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Green energy’s tailwinds blow the other way
  + stars: | 2023-09-22 | by ( Peter Thal Larsen | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +7 min
Falling costs, cheap capital and supportive politicians helped propel a headlong rush into renewable power. As relations with China deteriorate, the United States and Europe are increasingly concerned about the country’s grip on parts of the green energy supply chain. In recent roundtable discussions moderated by Breakingviews on both sides of the Atlantic, participants expressed optimism about the momentum of investment in green energy. The IRA has unleashed a green energy boom. The world can ill afford to relax its embrace of green power.
Persons: Rishi Sunak, , Joe Biden’s, Jared Cohen, Goldman Sachs, Breakingviews, carmaker Ford, Rishi Sunak’s, Pennsylvania’s Penn, George Hay, Sharon Lam, Aditya Sriwatsav Organizations: Britain's, Downing, Reuters, Global, International Energy Agency, International Renewable Energy Agency, Energy, Commission, Applied Innovation, Goldman, Amperex Technology, Companies, British, MIT’s Center for Energy, Environmental, Research, University, Pennsylvania’s, Thomson Locations: London, Ukraine, U.S, China, United States, Europe, People’s Republic, Vietnam, Mexico
I came to New York from Japan with my family to attend high school. The building in the movie is called the Bramford, but the exteriors, famously, were those of the Dakota on the Upper West Side. What struck me about the movie’s apartments was their aspect of interiority — the way they seemed to harbor secrets. I also remember their small, framed views of high-rise New York City buildings. Even though the film is, of course, a horror story and the building turns out to be cursed, “Rosemary’s Baby” only made me more excited about living in New York.
Persons: , Ira Levin, Roman Polanski Locations: New York, Japan, Dakota, New York City
"Republicans for climate change action are gold," said Bill Gates, the billionaire climate philanthropist and investor, on Thursday at the Climate Forward event in New York City. The number of Republicans convinced that responding to climate change is a priority has "got to be a number that we manage to increase over time," Gates said. That's because climate change mitigation and adaptation will require sustained investment and support from the public and private sector, Gates said. Almost eight in ten Democrats, 78%, consider climate change a major threat, up from 58% ten years ago. Only 23% of Republicans consider climate change a major threat, almost equivalent to the 22% of Republicans who considered climate change a major threat a decade ago.
Persons: Bill Gates, Melinda Gates, Gates, It's, António Guterres Organizations: Breakthrough Energy, Melinda Gates Foundation, The New York, Climate, The Times Center, Pew Research, Washington, Washington D.C, United, United Nations Locations: New York City, United States, Gates, Paris
Here's everything you need to about the up-and-coming changes for 401(k) catch-up contributions. 401(k) catch-up contributions in 2026: 4 things you should know now1. But starting in 2026, older workers earning over $145,000 annually will no longer be able to deposit catch-up contributions into a traditional 401(k) plan. Rather than collecting the immediate tax benefit of a traditional 401(k) contribution, catch-up contributions will be taxed as Roth contributions. You have until 2026 to prepareThe new 401(k) catch-up rules were originally planned to be set into motion on January 1, 2024.
Persons: You'll, Roth, Roths, Eric Kirste, he's, you'll, It's, we've, Read, Kirste, Robinhood Organizations: Workers, IRS, Employers, Financial
By Andrew HayleyBEIJING (Reuters) - U.S. incentives to boost consumption of more environmentally friendly fuel has created a new market for used Chinese cooking oil, worth almost $390 million in the last 12 months and growing rapidly, China's customs data shows. In the first eight months of 2023, Chinese exports of used cooking oil (UCO) to the U.S. totalled almost 384,000 metric tons, customs data shows. Used cooking oil can be refined into fuels such as biodiesel and SAF, which can be blended with conventional fuels to reduce carbon emissions. State-run Chinese oil majors Sinopec and PetroChina, which are among those shipping UCO cargoes to the U.S., according to Kpler, did not respond to requests for comment. Used cooking oil can be one-third the price of fresh vegetable oil, and has lower carbon intensity than non-waste feedstocks such as palm or canola oil.
Persons: Andrew Hayley BEIJING, Biden, Kpler, Sophie Byron, Global's Byron, Andrew Hayley, Stephanie Kelly, Christian Schmollinger Organizations: U.S, SAF, P, Argonne National Laboratory, U.S . Department of Agriculture, Exports, European Commission, European Union Locations: China, U.S, California, Argonne, U.S . China, Europe, Germany
Some believe a tight oil market and resilient U.S. growth will keep energy stocks rising for the rest of 2023. Bullish investors argue that energy stocks are still cheap by historical standards - and far less richly valued than other areas of the market. The energy sector currently trades at a forward price to earnings ratio of 12.2, well below its historical median forward P/E of 15.3, according to LSEG Datastream. Parts of the market appear skeptical energy stocks have much further to run. "That should result in a ... smoother ride for energy stocks than we’ve been accustomed to."
Persons: Bing Guan, LSEG, Charles Lemonides, Baker Hughes, Savita Subramanian, Brent, Bjarne Schieldrop, Rodney Clayton, we’ve, David Randall, Ira Iosebashvili, Marguerita Choy Organizations: Exxon, Mobil, REUTERS, Energy, West Texas, Federal, drillers, U.S . Energy, Administration, Global, Citi, Brent, SEB Research, Macquarie, Duff, Phelps Investment Management, Thomson Locations: Beaumont , Texas, U.S, Saudi Arabia, Russia, China
The U.S. central bank left interest rates unchanged on Wednesday, in line with market expectations. Broadly speaking, higher rates for longer could be an unwelcome turn of events for stocks and bonds. The S&P 500 lost 0.94% on Wednesday, while the yield on two-year Treasuries, which reflect interest rate expectations, hit 17-year highs. Futures tied to the Fed’s policy rate late Wednesday showed traders were betting the central bank would ease monetary policy by a total of nearly 60 basis points next year, bringing interest rates to about 4.8%. Signs of wobbling growth could bolster the case for the central bank to cut rates far sooner than it had projected.
Persons: Sarah Silbiger, Josh Jamner, Gennadiy Goldberg, Jerome Powell, , David Norris, John Madziyire, , Norris, Davide Barbuscia, David Randall, Herbert Lash, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Stephen Coates Organizations: Eccles Federal Reserve, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, Federal, U.S, Treasury, U.S ., Clearbridge Investments, TD Securities USA, TwentyFour Asset Management, Thomson Locations: Washington ,, U.S
Climate Alliance and the Biden administration are expected to announce a pledge Thursday to quadruple the number of heat pumps in U.S. homes by 2030, from 4.7 million to 20 million. Heat pumps use little electricity, yet are able to heat and cool buildings. Buildings account for more than 30% of global greenhouse gas emissions. The pledge on heat pumps is a collection of state initiatives to work toward the goal of ramping down emissions to zero by 2050. Alliance governors have pledged to collectively reduce their greenhouse gas emissions by at least 26% by 2025 and at least 50% by 2030, compared to 2005 emission levels.
Persons: Biden, Washington Governor Jay Inslee, Stephen Porder, Amanda Smith, we've, Janet Mills, Ali Zaidi Zaidi, Kathy Hochul, Alexandra Rempel Organizations: U.S . Climate Alliance, Washington Governor, Brown University, U.S, Heat, International Energy Agency, New, University of Oregon Locations: Brooklyn, New York City, U.S, Pennsylvania, Providence , Rhode Island, Maine, Washington , New York, California, Paris
[1/2] Options floor brokers work on the floor of the NYSE American, formerly known as the American Stock Exchange (AMEX), at New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 11, 2023. On Wednesday, the S&P 500 (.SPX) dropped to 4,401.38, near a a four-week low, putting the index on the verge of setting off a deluge of "mechanical selling", or stock selling by options dealers and certain trend-following investors, including commodity trading advisors (CTAs), Nomura’s McElligott said. The selloff also pushed the Cboe Volatility Index (.VIX) - an options-based gauge of expected stock market gyrations - to its highest in nearly four weeks. A drop below the 4,409 level for the S&P 500 triggers selling by CTAs with an estimated $12.3 billion of stock futures up for sale in aggregate, McElligott estimates. If investors react to the latest drop in the market by selling volatility or by taking profits on existing hedges it could help stifle the selling pressure on the market, he said.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Nomura, Charlie McElligott, Nomura’s McElligott, McElligott, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Our Organizations: NYSE, American Stock Exchange, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Thomson, & $ Locations: New York City, U.S, Charlie McElligott .
I chose to be a teacher, but despite having chosen a low-paying career field and not working full-time consistently since graduating from college, I'm on track to retire early. This is a path that is open to more people than many realize, particularly if they start investing early and continue to invest consistently throughout their careers. With life generally becoming more expensive, many people who are at retirement age today were not aware of how much they would need to retire comfortably when they started their retirement planning. Seeing this firsthand has motivated me to do what I can to ensure that I'll have the opportunity to retire when I'm ready. Retiring at 55 with $2 million would allow me to withdraw over $5,000 a month until I'm 100.
Persons: I'm, Read, Roth, I've, doesn't, Get, Organizations: Roth IRA Locations: Maldives
"Get there early to ensure you catch the sunrise" on Enphase Energy , said Seaport Research Partners. Enphase shares have tumbled more than 53% in 2023 amid a difficult year for the residential solar energy market in the U.S. California, which is the largest market for U.S. residential solar installers, also instituted a policy change that reduced a subsidy for solar panel owners for sending excess power into the grid — further impacting demand. However, Curran thinks the U.S. residential market could show an "incipient recovery" by the end of the second quarter next year. "By next June, we believe three positive factors will converge to form a rebound in U.S. home rooftop solar demand," said Curran.
Persons: Tom Curran, Curran, Enphase, ENPH, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Enphase Energy, Seaport Research Partners, U.S, 2H24 Locations: California, U.S, Europe, France, Benelux, Germany
The nVIDIA booth is shown at the E3 2017 Electronic Entertainment Expo in Los Angeles, California, U.S. June 13, 2017. Chip stocks soared to start the year, with the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index (.SOX) rising over 50% through July. With "some of the names that really have catapulted to the top, now you are starting to question valuations,” Mahn said. Of course, many chip stocks are sitting on substantial gains for the year and this month may only be a temporary setback. “I do believe there are opportunities in semiconductor stocks going forward," Mahn said.
Persons: Mike Blake, , Lip, LSEG Datastream, Kevin Mahn, ” Mahn, Taiwan's, chipmaker, Mahn, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Andrea Ricci Organizations: nVIDIA, REUTERS, Nvidia, Philadelphia, Semiconductor, Wealth Management, Hennion, Walsh Asset Management, Reuters, Federal Reserve, Lam Research, Applied, KLA Corp, Arm Holdings, Devices, Broadcom, Thomson Locations: Los Angeles , California, U.S, United States, China, Washington
Climate Alliance and the Biden administration are expected to announce a pledge Thursday to quadruple the number of heat pumps in U.S. homes by 2030, from 4.7 million to 20 million. Heat pumps use little electricity, yet are able to heat and cool buildings. Buildings account for more than 30% of global greenhouse gas emissions. The pledge on heat pumps is a collection of state initiatives to work toward the goal of ramping down emissions to zero by 2050. Alliance governors have pledged to collectively reduce their greenhouse gas emissions by at least 26% by 2025 and at least 50% by 2030, compared to 2005 emission levels.
Persons: Biden, Jay Inslee, Stephen Porder, , Amanda Smith, we’ve, Janet Mills, , Ali Zaidi Zaidi, Kathy Hochul, Alexandra Rempel Organizations: U.S . Climate Alliance, Washington, Brown University, U.S, Heat, International Energy Agency, , New, University of Oregon, AP Locations: U.S, Pennsylvania, Providence , Rhode Island, Maine, Washington , New York, California, Paris
Girls and young women want to be homeowners by the time they're 30 — a higher priority even than getting married or earning a lot of money. About half, 52%, of young women ages 7 to 21 want a house by 30, the most of any goal, according to Girlguiding's Girls' Attitude Survey 2023 . To compare, 48% want to be married by age 30, and 39% said it's a goal to earn a lot of money. The organization polled 2,614 girls and young women in the U.K. between the ages of 7 and 21 earlier this year. Lenders look at your debt-to-income ratio to figure out how much mortgage debt you can take on.
Persons: Fannie Mae, it's, Melissa Cohn, William Raveis, Kamila Elliott, Cohn, Jessica Lautz, Elliott, Roth, Lazetta Rainey Braxton, Braxton Organizations: Fannie, William Raveis Mortgage, Federal Reserve, Wealth Partners, National Association of Realtors, CNBC, Partners, IRA, CNBC FA Council, CNBC FA Locations: New York, Atlanta
Smith said the committee is concerned CATL "may be trying to negotiate other agreements like the agreement with Ford." Republicans in Congress have been probing Ford Motor's (F.N) planned $3.5 billion investment to build a battery plant in Michigan using technology from CATL, the world's largest battery maker. The question is what precisely constitutes a "foreign entity of concern", and so far no foreign battery supplier has been labeled as such. Tesla, CATL and Nissan did not immediately respond to requests for comment. In July, Smith and Mike Gallagher, Republican chair of the Select Committee on China, demanded Ford answer questions about the CATL deal.
Persons: Florence, Tesla, Jason Smith, Elon Musk, Smith, Ford, Musk, Mike Gallagher, Janet Yellen, David Shepardson, Stephen Coates, Himani Organizations: Fair for Trade, Services, REUTERS, Rights, Republican, Ford, Reuters, Republicans, Nissan, American, U.S . Treasury, Treasury, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, Michigan, CATL, United States, America
Current funding for most U.S. government programs except for the military and Social Security payments expires on Sept. 30. The government would continue to make payments on Treasury bonds and other forms of debt during a shutdown. A government shutdown would prevent the collection and release of key market data including gross domestic product, unemployment figures and inflation data, clouding the ability of central bankers to gauge the strength of the economy, Cantrill said. "The Fed – who has emphasized how data-dependent it currently is – would be flying blind" into the central bank's policy meeting in November, she said. Economists at Capital Economists, meanwhile, said in a note on Monday that the risk of a shutdown is rising but said they expect a quick resolution.
Persons: Kevin Wurm, PIMCO, Libby Cantrill, Goldman Sachs, Kevin McCarthy, Cantrill, There's, David Randall, Ira Iosebashvili, Matthew Lewis Organizations: Capitol, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Republicans, Social, Goldman, . House, Capital Economists, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, shutdowns, New York, London
That means a saver would generally rarely if ever pay tax on their HSA money, unlike retirement accounts such as a pre-tax or Roth IRA. Because health-care costs are "inevitable" in old age, the HSA functions like "an off-label account for retirement preparation," Vargas said. Anyone who can afford to do so should try to pay out of pocket for current health costs and allow HSA investments to grow, advisors say. The IRS counts qualified medical expenses as those generally eligible for the medical and dental expenses tax deduction. For example, if a saver has credit-card debt, paying that down would take priority over funding an HSA, McClanahan said.
Persons: Carolyn McClanahan, Vargas, Roth, HSAs, they'd, Luis Alvarez, McClanahan, Sabino Vargas Organizations: Maskot, Getty, Roth IRA, IRS, Digitalvision, Workers, Planning Partners, IRA, Vanguard Locations: Jacksonville , Florida
Biden's economic agenda has meant real changes for many Americans, like clean water and internet access. That $1 million came from President Joe Biden's $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan , which was passed in 2021 to revitalize the economy and replenish Americans' wallets. But for the target groups seeing their everyday lives changed by Bidenomics funding, it can make a world of difference. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe hidden wins from BidenomicsWith 2024 looming, and Americans dreary on the economy, Bidenomics is still an elusive beast. Americans who are not part of targeted populations receiving these grants are left to contend with sky-high prices on their own.
Persons: Bradley Bonds, Bonds, Joe Biden's, Bidenomics, Biden, it's, Alice Stewart, It's, Stewart, Gallup, Rose Carter, Carter, Jodi Cutaiar, , there's, Max Berger, Elizabeth Warren's, Berger Organizations: Service, Fire, Congressional, CNN, Bidenomics, Alliance for Congregational, Rescue Plan, Biden, American, Companies, Justice Democrats, Republican Locations: Wall, Silicon, South Carolina, Middle America, Carolina, Phoenix, Pennsylvania, Ohio
Fed unlikely to raise rates in November, says Goldman Sachs
  + stars: | 2023-09-16 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
The exterior of the Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building is seen in Washington, D.C., U.S., June 14, 2022. REUTERS/Sarah Silbiger/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSept 16 (Reuters) - The Federal Reserve is unlikely to raise interest rates at its Oct. 31-Nov. 1 meeting, Goldman Sachs strategists wrote on Saturday, while also forecasting the U.S. central bank would lift its economic growth projections when policymakers gather next week. The odds for the policy rate, which is currently in the 5.25%-5.50% range, staying unchanged at the Oct. 31-Nov. 1 gathering stood at roughly 72% on Saturday, CME's data showed. Next year could see "gradual" rate cuts if inflation continues to cool, Goldman's strategists added. They also said the central bank could raise its estimates for 2023 U.S. growth to 2.1% from 1%, when policymakers update their economic projections on Wednesday, reflecting the economy's resilience.
Persons: Sarah Silbiger, Goldman Sachs, Janus Henderson, Ira Iosebashvili, Paul Simao Organizations: Eccles Federal Reserve, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, Federal, Morgan Asset Management, Janus Henderson Investors, Thomson Locations: Washington ,
The New York Times Audio app is home to journalism and storytelling and provides news, depth and serendipity. It is available to Times news subscribers on iOS. If you haven’t already, download the app here and sign up for our weekly newsletter. Our new audio app is home to “This American Life,” the award-winning program hosted by Ira Glass. The app includes a “Best of This American Life” section with some of our favorite bite-size clips, so you can enjoy the show even if you don’t have a lot of time.
Persons: Ira Glass, we’ve Organizations: New York Times
The 2030 target, unveiled shortly after Biden took office, is central to Biden's broader plan to decarbonize the U.S. economy by 2050. The energy research firm expects 21 GW of offshore wind along U.S. shores in 2030, breaking 30 GW by 2032. Still, offshore wind developers including Orsted have said the IRA’s subsidies are insufficient for projects to thrive in the current environment, and are lobbying the administration for additional concessions. The nation currently has just two pilot-scale offshore wind farms capable of producing 42 megawatts of electricity. Stephanie McClellan, executive director of the offshore wind advocacy group Turn Forward, said making sure the first fleet of projects succeeds was more important than a particular timeline.
Persons: Brian Snyder, Joe Biden’s, Biden, Kris Ohleth, It's, Samantha Woodworth, Wood Mackenzie, Michael Brown, France's, it's, Kelly Penot, Rousseau, Orsted, Michael Kikukawa, Samah Shaiq, Shaiq, Doreen Harris, NYSERDA, Elizabeth Mahony, Stephanie McClellan, Nichola Groom, David Gregorio Our Organizations: REUTERS, BP, Shell, Companies, Developers, Ocean Winds, Reuters, Biden, U.S . Department of Energy, DOE, New York State Energy Research, Development Authority, New York State Department of Public Service, Equinor, Orsted . Massachusetts Department of Energy, Office of Energy, Environmental Affairs, New, New Jersey Board of Public Utilities, Thomson Locations: Rhode, U.S, North American, Massachusetts, Gulf of Mexico, Europe, Asia, China, United Kingdom, New Jersey, New York, Orsted .
"The market will probably cheer it a bit if it is the end of the Fed rate hike cycle," said Brent Schutte, chief investment officer at Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Company. Traders see a roughly two-out-of three chance of the Fed leaving rates unchanged in November, CME's data showed. Odds for December show about a 60% chance rates of rates staying at current levels. Analysts at Oxford Economics forecast further downside for global earnings, noting that stocks "have typically delivered far weaker returns following the final Fed rate hike when it has coincided with an EPS downturn." "But I'm not sure how sustainable it would be given where stocks are valued relative to bonds already."
Persons: Brendan McDermid, CFRA, Brent Schutte, Schutte, Jerome Powell, Sam Stovall, LSEG Datastream, Jack Ablin, I'm, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Richard Chang Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Company, Fed, Oxford Economics, Equity, Treasury, Cresset, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Oxford
REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Sept 15 (Reuters) - Newly publicly traded company Arm Holdings is poised to be added to popular indexes such as the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100, although inclusion in the S&P 500 is unlikely, analysts said. Shares of the British chip designer closed up 24.7% in their Nasdaq debut on Thursday, giving it a market value of $65 billion. “The Nasdaq 100 is the most likely widely followed index for the company to get added into,” said Todd Rosenbluth, Head of Research at VettaFi. However, inclusion in the Nasdaq 100 may take time for Arm shares. Inclusion of Arm shares in the S&P 500, which is the standard benchmark for the U.S. stock market, is far less certain, analysts said.
Persons: Rene Haas, Brendan McDermid, , Todd Rosenbluth, Russell, Todd Sohn, Sohn, Jeffrey DeMaso, Dow Jones, Lois Gregson, Suzanne McGee, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Nick Zieminski Organizations: Nasdaq, REUTERS, Arm Holdings, Fund, Nvidia, Research, Lucid, ARM, Vanguard Investment, VanEck Semiconductor, Software, FactSet, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, British, VettaFi
Prapass Pulsub | Moment | Getty ImagesAs year-end approaches, some investors may be weighing a Roth individual retirement account conversion to save on future taxes. The strategy transfers your pretax or non-deductible IRA funds to a Roth IRA, which kick-starts future tax-free growth. But you have to plan for the upfront tax bill. Here are some key factors to consider before making a Roth conversion, according to financial experts. Assess the short-term tax consequencesWhile a Roth conversion may offer long-term tax benefits, there's potential for shorter-term consequences, Lawrence warned.
Persons: Prapass, Roth, Ashton Lawrence, Lawrence, Jeremy Finger Organizations: Roth IRA, Mariner Wealth Advisors, Riverbend Wealth Management, Riverbend Wealth, Republicans Locations: Greenville , South Carolina, Myrtle Beach , South Carolina
“We came up with the name and made it about the large, legal, institutional scams and frauds happening right under our noses,” Marie said. “I’ve always been like that.”Ira Glass, who gave Marie her first professional job in radio, on “This American Life,” described that voice as energetic, appealing and opinionated. At heart, “The Dream” is less about the scams themselves than why people fall for them. Instead the podcast asks, with genuine interest, why someone might fall for a fraud and which regulatory bodies failed to protect them. The story this season, which overlaps in places with both wellness and MLMs, is told a little differently.
Persons: ” Marie, , , “ I’ve, Ira Glass, Marie, Jane, aren’t, Leital Molad, who’s Organizations: Pushkin Industries Locations:
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