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☆ Here are stocks overlooked and ready for a hot streak and crowded trades ready to cool off
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( Morgan Chittum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

That's the conclusion of a new Morgan Stanley research report, which makes us feel really good about where we stand on both Club stocks. Each quarter, Morgan Stanley looks at under-owned stocks and over-owned stocks — basically which ones are overlooked and ready for a hot streak and which ones are crowded and ready to cool off. However, Morgan Stanley said Meta kept its most over-owned crown — and coincidently, its shares closed lower. To be sure, Morgan Stanley maintained an overweight rating on Apple shares. META YTD mountain Meta Platforms (META) year-to-date performance Conversely, Morgan Stanley said Meta's average active institutional ownership increased by 18 basis points quarter-over-quarter.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, We're, Meta, Morgan Stanley's, Microsoft's, We're bullish, Mark Zuckerberg's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Justin Tallis Organizations: Microsoft, Meta, Morgan, Apple, DOJ, Nvidia, Oracle, Broadcom, CNBC, Getty Locations: China

U.S. Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. Deutsche Bank's CVIX (.DBCVIX) - the currency market's version of Wall St's "fear index" of stock volatility and a weighted average of implied "vol" in nine major pairings - has basically imploded. By driving short-term dollar cash rates and U.S. bond yields higher over the past 20 months, the Fed basically sucked cash from the wider investment world and supercharged dollar exchange rates everywhere. Now that it looks done, the buck's finally on the back foot - plumbing levels not seen since August. With implied volatility directionally biased, the dollar index and the CVIX are typically well correlated and both peaked in tandem in same month of September last year.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Deutsche Bank's, Chris Turner, Francesco Pesole, BOJ, BOE, Marcelli, Morgan Stanley, Matthew Hornbach, David Evans Organizations: REUTERS, Deutsche, U.S, ING, Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Bank of Japan, European Central Bank and Bank of England, ECB, UBS Global Wealth, Treasury, Thomson Locations: Ukraine, U.S . Federal, Japan, U.S

☆ How big should any one stock in your portfolio get? Here's a way to figure it out
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-05 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

We always recommend an investor's first $10,000 should go to an S & P 500 index fund. So one option for putting all your money to work without making any one stock position too big is to keep adding to your index fund. Or maybe you own five names at 8% each, 15% in cash, and the remaining 45% in an index fund. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Scott L, Jim, Josh Edelson Organizations: Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, CNBC, Apple's Worldwide, Afp, Getty Locations: Cupertino , California

[1/3] A state oil company PDVSA's logo is seen at a gas station in Caracas, Venezuela May 17, 2019. The restrictions were removed in response to a deal reached between the country's government and opposition parties for the 2024 election. JPMorgan's index team, which has made no statement as yet on the future treatment of the Venezuelan bonds, has reached out informally to investors to discuss the topic, the sources said. Venezuela and PDVSA have around $60 billion of international bonds outstanding, which are in default. The decision on index membership and weighting is taken by JPMorgan, though any changes usually follow consultations with investors.

Persons: Ivan Alvarado, Rodrigo Campos, Jorgelina, Rosario, Karin Strohecker, Christina Fincher, Nick Zieminski Organizations: REUTERS, JPMorgan, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Caracas, Venezuela, United States, PDVSA, Washington

☆ How our stocks have performed since the bear market bottom a year ago — and the lesson learned
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-12 | by ( Kevin Stankiewicz | In Kevinstankiewicz | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

The S & P 500 closed at its bear market low a year ago Thursday — ending Oct. 12, 2022, at its lowest close since November 2020 . In hindsight, that dramatic turnaround was the start of a rally that saw the S & P 500 climb 22% from the close on Oct. 12, 2022, through Wednesday. Palo Alto Networks, meanwhile, has successfully pivoted to profitability, joining the S & P 500 as a result, and repeatedly demonstrated the quality of its cybersecurity platform. Indeed, an exchange-traded fund that gives each S & P 500 constituent the same influence — the Invesco S & P 500 Equal Weight ETF — has advanced only 11.2% since Oct. 12, 2022. Viewed through the top-heavy rally lens, though, it's not a surprise to see a number of Club stocks underperforming the S & P 500.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Jim, they're, That's, ChatGPT, Eli Lilly's, that's, There's, we've, it's, didn't, Estee Lauder, Jim Cramer's, Michael Nagle Organizations: Nvidia, Meta, Broadcom, Oracle, Microsoft, Facebook, Palo Alto Networks, Coterra Energy, Costco, Procter, Gamble, GE Healthcare, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: Mounjaro

☆ Bet on a rebound in China using these ETFs, Citigroup says
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-19 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

China may finally be poised for an economic rebound, and several exchange-traded funds give U.S. investors a way to play it, according to Citigroup. We prefer following our economists and positioning for upside in China Equity ETFs as we may be nearing a cyclical bottom," the note said. The funds that are most correlated to the Chinese economy are the Xtrackers Harvest CSI 300 China A-Shares ETF (ASHR) and iShares MSCI China A ETF (CNYA) , according to Citi's analysis. ASHR YTD mountain Chinese ETFs like the ASHR have struggled in 2023 For investors who want a little more risk and potential upside in China, tech-focused ETFs could be a smarter play. Investing in China has been a volatile bet over the years, and all the ETFs listed above have been long-term underperformers compared with the S & P 500.

Persons: Scott Chronert, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Citigroup, Citi, China Equity, CSI China Internet, China Technology Locations: China

☆ Morning Bid: No calm before the central bank storm
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-19 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Kevin BucklandEurope yet again wakes up to a swathe of red in Asian markets on Tuesday. Japanese markets were closed on Monday for a national holiday, so are only now catching up on the TSMC news. Trading was volatile, with Hong Kong's property share subindex (.HSMPI), for example, swinging from an early 1.7% loss to be slightly up by lunchtime. Reuters Graphics Reuters GraphicsThursday is packed, with the Bank of England, Swiss National Bank, Riksbank, and Norges Bank. Certainly FX and rates markets are taking notice of the calendar, with the dollar and Treasury yields content to trade in tight ranges just below recent highs.

Persons: Kevin Buckland, Hong, Sunac, Kazuo Ueda's, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Nikkei, HK, Sunac China Holdings, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Bank of England, Swiss National Bank, Riksbank, Norges Bank, of Japan, Yomiuri, Treasury, Thomson Locations: Kevin Buckland Europe

☆ Bank of America: Hedge funds are unusually bullish about these 20 stocks as they brace for tough times in markets
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-26 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Here are 20 stocks that hedge funds are gravitating toward in this uncertain market. Although several economic signals have offered investors reasons for optimism right now, hedge funds can't seem to shake their cautious convictions. Bank of AmericaManagers of hedge funds and long-only funds have shifted toward defensive stocks over the last few years, according to Bank of America. 20 stocks hedge funds love nowWhile hedge funds are playing defense until further notice, that's not to say they're bearish. Below are the 20 stocks that hedge funds are unusually bullish about along with the ticker, sector, and net relative weight in hedge funds for each.

Persons: Savita Subramanian, defensives, Subramanian, that's Organizations: Bank of America, BofA's, Equity Locations: defensives, —

☆ Turkey curbs credit card use for foreign travel, in blow to sector
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-01 | by ( Ceyda Caglayan | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

ISTANBUL, Aug 1 (Reuters) - Turkey's banking watchdog has stopped allowing credit card payments by instalment for foreign travel, such as flights, travel agency fees and accommodation, in a step seen dealing a blow to foreign travel operators. The move, which hit airline shares and was seen as curbing foreign currency outflows, was one of two measures announced by the BDDK watchdog late on Monday, which it said were among coordinated steps to strengthen financial stability. "The logic (of the step) is 'citizens shouldn't go abroad and spend foreign currency'," he said, adding that the foreign travel sector was also being hit by increasing difficulties faced by Turks in securing tourist visas. The credit card move also had an impact on airline share prices, with Turkish Airlines (THYAO.IS) dipping 1.3% and the airline Pegasus (PGSUS.IS) dropping 2.3%. ($1 = 26.9618 liras)Reporting by Ebru Tuncay; Editing by Daren Butler and Emelia Sithole-MatariseOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Cem Polatoglu, shouldn't, Ebru Tuncay, Daren Butler, Emelia Organizations: Turks, Turkish, Turkish Airlines, Pegasus, Thomson Locations: ISTANBUL

☆ Morning Bid: Big Tech litmus test as Fed gather
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-25 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The wider blue-chip CSI 300 Index (.CSI300) snapped a six-day losing streak to pop 3% and buying from state banks propped the yuan. Both oil and Treasury yields gave back some of those gains again today, however, with year-on-year crude price declines still tracking more than 21%. There was little ostensible reaction to the formal rebalancing of the Nasdaq 100 (.NDX) index that pared weightings of several of the big caps to reduce "over-concentration". The approach of Wednesday's Fed decision may limit market moves until then. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Mike Dolan, sagged, Dow Jones bluechips, Alphabet's, Clark, Chubb, Paccar, Sherwin, Williams, Archer, Ed Osmond Organizations: Big Tech, Microsoft, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, ebbing, Nasdaq, Google, Texas, NextEra Energy, Visa, GE, GM, Dow, Verizon, Universal Health, Daniels, Richmond Fed, Philadelphia Fed, Federal, Market, Monetary Fund, Treasury, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Hong, Europe, China, Danaher, Corning, Kimberly, Biogen, Dover, Nucor, Midland

☆ What’s ahead this week for Wall Street and the economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-23 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Case Shiller house price index for May and consumer confidence for July from the Conference Board. Earnings reports from AT&T, Boeing, Meta Platforms, Mattel, Stellantis and Chipotle Mexican Grill. Earnings reports from Coca-Cola, Mondelez, Honeywell, Keurig Dr Pepper, Royal Caribbean, Anheuser-Busch Inbev, Southwest Airlines and Hershey. Friday: Personal Consumption Expenditures price index for June, Employment Cost Index for the second quarter and University of Michigan consumer sentiment for July. Earnings reports from Procter & Gamble, Chevron and Exxon Mobil.

Persons: Jerome Powell, David Smith, Powell, Christopher Waller, ”, Dustin Thackeray, Tesla, Chris Isidore, —, Case, Dr Pepper Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, CNN, Fed, Traders, Rockland Trust, Big Tech, Microsoft, Meta, Crewe Advisors, Nasdaq, Netflix, Safety, Health Administration, doesn’t, Biden Administration, Bureau of Labor Statistics —, Ryanair, Federal Reserve, Conference Board, General Motors, Daniels, Midland, Verizon, PacWest, Boeing, Mattel, Honeywell, Anheuser, Busch Inbev, Southwest Airlines, Hershey, University of Michigan, Procter & Gamble, Chevron, Exxon Mobil Locations: Rockland, American, United States, PacWest Bank, Royal Caribbean

☆ Global shares slip, dollar soars vs yen on BoJ policy expectations
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-21 | by ( Herbert Lash | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

[1/3] Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 19, 2023. The yen weakened 1.19% to 141.77 per dollar, while the dollar index , a measure of the greenback against major trading currencies, rose 0.31%. "None of them are happening with massive severity, but the longer we go on with higher rates, more and more that's going to come through," he said. BOJ policymakers prefer to scrutinize more data to ensure wages and inflation keep rising before changing yield control policy, five sources familiar with the matter said. "Markets were building up expectations which now look unlikely to play out," said Guillaume Paillat, a multi-asset manager at Aviva Investors.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, BoJ, Dow, Garrett Melson, Mullarkey, Patrick Spencer, Guillaume Paillat, Brent, Herbert Lash, Naomi Rovnick, Stella Qiu, Conor Humphries, David Holmes, Marguerita Choy, Cynthia Osterman Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Fed, ECB, Reuters, Bank of Japan, U.S . Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Nasdaq, Investment, Microsoft Corp, Apple Inc, SLC Management, Baird, Microsoft, Apple, NYSE, Aviva Investors, Treasury, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Boston, London, MSCI's U.S, Europe, China, Sydney

Gold prices slipped as the dollar rebounded to its highest level in more than a week as investors prepare for next week's big central bank policy meetings, including the BoJ, the U.S. Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank. The yen weakened 1.13% to 141.68 per dollar, while the dollar index , a measure of the greenback against major trading currencies, rose 0.36%. BoJ policymakers prefer to scrutinize more data to ensure wages and inflation keep rising before changing yield control policy, five sources familiar with the matter said. The report added there was no consensus within the central bank and the decision could still be a close call. As Japanese inflation has stayed above the BoJ's target, traders have bet on the central bank ditching its yield curve control program, a move likely to cause the yen to strengthen.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, BoJ, Garrett Melson, Patrick Spencer, Spencer, you've, Guillaume Paillat, Brent, Herbert Lash, Naomi Rovnick, Stella Qiu, Conor Humphries, David Holmes, Marguerita Choy Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Fed, ECB, Reuters, Bank of Japan, U.S . Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Investment, Nasdaq, Baird, Microsoft Corp, Apple Inc, NYSE, Aviva Investors, Treasury, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Boston, Europe, China, London

☆ The Investing Club's top 10 things to watch in the stock market Friday
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-21 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The Club's top 10 things to watch Friday, July 21 1. Morgan Stanley raised its price target on Eli Lilly to $560 a share, up from $551. KeyBanc raised its price target on Club holding Palo Alto Networks (PANW) to $285 a share, from $242, while maintaining an overweight weighting on the stock. Stifel raised its price target on Club holding Meta Platforms (META) to $336 a share, from $280, while maintaining a buy rating on the stock. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.

Persons: it's, Z, Morgan Stanley, Eli Lilly, KeyBanc, SLB, Halliburton, SVB Leerink, Johnson, Stifel, DA Davidson, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Nasdaq, American Express, Novo Nordisk, Palo Alto Networks, Johnson, . Railroad, CSX, Microsoft, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: millennials

☆ Glencore expects 2023 trading unit profits of up to $4 bln
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

LONDON, July 21 (Reuters) - Glencore (GLEN.L) on Friday said it expects profits at its trading division this year of up to $4 billion, exceeding its long-term annual guidance. It expects full-year trading earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) to be between $3.5 and $4 billion. The group left its overall 2023 guidance for copper unchanged at 1.04 million metric tons, even as production fell by 10% to 488,000 tons in the first half. "Our full-year production guidance remains unchanged from earlier guidance," boss Gary Nagle said in a release. "Second-half volume weightings in copper, zinc and nickel reflect higher expected production volumes from Collahuasi, Kazzinc, Mount Isa and INO."

Persons: Gary Nagle, Mount Isa, INO, Clara Denina, Jason Neely, Jan Harvey Organizations: Democratic, Thomson Locations: Katanga, Democratic Republic of Congo, DRC

☆ Friday will be an active day on Wall Street with a major index overhaul and options expiration
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-21 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

"We estimate that this Friday will be the largest July-options-expiration on record driven by continued growth in index and ETF options volumes. The other major change is a special rebalance of the Nasdaq 100 Index , which takes effect at the start of trading on Monday. The Nasdaq 100 rebalance will dilute the impact of the largest stocks in the index. The changes could force index funds and other investment products benchmarked to the Nasdaq 100 to adjust their holdings. The Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ), which tracks the Nasdaq 100, manages more than $200 billion in assets.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, John Marshall, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Goldman, Nasdaq, Big Tech, Microsoft, Nvidia, Broadcom Locations: New York City, U.S

☆ Nothing can keep tech down. Here's how that affects our thinking about stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-17 | by ( Matthew J. Belvedere | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Big Tech keeps getting price target hikes Watch for earnings from three Club names Not all semis are liked as much as Nvidia 1. Big Tech gets price target hikes Stocks look like they're trying for gains Monday after strong weekly performances for the Dow , the S & P 500 and the Nasdaq . THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, MSFT, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, Johnson, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Big Tech, Nvidia, Dow, Nasdaq, Microsoft, Wall Street, Halliburton, HAL, Nvidia Citi, Citi, Devices, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: India, Wells

☆ A breakdown of the changes to the Nasdaq-100 and what it means for mega-cap tech stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-17 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The biggest stocks in the market will soon get taken down a peg or two, at least on paper. The seven largest stocks in the Nasdaq-100 will be diluted down to 44% of the index from the current 56%. The changes mean the Invesco QQQ Trust and other funds that closely follow the index will need to sell some of the biggest stocks in the market this week. "Nasdaq slashed the NDX weight of AAPL from 20% to 12%, but this change had no clear negative effect on the stock's performance. The rebalance comes as the increased concentration of large-cap tech stocks has raised concerns the current market rally is unsustainable.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, Lori Calvasina, Bram Kaplan, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nasdaq, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Broadcom, RBC Capital Markets, JPMorgan

☆ Collective embrace of soft landing economic scenario extends 2023 rally after welcome drop in CPI
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-15 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Now, especially after the sturdy June jobs report as week ago and the reassuringly cool CPI print on Wednesday, this is something closer to the prevailing view. The market all year has been acting as if inflation and the Fed's aggressive war against it were mostly 2022 problems. The wobble in early July after a blockbuster ADP employment report sent Treasury yields flying was over in a day. Passing these tests, and now having seen market strength broaden significantly since the end of May, belief is replacing doubt. And last quarter, the S & P went choppily sideways for the first month of reporting season.

Persons: it's, what's Organizations: Federal, Treasury, Investment, National Association of Active Investment, Deutsche, Nasdaq, Bulls, Wall, & $ Locations: what's

☆ The Nasdaq-100 index is getting a makeover. Here's how
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-14 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

CNN —The Nasdaq-100 index is getting a fresh look. What happened: The index comprises 100 of the largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq. Seven companies listed in the Nasdaq-100 accounted for roughly 51% of the index as of June 3, according to a note by Louis Navellier, chairman of Navellier & Associates. The Nasdaq is looking to fix that problem – without changing any of the stocks in the index. Nasdaq won’t remove or add any stocks to the index during this rebalance, according to the release.

Persons: Louis Navellier, Apple, Donald Calcagni, ”, What’s, Cameron Lilja, Bob Iger, Ron DeSantis, Tucker Carlson, ” Iger, Read, Hanna Ziady Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, CNN, Nasdaq, Navellier, Associates, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, Apple, Mercer Advisors, Stocks, Florida Gov, Disney, Fox News, CNBC, McKinsey Global Institute Locations: Europe, Florida

☆ Central banks in Asia could soon diverge from the Fed, Nomura says
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-11 | by ( Jihye Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Francois Lochon | Gamma-rapho | Getty ImagesCentral banks in Asia could start cutting rates earlier than the Federal Reserve, economists at Nomura predicted. "Our view of Asian central banks cutting policy rates ahead of the Fed in this cycle is based on the fundamental divergences between Asian and U.S. economies," Nomura economists wrote. China's producer prices have already entered deflation territory, while South Korea's inflation hovered around 2.7%, nearing its central bank's target. Seoul could start cutsNomura expects the Bank of Korea to be one of the first central banks after China to cut rates. They pointed to the central bank's governor Rhee Chang-yong shrugging off investor concerns about a weakening South Korean currency.

Persons: Francois Lochon, Sonal Varma, Nomura, lockdowns, BOK, Rhee Chang, Rhee Organizations: Getty, Federal Reserve, Nomura, Federal, Bank of, CNBC, Korean, U.S Locations: Seoul, South, Asia, U.S, China, sputter, Indonesia, Philippines, India, Korea, Singapore, Bank of Korea

SummaryCompanies JPMorgan gains on Jefferies' upgrade ahead of earningsMegacaps recover after dip ahead of Nasdaq 100 rebalanceFutures up: Dow 0.02%, S&P 0.11%, Nasdaq 0.16%July 11 (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures inched higher on Tuesday ahead of key inflation data that could support a sooner-than-expected end to the Federal Reserve's rapid interest-rate hikes. "The big-cap Nasdaq index is going to adjust weightings vs. a full addition or deletion. Also, far more money tracks the S&P 500, which is why S&P 500 component changes get a lot more attention than Nasdaq 100 moves." The S&P 500 banks index (.SPXBK) has shed 9% so far this year in the aftermath of the biggest crisis since 2008 that pummeled regional lenders. The sub-index is underperforming the benchmark S&P 500 index (.SPX), which has notched a 14.9% gain.

Persons: Joshua Warner, Hogan, Jefferies, Johann M Cherian, Shinjini Ganguli, Arun Koyyur Organizations: JPMorgan, Jefferies, Nasdaq, Dow, Federal, Fed, Index, Treasury, Nasdaq Inc, Riley, Dow e, JPMorgan Chase, Zions Bancorp, Truist, Thomson Locations: U.S, Bengaluru

☆ The Fed has rolled out a new index for gauging the economy that could have big implications
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-08 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The Federal Reserve is changing the way it looks at "financial conditions," a move that could have important ramifications for policy ahead. The Fed has been using a series of interest rate increases to tighten financial conditions and, ultimately, to bring down inflation. Essentially, the move allows the Fed to distance itself from other financial conditions models, such as those formulated by Goldman Sachs and the Chicago Fed . By contrast, the Chicago Fed index's current reading is -0.28, implying relatively loose conditions. Capital Economics noted that the FCI-G "does a better job of illustrating the tightness of US financial conditions than various other measures."

Persons: they've, Krishna Guha, Jerome, Powell, Guha, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Federal, Evercore ISI, Fed, Chicago Fed, Treasury, Dow Jones, U.S, FCI

☆ How we're thinking about all 11 stock market sectors heading into Friday's key jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-06 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +11 min

While the natural inclination is to cheer a strong jobs market, investors are responding with a boo and bailing out of risk assets. The thinking goes like this: If people are at work and the labor market is stronger than expected, the ability of the consumer to absorb higher prices is also greater than previously thought. If the ability to absorb higher prices is greater than expected, above target (2%) inflation can last longer than estimated, regardless of the current fed funds rate. If the current fed funds rate isn't stopping hiring and consumers' ability to absorb higher prices, the rate simply isn't high enough. Energy is tough: We really need China's reopening to pick up as demand will be the key to higher energy prices.

Persons: —, — it's, it's, Staples, Eli Lilly, we've, Friday's nonfarm, We're, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Federal Reserve, Apple, Nvidia, American Electric Power, Treasury, Silicon Valley Bank, Constellation Brands, Management, GE Healthcare, Technology, Linde, LIN, Energy, buybacks, Microsoft, Verizon, Disney, Procter & Gamble, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: Silicon, U.S, Friday's, New York City

The research arm of BlackRock, the world's biggest asset manager, shifted its view on Japanese equities to neutral from underweight. "We are looking for more evidence of corporate reform to support the enthusiasm for its equity markets that has gripped foreign investors so far this year," wrote analysts at BlackRock Investment Institute, in its mid-year outlook report last week. "It's not the case that we've already seen the completion of offshore investors' quite aggressive investment in Japan equity markets," said Nomura's chief equity strategist for Japan, Yunosuke Ikeda. "Now, a lot of asset owners have decided just not to invest in China any more, and that's made Japan the top dog in Asia." Many analysts and investors, though, consider the declines a healthy and necessary retracement before the next leg higher, with 35,000 often touted as a target for this year as slower-moving foreign investors start to buy in size.

Persons: Nomura, It's, Yunosuke Ikeda, Archie Ciganer, Rowe Price, Ciganer, that's, Warren Buffett, Vikas Pershad, Kevin Buckland, Ankur Banerjee, Junko Fujita, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: Nikkei, BlackRock Investment Institute, Nomura Securities, Graphics, G Investments, Thomson Locations: TOKYO, Japan, BlackRock, China, Asia, Tokyo, Singapore

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