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Wall Street is becoming more comfortable with the story line that interest rates are set to remain higher for longer, according to BMO Capital Markets. While often thought of as a death knell for equities, BMO's chief investment strategist Brian Belski posits that the prospect of higher interest rates won't entirely upend stock prices. Instead, he says, investors need to be pickier and should eye businesses with less leverage and strong free cash flow. "Nonetheless, not all areas of the market are created equal within the context of higher interest rates," Belski said. CRM YTD mountain Salesforce stock.
Persons: Brian Belski, Belski, San, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: BMO Capital Markets, Federal, AMD, Adobe, BMO, Chevron Locations: San Ramon , California
At a time when shifting geopolitical alliances are elevating India's strategic importance, such curbs add to the contradictions global investors have to negotiate as they hunt for viable alternatives to a slowing China. They said the move will add to end-product costs for foreign vendors and shift consumer spending toward Indian firms or established foreign vendors with a manufacturing base in India. To attract foreign investors, Modi's government doubled to 170 billion rupees ($2.04 billion) its initial budget in May for a production-linked incentive scheme for IT hardware that was approved in 2021. watch now"India's large and growing domestic market, limited political instability and long-term policy continuity bolsters India's appeal to investors," Dasgupta said. Attracted by such lofty projections, global investors have also poured into Indian equity markets this year.
Persons: Javier Ghersi, Narendra Modi's, There's, Pravin Krishna Johns, it's, Pravin Krishna, Krishna, Rajeev Chandrasekhar, Taiwan's Foxconn, iPhones, Sumedha Dasgupta, Dasgupta, Modi, Goldman Sachs, Organizations: Apple, Samsung, Dell, Pravin Krishna Johns Hopkins University's School, Johns Hopkins University's School, International, BMI Industry Research, South, BMI, Sumedha Dasgupta Economist Intelligence, Economist Intelligence Unit, CNBC, Bharatiya Janata Party, U.S, The, Monetary Fund, Capital Locations: India, China, Russia, Ukraine, Vietnam
Dividend stocks aren't evergreen, but investing in them over several years can pay off, according to one portfolio manager. He isn't the only one to appreciate dividend stocks right now. Neuberger Berman senior portfolio manager Sandy Pomeroy told CNBC earlier in August that dividend stocks haven't been this cheap since the tech boom of the 1990s. CME : Kirby expects the derivatives exchange will "benefit" from volatility in September, a traditionally weak month for stocks. TotalEnergies : The stock has a 5.5% dividend yield, 12% free cash yield, and a "great balance sheet," Kirby said.
Persons: Ben Kirby, Neuberger Berman, Sandy Pomeroy, Kirby, TSMC, Charles Schwab Organizations: Thornburg Investment Management, CNBC, Stock, Big Tech, CME, Kirby Locations: Taiwan
Here's why these 3 China-exposed stocks are gaining this weekThere have been big outperformers across different sectors this week but a few that may come as a surprise are levered to China, whose post-pandemic economic recovery has been lagging. We point to what may be the catalyst for their moves higher.
Locations: China
BOTZ has been a key beneficiary of the AI advance, garnering $594 million in inflows this year, according to FactSet. While many investors see AI as a tech play, Todd Sohn, ETF and technical strategist at Strategas Securities, believes that the benefit of industrials is an under-the-radar narrative worth taking a second glance at. And because data is what's driving AI, Maier said, larger companies like Amazon , Alphabet and Meta Platforms best retain that type of exposure. "Right now, [data] is what AI is, while we're trying to figure out where AI is going," he said. But for investors looking to diversify beyond the tech wave, Sohn affirmed that industrials are poised to benefit from the rise in AI-induced efficiency and productivity in robotics and automation companies.
Persons: Jon Maier, CNBC's Bob Pisani, Maier, it's, BOTZ, Todd Sohn, Sohn, " Sohn, AIQ, industrials Organizations: Robotics, Intelligence, Nvidia, Strategas Securities, Technology, Global Locations: BOTZ, U.S, outflows
The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite has climbed about 4% since Memorial Day. CNBC Pro screened for the top 10 stocks in the Nasdaq when looking between Memorial Day and Monday's close. The former, which has seen huge gains this year as an artificial intelligence darling, has gained 20.6% since Memorial Day. More than seven out of 10 analysts rate the stock a buy, with an average upside implying another 14.5% could be ahead. About three out of 10 analysts hold buy ratings, with an average price target signaling an upside of nearly 10% over the next year.
Persons: FactSet, Brandon Oglenski, ODFL, Oglenski, Baker Hughes, Tesla, , Fred Imbert, Michael Bloom Organizations: Nasdaq, industrials, CNBC Pro, Barclays, Dominion, Energy, Nvidia Locations: FactSet, Dominion, China
Investors who have to pick between bulls and bears now have a way to profit from winners and losers. Goldman Sachs has found 30 stock market outperformers and underperformers to invest in with options. This simple options investing strategy finds the best and worst stocks and uses puts and calls. It's been a weird year for investors, who have found themselves torn between calls for recession and market exuberance. But analysts at Goldman Sachs, led by John Marshall, head of derivatives research, have found an ingenious solution.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, It's, John Marshall, Marshall, Sharpe Locations: Wall
However, they may be missing out if they are bypassing dividend stocks altogether, according to Neuberger Berman senior portfolio manager Sandy Pomeroy, who manages the Neuberger Berman Equity Income Fund (NBHAX) . Right now, dividend stocks haven't been this cheap since the tech boom of the 1990s, Pomeroy said. Dividend stocks have underperformed this year: The SPDR S & P Dividend ETF (SPYD) has a total return of -5% in 2023, per FactSet. In comparison, the SPDR S & P 500 ETF (SPY) has a total return of nearly 15%. Deere, which has a 1.3% dividend yield, reported an earnings and revenue beat before the bell Friday.
Persons: Neuberger Berman, Sandy Pomeroy, Pomeroy, NBHAX, Eaton Organizations: Neuberger, Neuberger Berman Equity Income, Treasury, Neuberger Berman Equity, Caterpillar, Deere, PNC Locations: industrials
CNBC Pro screened for companies scheduled to report earnings next week and found the ones that have a history of outperforming analyst expectations. The following stocks have beat analyst expectations for earnings at least 70% of the time, and on average rise at least 1% following their earnings report, according to data from Bespoke Investment Group. Visa Global payments company Visa , which is set to report Tuesday, has beaten earnings and revenue forecasts 95% and 89% of the time, respectively. The company will report results Monday after the main trading session. The company has a 75% record of beating Wall Street's expectations during its quarterly earnings reports.
Persons: Oppenheimer, Wall, CNBC's Michael Bloom, Fred Imbert Organizations: Google, Microsoft, Intel, Social, NXP Semiconductor, Investors, Procter, Gamble, Companies, CNBC Pro, Investment, Visa Global, Visa, Logitech Computer, Logitech
This year, a number of films have flopped at the box office, including "Elemental" and "The Flash." A social-media analysis from Diesel Labs points to possible success for "Barbie" and "Oppenheimer" — here's why. Temperatures are rising all around the world, with one notable exception: the box office, where this year's film openings have mostly been, at best, lukewarm. Social-media attention on forthcoming and recent film releases looks to be generally trending higher for titles like "Barbie," "Oppenheimer," and "Mission Impossible: Dead Reckoning Pt. This story has been updated to reflect new box office estimates and an estimate of how many moviegoers will see "Barbie" and "Oppenheimer" on the same day.
Persons: Barbie, Oppenheimer, Mario Bros, tentpole, Indiana Jones, , Barbie ”, “ Oppenheimer, Michael O'Leary, David A . Gross, Tom Cruise's, Gross, Screenrant, Ruby Gillman, Mario, America's, Christopher Nolan's, Greta Gerwig's, Matt Damon, Emily Blunt, Rami Malek, Reed Alexander Organizations: Diesel Labs, SAG, Writers Guild of America, www.diesellabs.com Diesel Labs, National Association of Theatre Owners, Warner Bros, Rotten, Entertainment Research, Variety, Disney, Mario Bros, Writers Guild, Wednesday, London Locations: Hollywood, North America
This year, a number of films have flopped at the box office, including "Elemental" and "The Flash." A social-media analysis from Diesel Labs points to possible success for "Barbie" and "Oppenheimer" — here's why. Temperatures are rising all around the world, with one notable exception: the box office, where this year's film openings have mostly been, at best, lukewarm. Social-media attention on forthcoming and recent film releases looks to be generally trending higher for titles like "Barbie," "Oppenheimer," and "Mission Impossible: Dead Reckoning Pt. Diesel Labs’ data has found that social-media buzz about the forthcoming launches of “Barbie” and “Oppenheimer” is trending ahead of last year’s benchmark levels.
Persons: Barbie, Oppenheimer, Mario Bros, tentpole, Indiana Jones, , Barbie ”, “ Oppenheimer, David A . Gross, Tom Cruise's, Gross, Screenrant, Ruby Gillman, Mario, America's, Christopher Nolan's, Greta Gerwig's, Matt Damon, Emily Blunt, Rami Malek, Reed Alexander Organizations: Diesel Labs, SAG, Writers Guild of America, www.diesellabs.com Diesel Labs, Warner Bros, Rotten, Entertainment Research, Variety, Disney, Mario Bros, Writers Guild, Hollywood Locations: Hollywood, London
The three major indexes are on pace to finish the week more than 2% higher. A crop of rallying stocks helped drive the market higher despite investors taking some profits earlier in the week in anticipation of the new quarter. Here are the 10 best performers in the S & P 500 this week, as of shortly after Friday's opening bell. Carnival was the best-performing stock on the list, up 15.8% so far this week. CFRA Research analyst Ashman Razak downgraded the stock to hold from buy earlier this week, while Jefferies' David Katz upgraded shares to buy from hold Friday.
Persons: Friday's, Ashman Razak, Jefferies, David Katz, " Katz, Generac, Aaron Jagdfeld, , Fred Imbert Organizations: Wall, CFRA, Cruise, Bloomberg Locations: Texas
[1/3] Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., June 29, 2023. Financials (.SPSY) led the gainers after the Federal Reserve's stress test showed U.S. lenders have adequate capital to weather an economic storm. Treasury yields rose, with 10-year yields touching their highest level since early March after economic reports painted a picture of a solid U.S. economy, promoting the "higher for longer" scenario with respect to restrictive monetary policy. The dollar touched a two-week high against a basket of world currencies as upbeat economic data provided cushion to the Fed to continue raising rates. Oil prices posted modest gains as the solid economic data suggested strong demand and a steeper-than-expected drop in U.S. crude inventories.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Russell, Michael Green, Joseph Sroka, Brent, Stephen Culp, Marc Jones, Susan Fenton, Deepa Babington Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, Fed, Dow, Nasdaq, Management, Dow Jones, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Japan's Nikkei, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Philadelphia, Atlanta, Spain, Asia, Pacific, Japan, London
Russia turmoil to fuel market volatility, flight to safety
  + stars: | 2023-06-24 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
The question is how much and how lasting the reaction will be, much of which depends upon unknowable developments." It is reasonable to expect oil and other key commodity prices to rise. If oil prices rise sharply, that will indeed weigh upon equities and reignite stagflation fears. In theory it should benefit from a flight to safety, but in practice a strong dollar can impede it." “Probably bearish Indian stocks too as the dividend they’ve received from cheap Russian oil likely disappears.
Persons: Wagner, Stringer, STEVE SOSNICK, stagflation, MICHAEL PURVES, DAVID KOTOK, Putin, Orban, , GEORGE BOUBOURAS, JAMIE HALSE, , Tom Westbrook, Megan Davies, Carolina Mandl, Ira Iosebashvili, Lananh Nguyen, Daniel Wallis Organizations: Southern Military District, REUTERS, Moscow, Defense, CUMBERLAND, NATO, MELBOURNE, WHO, SYDNEY, Thomson, & & Locations: Rostov, Don, Russia, Russian, China, SARASOTA , FLORIDA, Belarus, Soviet, EU, Hungary, Turkey, JAPAN, Ukraine, Eastern Europe, Singapore, New York
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMeta is still the best play in tech stocks right now, says Evercore ISI's Mark MahaneyMark Mahaney, Evercore ISI head of internet research, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to discuss NASDAQ outperformers, the tech stocks' reaction to today's Fed announcement, and more.
Persons: Evercore, Mark Mahaney Mark Mahaney Organizations: NASDAQ, Fed
The S & P 500 is up 1.8% week to date, on pace for a third consecutive week in the green. Cruise companies Royal Caribbean and Norwegian Cruise Line also had a strong week, gaining 7.8% and 9.3%, respectively. The consensus price target for shares implies just 7.2% additional upside, per FactSet data. Another cruise line on the list is Carnival , which saw shares rise 6.7% week to date. Dish could soar an additional 124.1% based off the average price target on shares.
Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Match, Cruise, Royal, Royal Caribbean, Dish, Bloomberg News, Enphase Energy, Intel, Netflix, Digital Realty Trust Locations: Royal Caribbean
Take Five: More drama on the horizon
  + stars: | 2023-05-19 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
LONDON, May 19 (Reuters) - There's no shortage of events, data and high drama for markets in the days ahead. 1/ USA WATCHCritical U.S. inflation data will allow investors to gauge whether the Federal Reserve will be able to pause its interest rate hiking cycle, as many on Wall Street expect. The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, tracked by the Fed, is due on Friday for April. That was the smallest rise since July and, with the consumer price index slowing in April to below 5% on annual basis, hope for peak rates has grown. Yet this narrative could lose steam if Wednesday's April inflation data shows price rises are moderating.
The markets are headed toward a positive week and certain stocks stood out from the rest. The S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite were up 1.5% and 2.9% week to date, respectively. Regional bank stocks were among this week's most notable gainers after a difficult few weeks. Regional bank stocks Comerica and Zions Bancorporation saw the largest gains this week, with shares surging 22.7% and 21.8%, respectively. Semiconductor design company Synopsys ' stock jumped 12.5% week to date and hit a new 52-week high Friday.
Analysts are also bullish on the stock, with 14 out of 15 analysts covering the company rating it a buy or strong buy, according to Refinitiv data. Seven out of nine analysts covering the stock rate it a strong buy or buy. Analysts are also bullish on the stock, with 14 out of 15 analysts covering the company rating it a buy or strong buy, according to Refinitiv data. Seven out of nine analysts covering the stock rate it a strong buy or buy. Kennametal Inc KMT ANALYST CONSENSUS 10 Ratings Hold 1 Strong Buy 1 Strong Buy 0 Buy 0 Buy 6 Hold 6 Hold 3 Underperform 3 Underperform 0 Sell 0 Sell Current Price ( ) 35.00 Highest Price Target Upside (6.07%) 27.44 Average Price Target 19.00 Lowest Price Target
Data released before the bell showed a steeper-than-expected cooldown in producer prices and new claims for jobless benefits coming in above consensus. Both signal that the Fed's hawkish barrage of rate hikes, which began over a year ago, is working as intended. Analysts expect aggregate first-quarter S&P 500 earnings to come in 5.2% below the year-ago quarter, a stark reversal from the 1.4% year-on-year growth seen at the beginning of the quarter, according to Refinitiv. Among the 11 major sectors of the S&P 500, communication services (.SPLRCL) was up the most, while industrials (.SPLRCI) and materials (.SPLRCM), outperformers in recent sessions, suffered the steepest percentage declines. The S&P 500 posted eight new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 58 new highs and 121 new lows.
Despite their underperformance in recent years, " quality" stocks have been persistent outperformers within European stock markets for decades, according to research from Morgan Stanley . The bank has revealed its "35 for 2025" list, featuring the bank's 35 best long-term picks in Europe. Notwithstanding recent price moves, quality stocks also look reasonably valued, with average relative valuations for the MSCI Europe Quality index below their 10-year average," Morgan Stanley's analysts, led by Giorgio Magagnotti, wrote in a note on Mar. British alcoholic beverage maker Diageo also makes an appearance, with Morgan Stanley confident of Diageo's ability to deliver "superior" growth. Within the semiconductor space, ASML is Morgan Stanley's top pick.
The S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are up about 2.9% and 2.8%, respectively. Meanwhile, this month, the Dow is higher by more than 1.3% and the S & P 500 is up 2.8%. Energy stocks outperformed this week on the back of higher oil prices, with the S & P 500 Energy Index up by almost 6%. All 11 sectors in the S & P 500 advanced this week. Caesars Entertainment was the best performer in the S & P 500.
.SPX 1Y mountain S & P 500, 1-year So, are equities under-reacting to a badly contorted bond market, a potentially trapped Fed and faltering economy? This has allowed the S & P 500 excluding financials and real estate to outperform the headline index by a couple percentage points year to date. Microsoft alone has added some $240 billion in market value since that date, more than the entire market cap of the S & P 500 regional-banks sub sector. Only about 60% of the S & P 500 members are positive over the past six months even as the index is up 7.5%, a loss of internal energy. The flash S & P Global U.S. Composite PMI for March, reported Friday, was up to 53.3 from 50.1 the prior month and above the 49.5 forecast, a reading S & P says is consistent with around a 2% real GDP pace.
The repercussions from the ongoing banking crisis will take some time to play out, but Piper Sandler has names for investors to start sorting through among the wreckage. Even so, banks are dealing with tightening lending standards and rising costs that will continue to weigh on the sector. Still, some banks with strong deposit and liquidity characteristics can help investors find safe harbor, according to Piper Sandler. Here are three overweight-rated, mid-cap bank stocks that Piper Sandler highlighted: The analysts named SouthState Corporation to their list, saying they have confidence in the bank's ability to outperform peers because of its "strong low-cost, core deposit base." First Interstate BancSystem was named to the list because of its lower cost deposit base, its relatively insulated location, and its strong dividend yield.
Here are 24 high-quality stocks to buy now to protect your portfolio from higher rates. But when the Fed's rate hikes fully go into effect, excess savings will dry up, and pent-up demand will fade. Labor market resilience and the Fed's latest messaging about the possibility of more rate hikes makes that dovish outcome "highly unlikely," Porter wrote. The Fed's interest rate decision — and potentially the economy's near-term future — hinges on how hot or cool inflation is in next Tuesday's report. BMO Capital MarketsBelow are 24 US stocks that currently have the best prospects for strong risk-adjusted returns, according to BMO.
Total: 25