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☆ This trade was the biggest post-Fed winner
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

It looks like small caps were the winning trade following the Federal Reserve's supersized rate cut on Wednesday . With that, the fund has climbed 3.1% this week and 10.2% in the third quarter alone, double the return of the S & P 500 in each period. Large-cap stocks easily outperformed small caps in five of eight instances when the Fed was lowering rates, small caps outperformed twice and in one case, 1995, there was virtually no difference. Regime Indicator to 'Downturn' all support our preference for large vs small [stocks]," the analysts wrote. In Thursday's session, the S & P jumped 1.7% to a fresh all-time high, topping the 5,700 mark for the first time.

Persons: Russell, Clinton Organizations: Fed, Strategas Securities, Federal, Bank of America, U.S

☆ Volatility looms as election season heats up. Fortify your portfolio against autumn market shocks
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Recalibrate for risk Protecting your portfolio from sharp losses begins with understanding your comfort with risk and ensuring that your asset allocation reflects your long-term goals. "But over that period when markets were down, there were opportunities to harvest losses in stocks, individual names that experienced big pullbacks." And they've been a good buy for clients who are nearing retirement, seeking income and appreciate bonds' ability to offset stocks' volatility. Options for buffering losses Options are also playing a role in investors' portfolios as financial advisors try to mitigate volatility. Call options give investors the right to buy a stock at a specified strike price before a certain date.

Persons: Stocks, Goldman Sachs, Arun Prakash, Prakash's, Rafia Hasan, San, Hasan, they've, Andrew Herzog, We're, Herzog, he's, Gregory Guenther, Morningstar, " Guenther Organizations: Federal, Wealth Management, Fed, Treasury Bond ETF, SEC, GrantVest Financial Locations: San Francisco, Plano , Texas, Matawan , New Jersey

☆ A market and tech hedge ahead of an uncertain Fed decision next week
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Jeff Kilburg | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The Federal Reserve has telegraphed the kickoff of their interest rate cutting campaign to begin next week. I believe a quarter-point interest rate cut is their first step but, a half-point interest rate cut (which has the ability to roil markets) has recently been floated strongly. The Nasdaq-100 dropped 6% last week and is now up nearly 5% this week, these are not normal market conditions. QQQ YTD mountain Invesco QQQ Trust, YTD The Cboe Volatility Index , yet elevated, is not showing current signs of panic. The trade The CME Fedwatch tool is narrowly favoring a 25 basis point interest rate cut but, it is oddly closer to a coin toss than it was last week.

Persons: pont, QQQ Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Nasdaq, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Wednesday's comeback shows why stocks may be volatile the rest of September
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite shed as much as 1.6% and 1.4%, respectively. The S & P 500 and Nasdaq, meanwhile, posted gains of 1.1% and 2.2%, respectively. The comeback came as Wall Street struggles to find its footing in September, with seasonal headwinds and worries over the economy putting pressure on stocks. The S & P 500 has already posted four 1% moves in September. Correction: The Dow on Wednesday closed 124.75 higher, while the S & P 500 and Nasdaq gained 1.1% and 2.2%, respectively.

Persons: whiplash, Dow, Adam Crisafulli, Marco Iachini, Iachini, Steve Sosnick Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal, Vital, Vanda Research, Interactive Brokers, Dow

☆ This volatility-resistant area of the stock market is ripe for outperformance after two decades of decline, according to Bank of America
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

According to Bank of America, one area of the market is set to benefit from increased market volatility: quality stocks, or stocks with strong business models and financial fundamentals. And the cherry on top is that quality stocks — which typically become expensive during downturns — are still cheap despite their recent rally, coming out of a two-decade rut. As seen in the graph below, the high-quality factor serves as a hedge against elevated market volatility. Bank of AmericaQuality is still cheapLuckily for investors, this safe-haven area of the stock market is trading at an attractive valuation. Bank of AmericaWhile quality stocks have recently re-rated to a slight premium, they're still reasonably priced, according to Bank of America.

Persons: —, Subramanian, Financials, Schwab Organizations: Service, Bank of America, Business, PMI, Investors, of, Companies, Equity Locations: of America's

☆ Goldman says watch out for more drawdowns, but the risk of a bear market is still low
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

For investors who just weathered a bout of summer turbulence, Goldman Sachs said expect more patchiness in stocks, but believes the bull market will remain intact. "However, we think the risk of a bear market remains low with relatively low recession risk, helped by a healthy private sector and central bank easing." The stock market benchmark has since recouped much of the losses, recently trading some 3.4% below its July 16 all-time high. A bear market represents at least a 20% decline from the S & P 500's record high, while even a correction would amount to a 10% drawdown. … Encouragingly, though … we are not staring at a severe slowdown," Bank of America said in a note to clients on Tuesday.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Christian Mueller, Goldman, Mueller, Glissmann, … Organizations: U.S, Bank of America, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S

☆ Dow falls by more than 600 points as September turns ugly
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-03 | by ( Lucy Bayly | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

New York CNN —Wall Street kicked off the month of September with a bust, after a disappointing economic report dragged down the Dow by 626 points, or 1.5%, Tuesday afternoon. Traders were already jittery ahead of a big month of economic news, from Friday’s key jobs report to next week’s inflation readings and then the long-awaited rate cut from the Fed mid-month. Investors were reacting to a weaker-than-expected jobs report that underscored fears that the Fed had mishandled inflation and pushed the economy right into a recession. Friday’s jobs report is arguably the most important piece of economic data that central bank officials will have to parse before their monetary policy meeting on September 17-18. International benchmark Brent fell to $73.70 a barrel and US benchmark West Texas Intermediate closed at just above $70 a barrel.

Persons: ”, Mark Hamrick, Brent Organizations: New, New York CNN, Wall, Dow, Institute for Supply Management, Federal Reserve, Traders, Nasdaq, Investors, Fed, Oil, OPEC, West Texas Locations: New York, stoke, payrolls, Libya

☆ 'Winds of change' in the air on Wall Street after Powell speech
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The tides are changing on Wall Street thanks to a closely watched market-moving figure: Jerome Powell. The Federal Reserve chair on Friday pointed to rate cuts on the horizon during his keynote address at the central bank's annual retreat in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. "The direction of travel is clear, and the timing and pace of rate cuts will depend on incoming data, the evolving outlook and the balance of risks." The Nasdaq Composite outperformed the major indexes, rallying about 1% due to gains in popular artificial intelligence and semiconductor names. "This keeps a tailwind at the market's back into year-end, making it harder to expect a retest of this month's lows," said David Russell, global head of market strategy at TradeStation.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Chris Rupkey, Russell, Powell, David Russell Organizations: Federal, Nasdaq Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Covid

☆ The 'soft landing' hypothesis is alive and well: What retail sales and Walmart earnings tell us
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-15 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Inflation relief was palpable this week, with both the producer price index and consumer price index reinforcing that inflation is trending down. .SPX 1M mountain S & P 500 Index over the past month. S & P 500 earnings growth of 10% is expected in 2024, and 15% growth is seen for 2025. True, revenue growth hasn't been as strong, and much of the reason earnings are holding up is cost cutting. Growth is slowing, but no recession is apparent Interest rate cuts coming and earnings are still holding up.

Persons: It's, John David Rainey Organizations: Walmart, American Association of, Bulls, Atlanta Fed, CNBC

☆ Dip buyers vindicated as CPI report revives economic 'soft landing' scenario
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-14 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

This is the second day in a row that stocks have reacted with relief to an inflation report. The S & P 500 is now back to where it was just before the disappointing jobs report on Aug. 2. The S & P technology sector ETF (XLK) is also back to levels before the jobs report. The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) has collapsed to 17 — also where it was just before the jobs report. Despite the growth scare that followed the jobs report, there are no signs of an imminent recession.

Persons: — Organizations: Federal, Treasury, Bloomberg News, Tech, Nvidia, Atlanta Fed Locations: Treasurys

Here’s the latest:S&P 500 futures were up slightly after fears of a slowdown in growth and hiring rocked the benchmark index last week. Investors endured both a stomach-churning rout on Monday and a bounce-back rally on Thursday. Despite that, the S&P 500 ended the week down just 0.04 percent. The big event this week is Wednesday’s inflation data. Investors are anxious after tepid jobs and manufacturing data suggested a slowdown was on the horizon.

Persons: Michelle Bowman, ” Brian Moynihan, Wall Organizations: Investors, Nvidia, Fed, Bank of America, CBS Locations: Europe, Asia

☆ S&P 500 may struggle in the next two months, according to history of past volatility spikes
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Bank of America found that the S & P 500 typically is lower two months after the Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) spikes above 45. In the eight weeks after such a volatility surge, the S & P 500 is higher only 40% of the time and loses 0.72% on a median basis, BofA data shows. Typically, the broad market index gains 66% of the time and advances 1.95% on a median basis. Roughly three months after a Vix spike, the broad market index is higher 80% of the time, gaining 5.17% on a median basis, per BofA. One year later, the S & P 500 is up 80% of the time, rallying 18.18% on a median basis.

Persons: Stephen Suttmeier, it's Organizations: Bank of America Securities . Bank of America, BofA Securities

☆ On paper the stock market should be great, not on a knife's edge. But that's the opportunity
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-11 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +13 min

For example, this season started with the banks roaring higher on great numbers, legitimately great numbers led by a phenomenal Bank of America quarter. The later just made no sense because it is pulling away from Intel on the low end and if Nvidia really does have production problems then AMD is the de facto winner. In fact, the only stock that didn't suffer from an Nvidia relation, Apple, got through earnings without too much trouble. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade.

Persons: —, techs, We've, Warren Buffett, Buffett, industrials Eaton, Donald Trump, we've, execs, I've, Kamala Harris, Trump, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Rob Kim Organizations: Federal Reserve, of America, Bank of America, Club, Apple, Fed, SL Green, Boston Properties, Nvidia, Arista Networks, Micron, Dell, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Devices, Intel, AMD, Accenture, Deloitte, McKinsey, White, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: Lowe's

☆ After a busy week of stock trades, we're looking ahead to some key inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-11 | by ( Morgan Chittum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Looking back, quarterly earnings also played a key role in big stock moves for the portfolio. Looking ahead, we'll see an update on some key inflation data, plus a closer look at the state of the housing and retail sectors. ET: Producer Price Index Earnings: Home Depot (HD), Pandora (PANDY), Nu Holdings (NU), Sea Limited (SE) Wednesday, August 14 8:30 a.m. ET: Consumer Price Index Earnings: Tencent Holdings (TCEHY), Cisco (CSCO), UBS (UBS), JD.com (JD) Thursday, August 15 8:30 a.m. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.

Persons: Eli Lilly, Walt, Jim Cramer, we've, JD.com, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow, Nasdaq, Walt Disney, Microsoft, Ford Motor, Wynn Resorts, DuPont, Devices, Procter, Gamble, Club, Abbott Laboratories, Federal, Traders, Sun Life, Nu Holdings, Sea, Tencent Holdings, Cisco, UBS, Philadelphia Fed, Walmart, Materials, Deere & Co, Ross Stores, Lenovo, Housing, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: U.S, Dover, Wells Fargo, Nextracker, Eaton

☆ Markets just had the most volatile week since the pandemic outbreak — What we learned
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-10 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

A wild week of trading on Wall Street ended with the S & P 500 back roughly where it started, but the lessons learned by whipsawed investors over those five days could determine what happens next. The S & P 500 had its worst day since 2022 on Monday, and then its best since 2022 on Thursday. But with the S & P 500 ending the week down less than 0.1% in a calm session on Friday, the market seems to have stabilized. .SPX 5D mountain The S & P 500 finished the week nearly flat. And I think that has to do with investors really being a little bit skeptical about some of this equity market volatility."

Persons: Tim Hayes, Ned Davis, Gennadiy Goldberg, didn't, Jeremy Schwartz, Peter Berezin, aren't, Wellington, Frank Gretz, RJ O'Brien, Tom Fitzpatrick, Fitzpatrick Organizations: Wall, Treasury, Ned, Ned Davis Research, TD Securities, CNBC, Japan —, Nikkei, Bank of Japan, BCA Research, Wellington Shields, Associates Locations: Japan

☆ An options strategy that will win during a market comeback, while withstanding more volatility
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-09 | by ( Jeff Kilburg | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The massive resurgence in volatility (as measured by the Cboe Volatility Index - VIX ) has revealed market vulnerability coupled with significant uncertainty. With the VIX hitting a multi-year high of 65 this week, elevated options premiums offer higher risk/reward scenarios. .VIX YTD mountain Cboe Volatility Index, YTD The VIX, also known as Wall Street's "fear gauge", vaulted above 60 earlier this week, the highest since pandemic induced volatility back in March 2020. In the event you disagree with my bullish view, feel free to take the other side of this trade. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: Lehman Organizations: Lehman Brothers, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Goldman sees nothing 'sinister' ahead like past times market volatility reached these kinds of levels
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-09 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Global markets reached levels of turbulence rarely seen this week, but traders at Goldman Sachs are unfazed and don't believe it is a sign of a big danger lurking. The S & P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average on Monday suffered their biggest one-day declines since 2022. The market then roared back with the S & P 500 posting its biggest gain since 2022 on Thursday. After the late-week comeback, the S & P 500 is only down for the week by about half a percent. .VIX 5D bar Wild week for VIX Goldman traders expect gains going forward, but they see the path higher as a "choppy" one.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Wall Street's, Goldman, VIX Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Eli Lilly, LLY Organizations: Goldman, Dow Jones, Monday, JPMorgan, pharma

☆ Markets saw a massive shift this week. Here’s what happened
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-09 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

New York CNN —After a prolonged period of calm, financial markets went into a tailspin this week. One trigger for the selloff was the unraveling of the Japanese yen carry trade. Some investors say there could be more volatility to come, particularly since it’s unclear how much more the yen carry trade could unwind. The carry trade is “enormous. The unwinding of the carry trade and weak labor data came at a delicate time rife with uncertainty for Wall Street.

Persons: Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Siegel, ”, Steve Sosnick, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Dow, Liz Young Thomas Organizations: New, New York CNN, Nikkei, Dow, Nasdaq, Bank of Japan, Companies, Federal Reserve, Investors, CNBC, Interactive Brokers, Markets, Republican, Home Depot, Walmart Locations: New York, Israel, Ukraine, Russia

☆ A guide to the wild week of trading, from Monday's 'flash crash' to the yen to the volatility spike
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-08 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

.VIX YTD mountain Cboe Volatility Index in 2024 That is literally what the VIX measures: expectations for volatility over the next 30 days. Was Monday a 'flash crash'? A "flash crash" is a sudden and severe price drop that lasts for a very short period, usually a few hours. "It appears that the sell-off of August 5th qualified as a flash crash, although it was rather modest by historical standards," he told me. During the 1987 flash crash, Higgins said an investor was trying to orchestrate trades on the phone while he was preparing to go to his relative's funeral.

Persons: Jamie Dimon, Alec Young, haven't, Mark Higgins, Higgins Organizations: Bank of Japan, Yen Trust, JPMorgan Chase, Fund, Dow Jones Locations: Japan, backwardation

☆ Wall Street's 'fear gauge' shows how the stock market has calmed down, at least for now
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

.VIX 5D mountain The VIX is well off its highs from Monday as the stock market tries to claw back its losses. The VIX, often called Wall Street's "fear gauge," reflects expected volatility over the next 30 days based on the price of S & P 500 options. "Excluding the current shock, there have been 39 VIX spikes to above 35 in our empirical analysis since 1999. Market shock of this magnitude happens on average more than once per year, but is unlikely to sustain. The lingering question now is whether the concerns that pushed the market into a cascade of selling are alleviated," Krosby said.

Persons: —, Howard Du, yesterday's selloff, Quincy Krosby, Krosby Organizations: Bank of America, LPL

☆ Stocks in these 4 sectors can help investors weather the historic surge in volatility, Bank of America says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Subramanian said investors should buy defensive stocks so they can "sleep at night." According to Bank of America strategist Savita Subramanian, investors should "get used to the volatility." AdvertisementTo combat expectations of continued volatility, Subramanian said investors should buy defensive stocks that would allow them to "sleep at night." "The best hedge is owning high quality stocks," Subramanian said of combating market volatility. Most of these defensive stocks are found in defensive sectors, which include consumer staples, healthcare, real estate, and utilities.

Persons: Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, —, They're, Stocks Organizations: . Bank of America, Service, Bank of America, Procter, Gamble, Kroger, PepsiCo, Walmart, Utilities, Investors, Consolidated Edison, Alliant Energy, CMS Energy, Healthcare, Quest Diagnostics, Essex Property Trust, Digital Realty Trust Locations: Essex

☆ Markets rebounding after Monday’s carnage, but will it last?
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Markets around the world are getting some relief after the steep declines suffered Monday. Japan's Nikkei 225 surged more than 10% overnight — its biggest one-day gain since 2008 — clawing back some of its losses from the previous session. In the U.S., stock futures pointed to slight gains at the open. It might be an easier call if it was October, but we frankly struggle to think of many markets that have put in their corrective lows in early-August," Verrone wrote. The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) , Wall Street's preferred fear gauge, remained elevated around 32, though it was down 16% in morning trade.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Trump, Thomas Salopek, Chris Verrone, Verrone, Wall Street's Organizations: Japan's Nikkei, Dow Jones Industrial, Taiwan Semiconductor Locations: U.S, Coinbase

☆ The level of demand for puts drove the VIX to record high levels, says Equity Armor's Brian Stutland
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe level of demand for puts drove the VIX to record high levels, says Equity Armor's Brian StutlandBrian Stutland, Equity Armor Investments CIOK, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss the moves in the volatility index.

Persons: Brian Stutland Brian Stutland Organizations: Equity, Investments

☆ 'Babies tossed out with the bath water': Why top strategists aren't scared during the wildest market since March 2020
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Related storiesWhile those concerns served as the kindling, it was the July jobs report that sparked terror. A closer look at the jobs report reveals that while job additions underwhelmed, jobless claims were also minimal. AdvertisementSecond-quarter earnings growth has been impressive so far and seems set to rise by low single digits, according to UBS GWM. The bullish strategy chief remarked in a note Monday that six of the 11 market sectors have enjoyed double-digit earnings growth this quarter, while only three have seen declines. "Such sell-offs can offer an opportunity to 'catch babies tossed out with the bath water,'" Stoltzfus wrote.

Persons: —, Oppenheimer, Jonathan Golub, Oppenheimer Jason Draho, Americas Solita Marcelli, Marcelli, Beryl, Draho, That's, David Lefkowitz, John Stoltzfus, Stoltzfus Organizations: Service, Business, UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management, Labor, UBS GWM Locations: Americas

☆ These fortress stocks can protect investors' portfolios as volatility rips through Wall Street
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Monday's global markets sell-off saw Wall Street's "fear gauge" spike to its highest level since 2020, but there are a few stocks that may help investors stabilize their portfolios in these volatile times. Coterra has a beta of 0.23, the lowest on the list of stocks assembled for this screen. While the company's second-quarter adjusted earnings missed Wall Street's estimates, Coterra's production for the period came in ahead of analysts' expectations. Coterra shares also offer investors income, paying a dividend yield of 3.4%. Major Wall Street firms said a recent pullback in shares — which are off 4% in the past week — presented a buying opportunity for investors.

Persons: Coterra, — Organizations: Dow Jones, CNBC Pro, CNBC, Energy, Microsoft, LSEG, Wall, Deere, Omnicom Locations: U.S

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