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The stock market is the most expensive it's been in decades, said billionaire David Einhorn. Warren Buffett's stock sales indicate that now is not time to be heavily invested in equities, his firm Greenlight Capital said in a letter. AdvertisementInvestors are fueling what looks like the most expensive stock market in decades, billionaire investor David Einhorn wrote in his hedge fund's quarterly letter. The fund noted that now is likely not a good time for high equity exposure, and cited Buffett's stock sales to make this point. According to Greenlight, these sales signal that high equity exposure might be best be held off until a better opportunity emerges in the not-so-distant future.
Persons: David Einhorn, Warren, Greenlight Capital, Greenlight, , Warren Buffett, Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway Organizations: Greenlight, Service, Green Brick Partners Locations: Berkshire, Omaha
Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementStocks were mixed Tuesday morning as traders assessed the latest earnings, though several results before the bell helped strike a positive tone in early trading. While earnings will be this week's focal point, investors will also watch for September's retail sales and initial jobless claims to release on Thursday. Here's where US indexes stood shortly after the 9:30 a.m. opening bell on Tuesday:AdvertisementHere's what else is going on:In commodities, bonds, and crypto:
Persons: , Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo, Brent, Adriana Kugler, Mary Daly Organizations: Service, Citigroup, Bank of America, Dow Jones, JPMorgan Locations: Israel, Here's
A sell-off in semiconductors pulled stock indexes away from record highs. The decline overshadowed better-than-expected bank earnings results. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Meanwhile, a report that the US is considering export caps on specific chip sales only added to investor concern, pulling the broader chip sector lower. AdvertisementThe rout took attention from Tuesday's bank sector performance, as Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, and Citigroup beat earnings estimates.
Persons: , Goldman Sachs, Israel, Brent Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Broadcom, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Bank of America, Citigroup Locations: Dutch, Israel, Iran, Iranian
Bitcoin could hit a fresh all-time high ahead of the presidential election, Standard Chartered says. Standard Chartered estimates bitcoin could hit $73,800 in the next few weeks. In new research, head of digital asset research Geoff Kendrick estimated that the token could hit $73,800 before November's US presidential election, a 12% gain from current levels. Second, SAB 121 exemptions go hand-in-hand with MicroStrategy's announced plan to become a "bitcoin bank," offering bitcoin capital market instruments down the road. In Kendrick's mind, the outcome of the presidential election is secondary to these bullish forces, with both Trump and Harris victories boding well for the token.
Persons: Bitcoin, , Geoff Kendrick, Kendrick, bitcoin, MicroStrategy, Geoffrey Kendrick, BNY Mellon, MicroStrategy's, Harris, Donald Trump Organizations: Chartered, Service, MicroStrategy, Standard, SAB, bitcoin, Kendrick, Trump, Republican, White Locations: lockstep
Wall Street should still being watching out for a possible recession, said strategist Paul Dietrich. If temporary government jobs were removed from the lastjobs report, unemployment would be 4.5%, Dietrich said. AdvertisementThe US is riding high, but one strategist says economic optimism will eventually be cut short as unseen labor weakness bites. AdvertisementThat plays into Dietrich's broader point that rising unemployment can be a sure sign of recession. Though other analysts have also scrutinized the unemployment rate, its importance has been questioned in today's unusual economic cycle.
Persons: Paul Dietrich, Dietrich, , Riley, Wall, joblessness, Dietrich isn't Organizations: Service, Riley Wealth, US
Investors need to be wary as sticky inflation remains a risk, Deutsche Bank says. But it's not yet time for investors to relax, Deutsche Bank wrote on Monday. "If inflation does return, this could have very important implications for markets," Deutsche Bank strategists said. While that much is true, history shows that easing cycles are precisely the time to be cautious over inflation, Deutsche said. The firm cited the fact that in August, US M2 money supply rose 2.0% year-over-year, the highest growth rate since September 2022.
Persons: , Brent, Deutsche Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Service, Federal Reserve, Deutsche, Atlanta Locations: China, Israel, Iran, Iranian
Positioning in financial stocks is light relative to other sectors, Morgan Stanley says. AdvertisementInvestors are lingering in defensive trades that don't take advantage of the economy's strength, Morgan Stanley said, highlighting opportunities in underinvested sectors. The firm — which just last week upgraded cyclical stocks to "overweight" relative to defensives — described the financials group as particularly attractive. Morgan Stanley said net exposure to financials was in the bottom 15th percentile of a historical data series that goes back to 2010. Morgan Stanley noted that this weakness lowered earnings-season expectations for investors, making it easier for major lenders to outperform forecasts.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, , financials, Mike Wilson, Wells Fargo, Wilson Organizations: Service, Bank, JPMorgan, Utilities, defensives, ISM Locations: Basel
One analyst suggests the market could see a repeat of the 2020 oil price war. AdvertisementRussia's wartime economy could face a tougher time securing needed oil revenue if Saudi Arabia tanks global crude prices. "Saudi Arabia is fed up," Simon Henderson, director of the Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy at The Washington Institute, told Business Insider. However, some kind of confrontation with Saudi Arabia may be stirring. "Unlike Saudi Arabia, its oil is not cheap to extract, making it poorly equipped to deal with low-price conditions.
Persons: , Luke Cooper, hasn't, Simon Henderson, Bernstein, it's, Henderson, Vladimir Putin, Alexander Novak, Cooper Organizations: Service, Organization of Petroleum, Russia, London School of Economics, Financial Times, Gulf and Energy, The Washington Institute, OPEC Locations: Saudi Arabia, Russia, Riyadh, Ukraine, Gulf, Moscow, Iran, Kazakhstan
China is expected to announce extra fiscal policy support on Saturday. The lack of consumer support in China's last stimulus package disappointed investors. According to a Bloomberg survey, most analysts expect authorities to pledge $283 billion of fiscal stimulus at Saturday's highly anticipated press conference. Chinese authorities followed up by announcing Saturday's press conference, which promised to introduce new measures centered on fiscal policy. Some analysts remain less sure about what fiscal stimulus will actually achieve on its own, pointing out that Beijing needs to pursue structural reforms to revive consumer confidence.
Persons: , Lan Fo'an, China's, Mark Williams, Stephen Roach, Arthur Kroeber, Gavekal Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Finance, Analysts, CSI, Reform Commission, Capital Economics, Asia, Financial Times Locations: China, Beijing, Yale
Boeing agreed in July to plead guilty to conspiring to defraud regulators. Prosecutors arrived at the plea agreement after an extensive investigation and a series of meetings with the families, prosecutors said. He argued the judge should accept the plea agreement. The Justice Department argued that the penalties Boeing agreed to were the most serious available. During a three-year probationary period that followed, Boeing agreed to improve its quality issues and transparency with the government.
Persons: Max, Reed O’Connor, Judge O’Connor, Paul Cassell, , , Sean Tonolli, Department’s, Boeing “, ” Mark Filip, Organizations: New, New York CNN, Boeing, US Justice Department, Prosecutors, Justice Department, Alaska Airlines, Department, Federal Aviation Administration, FAA Locations: Fort Worth , Texas, New York, United States, Alaska
Chinese automaker Chery is using Russian plants once owned by Western firms, Reuters reported. These factories were abandoned by firms such as Volkswagen and Mercedes after Russia invaded Ukraine. AdvertisementChinese automaker Chery has reportedly started manufacturing vehicles in three Russian plants that once belonged to Western firms, five people familiar with the matter told told Reuters. While Washington has worked to ostracize Moscow from the global economy, Chinese firms have filled the gap. AdvertisementThe pattern especially holds true for Chinese car products.
Persons: , Mercedes —, Mercedes Organizations: Chery, Reuters, Volkswagen, Mercedes, Service, Washington Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Moscow, Beijing, Western, China
Billionaire investor Bill Gross says the stock market's record-breaking run is set to slow. His favorite investments at the moment include MLP pipelines and municipal income funds. "No bear market, but it's not the same bull market anymore," Gross said, adding that equities are set for "low buy positive" returns going forward. He also sees municipal income funds as a worthwhile investment, as many have offered over 7% tax-free yields. Gross named the DWS Municipal Income Trust as one example but noted that there are between 20 and 30 others to choose from.
Persons: Bill Gross, , it's, Gross, MLPs, Kamala Harris, Warren Buffett Organizations: Service, Annaly Capital Management, Trust Locations: DWS
Nouriel Roubini says stagflation risk will rise if Donald Trump wins the election. AdvertisementThe US economy might confront a fate more challenging than a recession if Donald Trump retakes the White House, famed economist Nouriel Roubini said. According to Roubini, Trump's proposals would fuel these two key ingredients: lower growth and higher inflation. In July, JPMorgan's chief global strategist David Kelly called Trump's tariff and immigration policy mix an "elixir for stagflation." AdvertisementRoubini said tensions in the Middle East make the threat of stagflation under Trump worse.
Persons: Nouriel Roubini, Donald Trump, Doom, , Donald Trump retakes, Trump, Kamala Harris, stagflation, Roubini, Larry Summers, David Kelly Organizations: Greenwich Economic, Treasury, Service, Bloomberg, Barclays, Republican, Peterson Institute, Trump Locations: Greenwich, Israel, Iran
Russia faces mounting economic issues that could prove "unsolvable," a think tank expert says. This will exacerbate economic imbalances at home, Alexandra Prokopenko wrote in the FT.Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. "Instead of hoping that Russia's economic combat power will soon be exhausted, the West must focus on a long-term strategy that will further constrain Putin's war machine and boost Ukraine's own economic resilience." In boosting spending to such heights, Russian President Vladimir Putin is effectively dismissing brewing economic imbalances as other parts of the budget become squeezed. By pouring more money into defense, the Kremlin is exacerbating existing economic imbalances," Prokopenko wrote, adding: "Putin faces an unsolvable trilemma of simultaneously maintaining a balanced financial system, meeting social obligations and sustaining defense spending at current levels."
Persons: Alexandra Prokopenko, , Prokopenko, Prokopeko, Vladimir Putin, Putin, bode Organizations: Service, Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, Financial Times, Defense, Putin, Kremlin Locations: Russia, Europe, Ukraine, Soviet, Moscow, stagflation
Oil prices slid, while investors shrugged off sluggishness in China stocks. Wall Street is gearing up for CPI, which is in focus after the strong September payroll report. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementStock markets opened higher on Tuesday as oil prices dipped, helping investors recover slightly after Monday's losing session. Instead, Wall Street is largely focused on earnings and upcoming inflation data, scheduled for release on Thursday.
Persons: Stocks, , Monday's, Brent, Wells Organizations: CPI, Service, Stock, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, PepsiCo, JPMorgan, BlackRock Locations: sluggishness, China, Beijing, Wells Fargo, Here's
Short-seller Hindenburg Research accused Roblox of "lying to investors" and inflating user data. Hindenburg also alleged the gaming platform was unsafe for minors. AdvertisementRoblox stock dropped on Tuesday after short-seller Hindenburg Research accused the gaming platform of inflating user metrics and deceiving investors. Shares in the gaming platform company fell as much as 9.4% in early intraday trading on Tuesday. "The financial claims made by Hindenburg Research are simply misleading.
Persons: Roblox, Hindenburg, , Hindenberg Organizations: Hindenburg, Service, Wall, Hindenburg Research
China's stock rally could extend another 15% to 20%, Goldman Sachs says. Goldman highlighted out still-low valuations and diminishing risk as tailwinds for a continued rally. AdvertisementThe blowout surge in China's stock market still has ways to go, with another 15% to 20% upside ahead, Goldman Sachs predicts. Third, earnings growth could pick up if the economy responds well to China's latest support measures. Goldman is optimistic in this outcome, estimating that the central bank's policy easing could uplift China's GDP by 40 basis points.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, , It's Organizations: Beijing, Service Locations: China, Beijing
The upcoming inflation report will help determine the Fed's next move. Friday's surprisingly strong jobs data has slashed bets of a half-point rate cut. AdvertisementBut with September's jobs report crushing expectations, concerns may have been premature. AdvertisementHow inflation data could compound these forecasts will be known on Thursday, when the CPI report comes out. Still, with inflation still slightly above the central bank's 2% target , some analysts are cautioning investors not to forget about price pressures.
Persons: Friday's, , it's, they're, Mohamed El, Erian, Brian Rose, Seema Shah Organizations: UBS, Service, US, Bloomberg, CPI, Fed, Bank of America, Barclays
The Fed will still deliver jumbo rate cuts to stabilize the weakening job market, the firm predicted. AdvertisementThough most on Wall Street are cheering September's blowout labor report, not everyone is so sure the labor market is booming. Advertisement"The extremely low response rate to the payroll survey waves a red flag," the firm wrote on Friday. The firm scrutinized last month's payroll strength against the fact that other labor market indicators have shown a pullback in hiring. Meanwhile, this week's JOLTS data prompted Deutsche Bank to question how tight the labor market really is.
Persons: , Larry Summers Organizations: Macroeconomics, Service, Deutsche Bank, of Labor Statistics, Conference, Federal, Bank of America Locations: joblessness, tanked
AdvertisementThe September jobs report offered good news all around — except to those expecting a second straight jumbo 50-basis-point rate cut from the Federal Reserve next month. In addition, the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 4.1%, bucking estimates that it would stay unchanged at 4.2%. Analysts agree that September's blowout job numbers make an aggressive interest rate cut harder to justify. Advertisement"Did the Fed even need to cut rates in September, let alone cut by 50 basis points?" Late last month, the bank predicted that investors would take on more risk if the unemployment rate hit 4.1% and if payrolls reached above 150,000.
Persons: , Seema Shah, Glen Smith, Morgan Stanley, payrolls, Smith Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Asset Management, GDS Wealth Management, Federal
Oil prices could surge past $200 a barrel if Iran's oil installations are taken offline, a chief commodities expert said. AdvertisementOil prices could roar past $200 a barrel if escalating tensions in the Middle East decimate Iran's crude output, a chief commodities analyst told CNBC. In the $200 per barrel scenario, Brent crude, the international benchmark, would gain 161% from its current price. Still, some investors are betting on the possibility of damaged oil output, Bloomberg reports. These restrictions were introduced to prop up oil prices, but have cost the alliance market share.
Persons: , SEB's Bjarne Schieldrop, Schieldrop, Brent, Bob McNally, haven't Organizations: Service, CNBC, Traders, Bloomberg Locations: Iran, Hormuz, Israel, Lebanon, Libya, OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Riyadh
Saudi Arabia's oil minister says crude prices could fall as low as $50 per barrel. AdvertisementSaudi Arabia's oil minister says oil prices could fall as low as $50 per barrel if OPEC+ keeps overproducing, according to a Wall Street Journal report. $50 per barrel oil would drag Brent crude, the international benchmark, down 33% from current levels. The Saudi minister called out Iraq, which surpassed its quota by 400,000 barrels per day in August, according to S&P Global Ratings data. The OPEC leader caused prices to fall below $10 per barrel in 1986 after boosting output to penalize other producers.
Persons: , Prince Abdulaziz bin, Brent, That's Organizations: Service, Wall, Financial Times, OPEC Locations: Saudi, Lebanon, Iran, Kazakhstan, Riyadh, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, OPEC
Key data prints are hovering in recession territory, Megan Horneman said. "I think investors got a little ahead of themselves," she said. This over-enthusiasm could cost the market heavily, pushing stocks toward a 7% to 10% drop, the chief investment officer said. "I think investors got a little ahead of themselves as far as the what strength there is in the economy," she told Yahoo Finance. Still, these data prints have taken a backseat to labor data, which holds the spotlight on Wall Street.
Persons: Megan Horneman, , Tim Fiore, Morgan Stanley, Horneman Organizations: Yahoo Finance, Service, Conference Board, September's, PMI, US Federal Reserve
Stocks and bond yields fell on Tuesday amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. Crude oil rose more than 3% on speculation that regional conflict will hit production. Gold prices climbed as investors flocked to safe-haven assets. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy .
Persons: Organizations: Service, Israel, White, Traders, Treasury, East Locations: Lebanon, Iran, Israel, West Coasts
US electric demand is rising, fueled by everything from data centers to electrified transportation, says BofA. AdvertisementWith resources flooding into infrastructure and tech, US electric demand is charging up. Sempra will rise 13% based on the bank's $94 share target. Northwestern Energy could similarly jump over 13% to reach a $65 price target, Bofa says. TXNM Energy is set to increase 10% from current levels, reaching a price target of $48 per share.
Persons: , Entergy, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Bank of America, Northwestern Energy, Pinnacle, TXNM Locations: Texas, Montana
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