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Opinion | The American Renaissance Is Already at Hand
  + stars: | 2023-09-07 | by ( David Brooks | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +2 min
A forecast from Bloomberg Economics now projects that the size of the Chinese economy will not successfully surpass the size of the American economy — despite its vastly greater population. But the core problems are endemic to the regime: Centralized authoritarian control is incompatible with a wide-open, innovative, free-flowing modern economy. Open information flow is crucial to any nation; when the state suppresses information unflattering to the regime, then everything is bound to sink into mediocrity. Since late 2021, investment in the construction of manufacturing facilities has more than doubled. Chips, electric vehicles, renewable energy sources and batteries are being manufactured in places like Michigan, Kentucky, Minnesota and Arizona.
Organizations: Bloomberg Economics, . Locations: China, America, Midwest, Michigan , Kentucky, Minnesota, Arizona
"It doesn't matter whether you're an energy client, or a consumer products client, or a retail client, there is something about this megatrend that is going to impact your business model, your business," Variankaval told CNBC. Right now, Variankaval says, it's too soon to know exactly which climate tech companies are going to the winners and losers. It's a multi decade-long process," Variankaval told CNBC. In some segments of climate tech, there are debates about which solutions are better than others that take on a near religious fervor. So you need to diversify in terms of technologies, but also in time horizons," Variankaval told CNBC.
Persons: Rama Variankaval, decarbonization, Variankaval, Megatrend, , Joe Biden, Sen, Joe Manchin, Chuck Schumer, James Clyburn, Frank Pallone, Kathy Catsor, Drew Angerer, Biden, signe, It's, it's, That's, We're Organizations: JP Morgan Securities LLC, Aspen, Bloomberg, Getty, JPMorgan Chase, CNBC, JPMorgan, United Nations, Carbon, SC, White, Federal Reserve Locations: Miami Beach , Florida, Paris, decarbonization, United
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd's shares closed down 3.28% on Friday, versus a 0.78% loss for the broader index (.TWII). While the company's declining revenue and profit were disappointing, its long-term growth prospects remain encouraging," Brady Wang, associate director at Counterpoint Research, said. "Despite facing macroeconomic headwinds, TSMC's long-term outlook remains robust, supported by megatrends like 5G and high-performance computing (HPC)." Other analysts were also upbeat on TSMC, thanks in part to strong demand for artificial intelligence (AI), which currently contributes around 6% of revenue. "We expect a solid 2024 onward outlook on the back of its leading position in AI chip manufacturing," Citi Research analysts said in a note.
Persons: TSMC, Brady Wang, Goldman Sachs, Yimou Lee, Sarah Wu, Anne Marie Roantree, Navaratnam, Kim Coghill Organizations: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Counterpoint Research, Citi Research, Thomson Locations: TAIPEI, Arizona, 4Q23
TSMC shares fall more than 3% after it cuts revenue outlook
  + stars: | 2023-07-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
In early trade, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd's shares underperformed a 1.65% fall in the broader index (.TWII). While the company's declining revenue and profit were disappointing, its long-term growth prospects remain encouraging," Brady Wang, associate director at Counterpoint Research, said. "Despite facing macroeconomic headwinds, TSMC's long-term outlook remains robust, supported by megatrends like 5G and high-performance computing (HPC)." Other analysts were also upbeat on TSMC, thanks in part to strong demand for artificial intelligence (AI), which currently contributes around 6% of revenue. "We expect a solid 2024 onward outlook on the back of its leading position in AI chip manufacturing," Citi Research analysts said in a note.
Persons: TSMC, Brady Wang, Goldman Sachs, Yimou Lee, Sarah Wu, Anne Marie Roantree Organizations: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Counterpoint Research, Citi Research, Thomson Locations: TAIPEI, Arizona, 4Q23
JPMorgan downgrades AT & T to neutral from overweight JPMorgan downgraded the telecommunications due to "slowing growth drivers." Wells Fargo downgrades Progressive to equal weight from overweight Wells said it has concerns about the insurance company gaining share. UBS upgrades Microsoft to buy from neutral UBS said in its upgrade of the stock that shares are too attractive to ignore. Bank of America reiterates Amazon as buy Bank of America said it's standing by its buy rating after the company's Prime Day. JPMorgan reiterates Apple as overweight JPMorgan said recent checks show that Apple has "strong market share" in a variety of markets.
Persons: LOE, Wells, it's, Tesla, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Raymond James, Robert Iger, Mills, Argus Organizations: HSBC, Pfizer, ADC, JPMorgan downgrades, Verizon, Mobile, Consumer, JPMorgan, Alcoa, UBS, Microsoft, Citi, Applied Materials Citi, Bank of America, Texas Roadhouse Citi, Texas, Barclays, Apple, Sands, Macau, Northland, Nvidia, Pulte, KB, Disney, CNBC, DIS, Argus, TNT, Tidewater Locations: Wells Fargo, China, Northland
Here are Friday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Bank of America reiterates Amazon as buy Bank of America said it's standing by its buy rating on the stock. "Our Buy rating is based on: 1) positive feedback from our proprietary Sleep survey that points to healthy underlying US volumes, 2) lingering pent-up demand due to US staffing shortages." William Blair reiterates Charles Schwab as outperform William Blair said it's standing by its outperform rating on the stock heading into earnings next week. Barclays reiterates Disney as equal weight Barclays said it sees slowing streaming growth heading into Disney earnings in early May. " Stifel reiterates Microsoft as buy Stifel said it's standing by its buy rating on Microsoft heading into earnings later this month.
Both are mostly high-rise communities, growing fast and densely populated, but they represent two very different realities from a climate and sustainability perspective. One way is to focus on modernizing the buildings we already have, to create neighborhoods that adapt to the individual needs of residents. In a climate-aware, post-COVID-19 world, with an aging and tech-savvy population, the focus is now on the needs of connected micro-communities within livable cities." Data, including information from KONE elevators, can provide insights into people's movement in cities, and their changing behavior and needs. Kone"Modernizing an elevator, in an existing building, means we can reduce energy consumption by up to 70%, and a KONE elevator today is up to 90% more energy-efficient than its 1990s counterpart.
Given the ongoing uncertainty, turning to stock market experts to pick attractive stocks for the long term could be a good decision. Allegro expects to flourish in these two key markets and to deliver low-double-digit percentage revenue growth from fiscal 2023 to 2028. CrowdStrike's adjusted earnings per share for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2023 (ended Jan. 31) increased 57%, fueled by revenue growth of 48%. The company's adjusted EPS grew 8% and came ahead of Wall Street's expectations, while revenue growth of 18% fell short of estimates. Nonetheless, Oracle is optimistic about the solid potential of its cloud business, which delivered 45% revenue growth in the fiscal third quarter.
The region's 10 largest sovereign wealth funds combined manage nearly $4 trillion, according to the Sovereign Wealth Fund Institute. The regional investors, especially the sovereign funds but also the families, are now much more sophisticated than before. Follow the capitalAs oil prices made a roaring comeback in the last two years, the Gulf's public wealth funds went on a spending spree. It added that GCC sovereign wealth funds "played an important role in 2020 during the Covid-19 pandemic and now again in 2022 during times of financial distress." Our phones are ringing off the hook," one manager from a UAE investment fund said, declining to be named due to professional restrictions.
Ritholtz Wealth Management CEO Josh Brown snapped up Oracle shares Tuesday morning, following the tech company's announcement of its partnership with Uber. On Monday, Oracle said it entered into a seven-year strategic cloud partnership with Uber to accelerate the ride-sharing platform's innovation and help deliver new products. It's a name that Brown said has been lost in the shuffle, adding this could be the year of its "coming out party." "This has been a very boring company that I have ignored for a decade," Brown said on CNBC's " Halftime Report ." The fact that Uber selected Oracle over Amazon Web Services, which powers Lyft , and over big player Microsoft is impressive, Brown said.
That's almost 40% of the total number of CEOs surveyed across 105 countries for PwC's annual global CEO survey. More than half of the CEOs surveyed cited shifts in consumer demand, regulatory changes and labor shortages as challenges to their profitability over the next 10 years. And despite the concerns, most of the company leaders surveyed — 60% — aren't planning any layoffs, at least over the next 12 months. However, the report's prescription for worried CEOs may not bode particularly well for some workers. The surveyed CEOs said they want to make such bold decisions but aren't currently prioritizing them.
This year, markets have been ruled by hot inflation, with investors flocking to stocks that benefit from rising prices. "The surge in inflation has been a dominant—if not the dominant—financial market theme of 2022," said Wells Fargo in a note, noting that global consumer inflation accelerated to multi-decade highs. "Globally, we see inflation peaking in 4Q this year, with disinflation driving the narrative next year," said Morgan Stanley in its 2023 Global Economics Outlook report. Wells Fargo expects global consumer price index inflation to "slow meaningfully" to 5.2% in 2023 from a projected 7.2% this year. But Europe, including the U.K., could be the exception — the bank expects that the effects of rapid inflation and rising rates there will "linger for some time."
The stock market just had its best day of the year. We can chalk that up to the Thursday morning inflation data that showed prices cooled faster than expected in October. Specialist trader Chris Malloy (C) gives a price to traders on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, October 18, 2013. As far as a single day is concerned, yesterday looked like a perfect storm for the stock market. Does the latest inflation report change your outlook on the economy or predictions for what the Fed will do next?
Private real estateThanh Bui, a portfolio manager at Franklin Templeton's private real estate investment unit Clarion Partners, said that it's becoming easier for retail investors to get access to high-quality private real estate. She says the space generally does well when inflation is high, and that private real estate is an effective portfolio diversifier not strongly correlated to stocks, bonds, or public real estate companies. Bui is especially positive on muti-family real estate because there is a huge supply shortage that won't be resolved any time soon. She's also bullish on industrial real estate, where rents are surging because of high demand from e-commerce companies and onshoring. "We view the dividend profile as a way to look at quality of a company.
The tech boom is over, thanks to the pandemic receding and interest rates rising, Larry Summers said. The ex-Treasury chief predicted the FTX fiasco will lead to greater crypto regulation. He warned some of the recent excesses in the tech sector won't return until the next speculative boom, if at all. Investors need to reset their expectations after years of venture capitalists subsidizing companies' user acquisition with zero regard for profits or sustainable growth, he continued. Summers also touched on the financial troubles of Sam Bankman-Fried's FTX and Alameda Research, which have roiled cryptocurrency markets this week.
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