IOSCO, Wilfred Small, Sinead Cruise, John O'Donnell, Kirsten Donovan Organizations: City of, REUTERS, Britain's, Authority, Brighton Rock Group, Reuters, Numis Securities, Thomson Locations: City, City of London, Canary, London, Britain, Germany, Sweden

Funds' net short position in two-year futures is now a record 1.278 million contracts. A short position is essentially a wager an asset's price will fall, and a long position is a bet it will rise. STERLING FLIPIn currencies, meanwhile, funds ramped up their broad, net long dollar position by $5.4 billion in the week to $8.45 billion. At around 114,000 contracts, it is now close to July's 118,000, which was the biggest net short position since February 2018. The CFTC data also showed that funds flipped to a net short sterling position for the first time since April.

Persons: STERLING, Jamie McGeever, Lincoln Organizations: Futures Trading Commission, Bank of, Reuters, Thomson Locations: ORLANDO, Florida, Bank of Japan

Passersby are reflected on an electric stock quotation board outside a brokerage in Tokyo, Japan April 18, 2023. REUTERS/Issei Kato/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsOct 9 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. To recap, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq on Friday registered their biggest gains since late August, and the S&P 500 snapped a four-week losing streak, after data showed that showed U.S. job growth in September smashed forecasts. Figures on Saturday showed that China's foreign exchange reserves fell $45 billion in September to $3.115 trillion from $3.16 trillion in August. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Issei Kato, Jamie McGeever, Wall, Treasuries, Fed's Barr, Jefferson, Diane Craft Organizations: REUTERS, Swiss, Nasdaq, Analysts, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Israel, Gaza, Asia, China, U.S, Beijing, Logan, Indonesia

"The markets will also be following what the scenarios are looking like," he said, and whether, after decades of instability in the Middle East, this outbreak of violence evolves differently. "The question will be is this iteration something that will throw the long-term equilibrium out of balance?" "The conflict poses a risk of higher oil prices, and risks to both inflation and the growth outlook," said Karim Basta, chief economist at III Capital Management, leaving the Fed to sort out whether higher prices or slower growth is the greater concern. To the extent the Israeli war with Hamas heightens concerns about the global economy it could reverse that trend if capital rushes towards the relative safety of U.S. Treasury bonds, as often happens at times of potential crisis. Reporting by Howard Schneider and Ann Saphir; Editing by Andrea RicciOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Ronen, It’s, Agustin Carstens, Carl Tannenbaum, Karim Basta, Howard Schneider, Ann Saphir, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Bank for International, National Association for Business Economics, Federal Reserve, Northern Trust, International Monetary Fund, World Bank, III Capital Management, Fed, Treasury, Thomson Locations: Gaza, Sderot, Israel, Ukraine, U.S, Morocco, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Gulf, Suez

☆ BIS' Carstens: too early to say how new war will impact global outlook
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-08 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: 1 min

DALLAS, Oct 8 (Reuters) - Bank for International Settlements General Manager Agustin Carstens on Sunday said it's "too early to say" how the newly erupted conflict in Israel will affect the global economy still struggling with post-pandemic high inflation. "Traditionally this affects the price of oil and can affect the stock market, but it’s too early to say," Carstens told the National Association for Business Economics in answer to a question after a talk in which he emphasized the need for central banks to keep interest rates relatively high "for a while" to beat inflation. "We need to continue being very firm." Reporting by Ann Saphir; editing by Diane CraftOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Agustin Carstens, it's, Carstens, Ann Saphir, Diane Craft Organizations: DALLAS, Bank for International, National Association for Business Economics, Thomson Locations: Israel

[1/2] Dollar banknotes are seen under Euro saving money box in this picture illustration taken February 16, 2017. The European common currency was last down 0.16% at $1.0533, a touch above Tuesday's 10-month low of $1.0448 but still set for a further weekly decline of 0.2% making that streak the longest since its launch in 1999. The dollar's recent strength has been underpinned by a rapid sell-off in U.S. government bonds, which sent yields to multi-year highs. "The pause in the bond sell-off is granting some room for recovery for most currencies against the dollar. The Australian dollar was steady at $0.6364, but set for a 1% weekly decline.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Francesco Pesole, Vishnu Varathan, Rae Wee, Alun John, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, ING, Bank of Japan, Ministry of Finance, Mizuho Bank, Swiss, Thomson Locations: Rights SINGAPORE, LONDON, U.S, United States, Singapore, London, Lincoln

☆ ECB's Schnabel can't rule out more hikes amid inflation risks
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-06 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Isabel Schnabel, member of the German advisory board of economic experts attends the 29th Frankfurt European Banking Congress (EBC) at the Old Opera house in Frankfurt, Germany November 22, 2019. REUTERS/Ralph Orlowski/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsFRANKFURT, Oct 6 (Reuters) - The European Central Bank may need to raise interest rates again if wages, profits or new supply snags boost inflation, ECB board member Isabel Schnabel said in an interview published on Friday. Schnabel said a recent moderation in inflation, which fell to its lowest level in two years at 4.3% in September, was "encouraging" but risks abounded, from stronger-than-expected wages or profits to new disruption to supply. "I still see upside risks to inflation," Schnabel told Croatian newspaper Jutarnji list. But Schnabel played down the chances of such a move in the near term.

Persons: Isabel Schnabel, Ralph Orlowski, Schnabel, Aleksandar Vasovic, Francesco Canepa, Christina Fincher, Toby Chopra Organizations: Frankfurt, Banking Congress, Old Opera, REUTERS, Rights, European Central Bank, ECB, Croatian, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, Belgrade

Failure to secure the cash they need at rates they can afford, could lead to insolvencies and layoffs. "I think we're now starting to finally see the fall of some of the zombies," she added. This can include restructuring loan repayments, offering reduced rates or other more relaxed terms and can help banks avoid loan write-offs. "Banks and private equity shops have waited to see if the tide turned but higher rates don't allow hiding anymore." Any large corporate failures are likely to have a "contamination effect", said Tim Metzgen, an A&M managing director.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Alvarez, Julie Palmer, Begbies Traynor, we're, Begbies, Nicola Marinelli, Banks, Paul Kirkbright, Kirkbright, Eva Shang, Katie Murray, Naresh Aggarwal, Ravi Anand, Anand, Tim Metzgen, Jane Merriman Organizations: REUTERS, Reuters, Britain's, National Statistics, Casino, Regent's University, of England, Bank of, Finance, M's, NatWest Group, Association of Corporate, Companies, Thomson Locations: Europe, Middle East, Africa, England, Wales, U.S, Basel III

☆ The Queen’s question returns with a vengeance
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-06 | by ( Felix Martin | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +7 min

The world’s leading central banks had spent the previous two decades focusing on low inflation, neglecting risks to financial stability. Central bankers counter correctly that predictive accuracy is not the same as explanatory power. Yet it is far from clear how today’s independent central banks should respond to these overtly political struggles. In 2021, when the Phillips Curve was asleep at the wheel, the growth in the money supply was flashing red. The unfortunate truth is that there are many answers to the Queen’s question this time round – but no single magic solution.

Persons: Elizabeth, Prince Andrew , Duke, York, Prince Philip , Duke of Edinburgh, Tom Nicholson, Queen Elizabeth, Ben Bernanke, don’t, Phillips, Isabella Weber, Guido Lorenzoni, Andrew Bailey, monetarism, Milton Friedman, Anna Schwartz, Winston Churchill, Bernanke, Peter Thal Larsen, Oliver Taslic, Thomas Shum 私, 「 Organizations: Westminster Abbey, REUTERS, Reuters, Bank of England, U.S . Federal, Phillips, University of Massachusetts Amherst, University of Chicago, MIT, United, 「 Reuters Locations: Westminster, London, Britain, British, Central, Ukraine, Paris, United States

[1/2] A view shows the entrance of the venue for the upcoming meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank, following last month's deadly earthquake, in Marrakech, Morocco October 1, 2023. Reuters GraphicsThe yield on the 30-year U.S. Treasury bond this week pierced 5% for the first time since 2007. Long-term U.S. yields have climbed roughly 1 percentage point in the past three months compared with a single quarter-percentage-point Fed rate hike during that period. Keeping the world's largest economy out of recession provides steadier demand for other countries' exports, as well as more certainty as Fed rate hikes hit a stopping point. The fallout depends on "how much further, and how quickly, bond yields rise," they said.

Persons: Abdelhak, China's, Goldman Sachs, Gene Tannuzzo, Tannuzzo, Karen Dynan, it's, Howard Schneider, Dan Burns, Paul Simao Organizations: International Monetary Fund, World Bank, REUTERS, Rights, U.S ., Treasuries, Reuters, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Columbia Threadneedle, Harvard University, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Capital Economics, Valley Bank, Thomson Locations: Marrakech, Morocco, U.S, Washington, California

TOKYO (AP) — Asian shares mostly rose in cautious trading Friday after Wall Street drifted to a quiet close on worries about a too-hot U.S. job market. A comprehensive report on the overall U.S. job market is due Friday, and economists expect it to show hiring slowed to a pace of 163,000 jobs added in September from 187,000 in August. Political Cartoons View All 1202 ImagesInvestors worry that too strong a U.S. job market could add to upward pressure on inflation. That’s why the Fed has raised its main interest rate to the highest level since 2001, to intentionally slow the job market. Stocks have struggled since the summer under the weight of soaring Treasury yields in the bond market, which undercut stock prices and crimp corporate profits.

Persons: Australia's, Seng, ”, Anderson Alves, acquiesce, Rubeela Farooqi, Lamb Weston, Brent Organizations: TOKYO, Nikkei, China, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Stocks, Federal Reserve, Automotive, Treasury, U.S Locations: Hong, China, Hong Kong, U.S, ActivTrades, Clorox

TOKYO (AP) — Global shares mostly rose Friday in cautious trading ahead of an update on the U.S. jobs market. U.S. futures and oil prices were little changed. “The sentiment of unease prevails as the market awaits the release of the U.S. employment report later today,” said Anderson Alves at ActivTrades. Market attention also remains on oil prices, which have fluctuated recently and will have major effects on how central banks act on interest rates. On Thursday, Wall Street drifted to a quiet close on worries over inflation and interest rates.

Persons: Germany's DAX, Australia's, Seng, ”, Anderson Alves, Stocks, acquiesce, Brent Organizations: TOKYO, — Global, CAC, Dow, Nikkei, China, Investors, Federal, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, U.S Locations: Tokyo, China, Hong, Hong Kong, U.S, ActivTrades

☆ Inflation is 'always going to be a risk' with the U.S. economy now fundamentally changed, ADP chief economist says
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-06 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Surveys suggest that despite cooling inflation and jobs gains, Americans remain deeply skeptical of the president's handling of the post-pandemic economy. Photographer: Al Drago/Bloomberg via Getty Images Al Drago | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesInflation is "always going to be a risk" in the U.S. due to structural changes in the labor market, according to Nela Richardson, chief economist at payroll processing firm ADP. Prior to that, interest rates had remained low for a decade as central banks around the world looked to stimulate their respective economies in the wake of the global financial crisis. "This was an economy built on very close to zero interest rates for 10 years of economic expansion, and that was OK because inflation was super low," she said. watch now"But now inflation has awakened, and if you look at demographic trends, labor shortages are not going away.

Persons: Al Drago, Nela Richardson, Richardson, It's Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, U.S . Federal Reserve, Market Committee, Dow Jones Locations: Ocean City , New Jersey, US, U.S

The drop in gasoline prices could benefit consumers and cool inflation. Before this week's drop, gasoline prices had posted a 7.4% jump in the third quarter, riding increases in crude oil futures after production cuts from Saudi Arabia, Russia and other OPEC+ members. U.S. wholesale gasoline prices are tumbling, with percentage drops per gallon on Wednesday between 6.9% and 10.8%. A flurry of weak economic data took more wind out of the market. Crude futures settled an eye-popping $5 a barrel lower on Wednesday, and fell another $1.66 on Thursday.

Persons: Bing Guan, JP Morgan, Tom Kloza, Kloza, Laura Sanicola, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Mobil, REUTERS, U.S . Energy, Administration, U.S ., Midwest, Oil Price Information Service, ADP, Oil, Thomson Locations: Beverly Boulevard, West Hollywood , California, U.S, Saudi Arabia, Russia, U.S . East Coast, East

☆ Undeterred by dollar's renewed strength, analysts see weakness ahead: Reuters poll
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-05 | by ( Hari Kishan | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Four thousand U.S. dollars are counted out by a banker counting currency at a bank in Westminster, Colorado November 3, 2009. Adam Cole, the chief currency strategist at RBC, says he is biased toward a stronger dollar but admits the prevailing foreign exchange view in markets remains a tough nut to crack. "If you look at consensus forecasts, the consensus has been dollar negative for five years now and it hasn't worked," Cole said. One notable outlier among major central banks is the Bank of Japan, which has made the yen one of the worst-performing major currencies this year, down over 13%. (For other stories from the October Reuters foreign exchange poll:)Reporting by Hari Kishan; Polling by Prerana Bhat, Purujit Arun, Pranoy Menon and Anant Chandak; Editing by Ross Finley and Paul SimaoOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Rick Wilking, Adam Cole, hasn't, Cole, Jane Foley, Rabobank's Foley, Hari Kishan, Prerana Bhat, Purujit Arun, Pranoy Menon, Anant Chandak, Ross Finley, Paul Simao Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, greenback, Treasury, RBC, U.S, Futures, Bank of Japan, Rabobank, Reuters, Central Bank, Thomson Locations: Westminster , Colorado, U.S

TOKYO (AP) — Asian shares advanced Thursday after a plunge in oil prices aided a recovery on Wall Street. Market sentiment was helped by a $5 decline in oil prices on Wednesday, although prices recovered slightly in Asian trading. Oil prices fell after the Energy Information Administration reported a 4.6 million barrel increase in commercial petroleum products. Stocks have struggled since the summer under the weight of soaring Treasury yields in the bond market. Treasury yields have correspondingly snapped higher as traders accept a new normal for markets of high rates for longer.

Persons: Sydney's, Kospi, Brent, that's, Kevin McCarthy Organizations: TOKYO, Trading, Nikkei, Energy Information Administration, Dow, Nasdaq, Stocks, Treasury, Federal Reserve, U.S, Representatives, Big Tech, Microsoft, U.S . Locations: Tokyo, Sydney, Hong Kong, Shanghai, South, U.S

Oct 6 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. A batch of data from Japan includes household spending and consumption figures, leading indicators, and the latest foreign exchange reserves. But Bank of Japan money market data indicates that the yen's jump on Tuesday was not the product of yen-buying intervention. The big policy event in Asia will be the Reserve Bank of India's interest rate decision, and more importantly, its guidance. The rupee goes into the meeting trading at 83.00 per dollar, right down at August's record low 83.45 per dollar.

Persons: Jamie McGeever, payrolls Organizations: Bank, Reserve Bank, U.S, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Japan, Asia, U.S, India

☆ Ray Dalio explains why the surging Treasury yields crushing stocks still have further to run — and details how investors should approach the AI trade
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-05 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Ray Dalio says the primary source of pain for stocks is going to get worse before it improves. Surging Treasury yields have been a major headwind for equities, which have seen their appeal dented by the ever-rising risk-free return offered to bond investors. "We sit at a moment in those bonds that it would seem like something like a 5% rate," Dalio said. That means high yields are bad news for economic growth, he noted. As for AI, Dalio sees a "super huge" impact, although he's wary of a speculative bubble former.

Persons: Ray Dalio, Dalio, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Treasury, Greenwich Economic, Federal Locations: Greenwich, Central

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