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[1/3] Federal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard speaks at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business, in Chicago, Illinois, U.S., January 19, 2023. In addition, she said the full impact of last year's aggressive Fed interest rate increases has yet to be felt. "It remains possible that a continued moderation in aggregate demand could facilitate continued easing in the labor market and reduction in inflation without a significant loss of employment," Brainard said. Even as the Fed parses the progress it has made on inflation, she said it would "stay the course." "Even with the recent moderation, inflation remains high, and policy will need to be sufficiently restrictive for some time to make sure inflation returns to 2 percent on a sustained basis," Brainard said.
That’s the message Thursday from Fed Vice Chair Lael Brainard, speaking at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business. “Even with the recent moderation, inflation remains high, and policy will need to be sufficiently restrictive for some time to make sure inflation returns to 2% on a sustained basis,” Brainard said. After four consecutive blockbuster hikes that were three-quarters of a point in size, the Fed downshifted during its last meeting, approving a half-point increase. Still, Brainard said she believes it’s possible the Fed could achieve a soft landing — a reduction in inflation without a significant amount of job loss. “That said, I’d say for the United States, recent data suggests slightly better prospects that we could see continued disinflation in the context of moderate growth.”The next two-day meeting for the Fed’s rate-setting committee starts January 31.
Will crypto continue to be a speculative asset?
  + stars: | 2023-01-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWill crypto continue to be a speculative asset? CNBC's Arjun Kharpal asks finance professor Raghuram Rajan, from the University of Chicago Booth School of Business, if crypto will continue to be a speculative asset after the market crash in 2022.
WEF Davos: Fireside chat with Raghuram G. Rajan
  + stars: | 2023-01-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWEF Davos: Fireside chat with Raghuram G. RajanCentral banks are exploring issuing central bank digital currencies, or CBDCs, but what exactly they look like and how they’ll work is still a matter of debate. China has pushed ahead with real-world trials of its own CBDCs while other central banks are debating whether such digital currencies are even needed. Raghuram Rajan, professor of finance at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business, talks to CNBC's Arjun Kharpal.
Reuters GraphicsThe U.S. central bank is already adjusting to one unanticipated set of changes - an outbreak of inflation coupled with stalled growth in the U.S. labor force. "You have to identify the regime change ... Then you have to understand the transition dynamics ... and have a clear vision and insight into all of those ... "Markets calibrated to ... Chinese growth and low interest rates may prove fragile." Like recessions, which are typically identified only well after they have started, other economic turning points aren't always apparent in the moment. But as evidence of that accumulated following the 2007-2009 recession, it was only embodied into Fed policy in 2020 under a new approach that leaned against premature interest rate increases.
LONDON, Dec 21 (Reuters) - Former U.S. Federal Reserve official Randall Kroszner will join the Bank of England's Financial Policy Committee (FPC) as a part-time external member for three years starting in February 2023, Britain's finance ministry said on Wednesday. "His leading academic voice in macroprudential policy ... and his experience at the Federal Reserve during the global financial crisis will be of real value to the committee," finance minister Jeremy Hunt said. The 13-member FPC monitors risks to Britain's financial system and sets capital buffers for British banks and maximum loan-to-income ratios for mortgage lending, as well as giving more general supervisory guidance. Bailey welcomed Kroszner's "significant international policy experience and extensive research on the financial sector". The committee has four scheduled meetings a year, but convenes more often at times of financial market stress.
In recent years, researchers have looked for supplements, in particular to data like JOLTS, to provide more nuance about job market dynamics. "When JOLTS came along it was stepping into a data void that it has done a good job of filling. An expanded JOLTS survey may get directly at that and other issues in the future, said Paul R. Calhoun Jr., who was involved with developing the survey in the 1990s and is its current manager. "You got all these job openings," Calhoun said. "We had the unemployment rate, so we knew how many people there are who are looking for work and don't have a job.
The Booth School of Business is No. A Booth student's annual cost of attendance is estimated at about $115,062. The median salary for 2022 Booth graduates was $175,000, and the median signing bonus was $30,000, according to the school's report. But, this prestigious degree doesn't come cheap — the school estimates the annual cost of attendance for Booth students is $115,062. The consulting giant McKinsey snapped up 61 Booth graduates in 2022, while Boston Consulting Group, Amazon, Bain, and Credit Suisse were also major employers of 2022 graduates.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina's Q3 GDP delay: The rule of data is that nobody hides good news, says professorAustan Goolsbee of The University of Chicago Booth School of Business says given the negative economic impact of China's zero-Covid policy, the country's third quarter GDP data probably showed "something that they didn't want to be released" during the 20th Party Congress of the Chinese Communist Party.
U.S.-based economists Ben Bernanke, Douglas Diamond and Philip Dybvig were awarded the Nobel prize in economic sciences for 2022 for their research on banks and financial crises. They added this was "invaluable" during the 2008-09 financial crisis and the coronavirus pandemic. The winners of the prize — officially called the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel — receive 10 million Swedish krona ($883,000) to be split between them. The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences select the winners from a list of candidates recommended by the Economic Sciences Prize Committee. He again cited the insurance sector in the U.K., when he said the "mismatch" came when there were calls for more collateral from insurance companies.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIt's really important for the U.S. Fed to move fast, says professorRandall Kroszner of the University of Chicago Booth School of Business says the U.S. Federal Reserve is "very fortunate" that the unemployment rate remains below 4%.
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