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☆ This week will make it clearer if the Fed will cut interest rates in March
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-28 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +11 min

Washington, DC CNN —A slew of economic news this week will make it much clearer if the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in March. The Labor Department is due to release four crucial assessments of America’s job market, gauging labor demand, wage growth, productivity and hiring. Wages and the Fed on Wednesday: The day after, the Labor Department releases its Employment Cost Index for the fourth quarter, a comprehensive measure of employers’ labor costs. The US Labor Department releases December data on job openings, quits, hires and layoffs. The US Labor Department releases its Employment Cost Index for the fourth quarter.

Persons: that’s, ”, Christian Scherrmann, Jerome Powell, ” Michael Feroli, “, ” Feroli, Powell, Alicia Wallace, Joe Brusuelas, Jerome Powell’s Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, DWS, Labor, Survey, Fed, Employers, PCE, Federal, Commerce Department, RSM, Whirlpool, Microsoft, UBS, HCA Healthcare, General Motors, Cleveland Cliffs, Mondelez International, JetBlue Airways, Global, US Labor Department, Board, National Bureau of Statistics, Novo Nordisk, Mastercard, Novartis, Boeing, ADP, Nasdaq, Nomura Holdings, Apple, Shell, Honeywell, Deutsche Bank, Clorox, Quest Diagnostics, United States Steel, Bank of England, P Global, Institute for Supply Management, Exxon Mobil, AbbVie, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, University of Michigan Locations: Washington, Marathon, Cleveland, Chevron

☆ Markets tried to fight the Fed on rate cuts. It didn’t work
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-21 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Now there’s roughly a 50/50 chance that the Fed could either cut rates or hold them steady in March, according to futures. A few developments this past week tempered investors’ optimism, and now the possibility of a rate cut in March could be completely thrown out the window, according to economists. He echoed other Fed officials who’ve recently said that beginning to cut rates in March is just not realistic. In addition to officials’ comments, recent economic data also doesn’t bode well for a March rate cut. Markets are expecting twice as many rate cuts this year than what Fed officials themselves estimated in their latest economic projections released in December.

Persons: ’, Christopher Waller, ”, who’ve, Loretta Mester, “, Mary Daly, it’s, Daly, bode, Waller, ” Bill Adams, ” Daniel Altman, Jerome Powell’s, Donald Trump, Christine Lagarde, couldn’t, Jamie Dimon, Trump, Joe Biden, Bank of America’s Brian Moynihan, OpenAI’s Sam Altman, Johnson, Lockheed Martin, Levi Strauss, Booz Allen Hamilton, CNN’s Elisabeth Buchwald Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN — Federal Reserve, Fed, Brookings Institution, ” Cleveland Fed, Bloomberg, ” San Francisco Fed, Fox Business, Commerce Department, Labor Department, Employers, Comerica Bank, CNN, Biden, Trump, Economic, European Central Bank, ”, JPMorgan, Bank of America’s, United Airlines, The Bank of Japan, Netflix, General Electric, Procter, Gamble, Johnson, Verizon, Lockheed, Haliburton, Tesla, IBM, Bank of Canada, Global, American Airlines, Southwest Airlines, Alaska Airlines, Co, Visa, Intel, Mobile, Comcast, Capital, US Commerce Department, Chicago Fed, US Labor Department, American Express, Colgate, Palmolive, Booz, National Association of Realtors Locations: Washington, ” San, East, Iran, Davos, Switzerland, Iowa, Swiss, United States

☆ Goods Deflation Is Back. It Could Speed Inflation’s Return to 2%.
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-03 | by ( David Harrison | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Used cars count among the durable items that can benefit from goods deflation. Photo: Justin Sullivan/Getty ImagesAfter a historic run-up in inflation, Americans are now starting to see something they haven’t in three years: deflation. To be sure, deflation—that is, falling prices—is largely confined to appliances, furniture, used cars and other goods. Economywide deflation, when prices of most goods and services continuously fall, isn’t in the cards.

Persons: Justin Sullivan Locations: isn’t

☆ Goods Deflation Is Back. It Could Speed Inflation’s Return to 2%
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-03 | by ( David Harrison | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Persons: Justin Sullivan Locations: isn’t

☆ Inflation’s Cooldown Gives the Fed Leeway
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( Justin Lahart | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

The personal-consumption expenditures price index is one of the Fed’s most closely watched gauges of inflation. Markets are betting the new data puts the Fed on pace to cut rates in 2024. That was its slimmest year-over-year gain since March 2021. Core prices, which exclude food and energy items in an effort to better track inflation’s underlying trend, rose 0.2% from September. That put them 3.5% above their year-earlier level for the smallest gain since April 2021.

Persons: Dion Rabouin, Rucosky Sit Organizations: The Commerce Department

☆ Fed Chair Powell: Too early to say when to expect rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

While Powell and other officials say they’re not even thinking about cutting rates just yet, some investors expect cuts to begin around the middle of next year. With Treasury yields sliding in recent weeks, so have mortgage rates, and rate cuts next year would help that along. Inflation, spending and mortgagesConsumer spending and inflation both eased in October, the Commerce Department reported Thursday. What Fed officials are sayingFed officials have broadly acknowledged that economic conditions are setting the stage for inflation to continue its descent. While some Fed officials have expressed optimism, others remain unconvinced that the Fed’s job is done.

Persons: Jerome Powell, ” Powell, ”, Powell, they’re, Freddie Mac, Christopher Waller, John Williams, “ We’ve, Michelle Bowman, “ Organizations: DC CNN — Investors, Federal, Spelman College, Treasury, Fed, December’s Fed, Commerce Department, ”, Washington . New York Fed, New York Fed Locations: Washington, Atlanta, September’s, America, doldrums, Washington . New, Salt Lake City

☆ How investing $100 in Berkshire Hathaway when Charlie Munger joined would now be worth nearly $400,000
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-30 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Munger, a billionaire investor and vice chairman of Buffett’s investment firm Berkshire Hathaway, died Tuesday morning at 99 years old. (Berkshire Hathaway shares, which didn’t have different classes then, ended 1977 at $138 a share.) Projections of Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway Inc. chairman and chief executive officer, and Charles Munger, vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway. Berkshire outperformed the S&P 500 during 31 of the 46 years Munger was at the company, according to Bespoke. The Christmas Price Index, now in its 40th year, is a tongue-in-cheek take on the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Consumer Price Index and is meant to highlight market changes over time while educating consumers about the economy.

Persons: Charlie Munger, Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett, Munger, ” Munger, Charlie, Michael Broggie, –, “, Charles Munger, Daniel Acker, Buffett’s, – Munger, inflation’s, Alicia Wallace, Read, Jordan Valinsky, didn’t Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Berkshire, Berkshire Hathaway, Investment, Harvard Law School, Berkshire Hathaway Inc, Bloomberg, Getty, Daily, PNC Financial Services, Bureau of Labor Statistics ’, Nevada . Rite, Rite Aid, Amazon, Walmart, Target, Costco Locations: New York, Munger, Omaha, Berkshire, California, Pennsylvania, Ohio , Virginia, Washington, Michigan , New Jersey , Oregon, Connecticut , Maryland, Nevada

That was the lowest year-over-year inflation rate in more than 2 1/2 years. Core prices rose 3.5% in October from a year earlier, below the 3.7% year-over-year increase in September. Those price increases, though smaller than they were last year, are still faster than was typically true before the pandemic. The declines in spending on those items suggests that the Fed's rate increases are discouraging purchases in some areas. The central bank’s rate rate hikes have elevated the costs of mortgages, auto loans and other forms of consumer borrowing as well as business loans.

Persons: They've, ” Vincent Reinhart, Christopher Waller, Waller Organizations: WASHINGTON, Commerce Department, Dreyfus, Mellon, AAA, Fed Locations: Europe, U.S

☆ Price of the ‘12 Days of Christmas’ just hit a record high, according to PNC Financial Services’ 2023 Christmas Price Index
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-29 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

The Christmas Price Index, now in its 40th year, is a tongue-in-cheek take on the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Consumer Price Index and is meant to highlight market changes over time while educating consumers about the economy. The holiday index also is running a touch cooler than its traditional counterpart, the Consumer Price Index, which was up 3.2% for the 12 months ended in October and 7.7% this time last year. Pricier doves and live performancesThe Christmas Price Index leans more heavily on discretionary purchases than the broad basket of goods and services that feed into the Consumer Price Index. The core Christmas Price Index rose 3.7% this year, a far more muted increase than last year’s 15.4% gain. “The Christmas Price Index is a very specialty gift basket.

Persons: inflation’s, ” Amanda Agati, “ We’re, ”, ” Agati, ’, hasn’t, Agati, “, it’s Organizations: Minneapolis CNN, PNC Financial Services, Bureau of Labor Statistics ’, Federal, CNN, Consumer, PNC Locations: Minneapolis, United States

☆ The US economy grew by 5.2% in the third quarter, even faster than previously estimated
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-29 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Washington, DC CNN —US economic growth was even stronger in the third quarter than previously estimated, underscoring the economy’s remarkable resilience in the face of elevated inflation and high borrowing costs earlier this year. Wednesday’s latest reading reflects an even faster pace of growth than the blistering 4.9% rate the department initially estimated. Nonresidential fixed investment, or business spending, was revised up to a growth rate of 1.3% in the third quarter from a decline of 0.1%. Fourth-quarter spending likely won’t be as piping hot, however. Fed officials pay close attention to various facets of the US economy when deliberating monetary policy, including growth.

Persons: ”, Gregory Daco, “, Christopher Waller, American Enterprise Institute . Waller, Michelle Bowman Organizations: DC CNN, Gross, Commerce, Consumer, Adobe Analytics, Institute for Supply Management, Employers, Atlanta Fed, Federal, ”, American Enterprise Institute ., Fed Locations: Washington, EY, Salt Lake City

A large depreciation didn’t fully materialize; rather, the dollar’s value in the parallel retail market – popularly known as the “blue dollar” – increased some 13%. Milei, an outsider and right-wing populist, has also accused the Central Bank of recklessly printing money in order to fund public spending. The government has made access to foreign currency increasingly more stringent, which has caused the parallel market to flourish. “It isn’t exactly full, but there’s a lot in there,” she said, declining to provide her last name because trading foreign currency under the table is illegal. “Listening to the radio and looking on the internet, there isn’t any craziness about dollar, dollar, dollar,” he said.

Persons: Leandro Francisco Diana, Javier Milei, “, ”, Diana, Villa Crespo, Milei, Javier, Giselle, Argentina isn't, Maria Castiglioni, ” Castiglioni, Alexi Hoyos, Hoyos, ” Diana, videojournalist Mauricio Cuevas Organizations: U.S ., U.S, Central Bank, Radio Mitre Locations: BUENOS AIRES, Argentina, Buenos Aires, New York, Miami, Florida

☆ As Rent Rises Cool, So Will Inflation
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Justin Lahart | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Will the strong U.S. economic data we’ve seen push the Fed to change policy this year? What comes next depends on how the Fed will interpret the data. Photo: Sarah Silbiger/Bloomberg NewsInflation has been cooling, and a big part of why is that rent increases have as well. That is also why inflation is likely to keep going lower in the months ahead. Tuesday’s inflation report from the Labor Department showed that overall consumer prices were up 3.2% from a year earlier in October, while core prices, which exclude food and energy prices in an effort to better track inflation’s underlying trend, were up 4%.

Persons: WSJ’s Dion Rabouin, Sarah Silbiger Organizations: Bloomberg, Labor Department

☆ Heard on the Street: A Soft Landing Is in View as Inflation Drops
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Retail gasoline prices are lower now than they were in October. (cristobal herrera-ulashkevich/Shutterstock)A soft landing for the economy still isn’t guaranteed. But the drop in inflation makes it easier for the Federal Reserve to foam the runway. The decline in gasoline prices helped, but core prices—which exclude food and energy prices in an effort to better track inflation’s underlying trend—rose just 0.2% from a month earlier. That put core prices up 4% from a year earlier, the smallest gain since September 2021.

Persons: cristobal herrera Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor Department

Compared with 12 months ago, consumer prices rose 3.2% in October, down from the 3.7% rise in September and the smallest year-over-year increase since June. Measured year over year, core prices rose 4% in October, down from 4.1% in September, the smallest rise in two years. They have continued to fall into November, suggesting that cheaper energy could hold down inflation this month as well. Political Cartoons View All 1244 ImagesGrocery store prices rose 0.3% last month and 2.1% from a year earlier. Even with the smaller increase, rental and housing costs accounted for two-thirds of the increase in core inflation compared with a year ago.

Persons: Bill Adams, Jerome Powell, Powell, “, Adams, ”, Eric Winograd Organizations: WASHINGTON, Labor Department, Comerica Bank ., Fed, Dow, AB Global Locations: United States

☆ The Fed is terrified Americans could get used to high inflation. It may already be happening.
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-12 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Fed officials don’t expect inflation to reach 2% until 2026, according to their latest economic projections released in September. If there’s one thing that would make the Fed quake in its boots, it would be worsening inflation expectations. The keyword there is “timely.”Sticky inflation could possibly “un-anchor” inflation expectations or elicit a consistent deterioration in Americans’ perception on inflation. “The Fed really just wants people to not expect inflation will run at 4% forever.”So what’s kept inflation expectations in check this long? For individuals and married people filing separately, the new federal standard deduction will increase to $14,600, up from $13,850 this year.

Persons: we’ve, Raphael Bostic, “, ” Luke Tilley, ”, Jerome Powell, presser, Powell, Michelle Bowman, Tilley, ” Drew Matus, what’s, Matus, “ They’re, Jeanne Sahadi, Lisa Cook, Phillip Jefferson, Michael Barr, Loretta Mester, Austan Goolsbee, John Williams, Christopher Waller, Mary Daly Organizations: DC CNN, Federal Reserve, Fed, University of Michigan’s, Atlanta Fed, Bloomberg, Investment Advisors, CNN, ”, New York Bankers Association, New York Fed, MetLife Investment Management, IRS, Tyson Foods, Depot, US Labor Department, National Federation of Independent Business, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, Target, National Statistics, US Commerce Department, Walmart, National Association of Home Builders, San Francisco Fed Locations: Washington, Wilmington, Palm Beach , Florida

☆ Americans’ attitudes about the economy worsened for the fourth straight month
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-10 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

Washington, DC CNN —Americans are becoming gloomier about the economy with interest rates at a 22-year high and economic growth widely expected to slow. That was the fourth consecutive month that sentiment soured, after improving over the summer. Meanwhile, both short-term and long-term inflation expectations worsened this month. Americans’ expectations for inflation rates in the year ahead rose to 4.4% in November, up from October’s 4.2% reading. In a worrisome sign for the Federal Reserve, long-run inflation expectations rose to 3.2% this month, the highest level since 2011.

Persons: Joanne Hsu, Jerome Powell, it’s, ” Powell, Stocks, —, Powell Organizations: DC CNN, University, Federal Reserve, Fed, International Monetary Fund Locations: Washington, Gaza, Ukraine

☆ Bidenomics Gets No Respect
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-09 | by ( Daniel Henninger | ) www.wsj.com time to read: +1 min

Images: AP/AFP/EPA/Getty Images Composite: Mark KellyJoe Biden is back in his comfort zone, at least for him, if not for the Democratic Party. Bidenomics was supposed to be Mr. Biden’s path to a second term. The latest dark cloud is the New York Times /Siena College poll that found in five battleground states Mr. Biden is running behind the Permanent Defendant, Donald Trump. Conventional wisdom—conventional because there’s something to it—blames Mr. Biden’s age (a nice word for neurological decline), inflation’s lingering effects, high interest rates and John Q. Public’s sour mood. Nearly three years after Mr. Biden’s inauguration, more than 70% think the country is headed in the wrong direction.

Persons: Mark Kelly Joe Biden, He’s, Bidenomics, Biden, Donald Trump, —, John Q, Biden’s Organizations: AFP, EPA, Democratic Party, Amtrak, New York Times, Siena College

☆ What to expect from today’s Fed meeting
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

That would be the second consecutive meeting the Fed keeps rates unchanged. But that doesn’t mean the Fed is done hiking rates. Still, hawkish Fed officials — those who back a more aggressive approach to addressing inflation — believe there’s more room to raise rates. Domestic spending has continued at a strong pace and the labor market remains tight,” Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said last month in Morocco. The strong economy will likely slowDespite the Fed’s 11 rate hikes since March 2022, the US economy has displayed remarkable resilience.

Persons: Jerome Powell, “, ” Powell, Michelle Bowman, ” Luke Tilley, Powell, Banks, ”, Nela Richardson Organizations: DC CNN, Federal Reserve, hawkish Fed, ”, Labor Department, Wilmington Trust, CNN Locations: Washington, New York, Morocco, Wilmington, Israel

☆ Inflation Trends Keep Fed Rate Hikes on Pause
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-27 | by ( Harriet Torry | Nick Timiraos | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

WSJ’s Dion Rabouin unpacks the latest GDP report and explains what it says about the state of the economy. Photo: Li Jianguo/Zuma PressInflation’s summer decline slowed last month. But inflation has improved enough recently for Federal Reserve officials to hold interest rates steady at their meeting next week. The personal-consumption expenditures price index, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, rose 0.4% in September from the prior month, the same pace as in August, the Commerce Department said Friday. So-called core prices, which exclude volatile food and energy categories, increased 0.3% in September, compared with a 0.1% rise in August.

Persons: WSJ’s Dion Rabouin, Li Jianguo Organizations: Zuma Press, Federal Reserve, Commerce Department

☆ After a robust third quarter, US economic growth will likely slow. That's good for the prospect of rate cuts next year.
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-22 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

The central bank also doesn’t have any incentive to restrict the economy through elevated interest rates if inflation is already under control. The US central bank has raised interest rates 11 times since March 2022 to their highest level in 22 years. The US Commerce Department reports new home sales in September. The US Commerce Department reports third-quarter gross domestic product along with September figures on new durable-goods orders. The US Labor Department reports the number of new applications for jobless benefits in the week ended October 21.

Persons: Jerome Powell, ” Gregory Daco, ” Diane Swonk, Donald Trump, Colin Kaepernick’s, Bud Light’s, Elliott Gotkine, ”, Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, “, Satya Nadella, ” Sundar Pichai, , Sherwin, Williams, Clark, General, Hess, Rowe Price Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, The Commerce Department, Federal Reserve, Treasury, KPMG, BlackRock, America, Nike, Yale School of Management, Microsoft, ” Disney, Sonnenfeld, Tottenham Hotspur, Whirlpool, Verizon, General Electric, Barclays, 3M, General Motors, Spotify, Quest Diagnostics, Mobile, Boeing, General Dynamics, Old Dominion, Hilton, Meta, IBM, US Commerce Department, Mastercard, Merck, Comcast, UPS, Myers Squibb, Northrop Grumman, Valero, The Hershey Company, Amazon, Intel, European Central Bank, US Labor Department, National Association of Realtors, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Colgate, Palmolive, Phillips, University of Michigan Locations: Washington, EY, Israel, United States, United Kingdom, London, Gaza, Kimberly, Haliburton, Old, Bristol, AbbVie

☆ Fed’s Jerome Powell Signals Extended Pause in Interest Rate Rises
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( Nick Timiraos | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

The Fed released its summary of economic projections at the latest FOMC meeting. What does it say about the current state of the economy and what will policy makers do next? Photo: Al Drago/Bloomberg NewsFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell suggested that he is pleased with inflation’s decline this summer and that the central bank is unlikely to raise interest rates again unless it sees clear evidence that stronger economic activity jeopardizes such progress. “Given the uncertainties and risks, and how far we have come, the committee is proceeding carefully,” Powell said in prepared remarks for a Thursday lunchtime address in New York. “Incoming data over recent months show ongoing progress toward both” of the Fed’s goals to maintain stable inflation and strong employment.

Persons: Al Drago, Jerome Powell, ” Powell Organizations: Fed, Bloomberg Locations: New York

☆ Jerome Powell Signals Fed Will Extend Interest-Rate Pause
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( Nick Timiraos | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Speaking at the Economic Club of New York, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell described the U.S. economy as ‘resilient’ and said he doesn’t believe monetary policy is too tight. Photo: Bess Adler/BloombergFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell suggested that he is pleased with inflation’s decline this summer and that the central bank is unlikely to raise interest rates again unless it sees clear evidence that stronger economic activity jeopardizes such progress. “Given the uncertainties and risks, and how far we have come, the committee is proceeding carefully,” Powell said in prepared remarks for a Thursday lunchtime address in New York. “Incoming data over recent months show ongoing progress toward both” of the Fed’s goals to maintain stable inflation and strong employment.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Bess Adler, ” Powell Organizations: Economic, of New, Federal, Bloomberg Locations: of New York, U.S, New York

☆ Health Inflation’s Big Hike This Year, in Charts
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-18 | by ( Anna Wilde Mathews | Josh Ulick | ) www.wsj.com time to read: +1 min

Average annual contributions to premiums For single coverage For family coverage $23,968 total $25,000 $25,000 Worker contribution Employer contribution 20,000 20,000 15,000 15,000 $6,575 worker share $8,435 total 10,000 10,000 5,000 5,000 $1,401 worker share 0 0 2000 '05 '10 '15 '20 2000 '10 '20 Average annual contributions to premiums For single coverage For family coverage $23,968 total $25,000 $25,000 Worker contribution Employer contribution 20,000 20,000 15,000 15,000 $6,575 worker share $8,435 total 10,000 10,000 5,000 5,000 $1,401 worker share 0 0 2000 '05 '10 '15 '20 2000 '10 '20 Average annual contributions to premiums Worker contribution Employer contribution For single coverage $8,435 total $10,000 5,000 $1,401 worker share 0 2000 '05 '10 '15 '20 For family coverage $23,968 total $25,000 20,000 15,000 $6,575 worker share 10,000 5,000 0 2000 '10 '20 Average annual contributions to premiums Worker contribution Employer contribution For single coverage $8,435 total $10,000 5,000 $1,401 worker share 0 2000 '05 '10 '15 '20 For family coverage $23,968 total $25,000 20,000 15,000 $6,575 worker share 10,000 5,000 0 2000 '10 '20Inflation came for your healthcare this year. Next year is looking to be just as bad. The cost of employer health insurance rose this year at the fastest clip since 2011, according to an annual survey from KFF, a healthcare research nonprofit. The 7% jump in the cost of a family plan brought the average tab to nearly $24,000—more than the price for some small cars.

Locations: KFF

☆ Most Fed officials expect one more interest rate hike and that they'll remain elevated for a while, minutes show
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Washington, DC CNN —Most Federal Reserve officials said last month that they expect one more rate hike, according to minutes from their September policy meeting released Wednesday. Some officials said that how fast inflation cools in the coming months will determine how long rates remain elevated. Inflation’s steady descent over the past year, and the job market’s gradual cooldown, gave officials enough reassurance to pause, the minutes showed. The central bank’s latest set of economic projections also showed that most Fed officials expect fewer rate cuts next year, confirming investors’ fears that rates could remain higher for longer. It’s unclear how much higher yields will weigh on economic activity, but several Fed officials have said in public remarks this week that it could mean less action from the Fed.

Persons: ’, Jerome Powell, Philip Jefferson, ”, Lorie Logan, Mack Trucks Organizations: DC CNN, Federal, Fed, Treasury, ” Dallas, Employers, Labor Department, United Auto Workers, UAW Locations: Washington

☆ US wholesale inflation heated up last month amid higher gas prices
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Minneapolis CNN —Wholesale price increases of US goods and services jumped higher for a third consecutive month, influenced by still-high energy prices, according to data released Wednesday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. September’s overall increase was driven by a 0.9% gain in goods prices due to higher energy prices and food prices, BLS data shows. Gas prices hit new yearly highs in September, as oil prices pushed past $92 a barrel amid supply cuts and catastrophic flooding in Libya. The higher gas prices seen in August and September may filter through to some products and services but shouldn’t ultimately keep inflation higher in the months to come, said Stuart Hoffman, PNC Financial Services’ senior economic adviser. However, the Israel and Hamas war in the Middle East does add volatility to energy prices, he said.

Persons: Price, ”, Gregory Daco, Jerome Powell, Chris Rupkey, FwdBonds, shouldn’t, Stuart Hoffman, ” Hoffman Organizations: Minneapolis CNN —, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, PPI, PNC Financial Services Locations: Minneapolis, August’s, Libya, Israel

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