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Specifically, he warned about traders taking the 10-year Treasury yield , a bond market benchmark, above 5% — a level it hasn't seen since mid-2007. To be sure, there are myriad reasons why the bond market has been in a state of tumult since mid-September, political considerations of a second Trump term being just one of them. "The bond market could easily nullify the impacts of another rate cut. That's because the bond market believes the Fed is cutting rates by too much, too soon, and is therefore raising long-term inflation expectations. It could carry "higher tariffs and mass deportations, which triggers stagflation in the US including a second inflation spike," the bank said.
Persons: Donald Trump, Chip Somodevilla, Kamala Harris, Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, Trump, Harris, Kumar, it's, Karen Dynan, Trump's, Peterson, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Fiserv, Republican National Convention, Treasury, Trump, Reserve, Bond, Yardeni Research, Sri, Kumar, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Republicans Locations: Milwaukee , Wisconsin, United States
Now, the inflation rate is nearly back to normal – miraculously, without the recession and loss of millions of jobs that many predicted. Harris also gets that the economic anxiety fueled by inflation has helped boost the popularity of her opponent, former President Donald Trump. And he’s got a point: The inflation rate never exceeded 3% under Trump – a far cry from the four-decade high of 9.1% under Biden. “I will end inflation,” Trump told a roaring crowd of supporters in battleground North Carolina on Wednesday. More than two-thirds of economists (68%) surveyed by The Wall Street Journal say prices will be higher under Trump than Harris.
Persons: Joe Biden’s, It’s, Kamala Harris, Harris, ” Harris, Donald Trump, he’s, Trump, Biden, it’s, Moody’s, ” Trump, , aren’t, Trump’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, White, Federal Reserve, Trump, Biden, Wall Locations: New York, Russia, Ukraine, North Carolina, China, Mexico
Like first-time buyers, the typical repeat buyer has gotten older, with their median age increasing to 61 years from 58 last year. Repeat buyers’ median household income rose to $114,300 from $111,700 in the last year, as well, according to the NAR. First-time homebuyers may have trouble competing with repeat buyers, who could possibly have sold an existing home to purchase a new one. Repeat buyers were able to enter the housing market with much larger down payments (median 23%) than first-time homebuyers (median 9%). Thirty-one percent of repeat buyers paid all cash for their homes.
Persons: homebuyers, homebuyer, , Jessica Lautz, ” Lautz Organizations: CNN, National Association of Realtors, NAR Locations: America
The euro rose 0.4% to $1.0876 but faces resistance around $1.0905, while the dollar dipped 0.3% on the yen to 152.45 yen . Analysts believe Trump's policies on immigration, tax cuts and tariffs would put upward pressure on inflation, bond yields and the dollar, while Harris was seen as the continuity candidate. "A Harris win and a split Congress would likely result in 'Trump trades' quickly reversed and priced out," he added. Uncertainty over the outcome is one reason markets assume the Federal Reserve will choose to cut rates by a standard 25 basis points on Thursday, rather than repeat its outsized half-point easing. Futures imply a 99% chance of a quarter-point cut to 4.50%-4.75%, and an 83% probability of a similar-sized move in December.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Republican Donald Trump, Harris, Chris Weston, Trump, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius Organizations: Democratic, Republican, Dealers, Trump, Reserve, of England, Norges Bank, Reserve Bank of Australia, Labor, China's National People's Congress, Reuters Locations: Asia, United States, Iowa, Treasuries, gilts, Beijing
Whoever is elected the 47th president of the United States will start with a rare and clear advantage: a remarkably solid economy. Tuesday’s election will show how much that all matters to voters, who will soon decide which candidate they want to entrust the economy to from here. But to regular American households, it’s more of a “Yes, but” economy: Yes, the job market is strong, but my boss wants me in five days a week, and that doesn’t work for me anymore. Yes, inflation has fallen, but I can’t afford day care. Prices across the rest of the service economy were 4.7% higher overall, and medical care was up 3.9%.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Spencer Platt, Yuki Iwamura, they’re, Helene, Milton, Patrick T, Fallon, Harris, , Greg Valliere, Joe Biden wasn’t, Trump, Karoline Leavitt, “ Kamala Organizations: Investment, Stock, Getty, Consumer, Bloomberg, CNBC, First Street Foundation, NBC, AGF Investments, Biden Locations: United States, Ukraine, Israel
The United States is preparing for civil unrest surrounding the election. Election Day itself isn't as high of a risk as the postelection period, analysts say. AdvertisementThe turmoil that took place after the last US presidential election has left its mark. In the final stretch before Election Day, it seems like everyone — from voter advocacy groups and election officials to risk management and security companies — is preparing for civil unrest. The company said the peaceful 2022 midterm elections showed that the threat of civil violence remained comparatively low.
Persons: midterms, , Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Glen, Kucera, Rachel Brown, Brown, Jenny Kane, Chris Crawford, Verisk, Maplecroft, Robert Munks, Munks, Trump, Harris Organizations: Service, Allied Universal, National Task Force, Protect Democracy, United Locations: States, Washington and Oregon, Clark County , Washington, Portland , Oregon, Portland, United States, Brazil, Colombia, Chile, South Africa, France, Greece, Spain, Europe, New York, Los Angeles, Chicago, Houston, Americas
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEveryday investors buy Trump Media & Technology Group shares ahead of Election DayCNBC's Alex Harring reports on the spike in net inflows for Trump Media & Technology ahead of the 2024 presidential election.
Persons: Alex Harring Organizations: Trump Media & Technology Group, Trump Media & Technology
AdvertisementSummer is over, and this Sunday it's time to turn back the clocks, ending daylight-saving time for the year. "That's how fragile and susceptible your body is to even just one hour of lost sleep," sleep expert Matthew Walker, author of "How We Sleep," previously told Business Insider. Some lawmakers want permanent DST — others want standard time year-roundThe political debate over DST is fierce, unscientific, and deeply divided. In the 2018 midterms, voters opted to get rid of the annual clock change, to be in permanent daylight-saving time. Switching to permanent DST requires a green light from Congress, but states do not need federal approval to switch to permanent standard time.
Persons: , it's, Matthew Walker ,, That's, GOP Sen, Marco Rubio, Rubio, Akinbolaji Organizations: Service, American Medical Association, DST, Sleep Research Society, National Conference of State Legislatures, Protection, GOP, Senate, University of Minnesota Medical School Locations: Germany, Europe, Hawaii, Arizona, Indiana, Finland, California
Loading chart...LONDON — U.K. borrowing costs posted two days of gains right after the Labour government unveiled a huge package of borrowing and tax rises in its Wednesday budget — but analysts downplayed the possibility of a second "mini-budget" crisis in the British bond market. The 10-year gilt yield , representing medium-term borrowing costs for the government, was slightly lower on the day at 11:20 a.m. London time. Yields move inversely to prices, so higher yields represent a sell-off in bonds — and an aversion to funding U.K. debt. The incident sent bond yields soaring so rapidly, they threatened to destabilize pension funds. Loading chart..."The market is right to be concerned" about the U.K. fiscal outlook, Mohit Kumar, chief financial economist for Europe at Jefferies, told CNBC.
Persons: Rachel Reeves, Reeves, Liz Truss, BOE, Susannah Streeter, Hargreaves Lansdown, It's, Streeter, CNBC's, Sterling, Mohit Kumar, We've Organizations: LONDON, Labour, Wednesday, Bank of England, Deutsche Bank, Hargreaves, U.S ., Jefferies, CNBC Locations: London
But the true implications for investors monitoring the election may lie in which party controls Congress, rather than who will sit in the White House. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 The importance of whichever party controls Congress was highlighted by Trump's recent trips outside battleground states such as New Mexico , a state that hasn't voted for a GOP presidential nominee in roughly 20 years. On the other hand, Evercore ISI's Emanuel expects a Harris victory, with a Democratic sweep of Congress, could result in the S & P 500 falling to roughly 5,700. The S & P 500 slid 1%, while the Nasdaq dipped 0.5%. Earnings season continues with about 100 S & P 500 companies confirmed to report.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson, I'm, Abuhoff Jacobson, hasn't, Brian Burrell, Jay Hatfield, Harris, Hatfield, Evercore ISI's Julian Emanuel, Evercore ISI's Emanuel, Jerome Powell's, Ralph Lauren, Warner, Alex Harring Organizations: NBC, Congress, House, Democratic, Republican, Hartford Investments, GOP, Thornburg Investment Management, Infrastructure Capital Advisors, Senate, Wednesday, Regional Banking, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, National, Marriott International, Diamondback Energy, Wynn Resorts, Palantir Technologies, NXP Semiconductors, PMI, PMI Services, Services PMI, Petroleum, Brands, Technology, Computer, CVS, Howmet Aerospace, Gilead Sciences, Labor, Consumer, Moderna, Molson Coors Beverage, Halliburton, Hershey Co, Warner Bros, Expedia, Akamai Technologies, Paramount Locations: New Mexico, Albuquerque, Santa Fe , New Mexico, Hartford, Albemarle, Qualcomm, Michigan
He added, "Votes of union workers in the United States against tentative agreements tend to reflect the white-hot anger of union employees against their employers. Tentative agreements are their only chance for them to express their frustration with their employer and their anger at the way they have been treated." A BNSF spokesperson said it is planning to attend the formal national labor negotiations even as it has announced nine tentative union agreements, five of which have already been ratified. It also has tentative agreements with the International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers (IBEW), SMART-TD, SMART-TD-YDM (Yardmasters Department), the International Brotherhood of Boilermakers, and Iron Ship Builders (IBB). To date, Norfolk Southern has reached tentative agreements with 10 of its 13 unions, covering approximately 67% of its craft workforce.
Persons: Berkshire Hathaway, Jeremy Ferguson, Ferguson, Joe Biden, Richard Edelman, Mooney, Green, Murphy, Welch, Daniel Imbro, Stephen, Brotherhood of Railway Carmen, we've, Mark George, Imbro, it's Organizations: Union Pacific, CSX, BNSF, Canadian Pacific, Canadian Pacific Kansas City —, SMART, Railway Labor, National Carriers ' Conference Committee, Railroads, NSC, National Conference of Firemen, Oilers, Tran, Transportation Communications Union, TCU, Brotherhood of Railway, International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers, Yardmasters Department, International Brotherhood of Boilermakers, Iron Ship Builders, Norfolk, Norfolk Southern, National Carriers ' Locations: Southern, Berkshire, Canadian Pacific Kansas, United States, Norfolk Southern, Norfolk
CNN —Former President Donald Trump’s social media stock is plunging just ahead of the election, cutting deeply into his net worth. Truth Social owner Trump Media & Technology Group’s share price plunged another 9% on Friday after tumbling 12% Thursday and 22% Wednesday — Trump Media’s worst one-day loss since going public in March. Trump Media’s shares, which trade under the ticker “DJT,” have become a proxy for how traders think the presidential election will turn out. Trump Media did not release any major news that would explain the nosedive. The enormous gains boosted Trump Media’s value to $10.3 billion as of Tuesday’s close.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, , Trump, Kamala Harris, , Steve Sosnick, ” Sosnick, George Kailas, he’s, ” Kailas, Organizations: CNN, Truth Social, Trump Media & Technology, Trump, Trump Media’s, Interactive Brokers, Trump Media, ” Trump, Elon Musk, Similarweb, CBS, Paramount Global
New York CNN —The last three years have upended everything about the way we expect the economy to work. But the pandemic-era inflationary period played out unlike any other in history, and wealthy people made out like bandits. And that may be because the only real inflation we’ve seen in decades was a multi-year profit bonanza for them. And that has provided a permission structure for some wealthy Trump supporters to shrug their shoulders at his inflationary economic agenda. But it won’t be the same flavor of profit-driven inflation we’ve seen over the past three years.
Persons: CNN Business ’, That’s, Donald Trump’s, “ It’s, , Kent Smetters, , we’ve, ” It’s, He’s, Harris, Josh Bivens, Bivens, ” Bivens Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Wall, University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School, Trump, Wall Street Journal Locations: New York, Ukraine
Comcast is thinking about separating or spinning off NBCUniversal's cable networks. NBCUniversal's cable networks aren't growing anymore. That vision never materialized, in part because the media world's attention shifted from traditional pay TV to streaming, which devalued cable networks. The small media company wants to be the vehicle for a cable network rollup, CNBC reported in 2022. But even if Starz doesn't achieve its vision of a cable network rollup, it's possible a private equity firm may have interest in harvesting a group of cable networks for cash.
Persons: Mike Cavanagh, we'll, John Malone, Malone, Dolan Organizations: Comcast, Syfy, USA Network, MSNBC, CNBC, Lionsgate, Starz, AMC Networks, E Networks, Hearst, Disney, Warner Bros, Discovery, Warner Bros . Discovery, Equity, Apollo Global Management, Paramount Global, Yahoo
"All of these models have gotten quite complex and we can't ship as many things in parallel as we'd like to," Altman wrote during a Reddit AMA. Regarding the next version of DALL-E, Altman wrote that the "next update will be worth the wait" but that there's no "release plan yet." The move also positions OpenAI as more of a competitor to Microsoft, which has invested close to $14 billion in OpenAI. For Altman, Reddit isn't just a communications platform. WATCH: OpenAI takes on Google with ChatGPT search
Persons: Sam Altman, Altman, OpenAI, Sora, Kevin Weil, Srinivas Narayanan, Microsoft's Bing, Narayanan, Bing, Reddit isn't Organizations: Google, CNBC, AVM Vision, ChatGPT, Microsoft Locations: San Francisco , California, OpenAI, ChatGPT
AdvertisementThe US is on the cusp of a lithium boom after years of laying the groundwork for an electric-vehicle supply chain that doesn't rely on China. The three sites, expected to come online between 2026 and 2028, would massively increase the US's lithium supply. A Tiehm's buckwheat plant in Esmeralda County, Nevada, grows beside where the Rhyolite Ridge lithium-boron mine is planned. AdvertisementRowe said Ioneer redesigned the Rhyolite Ridge mine to limit its footprint in the critical habitat of the endangered wildflower, Tiehm's buckwheat. The Biden administration, in issuing the permit for the mine, said it would not jeopardize the flower's survival.
Persons: , Biden, Bernard Rowe, VCG, Rowe, Karl Friedhoff, Robyn Beck, Thacker, Ioneer, brines Organizations: Service, EV, Atlantic Council, Chicago Council, Global Affairs, House, Biological Diversity, Biden, Western Shoshone Defense, AP, Resources, Survey Locations: Nevada and California, China, Nevada, Thacker, Australia, South America, Chile, Argentina, Shanghai İnternational Port, Asia, Japan, India, Ioneer, California, Texas, Shoshone, Esmeralda County , Nevada, Oregon, Arkansas
CNN —California voters will decide this election whether to increase the state’s minimum wage to $18 an hour, which would be the highest in the US. Currently, the Golden State’s minimum wage is $16 and is set to rise to $16.50 next year. California has been among the more aggressive states when it comes to hiking the minimum wage. Some 44% of likely California voters said they would vote yes in an October poll conducted by the Public Policy Institute of California, down from 50% in September. Jerry Brown, gradually raised the minimum wage, giving employers the opportunity to adjust, Condie said.
Persons: Joe Sanberg, ” Sanberg, , Enrique Lopezlira, ” Lopezlira, ” Jennifer Barrera, Jot Condie, , Jerry Brown, Condie Organizations: CNN, Public, Institute of California, Institute for Research, Labor, Employment, University of California, MIT, California Chamber of Commerce, Golden State, California Restaurant, Democratic Gov Locations: California, Berkeley, Golden
A postelection America worries U.S. billionaire Ray Dalio, who called for reforms numerous times amid a political landscape strife with what he views as irreconcilable differences between both Democratic and Republican parties. "Both of the candidates worry me," Dalio told CNBC. I think there needs to be a bringing of Americans together, that middle of that, and making great reforms. … There needs to be a strong leader of the middle, I believe, that makes great reforms. Dalio noted that Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump is "a lot more capitalist" than Democratic candidate Kamala Harris, and therefore better for domestic capital markets.
Persons: Ray Dalio, Dalio, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris Organizations: Democratic, Republican, Future Investment Initiative, Bridgewater Associates, CNBC Locations: America, Saudi Arabia
New York CNN —More than 250,000 Washington Post readers have canceled their subscriptions since the newspaper announced last week it would not make an endorsement in the presidential race, leading to a “huge spike” in cancelations, the Post reported late Tuesday. The number did not take into account any new subscribers the Post may have added since Friday or any subscribers who have since re-subscribed, the paper reported. The Post reported it began seeing a surge in cancelations within hours of the announcement. “I wish we had made the change earlier than we did, in a moment further from the election and the emotions around it,” Bezos wrote. Instead, Bezos framed his decision to end presidential endorsements as one designed to regain the trust of readers.
Persons: Will Lewis, Lewis, Marty Baron, “ craven, Jeff Bezos, Trump, Harris, Bezos, — Bezos, Donald Trump, , ” Bezos, Organizations: New, New York CNN, Washington Post, Post, NPR, CNN, Blue Origin Locations: New York, cancelations, , Texas
Maja Smiejkowska | ReutersLONDON — U.K. borrowing costs on Wednesday touched their highest level since Labour took office, after Finance Minister Rachel Reeves unveiled a vast package of tax hikes in her first budget. The yield had cooled to a 3 basis point rise to 4.35% by 4:00 p.m. U.K. time (12:00 p.m. The yield on 2-year bonds, which in the U.K. are known as gilts, were over 6 basis points higher at 4.33% after rising by as much as 10 basis points. The Treasury separately said it would raise gilt issuance by £22.2 billion ($28.9 billion) to £299.9 billion for the fiscal year to meet its net financing requirement. Those included the facts that many key policies had already been announced, and that any increase in borrowing would be to fund public investment.
Persons: Rachel Reeves, Maja Smiejkowska, Reeves, Liz Truss Organizations: Reuters LONDON, Labour, Treasury, Conservative Party, Bank of England Locations: London, Britain
Retail investors have increasingly focused in on Trump Media & Technology , Rumble and Phunware as stocks that can benefit if the Republican presidential nominee for president prevails. Trump Media & Technology, which owns the alternative social media platform TruthSocial, trades under a ticker — DJT — that's also the initials for the business mogul-turned-politician. On Tuesday alone, retail traders were net buyers of Trump Media to the tune of $14.4 million. Schwarz said there's no reason for Trump Media to even be publicly traded given its business fundamentals and high price-to-sales ratio. "Trump Media has no fundamental value — it's worthless," he said.
Persons: Donald Trump, That's, that's, Phunware, Kamala Harris, Christopher Schwarz, It's, Trump, There's, Irvine's Schwarz, Schwarz, there's, LSEG, hasn't, Peter Thiel, — CNBC's Robert Frank, Fred Imbert Organizations: Trump Media & Technology, Republican, Trump Media, NBC, University of California Irvine, CNBC, Vanda Research, U.S, Trump, Marriott, Mayo Clinic, PayPal Locations: United States, Atlantis
New York CNN —After a ridiculous spike over the past five weeks that had absolutely nothing to do with the company’s actual business, former President Donald Trump’s social media stock is suffering a sudden setback. Truth Social owner Trump Media & Technology Group’s share price plunged about 20% on Wednesday afternoon. If Trump Media finishes with a loss of more than 21%, it would qualify as its worst one-day loss since going public in March. Trump Media did not release any major news that would explain the nosedive. Trump Media’s stock has been extraordinarily volatile all year.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, It’s, , ” Dan Ives, ” Matthew Tuttle, Wednesday’s selloff, ” Tuttle Organizations: New, New York CNN, Social, Trump Media & Technology, Trump Media, Trump, White, Elon Musk, CNN, CBS, Paramount Global, GameStop, Wedbush Securities, Tuttle Capital Management Locations: New York
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailView From the Top: What the head of the fastest-growing U.S. whiskey brand says about demandFawn Weaver, the co-founder and CEO of Uncle Nearest, the fastest-growing whiskey brand in the U.S., talks about trends in the spirits market and whether demand is now moderating following the spike during the pandemic.
Persons: Fawn Weaver Locations: U.S
There’s nothing subtle about the Trump agenda. And there is a real fear that the Trump agenda could do more harm than good – especially on the inflation front. They point to study after study that finds Americans have borne almost the entire cost of Trump’s tariffs on Chinese products. And that estimate does not even include almost-definite retaliation from other nations who would respond to Trump tariffs with ones of their own. Harris has called for only partially extending the 2017 Trump tax cuts.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, Harris, Trump, Oprah, “ Trump, Joe Brusuelas, , That’s, Donald Trump, ” Trump, there’s, ” Kimberly Clausing, nonresident, Joe Biden, Trump’s, Organizations: New, New York CNN, RSM, CNN, Trump, Federal, Wall Street Journal, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Biden, Federal Reserve, Peterson Institute, Social Security, NBC Locations: New York, China, Mexico
The case for a 50/30/20 portfolio is growing as investors seek to diversify into alternatives as a hedge against a stock and bond market that are each flashing cautionary signals. "And so, let me allocate a little bit, because instead of a 60/40, perhaps it's a [50/30/20]," she said, clarifying 50% to stocks, 30% to bonds, and the remaining 20% to alternatives. The case for alternatives The case for alternatives is two-fold. Still, investors say that the the asset class can help hedge against real risks ahead of stocks and bonds. One ETF investing in private equity asset managers is the Invesco Global Listed Private Equity ETF (PSP) .
Persons: Ayako Yoshioka, you've, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Corporates, Yoshioka, Paul Tudor Jones, Mark Malek, it's, , Jesse Pound Organizations: Investors, Bank of America, Treasury, U.S, State Street, Apollo Global Management, Blackstone, Ares Management, KKR, Co, Carlyle Group, Equity ETF Locations: U.S, Siebert
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