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David Solomon’s Goldman remix is audibly off-key
  + stars: | 2023-10-17 | by ( John Foley | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
NEW YORK, Oct 17 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Having given up a side-gig in DJ-ing, Goldman Sachs (GS.N) boss David Solomon has one less distraction. Goldman reported a one-third year-on-year drop in earnings on Tuesday, in a quarter riddled with one-off charges. Those included a hit related to buy-now-pay-later lender GreenSky, which Goldman bought only two years ago, and is selling. Absent all that, Goldman would have made a return on equity of just over 10%. Goldman made a 7.1% return on equity in the quarter, on an annualized basis, which would have been 10.2% without one-off charges.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Solomon, Goldman, GreenSky, Morgan Stanley, Solomon, Marc Nachmann, Nachmann, Jonathan Guilford, Sharon Lam Organizations: Reuters, JPMorgan, Thomson Locations: tomorrow’s, Basel, GreenSky
"The timing of the futures ETFs could hardly be worse," said Vetle Lunde, senior analyst at K33 Research. Trading volumes for the ether futures ETFs remained below $2 million on their first day, according to K33 Research. Trading volumes of six exchange-traded funds tracking ether made a subdued start after launching on Oct. 2BACK TO BITCOIN? The newly launched ETFs tracking solely ether futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, from ProShares (EETH.P), VanEck and Bitwise (AETH.P), have all dipped over 6% since launch. ProShares and Bitwise also launched funds tracking a mixture of bitcoin and ether futures, while Valkyrie Funds converted its pure-play bitcoin ETF into one with exposure to both bitcoin and ether (BTF.O).
Persons: Bitcoin, Dado, Vetle Lunde, murkier, Lunde, Ben McMillan, McMillan, Bitwise, IDX, Lisa Pauline Mattackal, Sumanta Sen, Tom Wilson, Pravin Organizations: REUTERS, K33 Research, IDX, Federal, Chicago Mercantile Exchange, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Ukraine, ProShares, Bengaluru
While most traders are waiting on the sidelines, anxious about the election and unsure of libertarian frontrunner Javier Milei, some daring bond investors are moving in. "There has been a lot of pain from being invested in Argentina over the past decade," Reed said. Rob Citrone, founder of U.S.-based hedge fund Discovery Capital Management, said Argentina presented one of the best opportunities in emerging markets. The depressed values offer another reason to be bullish on Argentina's debt, said Thomas Haugaard, a portfolio manager on the emerging markets debt hard currency team at Janus Henderson Investments in Copenhagen. Armando Armenta, an analyst for Latin American fixed-income and currency markets at AllianceBernstein in New York, said it was a mixed picture.
Persons: Javier Milei, Cristina Sille, Milei, Patricia Bullrich, Sergio Massa, Christine Reed, Reed, Bullrich, Mauricio Macri's, Massa, Rob Citrone, Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner, Fernandez de Kirchner, Thomas Haugaard, Janus Henderson, Haugaard, Morgan Stanley, Armando Armenta, Milei's, Rodrigo Campos, Carolina Mandl, Adam Jourdan, Paul Simao Organizations: Argentine, REUTERS, Peronist, International Monetary Fund, U.S, Discovery Capital Management, Reuters Graphics Reuters, BancTrust, Reuters, Janus, Janus Henderson Investments, Thomson Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, New York, Ghana, Sri Lanka, Copenhagen, Congress, AllianceBernstein
Fico anchored his campaign on his anti-US rhetoric, vows to stop sending weapons to Ukraine and a pledge to thwart Kyiv’s NATO ambitions. The GOP tide against Ukraine gathers strengthZelensky’s visit to Washington to shore up Ukraine aid last month looks prescient. At Republican campaign events, voters often voice antipathy to sending billions of dollars to Ukraine, and polls show rising public skepticism. Still, for now, there is a bipartisan Washington majority in favor of Ukraine aid, although the chaos in the GOP raises questions about how it will be delivered. So we’ve got to find a way that we can do this together.”But if McCarthy is toppled and replaced by a more radical speaker, Ukraine could run out of luck.
Persons: Kevin McCarthy didn’t, Joe Biden, Vladimir Putin, Volodymyr Zelensky, Biden, McCarthy, Robert Fico’s, Fico, , Putin, Donald Trump, Fico’s, Trump, embolden Putin, “ Putin, Mike Quigley, , , Matt Gaetz, Marjorie Taylor Greene, “ Joe Biden, Dmytro Kuleba, ” Kuleba, “ They’re, we’ve Organizations: CNN, Russia, Ukraine, Republican, NATO, Ukraine –, Kyiv, Brexit, , Soviet MiG, European Union, GOP, Democratic, Illinois, Congressional Ukraine Caucus, Democrat, Rep, Trump Georgia Rep, Foreign, CBS, Trump Locations: Ukraine, Slovakia, US, Poland, Warsaw, Western, Kyiv, France, Germany, “ Slovakia, Slovakian, Russia, Soviet, United States, Turkey, Sweden, Moscow, Czechoslovakia, Soviet Union, Bratislava, Washington, Biden’s, Florida, ” Ukraine
Whether that's just simply relative PE or our more complicated relative valuation model," DeSanctis said. Still, he added that small caps have struggled to escape the headwinds from the regional banking crisis earlier in the year. How to play small caps There's one sector both Wolfe's Ginsberg and DeSanctis like when it comes to small caps: energy. He added that small caps in the cyclicals market have traded under 13 times earnings — and better than secular growth names. "I think a lot of stuff has already been priced into small cap stocks," said DeSanctis.
Persons: Russell, BTIG, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, We're, Jefferies, Steven DeSanctis, that's, DeSanctis, Wolfe's Ginsberg, Michael Bloom Organizations: Nasdaq, Wolfe Research, Energy
The U.S. central bank left interest rates unchanged on Wednesday, in line with market expectations. Broadly speaking, higher rates for longer could be an unwelcome turn of events for stocks and bonds. The S&P 500 lost 0.94% on Wednesday, while the yield on two-year Treasuries, which reflect interest rate expectations, hit 17-year highs. Futures tied to the Fed’s policy rate late Wednesday showed traders were betting the central bank would ease monetary policy by a total of nearly 60 basis points next year, bringing interest rates to about 4.8%. Signs of wobbling growth could bolster the case for the central bank to cut rates far sooner than it had projected.
Persons: Sarah Silbiger, Josh Jamner, Gennadiy Goldberg, Jerome Powell, , David Norris, John Madziyire, , Norris, Davide Barbuscia, David Randall, Herbert Lash, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Stephen Coates Organizations: Eccles Federal Reserve, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, Federal, U.S, Treasury, U.S ., Clearbridge Investments, TD Securities USA, TwentyFour Asset Management, Thomson Locations: Washington ,, U.S
People stand at a shopping mall near the CCTV headquarters and China Zun skyscraper, in Beijing's central business district (CBD), China September 7, 2023. China will stick to deepening reforms and further opening up and will fully mobilize the enthusiasm of businesses, CCTV said. "China will accelerate the introduction of relevant policies and work implementation, as well as further consolidate the economy's upward trend," CCTV said. Feedback from an inspection and survey of the country's economic recovery was presented at the meeting, according to state media. Responding to the advice gathered during the survey, relevant government departments should make plans and carry out in-depth research considering 2024's economic work, the state media said.
Persons: Tingshu Wang, Premier Li Qiang, Yi Gang, Ellen Zhang, Liz Lee, Christina Fincher, William Maclean Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Premier, People's Bank of China, Asian Development Bank, Thomson Locations: China, Beijing's, Rights BEIJING
Oil prices climbed after Saudi Arabia and Russia committed to further production cuts until December. West Texas Intermediate crude oil, meanwhile, traded at about $87 a barrel, also a 10-month high. The jump in prices followed a statement published by state-run Saudi Press Agency that declared Saudi Arabia and Russia would prolong their oil production cuts for another three months until December. "This voluntary cut decision will be reviewed monthly to consider deepening the cut or increasing production," according to the media statement, per Bloomberg. Oil prices have remained tempered due to mounting concerns around China's economy.
Persons: Brent, Alexander Novak, Vladimir Putin Organizations: Service, West Texas, Saudi Press Agency, OPEC, Bloomberg, UBS, CNBC, bbl Locations: Saudi Arabia, Russia, Wall, Silicon, 4Q23, Riyadh, Moscow, Beijing
CNN —Arnold Schwarzenegger is remembering a frightening moment that left him “freaking out” while recovering from open-heart surgery. “We made a mistake,” Schwarzenegger recalled the doctors saying to him in the YouTube video. Schwarzenegger, who had a congenital heart defect, has undergone heart surgery three times. In 2018, he had open-heart surgery to replace a pulmonary valve, following a previous pulmonary valve replacement in 1997. He also underwent heart surgery in 2020 to replace an aortic valve.
Persons: CNN — Arnold Schwarzenegger, , , ” Schwarzenegger, , Schwarzenegger, “ wobbling, Organizations: CNN, YouTube Locations: California
BUDAPEST, Aug 26 (Reuters) - Sweden's world record holder Armand Duplantis claimed his second consecutive world pole vault title on Saturday, but did not have a seventh world record in him on a steamy night in Budapest. "This was maybe the craziest atmosphere I've ever competed in so it meant a lot to be able to turn on a pole vault show for them. Duplantis has won 12 of 13 competitions this season, and has cleared 6.00m in a remarkable 50 different events. His most recent world record was 6.22 set in France in February. "But today never really felt like a world record competition.
Persons: Armand Duplantis, I'm, Duplantis, Ernest John Obiena, Katie Moon, Australia's Nina Kennedy, Kurtis Marschall, Christopher Nilsen, I'd, tantalisingly, Lori Ewing, Ken Ferris Organizations: Philippines, National Athletics Centre, Thomson Locations: BUDAPEST, Budapest, Stockholm, Australia, U.S, France
Take Five: Farewell to a bruising August
  + stars: | 2023-08-25 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., April 14, 2023. Other data such as consumer confidence, the state of manufacturing, and inflation, with the latest personal consumption expenditures index is also due. Line chart with data from Refinitiv Datstreamn shows U.S. unemployment rate and federal funds target rate from January 2021 to July 2023. Yet Thursday's flash euro area August inflation number, which follows releases from some member states, could be the decider. The world's most populous country is already concerned about the threat to production of several basic commodities, including rice and sugar.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Lewis Krauskopf, Kevin Buckland, Nigel Hunt, Dhara, payrolls, Bundesbank, buybacks, Xi Jinping, Karin Strohecker, Sharon Singleton Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, Federal Reserve, ECB, Reuters, Nino, Climate, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, China, Lewis, New York, Tokyo, Amsterdam, London, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Indonesia, Thailand
Big investors took a selective approach to China-based technology stocks in the second quarter, recent regulatory filings suggest. Technology stocks continued their upward trend during the second quarter, including a slew of 2022's China-based tech losers. The fund scooped up a fresh position in e-commerce company JD.com worth nearly $64 million, and bought up China-focused exchange-traded funds KraneShares CSI China Internet (KWEB) and iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) . Other hedge funds raising bets on the company included Third Point's Dan Loeb, while Viking Global's Ole Andreas Halvorsen opened a minor stake worth $77.7 million. Not every investor bet big on the sector during the second quarter.
Persons: David Tepper's, Point's Dan Loeb, Ole Andreas Halvorsen, Baidu, Management's Philippe Laffont, Dan Sundheim, Tiger Global's Chase Coleman, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Technology, Reuters, Retail, CSI China Internet, Viking, Li, PDD Holdings, Kanzhun Locations: China, Alibaba
China does Intel a small favor
  + stars: | 2023-08-16 | by ( Jonathan Guilford | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Aug 16 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Intel (INTC.O) can thank China later. The chipmaker on Wednesday terminated its $5.4 billion acquisition of Tower Semiconductor (TSEM.TA), after failing to secure approval from the country’s State Administration for Market Regulation. Beijing’s trustbusters are providing a helpful escape route from the intensifying technology trade war. Reuters GraphicsAdding Tower would have helped Intel boss Pat Gelsinger with his strategic pivot to making semiconductors designed by others. Tower uses old technology, however, while Intel’s new customers, including the U.S. Department of Defense and Qualcomm, want cutting-edge fabrication.
Persons: Pat Gelsinger, MaxLinear, China’s, Jeffrey Goldfarb, Sharon Lam Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Intel, Reuters, Tower Semiconductor, Administration, Market, NXP Semiconductors, U.S . Department of Defense, Qualcomm, Wall Street Journal, Motion Technology, Cisco Systems, Acacia Communications, Thomson Locations: San Diego , California, China, country’s, Washington, Beijing
A subatomic particle called the muon is wobbling far more than leading physics models can explain. Its unusual behavior could be evidence of a fifth force of nature or a new dimension. And the reason could be evidence of a new, fifth force of nature. But there are still cosmic wonders we don't understand — mysteries that the discovery of a fifth force of nature may help solve. One possible explanation is that the muons' behavior is dictated by a fifth force of nature.
Persons: Aylin Woodward, Einstein, Rosen, Brendan Casey, Graziano Venanzoni Organizations: Service, Fermi, Accelerator Laboratory, Fermilab, Brookhaven National Lab Locations: Wall, Silicon
China's sputtering growth and property market hurdles have led to comparisons with Japan's troubles in the 1990s. But key differences remain and China's economy isn't yet at the level of Japan's crisis 30 years ago. China's National Bureau of Statistics reported that the consumer price index dropped 0.3% annually in July, tipping the economy into deflation and fueling reminiscences of Japan in the early 1990s. Only this year have Japan's stock markets returned within range of the highs seen in 1990. Real estate prices in Japan fell about two-thirds, and the stock market still has never got back to where it was in 1989.
Persons: David Dollar Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, China's National Bureau of Statistics, Financial Times, Nikkei, Brookings Institute, Brookings Locations: China, Wall, Silicon, Beijing, Japan, 1Q23, Tokyo, United States, Real
"I am thinking of leaving my vote blank," said Micaela Panzera, a 22-year-old employee of a food company in Buenos Aires. We have seen warning signs of this in the provincial elections held up to now," said political analyst Carlos Fara. Pollsters see the combined Together for Change opposition candidates just ahead of the ruling Peronist bloc, with Milei pulling close to 20%. In the 2019 primary the polls were proved badly wrong. Reporting by Nicolás Misculin; Additional reporting by Candelaria Grimberg; Editing by Adam Jourdan and Jonathan OatisOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Horacio Larreta, Sergio Massa, Micaela Panzera, Patricia Bullrich, Javier Milei, Goldman Sachs, Carlos Fara, Nicolás Misculin, Candelaria Grimberg, Adam Jourdan, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: Peronist, International Monetary Fund, Buenos Aires, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Change, Thomson Locations: BUENOS AIRES, Buenos Aires
Another Big Chinese Property Domino Is Wobbling
  + stars: | 2023-08-05 | by ( Jacky Wong | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
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Persons: Dow Jones
Morning Bid: Retail, housing and banks test jaunty July
  + stars: | 2023-07-18 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike DolanThe benign July investment environment gets tested on Tuesday by updates on U.S. retail sales and housing while the corporate earnings season kicks back into gear with another sweep of bank reports. Consensus forecasts are for a modest rise in retail sales and industrial output last month, while the NAHB homebuilder index is expected to have ticked higher in July to underline the recent housing market recovery more broadly. U.S. stock futures were flat going into the open and 10-year Treasury yields ticked down to their lowest level of the month so far. Crude oil prices tried to find their footing after Monday's sharp drop and continue to sustain year-on-year losses of more than 25%. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
Persons: Mike Dolan, Wall, HSI, Evergrande, Goldman Sachs, Janet Yellen, Morgan Stanley, Lockheed Martin, Charles Schwab, JB Hunt, Michael Barr, Christina Fincher Organizations: New York Federal, Bank of America, Bank of New, Mellon, Novartis, Sandoz, Bank of New York Mellon, Lockheed, PNC Financial, Synchrony, JB, Federal, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Hong Kong, Treasuries, Canada
Altitude Meets Adrenaline: Running the Dolomites
  + stars: | 2023-06-23 | by ( Christopher Solomon | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
Fog smothers the meadows, pastures and peaks around Val Pusteria — the kinds of views we’ve waited a year to see. Finding the perfect routeTrail running, a sport that takes its participants away from paved roads, often to the hills and mountains, has exploded in popularity. The number of Americans who say they have taken part in trail running tripled between 2007 and 2021, according to the Outdoor Foundation, an arm of the Outdoor Industry Association, a recreation-industry trade group. The Dolomites, an Italian mountain range with staggering limestone pinnacles, great food and an extensive web of trails, have emerged as a top destination. Runners now tackle several of the Dolomites’ Alta Vias (“high ways”) that have traditionally been hiking routes.
Persons: smothers, Pusteria, we’ve, Heidi wobbling Organizations: Outdoor Foundation, Outdoor Industry Association Locations: United States
BUENOS AIRES/NEW YORK, June 18 (Reuters) - Argentina and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) have a $44 billion dilemma, with the two sides set to meet for crunch talks to revamp the country's huge, wobbling debt deal, key to avoiding default on billions in looming debt payments. Economy Minister Sergio Massa is expected in Washington as early as this week to try to unlock talks to accelerate IMF disbursements and ease economic targets attached to the deal, with investors and traders watching closely. "The fund knows that Argentina is a problem, it is its main debtor, but it seems to me that the negotiation has stagnated. Reuters Graphics'DAMAGE CONTROL'The government is hoping to bring forward over $10 billion in IMF disbursements scheduled for this year, though is reluctant to agree to tough austerity measures with an eye on October general elections where it faces likely defeat. "Investors are paying real attention to signs from the IMF negotiations," said economist Gustavo Ber.
Persons: Sergio Massa, Ricardo Delgado, Massa, Hugo Godoy, Gustavo Ber, Walter Bianchi, Rodrigo Campos, Adam Jourdan, Daniel Wallis Organizations: BUENOS AIRES, International Monetary Fund, Economy, IMF, Reuters Graphics, Reuters, Institute of International Finance, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson Locations: BUENOS, Argentina, Washington, Argentine, Buenos Aires, China
But that’s not the case for everyone: The ultra-wealthy are doing just fine, and Wall Street firms are taking advantage of that. Germany, the largest economy in Europe, has slipped into recession as energy price shocks took their toll on consumer spending. In the past 10 weeks, JPMorgan Global Wealth Management opened 40,000 new accounts. Last year, it added around one new client with assets of $100 million or more per day, Mary Erdoes, head of asset and wealth management at the bank, told investors last week. Dollar General customers turn to food banksDollar General (DG) stock had one of its worst days ever on Thursday.
Persons: New York CNN —, that’s, JPMorgan Chase, Andy Cohen, Mary Erdoes, It’s, Goldman Sachs, Louis Vuitton, Dom Pérignon, Dior, Huw Roberts, Hermes —, Roberts, , Erwan, , Gregory Daco, Allison Morrow, Jeff Owen, Owen, Cash, They’re, Elisabeth Buchwald, Treasury hasn’t, Biden Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Wall, JPMorgan, Bloomberg, JPMorgan Global Wealth Management, Citigroup, International Monetary Fund, Lamborghini, HSBC, EY, Dollar, Treasury, US Treasury Locations: New York, China, United States, Germany, Europe, BlackRock
The European Central Bank is tightening as well to combat surging prices, with rates at levels not seen since the Great Financial Crisis in 2008. In addition, central bank tightening can also lead to a decline in bitcoin prices." "There's no doubt that bitcoin's price as well as wider crypto market movements are directly impacted by the US Federal Reserve and central bank policies. "We can therefore expect a continued disenfranchisement with the US dollar and uptake of bitcoin and other crypto assets. This will be reflected in price and we can surely expect upward price movements in bitcoin, even in 2023," Caselin told Insider.
Persons: Bitcoin, , Tacking, Christine Lagarde, Birgham Santos, Santos, Ben Caselin, bitcoin, Caselin Organizations: Service, Traders, Federal, European Central Bank, Lama, US Federal Reserve Locations: solana, bitcoin
About $80 billion in office loans come due this year, threatening defaults. High-profile owners like Blackstone and Brookfield have walked away from major office loans as high interest rates and tighter lending levels have made refinancing debts more costly. Some analysts have even said that commercial real estate debt is the next big danger for the stock market. The leading research firm analyzing commercial real estate debt, Trepp, has a front-row seat to the reckoning. Office landlords' leasing, and therefore revenue, has fallen significantly due to the rise of remote work.
May 3 (Reuters) - PacWest Bancorp (PACW.O) is exploring strategic options including a sale or capital raising, a source familiar with the matter said, sending the shares of the bank and several other U.S. regional lenders tumbling in after-market trading. The Phoenix-based regional lender said it was "reaffirming its financial strength as well as its deposit growth guidance in response to recent industry events." PacWest stock has lost almost 90% of its value since the regional banking crisis started on March 8. Zion Bancorp (ZION.O), First Horizon (FHN.N) and Comerica (CMA.N) each slumped more than 7% and the SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE.P) dropped 5%. The cost of insuring against further losses in regional U.S. bank stocks stood on Wednesday near a one-month high in options markets.
As each domino falls, the next weakest bank begins to wobble," billionaire investor Bill Ackman wrote in a tweet. PacWest stock has lost almost 90% of its value since the regional banking crisis started on March 8. Zion Bancorporation (ZION.O), Comerica (CMA.N) and First Horizon (FHN.N) each slumped more than 7% and the SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE.P) dropped 5%. The cost of insuring against further losses in regional U.S. bank stocks stood on Wednesday near a one-month high in options markets. On Wednesday a source said the lender was looking at options that include a potential sale or capital raise.
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