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The week ahead will "revolve around three things," Infrastructure Capital Management CEO Jay Hatfield remarked on the week ahead. "Nvidia's earnings, Nvidia's earnings and, to a lesser degree, Jackson Hole." Nvidia earnings Many investors expect Nvidia will beat expectations for the second quarter when it reports results next Wednesday . More commentary from Jackson Hole If Nvidia is the key microeconomic event next week, Jackson Hole will dominate macroeconomic discussion. Powell delivers his address at the annual central bank forum hosted by the Kansas City Fed next Friday morning.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Jay Hatfield, Jackson, Management's Yung, Yu Ma, Hans Mosesmann, Hatfield, Powell, Ross Mayfield, Ray Farris, Fed Governor Bowman, Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal, Infrastructure Capital Management, Dow, Nasdaq, Treasury, Fitch, Federal Reserve, BMO, Nvidia, Rosenblatt Securities, Infrastructure Capital Management's, Kansas City Fed, Fed, Infrastructure Capital, Credit Suisse, Richmond Fed, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, PMI, New, Body, Devices, Autodesk, Chicago, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Intuit, Ulta Locations: , Wyoming, China, Infrastructure Capital Management's Hatfield, Powell, . Kansas, Michigan
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell more than 200 points Wednesday after the downgrade as traders weighed the move. US10Y 1Y mountain 10-year yield 1-year However, Wall Street strategists mostly took the downgrade in stride. The S & P 500's 17% rally this year and the Nasdaq Composite's 33% advance had some traders worrying that equities have surged "too far, too fast." Stovall's S & P 500 year-end target is at 4,575 . Goldman Sachs' Jan Hatzius said Tuesday the downgrade will have "little direct impact" on financial markets.
Persons: Fitch, Janet Yellen, Sam Stovall, Stovall's, Wells Fargo's Christopher Harvey, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Steven Zeng, Management's Yung, Yu Ma, Ma, CFRA's Stovall, Deutsche Bank's Zeng, Michael Bloom Organizations: U.S ., Fitch, AAA, Dow Jones, Treasury, Street, Nasdaq, Deutsche, BMO Locations: Washington, U.S, Tuesday's
S&P 500 futures were little changed in overnight trading after the Federal Reserve instituted a quarter percentage point hike, bringing rates to the highest level in more than 22 years. Futures linked to the S&P 500 traded flat, while Dow Jones Industrial Average futures lost 48 points, or 0.13%. The moves came after the Federal Reserve implemented a widely-expected 25 basis point hike, putting interest rates at their highest level since 2001. "If there was any doubt, Chairman Powell reiterated the Fed's commitment to 2% inflation and restoring price stability." Fresh economic data points include initial jobless claims, June durable goods orders, a preliminary second-quarter GDP reading and pending home sales.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Management's Yung, Yu Ma, Powell Organizations: Federal Reserve, New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Meta, Dow Jones, Federal, BMO, Honeywell, McDonald's, Intel, Ford Motor, Mobile, Royal Caribbean, Investors Locations: New York City
A weaker dollar will continue to support a broad stock market rally that has already seen an extraordinary run-up this year. Since topping out in late last September, the ICE U.S. Dollar Index has fallen about 13%. A weaker dollar "starts to set into motion a few different dynamics," said Yung-Yu Ma, chief investment officer at BMO Wealth Management. .DXY 1Y mountain ICE U.S. Dollar Index over past year A weaker dollar typically lifts large-cap stocks that are more likely to have an international footprint. What's more, emerging market companies more easily pay back dollar-denominated debt when the greenback is weaker.
Persons: it's, Yung, Yu Ma, Shannon Saccocia, Riley Financial's Art Hogan, Hogan, Neuberger Berman's Saccocia, Saccocia, We've Organizations: ICE, BMO Wealth Management, Federal Reserve, Bank of Canada, Bank of England, European Central Bank, Vanguard FTSE Emerging
The recent streak of gains in markets could be in jeopardy next week as traders come up against a big Federal Reserve meeting and earnings shift into high gear. However, markets are ramping up just ahead of several catalysts next week that could roil markets. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, 83% of traders expect monetary policymakers will be done at that point. 'Floodgate' of earnings season including tech The biggest week for earnings season is also up ahead, with results having been mixed thus far. Personal Consumption Expenditure index (June) 10 a.m.: Consumer sentiment (July final) Earnings: Exxon Mobil , Chevron , Procter & Gamble , T. Rowe Price
Persons: Jerome Powell, Hogan, Powell, Shannon Saccocia, Jackson, Yung, Yu Ma, that's, Saccocia, Northrop Grumman, Rowe Price Organizations: Reserve, Dow Jones, Riley Wealth Management, BMO Wealth Management, Big Tech, Microsoft, Chicago, P Global, PMI, GE, GE HealthCare, GM, Boeing, Hess, ADP, CME Group, eBay, Honeywell, Hershey, McDonald's, Mastercard, Northrop, Royal, Enphase Energy, Mobile, Ford Motor, Intel, Mondelez, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Procter, Gamble Locations: Royal Caribbean
The dollar index dipped below the 100 level on July 14, marking its lowest level since mid-April 2022. "So there's just a dynamic where the overall access to capital funding improves when there's a weaker dollar in emerging markets, and vice versa. The Swiss bank found that the MSCI Emerging Markets index is trading near a 36% discount to the S & P 500. The three largest are: Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF , iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets ETF and iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF . Core MSCI is higher by 9.6% in 2023, iShares MSCI Emerging Markets is up 8.2% and Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets has gained 7.4%.
Persons: Shannon Saccocia, Yung, Yu Ma, there's, Ma, Xingchen Yu, Yu, , Michael Bloom, Sarah Min Organizations: U.S, UBS, Neuberger Berman, Wealth, Research, Wealth Management, Vanguard FTSE, Markets Locations: outflows, U.S, India, Vietnam, Swiss, America, South, Southeast Asia, Central, Eastern Europe
Stocks could continue to gain momentum in the week ahead as traders turn their attention to earnings results after the past week's softer inflation news. The major benchmarks are headed for a positive week Friday after encouraging consumer and wholesale inflation in June cemented the likelihood that the Federal Reserve is closer to the end of its rate-hiking campaign. Some market participants expect this period could mark the trough for earnings, and urge traders to pay more attention to forward guidance. "And that's a great sign for the market and market health." ET: NAHB housing market index (July) Earnings: Bank of America , Morgan Stanley , Bank of N.Y. Mellon , Lockheed Martin , PNC Financial , J.B. Hunt Wednesday 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Sage, Rob Williams, Sam Stovall, gee, Stovall, It's, Yung, Yu Ma, MRB, Sage Advisory's Williams, Williams, Morgan Stanley, Wells, Baird's Ross Mayfield, Lockheed Martin, Baker Hughes, Goldman Sachs, Kinder Morgan, Equifax, Johnson Organizations: Federal Reserve, Traders, Reserve, Open, BMO Wealth Management's, MRB Partners, Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, Investors, Bank, N.Y, Mellon, Lockheed, PNC Financial, J.B, Hunt, Housing, Nasdaq, Citizens Financial, Halliburton, Las Vegas Sands, IBM, Tesla, Netflix, American Airlines, United Airlines, CSX, Comerica, PPG, Roper Technologies, American Locations: Wells Fargo, Silicon Valley, Las Vegas, Horton
[1/5] Logo of an Apple store is seen as Apple Inc. reports fourth quarter earnings in Washington, U.S., January 27, 2022. In the S&P 500, the seven stocks comprise 27.9% of the index's weight. Investors will look beyond second quarter results, said Bill Callahan, an investment strategist at Schroders. The Elon Musk-led company this month said it delivered a record number of vehicles in the second quarter. The equal-weight S&P 500 (.SPXEW), a proxy for the average stock, is modestly beating the S&P 500 over the past month -- up 3.6% versus about 3% for its counterpart.
Persons: Joshua Roberts, BofA, Bill Callahan, “ It’s, , Tajinder Dhillon, Tesla, Elon, Thomas Martin, Martin, Yu Ma, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Apple Inc, REUTERS, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, BofA, Research, Meta, Globalt Investments, Strong U.S, BMO Wealth Management, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, U.S,
Wall Street's main stock indexes built on Wednesday's sharp gains after data showed that consumer prices rose modestly in June, registering the smallest annual increase in more than two years. Other data on Thursday showed that U.S. producer prices barely rose in June, U.S. jobless claims unexpectedly declined, and Chinese exports dropped. The dollar index slumped to its lowest level since April 2022 on Thursday, as the cooling U.S. inflation bolstered expectations the Fed will rates only once more in 2023, eroding the greenback's yield advantage over peers. The euro was up 0.86% to $1.122, and the Japanese yen strengthened 0.37% versus the greenback at 137.99 per dollar. Oil prices traded near the highest levels in two months on the soft U.S. dollar.
Persons: Yung, Yu Ma, Ma, Brent, Lawrence Delevingne, Huw Jones, Stella Qiu, Chizu Nomiyama, Andrew Heavens, Leslie Adler, Diane Craft Organizations: Treasury, Federal, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Fed, Citigroup, Japan's Nikkei, Monetary Fund, BMO Wealth Management’s, Thomson Locations: Asia, Europe, CHINA, China, Pacific, Japan, Boston, London, Sydney
[1/3] Pedestrians are reflected on a window of a commercial building at closing hour at a financial district in Tokyo, Japan, November 22, 2017. The number of activist funds has trebled over the last five years to 69, according to data from IR Japan. Joining a hedge fund where you might lose your job tomorrow because you lost money or didn't raise funds is a very foreign world for such workers." "Many global hedge funds are opening up Tokyo offices and hiring talent" to support a growing investment focus, said Masa Yanagisawa, head of prime services Japan at Goldman Sachs in Tokyo. Hong Kong-headquartered activist hedge fund Oasis Management has hired people in Japan this year, including a former senior regulatory official it appointed to its advisory council.
Persons: Kim Kyung, Warren Buffett, Stefan Nilsson, Masa Yanagisawa, Goldman Sachs, Seth Fischer, FinCity.Tokyo, Keiichi Aritomo, Toby Bartlett, Goldman's Yanagisawa, UBP, Cedric Le Berre, Xie Yu, Makiko Yamazaki, Scott Murdoch, David Dolan, Lincoln Organizations: REUTERS, Global, Nikkei, Funds, Oasis Management, Oasis, Citadel, Citadel Securities, Nasdaq, May, Angel, Asset Management, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, HONG KONG, TOKYO, Hong Kong, Singapore, Swiss, China, Taiwan, Sydney
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed ratcheting up rate hikes is market's biggest risk right now, says BMO's Yung-Yu MaYung-Yu Ma, BMO Wealth Management CIO, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the land mines ahead for the economy in the second half of the year, what we've learned about the credit situation in the economy, and more.
Persons: BMO's Yung, Yu Ma Yung, Yu Ma, we've Organizations: BMO Wealth Management
Stock futures were little changed in overnight trading Thursday as Wall Street headed for a losing week. Futures tied to the S&P 500 inched up by 0.05%, while Nasdaq-100 futures gained about 0.1%. The S&P 500 added 0.37%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 4.81 points, pressured by shares of Boeing . The Dow and S&P 500 have lost 1% and 0.6%, respectively, since the start of the week. A relatively light week for economic data continues Friday with S&P Global PMI composite data for June.
Persons: Yung, Yu Ma Organizations: NYSE, Stock, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Investors, Apple, Dow Jones Industrial, Boeing, Dow, BMO Wealth Management, P, PMI Locations: CarMax
Following the policy announcement, Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted that rate hikes typically filter through the economy with “uncertain lags.” In other words, the Fed has been playing an (educated) guessing game, taking action before it understands the results. What’s happening: As much as Federal Reserve officials wish they could, they can’t just wave a wand and lower inflation rates. Here’s how the system works: First, the Fed raises interest rates for overnight loans between financial institutions. Less demand for goods reduces incentives to raise prices and inflation rates will fall. That means they’re able to draw their own conclusions about the trajectory of inflation rates.
Persons: Jerome Powell, , Jack McIntyre, McIntyre, ” Powell, Powell, Yung, Yu Ma, Ma, Biden, Joe Biden, Sam Fossum, you’re, ” Biden, Lael Brainard, Greg Wallace, Sen, John Thune of, Republican Sen, Jerry Moran Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Brandywine Global, BMO Wealth Management, Ticketmaster, , Economic, Federal Aviation Administration, FAA, Republican Locations: New York, , John Thune of South Dakota, Kansas
U.S. equity futures were little changed Sunday evening after a broad-based rally last week that pushed the S&P 500 to its best week since March, and its highest level since last August. S&P 500 futures were higher by 0.09% and Nasdaq-100 futures hovered below the flat line. On Friday, stocks rallied to end the week following strong jobs data for the month of May. The Dow jumped 701.19 points, or 2.12%, for its best day since January, ending the week at 33,762.76. "Recent banking sector developments are also encouraging, and repeated signs of labor market strength are reducing the risk negative outcomes.
Persons: Dow, Joe Biden, Dow Jones, Mace McCain, Yung, Yu Ma, Smucker, Campbell Soup Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, U.S ., Labor Department . Public, Frost Investment Advisors, BMO, CNBC, Investors, Natural Foods, Signet Jewelers, PMI, Institute for Supply Management, Global, Mortgage, Association
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed Chair Powell's commentary had heavy emphasis on price stability, says BMO's Yung-Yu MaYung-Yu Ma, BMO Wealth Management chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss Ma's takeaway from Fed chair Powell's recent commentary, how investors should operate this coming June and July, and whether or not the market's leaning too much on artificial intelligence.
Stock futures moved higher in overnight trading Thursday as Wall Street continued monitoring the situation surrounding the debt ceiling. Futures connected to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 40 points, or 0.1%, while S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 futures gained 0.2% and 0.3%, respectively. Shares of Ross Stores oscillated in overnight trading after the off-price retailer beat on earnings but shared a cautious outlook. Stocks are coming off a positive session in which the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite jumped 0.94% and 1.51%, respectively, to hit their highest closing levels since August. Thursday's moves boosted the major averages' weekly gains, with the Nasdaq up 3.3% and the S&P 500 on pace to end 1.8% higher.
While ether climbed throughout the week, bitcoin – the outperformer this year – was trading more choppily. Or will it be an event where people are losing money broadly and economic concerns spill over into the crypto space." "I think it could go either way, but so far what we see in the crypto space is encouraging," he added. "Investors could continue to be picky and look for perceived quality, even in the crypto space," she said. "That's helped bitcoin this year since it's seen as a risk asset outside of crypto, but a store of value within crypto.
U.S equity futures rose slightly Sunday evening as investors looked ahead to key inflation data and the start of first-quarter earnings season. Futures tied to the broad market S&P 500 rose 0.2% and Dow Jones Industrial Average futures edged up 62 points, or 0.2%. The market was volatile as economic data showed signs of a weakening labor market. The March jobs report on Friday showed a resilient economy and moderate inflation, however, which pushed stock futures and Treasury yields higher. "It's still probably a toss-up as to whether the Fed hikes by another 25 basis points at its next meeting and stands pat; the next set of inflation data will probably be the deciding factor."
Crypto-focused Silvergate , which announced its plans to liquidate this week, is suffering from woes similar to that of failed Silicon Valley Bank . That is, Silvergate's distress is linked to rising interest rates – rather than the whims of digital assets. There is also an impact from the rising interest rate environment banks now find themselves in. "As the bank of choice for crypto, Silvergate Bank's failure is disappointing, but predictable," she tweeted Wednesday afternoon . Now, customers must be made whole [and] regulators should step up against crypto risk."
The S&P 500 (.SPX) rose 1.3% along with a 6 basis points rise in the 10-year U.S. benchmark Treasury yield . yields vs stocksHigher bond yields dull the relative appeal of stocks while raising companies’ borrowing costs. Higher Treasury yields can also weaken the valuations of equities in standard valuation models, particularly for tech and other companies that rely on future profits that are discounted at higher rates when yields rise. Meanwhile, some investors are not yet worried about the threat to stocks from yields. Jacobsen is bullish on growth stocks, which were squashed by higher yields last year but have staged a strong rebound in 2023.
So how come you’re not getting a higher rate on your bank savings? Another high-yield savings optionGiven today’s still-high rates of inflation, Series I savings bonds may be attractive because they’re designed to preserve the buying power of your money. For the week ending January 26, the 30-year fixed rate mortgage averaged 6.13%, well above where it was a year earlier, at 3.55%. So, if you’re close to buying a home or refinancing one, lock in the lowest fixed rate available to you. The variable rate on a home equity line of credit or a fixed rate on a home equity loan will rise because their formulas are directly tied to the Fed’s rates.
Yung-Yu breaks down how to navigate rate hikes
  + stars: | 2023-02-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailYung-Yu breaks down how to navigate rate hikesYung-Yu Ma, BMO Wealth Management chief investment strategist, joins 'TechCheck'' to discuss the Fed ahead of the rate hike announcement Wednesday.
He heard at that time that Pfizer's (PFE.N) anti-viral drug Paxlovid was an effective treatment, but patients could only get it prescribed if they were admitted to hospital, and only if the drug was in stock. Li's experience, local media reports and online posts bear testimony to the difficulties faced obtaining Paxlovid in China through official channels. "Pfizer is actively collaborating with Chinese authorities and all stakeholders to secure an adequate supply of Paxlovid in China. We remain committed to fulfilling the COVID-19 treatment needs of Chinese patients and partnering with the Chinese government," the company said in a statement. PAXLOVID GIFTSeveral other people described to Reuters how they turned to the grey market to purchase Paxlovid.
Investors on Thursday were pricing in a more than 90% chance the Fed will reduce the size of its interest rate hike in February. The more bullish view on a potential downshift was sparked by cooler prices in the December inflation report. But there are 'lingering pressures' within core inflation for the Fed to consider. Investors also chopped down expectations for a March 22 rate hike of 50 basis points, to 5.4% from 18.6%. Core CPI that excludes energy and food prices rose 0.3%, meeting expectations but it was slightly higher than 0.2% in November.
The other was the riskiest of risk assets, whose moves mirrored those of tech stocks. It won't happen overnight, but investors more than ever want to see a crypto market driven by utility rather than speculation . Barclays analyst Benjamin Budish said his team believes "crypto assets are likely to continue to behave like high-beta risk assets going forward." Investing in the next two quarters Bitcoin has fallen more than 60% this year and sits roughly 75% off of its all-time high from November 2021. When there's a pullback in that growth, as there was this year, bitcoin tends to struggle, Alden explained.
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