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JPMorgan, the biggest U.S. lender by assets, reported a first-quarter profit that beat estimates with interest income offseting weakness in dealmaking. PNC shares were last down 1.9% while Zions was off 3.3% and Comerica Inc (CMA.N) shares fell 3.0%. First Republic shares fell 1.5%. Citi shares rose 4.2% and Bank of America was up 3.0% as their investors appeared to be encouraged by JPM's news. Morgan Stanley shares rose 0.9% while Goldman shares were up 1.1%.

BlackRock Inc's (BLK.N) quarterly profit also beat analysts' estimates as investors continued to pour money in the world's largest asset manager's various funds. The S&P 500 banks index (.SPXBK) has lagged the broader S&P 500 (.SPX) this year with a 13% decline, while the KBW Regional Banking index (.KRX) has already lost 20% in its worst performance since 2009. Bank stocks lag S&P 500 this yearThe S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial (.DJI) closed at almost two-month highs on Thursday as economic data showed cooling inflation and a loosening labor market, fueling optimism that the Fed could be nearing the end of its aggressive interest rate-hike cycle. Among other big-ticket earnings, healthcare conglomerate UnitedHealth Group Inc (UNH.N) beat estimates for quarterly profit and raised its annual forecast, pushing its shares up 0.7%. ET, Dow e-minis were down 9 points, or 0.03%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 4 points, or 0.10%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 68.75 points, or 0.52%.

☆ BlackRock first-quarter profit beats on robust inflows
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

Net inflows for the first quarter were at $110 billion, compared with $86 billion a year earlier. "I believe today's crisis of confidence in the regional banking sector will further accelerate capital markets growth, and BlackRock will be a central player," BlackRock Chief Executive Larry Fink said. BlackRock, which makes most of its money from fees charged for investment advisory and administration services, reported an adjusted profit of $7.93 per share. Analysts had estimated a profit of $7.76 per share, according to Refinitiv IBES data. Reporting by Jaiveer Singh Shekhawat in Bengaluru and Davide Barbuscia in New York; Editing by Shounak DasguptaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Take Five: How bad is it?
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

China and Britain release key economic data and officials from the Group of Seven nations talk climate goals. 1/ EARNINGS RECESSIONU.S. earnings season goes up a gear and the outlook is gloomy due to the regional banking crisis and the most aggressive monetary policy tightening in decades. Analysts expect Q1 S&P 500 earnings to fall 5.2% from the year-ago period, Refinitiv I/B/E/S data as of April 7 showed. In a sign of which way the authorities want lending rates to head, smaller regional banks have already cut deposit rates. China GDP vs 1-year MLF rate4/ NO ALARMS, NO SURPRISESIt's a big week for UK data, with February jobs figures on Tuesday and March inflation numbers Wednesday.

☆ The American consumer has bad news for the economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-14 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

That’s why Wall Street is already fretting over Friday’s retail sales report, which is expected to show that the mighty American consumer is pulling back. Economists forecast that retail sales fell 0.4% in March from the month before. But Goldman Sachs and Bank of America analysts say core sales — that’s without autos, gasoline, and building materials — slowed by about 1%. A taxing problem: Still, the health of the American consumer is still relatively strong, the BofA analysts said. A one-bedroom apartment had a median rent of $4,150, up 9.6% from last year, while a two-bedroom apartment had a median rent of $5,680, up 18.3% from a year ago.

☆ JPMorgan Chase is set to report first-quarter earnings – here’s what the Street expects
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-14 | by ( Hugh Son | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

JPMorgan Chase is scheduled to report first-quarter earnings before the opening bell Friday. Here's what Wall Street expects:Earnings: $3.41 per share, 29.7% higher than a year earlier, according to Refinitiv. For instance, JPMorgan likely benefited from an influx of deposits after Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank experienced fatal bank runs. That's because smaller banks faced pressure last month as customers sought the perceived safety of megabanks including JPMorgan and Bank of America . JPMorgan is expected to post a $2.27 billion provision for credit losses, according to the StreetAccount estimate.

The S&P 500 banks index (.SPXBK) has lagged the broader S&P 500 (.SPX) this year with a 13% decline, while the KBW Regional Banking index (.KRX) has already lost 20% in its worst performance since 2009. "The retail sales are kind of a disappointment," said Robert Pavlik, senior portfolio manager at Dakota Wealth. Traders stuck to bets the U.S. central bank will raise its benchmark rate in May by another 25 basis points after the retail sales data. Among other big-ticket earnings, healthcare conglomerate UnitedHealth Group Inc (UNH.N) beat estimates for quarterly profit and raised its annual forecast, pushing its shares up 0.4%. BlackRock Inc's (BLK.N) quarterly profit also beat analysts' estimates as investors continued to pour money in the world's largest asset manager's various funds.

The S&P 500 banks index (.SPXBK) surged 3.3% to a one-month high, while the KBW Regional Banking index (.KRX) rose 0.8%. Bank stocks lag S&P 500 this yearDampening the mood, however, data showed retail sales fell more than expected in March as consumers cut back on purchases of motor vehicles and other big-ticket items, raising fears of an economic slowdown. "The retail sales are kind of a disappointment," said Robert Pavlik, senior portfolio manager at Dakota Wealth. Following Friday's retail sales data, traders stuck to bets the U.S. central bank will raise rates by another 25 basis points in May. The S&P index recorded six new 52-week highs and no new low, while the Nasdaq recorded 14 new highs and 25 new lows.

☆ Marketmind: Banks to test soft landing thesis
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike DolanWorld markets have surged this week on renewed hopes of disinflation, peak interest rates and a soft economic landing - and earnings from Wall Street's biggest banks now test the thesis. Markets will be most focussed on bank guidance on how much the March bank failure will crimp lending going forward. Next month's expected interest rate rise from the Federal Reserve is now expected to be the last and futures see up to 70 basis points of cuts from that point to year-end. And with China's booming trade numbers for last month also suggesting the world economy at large will comfortably skirt recession this year, "soft landing" hopes are back in vogue. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

☆ Jamie Dimon issues warning on rates: 'It will undress problems in the economy’
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-14 | by ( Hugh Son | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Investors and businesses should plan for interest rates to remain higher for longer than currently expected by the market, according to JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon. The world saw what happened last month when higher rates and a sudden deposit run exposed bad management at Silicon Valley Bank. "People need to be prepared for the potential of higher rates for longer," Dimon said on the call. "If and when that happens, it will undress problems in the economy for those who are too exposed to floating rates, for those who are too exposed to refi risk," he said, referring to loans that reset at market rates. Higher rates jammed up swaths of the economy this year, from regional bankers who had bet on low rates to consumers who can no longer afford mortgages or credit card debt.

A Labor Department report showed producer prices rose 2.7% in March, on a year-over-year basis, below economists' estimates of a 3% rise. The dollar and Treasury yields slid as investors mostly stuck to expectations of the 25-bps hike after Thursday's data. Analysts expect S&P 500 companies to record a profit decline of 5.2% in the first quarter, as per Refinitiv IBES data, in what could be their worst showing since the third quarter of 2020. Financial companies that are part of the S&P 500 are expected to report a profit growth of 4.3% in the first quarter. ET, Dow e-minis were up 62 points, or 0.18%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 12.5 points, or 0.30%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 60.75 points, or 0.47%.

Following a selloff in March due to the banking crisis, the benchmark S&P 500 (.SPX) has traded in tight ranges this month as investors assessed the path for U.S. interest rates following strong jobs data and signs of cooling inflation. ET (1230 GMT) is expected to show producer prices barely rose in March on a month-on-month basis, following a 0.1% contraction in February. Meanwhile, another set of data is also expected to show weekly jobless claims rose 232,000 in the week ended April 8, higher than the 228,000 claims filed a week earlier. Financial companies that are part of the S&P 500 are expected to report a profit growth of 4.3% in the first quarter. ET, Dow e-minis were down 4 points, or 0.01%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 3.75 points, or 0.09%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 30.5 points, or 0.24%.

☆ Investors are jumping back into bank ETFs ahead of earnings season
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-13 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Some of the biggest exchange traded funds focused on banks and other financial stocks are seeing solid interest from investors as the failures of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank recede in the rearview mirror. The SPDR Regional Bank ETF (KRE) , which has had volatile but still net positive flows since the SVB collapse, scooped up another $241 million over the past week. The new inflows come just ahead of earnings season for the banks. Many analysts expect the reports to show that depositors moved their cash from small regional banks and parked it at larger banks that are perceived to be safer. KBWB YTD mountain Bank ETFs are seeing interest but not yet rebounding.

☆ Warren Buffett's trip to Tokyo is seen as a 'stamp of approval' for investing in Japan
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-13 | by ( Jihye Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Berkshire Hathaway's stakes in all five trading houses is now 7.4%. Buffett's trip is a "stamp of approval" — especially for domestic investors in Japan, according to Monex Group's Jesper Koll. He emphasized Buffett's trip has the potential to boost confidence among Japanese investors as the nation continues to grapple with low consumption. "The real focus is confidence for Japanese investors, and that's where Warren Buffett's visit was very, very important," Koll said. The trading houses have helped grow the Japanese economy and contributed to the globalization of its business.

☆ Here's how one investor is trading Friday's bank earnings: Some favorite picks and an ETF
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-13 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Longtime investor and trader Jim Lebenthal said he's favoring big banks over small lenders heading into the earnings season. "The big banks should have been beneficiaries of what went on last month with Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank, meaning they got deposit inflows from the smaller banks," Lebenthal said. "I think we should favor the big banks over the smaller banks just because of their overall strength." Are there further deposit outflows not just from small banks to big banks, but from all banks to money market funds?" The investor called JPMorgan the "creme de la creme" in the banking system and said he owns Citigroup as a value and turnaround play.

As another earnings season picks up, Bank of America says investors may find upside opportunities in certain underowned stocks that could beat expectations. The SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF has tumbled 27.1% so far this year. Medical device maker Resmed also made the list, with a z-score of 0.8 and relative weight value of 0.1. The stock's relative weight in fund holdings versus the broad market index is 0.1. The Bermuda-based insurance group's relative weight in active fund holdings, versus the S & P 500, is 0.6.

☆ Morgan Stanley's Slimmon names 'attractively priced' stocks to beat the economic uncertainty
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-13 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Morgan Stanley's Andrew Slimmon expects an economic slowdown in the U.S. will happen later than many have predicted. And I think that's when we will hit a slowdown and I suspect it's coming later than what many people have been predicting," said the senior portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley Investment Management. Here's what investors can buy and avoid in the face of that uncertainty, according to Slimmon. Be wary of 'very large' stocks He said he would be particularly cautious on "very large" stocks right now, referring to FAANG — Facebook (now Meta ), Amazon , Apple , Netflix and Google (now Alphabet ). "It's not a cheap stock, but to me, that's a defensive stock that you want to own in this environment as well."

☆ Morning Bid: Stocks defy negativity in CPI vigil
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-12 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The Federal Reserve's interest rate stance hinges on incoming data such as Wednesday's consumer price report, but fears of recession remain just that. And so investors return to scrutinising the Fed to see if the central bank forces the recession by tightening ever further. With Fed policy meeting minutes due later in the day, the runes of what must have been a tense gathering of officials in the middle of the regional banking shock will be eyed closely. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari reckoned recession was still a risk but inflation wouldn't get back close to the 2% target until next year. Hong Kong stocks (.HSI) underperformed overnight - with geopolitical tensions high surrounding Taiwan and Chinese military operations around the island.

☆ Premarket stocks: Main Street investors bet on comeback for regional banks
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-12 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

New York CNN —Forget the banking crisis — Main Street’s retail investors have barreled into embattled bank stocks. At the same time, he said, institutional investors, the so-called “smart money,” have been trading out of volatile regional bank stocks. That could mean bad news for those who are betting they’ll see big returns on regional bank stocks. This is a risky move for retail investors, said Iachini, and a speculative play. We’re not seeing a meaningful recovery, at least yet, for regional bank stocks, he said.

As Wall Street gears up for another earnings season, analysts see some stocks better positioned than others for gains. Against this backdrop, CNBC Pro used FactSet data to screen for stocks that Wall Street analysts think have the largest potential upside heading into a new earnings season. And more than half of analysts covering Booking Holdings still rate it a strong buy or buy, according to Refinitiv data. BKNG YTD mountain Shares of Booking Holdings Another stock expected to outperform during earnings season is Paccar . Salesforce's earnings per share are estimated to climb by 24% over the next six months.

Charles Schwab Corp (SCHW.N) gained 3.3% after the financial broker on Thursday disclosed upbeat new client assets inflow in March. Pioneer Natural Resources Co (PXD.N) jumped 5.7% after a report that Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM.N) held preliminary talks with the company about a possible acquisition of the shale oil producer. Micron Technology Inc (MU.O) and Western Digital Corp (WDC.O) surged 7.9% and 8.9%, respectively, on Samsung Electronics Co Ltd's (005930.KS) plans to cut chip production. Declining issues outnumbered advancers for a 1.07-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and a 1.16-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P index recorded one new 52-week high and no new low, while the Nasdaq recorded 30 new highs and 108 new lows.

"One has to step back and look at a bigger picture than just these week-to-week market battles over data. Several economic indicators last week, including weak private payrolls and job openings data, had initially raised hopes of a pause to the market-punishing rate hikes amid the recent banking sector turmoil. Declining issues outnumbered advancers for a 1.48-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and 1.74-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P index recorded one new 52-week high and no new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 13 new highs and 57 new lows. Reporting by Sruthi Shankar and Ankika Biswas in Bengaluru; Additional reporting by Medha Singh; Editing by Shounak Dasgupta and Arun KoyyurOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Earnings per share for the six biggest U.S. banks are expected to be down about 10% from a year earlier, analyst estimates from Refinitiv I/B/E/S show. The bank is expected to report a 30% rise in EPS, buoyed by an almost 36% increase in net interest income, according the Refinitiv I/B/E/S estimates and Reuters calculations. "We expect a challenging earnings season for the banks," said David Chiaverini, banking analyst at Wedbush Securities, in a note. He said bank managements will become more defensive, implementing liquidity measures that could lead to downward revisions for net interest income. Net interest income for the six biggest U.S. banks are expected to be up about 30% from a year earlier, according to analyst estimates from Refinitiv I/B/E/S.

☆ UBS downgrades this regional bank, says 'structural uncertainties' will pressure the stock
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-10 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

UBS thinks the recent banking crisis has left U.S. Bancorp with limited upside. UBS noted that "structural uncertainties" remain for the company which are more of a headwind as opposed to the macro issues stemming from the regional banking crisis. USB RF YTD mountain UBS downgraded U.S. Bankcorp on Monday, citing "structural uncertainties" afflicting the company after a broader banking liquidity crisis last month. (Before the liquidity crisis.) Shares of U.S Bancorp have pulled back 18% year to date, stemming largely from a broader liquidity crisis spurred from the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank last month .

☆ Schwab says it raked in $53 billion in client assets in March as it looks to soothe investors rattled by banking turmoil
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-07 | by ( Carla Mozée | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Charles Schwab said Friday it logged the second-highest March inflow from new client assets, at more than $53 billion. Schwab's stock last month plunged as clients worried about unrealized losses in its bond portfolio. The stock was hit alongside regional banks on investor concerns about huge unrealized losses in their bond portfolios. Schwab has banking as well as well as brokerage operations. Charles Schwab at the end of 2022 had $27.9 billion in unrealized losses across its held-to-maturity and available-for-sale bond portfolios, according to its annual 10-K filing.

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