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The S&P 500 is up nearly 19% year-to-date and closed on Thursday at 4,534.87, only about 6% below an all-time high reached in January 2022. What the Fed does and says next week will be critical," said Cliff Corso, chief investment officer at Advisors Asset Management. "Bearish investors have had to capitulate," said Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab. The bank last month raised its year-end S&P 500 target to 4,500, from 4,000. However, Christopher Tsai, chief investment officer at Tsai Capital, is not worried about buying into an overvalued market.
Persons: Cliff Corso, Jonathan Golub, Tom Lee, Ed Yardeni, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, Eric Freedman, Goldman Sachs, Sunitha Thomas, We've, Christopher Tsai, David Randall, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Ira Iosebashvili, Richard Chang Organizations: YORK, Federal Reserve, Fed, Asset Management, Jonathan Golub of Credit Suisse, Fundstrat Global, Yardeni Research, National Association of Active Investment, U.S, Bank Wealth Management, Consumers, Northern Trust, Tsai, MSCI Inc, Zoetis Inc, Thomson Locations: U.S, Jonathan Golub of
Gary Black says the stock market will continue to trend higher with volatility this year. What the remainder of 2023 has in store for the stock market is anyone's guess at this point. But Gary Black, a 20-year fund manager, and the portfolio manager and managing partner at The Future Fund, has a more positive outlook. The next mega trend is big data and cyber security. mega trend losersOn the side of stocks being shorted, these are the companies that Black expects will lose market share due to these mega trends.
Persons: Gary Black, Phillip Wool, it's, Black, He's, cybertruck, Tesla, Elon Musk, Eli Lilly, Lilly, LULU, Armour Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, EV, Tesla, Company, Palo Alto Networks, Nvidia, Toyota, CNBC, Bloomberg, UA, MAX Holdings Locations: China's, overproducing
Recessions haven't always resulted in declining stock markets, and good opportunities can be found amid them. Sectors for recession naysayersThe best sectors for recession disbelievers are the most economically sensitive ones: industrials, materials and financials. Well-positioned companies with good growth prospects currently include: Corteva, Dow Chemical, Ecolab, Linde plc, Martin Marietta Materials, Nucor Corp., PPG Industries and Sherwin-Williams. Currently buyable names include: Campbell Soup Co., General Mills, The Hershey Co., Kellogg's, Kimberly-Clark Corp., Kroger, Procter & Gamble and Walmart. Sector names with reasonable risk levels and good growth prospects include: Vertex Pharmaceuticals, IDEXX Laboratories, DaVita Inc., Veeva Systems Inc., IQVIA Holdings Inc., Cigna Group and Zoetis Inc.
Persons: Sherwin, Williams, Mayur, Martin Marietta, JPMorgan Chase, Rowe Price, Willis Towers Watson, Campbell, General Mills, Clark, Willie B, Thomas, Digitalvision Organizations: Westend61, University of Michigan Consumer, Investors, Westinghouse Air Brake Co, Cummins Inc, CSX, Emerson Electric, Otis Worldwide, Carrier, Caterpillar, Honeywell, Illinois Tool, Lockheed Martin Corp, Dow Chemical, Ecolab, Linde plc, Martin, Martin Marietta Materials, Nucor Corp, PPG Industries, XLF, JPMorgan, Rowe Price Group Inc, American International Group, Allstate, The, McLennan, Sectors, Co, Hershey Co, Clark Corp, Kroger, Procter, Gamble, Walmart, Getty Images Health, iShares U.S, Medical Devices, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, IDEXX Laboratories, DaVita Inc, Veeva Systems Inc, IQVIA Holdings Inc, Cigna, Zoetis Inc Locations: American, The Hartford, Marsh, Kimberly
While the stock market is on pace for a surprisingly big rally in the first half of the year, certain stocks have led the pack. The U.S. economy has so far dodged a recession and consumers are continuing to spend, which is underpinning Wall Street's optimism. CNBC used FactSet data to screen for stocks that meet the following criteria: Stocks included have gained more than 14% from the start of the year. Nearly 74% of analysts rate the stock as a buy, according to FactSet, while their average price targets imply 20% upside. DAL YTD mountain More than 80% of analysts covering Delta rate the stock as a buy, according to FactSet.
Persons: DAL Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, MGM Resorts, Delta Air Lines, CNBC, Warner Bros, Discovery, Warner Bros Discovery, Caesars Entertainment, MGM, Caesars, Sands, Nassau Coliseum, Alaska Air Group Locations: U.S, New York
The S & P 500 has continued its ascent, already exceeding many Wall Street expectations for its annual gain even though we're only half way into the year. .SPX 5Y mountain The S & P 500 And this is happening just shy of the half-year point for 2023, meaning there's lots of time left for future market moves. Given the potential for further upside, CNBC Pro compiled names whose individual gains could help the market move another leg higher. Shares have risen around 7% this year, which is a relatively modest advance compared with the S & P 500's 13% gain. About two-thirds of analysts rate Zoetis a buy.
Persons: we're, Wolfe, Peter Supino, that's, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Mobile, Wolfe Research, Disney Locations: FactSet, U.S
Eradication and vaccinationAs of April 26, the CDC says, nearly 58.8 million poultry have been affected by avian flu since January 2022. The virus has been detected in at least 6,737 wild birds, and the number is likely to be much higher. Vaccinated birds would be protected, but with this highly infectious disease, they still could shed some virus that could infect unprotected birds. Partial protection means more birds will be spreading the virus,” Gallardo said. The US has the largest poultry industry in the world, with 294,000 poultry farms.
The biggest week of this earnings season showed us that things aren't as bad as many feared. The week ahead of earnings, including several more Club names, should tell us more. The results are always important, but it's the guidance and management commentary we will really hone in on to better understand the path ahead. In Amazon's case, a solid first quarter for its AWS cloud business was overshadowed by management seeing a material slowdown in April. ET: Nonfarm Payrolls Looking back It was the biggest week of this earnings season for the Club as several of our mega-cap holdings and industry bellwethers reported results.
Final Trades: Arista Networks, Zoetis, Alaska Air & more
  + stars: | 2023-02-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFinal Trades: Arista Networks, Zoetis, Alaska Air & moreThe "Halftime Report" traders give their top picks to watch for the second half.
Goldman Sachs unveiled a slew of stocks this week that could have major upside throughout 2023. Howmet Aerospace Goldman Sachs is standing by its buy rating on the aerospace products company. "Howmet remains well positioned in the commercial aerospace growth market, delivering critical components, taking market share, generating strong margins and cash flow," he said. Howmet remains well positioned in the commercial aerospace growth market, delivering critical components, taking market share, generating strong margins and cash flow. The quarter was one of progress on multiple fronts, including margins, market share, and cash flow.
The average price target on West Pharmaceuticals implies downside of 7.2% over the next 12 months, and only one-third of analysts rate the stock as buy. Paramount Global also popped this week, gaining around 9% after the media giant said it would increase subscription prices for its Paramount+ streaming service . Just 21% rate it as buy, and the average price target implies downside of 13%. Three-quarters of analysts covering the pet medication maker rate it as buy, with the average analyst price target implying upside of 25.3%. Canaccord Genuity upgraded the stock on the back of those results, noting it has 30% upside from here.
Morning Bid: Wings of a Dove
  + stars: | 2023-02-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
U.S. President Joe Biden is expected on Tuesday to name Fed Vice Chair Lael Brainard to a top White House economic policy position, replacing National Economic Council Director Brian Deese. Biden confidant Jared Bernstein is expected to replace Cecilia Rouse as chair of the Council of Economic Advisers. Brainard was seen as a powerful voice cautioning against over-aggressive Fed policy tightening. U.S. stock futures and world equities were higher on Tuesday, U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar were steady to lower. Euro zone economic growth slowed in the last three months of 2022 but avoided a contraction many had predicted for months.
Final Trades: Zoetis, Citigroup & Nvidia
  + stars: | 2023-02-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFinal Trades: Zoetis, Citigroup & NvidiaThe "Halftime Report" traders give their top picks to watch for the second half.
Check out the companies making headlines in midday trading Tuesday:Palantir — The software company's stock price soared 13%. Avis Budget — Shares jumped 6.5% after Avis topped expectations in its latest quarterly report. Ecolab — Shares gained 5% after the chemicals company reported higher-than-expected earnings of $1.27 per share, excluding items, beating analysts' estimate of $1.25 per share, according to FactSet. Synopsys — The software company's stock price gained 3% during midday trading ahead of its scheduled earnings release on Wednesday. Arista Networks — Shares rose 2.4% during Tuesday's midday trading session after the company reported fourth-quarter earnings and revenue on Monday that beat Wall Street expectations.
Here are the stocks making notable moves before the opening bell on Tuesday, Feb. 14. Palantir — Shares of the software company surged 18% in extended trading after Palantir reported it made a profit in the fourth quarter, the first GAAP profit in the company's history. Marriott — The hotel stock rose nearly 2% in premarket trading after Marriott beat estimates on the top and bottom lines for the fourth quarter. Cadence Design Systems — The electronics design stock rose 5% premarket after Cadence beat estimates on the top and bottom lines for the fourth quarter, according to StreetAccount. Amkor Technology — The semiconductor stock fell about 3% premarket after Amkor's fourth quarter earnings per share came in at 67 cents, three cents below estimates, according to StreetAccount.
Looking forward The January consumer price index (CPI) , which calculates the average change over time in prices that shoppers pay for goods and services, is slated for Tuesday. Economists and investors will use the number to gauge the odds of a soft landing or hard landing for the economy. The producer price index (PPI) for January, which calculates the change in selling prices received by producers of goods and services, is out on Thursday. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
With a majority of S & P 500 companies having posted their quarterly results, investors' focus will turn toward inflation and the consumer price index reading in the upcoming week. The three major indexes are on pace to end the week down, with the S & P 500 poised to post its worst performance since December. Sharp declines for Alphabet , which is off by more than 9% this week, dragged the tech-heavy index. January's consumer price index With the latest Powell speech in the books, investors are now looking ahead to the consumer price index for insight into the pace of inflation. "Retail sales and CPI is really driven by the consumer, and a lot of eyes are on how the consumer doing," Bruno said.
The AI Powered Equity ETF has doubled the performance of the S&P 500 so far in 2023. These are the top 10 holdings in the AI Powered Equity ETF that's driven by IBM's Watson. One ETF has been utilizing aspects of artificial intelligence to drive its investment decisions since its launch in 2017: the AI Powered Equity ETF. These are the top 10 holdings in the AI Powered Equity ETF that's driven by IBM's Watson supercomputer. Norwegian Cruise Line HoldingsTicker: NCLH% of ETF: 1.9%Industry: Cruise Ships6.
Grade my trade: ZTS, ORCL & PXD
  + stars: | 2023-02-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGrade my trade: ZTS, ORCL & PXDCNBC’s ‘Halftime Report’ investment committee, Stephanie Link, Sarat Sethi and Joe Terranova, weigh in on the Zoetis, Oracle and Pioneer Natural trades.
However, Congress in its last session in December didn’t reach an agreement, and finance chiefs say they hope the topic will be revisited. “That’s a 20 percentage point increase in tax for Yelp, so obviously very meaningful for us,” Mr. Schwarzbach said. The higher costs due to the law change will factor into investment decisions going forward, Mr. Schwarzbach said. The tax change has an impact on the company’s net income, Mr. Schwarzbach said. The San Francisco-based company reported R&D expenses of $75.8 million for the quarter ended Sept. 30, compared with $69.4 million a year earlier.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailZoetis CEO Kristin Peck on veterinary workforce challenges and recession resilience of pet industryKristin Peck, CEO of Zoetis, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss the pandemic pet boom, demographic shifts among pet owners, and the labor capacity issues associated with veterinary services.
Goldman Sachs has a basket of stocks with a long track record of beating the market and so far, this year is no exception. While the S & P 500 is on track to finish the year down almost 20%, Goldman's High Sharpe Ratio basket outperformed that. Implied volatility of the median stock in the basket is only slightly higher than that of the median S & P stock (36% vs. 31%). "Our High Sharpe Ratio basket is constructed based on the relative ranking of stocks within each sector." Goldman also added Southwest Airlines and energy stock EQT Corp , both of which have a Sharpe ratio above 1.0.
However, this sell-off may have opened buying opportunities among some of Wall Street analysts' favorite names. Amazon made the list, trading at a 31.6% discount to its average five-year forward P/E multiple. The stocks is trading at a more than 50% discount to its average five-year forward valuation and has buy ratings from more than three-quarters of analysts covering it. The former is trading 82% below its average five-year forward valuation, while Delta is 77% below. Delta, meanwhile, has dropped 10% in 2022, but the average analyst price target on the airline implies upside of 35%.
What’s more, volatile markets have resulted in fewer opportunities for companies to sell their debt. Investment-grade U.S. companies have between $550 billion and $750 billion coming due per year from 2023 through 2027, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc., with about $59 billion left to pay off or refinance in 2022. Of the $615.54 billion, $504.31 billion were new issuances, compared to $111.23 billion in refinancings, Dealogic said. But investor demand for bonds has been stronger in recent days, leading Amazon.com Inc. and others with near-term debt coming due to the market. Among the businesses that recently took out bond debt at a higher cost is retail giant Walmart Inc.
There are still plays to be made even if the broader stock market struggles next year, Barclays says. With that in mind, Malone screened for overweight stocks that will be defensive in a recessionary environment, looking at risk-reward ratios, upside trends and volatility. The average estimated upside of Barclays' picks is 20% as of Nov. 1 – with one poised to gain more than 60%. Animal pharmaceutical company Zoetis has the biggest potential upside among Barclays' list at 64%. When reporting third-quarter earnings last week, the company missed expectations for per-share earnings and revenue, according to FactSet estimates, while also lowering its fourth-quarter guidance.
Graphic Packaging Holding "Unique defensive growth at a discount," Goldman said recently of the commercial packaging materials company. Shares of Graphic Packaging are up almost 17% this year, and analyst Adam Samuelson said the stock remains attractive and compelling. Samuelson said Graphic Packaging is underappreciated by investors in that it's differentiated itself from competitors with its strong mix of cash flow and compounding earnings. Graphic Packaging is also a beneficiary of what Samuelson calls a "$12.5 billion market opportunity" as businesses and consumers shift from plastic to paper. Cintas "Healthy F1Q results, with attractive and resilient growth outlook for uniform rentals driven by pricing and no-programmer market.
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