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☆ Elite investors overseeing trillions warned the crowd at Milken about a looming US credit crunch. Here's how 2 of them say they're planning to capitalize.
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-01 | by ( James Faris | Akin Oyedele | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Leaders of major asset management firms discussed the prospect of a credit crunch at the 2023 Milken Global Conference. They shared how they're planning to capitalize on the dislocations that arise. The tighter environment was top of mind during an economics panel at the 2023 Milken Global Conference, with multiple participants warning of an impending credit crunch. "The commercial real estate sector in particular, which was 50%-plus from the regional banking system, is definitely going to be limited." Hunt also discussed how PGIM is planning to react to a credit crunch: by continuing as normal and trying to absorb more market share from traditional banks.

☆ Why First Republic Bank may not be the end of the crisis
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-01 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

New York CNN —After a six-week spiral, First Republic bank finally collapsed in the wee hours of Monday morning. Everyone on Wall Street appears to be drinking from the same punch bowl as Jamie Dimon, who framed the sale as a bookend to the crisis. To his mind, the sale just makes JPMorgan, already the nation’s largest bank, even bigger, and the power of the biggest Wall Street banks more concentrated. That idea got an extra boost on Monday, when the FDIC itself released a report advocating for an increase in the deposit insurance limit for business payment accounts. “You can think of federal deposit insurance as being a bit like nuclear weapons,” he said.

☆ Trouble with regional banks won't change Fed Chair Powell's mind on rate hikes, says Jim Bianco
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTrouble with regional banks won't change Fed Chair Powell's mind on rate hikes, says Jim BiancoJim Bianco, Bianco Research president, joins 'Fast Money' to discuss the Federal Reserve's response to the regional banking crisis, what to expect from Jerome Powell moving forward, and the bond market.

☆ Constraints in credit market will create opportunity in private credit, says KKR co-CEO
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailConstraints in credit market will create opportunity in private credit, says KKR co-CEOJoe Bae, KKR co-CEO, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss if the regional banking drama has affected KKR, the assets classes Bae is currently seeing 'tremendous' opportunity, and why this may be the moment for private lending.

☆ Wall St Week Ahead Recession worries simmer beneath US stock market rally
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-28 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

NEW YORK, April 28 (Reuters) - Economically sensitive areas of the U.S. stock market are flashing warnings over growth, even as major equity indexes edge higher. Beneath the surface, however, areas of the market tied to economic sentiment such as transports, semiconductors and small-cap stocks dropped in April, while so-called defensive sectors are outperforming. “People are starting to more defensively position themselves,” said Aaron Dunn, co-head of the value equity team at Eaton Vance. "They are talking about demand being down and they are ridiculously important shipping companies,” said Matt Maley, chief market strategist at Miller Tabak. Reporting by Lewis Krauskopf; Editing by Ira Iosebashvili and David GregorioOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Chipmaker Intel Corp (INTC.O) gained 4.7% after it said gross margins will improve in the second half of the year. Analysts now expect first-quarter earnings for S&P 500 companies to fall 1.9% from a year ago compared with a 5.1% fall expected at the start of April, according to Refinitiv data. The KBW Regional Banking index (.KRX) and the S&P 500 bank index (.SPXBK) gained over 1% each. Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 2.90-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.07-to-1 ratio favored advancers. The S&P 500 posted 24 new 52-week highs and 2 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 53 new highs and 107 new lows.

Chipmaker Intel Corp (INTC.O) gained 4.6% after it said gross margins will improve in the second half of the year. The benchmark S&P 500 (.SPX) was set for a second consecutive monthly gain on better-than-expected earnings from megacap companies including Alphabet Inc (GOOGL.O), Microsoft Corp (MSFT.O) and Meta Platforms Inc (META.O). Analysts expect first-quarter earnings for S&P 500 companies to now fall 1.9% year-over-year compared with a 5.1% fall expected at the start of April, according to latest Refinitiv data. The KBW Regional Banking index and the S&P 500 bank index (.SPXBK) gained over 1% each. The S&P index recorded 21 new 52-week highs and two new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 42 new highs and 97 new lows.

☆ US money market funds see biggest weekly inflow in four weeks
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-28 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

Refinitiv Lipper data showed investors purchased a net $47.72 billion worth of U.S. money market funds in their biggest weekly net buying since March 29. Meanwhile, U.S. equity funds faced a fifth straight week of outflows, with investors exiting a net $3.75 billion worth of funds. Reuters Graphics Reuters GraphicsInvestors also pulled out $1.62 billion from U.S. bond funds in a second straight week of net selling. U.S. general domestic taxable fixed income funds, inflation protected funds and loan participation funds had $2.18 billion, $892 million and $797 million worth of net selling, respectively. Still, government bond finds secured $2.22 billion worth of inflows compared with net selling of $2.14 billion in the previous week.

NEW YORK, April 28 (Reuters) - U.S. officials are coordinating urgent talks to rescue First Republic Bank (FRC.N) as private-sector efforts led by the bank's advisers have yet to reach a deal, according to three sources familiar with the situation. It is unclear whether the U.S. government is considering participating in a private-sector rescue of First Republic. The Treasury Department declined to comment; the FDIC and Federal Reserve did not immediately respond to emailed requests for comment after hours. U.S. officials view a private-sector deal as preferable to First Republic falling into FDIC receivership, two of the sources said. First Republic shares have lost 95% of their value since the regional banking crisis started on March 8.

☆ Here’s what the SVB report will (and won’t) include, according to top former Fed official
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-27 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Randal Quarles, former vice chair of supervision at the Fed, told CNN in an exclusive interview that he doesn’t expect the report to uncover any smoking guns. For instance, SVB was able to opt out of holding capital against its unrealized investment losses. Cole Burston/Bloomberg/Getty ImagesIn Quarles’ view, returning to the pre-2019 requirements “would not have made any difference” in preventing SVB from failing. The real issue that the Fed’s report should address, he said, is why SVB’s uninsured depositors were so quick to flee. That’s why Quarles said he didn’t hear about the red flags Fed officials identified when he was vice chair for supervision.

☆ Deutsche Bank logs 11th straight quarterly profit, reveals job cuts
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-27 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

A Deutsche Bank AG branch in the financial district of Frankfurt, Germany, on Friday, May 6, 2022. The Thursday report nevertheless showed deposits fell over the course of the quarter to 592 billion euros from 621.5 billion euros at the end of 2022. watch nowDeutsche's corporate bank net revenues came in at 2 billion for the quarter, up 35% year-on-year and the highest quarterly figure since the launch of its transformation program. However, the bank also flagged job cuts for non-client facing staff and reported a sharper-than-expected 19% year-on-year fall in investment bank revenues year-on-year. He suggested that, in scrutinizing Deutsche Bank, market participants saw a strong and profitable business model, stable balance sheet and deposit base, a "very moderate" and "well underwritten" commercial real estate book and "no near-term financing needs."

☆ First Republic Bank shares plumb new lows on report government reluctant to intervene
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-26 | by ( Niket Nishant | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

After a brutal selloff, the bank's market capitalization was about $886 million at its lowest on Wednesday, a far cry from its peak of more than $40 billion in November 2021. U.S. government officials are currently unwilling to intervene in the First Republic rescue process, CNBC reported, citing sources. Reuters GraphicsA trader works at the post where First Republic Bank stock is traded on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., March 16, 2023. "The (First Republic) assets will be sold, but it may take some time and could be sold at a pretty severe discount to par," David Wagner, portfolio manager at Aptus Capital Advisors, said. At least three brokerages have cut their price targets on First Republic's shares since it reported first-quarter earnings on Monday.

☆ CME profit rises as volatility spurred risk hedging
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-26 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

April 26 (Reuters) - CME Group Inc (CME.O) on Wednesday posted first-quarter profits that beat Wall Street expectations, as traders turned to the exchange operator's hedging products to navigate market volatility related to worries about the banking sector and slowing macroeconomic growth. Overall average daily volumes were up 4% at 26.9 million contracts. The beat was driven in part by higher-than-anticipated revenue per contract, which benefited clearing and transaction fees, Piper Sandler analyst Richard Repetto said in a client note. Clearing and transaction revenues in the quarter were up 5.5% at $1.2 billion. Reporting by Jaiveer Singh Shekhawat in Bengaluru; Editing by Krishna Chandra EluriOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ First Republic Bank shares plummet day after hitting record low
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-26 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

April 26 (Reuters) - First Republic Bank's (FRC.N) shares fell nearly 10% in premarket trading on Wednesday as analysts highlighted concerns about the troubled lender's plans to turn around its business. The company's shares were last trading at $7.34, paring some losses from a 27% plunge earlier in the day. The stock lost nearly half its value on Tuesday and will hit a record low for the second straight day if current levels hold. At least three brokerages have cut their price targets on First Republic's shares since it reported first-quarter earnings on Monday. A string of earnings reports from regional banks last week had reassured investors, but the banking sector has come under renewed pressure following First Republic's results.

SINGAPORE, April 26 (Reuters) - Global stock markets moved in opposite directions on Wednesday, as European investors responded to strain in the U.S. banking sector but Wall Street futures rose on bullish updates from Microsoft (MSFT.O) and Google parent Alphabet (GOOGL.O). MSCI's broad index of global stocks (.MIWD00000PUS) was steady, as Asian markets outside of Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) ticked higher in line with rising Wall Street futures. Microsoft's Frankfurt-listed shares rose 7.4% after its quarterly results, issued after the U.S. stock market closed on Tuesday, beat analysts' forecasts. A $70 billion share buyback announced by Google parent Alphabet also looked set to insulate the mood on Wall Street from banking sector troubles. This has dented confidence towards loan-dependent sectors such as real estate, and raised questions over how global banks will deal with defaults.

☆ Morning Bid: Wowed by tech, worried by banks
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-26 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

That makes investors wary of such provisions at the likes of HSBC (HSBA.L), Lloyds (LLOY.L) and NatWest Group (NWG.L), all of which are due to report earnings in the coming weeks. Across the Atlantic, First Republic Bank's (FRC.N) plunging deposits and tumbling shares are rippling through the U.S. regional banking sector. U.S. recession fears have also resurfaced after consumer confidence hit a nine-month low, alongside some weak earnings. In a week packed with tech sector earnings, the focus moves from artificial intelligence to advertising revenues as Facebook-parent Meta Platforms (META.O) and streaming device maker Roku Inc (ROKU.O) report. Key developments that could influence markets on Wednesday:U.S. durable goods orders, Germany and France consumer confidenceEarnings: Meta Platforms, Boeing, GSK, Deutsche Boerse, Roku IncEditing by Jacqueline WongOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ European shares fall as banking sector jitters eclipse upbeat earnings
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-26 | by ( Shubham Batra | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) fell 0.7%, as regional banking stocks (.SX7E) dropped 1.2%. Earnings from Microsoft Corp (MSFT.O) and Google's parent Alphabet Inc (GOOGL.O) beat expectations, but recessionary worries in the world's largest economy kept investor sentiment fragile. Shares of Swiss banking software company Temenos AG (TEMN.S) jumped 10.2% after it reported first-quarter earnings above consensus. Meanwhile, ASM International NV (ASMI.AS) fell 10.0% after the Dutch semiconductor equipment maker reported a drop in first-quarter orders, citing softening market conditions, despite an estimate-beating revenue. Dassault Systemes SE (DAST.PA) slid 7.4% after the French software maker reported first-quarter numbers broadly in line with estimates but with a miss on software licenses.

☆ First Republic may not survive, even after two multibillion-dollar bailouts
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-26 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

New York CNN —First Republic Bank is in a fight for its survival. “It’s becoming clearer each day” that First Republic is “toast,” said Don Bilson at Gordon Haskett, in a note Wednesday. First Republic said in its latest earnings call that is exploring its strategic options, Wall Street code for searching for a white knight. First Republic CEO Michael Roffler attempted to assure investors in an earnings call Monday that the bank had enough liquidity to do that. That’s what happened to Silicon Valley Bank on March 10 when the California Department of Financial Protection and Innovation took possession of and closed Silicon Valley Bank and on March 12 Signature Bank was closed by the New York State Department of Financial Services.

The top-tier Asian economic data cupboard on Thursday is bare, meaning regional markets will probably feed off U.S. earnings, banking sector woes, debt ceiling developments and geopolitical events for direction. This was followed up on Wednesday by Meta (META.O), whose shares surged 12% after hours after the company’s strong earnings beat. First Republic Bank's (FRC.N) shares plunged to another record low, but PacWest Bancorp (PACW.O) jumped 8% after beating estimates and stemming deposit outflows. The yuan was used in 48.4% of transactions, Reuters calculated, while the dollar's share declined to 46.7%. China added to its Treasuries holdings in February, but not enough to make up for the fairly heavy selling in January.

☆ Premarket stocks: Google and Microsoft fight over the future of AI
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-26 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Microsoft, Google and a number of smaller rivals are in a race to integrate generative artificial intelligence technology (similar to ChatGPT) into their search functions and other applications. Both companies see it as an integral part of their future, but it was apparent on Tuesday that Microsoft and Google aren’t in agreement about what that future will look like. Analysts have expressed worry that Google is falling behind the competition when it comes to AI innovation. First Republic shares plunge 50%The past few weeks have been brutal for First Republic Bank (FRC). First Republic Bank also said Monday that it expects to cut its workforce by 20-25% this quarter.

This helped push the Dow Jones Transport Average index (.DJT) down 3.6%, for its biggest one-day drop since September. The Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) dropped 238.05 points, or 1.98%, to 11,799.16 in its biggest one-day percentage decline since March 9. The KBW Regional Banking index (.KRX) dropped 3.9% as First Republic (FRC.N) shares fell 49%, hitting a record low. General Motors Co (GM.N) shares fell 4% after it cautioned that 2022 price gains will not last as the year goes on, even as it lifted full-year profit and cash flow forecasts. On U.S. exchanges 10.78 billion shares traded compared with the 10.32 billion average for the last 20 sessions.

☆ Cramer: There's nothing like a banking crisis to bring this market to its knees
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-25 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCramer: There's nothing like a banking crisis to bring this market to its knees"Mad Money" host Jim Cramer shares his take on the regional banking sector as many banks reported a sharp drop in deposits.

[1/2] A person walks past a First Republic Bank branch in Midtown Manhattan in New York City, New York, U.S., March 13, 2023. REUTERS/Mike Segar/File PhotoApril 26 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever. An unholy trinity of U.S. developments on Tuesday - poor corporate earnings, a bank's value going up in smoke and slumping consumer confidence - will likely set an extremely gloomy tone for Asian markets on Wednesday. The wider U.S. regional banking index's 4% slide - its fourth straight decline - took its year-to-date decline to 25%. If there is a tailwind for Asian markets on Wednesday amid the headwinds it will be the after-hours results from Google's parent company Alphabet GOOGL.O and Microsoft .MSFT.O.

First Republic reported a more than $100 billion plunge in deposits in the quarter in the aftermath of the biggest turmoil to hit the banking sector since 2008. Regional bank PacWest Bancorp (PACW.O) fell 9%, Western Alliance Bancorporation (WAL.N) 6%, Zions Bancorp (ZION.O) 5% and brokerage Charles Schwab Corp (SCHW.N) was down 4%. First Republic said on Monday it was "pursuing strategic options" to quickly strengthen the bank, without providing details. Options include an asset sale of up to $100 billion, a source familiar with the situation said on Tuesday. "So it's tough to even describe it as good asset and bad asset," Chiaverini said.

☆ Stocks are headed into risky territory as the Fed keeps policy tight and earnings growth slows, Morgan Stanley's chief stock strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-24 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Stocks are facing risks as the Fed continues to keep monetary policy tight, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson said. Wilson previously has warned of an earnings recession that could rival 2008. "Markets often reprice late in the cycle when they realize that Fed policy is not accommodative enough to compensate for the slowing growth backdrop," Wilson said in a note on Monday. For the first quarter, the consensus view on Wall Street is for a 9% decline in earnings growth in S&P 500 companies, followed by just a 4% drop in the second quarter, with earnings growth returning the second half of the year. We would agree with that conclusion if we believed the consensus forecasts," Wilson warned.

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