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Year-to-date the S&P 500 is down 17% as the Fed tightens policy to rein in inflation. Bierman is the chief market technician at TheoTrade, and held the same position at TD Ameritrade between 2007-2015. The Fed has been tightening policy this year at the fastest pace in decades in an effort to cool the highest inflation rates since the early 1980s. The second problem is that the US economy is already in a recession, Bierman says. But the number one indicator for Bierman that the US economy is in recession is the yield curve.
Investors hoping that the stock market's rally since mid-October is sustainable are bound for disappointment, according to top investors at wealth management firm Glenmede. The current bear market (highlighted below in green) is 11 months in, and the S&P 500 is down 18% over that time. Glenmede"The current bear market appears to be close to 2/3rds of the way through the typical bear-market decline. The current market appears to be following a similar trajectory of an average historical bear market so far," they said. "We've had a nice little run here in the stock market — it's the third double-digit percentage gain since the bear market started," Doll said.
This is not the first crypto winter, as long-term fans of bitcoin can attest. “It is very clear that we as an industry need to build better products,” said Hany Rashwan, CEO of 21.co, a crypto investment firm. That’s about triple where prices were during the depths of the crypto bear market in the early pandemic days of 2020. Others point out that the underlying blockchain technology behind bitcoin and crypto remains solid. Pride and Reynolds added that it’s erroneous to think that bitcoin can hold up well during stock market volatility.
New York CNN Business —The strong dollar has been a headwind for blue chip US companies in the Dow and S&P 500 this year. And the Russell 2000, another index of mostly smaller companies, is down 25%, too. Also, the dollar is so strong — the US Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against the euro, pound, yen and several other currencies has soared 18% this year — it’s making foreign imports cheaper. But real estate stocks have been slammed by worries about a housing and office real estate slowdown. And multinational companies and foreign stocks will fare more poorly than smaller companies with little to no international exposure.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTwo market watchers say with recession odds rising, earnings estimates need to come down furtherGlenmede's Michael Reynolds and Raymond James' Sunaina Sinha Haldea discuss recession odds for the U.S. economy, and whether stocks as a whole are worth taking a chance on right now.
The January 6 committee has been interviewing witnesses during its public hearings. The hearings led by co-chairs Bennie Thompson and Liz Cheney give the public a view of the panel's year-long investigation. Insider will update this tracker as hearing transcripts become available. Top editors give you the stories you want — delivered right to your inbox each weekday. Saul Loeb - Pool/Getty ImagesCommittee hearing held October 13, 2022
The last time we spoke, market observers were scratching their heads over the stock market's seemingly unstoppable march higher. Turns out maybe the stock market was right all along. Exclusive interview with the head of iSharesBlackRockETFs helped investors navigate the recent period of volatility, particularly in parts of fixed income where liquidity dried up. This development signals that a new breed of stocks is taking over as the market leaders for the next period of economic expansion. Strategists at the firm highlighted two pairs trades that have been performing well since the stock market hit rock bottom in March.
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