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☆ Big-money investors are increasingly bullish on these 8 AI beneficiaries, according to a Goldman Sachs analysis of over 744 hedge funds with a combined $2.4 trillion in equities
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-23 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Hedge funds' top holdings have performed much better this year than in 2022 or 2021. Here are eight artificial intelligence beneficiaries that hedge funds are gravitating toward. The heaviest investments from hedge funds recently have been to energy and financials stocks, Snider wrote. 8 AI winners that hedge funds still loveWhile hedge funds haven't turned their back on tech, it may appear that way at first glance. Along with each is its ticker, industry, the number of hedge funds that owned it in December 2022 and June 2023, and the increase in the number of hedge funds that owned the stock in that span.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman Sachs Goldman Sachs, Ben Snider, Snider, they're, Russell, they've, haven't, it's Organizations: Microsoft, Nvidia, Goldman Sachs Research, Apple

☆ Carbon storage is gaining favor. These are the companies investors need to know
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-15 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Carbon capture, utilization and storage processes have been around for half a decade, but are currently gaining momentum. Some focus on modifying already-standing power as well as industrial plants that work on carbon capture. Put more succinctly, Deutsche Bank analyst James Hubbard called carbon capture "simple in theory" but "capital intensive and divisive" in reality. He also noted the company has one of the industry's largest carbon capture positions. Staphos cited the potential of its carbon capture operations as a long-term reason to be optimistic, even as its more traditional end-market, homebuilding, faces near-term pressure.

Persons: CCUS, Worley, Wood MacKenzie, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Hatzius, James Hubbard, Goldman's Brian Singer, Baker Hughes, Goldman, Ati Modak, hasn't, Stephens, Mike Scialla, Scialla, George Staphos, Staphos, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Big, International Energy Agency, U.S . Department of Energy, Battelle, Carbon Technologies, Occidental Petroleum, Carbon Engineering, Energy, Deutsche Bank, Wall Street, Occidental Petroleum . Energy, Baker, Occidental, of Energy, Bank of America, Weyerhaeuser, Bloom Energy, CF Industrial, Honeywell, KBR, Linde, Nutrien, Teledyne, Refinitiv Locations: Vermont, stoke, Maui, Big Tech, Texas, Louisiana, Carbon Technologies . Texas, Kleberg County, Rio Grande, Denmark, Switzerland, Union, Occidental, Boise, Pacific

☆ China has to stabilize its housing market and address risks to its economy if it wants to avoid 'Japanification', JPMorgan says
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-02 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

China has a rapidly aging population and a difficult macro environment, but it also has some strong points. Beijing must stabilize its housing market to avoid the same pitfalls Japan faced decades prior. Strategists warned Wednesday of the superpower's "Japanification" risk that could stem from an unsteady housing market, financial imbalance, and an aging population. Hence, it is critical to stabilize the housing market as a near-term policy priority, as emphasized by the July Politburo meeting." Ultimately, much of the potential "Japanification" falls back to housing market risks.

Persons: Japan's Organizations: Service, Privacy, China, stagnating, JPMorgan Locations: China, Japan, Beijing, Wall, Silicon, stagnating Japan, 1Q23, —, Russia, Ukraine

☆ Investors will be disappointed by Bernstein’s estimated stock market returns for the next decade
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-19 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Elevated stock market valuations suggest that returns for investors over the next decade could be meager, according to a Bernstein analysis. The Shiller PE or CAPE — that is, cyclically adjusted price to earnings ratio — sets the market multiple based on average inflation-adjusted earnings over the course of a decade. "The Shiller PE has historically been a good predictor of very long-run 10-year forward equity returns," the Bernstein analysts wrote. However, the firm notes that investors shouldn't forego stock market exposure even if returns are likely to be lower. Ed Yardeni of Yardeni Research said market valuations could be resetting as Big Tech companies powered by artificial intelligence dominate the market.

Persons: Bernstein, Sarah McCarthy, Mark Diver, Ed Yardeni, Yardeni Organizations: Equity, Yardeni Research, Big Tech Locations: Tuesday's

☆ The US stock market rally is unsustainable, but making these 20 international investments can lead to long-term profits, according to 3 fund managers with over $43 billion in combined assets
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-30 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

International stocks have underperformed for over a decade, while US growth names took off. However, foreign companies have attractive relative valuations and earnings growth. Why foreign stocks are more than just a good dealAnyone bullish on international stocks will almost always point to their valuations relative to US companies. Investors can get downside protection in this uncertain environment by buying international stocks that are high quality and can generate their own growth, Deladerriere said. And in addition to their rising earnings growth, the fund manager noted that the two pay sizable dividends.

Persons: they've, Nick Paul, Paul, Steve Gorham, who's, Gorham, Wes Crill, Crill, isn't, Alexis Deladerriere, Deladerriere, there's, Goldman, haven't, He's, it's Organizations: MFS Investment Management, Value, Vanguard, Index, Yahoo Finance, Dimensional Fund Advisors, Fund, Goldman Sachs International Equity Income, Goldman, Asset Management, Goldman Sachs, Management, HSBC, BNP, Schneider, MFS, Hitachi Locations: Europe, Asia, BlackRock, weightings, Gorham, Japan, London, Paris, Spanish, Ukraine, France, Australia, Taiwan

☆ Brazil central bank signals possibility of rate cut in August by majority view
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-27 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

BRASILIA, June 27 (Reuters) - Brazil's central bank signaled on Tuesday that a majority of its policymakers see a possibility of initiating a "parsimonious" rate cut at its next meeting in August, provided that a more benign inflation scenario is consolidated, while a minority adopts a more cautious stance. Although it adopted a more moderate tone by excluding the possibility of rate hikes from its policy statement, the central bank refrained from signaling monetary easing at its next meeting in August last week, pointing instead to a data-dependent stance. The communication drew criticism from President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, ministers, and some market participants, who expected a notable shift in the bank's tone due to lower-than-expected inflation, a stronger currency, and easing inflation expectations. The central bank stressed in the minutes that inflation expectations declined slightly, but remain deanchored from official targets, partially due to the questioning about a possible change in future inflation targets, adding that "decisions that reanchor expectations can lead to faster disinflation." The National Monetary Council, consisting of the Finance Minister, Planning Minister, and central bank governor, will convene on Thursday to confirm the 3% inflation targets for 2024 and 2025, and set the official target for 2026.

Persons: Copom, Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, Fernando Haddad, Marcela Ayres, Steven Grattan Organizations: Monetary, Finance, Planning, Thomson Locations: BRASILIA

☆ Analysts see A.I. as a double-edged sword for 3 big tech stocks. We're more optimistic
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-26 | by ( Paulina Likos | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Alphabet The news: Analysts at UBS lowered their rating on Alphabet to neutral from buy but increased their price target to $132 per share from $123. Analysts expect the company's use of generative AI to be the "next leg to shares," and its use of AI tools should help the company "be viewed as an AI winner." Though Meta shares fell 3.5% to $278 each Monday. Reacceleration of revenue growth at Amazon's cloud unit, Amazon Web Services (AWS) into the fourth quarter of this year, should be a catalyst for the stock, analysts said. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.

Persons: Eric Schmidt, Jim, We're, Meta, Mark Zuckerberg, there's, Zuckerberg, Roth, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Sebastien Bozon Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, UBS, Google, Club, Microsoft, Facebook, Meta, Apple, Amazon Web Services, AFP, Getty Locations: Mulhouse

☆ A notorious market bear who called the 2000 and 2008 crashes says stocks are set to suffer 'profound' losses as valuations remain at historic extremes — and dismisses the current rally as a 'narrow an
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-24 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

It also doesn't offer a fair characterization of the entire S&P 500's performance. Hussman's preferred valuation measure is total market cap of non-financial stocks to total revenue of non-financial stocks. According to Bank of America, 80% of the S&P 500's returns over a 10-year period can be attributed to valuations. The red line in the chart below shows the gauge, while the blue is the S&P 500's price action. Predicted in April 2007 that the S&P 500 could lose 40%, then it lost 55% in the subsequent collapse from 2007 to 2009.

Persons: John Hussman, Hussman, hasn't, Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, David Rosenberg, Solita, 18.5x, it's, Jeremy Grantham, Jeremy Siegel, Siegel, Michael Kantrowitz, Piper Sandler, Piper Sandler Kantrowitz Organizations: Hussman Investment Trust, Bank of America, Rosenberg Research, UBS, University of Pennsylvania, Housing

☆ 'Don't chase this equity rally': Wells Fargo strategist has a warning for investors ahead of Fed meeting
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-12 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

There's a risk that stocks will go downhill from here, according to Wells Fargo's Paul Christopher, as he warned investors not to chase the current rally. "Even if the Fed stays on hold next week, we don't think the Fed stays on hold for very long — inflation is just too sticky." Christopher added that he does not believe the Fed will cut rates this year. History shows the S & P 500 doesn't bottom until, on average, six months after the first Fed rate cut, Christopher said. The rally has been a narrow-focused one, however, with gains driven by just a few major tech stocks.

Persons: Wells Fargo's Paul Christopher, Paul Christopher, he's, CNBC's, Christopher Organizations: Wells, Investment Institute, U.S . Federal, CNBC, Nasdaq, Treasury Locations: U.S

☆ JPMorgan raises 2024 economic outlook for India, but remains cautious of global headwinds
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-02 | by ( Charmaine Jacob | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

JPMorgan increased its 2024 economic forecast for India — but only marginally — saying the country's growth will be affected by a slowdown in global growth momentum. The investment bank raised its 2024 growth forecast from 5% to 5.5%. The South Asian nation's strong growth was driven by a pick up in domestic demand for goods and services as well as strong exports. "We have been flagging the continued strength of India's service exports and how goods exports were also doing cyclically better than had been expected," JPMorgan said in a note. There were also "several pockets of upside surprises, including manufacturing, construction, and farm output … fixed capital investment growth has also fared better," Rao told CNBC's "Street Signs Asia" on Thursday.

Persons: Radhika Rao, JPMorgan, Rao, CNBC's Organizations: JPMorgan, DBS Bank Locations: India

☆ Bank of America hikes year-end target for S&P 500, citing focus by companies on efficiency and A.I.
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-21 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

In a note to clients on Sunday, Bank of America strategist Savita Subramanian hiked her year-end price target for the S & P 500 to 4,300 from 4,000. The S & P 500 is already up more than 9% year-to-date. .SPX YTD line The S & P 500 has gained more than 9% in 2023. The new target puts Bank of America above the average in the CNBC Market Strategist Survey . The highest target among major Wall Street firms is still 4,575 from CFRA's Sam Stovall.

☆ Stock futures fall slightly as Wall Street focuses on tense debt ceiling negotiations
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-21 | by ( Jesse Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures retreated slightly on Sunday evening as traders monitored the negotiations over the U.S. debt ceiling. Futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average ticked down 63 points, or about 0.19%. S&P 500 futures dipped about 0.21%, and Nasdaq 100 futures also shed 0.14%. The Nasdaq Composite climbed 3.04%, while the S&P 500 gained 1.65%. On cyclically adjusted earnings, valuations argue for price returns of 5% per year for the S&P 500 over the next decade," Subramanian said in a note to clients.

The most recent week saw purchases of NYMEX and ICE WTI (+12 million), Brent (+8 million), U.S. gasoline (+2 million) and European gas oil (+1 million) but sales of U.S. diesel (-3 million). But in products, the long-short ratio has increased to only 2.69:1 (40th percentile) from 2.39:1 (38th percentile) on March 21. And in middle distillates, such as gas oil and ultra-low sulphur diesel, the ratio has actually fallen slightly to 1.70:1 (33rd percentile) from 1.78:1 (35th percentile). Even on the crude side, however, the end of the short-covering process has sapped oil prices of some of their upward short-term momentum. U.S. NATURAL GASInvestors are becoming cautiously more bullish on U.S. gas prices, anticipating prices have already dropped so low the balance of risks is tilted strongly towards the upside.

☆ Looking for a new career? Here are 30 high-paying, fast-growing jobs that are set to boom over the next decade
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-24 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

How we came up with our list of the best jobs of the futureThe above 30 jobs both pay above the median annual wage and are poised to grow over the next decade. The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases annual employment projections of how various jobs will grow or decline over the next decade. A higher geometric mean would mean a higher rank. Wage data is for May 2021 from the Bureau's Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics program. We only included jobs that pay over $45,760, the median wage for all occupations, because we were interested in jobs that are both expected to grow and pay well.

But manufacturers across the eurozone have reported business activity has been falling for nine months since June 2022 according to purchasing managers’ surveys. U.S. manufacturers have reported business activity has been falling for five months since November 2022 according to the Institute for Supply Management (ISM)’s purchasing survey. But the deficit had narrowed from 63 million barrels (-15% or -2.05 standard deviations) at the end of June 2022, according to data from Euroilstock. U.S. distillate fuel oil inventories were 18 million barrels (-14% or -1.08 standard deviations) below the prior 10-year seasonal average on March 31. In Singapore, distillate inventories have risen in 12 of the 15 most recent weeks by a total of 3 million barrels, according to data from Enterprise Singapore.

It has slipped to levels consistent with the onset of the last four recessions in 2020, 2008, 2001 and 1990, implying the manufacturing sector is experiencing a cyclical slump even if there is still momentum in services. But the manufacturing and freight downturn is already depressing domestic consumption of diesel and other distillate fuel oils, the most cyclically sensitive part of the petroleum market. Consumption of diesel and other distillate fuel oils has been falling since the second quarter of 2022, in line with the slowdown in manufacturing and freight activity. The volume of distillate fuel oil supplied to the domestic market was down -4.4% in the three months from November to January compared with the same period a year earlier. Related columns:- U.S. diesel consumption falls as economy slows (March 1, 2023)- U.S. manufacturers flounder amid cost-of-living shock (February 15, 2023)- U.S. manufacturing downturn will cut diesel consumption (January 5, 2023)John Kemp is a Reuters market analyst.

☆ Gold rises on dollar dip, banking optimism limits gains
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Meat bans, soaring gold prices and Britain voting to 'un–Brexit' could be on the cards for 2023, according to Saxo's Outrageous Predictions. Gold prices dropped on Wednesday as easing worries over a potential bigger fallout from the global banking crisis increased appetite for riskier assets and dampened demand for the safe-haven metal. Spot gold was trading 0.4% lower at $1,966.48 per ounce, as of 0356 GMT, after rising 1% on Tuesday. The opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold rises when interest rates are increased to bring down inflation. Markets are pricing in a nearly 43% chance of the Fed raising interest rates by 25 basis points in May, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

☆ Gold retreats as waning banking crisis dampens demand
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-29 | by ( Kavya Guduru | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Spot gold was trading 0.7% lower at $1,960.91 per ounce, as of 0619 GMT, after rising 1% on Tuesday. "We've seen a natural retracement ... gold is pulling back after a failed 'bid' to break above $1,975," said Matt Simpson, senior market analyst at City Index. But some investors "still seem to be holding onto gold 'just in case' there's another skeleton or two lurking in the closet," Simpson said. The opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold rises when interest rates are increased. Silver fell 0.8% to $23.08 per ounce, platinum lost 0.7% at $956.76 and palladium edged down 0.2% to $1,416.93.

☆ Morgan Stanley highlights four stocks that are rising stars in the world of ESG investing
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-10 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Morgan Stanley's list of the biggest rising stars in the socially conscious investing space includes four U.S. stocks. But the stock hugely outperformed last year, rising 25% while the S & P 500 dropped 19.4%. DE 5Y mountain Deere & Co. Another name listed by Morgan Stanley is Eastman Chemical . Management estimates that the Kingsport plant will have a 15% rate of return for the company, while the other plants will likely be closer to 12%, Morgan Stanley said. EMN NFE 1Y mountain Eastman Chemical Nu Holdings , a Brazilian digital banking company that trades on the New York Stock Exchange, also made Morgan Stanley's list.

☆ A real estate investor who owns over 1,000 units shares the 21 investing, personal development, and leadership books that helped him find financial freedom at age 36
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-03 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +14 min

Today, real estate investor Dave Allred has ownership in over 1,250 units across the country. He shared the 21 books that helped him achieve financial freedom at age 36. These books cover real estate and investing, personal development, business, and leadership. In a recent interview, Allred shared with Insider the 21 books — spanning areas such as real estate, investing, personal development, business, and leadership — that helped him find success. This principle is especially close to Allred's heart, since reverse engineering his financial freedom took a meticulous goal-setting process.

[1/2] Chinese tourists stand next to street vendors at Myeongdong shopping district in Seoul, South Korea, January 9, 2023. REUTERS/Kim Hong-JiSEOUL, March 2 (Reuters) - South Korea's government on Thursday promised to boost exports and attract tourists as the country's statistics agency released January data that showed gloomy prospects for the economy. Reflecting the sense of urgency within the government, South Korea's trade minister convened a separate emergency meeting of officials from almost all ministries to press for more exports. South Korea's official forecast is for exports to drop 4.5% in 2023 compared with last year. South Korea's trade-reliant economy contracted by an estimated 0.4% in the fourth quarter of 2022 from the previous quarter as exports collapsed.

☆ A renowned market bear who called the dot-com crash warns stock valuations are at 'nosebleed' levels — and suggests that tech stocks could be the market's 'Achilles' heel'
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-24 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Societe Generale's Albert Edwards warns stock valuations are at 'nosebleed' levels. Historically, when yields are low, higher stock valuations are accepted as investors seek yield. But currently high yields in the Treasury market mean stock valuations, on a historical basis, should be lower. Societe GeneraleEdwards said the drop in long-term growth expectations could be assigned to a deteriorating outlook for tech stocks. Societe Generale"An expensive US CAPE ratio has long been justified by the US market's far higher weighting in tech," he said.

As a result, research on business cycles moved in other directions, and policymakers increasingly aimed to eliminate cyclical instability altogether. Oil and gas cycles have been closely correlated with each other and with U.S. manufacturing activity. On average, troughs in oil prices occur within ±3 months of a turning point in U.S. manufacturing activity, while troughs in gas prices occur within ±4 months. Some softness in manufacturing activity as well as oil and gas prices should therefore be expected at this point. If the current slowdown proves to be a mid-cycle soft patch, gas and especially oil prices are likely to rise strongly later in 2023.

☆ Here are Wednesday's biggest analyst calls: Tesla, Apple, Target, Walmart, Microsoft, Roku & more
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-08 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Here are Wednesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: CFRA downgrades Roku to sell from hold CFRA said it sees "challenging fundamentals" for Roku . Piper Sandler reiterates Target as overweight Piper said Target is a key beneficiary of Bed Bath & Beyond struggles. Bank of America reiterates Chipotle as buy Bank of America said it sees more earnings per share upside after the company's earnings report on Tuesday. Bank of America reiterates Domino's as buy Bank of America said it's bullish on Domino's launch of loaded tater tots. Bank of America reiterates Microsoft as buy Bank of America said it's bullish long-term on Microsoft's venture into AI.

☆ The case for investing in China's reopening is strong. Here's how to proceed with caution
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-19 | by ( Patti Domm | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +11 min

Strategists see China's markets easily scoring double-digit gains this year. The case for investing outside the U.S. is strong, particularly with the dollar coming off its highs and looking at further downside. "While China's reopening is undoubtedly a turning point, there remain reasons to be cautious," wrote Barclays equity strategists. But still the prospects for China's economy are much brighter than they were just several months ago. The Covid lockdown has been so damaging to the Chinese economy, they want to get back to a growth path in 2023."

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