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Microscopic contaminants were found in a metal used in the engine's high-pressure turbine discs - part of the engine core. In an interview, Chief Executive Greg Hayes acknowledged the airlines' frustration over a spate of problems with the Geared Turbofan (GTF) engines over the last seven years. While the latest GTF issue could be the last straw for some, we suspect that the negative (share price) response is overdone". Low-cost Indian carrier Go First, which plunged into financial crisis this year, blamed "faulty" Pratt & Whitney engines for the grounding of about half its 54 Airbus A320neos. Announcing quarterly earnings on Tuesday, RTX increased its 2023 sales expectation from $72 billion to $73 billion to $73 billion to $74 billion.

Persons: Whitney, Pratt, Greg Hayes, Safran, RTX, Robert Stallard, Wizz, Hayes, Pratyush Thakur, Valerie Insinna, Mike Stone, Susan Mathew, Rajesh Singh, Tim Hepher, Shounak Dasgupta, Sharon Singleton, Nick Zieminski Organizations: Pratt, Airbus, U.S, RTX Corp, Raytheon Technologies, CFM International, GE, Reuters, Research, Spirit Airlines Inc, JetBlue Airways, Wizz, Thomson Locations: Paris, Bengaluru, Washington, Chicago

☆ BlackRock says AI 'mega-force' to buck tough macro trend
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-28 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

June 28 (Reuters) - Shares of AI-focused companies will be a major driver of returns for developed markets in a tough economic environment, BlackRock Investment Institute said, citing an unusually concentrated rally in a handful of technology stocks. "We think this unusual equity market shows a mega force like AI can be a big driver of returns even when the macro environment is not your friend," BlackRock Investment Institute's team wrote in a mid-year outlook note. The institute, an arm of the world's biggest asset manager, has an over-weight allocation for AI-related shares in developed markets. "We think this is an environment that is going to persist," Jean Bovin, Head of the BlackRock Investment Institute told reporters on Wednesday. BlackRock said it expects central banks in developed economies to keep rates steady at a high level regardless of possible episodes of financial instability.

Persons: Jean Bovin, BlackRock, Susan Mathew, Davide Barbuscia, Sinead Carew, Anil D'Silva, Barbara Lewis Organizations: BlackRock Investment Institute, Investment, Thomson Locations: BlackRock, Japan, Bengaluru, New York

Goldman Sachs on Monday cut Tesla to "hold" equivalent rating, joining Morgan Stanley and Barclays, which downgraded the stock last week. The brokerages, however, raised their price targets to reflect the momentum in Tesla shares, which have soared 71% since late April and more than doubled this year. The EV maker's shares were last down 1.2% in morning trading on Monday. Tesla's market capitalization of $813.29 billion far outstrips that of Japan's Toyota (7203.T), which is the next biggest global car company by market value. However, the brokerages reiterated that they saw strong growth ahead with Tesla remaining a global EV leader.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Tesla, Morgan, Japan's, Goldman, Mark Delaney, Morgan Stanley, Jefferies, Aniruddha Ghosh, Susan Mathew, Anil D'Silva Organizations: Tesla Inc, EV, Morgan Stanley, Barclays, EV maker's, Japan's Toyota, Intelligence, Ford, General Motors, Truist Securities, Tesla, Thomson Locations: China, Bengaluru

☆ Citigroup raises global growth forecast, sees U.S. recession in Q4
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-19 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: 1 min

April 19 (Reuters) - Citigroup raised its 2023 global economic growth forecast to 2.4%, from 2.2% expected earlier, and now expects the U.S. economy to tip into recession in the fourth quarter of the year. They had earlier expected a U.S. recession in the third quarter of 2023. Reporting by Susan Mathew in Bengaluru; Editing by Savio D'SouzaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Citigroup sees global profits shrinking 5% in aftermath of banking turmoil
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-31 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

March 31 (Reuters) - Citigroup equity strategists flagged a likely 5% contraction in global profits this year as turmoil in the banking sector raises the risk of a recession. Financial markets have had a turbulent few weeks after the collapse of some mid-sized U.S. lenders and a Swiss-backed takeover of Credit Suisse spooked investors about liquidity stress in the banking sector. "Stress in the banking sector has reminded us of the consequences of monetary tightening. Going forward, we think investors' attention will increasingly shift from risks of higher rates to risks of recession," said Citi strategists led by Beata M Manthey. The ongoing confidence crisis could limit banks' risk appetite and reduce the flow of credit, they warned, downgrading the global financial sector to "neutral."

☆ Barclays raises Bank of England terminal rate forecast to 4.5%
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-27 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

March 27 (Reuters) - Barclays raised its terminal rate forecast for the Bank of England's benchmark policy rate by a quarter point to 4.5%, following the central bank's eleventh straight hike last week. Barclays had expected a pause from the BoE in the March meeting, but following a 25 basis points hike to 4.25%, and data last week that showed an unexpected rise in British inflation, the British bank retained its call for another quarter percentage point hike in May. The new forecast implies a "minimal recession", Barclays economists led by Marian Cena said. Following the hikes this year, Barclays projects 100 bps of cuts to the BoE's bank rate in the second half of next year, 50 bps more than its previous prediction. Reporting by Susan Mathew in Bengaluru; Editing by Dhanya Ann ThoppilOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ BofA, UBS trim forecast for Fed funds rate amid banking crisis
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-23 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

The Fed's benchmark rate stood in the range of 4.75-5% following a quarter percentage point hike on Wednesday. BofA analysts said the consequent unexpected tightening in bank lending standards could substitute for further hikes. BofA and UBS no longer expect an interest rate hike in June and see the Fed funds rate peaking in May at 5-5.25% and 5.25-5.5%, respectively. Goldman Sachs, which expected the Fed to pause on Wednesday, maintained its terminal rate forecast in the 5.25-5.5% range, but now sees rates peaking in June instead of July. Money markets, which priced in a terminal rate close to 6% by September just as early as this month, now see the rate peaking at 4.9% by May.

☆ Global banking turbulence prompts Wall Street banks to trim hawkish Fed bets
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-20 | by ( Susan Mathew | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Peer Citigroup sees a smaller 25 bps hike, down from a 50 bps hike forecast earlier in the month. The brokerage started with a 50 bps hike and then changed to a pause following the collapse of SVB Financial. It now sees a 25 basis points hike. Nomura expects a 25 bps rate cut at the end of the Fed's two-day meeting on Wednesday. Major investment banks now expect the ECB to deliver a 25 bps hike in May.

☆ Goldman Sachs, other banks expect smaller hike from ECB in May
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-17 | by ( Subhadeep Chakravarty | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

March 17 (Reuters) - Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and at least two other banks expect the European Central Bank to deliver a smaller quarter-point hike in May, as it grapples with stress in the banking sector and high core inflation. Goldman's terminal rate forecast for the ECB now stands at 3.5%, down from 3.75% expected previously when it forecasted a 50-bps raise in May. For Morgan Stanley, a smaller May hike expectation leaves the peak rate forecast at 3.75% by July, down from 4% expected earlier. The changes in forecast follow the ECB's decision on Thursday to press ahead with a 50-bps hike in its deposit facility rate, taking it to 3%. Traders see the ECB rate peaking at around 3.23% by September or October.

☆ U.S. bank deposits have started moving to money market funds - Goldman Sachs
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-16 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

March 16 (Reuters) - Goldman Sachs said deposits have started to move out of U.S. banks and towards money markets funds, as investors seek the safety in Treasury securities amid worries about stresses in the banking sector. Retail money market funds have seen large and accelerating inflows over the last week, Goldman said in a note on Thursday, likely suggesting some migration away from deposits. Following the collapse of SVB Financial Group and Signature Bank, U.S. regional bank stocks have had a bruising last few days, as investors worried about possible deposit outflows causing capital issues at other regional banks. Money markets appear to have continued functioning fairly well in recent days, and facilities such as the Federal Home Loan Banks lending channel and the Bank Term Funding Program should help maintain "healthy" market functioning even if financing needs spike, Goldman notes. Reporting by Susan Mathew in Bengaluru; Editing by Shailesh KuberOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Factbox: SVB collapse may prompt Fed to go slow on rate hikes
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: 1 min

March 14 (Reuters) - Traders no longer expect a rate hike of 50 basis points by the U.S. Federal Reserve next week as the surprise collapse of lender Silicon Valley Bank rattles the financial system. The current projection is for a 25 bps move, with some expecting no hike at all or even a cut. That is a quick reversal in expectations after hawkish commentary from Fed Chair Jerome Powell had prompted traders to see a 70% chance of a 50 bps rate hike just a week earlier. Following are rate expectations from major Wall Street banks:Compiled by Susan Mathew in Bengaluru; Editing by Anil D'Silva and Sam HolmesOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) fell 1.7% on broad-based losses, with HSBC (HSBA.L), Deutsche Bank (DBKGn.DE), Barclays (BARC.L), Unicredit (CRDI.MI) and Commerzbank (CBKG.DE) down between 2.7% and 7.2%. If it can happen to a U.S. bank, it could potentially happen to a bank in Europe as well." Next week, the focus is likely to be on the European Central Bank which is expected to hike its key lending rate by 50 bps. Daimler Truck (DTGGe.DE) added 3.5% on dividend payment plans after hitting its 2022 targets and forecasting higher earnings and revenue this year. Reporting by Susan Mathew and Medha Singh in Bengaluru; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu and Dhanya Ann ThoppilOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

UK banks (.FTNMX301010) dropped to an eight-week low, spooked by a brutal rout in U.S. bank SVB Financial (SIVB.O) following a share sale. The FTSE 100 (.FTSE) slipped 1.9% to a five week low, while the more domestically focused mid-cap index (.FTMC) gave up 2.1% to hit a two-month low. The FTSE 100 is set to the end the week down about 2.8% in what could be its worst week since September, as worries around hawkish central banks sapped risk appetite. Next week, investors will be watching for UK Chancellor Jeremy Hunt's spring budget. Reporting by Susan Mathew in Bengaluru; Editing by Savio D'Souza and Saumyadeb ChakrabartyOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ UK stocks slip as investors gauge prospects of U.S. rate hike
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-09 | by ( Susan Mathew | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The blue-chip FTSE 100 index (.FTSE) fell 0.6%, and the mid-cap index (.FTMC) lost 0.7%, extending losses for a third straight session. Strengthening the case for hikes, data showed U.S. job openings fell less than expected in January. The FTSE 100 is up more than 6% so far this year, but is off more than 2% from all-time highs hit last month as investors try to assess the impact of rising interest. Among individual stocks, Rio Tinto (RIO.L) dropped 0.6% as the miner traded without dividend eligibility. Reporting by Susan Mathew in Bengaluru; Editing by Sherry Jacob-Phillips and Sonia CheemaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Dollar rally pauses ahead of Powell speech; Aussie lifted by hawkish RBA
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-07 | by ( Rae Wee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The dollar index , which measures the greenback against a basket of six rivals, made a brief breach of Monday's one-month highs, and was last trading at 103.52, roughly flat on the day. Sterling was last 0.1% higher against the dollar at $1.20275, after tumbling to a one-month low of $1.2006 in the previous session. In Asia, the Japanese yen attempted to make back Monday's losses, with the dollar-yen pair down 0.6% at $131.78, moving away from Monday's one-month low of 132.90 per dollar. A newspaper report on Monday said Japan's government has sounded out Bank of Japan (BOJ) Deputy Governor Masayoshi Amamiya to succeed incumbent Haruhiko Kuroda as central bank governor. Reporting by Rae Wee and Susan Mathew; Editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman, Kenneth Maxwell and Arun KoyyurOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ VIEW Nissan, Renault agree to overhaul alliance, putting themselves on equal footing
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-30 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

"We understand Renault is able to ring fence its own technology within the alliance allowing the firm to collaborate also with other external partners beyond the Renault Nissan alliance. "Overall we welcome this step which will enhance the industrial collaboration within the alliance." JEFFERIES"A re-sized capital structure should help keep the Alliance viable, maintaining synergies and opening up strategic opportunities on both sides. Ultimately it means that a disorderly unwind of the alliance has been avoided which is a positive. "Over the short term, it's possible there may be selling (of Nissan shares) due to a worsening of supply and demand.

☆ Optimism over China, peak bond yields draw flows into stocks -BofA
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-27 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Jan 27 (Reuters) - Weekly inflows into stocks in the week to Wednesday were the largest in six weeks, data from BofA Global Research showed, as China's reopening of its borders and expectations that bond yields have peaked fed investor risk appetite. Investors poured $13.9 billion into stocks with $3.4 billion flowing into European shares - the largest to the region's equities in almost one year, the bank said on Friday. Healthcare stocks, a defensive play, and technology stocks, have seen their worst four-week outflows in four years, BofA said. Over the same period, emerging market debt and equity inflows averaged $7.1 billion, their strongest in nearly two years. Gold drew in $500 million, BofA data showed, while investors shed $2.3 billion worth of cash.

☆ Morgan Stanley cuts year-end dollar forecast
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-16 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

Jan 16 (Reuters) - Morgan Stanley cut its 2023 year-end forecast for the dollar index to 98, and expects the greenback's weakness to be more pronounced against the euro this year as worries about the severity of an economic downturn start to ease. They previously saw the index , which weighs the U.S. currency against a basket of six major rivals, ending 2023 at 104. The dollar index was trading at 102.4 around 1330 GMT on Monday. The Wall Street bank now sees the euro strengthening against the dollar to 1.15 by year-end versus a previous forecast of 1.08. The bank's previous year-end forecast for the yuan was 6.80.

Brazil's real , snapped a three-day winning run, last down 0.4% after falling over 1% earlier in the day. A central bank survey on Monday showed Brazil's inflation and interest rate expectations for the year had risen. While most other Latin American currencies also fell, underperforming broader emerging market peers, Chile's peso rose 0.8% as copper prices hit six-month highs. Data showed Chile posted a trade surplus of $1.85 billion in the month, up from a $417 million surplus in December 2021. Data showed Mexico's headline inflation ended 2022 slightly below analysts' expectations, while core inflation appeared to have lost steam.

REUTERS/Adriano MachadoSAO PAULO/LONDON, Jan 9 (Reuters) - Brazilian equities were higher in choppy trade on Monday, a day after thousands of supporters of former President Jair Bolsonaro stormed government buildings in the capital, echoing the Jan. 6, 2021, insurrection in Washington. On Friday, both had performed better after Lula said the economy may grow while government finances are kept in check. On Monday hundreds of Brazilian police in riot gear and some on horseback amassed at an encampment of Bolsonaro supporters near Brasilia's army headquarters. "I think the situation will quickly normalize," said Cristian Maggio, head of portfolio strategy at TD Securities in London. "Yet, it is an event worth keeping an eye on, as it may not be fully over just yet."

☆ Brazil markets fall as Bolsonaro supporters storm capital
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-09 | by ( Susan Mathew | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The market impact will depend on how the Lula administration and other government institutions react to the protests, said Bertrand Delgado, head of Latam Fx and fixed income with Societe Generale. A central bank survey on Monday showed Brazil's inflation and interest rate expectations for the year had risen. While most other Latin American currencies also fell, underperforming broader emerging market peers, Chile's peso rose 0.8% as copper prices hit six-month highs. Data showed Mexico's headline inflation ended 2022 slightly below analysts' expectations, while core inflation appeared to have lost steam. In Argentina, the economy will grow significantly more than 5% in 2023, Economy Minister Sergio Massa said on Sunday.

☆ Crypto winter end in sight as Ethereum looks to shake the chills- analysts
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-12 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

J.P.MORGAN:"We believe that the Ethereum Merge and really the Ethereum Surge could be a big factor in terms of increasing the use-cases for blockchain into new areas, including financial services," analysts said in an early December note. The Ethereum Merge was a major software upgrade to the Ethereum blockchain that went live in September and reduced its energy usage by 99.95%, according to developers. "We continue to see the Ethereum Surge as a catalyst for development in the cryptocurrency markets, which appears at least 6-12 months away." "From the China crackdown to the several price crashes in earlier 2022, crypto mining has shown an approximately 1-to-1 price-power relationship. Norwood expects the crypto market to pick up in about six months.

☆ Wells Fargo sees global growth slowing to 1.7% next year
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-08 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: 1 min

Dec 8 (Reuters) - Wells Fargo is expecting the global economy to grow at a slower pace in 2023, joining other big American banks that have tempered their estimates this year and rekindled fears of a potential recession in the United States. The bank expects the global economy to grow at 1.7% in 2023, weaker than a 2.4% rise estimated for the current year, it said in a client note on Thursday. Wells Fargo sees the U.S. economy slipping into a "modest" recession beginning in mid-2023 and expects it to end the year with annual growth of 0.2%, much slower than a 2% rise estimated for 2022. Wells Fargo also expects annual U.S. headline inflation moderating to 3.8% in 2023 from 7.7% currently. Reporting by Susan Mathew in Bengaluru; Editing by Anil D'SilvaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ European shares kick off month on firm footing on Powell speech
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-01 | by ( Susan Mathew | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) climbed 0.6%, after gaining 6.8% in November to log its best month since July. Energy stocks (.SXEP) slumped, capping gains for the broader index, as oil prices dipped amid uncertainty ahead of Sunday's OPEC+ meeting. China's stringent measures have contributed to slowing global growth, while aggressive policy tightening and an energy crisis in Europe have also fuelled worries over a recession. "European markets are indeed incorporating the speech from Powell that was well-received by markets already elsewhere. These developments fuel optimism that followed after data showed a smaller-than-expected rise in euro zone inflation on Wednesday, which raised the prospect of a less-aggressive monetary policy tightening by the European Central Bank.

☆ European shares rise with the focus on data, Fed's Powell
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-30 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

Broad-based gains saw the pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) rise 0.3% by 0825 GMT, on track to break a three-day losing streak. The index is up around 6.4% for November, putting it on course for its second straight month in the black. Luxury stocks were among the biggest boosts to the STOXX 600 on the day, followed by tech (.SXPP) and energy stocks (.SXEP). The company said its iron ore shipments in 2023 would be in the same range as this year's forecast, although costs would rise. Investors will also be eyeing euro zone inflation data which is expected to have cooled year-on-year in November.

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