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☆ Debt ceiling deal done? Here's what's next for bond ETF investors
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-10 | by ( Kevin Schmidt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

With an agreement on the debt ceiling easing concerns on the macro level, the aftereffects of avoiding default could pose new challenges for bond exchange-traded fund investors. "Now [The Fed] is going to hit it with trillion dollars of sales that will make short-term Treasury rates rise," he said. Additionally, the trillion dollars taken out of the regional banking system and placed into money market funds added pressure on big and systemic banks, he said, increasing the Fed's constraint. As money market yields continue to rise, Lutnick said he sees capital continuing to flow out of equities and into money market funds and Treasury bond ETFs. "You're going to see the stock market go sideways, but the bond market is going to continue to draw in money and get a lot of power," Lutnick said.

Persons: Howard Lutnick, CNBC's Bob Pisani, Lutnick, Billy Hult, Hult, That's Organizations: Treasury Locations: Treasurys

☆ A.I. and crypto are in focus at the annual gathering of the Wall Street trading community
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-07 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

It's time for the annual gathering of the trading community. Here's a rundown of some of the hot topics: Crypto in focus: SEC Chair Gary Gensler will be speaking at noon on Thursday. Electronic trading changed the trading world 30 years ago, is AI poised to do the same? Two pioneers of electronic trading, Virtu Financial founder Vinnie Viola and Peterffy, will be speaking at noon today, reflecting on the past and future of trading and will certainly be asked about the role AI will play in future trading. Tradeweb CEO Billy Hult and MarketAxess CEO Chris Concannon will discuss the growth in Treasury trading and the increasing electronification of the bond market.

Persons: I'm, Piper Sandler, Gary Gensler, Gensler, Binance, Michael Novogratz, Jean, Marie Mognetti, Vlad Tenev, Doug Cifu, Thomas Peterffy, Vinnie Viola, Peterffy, Ed Tilly, Terry Duffy, Billy Hult, Chris Concannon, Rich Repetto's, Rich Repetto Organizations: Piper, Piper Sandler Global Exchange, New York City, NYSE, Nasdaq, Cboe, London Stock Exchange, SEC, Galaxy Digital, Virtu, Global, Treasury, CME, Citadel, CNBC PRO Locations: New York

☆ Bringing fixed income trading into the future with Tradeweb's CEO
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-07 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Bringing fixed income trading into the future with Tradeweb's CEO01:44"The Fed's got to be done": BCG Partners CEO on rates and recession

Organizations: BCG

☆ Generative AI is coming for bond trading, but a massive hurdle still stands in the way of digitization of the market
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-06 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Corporate bond trading has entered its ChatGPT era. LTX, a corporate bond trading platform owned by Broadridge, Wall Street's omnipresent behind-the-scenes provider, launched a chatbot specifically geared toward answering bond-related questions. Marketplaces for trading bonds like MarketAxess, Tradeweb, and Bloomberg have doubled down on efforts to make trading electronic. When LTX launched in June 2020, it was pitched as an "AI-driven corporate bond trading" aimed at getting more bonds traded electronically. The hurdle for the bond market is how top heavy it is.

Persons: OpenAI, Jane, LTX, they've Organizations: Morning, Bloomberg Locations: LTX

☆ Turkish lira teeters near record low as Erdogan secures victory
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-29 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

[1/2] A U.S. one dollar banknote is seen next to Turkish lira banknotes in this illustration taken in Istanbul, Turkey November 23, 2021. REUTERS/Murad Sezer/IllustrationLONDON, May 29 (Reuters) - Turkey's lira wobbled near record lows against the dollar as President Tayyip Erdogan secured victory in the country's presidential election on Sunday, extending his increasingly authoritarian rule into a third decade. The currency was at 20.05 to the dollar during Asian hours, just shy of the 20.06 record low hit on Friday. "Only the most optimistic would hope that Erdogan now feels sufficiently secure politically to revert to orthodox economic policy." "Erdogan is unlikely to embrace an outright economic orthodox approach," Wolfango Piccoli, co-president at advisory firm Teneo said in emailed comments.

☆ Turkish lira hits record low as bonds steady after post-election rout
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-18 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

LONDON, May 18 (Reuters) - Turkey's lira weakened to a record low against the dollar on Thursday, after incumbent Tayyip Erdogan's lead in presidential elections surprised markets, while the nation's sovereign dollar bonds steadied after a three-day post-election rout. The cost of insuring the country's debt against default fell slightly, but equity markets and banking stocks endured fresh losses in afternoon trading. The lira weakened to a record low of 19.8050 to the dollar by 1904 GMT, bringing its losses since the election to more than 1%. The 2045 bond gained close to one cent to trade at just over 70 cents on the dollar by 1300 GMT, Tradeweb data showed. Credit default swaps, which measure the cost of insuring the country's debt against default, narrowed by 8 basis points (bps) by mid afternoon, to 684 bps, data from S&P Global Market Intelligence showed.

☆ Turkey's market rout deepens after Erdogan's strong election showing
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-16 | by ( Libgeorge Canan Sevgili | Canan Sevgili | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Ahead of the elections, opinion polls had showed Kilicdaroglu in the lead, and investors expected him to scrap some of Erdogan's economic policies, including costly efforts to prop up the lira currency. Longer-dated, dollar-denominated government bonds saw the biggest falls in fixed income markets, although key corporate and banking sector bonds also edged lower. Credit ratings agency Fitch said the political and economic uncertainty would continue at least until after the runoff. Banking stocks, which had surged in the week ahead of the election on hopes of a policy change, tumbled another 8% (.XBANK) to take their losses since the election to nearly 20%. The overall Istanbul bourse index (.XU100), which had notched a 6.1% fall on Monday, its largest daily percentage drop since early February, was mostly flat.

NEW YORK/WASHINGTON, May 15 (Reuters) - As talks over raising the U.S. government's $31.4 trillion debt ceiling intensify, Wall Street banks and asset managers have begun preparing for fallout from a potential default. Citigroup (C.N) CEO Jane Fraser said this debate on the debt ceiling is "more worrying" than previous ones. U.S. government bonds underpin the global financial system so it is difficult to fully gauge the damage a default would create, but executives expect massive volatility across equity, debt and other markets. Banks, brokers and trading platforms are prepping for disruption to the Treasury market, as well as broader volatility. Bond trading platform Tradeweb said it was in discussions with clients, industry groups, and other market participants about contingency plans.

☆ The woman who oversees QQQ on tech, Treasurys, volatility & more
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-15 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

RELATED VIDEOS18:12 The woman who oversees QQQ on tech, Treasurys, volatility & more01:44 "The Fed's got to be done": BCG Partners CEO on rates and recession07:22 Bringing fixed income trading into the future with Tradeweb's CEO12:39 Howard Lutnick on ETF trading, big real estate warning & "soft landing" he sees20:15 ETF Edge, June 7, 202307:10 First pure play A.I.

Persons: Howard Lutnick Organizations: BCG, Edge

☆ Lightning Round: Too early to bet on Uranium Energy stock
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-10 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLightning Round: Too early to bet on Uranium Energy stock'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer weighs in on stocks including: Pfizer, Tradeweb Markets, Block, Google, Uranium Energy, Kimbell Royalty Partners, Hannon Armstrong, Truist Financial, and Air Products.

☆ Oil remains in range… but has natural gas slide bottomed out?
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-08 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

RELATED VIDEOS19:41 Oil remains in range… but has natural gas slide bottomed out? 01:44 "The Fed's got to be done": BCG Partners CEO on rates and recession07:22 Bringing fixed income trading into the future with Tradeweb's CEO12:39 Howard Lutnick on ETF trading, big real estate warning & "soft landing" he sees20:15 ETF Edge, June 7, 202307:10 First pure play A.I.

Persons: Howard Lutnick Organizations: BCG, Edge

☆ Strong Labor Market Data Sparks Bond Selloff
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-05 | by ( Eric Wallerstein | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

The April jobs report provides an update on the health of U.S. consumers and how companies are responding to higher borrowing costs. PHOTO: Bryan Tarnowski/Bloomberg NewsA midweek bond rally fueled by worries over the economy and banking system was cut short on Friday when the labor market again proved surprisingly resilient. Yields on U.S. Treasurys climbed after jobs data showed hiring remains strong and wages continue to rise, sparking a selloff in the Treasury market. The two-year yield surged to a recent 3.926% from 3.727% on Thursday, according to Tradeweb . The yield on the 10-year note was recently at 3.454%, up from 3.350% on Thursday.

☆ Debt-Ceiling Standoff Warps Treasury Trading
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-22 | by ( Eric Wallerstein | Matt Grossman | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Investors who own maturing Treasury debt might have to wait for their money. Photo: Al Drago/Bloomberg NewsInvestors are piling into ultrashort-term Treasury bills to avoid getting caught up in the debt-ceiling drama. Surging demand has driven one-month T-bill prices higher, sending the yield down to 3.313% from 4.675% at the end of March. Bills maturing in three months yield 5.105%—a record incentive for lending to the government for a couple months more, according to Tradeweb data going back to 2001.

☆ These stocks could get a pop if they go in to S&P 500 index following rule change
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-18 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The change applies to the S & P Composite 1500 Index and its components, including the S & P 500 , the world's largest stock benchmark and the one with the widest following. It forces buying from every passive index fund manager whose fund tracks the S & P 500, S & P Midcap 400 or Smallcap 600, boosting the stock price in the short term. Evercore ISI is bullish on the prospect for inclusion in the S & P 500. Alternative asset managers Ares Management and Blackstone have also became eligible for S & P 500 inclusion. "Excluding BX from the S & P 500 has hurt the index's performance... and BX also yields a dividend that is ~2x the average S & P 500 company."

☆ Treasury Yields Climb After Strong Jobs Report
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-07 | by ( Sam Goldfarb | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

The Federal Reserve could raise raise rates by 0.25 percentage point at its next meeting in May, some investors believe. U.S. government bond prices fell Friday, pushing yields higher, after the latest jobs numbers suggested that there remains substantial demand for workers despite some recent signs of a weakening economy. In recent trading, the yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note was 3.364%, according to Tradeweb, compared with 3.318% just before the report was released and 3.288% Thursday.

☆ Saudi Arabia commits financial support to help Pakistan secure IMF deal - minister
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-06 | by ( Asif Shahzad | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

ISLAMABAD, April 6 (Reuters) - Saudi Arabia has told the International Monetary Fund it will provide financing to Pakistan, Pakistani junior finance minister Aisha Ghaus Pasha said on Thursday, a critical step needed to secure IMF funding. Saudi Arabia's $2 billion pledged in external financing support to Pakistan is one of the final conditions for an IMF deal that Islamabad needs to avert a default. "Apparently Saudi Arabia has committed to IMF, and IMF has indicated to us that there has been a correspondence from them," Pasha told reporters in Islamabad. ,The IMF has asked Pakistan to secure assurances on external financing from friendly countries and multilateral partners to fund its balance of payment gap for this fiscal year, which ends in June. Pasha said Islamabad was also in talks with UAE to secure an assurance for a foreign reserves deposits in central bank.

[1/2] The Credit Suisse logo is displayed on a screen on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., March 16, 2023. Credit Suisse AT1 bondholders get nothing under the UBS merger deal. A WisdomTree exchange traded fund that tracks a broad index of bank AT1s, has dropped 11% in the past fortnight. Credit Suisse AT1s made up less than 3% of the fund just before the Swiss bank's rescue, the asset manager disclosed. Deutsche Bank AT1 debt is trading at 74 cents on the dollar, off last week's lows around 67 cents but still below levels seen before the Credit Suisse writedown, Tradeweb data shows.

SummarySummary Companies European banks, bonds, CDS sell offDeutsche Bank CDS rise to highest since late 2018Confidence hurt, outlook dimsLONDON, March 24 (Reuters) - Confidence in European banks deteriorated further on Friday, with the cost of insuring against a debt default rising sharply as the profit outlook for the sector dimmed. Deutsche Bank's (DBKGn.DE) five-year credit default swaps (CDS) jumped 19 basis points (bps) from Thursday's close to 222 bps, rising to their highest since late 2018, data from S&P Global Market Intelligence showed. The prospect that interest rates may be close to peaking, as financial markets are signalling, would also curb banks' profit margins on lending. BOND WATCHEuropean banks' Additional Tier 1 (AT1) debt came under fresh selling pressure, with Deutsche AT1 prices down 6 cents, according to Tradeweb data. The selloff in AT1s highlighted concerns about rising funding costs for European banks and helped explain why the sector was facing renewed pressure on Friday, analysts said.

The fresh price falls in Europe came as investors were looking to see how far U.S. authorities would go to shore up the banking sector, particularly fragile regional lenders. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo 1 2CDS surge on banking sector turmoilUBS CHALLENGESThe global banking sector has been shaking since the sudden collapse this month of SVB and Signature Bank. But the worries spread quickly, and on Sunday UBS (UBSG.S) was rushed into taking over Swiss rival Credit Suisse after it lost the confidence of investors. Separate sources told Reuters that UBS has promised retention packages to Credit Suisse wealth management staff in Asia to stem a talent exodus. Standard Chartered (STAN.L) Chief Executive Bill Winters said on Friday the wipeout of Credit Suisse bondholders had "profound" implications for global bank regulations.

☆ European banks default-risk indicator jumps, AT1 bonds fall
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-24 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Deutsche Bank's (DBKGn.DE) five-year credit default swaps (CDS) jumped 19 basis points (bps) from Thursday's close to 222 bps, data from S&P Global Market Intelligence showed. UBS's (UBSG.S) five-year CDS also shot up 14 bps from Thursday's close to 130 bps, the data showed. European banks' Additional Tier 1 (AT1) debt also came under fresh selling pressure, with Deutsche and UBS AT1s down around four and two cents in price, respectively, according to Tradeweb data. Although European regulators and authorities in Asia have said this week they would continue to impose losses on shareholders before bondholders - unlike the treatment of bondholders at Credit Suisse - unease lingers. Reporting by Chiara Elisei and Amanda Cooper; Writing by Dhara Ranasinghe; Editing by Susan FentonOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

UBS is buying back the bonds at the price at which they were sold rather than at market prices, compensating investors after a sell-off this week. UBS shares and bonds have seesawed this week as investors assess the impact of the Credit Suisse deal. The prices of the bonds UBS is buying back on Wednesday had also tumbled but partially recovered on Tuesday. "The issuer has decided to launch this exercise as a result of a prudent assessment of these recent developments and the issuer's long-term commitment to its credit investors," UBS said in its statement. UBS shares were last down 2.3% at 18.97 Swiss francs ($21.05), having risen as much as 3.6%.

☆ PIMCO lost $340 mln with Credit Suisse AT1 bonds write-off - source
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-21 | by ( Davide Barbuscia | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Credit Suisse's (CSGN.S) Additional Tier 1 (AT1) bonds in PIMCO’s mutual funds had been worth about $340 million on Friday, the source familiar with the matter said. PIMCO's current holdings of Credit Suisse bonds, excluding the AT1 debt, were worth over $4 billion, said the source, who was speaking on condition of anonymity. Some Credit Suisse bonds rallied on Monday after the state-backed rescue of the embattled lender. AT1 bonds issued by other European banks, instead, fell sharply on Monday as the treatment of Credit Suisse AT1 bondholders highlighted the risks of investing in these securities. Meanwhile, law firm Quinn Emanuel Urquhart & Sullivan said it was talking to a number of Credit Suisse AT1 holders about possible legal action.

The Credit Suisse rescue has shaken the European banking sector and fears of wider fallout remain. Under the Credit Suisse rescue deal, 16 billion Swiss francs worth of Credit Suisse Additional Tier 1 debt will be written down to zero on the orders of the Swiss regulator. Overall, bank debt remained under pressure, with the cost of insuring exposure to the debt rising in the credit default swaps (CDS) market. CONTAGION RISKThe wipeout of AT1 bonds in the Credit Suisse rescue has alerted fixed income investors to the risks of investing in these instruments. At Credit Suisse, the bank's AT1 bonds were bid as low as 1 cent on the dollar on Monday as investors braced for the wipeout.

In a package engineered by Swiss regulators on Sunday, UBS will pay 3 billion Swiss francs ($3.23 billion) for 167-year-old Credit Suisse Group AG (CSGN.S) and assume up to $5.4 billion in losses. Investor focus has now shifted to the massive blow some Credit Suisse bondholders will take, adding to anxiety about other banking sector risks including contagion and the fragile state of U.S. regional lenders. UBS acquiring Credit Suisse for 3 billion francs a week ago would have seemed like a terrific deal. Buildings of Swiss banks UBS and Credit Suisse are seen on the Paradeplatz in Zurich, Switzerland March 20, 2023. QUESTIONS FOR UBSThe deal to buy Credit Suisse will make UBS Switzerland’s only global bank and the Swiss economy more dependent on a single lender.

European bank shares slumped, with an index of leading lenders (.SX7P) down 5.8%. Credit Suisse shares slumped 62%, reflecting the huge loss its shareholders will see in their investment in the bank. Monetary authorities in Singapore and Hong Kong, where Credit Suisse hosts large regional offices, separately said the Swiss bank's business continued without interruption. And Credit Suisse urged its staff to go to work, according to a memo to staff seen by Reuters. Credit Suisse staff arriving to work in Hong Kong and Singapore on Monday morning, however, fretted about retrenchments and retaining business.

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