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☆ US Stocks edge higher as traders wait for Powell's Jackson Hole speech
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-25 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks rose higher as traders waited for Powell's speech at Jackson Hole. Last year, stocks plunged after Powell warned markets of "more pain" ahead. download the app Email address By clicking ‘Sign up’, you agree to receive marketing emails from Insider as well as other partner offers and accept our Terms of Service and Privacy PolicyAdvertisementAdvertisementUS stocks rose Friday ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. Powell's speech at the same event last year sent stocks plummeting as he reiterated the central bank's committement to fighting inflation through interest rate hikes. At last year's event, stocks plunged after Powell warned markets of "more pain" ahead, as the Fed would continue to stay hawkish on inflation.

Persons: Jackson, Powell, Jerome Powell's, Riley, Art Hogan Organizations: Investors, Service, Federal, Jackson, Fed, Riley Wealth, Nasdaq Locations: Wall, Silicon

☆ What happens in Jackson Hole doesn’t stay in Jackson Hole
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-25 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

New York CNN —Most of the year, people visit Jackson Hole, Wyoming, to ski, fly fish or simply enjoy the region’s vast natural beauty. Setting the stage: the economic backdropInflation has slowed significantly since last year’s Jackson Hole conference, alongside glimmers of a cooling labor market. A look back at past Jackson Hole conferencesLast year’s Jackson Hole conference was notable not just because it was the first time in two years that economists gathered in person. Months after Bernanke’s Jackson Hole speech, he unveiled a whole new phase of bond-purchasing in what has now become known as QE2. A columnist for the Financial Times went so far as to say that Draghi “certainly stole the show this year [at Jackson Hole].”No matter what comes out of the conference this year, it’s clear that what happens in Jackson Hole doesn’t stay in Jackson Hole.

Persons: Jackson, Jerome Powell, He’ll, Michael Cahill, Goldman Sachs, Powell, —, Ben Bernanke, ”, Cahill, “, Bernanke’s Jackson, Bernanke, Janet Yellen, “ it’s, ” Cahill, Michael Woodford, John Williams, Williams, European Central Bank Mario Draghi Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal, Kansas City Fed, Jackson, Fed, Traders, Goldman, CNN, Columbia University, ” New York Fed, San Francisco Fed, European Central Bank, ECB, Financial Times Locations: New York, , Wyoming, Woodstock, Jackson

☆ How should central banks coordinate when their economies are headed in opposite directions?
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-25 | by ( Samantha Delouya | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

So how should central banks coordinate when their economies are headed in opposite directions? And since the start of the pandemic, international monetary policy has looked striking similar. From the United States to Saudi Arabia to Malaysia, many major world economies slashed interest rates to historically low levels in March 2020 to stimulate their economies amid Covid lockdowns. Central bankers do “talk a lot, and we see each other quite a bit,” said Andrew Bailey, Bank of England’s president, at a June event hosted by the European Central Bank. “Adopting formal global monetary policy cooperation could plausibly erode central bank credibility and public support for central bank independence,” former Federal Reserve Vice Chair Richard Clarida said at a 2021 Asia Economic Policy Conference.

Persons: Jackson, —, Nick Bennenbroek, ”, Andrew Bailey ,, Richard Clarida, “ There’s, ” Bennenbroek, Jerome Powell Organizations: Los Angeles CNN, Kansas City Federal Reserve, Andrew Bailey , Bank of England’s, European Central Bank, Federal, Asia Economic Policy Locations: lockstep, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, United States, Saudi Arabia, Malaysia, China, Wells, Asia

☆ Stocks sink, dollar climbs as risk of hawkish Powell looms
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-25 | by ( Kevin Buckland | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., August 15, 2023. Crude oil found its footing around one-month lows, but remained on course for a second weekly decline amid a firmer dollar and simmering China-centered worries about global growth. "However, there is also no real reason for Powell to strike a dovish tone," he added, "and that could mean an ugly end to the week for stocks, while the dollar shines." Against Japan's currency , the dollar edged back toward last week's nine-month high of 146.545, last trading at 146.15. The Chinese yuan traded slightly weaker in offshore markets , slipping 0.07% to 7.2866 per dollar.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jerome Powell, Jackson, Kazuo Ueda, Christine Lagarde, Powell, Matt Simpson, Simpson, Patrick Harker, Brent, Kevin Buckland, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Rights, Federal, People's Bank of, Bank, Nasdaq, Japan's Nikkei, Nvidia, Advantest, Philadelphia Fed, CNBC, U.S, Treasury, West Texas, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, . U.S, China, People's Bank of China, Asia, Tokyo

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 19, 2023. While inflation has come down from its peak, Powell said, it still remains high and policymakers would "proceed carefully" in deciding further interest rate moves. "But he also threatened to drop the hammer again if the economy and job market run too hot. The S&P index recorded two new 52-week highs and seven new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 12 new highs and 149 new low. Reporting by Amruta Khandekar and Shristi Achar A; Editing by Shinjini GanguliOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Nordstrom, Jerome Powell's, Powell, David Russell, advancers, Amruta Khandekar, Shinjini Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Marvell Technology, Dow, Nasdaq, Jackson, Treasury, Fed, Dow Jones, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Maui

☆ South African rand pares losses after Powell speech
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-25 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

South African Rand coins are seen in this illustration picture taken October 30, 2020. At 1528 GMT, the rand traded at 18.6550 against the dollar , about 0.9% stronger than its previous close, after gaining as much as 1% earlier in the day. The rand has had a turbulent week, contributing to its over 4% losses month-to-date. The risk-sensitive rand often takes cues from global factors like U.S. monetary policy in the absence of domestic economic data cues. South Africa's benchmark 2030 government bond was weaker, with the yield up 1 basis points at 10.210%.

Persons: Mike Hutchings, Jerome Powell, Danny Greeff, Jackson, Greeff, Tannur Anders, Sonia Cheema, Devika Syamnath, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, U.S . Federal Reserve, Treasury, Analytics, Johannesburg Stock Exchange, Thomson Locations: Rights JOHANNESBURG, United States, Johannesburg

☆ Global economic transformation risks fuelling inflation: Lagarde
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-25 | by ( Balazs Koranyi | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

FILE PHOTO-European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde speaks to the media following the Governing Council's monetary policy meeting at the ECB headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany, July 27, 2023. REUTERS/Kai Pfaffenbach/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsJACKSON HOLE, Wyoming, Aug 25 (Reuters) - Profound changes in how the global economy operates, from increased protectionism to energy transition, could create greater inflation volatility and more persistent price pressures, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said on Friday. Higher investment needs and greater supply constraints are likely to lead to stronger price pressures and not all sectors will be able to absorb these, she warned. "We will have to be extremely attentive that greater volatility in relative prices does not creep into medium-term inflation through wages repeatedly “chasing” prices," Lagarde said. "That could make inflation more persistent if expected wage increases are then incorporated into the pricing decisions of firms, giving rise to what I have called 'tit-for-tat' inflation."

Persons: Christine Lagarde, Kai Pfaffenbach, JACKSON, Lagarde, Balazs Koranyi, Dan Burns, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Central Bank, ECB, REUTERS, European Central Bank, U.S . Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, , Wyoming, Jackson Hole , Wyoming

☆ IMF chief says Africa must do these three things to increase trade
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-25 | by ( Nell Lewis | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

The timing is ripe as African countries grapple with sluggish growth, food insecurity and debt distress. CNN: According to IMF reports, the levels of inflation and public debt we’re seeing in Africa have not been seen in many decades. Kristalina Georgieva, managing director of the IMF, speaks in Washington, DC, in April at a meeting of the World Bank and IMF. Georgieva: I expect to see a very strong focus on the African continent. We did a paper on how the continental free trade agreement can benefit Africa if these trade and non-trade barriers are eliminated and the results are phenomenal: trade within Africa can increase by 53%, trade between Africa and the rest of the world by 15%, and real income per capita could grow by 10%.

Persons: Kristalina Georgieva, Georgieva, CNN’s Eleni Giokos, Kevin Dietsch, we’re, they’re Organizations: CNN, International Monetary Fund, World Bank, Bank, IMF Locations: Africa, Marrakech, Morocco, Washington , DC

☆ Major indexes fall 1%, focus shifts to upcoming Powell speech
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-24 | by ( Caroline Valetkevitch | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The logo of technology company Nvidia is seen at its headquarters in Santa Clara, California February 11, 2015. Shares of Nvidia (NVDA.O) ended barely higher after they hit a record high early in the session. All of the major S&P 500 sectors were down on the day, however, and an index of semiconductors (.SOX) dropped 3.4%. Reuters GraphicsAmong the day's decliners, Dollar Tree (DLTR.O) shares dropped 12.9% after the retailer forecast annual profit largely below estimates. The S&P 500 posted 10 new 52-week highs and 13 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 35 new highs and 220 new lows.

Persons: Robert Galbraith, Jerome Powell's, Powell's, it's, Jay Powell, Jake Dollarhide, Patrick Harker, Amruta Khandekar, Shreyashi Sanyal, Shristi, Savio D'Souza, Shinjini Ganguli, Deepa Babington Organizations: Nvidia, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Longbow, Management, Dow Jones, Treasury, Philadelphia Fed, CNBC, Reuters Graphics, NYSE, Thomson Locations: Santa Clara , California, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Tulsa , Oklahoma, Bengaluru

Brent crude rose 15 cents, or 0.2%, to $83.36 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude rose 16 cents, or 0.2%, to $79.05 a barrel. Prices traded lower for the majority of the session, before pushing higher in the last half hour of trading. Investor caution on the eve of his remarks lifted the safe-haven dollar, which makes oil more expensive for holders of other currencies, denting demand. Euro zone business activity also declined more than expected and Britain's economy looked set to shrink in the current quarter. On the supply side, Iran's crude oil output will reach 3.4 million barrels per day (bpd) by the end of September, the country's oil minister was quoted as saying by state media, even though U.S. sanctions remain in place.

Persons: Brent, Giovanni Staunovo, Jackson, Jerome Powell, Craig Erlam, Erlam, Shariq Khan, Ahmad Ghaddar, Mohi Narayan, Kim Coghill, David Evans, David Gregorio, Deepa Babington Organizations: cnsphoto, REUTERS, bbl, U.S, Fed, West Texas, UBS, U.S . Federal, Federal Reserve, Thomson Locations: Zhoushan, Zhejiang province, China, BENGALURU, Europe, New York, Amsterdam, Rotterdam, Antwerp, U.S ., Japan, Venezuela, American

☆ Wall St ends down sharply, focus shifts to upcoming Powell speech
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-24 | by ( Caroline Valetkevitch | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The logo of technology company Nvidia is seen at its headquarters in Santa Clara, California February 11, 2015. All of the major S&P 500 sectors were down on the day, however, and an index of semiconductors (.SOX) also dropped. "As much as investors want to focus on Nvidia and want to focus on tech - and it's been a good year so far - this is still a market that is Fed obsessed. The market had gained along with Nvidia this week ahead of the company's report on hopes that its forecast could extend this year's artificial intelligence tech stock rally. Reuters GraphicsAmong the day's decliners, Dollar Tree (DLTR.O) shares dropped after the retailer forecast annual profit largely below estimates.

Persons: Robert Galbraith, Jerome Powell's, Powell's, it's, Jay Powell, Jake Dollarhide, Patrick Harker, Amruta Khandekar, Shreyashi Sanyal, Shristi, Savio D'Souza, Shinjini Ganguli, Deepa Babington Organizations: Nvidia, REUTERS, Nasdaq, Federal, Dow Jones, Longbow, Management, Treasury, Philadelphia Fed, CNBC, Reuters Graphics, Thomson Locations: Santa Clara , California, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Tulsa , Oklahoma, Bengaluru

Brent crude fell 16 cents, or 0.2%, to $83.05 a barrel by 11:41 a.m. EDT (1541 GMT). U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude fell 12 cents, or 0.2%, to $78.77 a barrel. "Disappointing data and nerves that the Federal Reserve could reinforce a hawkish stance are weighing on oil," said Fiona Cincotta, analyst at City Index. On the supply side, Iran's crude oil output will reach 3.4 million barrels per day (bpd) by the end of September, the country's oil minister was quoted as saying by state media, even though U.S. sanctions remain in place. U.S. crude inventories (USOILC=ECI) fell by 6.1 million barrels in the week to Aug. 18 to 433.5 million barrels, compared with analysts' expectations in a Reuters poll for a 2.8 million-barrel drop.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Brent, Fiona Cincotta, Jackson, Powell, Shariq Khan, Ahmad Ghaddar, Mohi Narayan, Kim Coghill, David Evans, David Gregorio Our Organizations: cnsphoto, REUTERS, Fed, U.S . Federal, . West Texas, Federal, Wednesday Japan, Federal Reserve, Organization of, Petroleum, Thomson Locations: Zhoushan, Zhejiang province, China, BENGALURU, U.S, American, Saudi Arabia

☆ Stock futures are little changed as investors await Powell’s Jackson Hole speech: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-24 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

U.S. stock futures were flat Thursday night as Wall Street looked toward Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech on Friday morning. However, the markets turned negative for the day as investors grew more cautious ahead of Powell's remarks. Despite Thursday's declines, both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are holding on to weekly gains of 0.2% and 1.3%, respectively. The Jackson Hole Economic Symposium in Wyoming brings together central bankers and key financial officials from across the world. During last year's gathering, stocks fell following Powell's hawkish speech.

Persons: Jerome Powell's Jackson, Powell's, Dow, Powell, Zachary Hill, Jackson, Hill Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Federal, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Jackson, Horizon Investments Locations: Wyoming

U.S. Treasury yields were mixed on Thursday as investors await signals on monetary policy from central bankers at the upcoming Jackson Hole meeting. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note was up around 2 basis points at 4.215%, after hitting a 16-year high on Monday. The yield on the 30-year Treasury bond climbed less than 1 basis point to 4.288%. Richmond Fed president Thomas Barkin struck a hawkish tone on Tuesday, reiterating that the Fed needs to defend the 2% inflation target to preserve its credibility with the public. The U.S. Treasury on Thursday will auction $80 billion in 4-week bills, $70 billion in 8-week bills and $8 billion in 29-year and six-month Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities.

Persons: Jackson, Thomas Barkin, Barkin, — CNBC's Elliot Smith Organizations: Treasury, Federal, Richmond Fed, of Commerce, U.S, Securities Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Danville Pittsylvania County

When Jerome H. Powell spoke at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City’s annual conference in Jackson Hole, Wyo., last year, inflation had recently topped 9 percent and the Fed was raising rates at a breakneck pace to wrestle down price increases. Mr. Powell used the platform to offer a stern warning that central bankers would keep at it until the job was done. Higher rates have cooled the housing market and, together with healing supply chains and cheaper gas prices, lowered inflation notably — to 3.2 percent in July. Instead of warning that the central bank is prepared to push the economy into a recession if that is necessary to calm rapid inflation, Fed officials today are increasingly suggesting that they might pull off what once seemed unlikely: cooling the economy without tanking it. But many economists and investors think that he may be able to strike a slightly less aggressive tone than he did last year.

Persons: Jerome H, Powell Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas, Jackson

Markets await hints on the outlook for interest rates when Federal Reserve officials and policy makers from the European Central Bank, the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan head to Jackson Hole, Wyoming, for an annual meeting later this week. Earlier on Wednesday, Japan posted shrinking factory activity for a third straight month in August, and the euro zone, France, Germany, Britain and the United States are set to release their own purchasing managers' index (PMI) data later in the day. Crucial to shoring up oil demand over the rest of the year is China, the world's second-largest economy. Crude stocks in the United States continued to fall, dropping by about 2.4 million barrels in the week ended Aug. 18, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday. That was a slightly smaller draw than a drop of 2.9 million barrels analysts expected in a Reuters poll.

Persons: Jackson, Brent, Hiroyuki Kikukawa, John Evans, Paul Carsten, Yuka Obayashi, Andrew Hayley, Clarence Fernandez, Mark Potter Organizations: Danang Petroleum Machinery Technology JSC, U.S, West Texas, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, U.S . Federal, NS, Nissan Securities, PVM, Organization of, Petroleum, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Information Administration, Thomson Locations: Danang, United States, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Japan, France, Germany, Britain, China, Saudi Arabia, Russia, U.S, London, Tokyo, Beijing

☆ Analysis: With central banks' job half done, global inflation talk is shifting
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-23 | by ( Balazs Koranyi | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

"It may just be lucky that a global demand slump or non-policy related domestic forces are driving inflation lower." This disconnect led the German central bank to issue a warning to peers this week that a tough task may still lie ahead for policymakers. "The impression took hold that inflation rates will nonetheless persist for longer above the rates targeted by central banks," the Bundesbank said. Indeed, longer-term inflation expectations for the U.S. and the euro zone remain above the banks' 2% targets. But even in the best case, weaker growth will reduce demand for imports and complicate the global outlook.

Persons: JACKSON, Steve Englander, Piet Haines Christiansen, Philip Lane, Lane, Niels Graham, Julian Evans, Pritchard, Balazs Koranyi, Dan Burns, Toby Chopra Organizations: Standard Chartered, The Bank of England, ECB, Reserve Bank of Australia, Reserve Bank of New, Danske Bank, U.S, People's Bank of, Atlantic Council, Capital Economic, Thomson Locations: , Wyoming, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Britain, Australia, New Zealand, German, Europe, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Jackson, People's Bank of China, China

☆ Indian shares open higher ahead of RBI minutes, central bankers' meet
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-23 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: 1 min

A man walks past the new logo of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) building in Mumbai, India, July 12, 2023. REUTERS/Francis Mascarenhas/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsBENGALURU, Aug 23 (Reuters) - Indian shares opened marginally higher on Wednesday amid muted global market moves, with traders awaiting the Reserve Bank of India's policy meeting minutes and a key global central bankers' gathering. The Nifty 50 (.NSEI) index was up 0.10% at 19,414.20 at 9:15 a.m. IST, while the S&P BSE Sensex (.BSESN) rose 0.09% to 65,278.01. Reporting by Bharath Rajeswaran in Bengaluru; Editing by Varun H KOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Francis Mascarenhas, Bharath Rajeswaran, Varun Organizations: Bombay Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Rights, Reserve Bank of, BSE, Thomson Locations: Mumbai, India, Bengaluru

☆ Here's what Wall Street expects from Jerome Powell at Jackson Hole
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-23 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Fed chief Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak Friday at Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Markets will be hanging on his every word, and Wall Street expects him to focus on inflation and interest rates. Get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in business, from Wall Street to Silicon Valley — delivered daily. "We are not expecting to get a strong monetary policy signal out of Jackson Hole," Goldman Sachs strategists wrote in a note Friday. "Typically, markets have been in positive territory the week following Jackson Hole."

Persons: Jerome Powell, Jackson, Powell, goad Powell, CME's, Goldman Sachs, Quincy Krosby, Tom Lee, Ned Davis Organizations: Wall Street, Service, Wall, LPL Financial, Fed, NDR Locations: , Wyoming, Wall, Silicon, dovish, Russia, Ukraine, China

☆ Asking the Fed to adjust its inflation target would be like waving a Pride flag at a DeSantis rally, Paul Krugman says
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-23 | by ( Joseph Wilkins | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Paul Krugman has long been a critic of the Fed's 2% inflation target, and suggests the goal be bumped up to 3%. But central bankers' reaction to such suggestions is similar to what "you'd get if you waved a Pride flag at a DeSantis rally," he says. It's not the first time that Krugman has called for a 3% inflation target. But economist Mohamed El-Erian disagrees – warning there's no chance the Fed will calibrate its inflation target, even though it's a strong argument. AdvertisementAdvertisement"So yes, there's a theoretical argument for a higher inflation target, but don't look for chair Powell to touch that issue in any significant way," he added.

Persons: Paul Krugman, Krugman, we'd, Ron DeSantis, I've, It's, Jason Furman's, Mohamed El, it's, Erian, Powell, Jerome Powell's Organizations: New York Times, Service, Florida, CNBC Locations: Wall, Silicon

☆ Global stock market correction likely before year-end: Reuters poll
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-23 | by ( Hari Kishan | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSummary poll dataReuters poll graphic on global stock market outlookBENGALURU, Aug 23 (Reuters) - Global stock markets are heading for a correction in coming months, though overall they should post marginal gains between now and the end of 2023, according to a majority of analysts polled by Reuters. A bad year for stocks in 2022 carried into this year as global central banks battled inflation with interest rate rises that are now largely drawing to an end. A 71% majority of analysts, 55 of 77, who answered an additional question in the Aug. 9-23 poll said a correction by year-end in their local equity market was either likely or very likely. A "fear of missing out" is said to have helped drive much of the equity market rallies of recent years. The year-end forecast in February's Reuters poll was 4,200.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jerome Powell, Marko Kolanovic, Morgan, Terry Sandven, Europe's, Hari Kishan, Indradip Ghosh, Ross Finley, John Stonestreet Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Reuters, Treasury, NIKKEI, February's Reuters, U.S, Bank Wealth Management, Japan's Nikkei, IPC, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, BENGALURU, Jackson, February's, Bengaluru, Buenos Aires, London, Mexico City, Milan, New York, San Francisco, Sao Paulo, Tokyo, Toronto

☆ Gold extends gains as Treasury yields rally comes to a halt
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

At the precious metals dealer Pro Aurum, two gold and two silver bars are placed in a locker in a vault. Spot gold firmed 0.3% to $1,902.63 per ounce by 0519 GMT, drifting further away from the five-month lows hit last week. The dollar index was below the two-month highs, while a rally that took U.S. Treasury yields to nearly 16-year highs took a pause, giving some respite to the non-yielding gold. "If he does hint about a higher target, that could mean interest rates may not need to move any higher from here." Recent robust U.S. economic data has raised bets the Fed will keep rates higher for longer, reducing appetite for gold as reflected in holdings of bullion-backed exchange traded funds, or ETF.

Persons: Jackson, Jerome Powell's, Harshal Barot, Thomas Barkin Organizations: Pro Aurum, Treasury, Federal, Metals, Richmond Fed, Trust Locations: U.S, Wyoming

☆ China risks a debt deflation loop but could avoid a lost decade if it plays its cards right, Morgan Stanley says
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-23 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

China's economy is at risk of falling into a debt-deflation loop, according to Morgan Stanley. That's a scenario where prices fall, debt rises, while economic growth stagnates. But policymakers could avoid that future if they keep interest rates below a key level. "China's policymakers will need to act forcefully. That trifecta of obstacles means it could be possible that China's economy could do even worse than Japan did in the 90s, according to Nobel laureate Paul Krugman.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, That's, Chetan Ahya, Ahya, Paul Krugman Organizations: Service, Bank of Japan Locations: Wall, Silicon, China, Asia, Japan

☆ Fed doves, Fed hawks: US central bankers in their words
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-22 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The following graphic offers a stab at how officials stack up on their outlook for Fed policy and how to balance their goals of stable prices and full employment. Note: Fed policymakers have been driving up borrowing costs since March 2022 to bring down high inflation, and in July they increased the target policy rate range to 5.25%-5.5%. Longtime banker Jeff Schmid starts as Kansas City Fed president Aug. 21, and will be a voter in 2025. St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, a vocal policy hawk, left the Fed in July for a job in academia; the new chief will be a 2025 voter. Reporting by Ann Saphir, Howard Schneider, Michael S. Derby and Dan Burns; Editing by Marguerita ChoyOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Jeff Schmid, Louis, James Bullard, Ann Saphir, Howard Schneider, Michael S, Dan Burns, Marguerita Choy Organizations: Federal, Federal Open, New York Fed, Kansas City Fed, Louis Fed, Fed, Derby, Thomson Locations: Kansas, St

☆ Dow, S&P 500 end down as US interest-rate worries mount, bank shares slip
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-22 | by ( Caroline Valetkevitch | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

A Wall Street sign is pictured outside the New York Stock Exchange in New York, October 28, 2013. Financials (.SPBK) were the biggest drag on the S&P 500. An S&P downgrade of multiple regional U.S. lenders weighed on bank shares, with both the KBW regional banking index (.KRX) and the S&P 500 banks index (.SPXBK) sharply lower. According to preliminary data, the S&P 500 (.SPX) lost 11.90 points, or 0.27%, to end at 4,387.87 points, while the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) gained 10.01 points, or 0.07%, to 13,507.60. Shares of Nvidia hit an all-time high of $481.87 early but were lower on the day.

Persons: Carlo Allegri, Jerome Powell, Peter Tuz, Caroline Valetkevitch, Amruta Khandekar, Shinjini Ganguli, Maju Samuel, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Nvidia, NEW YORK, Dow, Reserve, Nasdaq, Investors, Chase Investment, Treasury, Dow Jones, . Department, Kohl's Corp, Nordstrom Inc, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Charlottesville , Virginia

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