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☆ The market again has adjusted its view on rate cuts, with as few as two now expected
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-08 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

"While investors seem to be anxiously awaiting easing monetary policy, the current environment does not quite scream 'rate cuts!'" That sentiment has manifested itself lately in market pricing. That same day, the Labor Department will release the CPI report, which is expected to show the headline inflation rate rising 3.4% in March on a year-over-year basis, per Dow Jones. This is nonetheless "the right time to cut rates," wrote David Kelly, chief global strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management. "What has underpinned this market is the promise of a series of rate cuts including March, and now it has dwindled to just a few rate cuts.

Persons: Glenmede, Dow Jones, David Kelly, Kelly, Nicholas Colas, Colas, Ed Yardeni, nonfarm, Quincy Krosby, Krosby Organizations: Federal Reserve, Investors, Labor Department, Asset Management, Fed, DataTrek, Yardeni, LPL

☆ A renowned market bear who called the dot-com bubble warns the AI and economic recovery narratives fueling stocks are weak as analyst optimism sours — and says the Fed is fueling a bubble as valuation
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-06 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

About 45% of changes to S&P 500 analysts' earnings estimates are upgrades, as shown in the chart below, down from 50% in early 2023. AdvertisementSociete GeneraleHistorically, analyst optimism has been a good indicator for the economy's direction. Below is the S&P 500's year-over-year percentage change along with the analyst optimism measure. He says the S&P 500 is in a bubble fueled by AI optimism and could fall as much as around 60%. He sees potential downside of 39% for the S&P 500.

Persons: —, Albert Edwards, Edwards, Powell's, Ed Yardeni, Let's, There's, Jeremy Grantham, David Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch Organizations: Service, Societe Generale, Business, Street, Nasdaq, Generale, Conference, Institute for Supply, subsiding, Fed, repo, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bears, Rosenberg Research, policymaking

☆ A growing chorus of experts don't think a rate cut is coming in 2024
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-06 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Investors are starting to take seriously the idea that the Fed might not cut interest rates in 2024. At this point, investors are viewing economic strength as ultimately good news for the stock market, if that means a recession is delayed. AdvertisementFrom seven, to three, to now potentially zero, projected interest rate cuts in 2024 are quickly going out of style on Wall Street. So a delay in interest rate cuts, on paper, would suggest lower stock prices. And better-than-expected first quarter profits have helped put a floor on a stock market that is trading near record highs, even as talks of interest rate cuts fade.

Persons: Neel Kashkari, Kashkari, Michelle Bowman, Bowman, Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, Mohamed El, Torsten Slok, Slok, Ken Fisher Organizations: Federal Reserve, Atlanta Fed, Minneapolis Fed, Fed, Bank of America

☆ I'm not troubled by today's market pullback, says Ed Yardeni
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailI'm not troubled by today's market pullback, says Ed YardeniEd Yardeni, Yardeni Research president, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action and what's ahead for the economy.

Persons: Ed Yardeni Ed Yardeni Organizations: Yardeni Research

☆ Reading into the rise in yields
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailReading into the rise in yieldsEd Yardeni, Yardeni Research president, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss what could stand in the way of the current market rally, how many times the Federal Reserve will cut rates this year, and what to expect from S&P earnings this year.

Persons: Ed Yardeni Organizations: Yardeni Research, Federal Reserve

☆ A real-estate investor who built a portfolio of 30 residential units using the BRRRR method breaks down why he wouldn't recommend the strategy for new investors today — and shares his 3 top approaches
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-30 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Adam Craig built up his real-estate portfolio over the last decade-plus using the famous BRRRR strategy — an acronym for buy, rehab, rent, refinance, and repeat. But he has stopped using the strategy for residential properties and said it isn't something he'd recommend for new investors. ATTOMAnother risk to using the BRRRR strategy is that home prices are not rising as fast as they were over the last few years. 3 approaches to use insteadInstead of the BRRRR, Craig recommended that new investors start off with one of a few easier options. This way, risk is reduced in terms of the time it will take and money it will cost.

Persons: Adam Craig, Craig, Craig doesn't, that's, doesn't, Louis Fed Organizations: Business Locations: St

☆ There's still no certainty the Fed will be able to pull off three interest rate cuts this year
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-24 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

In that case, the Fed may have to push cuts out until the end of the year, confounding market expectations. If so, then the nonpolitical monetary policy committee might postpone considering rate cuts until after the November presidential elections," Yardeni wrote last week. "That could be the first rate cut decision of this year," Yardeni said. "We maintain our expectation of just two rate cuts this year , in July and December," economists at Nomura said in a client note. Clarida also noted that if the Fed judged inflation by the consumer price index instead of its preferred personal consumption expenditures price index, "we wouldn't even be discussing rate cuts."

Persons: Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, Jerome Powell, Powell, Nomura, Richard Clarida, Clarida Organizations: Yardeni Research, Fed, Market, CNBC

☆ There's really no need for the Fed to lower interest rates, says Ed Yardeni
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere's really no need for the Fed to lower interest rates, says Ed YardeniEd Yardeni, Yardeni Research president, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, the Fed's interest rate outlook, state of the U.S. economy, and more.

Persons: Ed Yardeni Ed Yardeni Organizations: Fed, Yardeni Research Locations: U.S

☆ Wall Street is betting big on a soft landing for the economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-18 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Read previewRisk is back in fashion on Wall Street as investors shed their fears and become more adventurous with their cash. Wall Street is betting big on a soft landing, where the Fed succeeds in bringing inflation down without unemployment surging or a recession taking hold. Related storiesSimilarly, Goldman Sachs analysts said in a recent outlook that "risk appetite is poised to grow" this year as recession relief and rate cuts embolden investors. When the music stopsThe outlook for stocks and the economy might seem brighter, but it's worth being at least a little skeptical of the current enthusiasm. "Nobody seems to care about valuations, and now you have Wall Street strategists laying claim that we are in a brand new era," veteran economist David Rosenberg said in a recent note.

Persons: —, BII, Goldman Sachs, David Rosenberg, Jeremy Grantham, there's, Ed Yardeni Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, Investors, BlackRock Investment Institute, Nvidia, Grantham, Swissquote Bank Locations: BlackRock

☆ Premarket stocks: Investors are on cloud nine. That could be a bad sign
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-15 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Unsurprisingly, several flashing indicators suggest that investors are feeling good about the market:• CNN’s Fear & Greed Index: The indicator, which measures seven barometers of market sentiment including the VIX, Wall Street’s most well-known measure of expected stock volatility, is in “greed” territory. Market sentiment is often seen as a contrarian indicator. That means that when the herd is optimistic, money managers take it as a sign that stocks will fall, and vice versa. A closely watched gauge of US wholesale inflation rose at its fastest pace in months, according to new data released Thursday. In February, car sales climbed 1.8%, purchases of electronics and appliances increased 1.5% and sales at restaurants rose 0.4%.

Persons: • Charles Schwab, Yardeni, “, Alicia Wallace, Price, Gus Faucher, Read, Bryan Mena Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Intelligence, Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics, PPI, of Labor Statistics, PNC Financial Services, Retail, Commerce Department, Gas Locations: New York

☆ This is a long-term bull market, says Ed Yardeni
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThis is a long-term bull market, says Ed YardeniEd Yardeni, Yardeni Research, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss a possible broadening of the market and the tech sell-off.

Persons: Ed Yardeni Ed Yardeni

☆ The 'Magnificent 7' isn't all that magnificent, says Ed Yardeni
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe 'Magnificent 7' isn't all that magnificent, says Ed YardeniEd Yardeni, Yardeni Research, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss Apple's weakness and the tech sector's outlook.

Persons: Ed Yardeni Ed Yardeni

☆ Premarket stocks: What ‘Super Tuesday’ means for your portfolio
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-05 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Welcome to “Super Tuesday.” Today, a whopping 16 states and territories hold primary elections. But stock market analysts say not to fret and to hold tight. Based on annualized returns for the S&P 500, stocks gained an average 13.75% during Trump’s presidency. Election year math: History shows that stocks typically gain during the fourth year of presidential terms. The S&P 500 has gained 6.2% on average during the fourth year of presidential terms since 1932, according to Yardeni Research.

Persons: ’, Edward Jones, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Angelo Kourkafas, ” Kourkafas, Raymond James, Trump, Obama, ”, Simon Hamilton, Barack Obama, “ That’s, it’s, Hamilton, Goldman Sachs, Allison Morrow, Bitcoin, —, Simone McCarthy, Premier Li Qiang, Hong Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, ”, Markets, White House, Congress, CNN, Republicans, Republican, “, Research, Dow Jones, University of Cincinnati, University of Missouri, Securities and Exchange, Bloomberg, Premier, National People’s Congress Locations: New York, Washington, Hamilton, United States, China, Beijing

☆ Stocks hate this one weird trick from the calendar
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-29 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

New York CNN —Leap Day might seem like fun and games — until you consider Wall Street. To account for that gap, Julius Caesar in 45 BC decreed that an extra day be added every four years, leading to the Julian calendar. Pope Gregory XIII in 1582 AD created the Gregorian calendar, coined the term “leap year” and established February 29 as the official leap day. He adds that a leap day can also help marginally raise corporate earnings, since companies get an extra day in a fiscal quarter to operate. History shows that stocks tend to perform worse when an additional day is added to the calendar.

Persons: Julius Caesar, Pope Gregory XIII, Matt Weller, Weller, Dow, ”, “ Barbie ”, “ Oppenheimer, ’, Samantha Delouya, It’s, Read, Sam’s, Sam, Matt Egan, Banks Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Dow Jones, Bulls, Research, AMC Entertainment, AMC, Treasury Department, CNN, Treasury Locations: New York, FOREX.com

☆ Citi is betting big on high-profile executives to turn things around
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-27 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

In today's big story, we're looking at the reshuffling of top executives at two of the biggest US banks . Viswas Raghavan, JPMorgan's top dealmaker, has joined Citi as its head of banking and executive vice chair, reporting directly to CEO Jane Fraser. The move is a big deal, but even more shocking since Raghavan was just promoted to be the sole head of JPMorgan's deals business. Since high interest rates aren't stopping stocks from reaching record highs, cuts might not come at all this year , according to analyst Jim Bianco. Market vet Ed Yardeni said interest rates are actually in a sweet spot for stocks, similar to the late '90s.

Persons: Viswas Raghavan, Jane Fraser, Raghavan, Filippo Gori, Doug Petno, Insider's Reed Alexander, Patrick T, Fallon, Fraser, Merrill Lynch, Andy Sieg, Warren Buffett, Warren, Berkshire Hathaway's, Jim Bianco, Ed Yardeni, Gemini, Demis Hassabis, Long, Alyssa Powell, they've, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock Organizations: Citi, JPMorgan, Warren, Warren Buffett REUTERS, Chip, Berkshire, Buffett, Research, Wall, BI, Google, eBay Locations: Bronx, Gori, Rivian, New York, London

☆ The S&P 500 could hit 5,400 by year-end, says Ed Yardeni
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe S&P 500 could hit 5,400 by year-end, says Ed YardeniEd Yardeni, Yardeni Research president, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the U.S. economy, inflation outlook, the Fed's interest rate outlook, latest market trends, and more.

Persons: Ed Yardeni Ed Yardeni Organizations: Yardeni Research Locations: U.S

☆ Why some investors don’t mind waiting longer for rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-15 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Stocks and bonds both sold off as investors painfully recalibrated their expectations for five to six interest rate cuts this year to align more with the Fed’s projected three cuts. For example, Yardeni Research has pushed back against the idea that immediate rate cuts are necessary to avoid the Fed overshooting on slowing the economy. Stocks wouldn’t crater even if cuts were off the table completely in 2024, according to Bank of America, despite what Tuesday’s losses suggest. “No cuts could stymie a full-fledged recovery in more credit-sensitive areas,” wrote BofA strategists in a note on February 9. That means regional lenders will no longer have that crutch if they run into trouble after the program’s expiration on March 11.

Persons: Jerome Powell, ”, Ed Yardeni, it’s, Marc Dizard, Allison Morrow, Bitcoin, bitcoin, Antoni Trenchev, ” Read, Alicia Wallace, Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Wall, Federal Reserve, Traders, Fed, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, US Treasury, Valley Bank, Signature Bank, Yardeni Research, Bank of America, PNC Asset Management Group, Federal Reserve Bank of New, New York Fed, Liberty Street Economics, , New York Fed Locations: New York, pare, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, , New

☆ Ed Yardeni: Inflation will continue to moderate
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEd Yardeni: Inflation will continue to moderateEd Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss whether Yardeni's thesis changed after Tuesday's CPI print, if the CPI data could interrupt the downward inflation trend, and more.

Persons: Ed Yardeni Organizations: Yardeni, CPI

☆ Ed Yardeni: There's no need to cut rates, the economy is doing fine
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEd Yardeni: There's no need to cut rates, the economy is doing fineEd Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the S&P closing in on breaking the 5,000 level.

Persons: Ed Yardeni Organizations: Yardeni

☆ Why parts of the ‘Magnificent 7’ are losing their luster
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-03 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

After turbocharging late 2023's stock market rally, some of the " Magnificent 7 " technology darlings are looking less magnificent this year. Shares of Meta and Nvidia are leading the Magnificent 7 for the year, with both stocks jumping roughly 34% each. The rest of the Magnificent 7 stocks, however, have received anywhere from 70% to 85% buy rating consensus. While the other five are forecast to see at least double-digit earnings growth estimates, analysts predict Apple's earnings growth to stay relatively unchanged. On the other hand, consensus estimates call for Tesla earnings to fall by 20%.

Persons: turbocharging, Tesla, Art Hogan, Hogan, Baird, Elon Musk's, Ben Kallo, Tim Long, Piper Sandler, Harsh Kumar, Charles Schwab, Kevin Gordon, Gordon, Ed Yardeni, isn't, Yardeni, Russell, Fred Imbert Organizations: Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, Apple, Wall Street, Riley Wealth Management, CNBC, BYD, Barclays, Blips, Yardeni Research, titans Locations: Delaware, China

☆ The Fed should hold off on any easing at all, says Ed Yardeni
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed should hold off on any easing at all, says Ed YardeniEd Yardeni, Yardeni Research president, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, latest market trends, the Fed's rate path outlook, and more.

Persons: Ed Yardeni Ed Yardeni Organizations: Yardeni Research

☆ Quality stocks are dominating the market, up 25% in the past year
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-27 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Among the most broadly played investment "factors" — including value, momentum, low volatility, dividend yield — quality has dominated the market, the representative iShares MSCI USA Quality ETF (QUAL) up 25% in the past year, compared to 13% for S & P 500 value and less than 5% for the equal-weighted S & P 500. Even within industry sectors, the stocks with higher quality scores have sped ahead ( Costco in retail, WW Grainger in industrials, etc.). The quality label is based on strong balance sheets, high and steady profit margins, consistency of earnings growth and the like. Sure, there are multi-year secular growth stories animating the AI innovators and weight-loss-drug developers, but most quality stocks stand out for steadiness. Any give-back of the leading quality growth names wouldn't be easily absorbed by the broader market.

Persons: iShares, WW Grainger, Berkshire Hathaway, Goldman Sachs, FactSet, Michael Gates, Ed Yardeni, it's, Jerome Powell Organizations: Costco, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Visa, Mastercard, Nike, Bank of America, Citi, Invest, BlackRock's, Yardeni Research Locations: industrials, Berkshire

☆ The US economy is likely headed for another 'roaring '20s' of rapid growth, market veteran says
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-26 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The US economy may be about to relive the "roaring '20s," according to Ed Yardeni. "We're in the early stages of a productivity growth boom," the veteran strategist told Bloomberg. His comments come with the economy expanding at a stronger-than-expected pace and the S&P 500 trading at an all-time high. AdvertisementVeteran market strategist Ed Yardeni thinks the US economy might be about to relive the "roaring '20s". I think we've got a technology revolution that started in the 1990s… every company is a technology company.

Persons: Ed Yardeni, Bloomberg, —, Merryn, he's, We've, we've Organizations: Service, Yardeni, Bloomberg, UBS Locations: Swiss

☆ The Fed will make a mistake to lower interest rates, says Ed Yardeni
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed will make a mistake to lower interest rates, says Ed YardeniEd Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss what he's watching in the market and why he's now a hesitant bull.

Persons: Ed Yardeni Ed Yardeni, he's Organizations: Yardeni

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with Ed Yardeni and Requisite's Bryn Talkington
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Ed Yardeni and Requisite's Bryn TalkingtonEd Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research, and Bryn Talkington, Requisite Capital Management managing partner, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss their market watchlist and more.

Persons: Ed Yardeni, Bryn, Bryn Talkington Organizations: Yardeni Research, Capital Management

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