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☆ Stocks meander while Treasuries, dollar fall as traders wait on the Fed
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-03 | by ( Sinéad Carew | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

[1/3] Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., May 3, 2023. While the dollar index fell, long-term U.S. Treasury yields drifted lower while yields on shorter-dated bills ticked up, as investors positioned themselves before the end of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) rose 0.29% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) gained 0.12%. The dollar fell ahead of the Fed statement indicating bets that it make indicate a pause in the hiking cycle, which could lead to further dollar declines. The dollar index fell 0.461%, with the euro up 0.5% to $1.1054.

☆ First Republic stocks drops nearly 50% after plunge in deposits
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-24 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

First Republic Bank also expects to cut its workforce by 20-25% this quarter, it said late Monday during its first-quarter earnings call. “Total deposits were $102.7 billion as of April 21, 2023, down only 1.7% from March 31, 2023,” he said. The bank reported earnings per share of $1.23, higher than analysts’ expectations of $0.85 per share, according to Refinitiv data. When the banking crisis erupted, about two-thirds of First Republic’s deposits were uninsured with the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. There’s a lot of money on the line: In January and February, trading in First Republic stock was outright sleepy.

☆ Our Singapore clients have been more bullish on U.S. stocks, TD Ameritrade
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOur Singapore clients have been more bullish on U.S. stocks, TD AmeritradeAlex Coffey of TD Ameritrade says its Singapore clients have been more optimistic, as measured by the risks they've been taking.

☆ Premarket stocks: Main Street investors bet on comeback for regional banks
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-12 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

New York CNN —Forget the banking crisis — Main Street’s retail investors have barreled into embattled bank stocks. At the same time, he said, institutional investors, the so-called “smart money,” have been trading out of volatile regional bank stocks. That could mean bad news for those who are betting they’ll see big returns on regional bank stocks. This is a risky move for retail investors, said Iachini, and a speculative play. We’re not seeing a meaningful recovery, at least yet, for regional bank stocks, he said.

☆ Premarket stocks: Wall Street has found something else to worry about
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-11 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Retail investors are buying bank stocksTD Ameritrade released its March Investor Movement Index on Monday, which tracks what retail investors are up to. Lately, large companies have begun to change their investor relations strategies to become more retail investor friendly. “March was full of surprises, but the overall impact among TD Ameritrade retail clients when it came to exposure to the markets was neutral,” said Lorraine Gavican-Kerr, managing director at TD Ameritrade. Retail investors, meanwhile, were net sellers of Meta, NVIDIA, Advanced Micro Devises, Intel and Apple. Inflation expectations for the year ahead have increased by half a percentage point to 4.7%, the survey found.

☆ VIEW US payrolls rise moderates in March, participation rate firms
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-07 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Nonfarm payrolls increased by 236,000 jobs last month, the Labor Department said on Friday. Data for February was revised higher to show 326,000 jobs were added instead of 311,000 as previously reported. That also should ease pressure in the job market and help overall growth in the months and quarters ahead." “The overall headline view is that everything is remarkably in line with expectations. "The Fed will look positively on a further rise in participation to a new cycle high 62.6%, while a renewed drop in unemployment to 3.5%, coupled with continued healthy headline jobs growth, should cement the case for another 25 bps rate hike at the May meeting."

☆ U.S. yields climb, S&P futures close higher after jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-07 | by ( Chuck Mikolajczak | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

REUTERS/Issei KatoSummarySummary Companies March U.S. payrolls rise by 236,000 vs 239,000 estimateDollar strengthens, U.S. yields climbNikkei, S&P futures close higherNEW YORK, April 7 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields climbed and U.S. index futures closed modestly higher after employment data for March indicated the labor market remains tight, but was largely in line with market expectations. Nonfarm payrolls increased by 236,000 jobs last month, the Labor Department said, compared with the 239,000 expectation of economists surveyed by Reuters. Data for February was revised higher to show 326,000 jobs were added instead of 311,000 as previously reported. U.S. stock index futures erased losses and turned higher after the report, while the dollar strengthened and U.S. Treasury yields rose as expectations the Federal Reserve will hike rates at its May meeting increased. The dollar index rose 0.167%, with the euro down 0.13% to $1.0906.

☆ There are some positives that came from SVB's collapse: former TD Ameritrade CEO
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere are some positives that came from SVB's collapse: former TD Ameritrade CEOJoe Moglia, former TD Ameritrade chairman and CEO, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss what Moglia is seeing from the banking sector, the consequences from the speed of money flight and more.

☆ Investors should not take extreme positions right now, says former TD Ameritrade CEO
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInvestors should not take extreme positions right now, says former TD Ameritrade CEOFred Tomczyk, former TD Ameritrade CEO, joins 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss how investors should add balance to their portfolio, classic mistakes investors make in this environment and more.

☆ Supercore inflation: Why the Fed suddenly cares about your barbershop and plumbing bills
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-13 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Hence, supercore inflation equals the inflation of a basket of goods and services, minus the food and energy inflation, and minus the housing inflation. This ultra-focussed lens is what makes the set of prices in the inflation measure "supercore." supercore inflation, "may be the most important category for understanding the future evolution of core inflation," Fed Chair Jerome Powell said in November. "Traditionally, the Fed focused on core inflation because the components were deemed to be less volatile — and by extension, transitory. Not all economists think supercore inflation is all it's hyped up to beBut not all economists are convinced about the focus on supercore inflation.

☆ WWE gambling would be 'ripe for cheating': Former TD Ameritrade CEO Joe Moglia
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWWE gambling would be 'ripe for cheating': Former TD Ameritrade CEO Joe MogliaJoe Moglia, former TD Ameritrade chairman and CEO, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the WWE's talks around gambling on scripted matches, if the outlook for rate hikes has changed, and more.

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with former TD Ameritrade CEO Joe Moglia
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with former TD Ameritrade CEO Joe MogliaJoe Moglia, former TD Ameritrade chairman and CEO, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the WWE's talks around gambling on scripted matches, if the outlook for rate hikes has changed, and more.

March 6 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 made little progress on Monday, closing slightly higher than its session low as U.S. Treasury yields pulled higher with investors braced for this week's testimony from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and the February jobs report. Rising bond yields tend to weigh on equity valuations, particularly those of growth and technology stocks, as higher rates reduce the value of future cash flows. "People are worried about the jobs number and the economic data because they're worried about what the Fed will do. According to preliminary data, the S&P 500 (.SPX) gained 2.72 points, or 0.07%, to end at 4,048.36 points, while the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) lost 12.59 points, or 0.11%, to 11,676.41. Since Powell last spoke strong economic data and hotter than expected inflation have raised concerns the Fed will raise rates higher than expected or keep them higher for longer.

Rising bond yields tend to weigh on equity valuations, particularly those of growth and technology stocks, as higher rates reduce the value of future cash flows. "People are worried about the jobs number and the economic data because they're worried about what the Fed will do. And with potential Fed rate hikes their key concern, Monday's data had already dampened investor enthusiasm, said Shawn Cruz, head trading strategist at TD Ameritrade in Chicago. Since Powell last spoke strong economic data and hotter than expected inflation have raised concerns the Fed will raise rates higher than expected or keep them higher for longer. The S&P 500 posted 20 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 85 new highs and 92 new lows.

Shares of iPhone maker Apple Inc (AAPL.O), last up 2%, were the biggest boost for the S&P 500 index (.SPX) after Goldman Sachs initiated coverage with a "buy" rating. Correlation between S&P 500 and 2-year Treasury bond yieldsMonday's data likely dampened investor enthusiasm, said Shawn Cruz, head trading strategist at TD Ameritrade in Chicago. Six of 11 major S&P 500 sectors rose. Since Powell last spoke strong economic data and hotter than expected inflation have raised concerns the Fed will raise rates higher than expected or keep them higher for longer. The S&P 500 posted 20 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 74 new highs and 71 new lows.

☆ Analysis: U.S. stock rally faces uphill climb after mixed inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-14 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

[1/2] A trader works on the trading floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., January 27, 2023. Tuesday's closely watched inflation report on U.S. consumer prices showed the smallest annual price increase since late 2021. But the data did little to dispel expectations that the Federal Reserve will have to continue raising rates higher and keep them elevated for longer to drive inflation lower. The CPI data continues the trend of moderating annual inflation rates that have helped propel this year's rally in risk assets. Some have also expressed concern about investor positioning, which has grown stretched in recent weeks as market participants piled into the stock rally.

His comments renewed investor hopes for less aggressive monetary policy that wavered after a strong U.S. jobs report last Friday. The tech-heavy Nasdaq (.IXIC) rallied on news form Microsoft Corp (MSFT.O), and the S&P 500 (.SPX) also got a boost. Most sectors on the S&P 500 ended higher. So far, more than half of the companies on the S&P 500 have reported quarterly earnings, with 69.1% of them beating expectations, according to Refinitiv. The S&P 500 posted 5 new 52-week highs and 2 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 90 new highs and 31 new lows.

His comments came after a strong jobs report last week stymied rising hopes of less aggressive monetary policy. The Nasdaq and the S&P 500 fluctuated during and after Powell's remarks. Boosting the tech-heavy Nasdaq (.IXIC) and the S&P 500 (.SPX) was Microsoft Corp (MSFT.O). Six of the top 11 sectors on the S&P 500 fell, but technology (.SPLRCT) was among top gainers, up 1.61%. So far, more than half of the companies on the S&P 500 have reported quarterly earnings, with 69.1% of them beating expectations, according to Refinitiv.

☆ Best Online Stock Trading Platforms of 2023
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-02 | by ( ) www.wsj.com time to read: +20 min

Luckily, the past few years has seen a profusion of online stock trading platforms. We spent hours comparing more than a dozen stock trading platforms looking for the most intuitive tools, in-depth research and access to guidance and other educational content. We considered all of this when making our picks for the Best Stock Trading Platforms of 2023. How we pickedTo pick Buy Side from WSJ’s best stock trading platforms, we reviewed offerings from more than a dozen companies. Morgan Stanley is the corporate parent of E*Trade, one of the stock trading platforms considered for this story.

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☆ Here's why it's time to bet against a key sector of the market ahead of the coming recession
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-23 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Today, I'm sharing a research note from one analyst who's eyeing a new bet to place against a corner of the stock market that offered refuge last year. He's talking about the S&P 500 Consumer Staples Sector SPDR Fund. In his view, the consumer staples sector, which served as a haven last year, presents a bubble about to burst. How much credence do you give to chart analysis for stock market outlooks? The stock market is about to be flipped upside down, according to Bank of America.

☆ A top investment chief explains why bonds offer an attractive hedge for a mild and brief recession in 2023
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-21 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

I'm senior reporter Phil Rosen, and below I'm sharing my conversation with Northwestern Mutual's chief investment officer, Brent Schutte. He sees the bond market as this year's best recession hedge. Phil Rosen: You said you're expecting a mild and brief recession this year. Brent Schutte: The good news is that the bond market has repriced, and the bond market is a hedge against that recession. BC: I do think earnings will come down this year, and cheaper equities give a margin of safety against that.

☆ 'The market is built on a bedrock of total complacency': A former top TD Ameritrade technical analyst says stocks will fall another 20% this year as investors begin to realize a Fed pivot isn't in the
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-14 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

He also thinks earnings expectations are too high and will come down. This hawkish policy will eventually lead to a recession this year, Bierman said, a view that is shared by many on Wall Street. "The market has not priced in earnings misses, the market has priced in earnings beats," he said. Bierman's views in contextBierman's recession call has become a somewhat consensus view on Wall Street. RIA AdvisorsThis translates to lackluster expectations for stocks among Wall Street strategists.

☆ JPMorgan's acquisition strategy is coming under fire. Here are the 15 fintech and consumer-focused deals done by the bank since 2020.
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-13 | by ( Carter Johnson | Rebecca Ungarino | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +19 min

NutmegDeal details: JPMorgan announced the acquisition in June 2021, paying approximately $1 billion. cxLoyaltyDeal details: JPMorgan said it would buy cxLoyalty's global loyalty division in December 2020. ProxymityDeal details: JPMorgan, Citi, HSBC, and other firms together invested $20.5 million in Proxymity in May 2020. Viva WalletDeal details: JPMorgan said it would acquire 49% of Viva Wallet in January 2022, pending regulatory approval. Christian Petersen-Clausen/Getty ImagesRenovite TechnologiesDeal details: JPMorgan announced on September 12 it plans to acquire Renovite.

☆ One of the most powerful rich families in American politics just got their son in the Senate
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-12 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Ricketts' family owns the Chicago Cubs and has broadly supported conservative causes. Ricketts will replace former Republican Sen. Ben Sasse who left the chamber. Pete Ricketts will be joining the US Senate, an appointment that caps his political comeback and cements his family, which owns the Chicago Cubs, as one of the most powerful forces in American politics. Sen. Deb Fischer, a two-term Republican incumbent and loyal ally of Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, is also up for reelection then too. Along with owning the Cubs, the Ricketts family has long been among the biggest funders of Republican campaigns.

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