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Jefferies initiates Sprout Social as buy Jefferies said the social media software provider is a market leader. Morgan Stanley names Huntington Bancshares a top pick Morgan Stanley said it likes the regional bank's low exposure to commercial real estate. Morgan Stanley reiterates Nvidia as overweight Morgan Stanley raised its price target on Nvidia to $750 per share from $603. Morgan Stanley downgrades Aptiv to underweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley said it sees slowing growth for the automotic tech company. Jefferies initiates ZoomInfo as buy Jefferies initiates the software data company with a buy and says it sees new customer growth.
Persons: Redburn, Key, it's, Gordon, Gordon Haskett, Jefferies, Steven Madden, Morgan Stanley, Huntington, Morgan Stanley downgrades Aptiv, Piper Sandler, Piper, Davidson, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, DA Davidson, it's bullish, Oppenheimer Organizations: Services, Bank of America, Google, Leerink, SPT, Citi, JPMorgan downgrades New York Community Bancorp, JPMorgan, Jefferies, Nvidia, Crown Holdings, Holdings, Civitas Resources, Corp, Vans, VF Corp, Bank of America downgrades, York Community Bancorp, New, Apple, Apple's Locations: F24E, New York
The regional bank reported disappointing earnings, stoking fears of commercial real estate trouble. AdvertisementA smaller lender is facing a firesale of its stock fueled by concerns about its stability, echoing the regional-banking problems last year that stoked fears of a full-blown financial crisis and commercial real estate meltdown. AdvertisementThe increases hit the value of their fixed-income and commercial real estate portfolios. In particular, commercial real estate is under pressure from ongoing remote working, tighter credit availability as lenders have pulled back, and higher debt costs, all of which have weighed on asset values. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen told lawmakers this week she expects the commercial real estate pressures to "put a loss of stress" on property owners, although she expected it to be manageable, Bloomberg reported.
Persons: stoking, , stoked, NYCB, Banks, Moody's, Wall, Thomas Cangemi, pare, Janet Yellen Organizations: Community Bancorp, Service, New York Community Bancorp, Flagstar Bank, Signature Bank, Valley Bank, Silvergate, Bloomberg, Federal
There are opportunities in the banking sector despite a rise in volatility and concern over steep losses at some lenders, according to fund manager Cole Smead. The stock makes up 1.36% of the Smead Value Fund . He believes UniCredit's share buybacks while the shares trade below book value will drive book value growth higher than the current 8% return on equity. "When you buy back shares below book, there is a multiplier effect on book value growth," Smead explained. The fund manager expects UniCredit will trade above book value over the next 12-18 months and use its stock to pursue further acquisitions.
Persons: Cole Smead, Switzerland's, Julius Baer, Smead, CNBC's, RoE, UniCredit Organizations: Smead Capital, Western Alliance Bank, KBW, New York Community Bancorp, Investors, Western Alliance Bank's, CNBC Pro Locations: Europe, U.S
But while the last crisis was all about interest rate risk, this one revolves around the $20 trillion commercial real estate market. What’s happening: After decades of growth bolstered by low interest rates and easy credit, commercial real estate has hit a wall. The increase was driven partly by expected losses on commercial real estate loans, it said. “As losses from a [commercial real estate] loan portfolio accumulate, they can spill over into the broader financial system,” they wrote. “There’s some smaller and regional banks that have concentrated exposures in these areas that are challenged and we’re working with them,” he said.
Persons: It’s, Goldman Sachs, Anna Cooban, Janet Yellen, Jerome Powell, Gary Gensler, , Chip Somodevilla, She’s, Powell, , ” McDonald’s, McDonald’s, Jordan Valinsky, Samantha Murphy Kelly, “ We’ve Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, New York Community Bancorp, US Regional Bank, Japan’s Aozora Bank, Deutsche Bank, Canadian Public Pension Investment Board, Boston Properties, US Securities and Exchange, Financial, Biden, Senate, CBS, Verizon, Old Telephone Service, landlines, UK, Consumers, CNN, California Public Utilities Commission Locations: New York, Manhattan, Boston, Washington ,, East, United States, California, France, California ”
What’s really going on with bank stocks
  + stars: | 2024-02-02 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
Word quickly spread on Wall Street that the regional bank was under pressure, igniting a bout of selling of other bank stocks over fears of contagion. The KBW Regional Banking Index closed down 6% on Wednesday. Unlike many fellow regional banks, it held on to the vast majority of its deposits. He also highlighted that the banks’ losses were tied to faulty office building loans. The selloff that hit other regional bank stocks is “likely overdone given idiosyncratic factors tied to NYCB,” Bank of America analysts said in a note on Thursday.
Persons: Zions, NYCB, Thomas Cangemi, Chris Marinac, Janney Montgomery Scott, CNN he’s, , ” NYCB, That’s, It’s, isn’t, ” Marinac, Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, New York Community Bancorp, Western Alliance Bancorp, York Community Bancorp, Bank, CNN, ” Bank of America, Aozora Bank, First Republic, Valley Bank Locations: New York, ZION, York
The bank's Tokyo-listed shares fell for a second day, tracking losses in U.S. regional lenders overnight. Aozora Bank shares hit near three-year lows Friday, as investors continued to hammer the Japanese commercial lender after it downgraded its annual outlook to a loss on bad U.S. commercial real estate loans. "U.S. real estate lending for around 10% of (its) total lending with a CET1 ratio of below 7% due to unrealized losses on securities has no precedent." Aozora's update came shortly after U.S. regional bank New York Community Bancorp announced a surprise net loss of $252 million for the fourth quarter. "However, higher losses tied to commercial real estate office exposure, increase in criticized loans tied to multi-family CRE [commercial real estate] are a reminder of ongoing credit normalization that we are likely to witness across the industry," Bank of America U.S. banking analysts wrote.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Aozora, Masahiko Sato, Sato, NYCB, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Aozora Bank, Japan's Aozora Bank, Nikkei, Equity, SMBC Nikko Securities, New, New York Community Bancorp, Signature Bank, Bank of America, Bank of America U.S Locations: Tokyo Japan, Tokyo, U.S, New York
The New York City property exec and veteran real estate broker pointed to potential trouble heading for the US office space, thanks to the plunging demand for office buildings since the pandemic, and poor lending conditions across the commercial real estate sector. AdvertisementExperts have been warning of trouble in the commercial real estate sector for the last year as credit conditions in the economy tighten. Many commercial real estate mortgages are financed at interest rates around 3.5%-4%. New York City alone has around 100 million square feet of empty office space, Knakal estimated. Office buildings, meanwhile, could soon double the price decline they saw in 2023, the real estate firm Cohen & Steers estimated.
Persons: , Bob Knakal, Knakal, Banks, Cohen, Steers Organizations: Service, Business, New, CNBC, National Association of Realtors . New Locations: New York City, National Association of Realtors . New York City
Read previewThis year will be when the distress brewing in commercial real estate finally reaches its breaking point, according to Capital Economics. The research firm pointed to pessimism that has clouded the commercial real estate sector for the past year. Around $541 billion of commercial real estate debt officially matured in 2023, though fallout was muted as many loans were granted extensions, the firm said. Meanwhile, property investors like Brookfield are raising cash to potentially buy cheap commercial real estate properties that hit the market. AdvertisementSome commentators have warned of an even more severe crash coming for commercial real estate.
Persons: , Kiran Raichura, Raichura, Kyle Bass Organizations: Service, Capital Economics, Business, Fed, International Monetary Fund Locations: Brookfield
ECB says property slump could last years in threat to lenders
  + stars: | 2023-11-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
An ECB report which examines threats to financial stability underscored heightened concern over a property boom that is now unravelling in countries such as Germany and Sweden. Commercial property prices have been hit by economic weakness and high interest rates over the last year, challenging the sector's profitability and business model, the ECB said. The sector is not big enough to create a systemic risk for lenders, but could increase shocks across the financial system and greatly impact the financial firms, from investment funds to insurance firms, collectively known as shadow banks. The ECB issued its report as deep cracks emerged in the property market of the euro zone's top economy, Germany. Commercial real estate transactions were down 47% in the first half of 2023, compared with the same period in 2022.
Persons: René Benko, Banks, Balazs Koranyi, John O'Donnell, Barbara Lewis, Alexander Smith Organizations: European Central Bank, ECB, Signa, Chrysler, Signa Group, Reuters, Raiffeisen Bank, Bank, Thomson Locations: FRANKFURT, Germany, Sweden, Austrian, Hamburg, Austria, Bank Austria
The third quarter saw roughly $3 billion in new collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) backed by CRE loans, according to a Friday report by DBRS. This marks a significant turn from the second quarter, which saw less than $1 billion in CRE CLO issuance. Office-backed loans represented almost half of all CRE delinquencies in the third quarter, according to DBRS. An overall 3.27% delinquency rate for CRE CLOs in the third quarter was roughly in line with the second quarter rate, according to DBRS. There were $2.67 billion in delinquent CRE CLO loans as of September, a $20 million increase from the second quarter.
Persons: Marco Bello, DBRS Morningstar, CLOs, Loans, CRE CLOs, CRE, Matt Tracy, David Gregorio Our Organizations: U.S, DBRS, CRE, Thomson Locations: Miami, Biscayne Bay, Brickell, Downtown, Miami , Florida, U.S, DBRS, delinquencies
And those workouts are becoming mathematically untenable even for private lenders. Borrowing costs for the CRE market have risen more than income, a situation prompted by the steepest jump in interest rates in decades. NO REAL OPTIONRising caution among private lenders will worsen the paucity of liquidity for property owners who have no real exit option. Some private lenders faced the risk of ending up paring their portfolios that were expensive to manage, he added. But the firm's head of commercial real estate economics Thomas LaSalvia said probability of a contagion effect was low.
Persons: Mike Comparato, Jeff Holzmann, Razmig Boladian, Claudia Faust, Alex Horn, Horn, Jay Hiemenz, Thomas LaSalvia, Shankar Ramakrishnan, Anna Driver Organizations: Realty Trust, RREAF Holdings, Rubicon Point Partners, Hawkeye Partners, Thomson Locations: Franklin, Texas
The special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) unveiled plans earlier this year to combine with London Innovation Underwriters and raise additional funds to deploy in the Lloyd's of London insurance market. The deal by Financials Acquisition Corp differs from a typical SPAC merger because the company has set up London Innovation Underwriters itself. It is not the first time that public market investors in London have backed a new insurance venture. In 2020, Conduit Holdings (CRE.L) listed on the London Stock Exchange, subsequently starting reinsurance activities. UBS and HSBC are joint global coordinators to the Financials Acquisition deal.
Persons: Britain's King Charles, Sarah Meyssonnier, William Allen, Lloyd's, Beazley, Carolyn Cohn, Pablo Mayo Cerqueiro, Anousha Organizations: City of, REUTERS, Financials, London Innovation Underwriters, Lloyds, Innovation Underwriters, Conduit Holdings, London Stock Exchange, UBS, HSBC, Thomson Locations: City, City of London, Britain, London, Lancashire, Lloyd's
The Cheesecake Factory is more than a staple of US shopping malls – it's a sign of financial health. Malls without a Cheesecake Factory were much more likely to be behind on their loans, Moody's found. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe Cheesecake Factory first opened in Beverly Hills, California, in 1978 and has since grown to more than 200 restaurants across North America. The chain is typically located in or near shopping malls — a commercial real estate segment that has seen a rough few years with changing shopping patterns. To see how that relationship plays out in real life, I headed off for lunch at my local Cheesecake Factory at the West Towne Mall in Madison, Wisconsin.
Persons: Moody's, , Matt Reidy, Reidy Organizations: Service, Sears, Nordstroms, Apple, Factory, West Locations: Beverly Hills , California, North America, West Towne, Madison , Wisconsin
Multiple Wall Street analysts are sticking by their bullish calls on Blackstone despite a disappointing third quarter, telling investors that now is the time to buy the stock. Shares of Blackstone fell nearly 8% on Thursday after earnings and revenue came in short of estimates, according to FactSet's StreetAccount. BX 3M mountain Blackstone's stock has fallen sharply over the past month. But Oppenheimer analyst Chris Kotowski said in a note to clients Friday that the move in the alternative asset manager's stock is an overreaction and that investors should buy the dip. "Blackstone (BX) has been exhibiting relative strength – including with its strong investment performance (especially in private credit and infrastructure).
Persons: Blackstone, FactSet's, Oppenheimer, Chris Kotowski, Kotowski, Craig Siegenthaler, Siegenthaler, Jon Gray, Gray, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Blackstone, Bank of America, The Bank of America
REUTERS/Amr Alfiky/File photo Acquire Licensing RightsOct 18(Reuters) - A number of U.S. banks saw continued pain in the third quarter on delinquent commercial real estate (CRE) loans in their portfolios, as stress in the sector persists. As a result, banks recorded continued provisions for credit losses and charge-offs from the previous quarter, driven by their non-performing (NPL), or delinquent, CRE loans. Borrowers have struggled to refinance their CRE loans as property values have declined and interest costs have risen. Some $20 billion of office commercial mortgage-backed securities, which bundle together individual loans, mature in 2023, according to real estate data provider Trepp. "While overall credit quality remains strong across our portfolio, the pressures we anticipated within the commercial real estate office sector have begun to materialize," PNC Chief Financial Officer Robert Reilly told analysts.
Persons: Amr Alfiky, Cole, that's, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, Mayra Rodriguez Valladares, Wells, Robert Reilly, Matt Tracy, Lananh Nguyen, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: REUTERS, Florida Atlantic University, Bank of America, Trepp, Regulators, JPMorgan, Citigroup, PNC, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S
Wells Fargo Bank branch is seen in New York City, U.S., March 17, 2020. REUTERS/Jeenah Moon Acquire Licensing RightsOct 13 (Reuters) - Wells Fargo on Friday beat analysts' estimates for third-quarter profit as it benefited from customers paying more interest and raised its annual forecast for future income from interest payments. The swiftest tightening of U.S. monetary policy in 40 years aimed at reining in sticky inflation has buoyed banks' interest income. Rival banking giant JPMorgan Chase (JPM.N) on Friday posted a rise in third-quarter profit as higher interest rates boosted its income from loans. Wells Fargo earned $1.48 per share in the third quarter, beating analysts' expectations of $1.24, according to LSEG data.
Persons: Wells, NII, JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Charlie Scharf, Banks, Noor Zainab Hussain, Manya, Saeed Azhar, Lananh Nguyen, Sriraj Organizations: REUTERS, Friday, JPMorgan, Wells, Manya Saini, Thomson Locations: Wells Fargo Bank, New York City, U.S, Wells Fargo, Wells, Bengaluru, New York
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCRE delinquency rates have 'not at all' risen to anticipated levels, says Walker & Dunlop CEOWalker & Dunlop CEO Willy Walker joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss his sentiment towards the commercial real estate market, the implications of the move higher in bond yields, and more.
Persons: Walker, Willy Walker Organizations: Dunlop, & & '
Kevin O'Leary is worried about commercial real estate, regional banks, and small businesses. O'Leary wants to boost protections on payroll accounts to ensure companies can pay their workers. AdvertisementAdvertisementPressure is building on regional banks, commercial real estate developers, and small businesses, Kevin O'Leary has warned. AdvertisementAdvertisement"We're going to see more cracks in regional banks, and that's putting pressure on the loan books of those banks which are hitting small business," O'Leary said. The founder of O'Leary Funds and O'Leary Ventures urged lawmakers to support a $100 million guarantee for non-interest-bearing accounts, which would protect payroll accounts.
Persons: Kevin O'Leary, O'Leary, , " O'Leary, They've Organizations: Service, Fox Business, Federal Reserve, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, O'Leary Funds, O'Leary Ventures Locations: Regional
Banks are facing mounting uncertainty as the commercial real estate (CRE) sector continues to struggle. Commercial real estate landscape Higher interest rates, tightening credit conditions and elevated office vacancies are weighing down the estimated $21 trillion commercial real estate sector . A lagging commercial real estate market can strain a bank's capital reserves while a stronger market can boost incomes from lending and fees. While there's reason for concern in the broader commercial real estate market, we see the most pronounced challenges unfolding in offices. CEO Charlie Scharf said the bank sustained "higher losses in commercial real estate, primarily in the office portfolio."
Persons: Banks, Wells, Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley's dealmaking, Tomasz Piskorski, Piskorski, Jim Cramer, Morgan, deteriorations, Tailwinds, JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Michael Santomassimo, Charlie Scharf, Jeff Marks, Wells Fargo execs, Santomassimo, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Collin Madden, Karen Ducey Organizations: Columbia Business School, Federal Reserve, CNBC, That's, Semiconductor, Arm Holdings, Rivian, IB, Barclays, JPMorgan, GEM, Estate Partners, South Lake Union Locations: Wells, CRE, U.S, Wells Fargo, South Lake, Seattle , Washington
Sept 18 (Reuters) - Cadence Bank (CADE.N) CEO Dan Rollins calls the regional banking crisis from earlier this year "March madness." Interviews with half a dozen regional bank executives and economists show the March banking crisis has had a lasting impact on the regional banking industry and the economy. Torsten Slok, chief economist at Apollo Global Management, said the banking crisis had "a magnifying effect" on the Fed's tightening but its full impact would come with a lag. The failure triggered a crisis of confidence, with depositors moving their money from regional banks to the perceived safety of the largest lenders. The KBW Regional Bank Index (.KRX) is down about 20% since early March despite a summer rebound.
Persons: Dan Rollins, Rollins, Mark Zandi, , Zandi, Torsten Slok, Slok, Cadence's Rollins, Steve Wyett, Wyett, Banks, Cadence’s Rollins, Randy Chesler, Chesler, Moody's Zandi, Jeff Jackson, Raj Singh, Singh, Paritosh Bansal, Anna Driver Organizations: Cadence Bank, Moody’s, Apollo Global Management, Bank, Reuters Graphics, Valley, Regional, BOK, Federal, Loan, Thomson Locations: . Federal, Silicon, Tulsa , Oklahoma, Kalispell , Montana, Wheeling , West Virginia
Higher rates are hitting regional banks, commercial real estate, and small businesses, he says. "We've got the pressure at the regional banks, commercial real estate collapse, and small business not getting any capital," the "Shark Tank" investor told "Kudlow" in a recent interview. The Federal Reserve has rushed to crush historic inflation by hiking interest rates from nearly zero to north of 5% since last spring. Many small businesses and CRE developers rely heavily on debt financing from smaller banks, meaning higher rates and a credit crunch pose serious threats to them. He cautioned in another recent interview that the Fed was likely to lift rates higher than 6%, sending residential mortgage rates from a little over 7% today to above 8%.
Persons: Kevin O'Leary, We've, it's, O'Leary, CRE, hasn't Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Bank, Wall Street titans, JPMorgan Locations: Wall, Silicon
Wells Fargo Bank branch is seen in New York City, U.S., March 17, 2020. Wells Fargo had 233,834 employees at the end of the June quarter compared to 243,674 in the second quarter last year. Even though there is systematic stress in office real estate, the other portfolios are performing well, Santomassimo said. In the June quarter, Wells Fargo increased its allowances for credit losses by $949 million to account for potential losses in office loans. Wells Fargo is still operating under an asset cap that prevents it from growing until regulators deem that it has fixed problems from a fake accounts scandal.
Persons: Wells, Mike Santomassimo, Santomassimo, Wells Fargo, Nupur Anand, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, Thomson Locations: Wells Fargo Bank, New York City, U.S, Wells Fargo, New York
WASHINGTON, Sept 5 (Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) is seeking buyers for the $33 billion commercial real estate (CRE) loan portfolio of failed New York lender Signature Bank, it said on Tuesday. The majority of the portfolio comprises multi-family properties primarily located in New York City, the regulator said, adding that it would be marketing the asset over the next three months. Within the CRE portfolio is about $15 billion of loans secured by residences that are rent stabilized or controlled. New York City and State housing authorities, as well as community groups, are providing input to the FDIC as it begins marketing. The FDIC said it expects to complete any portfolio sales by the end of 2023.
Persons: Michelle Price, Pete Schroeder, David Goodman Organizations: U.S, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Signature Bank, FDIC, York Community Bancorp, New, Thomson Locations: New York, New York City, State
Idalia to boost Florida apartment insurance costs further
  + stars: | 2023-08-31 | by ( Matt Tracy | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
Costs have risen the most on multifamily properties such as apartments and condos, according to industry executives and data from credit ratings agency Moody's. Property insurance costs to multifamily assets in Florida have gone up anywhere from 30% to 70% in the past year, and are even higher for those with prior losses, non-renewing insurance carriers or valuation issues, she said. Nationally, CRE properties' insurance costs have grown roughly 7.6% annually on average since 2017, according to an August Moody's report. RENTS, CAP RATESRising insurance premiums on multifamily properties have contributed, among other factors, to rent increases in Florida and elsewhere, said three industry executives. Insurance costs are also forcing CRE lenders to boost due diligence on refinancing and when pricing deals on apartment blocks, executives said.
Persons: Daniel Hokanson, Ian, Kevin, Idalia, Walker, Dunlop, you’re, Willy Walker, multifamily, Ryan Barber, Marsh, Martha Bane, Gallagher, Bane, Matt Tracy, Michelle Price, Marguerita Choy Organizations: U.S . Army National Guard, . National Guard Bureau, REUTERS, Florida, Carolinas, Reuters, Walker, UBS, Insurance, Thomson Locations: Fort Myers, Fort Myers , Florida, U.S, Hawaii's, Maui, Lahaina, California, Florida, Miami, Tampa, Orlando
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSycamore Tree CEO Mark Okada: The case for a no landing will fade when CRE debts become dueMark Okada, Sycamore Tree Capital Partners CEO, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss his case for a recession scenario, the lag effects of monetary policy taking a toll on banks, and why investors should turn towards fixed-income over equities.
Persons: Mark Okada Organizations: Sycamore Tree Capital Partners Locations: Sycamore
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