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☆ A veteran chartmaster shares 7 investments to make ahead of a rare buying opportunity as US stocks stagnate
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-22 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Read previewUS equities are trading near record highs after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates last week, but a long-time chartmaster doesn't believe the euphoria is warranted. Add in an unclear path forward for interest rates and geopolitical risks, and Keller said stocks will struggle to break past today's levels. Homebuilders such as DR Horton (DHI) can be a prime beneficiary of lower interest rates, Keller pointed out. "And when you think about what that means, that usually means: really good setup for homebuilders. Utilities also stand out, not only due to their defensive qualities, but because their yields look more attractive as falling interest rates weigh on bond yields.

Persons: —, doesn't, David Keller, Keller, Whoever's, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, Jeff Muhlenkamp Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Fed, Business, Sierra Alpha Research, Republican, Enphase, Trump, Utilities Locations: StockCharts.com

☆ Rate cuts might make it cheaper to buy a house, but they won't fix the US housing market's biggest problem
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-21 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The Fed's interest rate cut will ease financing conditions for homebuilders, analysts told BI. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve's rate cut will surely impact the housing market, but its effect likely won't affect arguably the most important part of the equation: keeping affordability tight. But how this translates into a much-needed supply boost is a different story, and there are factors the Fed cut won't fix. Lingering uncertaintiesAdvertisementFor instance, Nanayakkara-Skillington noted that material pricing, from drywall to steel mill products, has weighed heavily on homebuilders since the pandemic.

Persons: —, it'll, NAHB's, Skillington, NAHB, Michael Neal, Fitch, Neal Organizations: Service, National Association of Home Builders, Urban Institute senior, Fitch

☆ UBS' John Lovallo on homebuilder stocks
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS' John Lovallo on homebuilder stocksJohn Lovallo, UBS homebuilders analyst, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss why he is bullish on builders, how lower interest rates will affect the stocks and housing market, and more.

Persons: John Lovallo Organizations: UBS

☆ What normalizing the yield curve means — and why investors should care
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

It also means lots of talk from the experts about "normalizing the yield curve" in the bond market — meaning getting back to a setup where bonds with longer maturities yield higher rates than those with shorter-term maturities. That's referred to as "yield curve inversion," which has historically signaled an upcoming recession. Currently, however, the yield curve looks more like a check mark than a gradually rising hill. An inverted Treasury yield curve messes with that dynamic. Everyone, from private citizens to multinational corporations benefits from a normalized yield curve because normal means less uncertainty, which means more predictability.

Persons: Jerome Powell, shouldn't, Stanley Black, Decker, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, William McChesney Martin Jr, Anna Moneymaker Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Treasury, CNBC, Federal, Getty Locations: U.S, Washington , DC

☆ Mortgage rates are rising: Here's what you need to know
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMortgage rates are rising: Here's what you need to knowThe Investment Committee debate what rising rates means for home buyers and homebuilders.

☆ Wall Street hits records — here are the winners and the losers after the Fed rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Salesforce was having a strong session as well, taking in stride the late-day Wall Street Journal report that Disney will no longer use Salesforce-owned Slack after a data hack. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Dow, Jim Cramer's, Lisa Su, Salesforce, Slack, Procter & Gamble, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Tech, Devices, Journal, Disney, Barclays, Treasury, Procter, Fed, FedEx, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Procter &

☆ The Fed goes big — a nice jumpstart to lowering mortgage rates and boosting housing plays
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The Fed was widely expected to lower short-term interest rates, but the 25 basis points versus 50 debate raged right up until the announcement. Mortgage rates: We talked last week during our September Monthly Meeting about how housing activity can start to pick up when mortgage rates fall off their cycle highs to somewhere in the range between 5% and 6.5%. However, what the data shows is how sensitive activity is to every dip in mortgage rates. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Jerome Powell, Stanley Black, Decker, Mortgage Banks, Jim Cramer's, Lisa Su, Oliver Garden, Jim Organizations: CNBC, ., Federal Reserve, Stanley, Mortgage, Micro, LongHorn, Darden, Jim Cramer's Charitable

☆ Homebuilder stocks are 'priced for perfection,' investors needs to see lower rates driving demand
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Stocks in the firm's coverage universe have "significantly front-loaded expected rate cut benefits, well in excess of prior fed cycles," he said. The chances of a smaller 25 basis point cut have fallen to a 41% chance. Barclays analyst Matthew Bouley is watching the data very closely as well and said a lot will depend on how consumers react as mortgage rates fall. Bouley said this is one of the clearest signs yet that a recent decline in mortgage rates is bringing buyers into the market. Slightly more than half the analysts who cover the stock rate it a buy or overweight, it said.

Persons: Mike Dahl, Dahl, Toll, Taylor Morrison, Matthew Bouley, Bouley, Horton Organizations: Federal Reserve, RBC Capital Markets, Tri, Tri Pointe Homes, Toll, RBC, KB, Barclays Locations: Tri Pointe, staving, Horton

☆ How I'm approaching the stock market after its wild reversal to start September
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-15 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

The week before, Broadcom had allegedly disappointed, causing Nvidia , the inevitable key to this market, to continue its descent. Which brings me back to the initial concept of the big declining week followed by the big advancing week. A good week for Kamala Harris turns out to be a big week for Nextracker — and that's really it for now. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade.

Persons: Larry Ellison, Ellison, Cerner, Ellison's, Eaton, Jensen, Bing, Microsoft's Bing, underinvesting, Huang, Blackwell, Dupont, Kamala Harris, Nextracker, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Justin Sullivan Organizations: Nasdaq, Federal, Broadcom, Nvidia, Oracle, Marvell, Meta, Microsoft, Google, mightily, Street, Fed, Dreamforce, downer, Adobe, JPMorgan, Healthcare, pharma, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: Silicon Valley, San Francisco

☆ The 2 things that will determine whether last week's stock market rally will continue this week
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-15 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +11 min

The S & P 500 rebounded 4% this past week, almost clawing back all of the prior week's horrible decline. Fed watch The Fed is the big market event this week. ET: Fed rate decision Before the bell: General Mills (GIS) After the bell: Steelcase (SCS) Thursday, Sept. 19 8:30 a.m. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Jensen Huang's, Goldman Sachs, Jim, Huang, Lisa Su, Su, Vimal Kapur, Morgan, Brian Niccol, Wells, Morgan Stanley, Jerome Powell, They're, Lennar, Doug Yearley, Mills, LEN, Jim Cramer's, Spencer Platt Organizations: Federal, Dow, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Club, Technology, CNBC, Oracle, Devices, TAM, Apple, Honeywell, Starbucks, Barclays Global Financial Services, Fed, FedEx, homebuilder, Home Depot, Darden, Jim Cramer's Charitable, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: Las Vegas, U.S, America, Horton, New York City

☆ Jim Cramer talks strong performance of homebuilder stocks
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer talks recent performance in homebuilders. Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email

Persons: Jim Cramer Locations: homebuilders

☆ Stocks making the biggest moves midday: Moderna, Uber, Boeing, Adobe and more
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Oracle — The stock rose nearly 2% after the database software company raised its fiscal 2026 revenue outlook . Uber — Shares of the ride-sharing company advanced more than 5% following news that it plans to expand its partnership with Alphabet's Waymo . Adobe — Shares tumbled 9% after the software company issued weaker-than-expected guidance for the current quarter. Unity Software — Shares of the game engine company added nearly 7%. Discovery — Shares advanced about 9% after the media conglomerate entered an early renewal agreement with Charter Communications.

Persons: Kevin Clark, RH —, Gary Friedman, Alphabet's Waymo, Uber, Stifel, Biden, David Zaslav, —, Jesse Pound, Sean Conlon, Samantha Subin, Hakyung Kim Organizations: JPMorgan, Oracle, Aptiv, — Stock, Adobe, Boeing, Unity, Holdings, PDD Holdings, Redfin Corporation, Federal Reserve, U.S, Home, Warner Bros, —, Charter Communications, Discovery Locations: U.S, Austin , Texas, Atlanta, China

☆ An influx of young people entering the housing market next year will lead to a homebuilding boom, analyst says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Read previewA wave of younger buyers are about to enter the housing market in a trend that could spark a boom for homebuilders, according to one housing analyst. That's because young Americans are itching to buy a home, and they'll likely enter the housing market in droves once mortgage rates come down, he told CNBC in a recent interview. AdvertisementThe 30-year fixed mortgage rate hovered around 6.35% the last week, Freddie Mac data shows, close to their lowest level since early 2023. Yet, 89% of existing homeowners have a mortgage rate below 6%, Redfin found in a survey at the start of the year. Mortgage rates, though, could be slow to come down, housing experts say.

Persons: —, Phillip Ng, they'll, We've, Ng, Freddie Mac, Redfin, Pricing's Organizations: Service, Jefferies, CNBC, Business, Buyers, National Association of Realtors, Builders, Mortgage Locations: Redfin

☆ What you need to know about Kamala Harris' 'opportunity economy'
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Kwan Wei Kevin Tan | Joshua Nelken-Zitser | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Read previewVice President Kamala Harris says she has a plan for America's middle class— building an "Opportunity Economy" to help them succeed. "Vice President Harris grew up in a middle class home as the daughter of a working mom. She believes that when the middle class is strong, America is strong," the Harris campaign wrote in a section titled "Build an Opportunity Economy and Lower Costs for Families." But just what exactly is Harris looking to do when she says she's going to build up the middle class through her "Opportunity Economy" agenda? During the debate, Harris accused Trump of only wanting to offer tax breaks to the richest people, while Trump countered by saying Harris lacked a detailed plan.

Persons: —, Kamala Harris, Harris, Donald Trump, she's, Biden, Trump, Alice Tecotzky, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Business, Trump, American, Biden, Pharma, New York Times, Siena College Locations: America, North Carolina

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWhy the U.S. can't build homes fast enoughLarge homebuilders have grown their positions in numerous key housing markets since the late 2000s financial crisis. Their growth coincides with long-term slowdowns in building permitting and construction productivity which contribute to escalating prices for buyers and renters, experts say. As an economic tightening cycle slows real estate investment, politicians are promoting policy tools that could alter how homes are built in the U.S.

Locations: U.S

☆ How the 2024 election could impact homebuilder stocks
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( Carlos Waters | In Carloswaters | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

In this article DHILENPHM Follow your favorite stocks CREATE FREE ACCOUNTShareholder returns for top homebuilders D.R. Horton and Lennar outpaced the wider S&P 500 between August 2014 and August 2024. Quintero's research suggests lower levels of competition among homebuilders may contribute to the U.S. housing shortage. "The supply shortage that we have estimated [is] anywhere from 2 [million] to 8 million. Some people put it at even 20 million housing units that we are short," said Tobias Peter, co-director of the American Enterprise Institute's Housing Center.

Persons: LEN PHM, Horton, Lennar, LEN, Luis Quintero, Tobias Peter, Margaret Whelan, Whelan Organizations: Industry, Johns Hopkins University Carey School of Business, American Enterprise Institute's Housing Locations: United States, California, Texas

☆ Warren Buffett's company is so big it's like a mini US economy. Here's what it signals about the state of consumers.
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Read previewThe latest figures from Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway suggest consumers are faring better than they were just a year or two ago. Thomson ReutersHomeServicesReal estate brokerage revenues were almost flat and after-tax earnings rose 21%. New home unit sales rose 11% after dropping 20%, but pre-tax earnings fell 10%, similar to their 12% decline last year. But pre-tax earnings jumped 10% due to higher margins and lower operating expenses that offset the lower sales. AdvertisementRetailThe odd one out was the retailing subdivision, where revenues fell 4.5% and pre-tax earnings fell 23%.

Persons: —, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Here's, Thomson, Warren Buffett, Clayton, Rick Wilking, Berkshire, They've, There's Organizations: Service, Business, Thomson Reuters, Clayton Homes, Reuters McLane, Berkhire Hathaway Locations: Warren Buffett's, Berkshire, Renton , Washington, Omaha , Nebraska

☆ A top 1% fund manager over the last 15 years warns a selling spiral threatens to sink the market — and shares 4 stocks he's betting on to capitalize on the turmoil
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-10 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Yes, the S&P 500 is just off of all-time highs following a 36% percent rally from October to July. Major stock prices begin to perform poorly, which drags down the S&P 500 Index, which in turn causes the selling of the index. The index selling puts a drag on the largest-cap stocks, which adds more legs to the index selling." The S&P 500 is up 49% since late 2022 as bears have continued to warn of downside. AdvertisementSecond, lower interest rates would spark demand and could cause inflation to resurface, which would be good for oil stocks, Smead said.

Persons: —, Smead doesn't, Smead, Warren, We're, Dow, Jeremy Grantham, John Hussman, Stocks, LEN Organizations: Service, Business, Morningstar, Smead, Bank of America, Technology, Fund, Federal, Fed, DR, Occidental Petroleum, Apache

☆ New homes are getting smaller. That could be big news for first-time buyers
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Samantha Delouya | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

In 1973, the median size of completed single-family homes was 1,525 square feet, according to US Census data. But as the cost of buying a home has exploded and McMansions have fallen out of favor, homebuilders have reversed course, building smaller homes with an eye to first-time buyers. Today, smaller, often more affordable homes under 1,000 square feet are harder to come by in most US suburbs. According to an NAHB survey, 17% of homebuilders said they built homes on smaller lots in 2023 to support home sales, and 14% said they built more townhouses. Smaller homes and fewer amenitiesHeather Eisenmann, a Realtor who specializes in selling new construction in Clarksville, Tennessee, said that she’s noticed that many of the new homes she shows now have smaller bedrooms and living rooms.

Persons: Jordyn Carias, ”, homebuilders, Alan Ratner, “, we’ve, Levittowns, wasn’t, Jacob Anbinder, ” Anbinder, Levitt, Irving Haberman, Michael Murray, Heather Eisenmann, she’s, ” Eisenmann Organizations: CNN, Zelman, Associates, National Association of Homebuilders, Cornell University, Sons, National Association of Realtors, Census Bureau Locations: Muscatine , Iowa, America, Levittown, New York, Puerto Rico, Real, United States, Horton, Clarksville , Tennessee, Muscatine, Sacramento

☆ This real estate ETF is breaking out after going nowhere for a long time, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The Real Estate Select Sector ETF (XLRE) is the worst performing sector ETF in 2024, up about 3.5% right now. The ETF is net-flat going all the way back to September '22. But, it has been the best sector ETF in July, with a monthly gain of nearly 8%. The answer is a resounding yes… if the breakout in the SPDR S & P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) to new highs is any indication. And if rates are going to keep declining, then XLRE will have a strong tailwind to potentially catch up to XHB once again.

Persons: XLRE hasn't, XLRE, XHB, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: Federal Reserve, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Where inflation is the highest and lowest in America
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-28 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

The Honolulu metro area in Hawaii, meanwhile, saw the nation’s highest annual inflation rate in May, at 5.2%. Housing costs have therefore eased over the past year, tugging inflation overall much lower. Tight housing-market conditions are also plaguing New York, which at one point boasted the lowest inflation rate in the country. Housing costs make up about a third of the Labor Department’s CPI, a closely watched inflation gauge. Inflation is down substantially from the 40-year highs of two years ago, but housing costs have remained stubbornly elevated.

Persons: ”, Barbara Denham, Brian Adcock, Willy Nunn, homebuilding, Adcock, “, Jane Castor, it’s, homebuilders, Carl Bonham, Mengshin Lin, Roseann Freitas, ” Freitas, Freitas, Josh Green Organizations: Washington CNN, Consumer, Nationwide, Aloha State, Oxford, Labor Department’s CPI, Federal, Boomers, Tampa Bay Chamber, Miami, Tampa, Homes, CNN, ” Tampa, Urban, University of Hawaii, Washington Post, Building Industry Association of Hawaii Locations: The Tampa, St, Petersburg, Clearwater, Florida, Honolulu, Hawaii, Tampa Bay, homebuilding, Houston , Minneapolis, Denver, Central Florida, New York, Tampa The Tampa, Tampa, Hillsborough County, Pasco County, Miami, ”, Urban Hawaii, Lahaina , Hawaii, Lahaina

☆ Concerns about unsold homes and price drops are unwarranted, says Evercore ISI's Stephen Kim
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailConcerns about unsold homes and price drops are unwarranted, says Evercore ISI's Stephen KimStephen Kim, homebuilders analyst at Evercore ISI, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss the housing market.

Persons: Evercore ISI's Stephen Kim Stephen Kim Organizations: Evercore ISI

☆ The 'Trump trade' is on pause. Political uncertainty is now in the driver's seat
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-21 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +11 min

It didn't take long to remember what a second Donald Trump presidential term would mean for the stock market, did it? He talked about how interested he was in the stock market and that he wanted his kids to learn so they watched my show together. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade.

Persons: Donald Trump, Mike Pence, Sen, JD Vance, Mary Elizabeth Lease, Joe Biden, Biden's, Trump, Biden, let's, Kamala Harris, Doug Emhoff, —, Harris, that's, Lina Kahn, Jonathan Kanter, Vance, Mark Spitznagel, Spitznagel, Bristol Myers, ., Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Chris Kleponis Organizations: Republican, Populist Party, Democratic Party, Devices, Nvidia, Biden, White House, Democratic, White, Big Tech, Federal Trade Commission, Biden Democrat, Trump, Nasdaq, Street, Universa Investments, Yahoo, America, Microsoft, Google, Palo Alto Networks, Palo Alto, Starbucks, Apple, PepsiCo, Myers Squibb, Pepsi, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, US, Afp, Getty Locations: Ohio, China, U.S, Taiwan, idiocy, Bristol, . Horton, Washington ,, Pennsylvania

☆ The housing market is close to a rare buying opportunity with prices set to drop in pandemic boom towns, analyst says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-21 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Read previewProspective homebuyers may be better off staying on the sidelines: the housing market is on its way to a rare buying opportunity, with steep home price declines bound for key areas of the real-estate market in the coming years, according to one analyst. That's an additional ingredient on the top, which just makes it more likely that prices fall," Gerli told BI. AdvertisementThe situation in the South's housing market also bears some similarities to previous housing bubbles, Gerli noted. In key boom towns, home prices have shot up 50%-70% since the pandemic, though incomes have only risen 10%-20%, he said, citing municipal data. It'll take a long time for housing to become more affordable overall, given how overvalued the market is, Gerli said.

Persons: —, Nick Gerli, Gerli, Freddie Mac, That's, Southern homebuilders, we've, it's, Redfin, Homebuyers, It's Organizations: Service, Business, National Association of Realtors, Builders Locations: Florida, Southern, Texas

☆ The housing market is close to a rare buying opportunity as prices are set to drop in pandemic boom towns, analyst says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-20 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

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